I am part of a sports analytics team at the University of Florida, and in November of 2016, we competed in Vince Gennaro’s Diamond Dollar Case Competition at Columbia University. The prompt was to find the three most valuable position player assets in baseball. Using R programming and Excel sheets, we were able to forecast future player production, predict future salary figures for these players, and incorporate risk into our analysis of each player to determine our top three.
La Paz Mundial Comienzo en el útero MaternoRina Rebolledo
Proyecto sobre educación sexual en la etapa de educación inicia. Dicha presentacion tiene la finalidad de fomentar los nacimientos respetados, la crianza respetuosa y lactancia materna como alimentación que enriquece a la futuras generaciones que estan en pleno desarrollo en su inteligencia sexual. Y que los procesos humanos fisiológicos se ven respetados y dignificado como es el NACIMIENTO.
Drug, big-box and grocery stores are providing patient management for people with chronic diseases, vaccinations, screenings and medical care — all once the domain of doctors and hospitals. And they’re providing these services at times convenient to consumers and often at lower prices, two things sought-after by today’s time-strapped and price-conscious consumers with high deductible health plans who are shopping for care as never before. This rivalry between nontraditional providers, innovative health care companies and established health care institutions is transforming health care and access to health services. Hear how to successfully compete in the new health economy.
Relations to salary and team contribution in NBA ( 17-18 Season )상연 최
- Will a person with a lot of salary contribute to a team win?
- Using Selenium ( Python Lib ) scrap the stat & Salary Data
- Simple data visualization
La Paz Mundial Comienzo en el útero MaternoRina Rebolledo
Proyecto sobre educación sexual en la etapa de educación inicia. Dicha presentacion tiene la finalidad de fomentar los nacimientos respetados, la crianza respetuosa y lactancia materna como alimentación que enriquece a la futuras generaciones que estan en pleno desarrollo en su inteligencia sexual. Y que los procesos humanos fisiológicos se ven respetados y dignificado como es el NACIMIENTO.
Drug, big-box and grocery stores are providing patient management for people with chronic diseases, vaccinations, screenings and medical care — all once the domain of doctors and hospitals. And they’re providing these services at times convenient to consumers and often at lower prices, two things sought-after by today’s time-strapped and price-conscious consumers with high deductible health plans who are shopping for care as never before. This rivalry between nontraditional providers, innovative health care companies and established health care institutions is transforming health care and access to health services. Hear how to successfully compete in the new health economy.
Relations to salary and team contribution in NBA ( 17-18 Season )상연 최
- Will a person with a lot of salary contribute to a team win?
- Using Selenium ( Python Lib ) scrap the stat & Salary Data
- Simple data visualization
The focal point of this paper is an attempt to examine the relationship between the percentage-based contractual salaries (log(salary)) [hereto referred throughout as “LSalary”] of qualifying 2013 Major League Baseball players and the following statistics: age, age squared, games, home-runs, slugs, hits, at bats, and on base percentage. As there are many factors that are contributory towards LSalary, those players who are designated as pitchers have been omitted from the data set as they have dissimilar qualities that obscure the intended data set.
With this restricted data set, the sample consists of four hundred forty seven observations across thirty teams within the 2013 season. Utilizing the aforementioned restricted data collection, we have regressed LSalary, age, age squared, games, home-runs, slugs, hits, at bats, on base percentage, strikeouts, times caught stolen, stolen bases and runs. The empirical results suggest that age, age squared, games, home-runs, slugs, hits, at bats, and on base percentage are arguably significant drivers in determining a player’s LSalary.
Who are the 3 Most Valuable Pitchers in MLB? A Pitcher Projection and Valuati...Sean McCluskey
2nd Place Winners, 2014 SABR Diamond Dollars Case Competition
My team and I designed a pitcher projection and valuation model that allowed us to put a dollar value on the surplus generated by each of MLB's top pitchers.
Projection: Our model was built on accurate identification of age-specific comparable players, whose career trajectories informed a series of monte carlo simulations that forecast each individual component of FIP 10,000 times. These independent events were automatically combined into 10,000 instances of FIP, which we then translated into WAR.
Valuation: Using a $6M/year value for WAR that was provided in the case prompt, and taking inflation, injury risk premiums and projection uncertainty into account through inflation and discount rates, we proceeded to build a valuation model that computed the present-day surplus (or deficit) represented by that pitcher's performance through each year of team control.
Sabermetrics and Scouting: We then took our stack-ranked list of top pitchers and applied a detailed series of sabermetric and qualitative filters, to seek either confirmation or denial of the model's results. Our study included grades on pitching mechanics, probabilities of DL-visits in 2014, analyses of makeup and the pitchers' unique pitching characteristics.
Examples of the features we uncovered include Jose Fernandez's 55% zone rate, Chris Sale's unique horizontal movement (3 of the 10 largest horizontal movements in our sample), and Yu Darvish's 3 of the top 7 whiff rate pitches in our sample.
Extended slide deck of presentation given at 2016 Cascadia Symposium on Statistics in Sports. In this study I create valuation models to answer the question "What is a draft pick worth?" and look at how those values have changed over time. I use those values to assess the payoff of specific picks, evaluate the performance of teams in the draft, and understand recent decisions to bypass the draft altogether.
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Chelsea's Marc Cucurella is one of only three Premier League players included in Spain's preliminary Euro Cup 2024 squad as the Tottenham star with 11 goal contributions is overlooked
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Results for LtCol Thomas Jasper, Marine, for the 2010 Marine Corps Marathon held October 31, 2010, marking the 35th annual marathon known as "The People's Marathon."
An impressive finishing time of 3:46:39, placing 324th in the Male division ages 40-44.
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Narrated Business Proposal for the Philadelphia Eaglescamrynascott12
Slide 1:
Welcome, and thank you for joining me today. We will explore a strategic proposal to enhance parking and traffic management at Lincoln Financial Field, aiming to improve the overall fan experience and operational efficiency. This comprehensive plan addresses existing challenges and leverages innovative solutions to create a smoother and more enjoyable experience for our fans.
Slide 2:
Picture this: It’s a crisp fall afternoon, driving towards Lincoln Financial Field. The atmosphere is electric—tailgaters grilling, fans in Eagles jerseys creating a sea of green and white. The air buzzes with camaraderie and anticipation. You park, join the throng, and make your way to your seat. The stadium roars as the Eagles take the field, sending chills down your spine. Each play is a thrilling dance of strategy and skill. This is what being an Eagles fan is all about—the joy, the pride, and the shared experience.
Slide 3:
But now, the day is marred by frustration. The excitement wanes as you struggle to find a parking spot. The congestion is overwhelming, and tempers flare. The delays mean you miss the pre-game excitement, the tailgate camaraderie, and even the opening kick-off. After the game, the joy of victory or the shared solace of defeat is overshadowed by the stress of navigating out of the parking lot. The gridlock, honking horns, and endless waiting drain the energy and joy from what should have been an unforgettable experience.
Our proposal aims to eliminate these frustrations, ensuring that from arrival to departure, your experience is extraordinary. Efficient parking and smooth traffic flow are key to maintaining the high spirits and excitement that make game days special.
Slide 4:
The Philadelphia Eagles are not just a premier NFL team; they are an integral part of the community, hosting games, concerts, and various events at Lincoln Financial Field. Our state-of-the-art stadium is designed to provide a world-class experience for every attendee. Whether it's the thrill of game day, the excitement of a live concert, or the camaraderie of community events, we pride ourselves on delivering a fan-first experience and maintaining operational excellence across all our activities. Our commitment to our fans and community is unwavering, and we continuously strive to enhance every aspect of their experience, ensuring they leave with unforgettable memories.
Slide 5:
Recent trends show an increasing demand for efficient event logistics. Our customer feedback has consistently highlighted frustrations with parking and traffic. Surveys indicate that a significant number of fans are dissatisfied with the current parking situation. Comparisons with other venues like Citizens Bank Park and Wells Fargo Center reveal that we lag in terms of parking efficiency and convenience. These insights underscore the urgent need for innovation to meet and exceed fan expectations.
Slide 6:
As we delve into the intricacies of our operations, one glaring issue emer
2. Table of Contents
1.Preliminary Process – Find the original pool of players
2.Statistical Analysis – Projecting Future Performance
3.MarketValue – Comparable players; predict future contracts
4.Risks – Identify potential pitfalls
5.Identification – Five MostValuable Position Players
6.Case Study – Analysis of the final cut
7.The FinalThree
3. Preliminary Process
• Step 1: Identify the original pool of players
– Position playerWAR leaders
– Future and recent top prospects
• Step 2: Build a database of 20 possible players
– Name,Team, Age, Seasons Played, Games Played,WAR
over last three seasons (if applicable)
5. Projecting Future WAR
R2
= .91
Database of players
from 1986 - 2016
WAR = -3.9352 + 36*(age) - .0062*(age2
)
6. Statistical Analysis
Apply the percentage change
from year to year to each
player
Use the average of the last
two seasons of WAR for each
player
7. Example: Nolan Arenado
Age at 2017 Opening Day: 25
2015 WAR: 4.5
2016 WAR: 5.2
(5.2 + 4.5) / 2 = 4.9 WAR
2017 projection: 4.9 * (slope change from “24 to 25”)
= 4.9 * (1.049073) = 5.1 WAR
2018 projection: 5.1 * (slope change from “25 to “26”)
= 5.1 * (1.036205) = 5.3 WAR
Process repeated through the 2021 season
8. Converting WAR Into Dollars
$7 million per marginal win in 2017
5% increase each year.
Nolan Arenado:
–2017: 5.1 predicted WAR * ($7,000,000) = $35,616,028.35
–2018: 5.3 predicted WAR * ($7,350,000) = $38,750,766.66
–Continue through 2021
–Add all five dollar figures to calculate total 5-year future value
in terms of WAR
–Over next 5 seasons: 26.7 WAR and $207,276,574.20 Production
Value
9. Projecting Future Salary
Step 1: Identify Comparable Players
Comparable Player Qualifications:
-Same Position
-Within 3 years of age at time of breakout/peak
- Peak/Breakout seasons within 1.5 WAR
10. League Projected Salary Increase
Similar to the Qualifying
Offer, we used the average
of the top 125 contracts
over the last 10 years
We then created a linear
model to predict future
increases
• R2
value of .96
• Avg. Salary = -1.14B +
573,300*(year)
11. Example: Manny Machado
Comparable Players: Pablo Sandoval and Kyle Seager
• Machado entered 1st
year of arbitration after 6.8 WAR
season
• Sandoval entered 1st
year of arbitration after 5.3 WAR
season
• Seager entered 1st
year of arbitration after 5.4 WAR
season
• Machado (24), Sandoval (25), Seager (27)
• All play third base
12. Projecting Arbitration
• Use the comparable
player salaries during
similar career points
• Calculate the
percentage of the QO
that players made in
those years
• Adjust the current
player’s salary to
reflect the percent
change
14. Final Adjustment
If Machado’s production was equal to Seager or Sandoval, we
would expect Machado to receive same percentage of the QO.
In order to adjust for the difference in production of the current
player, we then multiplied the projected salary by the percent
difference in WAR over the three previous seasons.
21. Kris Bryant – Cubs 3B/OF
TOTAL SURPLUS VALUE:
$258,096,445.52
22. Corey Seager – Dodgers SS
TOTAL SURPLUS VALUE:
$311,915,858.51
23. Sample Size Analysis
A balancing act between younger and older players
Younger – can be paid at a discount, but, less of a track record
Older – command more money, but, proven track record
Variance formula
Mean = (career WAR) / (career seasons played)
Divided by (# of games played) – 1
24. Fielding Profile
Player UZR DRS
Lindor 20.8 17
Betts 17.8 32
Bryant 5.3 (3B) / 6.2 (OF) 9
Trout -0.3 6
Seager 10.6 0
The players that derive the most value from their defense are
Francisco Lindor and Mookie Betts.
FanGraphs uses UZR as its main component of WAR, and all five
players are within 20 runs of each other.
Assuming the value of one win is 10 runs, the most WAR defense
would likely account for is two wins.
25. Defensive Metric Variability
According to the FanGraphs glossary, there is a high
level of variability in UZR. For example, UZR is
given a five-run error range in either direction.
Therefore, a UZR of +10 could be either +5 or +15.
Because FanGraphs’ WAR rating uses defensive
metrics that are less exact to evaluate, we believe
that offensive performance should be weighted
more heavily than defense in terms of predicting
future performance.
26. 2016 Player Profiles
Player Soft % Med % Hard % wRC+ wOBA
Trout 12.0 46.3 41.7 171 .418
Bryant 17.0 42.7 40.3 149 .396
Seager 12.7 47.6 39.7 137 .372
Betts 17.4 49.2 33.4 135 .379
Lindor 17.2 55.2 27.5 112 .340
Mike Trout has the best wRC+, Hard Hit %, and wOBA
There seems to be a slight correlation between
Hard Hit % and wRC+
27. Accounting for Changes in the Game
In late May, ESPN reported that MLB’s Competition
Committee agreed to raise the strike zone.
The Strike Zone is to be moved to the top of the hitter’s
knees from “the hollow beneath the kneecap” currently.
With fastball velocity continuing to increase, we believe
that this will result in more pitchers challenging hitters
up in the zone.
The “bottom of the zone” will no longer belong to
pitchers.
28.
29.
30.
31.
32.
33. Tying It All Together
We believe that Corey Seager and Kris Bryant are going
to be the most positively affected by an upward shift in
the strike zone.
Francisco Lindor is the player most likely to be
negatively affected by the strike zone shift.
We do not believe Mike Trout will be particularly
affected in any drastic way due to his five full seasons
of high-level performance. If pitchers have not figured
him out by now, there is no indication that they will.
34. Mike Trout
#3
1. TOTAL SURPLUS VALUE:
$236,765,429.42
2. Four years of Team Control
3. Best Hard Hit %, wOBA, and
wRC+
4. Projected 50.7 WAR between
2017-2021
35. 1. TOTAL SURPLUS VALUE:
$258,096,445.52
2. Five years of Team Control
3. 2nd
best Hard Hit % and 2nd
highest wRC+
4. Projected 41.4 WAR from
2017-2021
Kris Bryant
#2
36. 1. TOTAL SURPLUS VALUE:
$311,915,858.51
2. Five years of Team Control
3. 3rd
best Hard Hit % and 3rd
highest wRC+
4. Projected 47.2 WAR from
2017-2021
Corey Seager
#1