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Menu
From the chef’s table
Foreword by Anurag Bajpai, Partner and Head of Retail,
KPMG Lower Gulf
3
20
26
30
32
Starters
We examine the current state of the UAE F&B market and
understand the interplay of demand and supply dynamics
Specials
We look at how various formats are faring in 2017 and examine how
hotel-based outlets compare with those outside hotels
Hot bites
We look at how technology is a force of both disruption and opportunity for
operators and how it will play in tandem with the human element of F&B
Order summary
Key findings and conclusions
Our recipe
We explain who we interviewed – both consumers
and industry executives
Back $0.00
10
Mains
Consumers are at the heart of the F&B industry. We explore
their behavior, needs and expectations
4
MCQ–Multiple Choice Question - total does not add to 100% Operator views Consumer views
In a market that is somewhat
under-researched and at times
misunderstood, KPMG has been
leading the initiative to provide
operators with market and consumer
insights. Over the past three years,
the interest and support our report
has generated with the operators
has been extremely encouraging.
Our 2017 report builds on the two
previous reports in many ways.
Similar to last year, the views of
about 800 consumers across the
UAE have helped us understand
consumer behavior and preferences,
which we have compared against
insights from previous years, to
identify evolving issues as well as,
in certain cases, consistencies in
choice. Further, for the first time,
we surveyed close to 350
respondents across the Gulf
Cooperation Council (GCC) region to
compare and contrast their behavior
and spending patterns with those of
UAE consumers.
As with last year, we also
interviewed a number of leading F&B
operators who voluntarily provided
information which has helped us
understand the micro-economics
and dynamics of the UAE F&B
market from their perspective. As
an important consequence, in this
year’s report, we have analyzed key
financial benchmarks across the
different F&B formats, a comparison,
which we believe, will be useful for
the industry at large and will pave
the path to greater transparency in
the future. Last but not the least, we
separately assessed the role of the
hotel-based offerings in the wider
F&B industry, obtaining views from
both operators and consumers.
The central message of this year’s
report is that F&B demand in the
UAE continues to be robust, with
consumers generally going out more
and spending more, both compared
with last year and compared with
the rest of the Gulf. Business for
the operators, however, has been
challenging, with the majority
struggling to achieve like-for-like
growth in the face of ample supply
and stiff competition. This situation
is likely to continue for the next year
or so but is likely to improve from
2019 and beyond, in the run-up to
Expo 2020, and as the UAE further
strengthens its position as
a global tourist destination with
newer attractions and offerings.
In this challenging context, we see
operators striving to stay relevant by
re-examining their business models,
brand strategies and cost structures,
while maintaining high standards
of quality for the customer. At the
same time, operators are seeking
opportunities in the other GCC
states, which can present untapped
potential for established regional and
international brands.
The other broad themes in this
year’s report encompass consumers’
evolution in terms of eating-out and
spending patterns; the implications
for operators’ product and service
offer, including strategy, marketing
and engagement issues; and the
growing adoption of technology and
its disruption of the traditional F&B
business model.
We are most grateful to the
consumers who took part in the
survey. A special word of thanks too
to all the operators who agreed to
meet us and discuss their views on
the market – your feedback has been
invaluable for this report.
I hope you find the report useful
and would be delighted to hear
your feedback.
Anurag Bajpai
Partner | Head of Retail
KPMG Lower Gulf
This report is the third in KPMG’s annual series which examines
the Food & Beverage industry in the United Arab Emirates (UAE)
Fromthechef’stable–
Foreword
3Ready to serve
StartersWe examine the current state of the UAE F&B market and
understand the interplay between demand and supply dynamics
Over the years, the UAE has
established itself as a dominant Food
& Beverage (F&B) destination in the
Middle East. The emirates in general
– and Dubai in particular – continue to
attract international and home-grown
F&B brands. The country is also
recognized as the location of choice
for international retailers as well as
F&B operators looking to enter the
Middle Eastern market.
The restaurant footprint of Dubai, in
particular, measured as number of
restaurants/F&B outlets per million
population, compares well with
some of the established global F&B
markets such as Paris, London and
New York. In fact, if overnight visitors
are considered, Dubai has more
outlets per million than New York.
This underlines Dubai’s positioning
as a global F&B destination.
Restaurants footprint – Dubai vs major global cities
Dubai
New York
Paris
London
Number of restaurants per million
of population
Number of restaurants per million of resident and overnight
vistors population
2,968
3,115
501
404
3,514
3,005
837
623
Sources: Global Destination Cities Index, 2016, Mastercard; Dubai Retail Review, Core
Savills, 2017 ; The World’s Cities in 2016, United Nations; City food authority websites
Things heating up…
Against this background, however, these are challenging
times for the industry – more so today than in the past.
Most operators have witnessed declining or flat same-
store sales over the last year.The fact that this comes on
the back of a similarly challenging year for sales in 2016
only makes for a tough environment where it is difficult to
maintain the optimism witnessed in the past decade.
How has your F&B business performed over the last 12 months?
What is your growth outlook for the next 12 months?
Like-for-like sales decline
65%
Expecting further decline
44%
Operators, by and large, are concerned that there
are no immediate signs of revival and the outlook for
2018 continues to remain subdued;  around 70% of
the operators expect the market to remain flat or to
decline over the next twelve months.
No change
13%Like-for-like sales growth
22%
Expect growth
30% Status quo
26%
5Ready to serve
81%
71%
81%
71%
Extra servings
The current sentiment in the F&B
industry does not seem to be on
account of consumer demand, which
continues to be robust. The majority
of consumers are still eating out
as much or more, and spending as
much or more compared with last
year. Over 40% claim to be spending
more than last year on eating out or
ordering in, although they are more
conscious of their spend than they
were in 2016.
So, if market demand is still as
robust as it was in 2016, why are
the operators facing challenges in
growth? The answer perhaps lies
in the supply-side dynamics.
According to estimates from JLL
Research, retail supply in Dubai
and Abu Dhabi is expected to
increase from 6 million sqm in
Sources:
Euromonitor, World Bank; JLL Research, Dubai and Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Overview – Q2 2017; The Successful Integration of Food & Beverage within Retail Real Estate?
Demand vs supply growth
2016 2019 CAGR (%)
2016 to 7.5 million sqm gross leasable
area (GLA) by 2019 and will outpace
the growth of the resident and tourist
population in the UAE.This should be
a cause for concern in a market such
as the UAE, which already has high
mall density. Further, in recent times,
F&B has garnered around 25% of the
retail space for new openings.This is
expected to increase further with the
upcoming developments.
A combination of these factors could
cause a rapid increase in F&B supply
with questions around demand
stimulus, resulting in increased
competition and less room for
manoeuver for existing operators.
Are spending the same
amount or more per meal
in comparison to last year
UAE Residents
& Tourists
(mn)
30.9 35.4
4.6%
Retail supply
in Dubai and
Abu Dhabi
(GLA in mn sqm)
6.0
7.7%
7.5
Eat out as much or
more than in 2016
Too hot to handle
With tough market conditions, a
number of operators are working to
address the immediate challenges
as well as plan for longer-term
opportunities. They recognize that
they have limited control over
the market forces at play but are
gearing up to respond in the best
manner possible.
Portfolios are under review to
identify the winning brands as well
as the struggling ones; future plans
are anchored around those brands
and create concepts that have the
best chances of succeeding in the
market. A similar scrutiny is being
undertaken for the outlets, albeit
at more frequent intervals than in
the past.
Rising costs are another concern
for operators. While keeping a
close eye on the topline, they
are increasingly seeking ways to
operate leaner but more efficient
businesses and every opportunity
to optimize operations and reduce
costs is being explored.
Conscious that they need to
achieve growth, operators are
looking at expansion, but more
cautiously than in the past. They
are also selectively placing bets on
new brands but only after rigorous
market tests and meticulous
planning have been conducted.
The impending VAT implementation
from 1 January, 2018 will impact all
consumer-driven businesses, including
F&B. While the effect is expected
in numerous ways, the single most
important impact will be on the menu
prices. Operators today are faced with
the dilemma of whether or not to pass
on the tax to the consumers and if so,
to what extent.
Given the current state of the market
and the price-sensitive nature of
consumers, operators are wary of
increasing menu prices as it is likely
to hurt sales. At the same time,
they are reluctant to absorb VAT
as it would further reduce already
suppressed margins.
Some operators are looking to move
early and use a combination of menu
refreshes, price increases on selective
items and combo offers to prepare
themselves while maintaining the
consumer’s perception of value.
Others prefer to wait and watch before
deciding on their course of action.
But, by and large, operators agree
that this will have a one time impact
on their business in 2018. Over time,
one expects the consumers to adjust
to the new reality and any cutback
on consumption is likely to return
to normal levels. In the meanwhile,
operators will likely need to work even
harder to manage their performance.
+17+26+35+43+57+13+35+39+43+57
What are your most pressing concerns over the next 12 months?
What are the key areas of cost optimization for your business?
Competition
Increasing cost
New regulations
Reduction in turnover
Lack of demand sitmulus
Other overheads
Staff costs
Rentals
Food costs
Marketing and promotions
57%
43%
35%
26%
17%
57%
43%
39%
35%
13%
The VAT factor
MCQ
MCQ
7Ready to serve
Whetting the appetite
In spite of the challenging market
conditions, there is a shared sense
of optimism amongst operators
when it comes to the medium-term
outlook. Expo 2020 as well as other
global events in the region are likely
to provide reasons for cheer as the
emirates continue to evolve as a
tourist destination. By putting their
house in order today, operators are
preparing themselves to benefit
from improved market conditions.
Most operators are also looking
to make the required investments
to achieve growth – in part, to
improve their operations, but also to
cautiously increase their brand and
outlet footprints in the UAE. More
significantly, operators are looking
to expand into other international
markets, particularly in the rest of
the GCC. It seems most of the other
GCC markets have room for more
international brands, and untapped
opportunity present a compelling case
for investment by UAE operators.
Where are you looking to invest in the medium term?
Network expansion
for existing brands
52% New brands
and franchises
43%New markets/
geographies
57% Operational
improvement
30%
Growth
Decline
Flat market
82%
9%
9%
What is your medium-term outlook for the F&B sector?
MCQ
The UAE F&B market has proven to be one with enduring appeal, which
can compare its size of offer, variety and standards favorably with some
of the more established F&B destinations of the world.
Although the demand outlook is robust, there is ample supply and
competition is stiff. Individual operators are currently being challenged to
grow like-for-like revenues.
In the near-term, operators will need to proceed cautiously while striving
for greater efficiencies, to be selective and meticulous in pricing and
promotional offers, location selection and new brand launches.
The introduction of VAT may have a marginal impact on the F&B
businesses in the short term as consumers adjust to this new reality.
However, it is unlikely to have a sustained effect on consumer spend
and frequency of eating out.
We consider the medium-term as positive, with the number of tourists
increasing year on year, boosted by Expo 2020 and new tourist
attractions. We also see expansion opportunities across the GCC region.
Which are your priority markets for GCC expansion?
SAUDI ARABIA
ERITREA YEMEN
OMAN
UNITED
ARAB
EMIRATES
KUWAIT
BAHRAIN
QATAR
Riyadh
52%
26%
Khobar
Manama City
Kuwait City
Jeddah
9%
Doha
22%
13%
9%
Outside the UAE, Riyadh is the top
choice of new markets for most
operators, with over 50% being
either already established in this
market or drawing up plans to do so.
Jeddah is also of keen interest to
them. Khobar, Manama City and
Kuwait City are the other GCC cities
that are attracting attention.
Operators will do well to make
sure that brands are ready for
such expansion opportunities, and
that their potential in these newer
markets has been adequately tested.
KPMG view
MCQ
9Ready to serve
MainsConsumers are at the heart of the F&B industry. We explore their
behavior, needs and expectations.
Viva Italia!
In a place as multicultural as the
UAE, operators are constantly trying
to find cuisine offers to please the
palates of the different population
segments. Although there have
been a number of new offerings
in recent times, the top choices
of cuisine in the UAE have largely
remained consistent.
While the leading cuisines are similar
to 2016, Italian and Lebanese cuisines
Which are your preferred cuisines?
Indian
Lebanese & Levantine
Italian (includes pizza)
Key
17%
17%
13%
8%
14%
19%
7%
12%
16%
Emirati
12% 9% 11%
Other Middle Eastern or North African
11% 10% 8%
have edged Indian food in terms of
wider popularity.That said, Indian and
Lebanese are still the most popular,
first-choice cuisines.
Similar views on the cuisines were
echoed by a number of operators,
who indicated that Italian and
Lebanese have a stronger than
ever appeal with UAE consumers.
Other cuisines that are gaining
popularity include Peruvian,
Greek and Asian fusion.
1st choice
2nd choice
3rd choice
Chinese
3% 11% 11%
American (includes burgers)
4% 9%6%
How often, how much?
The trends in frequency of eating
out and average spend have broadly
remained consistent over the past
years. Lunch and dinner are the most
frequently eaten-out meals, albeit for
differing reasons. While convenience
drives eating out for lunch, dinners
are more about experience and
socializing. Similarly, consumers
tend to spend more on dinners and
brunches when compared with other
meals; breakfasts are usually light on
the consumer’s wallet.
Though not the same, takeaway and
delivery are similar choices; both are
witnessing a rise as an increasing
number of consumers prefer the
convenience of ordering in and enjoying
greater choice.We will look more closely
at this trend in the Hot bites section.
Breakfast
Breakfast
Dinner
Dinner
Brunch
Brunch
Takeaway
Takeaway
Key
Key
How frequently do you eat out?
How much are you prepared to pay?
Lunch
24%
34%
38%
4%
Dinner
23%
37%
37%
3%
Take away
23%
25%
45%
7%
Brunch
11%
49%
32%
8%
Breakfast
18%
17%
42%
23%
Brunch
Lunch
Take away
Dinner
Breakfast
69%
36%
33%
23%
47%
27%
39%
59%
56%
46%
4%
25%
8%
21%
7%
Brunch
Lunch
Breakfast
69%
36%
33%
27%
39%
4%
25%
8%
Brunch
Lunch
Take away
Dinner
Breakfast
69%
36%
33%
23%
27%
39%
59%
56%
4%
25%
8%
21%
7%
24%
34%
23%
37%
11%
8%
18%
17%
Brunch
Lunch
Dinner
Breakfast
69%
36%
33%
23%
27%
39%
59%
4%
25%
8%
21%
24%
34%
23%
37%
23%
25%
11%
49%
8%
18%
17%
Brunch
Lunch
Take away
Dinner
Breakfast
69%
36%
33%
23%
47%
27%
39%
59%
56%
46%
4%
25%
8%
21%
7%
Lunch
24%
34%
38%
4%
Dinner
23%
37%
37%
3%
Take away
23%
25%
45%
7%
Brunch
11%
49%
32%
8%
Breakfast
18%
17%
42%
23%
Less than 5 times a month
Never
More than 8 times a month
5-8 times a month
Key
Brunch
Lunch
Take away
Dinner
Breakfast
69%
36%
33%
23%
47%
27%
39%
59%
56%
46%
4%
25%
More than AED150
Less than AED50
AED51 - AED150
Key
8%
21%
7%
Lunch
24%
34%
38%
4%
Dinner
23%
37%
37%
3%
Take away
23%
7%
Brunch
11%
49%
32%
8%
Breakfast
18%
17%
42%
23%
Brunch
Lunch
Take away
Dinner
Breakfast
69%
36%
33%
23%
27%
39%
59%
56%
4%
25%
8%
21%
7%
Lunch
24%
34%
38%
4%
Dinner
23%
37%
37%
3%
Take away
23%
25%
45%
7%
Brunch
11%
49%
32%
8%
Breakfast
18%
17%
42%
23%
More than 8 times a month
Key
Brunch
Lunch
Take away
Dinner
Breakfast
69%
36%
33%
23%
47%
27%
39%
59%
56%
46%
4%
25%
Less than AED50
Key
8%
21%
7%
Lunch
24%
34%
38%
4%
Dinner
23%
37%
37%
3%
Take away
23%
25%
45%
7%
Brunch
11%
49%
32%
8%
Less than 5 times a month
Never
More than 8 times a month
5-8 times a month
Key
Brunch
Lunch
Take away
Dinner
39%
59%
56%
46%
25%
More than AE
Less than AE
AED51 - AED
Key
8%
21%
7%
Lunch
24%
34%
38%
4%
Dinner
23%
37%
37%
3%
Take away
23%
25%
45%
7%
Brunch
11%
49%
32%
8%
42%
Less than 5 times a month
Never
More than 8 times a month
5-8 times a month
Key
Brunch
Lunch
Take away
Dinner
39%
59%
56%
46%
25%
More than AE
Less than AED
AED51 - AED1
Key
8%
21%
7%
Lunch
24%
34%
38%
4%
Dinner
23%
37%
37%
3%
Take away
23%
25%
45%
7%
Brunch
11%
49%
32%
8%
Breakfast
18%
17%
42%
23%
More than 8 times a month
5-8 times a month
Key
37%
Take away
23%
25%
45%
7%
Brunch
11%
49%
32%
8%
Less than 5 times a month
Never
More than 8 times a month
5-8 times a month
Key
Lunch
Lunch
11Ready to serve
ThetypicalF&Bconsumer
intheUAE…
Has developed a
taste for eating out
Is a deal
seeker
eat out just as
much, if not more,
than last year
are influenced
by deals when
choosing a
restaurant
Demands
quality
are most attentive to
food quality and taste,
as well as service when
chosing a restaurant
Seeks healthier
options
felt there are not
enough healthy
options offered
Is becoming
more of a foodie
have visited a
food truck or food
festival in the last
6 months
Is tech-
savvy
use a food
app on their
smartphone/
tablet
Is willing to go
the extra mile
do not mind
travelling more
than 20 mins to
eat out
Wants to
be heard
Is
adventurous
provide feedback
when they are really
happy or disappointed
with their experience
like to try new
restaurants and/
or new cuisines
Order
now
Our survey highlighted some striking themes about the average
consumer. While some of these are similar to previous years’
trends, there are a few shifts in behavior and preferences: today’s
consumer is evolving with experience, is spoilt for choice and is
more discerning than ever.
13Ready to serve
I am more conscious
of what I order
I try to eat out
less frequently
I look for lower
priced restaurants
I look for coupons,
deals and promotions
Price increases don’t
affect my habits
27%
36%
25%
24%
23%
21%
14%
7%
11%
12%
Price on the rise
Operators, for their part, have tried
to maintain prices, to the extent that
it does not hurt their business and
have selectively increased prices
through a mix of menu refreshes
and price increases on specific items.
Despite such conscious efforts,
these changes have not gone
unnoticed: consumers believed they
were currently spending much more
when they eat out compared with
last year. An overwhelming 78%
of the consumers felt that it has
become more expensive to eat out
over the last 12 months.
As a consequence, they are
attempting to modify some of their
eating-out habits. They are more
aware of what they order or opt
for more affordable options. Some
consumers have also cut down on
their frequency of eating out.
What’s the big deal?
Another impact of the perceived
increase in the cost of eating out
is the rise in deal-seeking behavior
amongst consumers. Over 80% of
respondents told us that availability
of deals influences their choice of
restaurant in some way or other.
This is a marked increase from
last year when only 66% of the
consumers said that deals had
some influence on their choices.
While the availability of offers and
discounts may tempt some to try
new cuisines and restaurants, others
would only seek available deals for
their favorite cuisines or their choice
of restaurant.
Though operators acknowledge that
deals are enhancing their volumes
they are keen to move away from
deals as they do not create customer
loyalty. Moving away from deals,
however, could be tricky as has been
experienced by some operators: part
of their business comes and goes
with the deals.
24%
21%
7%
12%
Deals encourage me to try
new cuisines, restaurants
and venues
I only look for deals for
cuisines I like
I only look for deals from
restaurants I know
I only look for deals on
special occasions
I never use deals
How do price increases impact your eating out?
What is the influence of deals and promotions on your eating out?
Putting in a good word
With a multitude of venues and offerings at their
disposal, choosing which restaurant to visit is beginning
to get overwhelming for UAE consumers. This explains
why 61% seek reviews – informal recommendations or
written opinions – before making a decision.
The views of family and friends have the highest
influence on consumers’ decisions to visit a particular
restaurant. Increasingly, online reviews, via social media
platforms as well as through search and discovery apps,
play an important role in the choice of restaurant.
Considering consumers’ views on deals and promotions,
it is not surprising that the influence of deals on choice
of restaurant has witnessed an increase, ranking above
brand familiarity compared with last year.
What makes you try a new restaurant?
8 of 10consumers
felt that it has
become more
expensive to
eat out today
compared with
last year
Online ratings
Advertisements Formal food reviews
22%
10% 7%
Word of mouth
32%
Deal seeking initiatives
16% Known brands from
home and abroad
13%
Theinfluenceof
dealsonchoice
ofrestaurant
hasincreased
comparedwith
lastyear
15Ready to serve
GCCmarkets
comparedwiththeUAEFor this year’s report, we also
surveyed consumers across
the GCC region to develop an
understanding of their eating-out
habits and spending trends
Here, we compare the UAE with the other GCC
markets to provide a view on the wider GCC
opportunity for operators.
How to interpret the data?
The performance of GCC countries is expressed as
a percentage of the UAE. For example, for every
$100 spent per head in the UAE, the dollar amount
spent by consumers in each of the other GCC
countries is given. Similarly, the number of times
consumers in these countries eat out or take away
is expressed as a percentage of every 100 eating-
out occasions in the UAE.
JORDAN
Saudi Arabia
Population: 32.3 million*
Takeaway 73
71
93
62Eating out
Kuwait
Population: 4.3 million*
Takeaway 70
61
115
73Eating out
SAUDI ARABIA
IRAQ
YEMEN
OMAN
UNITED
ARAB
EMIRATES
KUWAIT
BAHRAIN
QATAR
*Population size source: http://www.imf.org/en/countries#B
Oman
Population: 4.1 million*
Takeaway 58
77
83
65Eating out
Qatar
Population: 10.1 million*
Takeaway 82
78
95
74Eatting out
Bahrain
Population: 1.3 million*
Takeaway 84
94
86
83Eating out
Qatar
Population: 2.7 million*
Takeaway 82
78
95
74Eating out
Key
Frequency
Average Spend (USD)
–	 Frequency and spend in the other GCC countries are generally lower
than in the UAE, with Bahrain and Qatar coming closest to the UAE.
(Only Kuwaiti consumers spend more on takeaways than UAE ones)
–	 The spend on takeaways is similar across the region
–	 Similar to the UAE, consumers in the other GCC markets are also eating
out as much or more compared with last year. However, a greater share
of consumers in Saudi Arabia and Oman have has considered cutting
down on their spend per meal
–	 The modification of consumer behavior is driven by various reasons:
from an alteration in family circumstances to disposable income
changes, to increased health consciousness
17Ready to serve
It is encouraging to see continued
buoyancy in demand, with
consumers eating out and
spending more than last year. The
UAE also compares favorably with
the rest of the GCC region, both in
terms of frequency of eating out
and average spend. However, with
the F&B consumer becoming more
discerning, somewhat adventurous
and certainly more deal-seeking,
operators will need to work harder to
stand out in an increasingly crowded
market, and to attract and retain
customers.
There is also remarkable
consistency in consumer feedback
that success follows quality. While
brand differentiation and marketing
are important for the business,
operators would do well to focus
on offering superlative experience
through quality food and services
to their customers, who are their
best brand ambassadors.
KPMG view
Key themes What does it mean for operators?
Cuisine
paradox
–– Consumers are consistent in their choice of cuisines.They like trying new flavors and concepts
–– But this does not necessarily move them away from their preferred cuisine, which tends to
be their home-culture cuisine. Cuisines that do well tend to reflect consumer demographics
Deals and
promotions
–– Consumers are increasingly seeking better value, and are becoming more cost-conscious
–– Operators are keen to move away from deals but not at the expense of losing business
–– Hence, they will continue to play a role in attracting footfall, even though operators can be
selective in how and what constitutes their particular deal
Customer
engagement
–– Traditional marketing techniques may no longer be sufficient to create marketing buzz
–– Social media now plays a major role, especially in customer engagement
–– Word-of-mouth and online reviews have the biggest influence on consumers’
choice of restaurant
Healthy
eating
–– Healthy eating is a small but growing segment: an increasing number of consumers prefer
more healthy food and have raised concerns around lack of healthy options
–– Operators are conscious of this need and are actively considering concepts
–– But, there is a need for a greater shift in consumer preference for operators to create
sustainable and profitable businesses around healthy food
Conquering
the GCC
–– GCC expansion is at the top of the agenda for many operators
–– The average spend and frequency of GCC consumer are generally lower than that of the
UAE consumer. This should not dampen operators’ spirits as markets such as Saudi Arabia
are significantly larger than the UAE
–– Operators should understand each market is different and their strategy and planning needs
to be nuanced appropriately. The concepts for expansion need to be selective, and they
need to set financial milestones to ensure such plans deliver
Key takeaways for operators
How do consumer insights impact operators’ business?
While a lot seems to be changing in consumer behavior
every year, there is still consistency in their message to
the operators. Time and again, consumers have said that
eating out is not just about the food itself, but also about
the quality of experience offered. And in a market that is
getting more and more crowded every year, there is merit
in sticking to the basics of offering good food and great
experience at the right price. Let us look at some of the
key themes from the consumer feedback and how they
relate to the operators.
19Ready to serve
SpecialsWe look at how various formats are faring in 2017 and how
hotel-based outlets compare with those outside hotels
Re-formatted!
Consumers demonstrate consistency
in the format choices compared with
last year: quick-service restaurants
(QSRs) and cafés continue to be the
most frequented, and casual dining
formats are also quite popular.
QSR and casual dining formats have
been popular in the UAE in recent
years, but the macro-economic
environment has accentuated the shift
in preference towards them. While
consumers are looking to eat out and
spend money, they are demanding
more value for money than ever.
Cafés, which are part of the cultural
grain of the UAE, have not performed
consistently; some operators feel that
the proliferation of café concepts has
necessitated the need for greater
differentiation. Fine dining formats,
especially the well-established names
in the market, continue to benefit
from their patronage amongst the
more upwardly mobile; for others,
it is one for special occasions.
Formats Views based on operator discussions
QSR/
fast casual
Doing well, though consumers are demanding more value
for money and better experience at sensible prices
Casual dining Continues to be popular. Wide range of cuisines means strong
competition, but well-executed concepts do really well
Fine dining Some strong performers. While some concepts have
struggled to sustain initial success, by and large fine
dining benefits from steady patronage
Cafés Increasing number of new openings and sales are
being cannibalized. Need for greater differentiation
Bars & lounges Shift from high-end experience to trendy concepts.
Deals and promotions can be crowd-pullers
Fine dining
Casual dining
Quick service/
fast food
Café
13% 13%22% 52%
23% 50% 22%
39% 9%36% 16%
35% 10%36% 19%
5%
More than three times a month 1-3 times a month Only on a special occasion Never
Customersaredemanding
morevalueformoney
thanever
How often do you eat out at these?
What’s your location?
Given the high mall density in
the UAE, it is no surprise that
restaurants and food courts
within these complexes are
the most preferred location for
eating out. Nearly 3 out of 4
consumers said they eat out
at establishments within malls
at least once a month.
For nearly half of our
respondents, hotel-based
restaurants, which are
perceived to be high-end dining
experiences, are for special
occasions. But they do have a
stable patronage, perhaps linked
to the fine-dining concepts, as
one out of six consumers visit
hotels for eating out at least
once a week.
Where are you most likely to eat?
More than three times a month
Only on a special occasion
1-3 times a month
Never
Hotel-based
9%
47%
27%
17%
Within malls
4%
18%
52%
26%
Free-standing
10%
22%
39%
29%
Food courts
9%
16%
41%
34%
Up for
a drink?
An increasing number of
consumers, 37%, visit bars
at least once a month
Shine on
Michelin star
Close to 2 out of 5
respondents who eat at
fine-dining restaurants are
influenced by the presence
of a celebrity or Michelin-
starred chef
Tipping
point
The culture of tipping service
staff seems to be picking up
in the UAE as over 30% said
they leave behind more than
10% of their check
21Ready to serve
Ready to check in?
Hotels have always been one of the
top choices for restaurant location –
especially for concepts that do well with
alcoholic beverages.They usually offer a
premium experience with a varied mix of
cuisines. As a result, some of the most
successful F&B concepts in the UAE are
located within hotels, and continue to do
well in the current market.
Compared with mall-based or free-
standing restaurants, hotel-based
F&B seems to be less frequently
visited by consumers. Less than half
of respondents visit a hotel-based
restaurant every month. However,
they are valued for their reputation,
which may be linked to that of the
property itself. In addition, the thematic
experience and tactical offers also help
in attracting consumers to these venues.
The growing popularity of brunches
are also somewhat related to
hotels and their F&B offering. Not
surprisingly, like everything else in
F&B, consumers associate great
brunch experience with the quality
and spread of food as well as service.
Availability of alcohol is not as big
a crowd puller as one would have
expected, neither for brunches nor
for other meals at hotels.
What makes you choose a hotel-based restaurant?
What makes for a great brunch experience?
Most important
reason
Second most
important reason
Third most
important reason
Availability
of alcohol
9%
6%
8%
Tactical
discounts
16%
26%
28%
Loyalty
programs
12%
22%
19%
Reputation
45%
22%
22%
Specific
offers or
themes
18%
24%
24%
Great service
21%Quality of food
27% Variety of food
25%
Availability of alcohol
3%Opportunity to socialize
with friends and family
10%Ambience
14%
In or out – are they the same?
While the F&B offer within hotels is well-established,
comparisons are often drawn between them and free-
standing businesses. Operators view the hotel-based
F&B differently – a vast majority of them view hotel-
based F&B as part of the larger F&B industry but not
necessarily as direct competition. By and large, F&B
operators view the dynamics of hotel-based F&B as
different from that of restaurants outside it and hence it
is difficult to draw parallels.
A few operators, however, see things differently.
According to them any business that is looking to win
a share of eating out, either by residents or tourists,
represents competition. Hotels have an edge over free-
standing F&B operators when it comes to tourist wallet
Operators’ views on hotel-based F&B brands/concepts
share, and they have the ability to bundle F&B offerings.
However, with tourists looking for more variety and value,
F&B operators do try to attract tourists, at least for lunch
and dinner.
There is also a emerging view in the market that
F&B business within the hotels should be left to the
specialists and hotels would do well to focus on their
core offering of the hotel rooms. This argument finds
some support in the market today as some of the hotel
properties have struggled to manage the performance
of their F&B operations. There is also an increasing
trend of hotel operators seeking to bring in F&B
specialists to manage this part of their operations or to
lease out space to known or interesting new concepts
managed by F&B operators.
Consider them part of the industry,
albeit with different dynamics
Benefit from their presence4%
48%
Do not view them as competition
26%
Consider them direct competitors
30%
MCQ
23Ready to serve
Economicsofeatingout
QSRsandFastCasuals Casual
At one end, QSRs are volume-driven businesses with
relatively low ticket-size, limited maneuverability around
costs (except rentals) and modest margins. Fine dining is
at the other extreme, which is characterized by a limited
number of transactions or table turns but high-value
checks and comparatively high margins. A number of
fine-dining concepts are licensed, which further adds
to their revenue and profit.
Margins across F&B formats vary significantly due
to several factors. While costs such as staff salaries,
incentives and rentals are primarily fixed, the
fluctuations in revenue, driven by volumes as well
as average value, results in a wide variance in cost
structures and hence, the margin outcome. Further,
direct food costs tend to vary based on the format
and cuisine being offered. Rentals are another major
cost and margin determinant, and tend to vary widely
depending on location and concept.
This is your e-receipt This is your e-receipt
Sale transaction Sale transaction
# of transactions 10k to 20k
per month
Average ticket size
(AED)
25-40
Food cost (of revenue) 25-40%
Staff cost (of revenue) 15-22%
Rentals (of revenue) 8-24%
Marketing cost (of revenue) 2-6%
Margins (of revenue) 5-12%
Revenue/staff
(AED)
12k to 15k
per month
# of transactions 4k to 12k
per month
Average ticket size
(AED)
60-120
Food cost (of revenue) 25-35%
Staff cost (of revenue) 18-30%
Rentals (of revenue) 10-26%
Marketing cost (of revenue) 2-5%
Margins (of revenue) 10-20%
Revenue/staff
(AED)
10k to 20k
per month
This year, we looked at the numbers behind the F&B business: what drives profitability
and how that differs across formats, from QSRs to fine dining.
Note:The above analysis is based on information gathered from various operators and fine-tuned for outliers.The ranges above denote the low and high values for various metrics
gathered through discussions with select operators.
(1) Including beverages
Premiumcasual Finedining
The financial viability of F&B businesses is driven by
various factors. For QSR, the focus is on driving volumes
and footfall, and managing procurement and kitchen
efficiency to maintain margins. Casual and premium-
casual dining formats need to ensure the appropriate
size of outlets and staff-per-outlet ratio according to their
brand and price positioning.
For fine dining, the key to lucrative financial outcome is
around driving the spends of their patrons, while offering
them a high-quality, consistent experience to generate
repeat business. This requires investment in staff training:
encouraging passion and knowledge for the food being
served to their guests.
This is your e-receipt This is your e-receipt
Sale transaction Sale transaction
# of transactions 5k to 10k
per month
Average ticket size
(AED)
125-200
Food cost (of revenue) 25-35%
Staff cost (of revenue) 20-35%
Rentals (of revenue) 8-20%
Marketing cost (of revenue) 2-5%
Margins (of revenue) 11-22%
Revenue/staff
(AED)
15k to 25k
per month
# of transactions 1.5k to 6.5k
per month
Average ticket size
(AED)
250-750(1)
Food cost (of revenue) 16-40%
Staff cost (of revenue) 13-45%
Rentals (of revenue) 10-22%
Marketing cost (of revenue) 1-3%
Margins (of revenue) 25-35%
Revenue/staff
(AED)
30k to 45k
per month
Consumers have been fairly
consistent in their choice of F&B
formats as compared to last year:
quick service, cafes and casual
dining remain as popular as ever.
We believe there could still be
some opportunity for operators to
increase sales and profit, despite
the challenging market conditions,
provided they are able to fine-tune
their offer to evolving consumer
preferences.
It will be important for operators
to continue to balance these
dynamics while maintaining a keen
eye on the financial outcomes.
From the review of the financial
KPMG view
benchmarks, food costs and
rentals are key elements impacting
the profitability of the business;
operators will need to find ways to
further optimize these costs and in
as many ways as they can.The path
ahead is not easy; but those who
tread cautiously but smartly will
develop a sustainable and successful
business for the future.
25Ready to serve
HotbitesWe look at how technology is a force of disruption and opportunity
for operators and how it will play in tandem with the human
element of F&B
Tapping the opportunity
Technology is re-defining the F&B industry like never
before. Consumers today are more tech-savvy than
ever; they seem to value access to information and
convenience over experience. Food and delivery apps
are based on this premise and have therefore benefited
from this increased adoption of technology. Six out of 10
consumers today already use these apps, with close to a
third using them to order food.
As more customers choose to order in instead of
eating out, restaurants are gradually opening up to
this new opportunity created by the proliferation of
technology. There are a growing number of operators
who appreciate the value of food apps: not only are most
operators already listed on these apps, but they also see
reasonable volumes of business generated through
this channel.
Order a
meal
Find a
restaurant
to try
Read a
restaurant
review
Look for a
discount
Consumers use food apps to:
Are you listed on food apps? Do you see value in them?
31% 24% 16% 15%
13%
87%
No, not
listed
Yes. listed
on food/
delivery
apps
65%
31%
Reasonable
volumes
Do not
contribute much
4%Volumes not
tracked
MCQ
Apponomics
On the face of it, it seems that food and delivery apps
are carving out their own share of the market, at the
expense of traditional eating-out business. The reality is
that consumers who have chosen the convenience of
ordering food through these apps have already made a
decision to not eat out. Food and delivery apps provide
the operators with an opportunity to still benefit from
such business by offering another option. Hence, it is
only fair for operators to consider these apps as a new,
complementary channel to the traditional model of
reaching consumers, and not a competitive threat.
‘Deliverution’
Another way in which food apps are transforming the
F&B landscape is by creating a level playing field. Before
the advent of food and delivery apps, offering delivery
options to consumers meant a sizeable investment by
the operators to create the necessary infrastructure.
Today, the apps have taken away this need, allowing
small - and mid-sized operators to offer delivery without
incurring major upfront costs. As a result, there are
a number of new delivery-only concepts that have
been introduced. Even operators with existing delivery
capabilities are looking to use third-party delivery to
manage demand spikes. As businesses adapt to the
delivery model to grow their revenue and profits, this
will create the next wave of change within the F&B
industry and a trend around ‘deliverution’ – a delivery-led
revolution in the way business is run.
From the operators’ perspective, apps present a compelling
proposition: the revenue net of food costs and charges
from the apps directly impacts their bottom line.This is
incremental revenue and profit. Apps can also be used as
a new marketing tool for operators to promote search-and-
discovery, as well as to roll out discounts and offers.
For the consumer, using apps offers savings in the form
of time and a lower food bill – as evident from the average
spend for takeaways versus eating out.They are also
saved the hassle of driving, in heavy traffic at times,
and finding parking.
What share of your business
comes through delivery orders?
4+17+22+35+22+A
Significant (<50%)
Good (25%-50%)
Moderate (10-25%)
Minimal (<10%)
None
4%
17%
22%
35%
22%
Economics of delivery from the consumers’ perspective
Cost of
eating out
Average bill for eating out Notional cost of travel
time, fuel charges, etc.
Average bill for delivery/takeaway Cost of delivery+
Cost of
delivery/
takeaway
27Ready to serve
Man versus machine
While technology is having a marked
impact on the F&B industry, the core
of the business, and its real strength,
is still its people and its food. The
quality of food and service is by far
the biggest differentiator for a F&B
business, and both of these relate to
the human element of the business.
While consumers are generally happy
with the quality of service offered
by restaurants, over a third felt there
was some room for improvement,
primarily through better staff training.
Staff training and retention top the
operators’ agenda as well, with
over 50% stating it as one of their
operational priorities for the coming
year. With current market conditions,
however, and regular attrition, they
continue to be cautious in upskilling
their staff. At the same time, with
margins under pressure, some of their
focus has moved to optimizing costs,
at times through staff rationalization,
rather than staff training.
That said, operators who invest in,
and take good care of, their staff tend
to be the same operators that have
a reputation for a positive customer
experience. Investing in staff makes
sense as it helps differentiate, which
leads to better business.
What percentage of your revenue is
invested in staff training and retention?
39+26+22+13+AKey
<1%
1-2%
2-4%
Not aware
39%
13%
26%
22%
Level of service
and staff is
generally good
Restaurants have
enough staff but they
aren’t very well trained
Most restaurants
are understaffed
and quality suffers
Investinginstaff
makessenseasit
helpsdifferentiate,
whichleadsto
betterbusiness
ThecoreoftheF&B
industryanditsreal
strengthisstillits
peopleanditsfood
Service level
61% 32% 7%
What lies ahead?
Technology will continue to be a
disruptive force within the F&B
industry and ‘deliverution’ is changing
the operating model. Operators have
been looking to leverage technology
to improve operational efficiency,
enhance customer engagement and
ultimately, grow the topline. Some
of the ways in which technology is
being deployed by the operators in
the UAE, that could redefine the way
businesses run today, include:
–– Digital kiosks for ordering and
payments are already being
deployed by F&B businesses in
the UAE. As consumers become
more tech-savvy, such kiosks
would be the way forward for F&B
businesses, especially the QSR
concepts, to reduce queues and
drive greater efficiency.
–– Restaurant reservation apps are
also beginning to penetrate the
F&B industry, especially within
the fine and premium-casual
dining formats that take advance
bookings. We believe these apps
will also gradually find their own
niche in the market.
–– An international food tech player
has recently launched a shared
remote kitchen in Dubai, which
aims at offering several cuisines
on a delivery-only basis to high-
density catchments.This concept
addresses an important pain point
for the industry around outlet rentals,
allowing for a lean business model. It
is likely to do well in the UAE.
–– Large operators with a presence
across retail and F&B have been
looking at data analytics in a big
way. The process of customer data
gathering is already under way
and gradually these efforts could
become a powerful tool for these
operators, which will allow them
to differentiate themselves in this
crowded market.
–– A few food & beverage operators
are beginning to use virtual
reality (VR) to enhance customer
experience. One such ‘wow’
experience that has already arrived
in the UAE uses 3D projection to
portray onto the diners’ table top a
charming scene of a miniature chef
preparing a meal.
Technology is redefining the
boundaries of the industry and the
business of how, when and where
people eat are being challenged
every day. While technology plays
its role in the F&B sector, the
core concepts of the industry are
unlikely to change. The business is
essentially about the quality of food
and experience offered, along with
superlative service and ambiance.
Businesses that get this right will
ride the wave.
Technology is proving to have a disruptive
influence on the traditional F&B business
model and the adoption of food and delivery
apps is creating a new channel for business
and customer engagement for the operators.
‘Deliverution’ will certainly change the way F&B
businesses work today, perhaps more rapidly
than one would have thought.
We, therefore, believe that businesses that
are early adopters of technology will position
themselves well for success as the market
evolves. We also feel that there is a need for
operators as well as food tech companies
to work more closely and with greater
transparency to achieve a win-win outcome.
At the same time, it will be important to
keep a watchful eye on – and invest in – the
human element. People have, and will always
be, the greatest strength of F&B businesses
and it is critical to invest in their development
and training to offer the best quality to
customers. F&B businesses will also benefit
from temporary and part-time staffing, a key
characteristic of F&B businesses globally.
Technologywillcontinueto
beadisruptiveforcewithinthe
F&Bindustryand‘deliverution’will
changetheoperatingmodel
KPMG view
Ready to serve 29
OrdersummaryKey findings and conclusions
While demand continues to be robust, most Food & Beverage businesses are
faced with challenging times, primarily on account of oversupply and increased
competition. The medium-term outlook for the sector continues to be positive.1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
While the F&B consumer is becoming more discerning, adventurous and deal
seeking, quality is still the key to attract and keep them coming back.
With the current market challenges, operators have set their sights on
opportunities in the GCC region. This will require meticulous and thorough
planning on their part.
The economics of the business have changed in current times and a strong control
over costs, while managing customer experience, will be critical to achieving the
right financial outcome.
Technology is disrupting the industry more so today than in the past, and in a
number of different ways. ‘Deliverution’ (delivery via apps) is set to change the
business model of a number of operators in the coming years.The great strength
of the F&B business, however, will still be the quality of its people and great food.
OurrecipeWe explain who we interviewed
– both consumers and industry executives
Ready to serve reflects the viewpoints of close to 800
respondents living across the UAE. The online survey was
conducted in the second quarter of 2017.
For the first time in the KPMG series
of Food & Beverage reports, we
also interviewed consumers living
in the other GCC states in order
to understand consumer behavior
and preferences in these countries
and compare and contrast with
our UAE findings. We covered 350
respondents across Riyadh, Jeddah,
Khobar (Saudi Arabia); Muscat
(Oman); Doha (Qatar); Kuwait City
(Kuwait) and Manama City (Bahrain).
As with last year’s report, we spoke
to key decision makers at over 20
UAE F&B businesses, representing
more than 100 brands and over
1,500 outlets, and one of the UAE’s
predominant food tech players.
Using a combination of open and
closed questions in wide-ranging
interviews held in the second and third
quarters of 2017, we tested hypotheses
suggested by our consumer survey
and elicited views of the current and
future state of the market.
62+22+12+2+1+1+A
1+40+37+15+7+A
38+23+19+8+7+5+A
35+28+18+10+9+A
Key
Key
Where do you live?
How old are you?
Where are you from?
What’s your annual income (AEDk)?
Key
Key
Dubai
Abu Dhabi
Sharjah
Ajman
Fujairah
Ras Al
Khaiman
Less than 21yrs
21-30yrs
31-40yrs
41-50yrs
Older than 50yrs
South Asian expats
Arab expats
European expats
Otherexpats
Asian expats- Others
UAE Nationals
<AED150k
AED151k-AED250k
AED251-AED400k
AED401k-600k
>AED600k
22%
40%
38%
35%
2%
19%
9%
12%
15%
6%
7%
10%
5%
1%1%
1%
8%
18%
62%
38%
23%
28%
31Ready to serve
To help support and grow F&B businesses
KPMGservices
Tax
–– VAT impact assessments
and preparation
–– Tax structuring
–– International tax
–– M&A tax solutions
Operations
–– Internal audit
–– Operational reviews
–– Compliance reviews
–– Store audits
–– Development of SOPs
–– Enterprise Risk Management
Accounting and finance
–– Audits and reviews of financial
statements
–– Agreed upon procedures
–– Compilations of financial
statements
–– Outsourced payroll, bookkeeping
and accounting services
–– Attestation services
Strategy
–– Business planning
–– New market entry
–– Strategic transformation
–– Consumer insight
–– Go-to-market planning
Deals
–– Valuation services
–– Financial due diligence
–– Fund raising
–– Financial restructuring
–– Partner search
–– Negotiations and closure
–– Sell-side M&A
IT and cyber security
–– Cyber security
–– IT system reviews
–– System selection and
implementation
–– Sourcing advisory
Digital
–– Digital strategy
–– Customer experience
transformation
Data & Analytics
–– Process mining
–– Data quality & data governance
–– Predicting demand for services
& choosing the right location
–– Product ranging &
replenishment forecasting
–– Executive reporting
33A taste of the future
Contactus
The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we
endeavor to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will
continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the
particular situation. © 2017 KPMG Lower Gulf Limited and KPMG LLP, operating in the UAE, member rms of the KPMG network of independent member
rms af liated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International. Designed byThe Design Studio UAE
Publication name: Ready to serve
Publication number: J1320
Publication date: November 2017
UAE
Anurag Bajpai
Partner | Head of Retail
T: +971 50 553 6117
E: abajpai@kpmg.com
UAE
Vikrant Rohatgi
Director
T: +971 56 683 3401
E: vrohatgi@kpmg.com
UAE
Vikas Papriwal
Partner | Head of Markets
T: +971 44 030 350
E: VikasPapriwal@kpmg.com
Contactus:
Follow us on:
www.kpmg.com/ae
www.kpmg.com/om
@kpmg_lowergulf
kpmg-mesa

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2017 UAE Food and Beverage report: Ready to serve

  • 1. Short, engaging headlineShort description Sectors and themes Date 20XX Brief summary of what the document is about kpmg.com/ae kpmg.com/om
  • 2.
  • 3. Menu From the chef’s table Foreword by Anurag Bajpai, Partner and Head of Retail, KPMG Lower Gulf 3 20 26 30 32 Starters We examine the current state of the UAE F&B market and understand the interplay of demand and supply dynamics Specials We look at how various formats are faring in 2017 and examine how hotel-based outlets compare with those outside hotels Hot bites We look at how technology is a force of both disruption and opportunity for operators and how it will play in tandem with the human element of F&B Order summary Key findings and conclusions Our recipe We explain who we interviewed – both consumers and industry executives Back $0.00 10 Mains Consumers are at the heart of the F&B industry. We explore their behavior, needs and expectations 4 MCQ–Multiple Choice Question - total does not add to 100% Operator views Consumer views
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  • 5. In a market that is somewhat under-researched and at times misunderstood, KPMG has been leading the initiative to provide operators with market and consumer insights. Over the past three years, the interest and support our report has generated with the operators has been extremely encouraging. Our 2017 report builds on the two previous reports in many ways. Similar to last year, the views of about 800 consumers across the UAE have helped us understand consumer behavior and preferences, which we have compared against insights from previous years, to identify evolving issues as well as, in certain cases, consistencies in choice. Further, for the first time, we surveyed close to 350 respondents across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region to compare and contrast their behavior and spending patterns with those of UAE consumers. As with last year, we also interviewed a number of leading F&B operators who voluntarily provided information which has helped us understand the micro-economics and dynamics of the UAE F&B market from their perspective. As an important consequence, in this year’s report, we have analyzed key financial benchmarks across the different F&B formats, a comparison, which we believe, will be useful for the industry at large and will pave the path to greater transparency in the future. Last but not the least, we separately assessed the role of the hotel-based offerings in the wider F&B industry, obtaining views from both operators and consumers. The central message of this year’s report is that F&B demand in the UAE continues to be robust, with consumers generally going out more and spending more, both compared with last year and compared with the rest of the Gulf. Business for the operators, however, has been challenging, with the majority struggling to achieve like-for-like growth in the face of ample supply and stiff competition. This situation is likely to continue for the next year or so but is likely to improve from 2019 and beyond, in the run-up to Expo 2020, and as the UAE further strengthens its position as a global tourist destination with newer attractions and offerings. In this challenging context, we see operators striving to stay relevant by re-examining their business models, brand strategies and cost structures, while maintaining high standards of quality for the customer. At the same time, operators are seeking opportunities in the other GCC states, which can present untapped potential for established regional and international brands. The other broad themes in this year’s report encompass consumers’ evolution in terms of eating-out and spending patterns; the implications for operators’ product and service offer, including strategy, marketing and engagement issues; and the growing adoption of technology and its disruption of the traditional F&B business model. We are most grateful to the consumers who took part in the survey. A special word of thanks too to all the operators who agreed to meet us and discuss their views on the market – your feedback has been invaluable for this report. I hope you find the report useful and would be delighted to hear your feedback. Anurag Bajpai Partner | Head of Retail KPMG Lower Gulf This report is the third in KPMG’s annual series which examines the Food & Beverage industry in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) Fromthechef’stable– Foreword 3Ready to serve
  • 6. StartersWe examine the current state of the UAE F&B market and understand the interplay between demand and supply dynamics Over the years, the UAE has established itself as a dominant Food & Beverage (F&B) destination in the Middle East. The emirates in general – and Dubai in particular – continue to attract international and home-grown F&B brands. The country is also recognized as the location of choice for international retailers as well as F&B operators looking to enter the Middle Eastern market. The restaurant footprint of Dubai, in particular, measured as number of restaurants/F&B outlets per million population, compares well with some of the established global F&B markets such as Paris, London and New York. In fact, if overnight visitors are considered, Dubai has more outlets per million than New York. This underlines Dubai’s positioning as a global F&B destination. Restaurants footprint – Dubai vs major global cities Dubai New York Paris London Number of restaurants per million of population Number of restaurants per million of resident and overnight vistors population 2,968 3,115 501 404 3,514 3,005 837 623 Sources: Global Destination Cities Index, 2016, Mastercard; Dubai Retail Review, Core Savills, 2017 ; The World’s Cities in 2016, United Nations; City food authority websites
  • 7. Things heating up… Against this background, however, these are challenging times for the industry – more so today than in the past. Most operators have witnessed declining or flat same- store sales over the last year.The fact that this comes on the back of a similarly challenging year for sales in 2016 only makes for a tough environment where it is difficult to maintain the optimism witnessed in the past decade. How has your F&B business performed over the last 12 months? What is your growth outlook for the next 12 months? Like-for-like sales decline 65% Expecting further decline 44% Operators, by and large, are concerned that there are no immediate signs of revival and the outlook for 2018 continues to remain subdued;  around 70% of the operators expect the market to remain flat or to decline over the next twelve months. No change 13%Like-for-like sales growth 22% Expect growth 30% Status quo 26% 5Ready to serve
  • 8. 81% 71% 81% 71% Extra servings The current sentiment in the F&B industry does not seem to be on account of consumer demand, which continues to be robust. The majority of consumers are still eating out as much or more, and spending as much or more compared with last year. Over 40% claim to be spending more than last year on eating out or ordering in, although they are more conscious of their spend than they were in 2016. So, if market demand is still as robust as it was in 2016, why are the operators facing challenges in growth? The answer perhaps lies in the supply-side dynamics. According to estimates from JLL Research, retail supply in Dubai and Abu Dhabi is expected to increase from 6 million sqm in Sources: Euromonitor, World Bank; JLL Research, Dubai and Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Overview – Q2 2017; The Successful Integration of Food & Beverage within Retail Real Estate? Demand vs supply growth 2016 2019 CAGR (%) 2016 to 7.5 million sqm gross leasable area (GLA) by 2019 and will outpace the growth of the resident and tourist population in the UAE.This should be a cause for concern in a market such as the UAE, which already has high mall density. Further, in recent times, F&B has garnered around 25% of the retail space for new openings.This is expected to increase further with the upcoming developments. A combination of these factors could cause a rapid increase in F&B supply with questions around demand stimulus, resulting in increased competition and less room for manoeuver for existing operators. Are spending the same amount or more per meal in comparison to last year UAE Residents & Tourists (mn) 30.9 35.4 4.6% Retail supply in Dubai and Abu Dhabi (GLA in mn sqm) 6.0 7.7% 7.5 Eat out as much or more than in 2016
  • 9. Too hot to handle With tough market conditions, a number of operators are working to address the immediate challenges as well as plan for longer-term opportunities. They recognize that they have limited control over the market forces at play but are gearing up to respond in the best manner possible. Portfolios are under review to identify the winning brands as well as the struggling ones; future plans are anchored around those brands and create concepts that have the best chances of succeeding in the market. A similar scrutiny is being undertaken for the outlets, albeit at more frequent intervals than in the past. Rising costs are another concern for operators. While keeping a close eye on the topline, they are increasingly seeking ways to operate leaner but more efficient businesses and every opportunity to optimize operations and reduce costs is being explored. Conscious that they need to achieve growth, operators are looking at expansion, but more cautiously than in the past. They are also selectively placing bets on new brands but only after rigorous market tests and meticulous planning have been conducted. The impending VAT implementation from 1 January, 2018 will impact all consumer-driven businesses, including F&B. While the effect is expected in numerous ways, the single most important impact will be on the menu prices. Operators today are faced with the dilemma of whether or not to pass on the tax to the consumers and if so, to what extent. Given the current state of the market and the price-sensitive nature of consumers, operators are wary of increasing menu prices as it is likely to hurt sales. At the same time, they are reluctant to absorb VAT as it would further reduce already suppressed margins. Some operators are looking to move early and use a combination of menu refreshes, price increases on selective items and combo offers to prepare themselves while maintaining the consumer’s perception of value. Others prefer to wait and watch before deciding on their course of action. But, by and large, operators agree that this will have a one time impact on their business in 2018. Over time, one expects the consumers to adjust to the new reality and any cutback on consumption is likely to return to normal levels. In the meanwhile, operators will likely need to work even harder to manage their performance. +17+26+35+43+57+13+35+39+43+57 What are your most pressing concerns over the next 12 months? What are the key areas of cost optimization for your business? Competition Increasing cost New regulations Reduction in turnover Lack of demand sitmulus Other overheads Staff costs Rentals Food costs Marketing and promotions 57% 43% 35% 26% 17% 57% 43% 39% 35% 13% The VAT factor MCQ MCQ 7Ready to serve
  • 10. Whetting the appetite In spite of the challenging market conditions, there is a shared sense of optimism amongst operators when it comes to the medium-term outlook. Expo 2020 as well as other global events in the region are likely to provide reasons for cheer as the emirates continue to evolve as a tourist destination. By putting their house in order today, operators are preparing themselves to benefit from improved market conditions. Most operators are also looking to make the required investments to achieve growth – in part, to improve their operations, but also to cautiously increase their brand and outlet footprints in the UAE. More significantly, operators are looking to expand into other international markets, particularly in the rest of the GCC. It seems most of the other GCC markets have room for more international brands, and untapped opportunity present a compelling case for investment by UAE operators. Where are you looking to invest in the medium term? Network expansion for existing brands 52% New brands and franchises 43%New markets/ geographies 57% Operational improvement 30% Growth Decline Flat market 82% 9% 9% What is your medium-term outlook for the F&B sector? MCQ
  • 11. The UAE F&B market has proven to be one with enduring appeal, which can compare its size of offer, variety and standards favorably with some of the more established F&B destinations of the world. Although the demand outlook is robust, there is ample supply and competition is stiff. Individual operators are currently being challenged to grow like-for-like revenues. In the near-term, operators will need to proceed cautiously while striving for greater efficiencies, to be selective and meticulous in pricing and promotional offers, location selection and new brand launches. The introduction of VAT may have a marginal impact on the F&B businesses in the short term as consumers adjust to this new reality. However, it is unlikely to have a sustained effect on consumer spend and frequency of eating out. We consider the medium-term as positive, with the number of tourists increasing year on year, boosted by Expo 2020 and new tourist attractions. We also see expansion opportunities across the GCC region. Which are your priority markets for GCC expansion? SAUDI ARABIA ERITREA YEMEN OMAN UNITED ARAB EMIRATES KUWAIT BAHRAIN QATAR Riyadh 52% 26% Khobar Manama City Kuwait City Jeddah 9% Doha 22% 13% 9% Outside the UAE, Riyadh is the top choice of new markets for most operators, with over 50% being either already established in this market or drawing up plans to do so. Jeddah is also of keen interest to them. Khobar, Manama City and Kuwait City are the other GCC cities that are attracting attention. Operators will do well to make sure that brands are ready for such expansion opportunities, and that their potential in these newer markets has been adequately tested. KPMG view MCQ 9Ready to serve
  • 12. MainsConsumers are at the heart of the F&B industry. We explore their behavior, needs and expectations. Viva Italia! In a place as multicultural as the UAE, operators are constantly trying to find cuisine offers to please the palates of the different population segments. Although there have been a number of new offerings in recent times, the top choices of cuisine in the UAE have largely remained consistent. While the leading cuisines are similar to 2016, Italian and Lebanese cuisines Which are your preferred cuisines? Indian Lebanese & Levantine Italian (includes pizza) Key 17% 17% 13% 8% 14% 19% 7% 12% 16% Emirati 12% 9% 11% Other Middle Eastern or North African 11% 10% 8% have edged Indian food in terms of wider popularity.That said, Indian and Lebanese are still the most popular, first-choice cuisines. Similar views on the cuisines were echoed by a number of operators, who indicated that Italian and Lebanese have a stronger than ever appeal with UAE consumers. Other cuisines that are gaining popularity include Peruvian, Greek and Asian fusion. 1st choice 2nd choice 3rd choice Chinese 3% 11% 11% American (includes burgers) 4% 9%6%
  • 13. How often, how much? The trends in frequency of eating out and average spend have broadly remained consistent over the past years. Lunch and dinner are the most frequently eaten-out meals, albeit for differing reasons. While convenience drives eating out for lunch, dinners are more about experience and socializing. Similarly, consumers tend to spend more on dinners and brunches when compared with other meals; breakfasts are usually light on the consumer’s wallet. Though not the same, takeaway and delivery are similar choices; both are witnessing a rise as an increasing number of consumers prefer the convenience of ordering in and enjoying greater choice.We will look more closely at this trend in the Hot bites section. Breakfast Breakfast Dinner Dinner Brunch Brunch Takeaway Takeaway Key Key How frequently do you eat out? How much are you prepared to pay? Lunch 24% 34% 38% 4% Dinner 23% 37% 37% 3% Take away 23% 25% 45% 7% Brunch 11% 49% 32% 8% Breakfast 18% 17% 42% 23% Brunch Lunch Take away Dinner Breakfast 69% 36% 33% 23% 47% 27% 39% 59% 56% 46% 4% 25% 8% 21% 7% Brunch Lunch Breakfast 69% 36% 33% 27% 39% 4% 25% 8% Brunch Lunch Take away Dinner Breakfast 69% 36% 33% 23% 27% 39% 59% 56% 4% 25% 8% 21% 7% 24% 34% 23% 37% 11% 8% 18% 17% Brunch Lunch Dinner Breakfast 69% 36% 33% 23% 27% 39% 59% 4% 25% 8% 21% 24% 34% 23% 37% 23% 25% 11% 49% 8% 18% 17% Brunch Lunch Take away Dinner Breakfast 69% 36% 33% 23% 47% 27% 39% 59% 56% 46% 4% 25% 8% 21% 7% Lunch 24% 34% 38% 4% Dinner 23% 37% 37% 3% Take away 23% 25% 45% 7% Brunch 11% 49% 32% 8% Breakfast 18% 17% 42% 23% Less than 5 times a month Never More than 8 times a month 5-8 times a month Key Brunch Lunch Take away Dinner Breakfast 69% 36% 33% 23% 47% 27% 39% 59% 56% 46% 4% 25% More than AED150 Less than AED50 AED51 - AED150 Key 8% 21% 7% Lunch 24% 34% 38% 4% Dinner 23% 37% 37% 3% Take away 23% 7% Brunch 11% 49% 32% 8% Breakfast 18% 17% 42% 23% Brunch Lunch Take away Dinner Breakfast 69% 36% 33% 23% 27% 39% 59% 56% 4% 25% 8% 21% 7% Lunch 24% 34% 38% 4% Dinner 23% 37% 37% 3% Take away 23% 25% 45% 7% Brunch 11% 49% 32% 8% Breakfast 18% 17% 42% 23% More than 8 times a month Key Brunch Lunch Take away Dinner Breakfast 69% 36% 33% 23% 47% 27% 39% 59% 56% 46% 4% 25% Less than AED50 Key 8% 21% 7% Lunch 24% 34% 38% 4% Dinner 23% 37% 37% 3% Take away 23% 25% 45% 7% Brunch 11% 49% 32% 8% Less than 5 times a month Never More than 8 times a month 5-8 times a month Key Brunch Lunch Take away Dinner 39% 59% 56% 46% 25% More than AE Less than AE AED51 - AED Key 8% 21% 7% Lunch 24% 34% 38% 4% Dinner 23% 37% 37% 3% Take away 23% 25% 45% 7% Brunch 11% 49% 32% 8% 42% Less than 5 times a month Never More than 8 times a month 5-8 times a month Key Brunch Lunch Take away Dinner 39% 59% 56% 46% 25% More than AE Less than AED AED51 - AED1 Key 8% 21% 7% Lunch 24% 34% 38% 4% Dinner 23% 37% 37% 3% Take away 23% 25% 45% 7% Brunch 11% 49% 32% 8% Breakfast 18% 17% 42% 23% More than 8 times a month 5-8 times a month Key 37% Take away 23% 25% 45% 7% Brunch 11% 49% 32% 8% Less than 5 times a month Never More than 8 times a month 5-8 times a month Key Lunch Lunch 11Ready to serve
  • 14. ThetypicalF&Bconsumer intheUAE… Has developed a taste for eating out Is a deal seeker eat out just as much, if not more, than last year are influenced by deals when choosing a restaurant Demands quality are most attentive to food quality and taste, as well as service when chosing a restaurant Seeks healthier options felt there are not enough healthy options offered Is becoming more of a foodie have visited a food truck or food festival in the last 6 months
  • 15. Is tech- savvy use a food app on their smartphone/ tablet Is willing to go the extra mile do not mind travelling more than 20 mins to eat out Wants to be heard Is adventurous provide feedback when they are really happy or disappointed with their experience like to try new restaurants and/ or new cuisines Order now Our survey highlighted some striking themes about the average consumer. While some of these are similar to previous years’ trends, there are a few shifts in behavior and preferences: today’s consumer is evolving with experience, is spoilt for choice and is more discerning than ever. 13Ready to serve
  • 16. I am more conscious of what I order I try to eat out less frequently I look for lower priced restaurants I look for coupons, deals and promotions Price increases don’t affect my habits 27% 36% 25% 24% 23% 21% 14% 7% 11% 12% Price on the rise Operators, for their part, have tried to maintain prices, to the extent that it does not hurt their business and have selectively increased prices through a mix of menu refreshes and price increases on specific items. Despite such conscious efforts, these changes have not gone unnoticed: consumers believed they were currently spending much more when they eat out compared with last year. An overwhelming 78% of the consumers felt that it has become more expensive to eat out over the last 12 months. As a consequence, they are attempting to modify some of their eating-out habits. They are more aware of what they order or opt for more affordable options. Some consumers have also cut down on their frequency of eating out. What’s the big deal? Another impact of the perceived increase in the cost of eating out is the rise in deal-seeking behavior amongst consumers. Over 80% of respondents told us that availability of deals influences their choice of restaurant in some way or other. This is a marked increase from last year when only 66% of the consumers said that deals had some influence on their choices. While the availability of offers and discounts may tempt some to try new cuisines and restaurants, others would only seek available deals for their favorite cuisines or their choice of restaurant. Though operators acknowledge that deals are enhancing their volumes they are keen to move away from deals as they do not create customer loyalty. Moving away from deals, however, could be tricky as has been experienced by some operators: part of their business comes and goes with the deals. 24% 21% 7% 12% Deals encourage me to try new cuisines, restaurants and venues I only look for deals for cuisines I like I only look for deals from restaurants I know I only look for deals on special occasions I never use deals How do price increases impact your eating out? What is the influence of deals and promotions on your eating out?
  • 17. Putting in a good word With a multitude of venues and offerings at their disposal, choosing which restaurant to visit is beginning to get overwhelming for UAE consumers. This explains why 61% seek reviews – informal recommendations or written opinions – before making a decision. The views of family and friends have the highest influence on consumers’ decisions to visit a particular restaurant. Increasingly, online reviews, via social media platforms as well as through search and discovery apps, play an important role in the choice of restaurant. Considering consumers’ views on deals and promotions, it is not surprising that the influence of deals on choice of restaurant has witnessed an increase, ranking above brand familiarity compared with last year. What makes you try a new restaurant? 8 of 10consumers felt that it has become more expensive to eat out today compared with last year Online ratings Advertisements Formal food reviews 22% 10% 7% Word of mouth 32% Deal seeking initiatives 16% Known brands from home and abroad 13% Theinfluenceof dealsonchoice ofrestaurant hasincreased comparedwith lastyear 15Ready to serve
  • 18. GCCmarkets comparedwiththeUAEFor this year’s report, we also surveyed consumers across the GCC region to develop an understanding of their eating-out habits and spending trends Here, we compare the UAE with the other GCC markets to provide a view on the wider GCC opportunity for operators. How to interpret the data? The performance of GCC countries is expressed as a percentage of the UAE. For example, for every $100 spent per head in the UAE, the dollar amount spent by consumers in each of the other GCC countries is given. Similarly, the number of times consumers in these countries eat out or take away is expressed as a percentage of every 100 eating- out occasions in the UAE. JORDAN Saudi Arabia Population: 32.3 million* Takeaway 73 71 93 62Eating out Kuwait Population: 4.3 million* Takeaway 70 61 115 73Eating out
  • 19. SAUDI ARABIA IRAQ YEMEN OMAN UNITED ARAB EMIRATES KUWAIT BAHRAIN QATAR *Population size source: http://www.imf.org/en/countries#B Oman Population: 4.1 million* Takeaway 58 77 83 65Eating out Qatar Population: 10.1 million* Takeaway 82 78 95 74Eatting out Bahrain Population: 1.3 million* Takeaway 84 94 86 83Eating out Qatar Population: 2.7 million* Takeaway 82 78 95 74Eating out Key Frequency Average Spend (USD) – Frequency and spend in the other GCC countries are generally lower than in the UAE, with Bahrain and Qatar coming closest to the UAE. (Only Kuwaiti consumers spend more on takeaways than UAE ones) – The spend on takeaways is similar across the region – Similar to the UAE, consumers in the other GCC markets are also eating out as much or more compared with last year. However, a greater share of consumers in Saudi Arabia and Oman have has considered cutting down on their spend per meal – The modification of consumer behavior is driven by various reasons: from an alteration in family circumstances to disposable income changes, to increased health consciousness 17Ready to serve
  • 20.
  • 21. It is encouraging to see continued buoyancy in demand, with consumers eating out and spending more than last year. The UAE also compares favorably with the rest of the GCC region, both in terms of frequency of eating out and average spend. However, with the F&B consumer becoming more discerning, somewhat adventurous and certainly more deal-seeking, operators will need to work harder to stand out in an increasingly crowded market, and to attract and retain customers. There is also remarkable consistency in consumer feedback that success follows quality. While brand differentiation and marketing are important for the business, operators would do well to focus on offering superlative experience through quality food and services to their customers, who are their best brand ambassadors. KPMG view Key themes What does it mean for operators? Cuisine paradox –– Consumers are consistent in their choice of cuisines.They like trying new flavors and concepts –– But this does not necessarily move them away from their preferred cuisine, which tends to be their home-culture cuisine. Cuisines that do well tend to reflect consumer demographics Deals and promotions –– Consumers are increasingly seeking better value, and are becoming more cost-conscious –– Operators are keen to move away from deals but not at the expense of losing business –– Hence, they will continue to play a role in attracting footfall, even though operators can be selective in how and what constitutes their particular deal Customer engagement –– Traditional marketing techniques may no longer be sufficient to create marketing buzz –– Social media now plays a major role, especially in customer engagement –– Word-of-mouth and online reviews have the biggest influence on consumers’ choice of restaurant Healthy eating –– Healthy eating is a small but growing segment: an increasing number of consumers prefer more healthy food and have raised concerns around lack of healthy options –– Operators are conscious of this need and are actively considering concepts –– But, there is a need for a greater shift in consumer preference for operators to create sustainable and profitable businesses around healthy food Conquering the GCC –– GCC expansion is at the top of the agenda for many operators –– The average spend and frequency of GCC consumer are generally lower than that of the UAE consumer. This should not dampen operators’ spirits as markets such as Saudi Arabia are significantly larger than the UAE –– Operators should understand each market is different and their strategy and planning needs to be nuanced appropriately. The concepts for expansion need to be selective, and they need to set financial milestones to ensure such plans deliver Key takeaways for operators How do consumer insights impact operators’ business? While a lot seems to be changing in consumer behavior every year, there is still consistency in their message to the operators. Time and again, consumers have said that eating out is not just about the food itself, but also about the quality of experience offered. And in a market that is getting more and more crowded every year, there is merit in sticking to the basics of offering good food and great experience at the right price. Let us look at some of the key themes from the consumer feedback and how they relate to the operators. 19Ready to serve
  • 22. SpecialsWe look at how various formats are faring in 2017 and how hotel-based outlets compare with those outside hotels Re-formatted! Consumers demonstrate consistency in the format choices compared with last year: quick-service restaurants (QSRs) and cafés continue to be the most frequented, and casual dining formats are also quite popular. QSR and casual dining formats have been popular in the UAE in recent years, but the macro-economic environment has accentuated the shift in preference towards them. While consumers are looking to eat out and spend money, they are demanding more value for money than ever. Cafés, which are part of the cultural grain of the UAE, have not performed consistently; some operators feel that the proliferation of café concepts has necessitated the need for greater differentiation. Fine dining formats, especially the well-established names in the market, continue to benefit from their patronage amongst the more upwardly mobile; for others, it is one for special occasions. Formats Views based on operator discussions QSR/ fast casual Doing well, though consumers are demanding more value for money and better experience at sensible prices Casual dining Continues to be popular. Wide range of cuisines means strong competition, but well-executed concepts do really well Fine dining Some strong performers. While some concepts have struggled to sustain initial success, by and large fine dining benefits from steady patronage Cafés Increasing number of new openings and sales are being cannibalized. Need for greater differentiation Bars & lounges Shift from high-end experience to trendy concepts. Deals and promotions can be crowd-pullers Fine dining Casual dining Quick service/ fast food Café 13% 13%22% 52% 23% 50% 22% 39% 9%36% 16% 35% 10%36% 19% 5% More than three times a month 1-3 times a month Only on a special occasion Never Customersaredemanding morevalueformoney thanever How often do you eat out at these?
  • 23. What’s your location? Given the high mall density in the UAE, it is no surprise that restaurants and food courts within these complexes are the most preferred location for eating out. Nearly 3 out of 4 consumers said they eat out at establishments within malls at least once a month. For nearly half of our respondents, hotel-based restaurants, which are perceived to be high-end dining experiences, are for special occasions. But they do have a stable patronage, perhaps linked to the fine-dining concepts, as one out of six consumers visit hotels for eating out at least once a week. Where are you most likely to eat? More than three times a month Only on a special occasion 1-3 times a month Never Hotel-based 9% 47% 27% 17% Within malls 4% 18% 52% 26% Free-standing 10% 22% 39% 29% Food courts 9% 16% 41% 34% Up for a drink? An increasing number of consumers, 37%, visit bars at least once a month Shine on Michelin star Close to 2 out of 5 respondents who eat at fine-dining restaurants are influenced by the presence of a celebrity or Michelin- starred chef Tipping point The culture of tipping service staff seems to be picking up in the UAE as over 30% said they leave behind more than 10% of their check 21Ready to serve
  • 24. Ready to check in? Hotels have always been one of the top choices for restaurant location – especially for concepts that do well with alcoholic beverages.They usually offer a premium experience with a varied mix of cuisines. As a result, some of the most successful F&B concepts in the UAE are located within hotels, and continue to do well in the current market. Compared with mall-based or free- standing restaurants, hotel-based F&B seems to be less frequently visited by consumers. Less than half of respondents visit a hotel-based restaurant every month. However, they are valued for their reputation, which may be linked to that of the property itself. In addition, the thematic experience and tactical offers also help in attracting consumers to these venues. The growing popularity of brunches are also somewhat related to hotels and their F&B offering. Not surprisingly, like everything else in F&B, consumers associate great brunch experience with the quality and spread of food as well as service. Availability of alcohol is not as big a crowd puller as one would have expected, neither for brunches nor for other meals at hotels. What makes you choose a hotel-based restaurant? What makes for a great brunch experience? Most important reason Second most important reason Third most important reason Availability of alcohol 9% 6% 8% Tactical discounts 16% 26% 28% Loyalty programs 12% 22% 19% Reputation 45% 22% 22% Specific offers or themes 18% 24% 24% Great service 21%Quality of food 27% Variety of food 25% Availability of alcohol 3%Opportunity to socialize with friends and family 10%Ambience 14%
  • 25. In or out – are they the same? While the F&B offer within hotels is well-established, comparisons are often drawn between them and free- standing businesses. Operators view the hotel-based F&B differently – a vast majority of them view hotel- based F&B as part of the larger F&B industry but not necessarily as direct competition. By and large, F&B operators view the dynamics of hotel-based F&B as different from that of restaurants outside it and hence it is difficult to draw parallels. A few operators, however, see things differently. According to them any business that is looking to win a share of eating out, either by residents or tourists, represents competition. Hotels have an edge over free- standing F&B operators when it comes to tourist wallet Operators’ views on hotel-based F&B brands/concepts share, and they have the ability to bundle F&B offerings. However, with tourists looking for more variety and value, F&B operators do try to attract tourists, at least for lunch and dinner. There is also a emerging view in the market that F&B business within the hotels should be left to the specialists and hotels would do well to focus on their core offering of the hotel rooms. This argument finds some support in the market today as some of the hotel properties have struggled to manage the performance of their F&B operations. There is also an increasing trend of hotel operators seeking to bring in F&B specialists to manage this part of their operations or to lease out space to known or interesting new concepts managed by F&B operators. Consider them part of the industry, albeit with different dynamics Benefit from their presence4% 48% Do not view them as competition 26% Consider them direct competitors 30% MCQ 23Ready to serve
  • 26. Economicsofeatingout QSRsandFastCasuals Casual At one end, QSRs are volume-driven businesses with relatively low ticket-size, limited maneuverability around costs (except rentals) and modest margins. Fine dining is at the other extreme, which is characterized by a limited number of transactions or table turns but high-value checks and comparatively high margins. A number of fine-dining concepts are licensed, which further adds to their revenue and profit. Margins across F&B formats vary significantly due to several factors. While costs such as staff salaries, incentives and rentals are primarily fixed, the fluctuations in revenue, driven by volumes as well as average value, results in a wide variance in cost structures and hence, the margin outcome. Further, direct food costs tend to vary based on the format and cuisine being offered. Rentals are another major cost and margin determinant, and tend to vary widely depending on location and concept. This is your e-receipt This is your e-receipt Sale transaction Sale transaction # of transactions 10k to 20k per month Average ticket size (AED) 25-40 Food cost (of revenue) 25-40% Staff cost (of revenue) 15-22% Rentals (of revenue) 8-24% Marketing cost (of revenue) 2-6% Margins (of revenue) 5-12% Revenue/staff (AED) 12k to 15k per month # of transactions 4k to 12k per month Average ticket size (AED) 60-120 Food cost (of revenue) 25-35% Staff cost (of revenue) 18-30% Rentals (of revenue) 10-26% Marketing cost (of revenue) 2-5% Margins (of revenue) 10-20% Revenue/staff (AED) 10k to 20k per month This year, we looked at the numbers behind the F&B business: what drives profitability and how that differs across formats, from QSRs to fine dining. Note:The above analysis is based on information gathered from various operators and fine-tuned for outliers.The ranges above denote the low and high values for various metrics gathered through discussions with select operators.
  • 27. (1) Including beverages Premiumcasual Finedining The financial viability of F&B businesses is driven by various factors. For QSR, the focus is on driving volumes and footfall, and managing procurement and kitchen efficiency to maintain margins. Casual and premium- casual dining formats need to ensure the appropriate size of outlets and staff-per-outlet ratio according to their brand and price positioning. For fine dining, the key to lucrative financial outcome is around driving the spends of their patrons, while offering them a high-quality, consistent experience to generate repeat business. This requires investment in staff training: encouraging passion and knowledge for the food being served to their guests. This is your e-receipt This is your e-receipt Sale transaction Sale transaction # of transactions 5k to 10k per month Average ticket size (AED) 125-200 Food cost (of revenue) 25-35% Staff cost (of revenue) 20-35% Rentals (of revenue) 8-20% Marketing cost (of revenue) 2-5% Margins (of revenue) 11-22% Revenue/staff (AED) 15k to 25k per month # of transactions 1.5k to 6.5k per month Average ticket size (AED) 250-750(1) Food cost (of revenue) 16-40% Staff cost (of revenue) 13-45% Rentals (of revenue) 10-22% Marketing cost (of revenue) 1-3% Margins (of revenue) 25-35% Revenue/staff (AED) 30k to 45k per month Consumers have been fairly consistent in their choice of F&B formats as compared to last year: quick service, cafes and casual dining remain as popular as ever. We believe there could still be some opportunity for operators to increase sales and profit, despite the challenging market conditions, provided they are able to fine-tune their offer to evolving consumer preferences. It will be important for operators to continue to balance these dynamics while maintaining a keen eye on the financial outcomes. From the review of the financial KPMG view benchmarks, food costs and rentals are key elements impacting the profitability of the business; operators will need to find ways to further optimize these costs and in as many ways as they can.The path ahead is not easy; but those who tread cautiously but smartly will develop a sustainable and successful business for the future. 25Ready to serve
  • 28. HotbitesWe look at how technology is a force of disruption and opportunity for operators and how it will play in tandem with the human element of F&B Tapping the opportunity Technology is re-defining the F&B industry like never before. Consumers today are more tech-savvy than ever; they seem to value access to information and convenience over experience. Food and delivery apps are based on this premise and have therefore benefited from this increased adoption of technology. Six out of 10 consumers today already use these apps, with close to a third using them to order food. As more customers choose to order in instead of eating out, restaurants are gradually opening up to this new opportunity created by the proliferation of technology. There are a growing number of operators who appreciate the value of food apps: not only are most operators already listed on these apps, but they also see reasonable volumes of business generated through this channel. Order a meal Find a restaurant to try Read a restaurant review Look for a discount Consumers use food apps to: Are you listed on food apps? Do you see value in them? 31% 24% 16% 15% 13% 87% No, not listed Yes. listed on food/ delivery apps 65% 31% Reasonable volumes Do not contribute much 4%Volumes not tracked MCQ
  • 29. Apponomics On the face of it, it seems that food and delivery apps are carving out their own share of the market, at the expense of traditional eating-out business. The reality is that consumers who have chosen the convenience of ordering food through these apps have already made a decision to not eat out. Food and delivery apps provide the operators with an opportunity to still benefit from such business by offering another option. Hence, it is only fair for operators to consider these apps as a new, complementary channel to the traditional model of reaching consumers, and not a competitive threat. ‘Deliverution’ Another way in which food apps are transforming the F&B landscape is by creating a level playing field. Before the advent of food and delivery apps, offering delivery options to consumers meant a sizeable investment by the operators to create the necessary infrastructure. Today, the apps have taken away this need, allowing small - and mid-sized operators to offer delivery without incurring major upfront costs. As a result, there are a number of new delivery-only concepts that have been introduced. Even operators with existing delivery capabilities are looking to use third-party delivery to manage demand spikes. As businesses adapt to the delivery model to grow their revenue and profits, this will create the next wave of change within the F&B industry and a trend around ‘deliverution’ – a delivery-led revolution in the way business is run. From the operators’ perspective, apps present a compelling proposition: the revenue net of food costs and charges from the apps directly impacts their bottom line.This is incremental revenue and profit. Apps can also be used as a new marketing tool for operators to promote search-and- discovery, as well as to roll out discounts and offers. For the consumer, using apps offers savings in the form of time and a lower food bill – as evident from the average spend for takeaways versus eating out.They are also saved the hassle of driving, in heavy traffic at times, and finding parking. What share of your business comes through delivery orders? 4+17+22+35+22+A Significant (<50%) Good (25%-50%) Moderate (10-25%) Minimal (<10%) None 4% 17% 22% 35% 22% Economics of delivery from the consumers’ perspective Cost of eating out Average bill for eating out Notional cost of travel time, fuel charges, etc. Average bill for delivery/takeaway Cost of delivery+ Cost of delivery/ takeaway 27Ready to serve
  • 30. Man versus machine While technology is having a marked impact on the F&B industry, the core of the business, and its real strength, is still its people and its food. The quality of food and service is by far the biggest differentiator for a F&B business, and both of these relate to the human element of the business. While consumers are generally happy with the quality of service offered by restaurants, over a third felt there was some room for improvement, primarily through better staff training. Staff training and retention top the operators’ agenda as well, with over 50% stating it as one of their operational priorities for the coming year. With current market conditions, however, and regular attrition, they continue to be cautious in upskilling their staff. At the same time, with margins under pressure, some of their focus has moved to optimizing costs, at times through staff rationalization, rather than staff training. That said, operators who invest in, and take good care of, their staff tend to be the same operators that have a reputation for a positive customer experience. Investing in staff makes sense as it helps differentiate, which leads to better business. What percentage of your revenue is invested in staff training and retention? 39+26+22+13+AKey <1% 1-2% 2-4% Not aware 39% 13% 26% 22% Level of service and staff is generally good Restaurants have enough staff but they aren’t very well trained Most restaurants are understaffed and quality suffers Investinginstaff makessenseasit helpsdifferentiate, whichleadsto betterbusiness ThecoreoftheF&B industryanditsreal strengthisstillits peopleanditsfood Service level 61% 32% 7%
  • 31. What lies ahead? Technology will continue to be a disruptive force within the F&B industry and ‘deliverution’ is changing the operating model. Operators have been looking to leverage technology to improve operational efficiency, enhance customer engagement and ultimately, grow the topline. Some of the ways in which technology is being deployed by the operators in the UAE, that could redefine the way businesses run today, include: –– Digital kiosks for ordering and payments are already being deployed by F&B businesses in the UAE. As consumers become more tech-savvy, such kiosks would be the way forward for F&B businesses, especially the QSR concepts, to reduce queues and drive greater efficiency. –– Restaurant reservation apps are also beginning to penetrate the F&B industry, especially within the fine and premium-casual dining formats that take advance bookings. We believe these apps will also gradually find their own niche in the market. –– An international food tech player has recently launched a shared remote kitchen in Dubai, which aims at offering several cuisines on a delivery-only basis to high- density catchments.This concept addresses an important pain point for the industry around outlet rentals, allowing for a lean business model. It is likely to do well in the UAE. –– Large operators with a presence across retail and F&B have been looking at data analytics in a big way. The process of customer data gathering is already under way and gradually these efforts could become a powerful tool for these operators, which will allow them to differentiate themselves in this crowded market. –– A few food & beverage operators are beginning to use virtual reality (VR) to enhance customer experience. One such ‘wow’ experience that has already arrived in the UAE uses 3D projection to portray onto the diners’ table top a charming scene of a miniature chef preparing a meal. Technology is redefining the boundaries of the industry and the business of how, when and where people eat are being challenged every day. While technology plays its role in the F&B sector, the core concepts of the industry are unlikely to change. The business is essentially about the quality of food and experience offered, along with superlative service and ambiance. Businesses that get this right will ride the wave. Technology is proving to have a disruptive influence on the traditional F&B business model and the adoption of food and delivery apps is creating a new channel for business and customer engagement for the operators. ‘Deliverution’ will certainly change the way F&B businesses work today, perhaps more rapidly than one would have thought. We, therefore, believe that businesses that are early adopters of technology will position themselves well for success as the market evolves. We also feel that there is a need for operators as well as food tech companies to work more closely and with greater transparency to achieve a win-win outcome. At the same time, it will be important to keep a watchful eye on – and invest in – the human element. People have, and will always be, the greatest strength of F&B businesses and it is critical to invest in their development and training to offer the best quality to customers. F&B businesses will also benefit from temporary and part-time staffing, a key characteristic of F&B businesses globally. Technologywillcontinueto beadisruptiveforcewithinthe F&Bindustryand‘deliverution’will changetheoperatingmodel KPMG view Ready to serve 29
  • 32. OrdersummaryKey findings and conclusions While demand continues to be robust, most Food & Beverage businesses are faced with challenging times, primarily on account of oversupply and increased competition. The medium-term outlook for the sector continues to be positive.1. 2. 3. 4. 5. While the F&B consumer is becoming more discerning, adventurous and deal seeking, quality is still the key to attract and keep them coming back. With the current market challenges, operators have set their sights on opportunities in the GCC region. This will require meticulous and thorough planning on their part. The economics of the business have changed in current times and a strong control over costs, while managing customer experience, will be critical to achieving the right financial outcome. Technology is disrupting the industry more so today than in the past, and in a number of different ways. ‘Deliverution’ (delivery via apps) is set to change the business model of a number of operators in the coming years.The great strength of the F&B business, however, will still be the quality of its people and great food.
  • 33. OurrecipeWe explain who we interviewed – both consumers and industry executives Ready to serve reflects the viewpoints of close to 800 respondents living across the UAE. The online survey was conducted in the second quarter of 2017. For the first time in the KPMG series of Food & Beverage reports, we also interviewed consumers living in the other GCC states in order to understand consumer behavior and preferences in these countries and compare and contrast with our UAE findings. We covered 350 respondents across Riyadh, Jeddah, Khobar (Saudi Arabia); Muscat (Oman); Doha (Qatar); Kuwait City (Kuwait) and Manama City (Bahrain). As with last year’s report, we spoke to key decision makers at over 20 UAE F&B businesses, representing more than 100 brands and over 1,500 outlets, and one of the UAE’s predominant food tech players. Using a combination of open and closed questions in wide-ranging interviews held in the second and third quarters of 2017, we tested hypotheses suggested by our consumer survey and elicited views of the current and future state of the market. 62+22+12+2+1+1+A 1+40+37+15+7+A 38+23+19+8+7+5+A 35+28+18+10+9+A Key Key Where do you live? How old are you? Where are you from? What’s your annual income (AEDk)? Key Key Dubai Abu Dhabi Sharjah Ajman Fujairah Ras Al Khaiman Less than 21yrs 21-30yrs 31-40yrs 41-50yrs Older than 50yrs South Asian expats Arab expats European expats Otherexpats Asian expats- Others UAE Nationals <AED150k AED151k-AED250k AED251-AED400k AED401k-600k >AED600k 22% 40% 38% 35% 2% 19% 9% 12% 15% 6% 7% 10% 5% 1%1% 1% 8% 18% 62% 38% 23% 28% 31Ready to serve
  • 34. To help support and grow F&B businesses KPMGservices Tax –– VAT impact assessments and preparation –– Tax structuring –– International tax –– M&A tax solutions Operations –– Internal audit –– Operational reviews –– Compliance reviews –– Store audits –– Development of SOPs –– Enterprise Risk Management Accounting and finance –– Audits and reviews of financial statements –– Agreed upon procedures –– Compilations of financial statements –– Outsourced payroll, bookkeeping and accounting services –– Attestation services Strategy –– Business planning –– New market entry –– Strategic transformation –– Consumer insight –– Go-to-market planning Deals –– Valuation services –– Financial due diligence –– Fund raising –– Financial restructuring –– Partner search –– Negotiations and closure –– Sell-side M&A IT and cyber security –– Cyber security –– IT system reviews –– System selection and implementation –– Sourcing advisory Digital –– Digital strategy –– Customer experience transformation Data & Analytics –– Process mining –– Data quality & data governance –– Predicting demand for services & choosing the right location –– Product ranging & replenishment forecasting –– Executive reporting
  • 35. 33A taste of the future
  • 36. Contactus The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we endeavor to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation. © 2017 KPMG Lower Gulf Limited and KPMG LLP, operating in the UAE, member rms of the KPMG network of independent member rms af liated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International. Designed byThe Design Studio UAE Publication name: Ready to serve Publication number: J1320 Publication date: November 2017 UAE Anurag Bajpai Partner | Head of Retail T: +971 50 553 6117 E: abajpai@kpmg.com UAE Vikrant Rohatgi Director T: +971 56 683 3401 E: vrohatgi@kpmg.com UAE Vikas Papriwal Partner | Head of Markets T: +971 44 030 350 E: VikasPapriwal@kpmg.com Contactus: Follow us on: www.kpmg.com/ae www.kpmg.com/om @kpmg_lowergulf kpmg-mesa