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Demystifying Combined
Assurance
Creating a Well-rounded Risk Profile to Assess the
Adequacy of your Assurance Coverage
Grant Fisher
General Manager: Group Audit and Risk Management, Bridgestone South Africa
5 March 2015
Outline
1 Introduction
2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk
3 Your Key Role Players in Combined Assurance
4 How Many Lines of Defense are Enough?
5 Mapping Assurance Providers to Risks, Controls, and
Objectives
6 Gap Analysis: Strengthening the Risk Net
7 Discussion Time and Case Study
2
1 Introduction
If you can't explain
it simply, you don't
understand it well
enough.
Albert Einstein
Read more at
http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/quotes/a/alberteins383803.html#
kzhdHCJcMuFL7BS1.99
3
1 Introduction (cont.)
4
I am convinced that a
simple profit-seeking
business will never
thrive, but a business
that contributes to its
society and country will
be forever profitable.
Shojiro Ishibashi,
Founder
The essence of sustainability
60 years before the first King report,
Bridgestone was promoting principles of good
governance (even though the term did not yet
exist).
1 Introduction (cont.)
5
The World of Assurance and Good Governance
In the past 20 years, we have seen a fundamental change in the role of
business in society. This is particularly meaningful in the context of a new
South Africa.
King I (1994)
• Introduced the
concept of
good
governance
• Focused on
the role of the
Board
• Recommended
Affirmative
Action
King II (2002)
• Promoted the
roles of
Internal Audit
and Risk
Management
• Stressed the
importance of
sound financial
reporting
• Recommended
“ non-financial
reporting”
King III (2009)
• Promoted the
roles of
Internal Audit
and Risk
Management
further
• Recommended
Integrated
Sustainability
Reporting
• Introduced the
concept of
Combined
Assurance
King IV(20??)
• Will take the
concept of
Combined
Assurance
further...
1 Introduction (cont.)
6
Who’s involved?
Aspect Western Capitalism A New Compassionate Capitalism
Time horizon Short-term focus Considers short, medium and long-term
Value Creation Returns to Shareholders Value for Stakeholders
Mission Profit motive above all else Concern for people, planet, and profit
Annual Reporting Financial Reporting Integrated Sustainability Reporting
Internal Audit
Risk
Forensics
Transformation
Governance
Secretarial
Legal
Insurance
Compliance
CSR
SQE
Security
The World of Assurance and Good Governance (cont.)
What has changed?
1 Introduction (cont.)
7
Why Combined Assurance?
It started with the King Report on
Governance (King III):
The audit committee should ensure that
a combined assurance model is applied
to provide a co-ordinated approach to all
assurance activities
Potential Benefits
• Focus on key risks
• Identify gaps
• Reduce operational disruptions
• Track remedial actions
• Improve reporting to the Board
• Support Integrated Report
1 Introduction (cont.)
8
Combined Assurance means better
Risk Management and better
Governance*
* but only if we want it to...
Picture from www.edf.azPicture from www.mypharmacare.ca
2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk
9
Ask yourself the following:
• Do we know what our risks are?
• Do we really know what our risks
are?
• What are our biggest risks, and how
do we measure them?
• How do we get our assurance?
• Who are we really relying on?
• If we know our risks, why do bad things still happen?
• Do we just tick the boxes?
(Think about Enron. ABIL. Are they that different to us?)
http://jeffreyhill.typepad.com/english/2009/03/cartoon-fiddling-while-
rome-burns.html
2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.)
10
How we do it at Bridgestone South Africa
Risk Profile
Risk
Forum &
Internal
Audit
Incident
Reports
Global
Risks
• Incorporate global risks and
classification systems
• Learn from local and global
incidents, accidents and disasters
• Lead risk forum and conduct
interviews (cross-functional team)
• Incorporate internal audit
experience
• Consider other methods
(PESTEL, SWOT, etc.)
• Leverage data analytics (planned)
2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.)
11
Elements of our Risk Framework
RISK
FRAMEWORK
POLICIES AND
STANDARDS
RISK
MANAGEMENT
(NORMAL
CONDITIONS)
BUSINESS
CONTINUITY
MANAGEMENT
INCIDENT
REPORTING
CRISIS
MANAGEMENT
• Appetite
• Tolerance
• Capacity
• Risk Criteria
• Classification
• All Risk
Categories
• Incidents
• Accidents
• Emergencies
• Emergency
Planning
• Task Force
Establishment
• COSO
ERM
• Risk
Register
2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.)
12
Categories of our Top 10 Risks
• Regulatory Compliance
Our first financial risk is at #17 (Bad Debt), so then:
• Is Internal Audit really risk-based?
• Who is giving us the real assurance?
It cannot be the traditional world of financial audit.
(And it doesn’t help to get assurance on the wrong risks!)
Category Qty
Regulatory Compliance 2
Emergency Planning 1
Transformation 2
Operations 1
Quality 3
Ethics 1
2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.)
13
Establishing your Strategic Position (where do you fit in?)
Supply Chain [CORE] Administrative [SUPPORT]
Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR)
Enterprise Risk Management (ERM)
Planning
Purchasing
Production
Logistics
Sales
Marketing
Finance
HR
IT
SQE
Internal Audit
Compliance
2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.)
14
What are we trying to achieve?
22 CSR Focus Points Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) Requirements
Fundamental CSR Activities
• Stable Profits
• Compliance
• Business Continuity
• Stakeholder Communication
Economic Impact
• Financial Results (for shareholders)
• Impact on other Stakeholders
- Staff compensation
- Employee benefits
- Community investments
- Donations
- Returns to providers of capital
- Tax paid
- Local procurement
- Local recruitment
- Infrastructure development
CSR through Business Activities
• Quality Products and Services
• Technological Innovation
• Customer Research
• Fair Business Practice
• Fair and CSR Procurement
• Timely Disclosure
CSR through Environmental Activities
• Conservation through Products
• Conservation through Supply Chain
• Social Activities
Environmental Impact (materials, energy, water, etc.)
CSR from a Social Standpoint
• Job Satisfaction
• Workplace Safety
• Diversity
• Human Rights
• Social Activities and Volunteering
Social Impact
• Labour Practices
• Human Rights
• Society
• Product Responsibility
2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.)
15
What do we care about?
The way we look at value has changed. And new accounting standards reflect this.
[For accounting value to reflect economic value, goodwill must be stated at Fair Market Value (IFRS)]
Now accountants have to look to the future to
establish value
And internal auditors have to look to the future to
establish risk
Yet neither has a crystal ball...
Picture from www.wired.com
Value Perspective Definition Time Frame
Economic NPV (Expected Future Income Flows) Future
Accounting Assets – Liabilities Past
2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.)
16
Value theory of Risk
Anything that can destroy Value (or potential value)
Activities undertaken to protect Value
Co-ordinating of activities to protect Value
Or
Integrating and aligning assurance processes in a company to maximise risk and
governance oversight and control efficiencies, and optimise overall assurance to
the audit and risk committee, considering the company’s risk appetite. (King III)
Or
“Internal due diligence on an ongoing basis” (IRMSA)
2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.)
17
It takes a King to Govern
One of the best
Governance Codes
in the World,
And yet...
2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.)
18
Corruption Perceptions Index 2013
South Africa’s biggest risk! [IRMSA Risk Report 2015]
P.S. What’s Botswana got that we haven’t?
2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.)
19
Another definition of Risk
Any obstacle to getting what we want
If you’re not
thinking CSR,
you’re not
thinking risk
2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.)
20
Know your Universe
HR
IR
Pay
Morale
Skills
Legal
Compliance
EthicsContracts
Security
Assets
Visitors
Crime
Staff
Finance
Reporting
Fraud
LiquidityTreasury
Tax
IT
DRP
Data
Systems
Software
Wellness
Hygiene
Disease
Disaster
Nature
Fatality
Safety
Quality
Product
Service
Environment
Business
Economy
Supplier
ProductionPlanning
Market
2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.)
21
Develop some detail (but don’t get lost in it)
#
Broad Risk
Category
Sub-category
Risk
#
Risk Name
Key
Person
1 Human Capital
Skills Maintenance 30 Skills Shortage
Jane
Industrial Relations - Unfair Dismissal
Labour Market Activity 23 Labour Unrest
Compensation
Framework
29 Staff Compensation
Employee Relations
- Employee Scandal
47
Family
Relationships
Recruitment 45
Fraudulent
Applications
Staff Morale
14 Restructuring
- Division of Labour
2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.)
22
Document thoroughly [extract from risk register]
P.S. What’s missing? Causes or contributing factors (there should be a control for every cause)
2014Rank
Risk
#
Date Risk Name Risk Description
MaptoCSRObjective
BSJRiskCategory
COSORiskCategory
Likelihood(Pre-control)
Impact(Pre-control)
InherentRisk
Existing Controls
and/or Mitigation
Measures
Likelihood(Post-control)
Impact(Post-control)
ResidualRisk
RiskResponse
Action Plan
Actionbydate
PersonResponsible
RiskOwner
BCPIndicator
Progress to Plan /
Follow-up Status
1 001
26-Nov-
13
Non-
compliance
with
Competitions
Act
A violation of the
Competitions Act
results in severe
penalties (i.r.o. price
fixing, market
allocation, resale
price maintenance,
market power,
collusion, etc.)
1
2
8
03Legal
Compliance
4 5 IV
Competition Compliance
Training Manual (on
Intranet)
3 5 IV
Reduce
- Policy on anti-cartel
activity (in-progress per
BSJ instruction)
- On-line compliance
training
31-12-2013
RS
Legal
No
- Policy
approved by the
Board (Dec 2013)
- Compliance
Training rolled out
to sales and
marketing staff
(Sep 2014)
2 002
26-Nov-
13
Terrorism or
related
catastrophe
An unforseen act of
terrorism or sabotage
has a profound effect
on the business
1
3
17
07Disaster
Strategic
1 5 IV
- Security on site
- Risk Control Policy
- Emergency Planning
and Procedures (BSAF
Plants)
- SASRIA cover is in
place for Max T against
terrorism provided it is
politically motivated
(NASRIA in Namibia)
1 5 IV
TBD
- Enhance and/or
standardise contingency
planning systems and
procedures (at group
level), giving special
consideration to second-
round effects (beyond
initial financial impacts)
- Consider outsourcing
the management of
catastrophes
TBD
CT
CSR/SQE
Yes
Note: Terrorist
threat exists in
Mozambique, but
no SASRIA cover
equivalent there
3 Your Key Role Players in Combined Assurance
23
Who are we relying on?
From the point of view of a multi-national...
Internal (Local) Group-Global External
Operating Management J-SOX Auditors External Audit
Group Audit and Risk TQM Auditors Corporate Lawyers
Legal / Secretarial Internal Auditing Consulting Engineers
CSR / SQE Business Continuity Insurers
Human Resources B-BBEE Verification Agency
Finance ISO Certification
Information Technology Labour Relations Consultants
Technical OEM Auditors (e.g. BMW)
Fire Protection Inspectors
Safety Inspectors
Forensic Consultants
3 Your Key Role Players in Combined Assurance (cont.)
24
Should we be relying on them?
• Highly Skilled, but not Independent
Internal Assurers
• Skilled and Independent, but limited Local Knowledge
Group-Global
• Skilled, Relatively Independent, and Accredited, but
Costly
External Assurers
3 Your Key Role Players in Combined Assurance (cont.)
25
Special Case: J-SOX (Mutual Assurance)
The Group CEO (Global) performs a group assessment based on internal control
confirmation statements submitted by each group company, and submits an
internal control statement based on the assessment results to the Prime Minister
of Japan. Each Group Company conducts their own control self-assessment.
Assurance is provided on the following control types:
• Entity Level Controls
• Financial Closing and Reporting Controls
• Business Process Controls
• IT General Controls
BSJ places reliance on our self-assessment.
We place reliance on their independent validation.
3 Your Key Role Players in Combined Assurance (cont.)
26
3 Your Key Role Players in Combined Assurance (cont.)
27
And for JSE-Listed Companies...
• Who gives you assurance on your integrated report?
• Are traditional auditors the right people?
• Do they have the right credentials?
• Is the report really integrated?
• Do we create value over time...?
On the other hand...
• Is independent assurance even possible?
• Are we taking assurance too far?
• Should we stop with Internal Audit?
• You cannot guarantee sustainability [King III vs JSE] Picture from www.pgsadvisors.com
4 How many Lines of Defense are Enough?
28
According to the IIA…
4 How many Lines of Defense are Enough? (cont.)
29
• Risk and Control Owners [Management]
Line 1
• Risk Management Process Owners [e.g. Risk Management / Risk Forum]
Line 2
• Assurance Providers on Risk Management Process [Internal Audit]
Line 3
• External Assurance Providers and Consultants
Line 4
• Board Sub-committees
Line 5
In other words...
5 Mapping Assurance Providers to Risks, Controls, and Objectives
30
Developing a Model (According to IRMSA)
• Secure commitment
• Especially Internal Audit
4. Identify and Involve
Assurance Providers
• Describe assurance mission of
each provider
• Draft assurance activities to
be undertaken and frequency
5. Map Risks to
Assurance Providers
• Design blueprint
• Build infrastructure (risk
methodology)
6. Decide on Optimum
Model
• Define what it is
• Explain the benefits
1. Create Awareness
• Chief Internal Auditor
• Chief Risk Officer
2. Identify a Champion
• Identify business objectives
and risks that affect their
attainment
• Prioritise risks
3. Develop an
Assurance Strategy
5 Mapping Assurance Providers to Risks, Controls, and Objectives
31
Getting Started (getting a broad overview)
Business Process
Internal Assurance
Provider
Output
External
Assurance
Provider
Output
Economic / Financial
Economic Value Added External Audit Value Added Report
Financial Results External Audit External Audit Report
Safety, Health, Environment &
Quality
Legal Safety Compliance CSR / SHEQ Department Inspection Reports Consultants (BSMP) Audit / Inspection Report
Safety Systems CSR / SHEQ Department Inspection Reports DQS GmbH (BSAF) OHSAS18001:2007 Certification
Environmental Standards CSR / SHEQ Department Inspection Reports DQS GmbH (BSAF) ISO14001:2004 Certification
Quality Systems CSR / SHEQ Department Inspection Reports DQS GmbH (BSAF)
ISO9001: 2008 and
TS16949:2009 Certification
Empowerment
B-BBEE Credentials Service Provider B-BBEE Scorecard
Human Resources
Employee Satisfaction To be confirmed Employee Satisfaction Survey
Risk , Control and Governance
Internal Control Environment Group Audit and Risk Internal Audit Report to the Board
Risk Management Process Group Audit and Risk Internal Audit Report to the Board
Governance / King III Group Audit and Risk Governance Assessment Report To be confirmed Independent Statement
Sustainability Reporting CSR / SHEQ Department CSR Report External Audit Independent Assurance Report
5 Mapping Assurance Providers to Risks, Controls, and Objectives
32
Mapping by Risk
2014Rank
Risk#
Date Risk Name Risk Description
MaptoCSR
Objective
BSJRiskCategory
COSORisk
Category
Likelihood(Pre-
control)
Impact(Pre-control)
InherentRisk
Existing Controls
and/or Mitigation
Measures
Likelihood(Post-
control)
Impact(Post-
control)
ResidualRisk
RiskResponse
Action Plan
Actionbydate
PersonResponsible
RiskOwner
BCPIndicator
Progress to
Plan /
Follow-up
Status
Supporti
ng
Process
1st
Line
Assura
nce
2nd
Line
Assura
nce
3rd
Line
Assura
nce
Externa
l
Assura
nce
Assura
nce
Gap
1
0
0
1
26-
Nov-
13
Non-
compliance
with
Competitions
Act
A violation of the
Competitions Act
results in severe
penalties (i.r.o.
price fixing, market
allocation, resale
price
maintenance,
market power,
collusion, etc.)
1
2
8
03Legal
Compliance
4 5 IV
Competition
Compliance Training
Manual (on Intranet)
3 5 IV
Reduce
- Policy on anti-
cartel activity (in-
progress per BSJ
instruction)
- On-line
compliance training
31-12-2013
RS
Legal
No
- Policy
approved by
the Board
(Dec 2013)
-
Compliance
Training
rolled out to
sales and
marketing
staff (Sep
2014)
Complia
nce
Training
Operati
ng
Manage
ment
(Sales
and
Marketi
ng)
Legal /
Secreta
rial
Internal
Audit
Corpora
te
Lawyers
Legal
Complia
nce
Audit (A
- Z)
6
0
0
5
26-
Nov-
13
Product
Recall
Product failures
result in recalls
that cause
reputational
damage
1
5
09Quality
Strategic
4 5 IV
- QA testing,
manufacturing quality
gates, QTR
procedures
- QS Procedure
(Correct, updated
testing procedures
should be followed at
all times; suspect
tyres not released)
- ISO9001
- Extension under
liability policy
2 4 III
Accept
F Qualification audit
at Brits (BSJ)
[Quality Process
Audit]
Ongoing
PW
Quality
Yes
Audit
completed;
IIP for
corrective
actions in
progress
Quality
Control
Operati
ng
Manage
ment
(Plant)
CSR /
SQE
-
DQS
(ISO900
1 and
TS1694
9
TQM
Auditors
(BSJ)
Quality
Auditor /
Inspect
or or
CQO
• Select high residual risks and high inherent risks
• Consider low level risks for overkill
5 Mapping Assurance Providers to Risks, Controls, and Objectives
33
A Different Perspective (public sector template)
6 Gap Analysis: Strengthening the Risk Net
34
An ongoing process Assess the
extent of Risk
Coverage
Assess
Assurance
Providers
Identify
Assurance
Gaps
Identify
Assurance
Overkill
Compile
Remedial
Action Plan
Report to
Governing
Body
Track Actions
against Plan
Monitor,
Update and
Improve
• Credentials
• Methodologies
• Independence
• Business Knowledge
• Cost
• Low level risks
• Misunderstood risks
• Duplication of effort
• Compare actual with
desired levels
 Gaps in
coverage
 Gaps in
assurance
provider
capability
7 Discussion Time and Case Study
35
Food for Thought
The world changes in strange and unpredictable ways. Not one of the
great political or economic shifts of the past 100 years was predicted with
any degree of accuracy. Examples stretch from the end of the Cold War
to the global financial crisis. Remember that in 1985 PW Botha warned
that he would not lead white South Africa down the path of “abdication
and suicide”. Ten years later Nelson Mandela celebrated his first
anniversary in the Union Buildings. Most recently American officials have
admitted that they did not see ISIS coming.
Therefore resist the temptation to use short-term current trends to come
to fixed conclusions about (the) future – history suggests that your initial
conclusions may be very wrong.
Frans Cronje, CEO: Institute of Race Relations
Quoted with permission
7 Discussion Time and Case Study (cont.)
36
Questions
Comments
Ideas
?
7 Discussion Time and Case Study (cont.)
37
Case Study: African Bank
• Record Loss: “needed 8.5 billion rand to survive”
• Seven of the eleven directors had no previous banking experience
• Share price plummeted more than 95%
• Made loans at annual interest rates as high as 60%
• “…didn’t provide enough for bad debts” – Sanlam
• Ripple effects: Moody’s lowered credit ratings on the four largest
banks
• Could even bring SA closer to a ratings downgrade – Standard Bank
• Sunday Times Front Page: “F*** the poor” – Chief Risk Officer
• Charming CEO + Weak Chairman  No balance of power
Sources: BusinessReport and Sunday Times
7 Discussion Time and Case Study (cont.)
38
Case Study: African Bank (cont.)
What the company said…
ABIL Risk Management strategy is to embed a risk culture and
support business units within the group
- Accountability – Risk Report financial year ended 30 September 2013
The audit Committee must ensure that the combined assurance
received is appropriate to address the significant risks facing
the company. The combined assurance model consists of
management, the Risk committee, internal assurance providers
i.e. finance, internal audit, risk and external assurance
providers i.e. external auditors. The Audit committee must
monitor the relationship between the external assurance
providers and the company.
- Group Audit Committee Charter of ABIL and Group Subsidiaries
7 Discussion Time and Case Study (cont.)
39
SO WHERE WERE THEY?
Thank You
40
http://www.asksotiris.com/albert-einstein-quotes/
Thank You
41

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2015 IA Presentation_G Fisher_V2.1

  • 1. Demystifying Combined Assurance Creating a Well-rounded Risk Profile to Assess the Adequacy of your Assurance Coverage Grant Fisher General Manager: Group Audit and Risk Management, Bridgestone South Africa 5 March 2015
  • 2. Outline 1 Introduction 2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk 3 Your Key Role Players in Combined Assurance 4 How Many Lines of Defense are Enough? 5 Mapping Assurance Providers to Risks, Controls, and Objectives 6 Gap Analysis: Strengthening the Risk Net 7 Discussion Time and Case Study 2
  • 3. 1 Introduction If you can't explain it simply, you don't understand it well enough. Albert Einstein Read more at http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/quotes/a/alberteins383803.html# kzhdHCJcMuFL7BS1.99 3
  • 4. 1 Introduction (cont.) 4 I am convinced that a simple profit-seeking business will never thrive, but a business that contributes to its society and country will be forever profitable. Shojiro Ishibashi, Founder The essence of sustainability 60 years before the first King report, Bridgestone was promoting principles of good governance (even though the term did not yet exist).
  • 5. 1 Introduction (cont.) 5 The World of Assurance and Good Governance In the past 20 years, we have seen a fundamental change in the role of business in society. This is particularly meaningful in the context of a new South Africa. King I (1994) • Introduced the concept of good governance • Focused on the role of the Board • Recommended Affirmative Action King II (2002) • Promoted the roles of Internal Audit and Risk Management • Stressed the importance of sound financial reporting • Recommended “ non-financial reporting” King III (2009) • Promoted the roles of Internal Audit and Risk Management further • Recommended Integrated Sustainability Reporting • Introduced the concept of Combined Assurance King IV(20??) • Will take the concept of Combined Assurance further...
  • 6. 1 Introduction (cont.) 6 Who’s involved? Aspect Western Capitalism A New Compassionate Capitalism Time horizon Short-term focus Considers short, medium and long-term Value Creation Returns to Shareholders Value for Stakeholders Mission Profit motive above all else Concern for people, planet, and profit Annual Reporting Financial Reporting Integrated Sustainability Reporting Internal Audit Risk Forensics Transformation Governance Secretarial Legal Insurance Compliance CSR SQE Security The World of Assurance and Good Governance (cont.) What has changed?
  • 7. 1 Introduction (cont.) 7 Why Combined Assurance? It started with the King Report on Governance (King III): The audit committee should ensure that a combined assurance model is applied to provide a co-ordinated approach to all assurance activities Potential Benefits • Focus on key risks • Identify gaps • Reduce operational disruptions • Track remedial actions • Improve reporting to the Board • Support Integrated Report
  • 8. 1 Introduction (cont.) 8 Combined Assurance means better Risk Management and better Governance* * but only if we want it to... Picture from www.edf.azPicture from www.mypharmacare.ca
  • 9. 2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk 9 Ask yourself the following: • Do we know what our risks are? • Do we really know what our risks are? • What are our biggest risks, and how do we measure them? • How do we get our assurance? • Who are we really relying on? • If we know our risks, why do bad things still happen? • Do we just tick the boxes? (Think about Enron. ABIL. Are they that different to us?) http://jeffreyhill.typepad.com/english/2009/03/cartoon-fiddling-while- rome-burns.html
  • 10. 2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.) 10 How we do it at Bridgestone South Africa Risk Profile Risk Forum & Internal Audit Incident Reports Global Risks • Incorporate global risks and classification systems • Learn from local and global incidents, accidents and disasters • Lead risk forum and conduct interviews (cross-functional team) • Incorporate internal audit experience • Consider other methods (PESTEL, SWOT, etc.) • Leverage data analytics (planned)
  • 11. 2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.) 11 Elements of our Risk Framework RISK FRAMEWORK POLICIES AND STANDARDS RISK MANAGEMENT (NORMAL CONDITIONS) BUSINESS CONTINUITY MANAGEMENT INCIDENT REPORTING CRISIS MANAGEMENT • Appetite • Tolerance • Capacity • Risk Criteria • Classification • All Risk Categories • Incidents • Accidents • Emergencies • Emergency Planning • Task Force Establishment • COSO ERM • Risk Register
  • 12. 2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.) 12 Categories of our Top 10 Risks • Regulatory Compliance Our first financial risk is at #17 (Bad Debt), so then: • Is Internal Audit really risk-based? • Who is giving us the real assurance? It cannot be the traditional world of financial audit. (And it doesn’t help to get assurance on the wrong risks!) Category Qty Regulatory Compliance 2 Emergency Planning 1 Transformation 2 Operations 1 Quality 3 Ethics 1
  • 13. 2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.) 13 Establishing your Strategic Position (where do you fit in?) Supply Chain [CORE] Administrative [SUPPORT] Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) Planning Purchasing Production Logistics Sales Marketing Finance HR IT SQE Internal Audit Compliance
  • 14. 2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.) 14 What are we trying to achieve? 22 CSR Focus Points Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) Requirements Fundamental CSR Activities • Stable Profits • Compliance • Business Continuity • Stakeholder Communication Economic Impact • Financial Results (for shareholders) • Impact on other Stakeholders - Staff compensation - Employee benefits - Community investments - Donations - Returns to providers of capital - Tax paid - Local procurement - Local recruitment - Infrastructure development CSR through Business Activities • Quality Products and Services • Technological Innovation • Customer Research • Fair Business Practice • Fair and CSR Procurement • Timely Disclosure CSR through Environmental Activities • Conservation through Products • Conservation through Supply Chain • Social Activities Environmental Impact (materials, energy, water, etc.) CSR from a Social Standpoint • Job Satisfaction • Workplace Safety • Diversity • Human Rights • Social Activities and Volunteering Social Impact • Labour Practices • Human Rights • Society • Product Responsibility
  • 15. 2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.) 15 What do we care about? The way we look at value has changed. And new accounting standards reflect this. [For accounting value to reflect economic value, goodwill must be stated at Fair Market Value (IFRS)] Now accountants have to look to the future to establish value And internal auditors have to look to the future to establish risk Yet neither has a crystal ball... Picture from www.wired.com Value Perspective Definition Time Frame Economic NPV (Expected Future Income Flows) Future Accounting Assets – Liabilities Past
  • 16. 2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.) 16 Value theory of Risk Anything that can destroy Value (or potential value) Activities undertaken to protect Value Co-ordinating of activities to protect Value Or Integrating and aligning assurance processes in a company to maximise risk and governance oversight and control efficiencies, and optimise overall assurance to the audit and risk committee, considering the company’s risk appetite. (King III) Or “Internal due diligence on an ongoing basis” (IRMSA)
  • 17. 2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.) 17 It takes a King to Govern One of the best Governance Codes in the World, And yet...
  • 18. 2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.) 18 Corruption Perceptions Index 2013 South Africa’s biggest risk! [IRMSA Risk Report 2015] P.S. What’s Botswana got that we haven’t?
  • 19. 2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.) 19 Another definition of Risk Any obstacle to getting what we want If you’re not thinking CSR, you’re not thinking risk
  • 20. 2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.) 20 Know your Universe HR IR Pay Morale Skills Legal Compliance EthicsContracts Security Assets Visitors Crime Staff Finance Reporting Fraud LiquidityTreasury Tax IT DRP Data Systems Software Wellness Hygiene Disease Disaster Nature Fatality Safety Quality Product Service Environment Business Economy Supplier ProductionPlanning Market
  • 21. 2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.) 21 Develop some detail (but don’t get lost in it) # Broad Risk Category Sub-category Risk # Risk Name Key Person 1 Human Capital Skills Maintenance 30 Skills Shortage Jane Industrial Relations - Unfair Dismissal Labour Market Activity 23 Labour Unrest Compensation Framework 29 Staff Compensation Employee Relations - Employee Scandal 47 Family Relationships Recruitment 45 Fraudulent Applications Staff Morale 14 Restructuring - Division of Labour
  • 22. 2 Obtaining a Multi-dimensional View of Risk (cont.) 22 Document thoroughly [extract from risk register] P.S. What’s missing? Causes or contributing factors (there should be a control for every cause) 2014Rank Risk # Date Risk Name Risk Description MaptoCSRObjective BSJRiskCategory COSORiskCategory Likelihood(Pre-control) Impact(Pre-control) InherentRisk Existing Controls and/or Mitigation Measures Likelihood(Post-control) Impact(Post-control) ResidualRisk RiskResponse Action Plan Actionbydate PersonResponsible RiskOwner BCPIndicator Progress to Plan / Follow-up Status 1 001 26-Nov- 13 Non- compliance with Competitions Act A violation of the Competitions Act results in severe penalties (i.r.o. price fixing, market allocation, resale price maintenance, market power, collusion, etc.) 1 2 8 03Legal Compliance 4 5 IV Competition Compliance Training Manual (on Intranet) 3 5 IV Reduce - Policy on anti-cartel activity (in-progress per BSJ instruction) - On-line compliance training 31-12-2013 RS Legal No - Policy approved by the Board (Dec 2013) - Compliance Training rolled out to sales and marketing staff (Sep 2014) 2 002 26-Nov- 13 Terrorism or related catastrophe An unforseen act of terrorism or sabotage has a profound effect on the business 1 3 17 07Disaster Strategic 1 5 IV - Security on site - Risk Control Policy - Emergency Planning and Procedures (BSAF Plants) - SASRIA cover is in place for Max T against terrorism provided it is politically motivated (NASRIA in Namibia) 1 5 IV TBD - Enhance and/or standardise contingency planning systems and procedures (at group level), giving special consideration to second- round effects (beyond initial financial impacts) - Consider outsourcing the management of catastrophes TBD CT CSR/SQE Yes Note: Terrorist threat exists in Mozambique, but no SASRIA cover equivalent there
  • 23. 3 Your Key Role Players in Combined Assurance 23 Who are we relying on? From the point of view of a multi-national... Internal (Local) Group-Global External Operating Management J-SOX Auditors External Audit Group Audit and Risk TQM Auditors Corporate Lawyers Legal / Secretarial Internal Auditing Consulting Engineers CSR / SQE Business Continuity Insurers Human Resources B-BBEE Verification Agency Finance ISO Certification Information Technology Labour Relations Consultants Technical OEM Auditors (e.g. BMW) Fire Protection Inspectors Safety Inspectors Forensic Consultants
  • 24. 3 Your Key Role Players in Combined Assurance (cont.) 24 Should we be relying on them? • Highly Skilled, but not Independent Internal Assurers • Skilled and Independent, but limited Local Knowledge Group-Global • Skilled, Relatively Independent, and Accredited, but Costly External Assurers
  • 25. 3 Your Key Role Players in Combined Assurance (cont.) 25 Special Case: J-SOX (Mutual Assurance) The Group CEO (Global) performs a group assessment based on internal control confirmation statements submitted by each group company, and submits an internal control statement based on the assessment results to the Prime Minister of Japan. Each Group Company conducts their own control self-assessment. Assurance is provided on the following control types: • Entity Level Controls • Financial Closing and Reporting Controls • Business Process Controls • IT General Controls BSJ places reliance on our self-assessment. We place reliance on their independent validation.
  • 26. 3 Your Key Role Players in Combined Assurance (cont.) 26
  • 27. 3 Your Key Role Players in Combined Assurance (cont.) 27 And for JSE-Listed Companies... • Who gives you assurance on your integrated report? • Are traditional auditors the right people? • Do they have the right credentials? • Is the report really integrated? • Do we create value over time...? On the other hand... • Is independent assurance even possible? • Are we taking assurance too far? • Should we stop with Internal Audit? • You cannot guarantee sustainability [King III vs JSE] Picture from www.pgsadvisors.com
  • 28. 4 How many Lines of Defense are Enough? 28 According to the IIA…
  • 29. 4 How many Lines of Defense are Enough? (cont.) 29 • Risk and Control Owners [Management] Line 1 • Risk Management Process Owners [e.g. Risk Management / Risk Forum] Line 2 • Assurance Providers on Risk Management Process [Internal Audit] Line 3 • External Assurance Providers and Consultants Line 4 • Board Sub-committees Line 5 In other words...
  • 30. 5 Mapping Assurance Providers to Risks, Controls, and Objectives 30 Developing a Model (According to IRMSA) • Secure commitment • Especially Internal Audit 4. Identify and Involve Assurance Providers • Describe assurance mission of each provider • Draft assurance activities to be undertaken and frequency 5. Map Risks to Assurance Providers • Design blueprint • Build infrastructure (risk methodology) 6. Decide on Optimum Model • Define what it is • Explain the benefits 1. Create Awareness • Chief Internal Auditor • Chief Risk Officer 2. Identify a Champion • Identify business objectives and risks that affect their attainment • Prioritise risks 3. Develop an Assurance Strategy
  • 31. 5 Mapping Assurance Providers to Risks, Controls, and Objectives 31 Getting Started (getting a broad overview) Business Process Internal Assurance Provider Output External Assurance Provider Output Economic / Financial Economic Value Added External Audit Value Added Report Financial Results External Audit External Audit Report Safety, Health, Environment & Quality Legal Safety Compliance CSR / SHEQ Department Inspection Reports Consultants (BSMP) Audit / Inspection Report Safety Systems CSR / SHEQ Department Inspection Reports DQS GmbH (BSAF) OHSAS18001:2007 Certification Environmental Standards CSR / SHEQ Department Inspection Reports DQS GmbH (BSAF) ISO14001:2004 Certification Quality Systems CSR / SHEQ Department Inspection Reports DQS GmbH (BSAF) ISO9001: 2008 and TS16949:2009 Certification Empowerment B-BBEE Credentials Service Provider B-BBEE Scorecard Human Resources Employee Satisfaction To be confirmed Employee Satisfaction Survey Risk , Control and Governance Internal Control Environment Group Audit and Risk Internal Audit Report to the Board Risk Management Process Group Audit and Risk Internal Audit Report to the Board Governance / King III Group Audit and Risk Governance Assessment Report To be confirmed Independent Statement Sustainability Reporting CSR / SHEQ Department CSR Report External Audit Independent Assurance Report
  • 32. 5 Mapping Assurance Providers to Risks, Controls, and Objectives 32 Mapping by Risk 2014Rank Risk# Date Risk Name Risk Description MaptoCSR Objective BSJRiskCategory COSORisk Category Likelihood(Pre- control) Impact(Pre-control) InherentRisk Existing Controls and/or Mitigation Measures Likelihood(Post- control) Impact(Post- control) ResidualRisk RiskResponse Action Plan Actionbydate PersonResponsible RiskOwner BCPIndicator Progress to Plan / Follow-up Status Supporti ng Process 1st Line Assura nce 2nd Line Assura nce 3rd Line Assura nce Externa l Assura nce Assura nce Gap 1 0 0 1 26- Nov- 13 Non- compliance with Competitions Act A violation of the Competitions Act results in severe penalties (i.r.o. price fixing, market allocation, resale price maintenance, market power, collusion, etc.) 1 2 8 03Legal Compliance 4 5 IV Competition Compliance Training Manual (on Intranet) 3 5 IV Reduce - Policy on anti- cartel activity (in- progress per BSJ instruction) - On-line compliance training 31-12-2013 RS Legal No - Policy approved by the Board (Dec 2013) - Compliance Training rolled out to sales and marketing staff (Sep 2014) Complia nce Training Operati ng Manage ment (Sales and Marketi ng) Legal / Secreta rial Internal Audit Corpora te Lawyers Legal Complia nce Audit (A - Z) 6 0 0 5 26- Nov- 13 Product Recall Product failures result in recalls that cause reputational damage 1 5 09Quality Strategic 4 5 IV - QA testing, manufacturing quality gates, QTR procedures - QS Procedure (Correct, updated testing procedures should be followed at all times; suspect tyres not released) - ISO9001 - Extension under liability policy 2 4 III Accept F Qualification audit at Brits (BSJ) [Quality Process Audit] Ongoing PW Quality Yes Audit completed; IIP for corrective actions in progress Quality Control Operati ng Manage ment (Plant) CSR / SQE - DQS (ISO900 1 and TS1694 9 TQM Auditors (BSJ) Quality Auditor / Inspect or or CQO • Select high residual risks and high inherent risks • Consider low level risks for overkill
  • 33. 5 Mapping Assurance Providers to Risks, Controls, and Objectives 33 A Different Perspective (public sector template)
  • 34. 6 Gap Analysis: Strengthening the Risk Net 34 An ongoing process Assess the extent of Risk Coverage Assess Assurance Providers Identify Assurance Gaps Identify Assurance Overkill Compile Remedial Action Plan Report to Governing Body Track Actions against Plan Monitor, Update and Improve • Credentials • Methodologies • Independence • Business Knowledge • Cost • Low level risks • Misunderstood risks • Duplication of effort • Compare actual with desired levels  Gaps in coverage  Gaps in assurance provider capability
  • 35. 7 Discussion Time and Case Study 35 Food for Thought The world changes in strange and unpredictable ways. Not one of the great political or economic shifts of the past 100 years was predicted with any degree of accuracy. Examples stretch from the end of the Cold War to the global financial crisis. Remember that in 1985 PW Botha warned that he would not lead white South Africa down the path of “abdication and suicide”. Ten years later Nelson Mandela celebrated his first anniversary in the Union Buildings. Most recently American officials have admitted that they did not see ISIS coming. Therefore resist the temptation to use short-term current trends to come to fixed conclusions about (the) future – history suggests that your initial conclusions may be very wrong. Frans Cronje, CEO: Institute of Race Relations Quoted with permission
  • 36. 7 Discussion Time and Case Study (cont.) 36 Questions Comments Ideas ?
  • 37. 7 Discussion Time and Case Study (cont.) 37 Case Study: African Bank • Record Loss: “needed 8.5 billion rand to survive” • Seven of the eleven directors had no previous banking experience • Share price plummeted more than 95% • Made loans at annual interest rates as high as 60% • “…didn’t provide enough for bad debts” – Sanlam • Ripple effects: Moody’s lowered credit ratings on the four largest banks • Could even bring SA closer to a ratings downgrade – Standard Bank • Sunday Times Front Page: “F*** the poor” – Chief Risk Officer • Charming CEO + Weak Chairman  No balance of power Sources: BusinessReport and Sunday Times
  • 38. 7 Discussion Time and Case Study (cont.) 38 Case Study: African Bank (cont.) What the company said… ABIL Risk Management strategy is to embed a risk culture and support business units within the group - Accountability – Risk Report financial year ended 30 September 2013 The audit Committee must ensure that the combined assurance received is appropriate to address the significant risks facing the company. The combined assurance model consists of management, the Risk committee, internal assurance providers i.e. finance, internal audit, risk and external assurance providers i.e. external auditors. The Audit committee must monitor the relationship between the external assurance providers and the company. - Group Audit Committee Charter of ABIL and Group Subsidiaries
  • 39. 7 Discussion Time and Case Study (cont.) 39 SO WHERE WERE THEY?