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Chile: An Overview


   Mr. Carlos Mladinic
   New Dehli, November 2007
Chile at a Glance (2006)
Population:                     16.3 M
GDP:                        USD 145 B
GDP per capita:             USD 8.9 K
                                                         Time zone
Income per capita (PPP): USD 12.9 K
                                                         alignment
FDI (net inflow):          $6.7 billion
Annual inflation:                2.6%
Unemployment:                    6%
Adult literacy rate:             96%
Corporate tax:                   17%
Remitted Profits Tax:            35%
(corporate tax is credited towards         Overnight
remitted profits)                         flights
                                           to the U.S.
Tariffs
      •   General 6%
      •   Hardware 0%
      •   95% of imports pay no tax
          (FTAs)
Labor and Education
 • Total Labor Force : 6.1 million                                          More than 60 Universities
 • Labor Force in Santiago: 2.8 million
                                                                            48 Professional Institutes
 • Education:
             - Primary:         98.6%                                         109 Technical Centers

             - Secondary:        90%                                            21 MBA Programs
             - Professional:     31.4%

                                      Education Average (years)

                                        1992              2002
                     National            7.5                8.5
                  Labor Force            9.2               10.5

Source: Ministry of Education of Chile (www.mineduc.cl), National Institute of Statistics (www.ine.cl ),
2006
Chile, An Attractive Place to do Business
    Chile is one of the most competitive countries in the world in
                terms of its positive business environment.

•     Business Environment Rankings (Economist Intelligence
      Unit)

•     Ease of Doing Business (World Bank)

•     Best Latin American Cities to do Business (America
      Economía)
The Best Places to Do Business
         Ranking of the Best Places to Do Business in the Next Five Years (2006-2010)
                                     (Out of 77 economies)
           Denmark                                                                                       1

             Canada                                                                                  3

  United Kingdom                                                                                 7

      United States                                                                          8

                Chile                                                               22

           Malaysia                                                            25

               Korea                                                           26

   Czech Republic                                                             27

              Poland                                                     37

            T hailand                                               40

       South Africa                                            41

              Mexico                                           42

               Brazil                                     45

               China                                50

              Russia                    62

            Pakistan       74

              Developed countries                        Other emerging                  LATAM

Source: Economist Intelligence Unit (www.eiu.com)
Ease of Doing Business 2008
                                           (Out of 178 economies)
       Singapore
                                                                                                                             1
    United States                                                                                                        3
          Ireland                                                                                                    8
          Finland                                                                                               13
        Thailand                                                                                               15
        Malaysia                                                                                          24
          France                                                                                     31
            Chile                                                                                   33
        Portugal                                                                                  37
           Spain                                                                                 38
          Mexico                                                                            44
             Italy                                                                     53
            Peru                                                                  58
       Colombia                                                              66
          Poland                                                        74
           China                                                   83
        Uruguay                                              98
       Paraguay                                        103
       Argentina                                    109
        Ecuador                             128
         Bolivia                     140
      Venezuela       172
                     Developed countries                     Other emerging                           LATAM
Source: World Bank (www.doingbusiness.org)
Best Latin American Cities to do Business
                                             (Out of 42 cities)
             Santiago (Chile)                                                             1

          Sao Paulo (Brazil)                                                          4

 Buenos Aires (Argentina)                                                         5

       Mexico City (Mexico)                                                  10

         Bogota (Colombia)                                                  11

                  Lima (Peru)                                          14

     Montevideo (Uruguay)                                         20

             Quito (Ecuador)            39

      Asuncion (Paraguay)            40

             La Paz (Bolivia)      41

       Caracas (Venezuela) 42

Source: America Economia (www.americaeconomia.com)
Success Factors
Chile’s dynamic business environment is the result of a policy-
driven strategy that has focused on:

    • Building sound macroeconomic fundamentals through a
      rules-based policy framework (characterized by a floating
      exchange rate, inflation targeting and a structural fiscal
      surplus rule)

    • Advancing democracy, political freedom and civil liberties

    • Actively encouraging international integration through free
      trade agreements and FDI

    • Implementing strong social policies to promote social
      cohesion so all citizens benefit from economic growth
The Chilean Economy
Today, the Chilean economy is very well positioned to weather
global macro and market uncertainty thanks to its solid
fundamentals, characterized by:

 •    Record of strong growth
 •    High growth of industrial output
 •    Record investment rates
 •    Record employment levels
 •    Low inflation rate
 •    Large fiscal surplus
 •    An export oriented economy
 •    Favorable outlook for the price of copper
 •    Very low country risk
The Chilean Economy
•   Record of strong growth
•   High growth of industrial output
•   Record investment rates
•   Record employment levels
•   Low inflation rate
•   Large fiscal surplus
•   An export oriented economy
•   Favorable outlook for the price of copper
•   Very low country risk
Chile: GDP Growth (1990-2006)
14                 12,3



12                                    10,6



10
             8,0
                                             7,4
                          7,0
8                                                  6,6
                                                                                              6,0
                                5,7                                                                 5,7         5,7

6                                                                     4,5
                                                                                        4,0               4,0
       3,7                                                                  3,5
                                                         3,3
4                                                                                 2,2


2


0
                                                               -0,8

-2
     1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007*
GDP Growth (1990-2006)
            China                                                                                                  9,8
          Ire land                                                                       6,5
             India                                                                 6,1
            Chile                                                            5,5
       Indone sia                                                  4,6
   Luxe mbourg                                                    4,5
        Colombia                                        3,3
          M e xico                                    3,2
        Australia                                     3,2
            Spain                                     3,1
  United State s                                    2,9
   New Ze aland                                   2,7
         Portugal                              2,5
Unite d Kingdom                               2,4
            Brazil                         2,3
        Denmark                           2,2
          France                    1,8
           Japan                  1,6
          Russia                 1,5
               Italy            1,4

                       0    1             2            3      4          5          6          7           8   9         10

                                              Developed countries        Other emerging            LATAM
The Chilean Economy
•   Record of strong growth
•   High growth of industrial output
•   Record investment rates
•   Record employment levels
•   Low inflation rate
•   Large fiscal surplus
•   An export oriented economy
•   Favorable outlook for the price of copper
•   Very low country risk
Industrial Output
                     (August 2006-August 2007, 12-monthly var.)

8%
                                                                                                 6,7%

6%                                                                    5,2%     5,2%
                         4,5%                                4,6%
                                                                                                          4,0%     4,0%
4%                                                                                      3,0%
                                                    2,9%
                                  2,4%
2%    1,6%
                                           1,2%


0%

-2%
               -2,6%
-4%
      Ago-06




                                                                                                                   Ago-07
                                  Nov-06




                                                    Ene-07




                                                                                                 Jun-07
                                                                               Abr-07
                         Oct-06




                                           Dic-06




                                                                                                          Jul-07
                                                                                        May-07
                Sep-06




                                                             Feb-07


                                                                      Mar-07
The Chilean Economy
•   Record of strong growth
•   High growth of industrial output
•   Record investment rates
•   Record employment levels
•   Low inflation rate
•   Large fiscal surplus
•   An export oriented economy
•   Favorable outlook for the price of copper
•   Very low country risk
Investment at record levels (% of GDP)
25%                                                                                                                                                         24, 7%
                                                                                                24, 3% 24, 2% 24, 2%
                                                                                         24, 1%                      24, 1% 24, 3%
24%                                                                          23, 5%

23%                                                              22, 6%

22%                                                  21, 7%

                                         20, 9%
21%
                             20, 3%
      20, 0% 20, 0%
20%

19%

18%

17%
       1trim-04

                  2trim-04

                              3trim-04

                                          4trim-04

                                                      1trim-05

                                                                  2trim-05

                                                                              3trim-05

                                                                                          4trim-05

                                                                                                     1trim-06

                                                                                                                2trim-06

                                                                                                                           3trim-06

                                                                                                                                      4trim-06

                                                                                                                                                 1trim-07

                                                                                                                                                             2trim-07
The Chilean Economy
•   Record of strong growth
•   High growth of industrial output
•   Record investment rates
•   Record employment levels
•   Low inflation rate
•   Large fiscal surplus
•   An export oriented economy
•   Favorable outlook for the price of copper
•   Very low country risk
E
                           n




                                      5,0
                                            6,0
                                                  7,0
                                                        8,0
                                                              9,0
                                                                    10,0
                                                                           11,0
                                                                                  12,0
                              e-
                                 04
                          M
                            ar
                               -0
                          M       4
                            ay
                               -0
                                  4
                           Ju
                              l-
                                 04
                          S
                           ep
                               -0
                                  4
                          N
                            o
                              v-
                                 04
                          E
                            n
                              e-
                                 05
                          M
                            ar
                               -0
                          M       5
                            ay
                               -0
                                  5
                           Ju
                              l-
                                 05
                          S




Unemployment
                           ep
                               -0
                                  5
                          N
                            o
                              v-
                                 05
                          E
                            n
                              e-
                                 06
                          M
                            ar
                               -0
                          M       6
                            ay
                               -0
                                  6
                           Ju
                              l-
                                 06
                          S
                           ep
                               -0
                          N       6
                            o
                              v-
                                 06
                          E
Deseasoned Unemployment



                            n
                              e-
                                 07
                          M
                            ar
                               -0
                          M       7
                            ay
                               -0
                                                                                         Unemployment (% of labor force)




                                  7
                           Ju
                              l-
                                 07
                          S
                           ep
                               -0
                                  7
The Chilean Economy
•   Record of strong growth
•   High growth of industrial output
•   Record investment rates
•   Record employment levels
•   Low inflation rate
•   Large fiscal surplus
•   An export oriented economy
•   Favorable outlook for the price of copper
•   Very low country risk
Low Inflation Rate
6%

5%

4%

3%

2%

1%

0%
   Ene-03 Jul-03 Ene-04 Jul-04 Ene-05 Jul-05 Ene-06 Jul-06 Ene-07 Jul-07
-1%

-2%
The Chilean Economy
•   Record of strong growth
•   High growth of industrial output
•   Record investment rates
•   Record employment levels
•   Low inflation rate
•   Large fiscal surplus
•   An export oriented economy
•   Favorable outlook for the price of copper
•   Very low country risk
Fiscal balance pre- & post rule (% GDP)
 12%                                                                                             Política Fiscal
 10%
                                                                                                                                          7,7% 7,5%
  8%

  6%                                                                                                                                                         4,8%
                                                                                                                                  4,6%

  4%                                           3,1%
        2,4%            2,1%                           2,2% 2,0%                                                          2,1%
                1,6%            1,4% 1,5%
  2%                                                                                             1,0%               1,0% 1,0% 1,0% 1,0%
                                                                       0,4%                               0,6% 0,7%                     0,5%

  0%
                                                                                        -0,7% -0,5%              -0,4%
  -2%                                                                                                   -1,2%
                                                                               -2,1%
  -4%




                                                                                                                                                              2008 (p)
                                                                                                                                                  2007 (e)
         1990

                 1991

                         1992



                                        1994

                                                1995

                                                        1996



                                                                        1998

                                                                                 1999

                                                                                          2000



                                                                                                          2002

                                                                                                                   2003

                                                                                                                           2004



                                                                                                                                           2006
                                 1993




                                                                1997




                                                                                                 2001




                                                                                                                                   2005
                                                               Efectivo             Estructural
Source: Ministry of Finance
The Chilean Economy
•   Record of strong growth
•   High growth of industrial output
•   Record investment rates
•   Record employment levels
•   Low inflation rate
•   Large fiscal surplus
•   An export oriented economy
•   Favorable outlook for the price of copper
•   Very low country risk
Chile’s Trade with the World 1990 - 2006
Chile is a “global trader” as it is reflected in this chart (with an ascending tendency)
                                                                                                                                                                  90.634
                  70.000
                  65.000                                                                                                                            69.192
                  60.000                                     E xports repres ent 62%
                                                           E xports repres ent 62%
                                                           of C hile’s total exchange
                  55.000                                                                                                                   53.914
                                                          of C hile’s total exchange
                                                                  with the world
                  50.000                                                                                                                                           58.995
                                                                with the world
                  45.000
                                                                                                                                      38.291         39.252
Millones de US$




                  40.000
                                                                                   35.129                     35.268
                  35.000                                                  32.205
                                                                                            31.841                              33.430
                  30.000                                                                             29.937            33.902
                                                        22.794   31.357
                  25.000                                                                                                                       31.460
                  20.000                  19.383
                                    17.405
                                                19.958
                  15.000        16.602                                                           18.425 17.668 17.676 20.627
                                                              16.454 15.395 17.017        15.915
                                8.580                                              14.754
                  10.000                               11.645
                                    9.049 9.927 9.414
                   5.000
                           90       91     92      93       94    95        96      97       98       99       00       01       02      03     04           05      06



                  Source: General Directorate for International Economic Affairs
Chile’s Trade with the World
                                 (Exports, 2006)
               Others
Nafta            3%
                                     Asia
22%                                  33%




                                                 South                Asean
                                                             Others    5%
                                                 Korea                        China
                                                              10%
 Europe                            LA             18%                          26%
  29%                             13%




                                                India
                                                 8%
                                                                      Japan
                                                                       33%


  Source: General Directorate for International Economic Affairs
Chile’s Trade with the World
                                (Imports, 2006)

                Others
Nafta             3%
                                     Asia
22%                                  33%



                                                  South                Asean
                                                              Others    5%
                                                  Korea                        China
                                                               10%
                                                   18%                          26%
 Europe                            LA
  29%                             13%




                                                 India
                                                  8%
                                                                       Japan
                                                                        33%

 Source: General Directorate for International Economic Affairs
The Chilean Economy
•   Record of strong growth
•   High growth of industrial output
•   Record investment rates
•   Record employment levels and rising wages
•   Low inflation rate
•   Large fiscal surplus
•   An export oriented economy
•   Favorable outlook for the price of copper
•   Very low country risk
0
             50
                  100
                        150
                              200
                                    250
                                          300
                                                350
                                                      400
Jan/99

Jul/99
Jan/00

Jul/00
Jan/01
Jul/01

Jan/02
Jul/02
Jan/03
Jul/03
Jan/04

Jul/04
Jan/05
Jul/05

Jan/06
Jul/06
                                                                appreciating the exchange rate




Jan/07

Jul/07
                                                            Recent sustained copper price rise risks
A measure of the “real” copper price (deflated by
 US PPI) reveals strength of recent appreciation
     350
     300
     250
     200
     150
     100
      50
     -
           1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

Spot LME copper price deflated by the US PPI
Source: Cochilco & Central Bank of Chile
Exports by quantity: robust despite copper
             price appreciation
    170
    160
    150
    140
    130
    120
    110
    100
     90
     80
            1trim-04


                       2trim-04


                                  3trim-04


                                             4trim-04




                                                                   2trim-05




                                                                                         4trim-05




                                                                                                               2trim-06




                                                                                                                                     4trim-06


                                                                                                                                                1trim-07


                                                                                                                                                           2trim-07
                                                        1trim-05




                                                                                                    1trim-06




                                                                                                                          3trim-06
                                                                              3trim-05




                                             Cobre                                                                No Cobre
Source: Central Bank of Chile
The Chilean Economy
•   Record of strong growth
•   High growth of industrial output
•   Record investment rates
•   Record employment levels and rising wages
•   Low inflation rate
•   Large fiscal surplus
•   An export oriented economy
•   Favorable outlook for the price of copper
•   Very low country risk
Very Low Country Risk
                        Sovereign Spread: EMBI Global Spread
                  (Monthly averages, in basis points over USTBs)
                                                                                                      249
                                                                                                                              243
                                                                                                232
250                                                                                                                     226

                                                                             203                            200
                                                                      189                                                           192
                                                                                                               176                     176
200
      164 167           161 165
                                                   168
                                             160
                                                                                   152
            138 140                                                                  144
                                  129 134                      129
150                                                      121                                                                                 121
                                                                                                                  108

                                                                                           90
                   82                                            80
                                        80
100




 50




  0
         Abr-07            May-07                  Jun-07                    Jul-07                   Ago-07                  Sep-07

                                   Global    Latin America            Asia         Europe       Chile
A Further Competitive Edge

As well as these sound macroeconomic indicators, Chile has the
advantage of:

   •   A growing network of Free Trade Agreements
   •   High levels of transparency
   •   Strong institutions
   •   Competitiveness
   •   A Freedom Economy
   •   High levels of connectivity and Internet use
   •   Excellent quality of life
A Further Competitive Edge

•   A growing network of Free Trade Agreements
•   High levels of transparency
•   Strong institutions
•   Competitiveness
•   A Freedom Economy
•   High levels of connectivity and Internet use
•   Excellent quality of life
Chile’s Trade                          EU              EFTA
                      Canada                           (European Free Trade Association,
Agreements                                             Iceland-Norway- Suitzerland-
                                                       Liechtenstein)
             USA                                                                           China
                                                                  Turkey

                                                                                               South
                                                                                               Korea
       Mexico                                                                                          Japan
                                Cuba
    El Salvador                                                                             Vietnam
    Costa Rica                                                                                     New Zealand
                                                                              Malaysia
   Guatemala
                                                                                      Brunei
   Panama            Colombia
  Honduras
                     Peru          Uruguay
                                   Paraguay                   Singapore
                                   Argentina                                               Australia
                                   Brazil
 In Force                          Bolivia     India
                                   Venezuela
 Signed                            Ecuador
 Under Negotiation
                                Chile has Preferential Market Access to 86% of world GDP
Spain
Double_taxatio               Portugal         Norway
                                              Denmark
n Agreements                 UK
                                              Sweeden
                                                        Poland
                             France                     Croatia
                 Canada      Switzerland      Belgium   Hungary
                             Ireland          Holland   Czech Republic   Russia
                             Italy            Finland
                                                                         South
                                                                         Korea
    USA



      Mexico

                Cuba                                                Malaysia
                                                                    China


                                               India
                          Argentina
                          Brazil
                                      South Africa

 In Force
                          Ecuador
                                                        Australia    New Zealand
                          Peru
 Signed                   Paraguay
 Under Negotiation        Colombia
                          Venezuela
A Further Competitive Edge

•   A growing network of Free Trade Agreements
•   High levels of transparency
•   Strong institutions
•   Competitiveness
•   A Freedom Economy
•   High levels of connectivity and Internet use
•   Excellent quality of life
Corruption Perceptions Index 2007
                       (Out of 180 countries; 1 = least corrupt)

   New Zealand                                                                                   1

       Australia                                                                            11
United Kingdom                                                                              12

  United States                                                                        20
           Chile                                                                      22
           Spain                                                                  25

       Portugal                                                                  28
             Italy                                                        41

   South Korea                                                            43

         Turkey                                                    64
           China                                              72
      Argentina                                 105
         Russia                143

                              Developed countries        Other emerging        LATAM
 Source: Transparency International (www.transparency.org)
A Further Competitive Edge

•   A growing network of Free Trade Agreements
•   High levels of transparency
•   Strong institutions
•   Competitiveness
•   A Freedom Economy
•   High levels of connectivity and Internet use
•   Excellent quality of life
% of
                                                               % of
                                                              Pupulati
                                                               Pupulati
                                                              on
                                                               on
                   Quality of Institutions
                                 (Out of 125 economies)
     Finland                                                                           1

  Singapore                                                                        4

   Germany                                                                     7

New Zealand                                                                    8

      Ireland                                                             17

        Chile                                                        25

United States                                                       27

       Spain                                                   36

       Korea                                             47

     Mexico                                  69

        Italy                              71

       China                          80

       Brazil                   91

                         Developed countries       Other emerging   LATAM

  Source: World Economic Forum (www.weforum.org)
A Further Competitive Edge

•   A growing network of Free Trade Agreements
•   High levels of transparency
•   Strong institutions
•   Competitiveness
•   A Freedom Economy
•   High levels of connectivity and Internet use
•   Excellent quality of life
World Competitiveness Scoreboard (IMD)
                            (Out of 66 economies)

           USA                                                          1
      Australia                                                 12

United Kingdom                                             20

          Chile                                       26

          India                                      27

         Spain                                  30
        Russia                            43

        Mexico                       47

         Brazil                 49

        Poland             52

        Croatia            53
    Venezuela         55

                      Developed countries      Other emerging   LATAM

  Source: IMD, 2007
Global Competitiveness Index 2006 (WEF)
                                  (Out of 125 countries)
   Switzerland                                                                     1

          USA                                                                  6

        Japan                                                                  7

United Kingdom                                                            10

         Chile                                                    27

         Spain                                                    28

          Italy                                              42

         India                                               43

       Poland                                           48

         China                                     54

        Russia                                62

     Colombia                                65

       Ukraine                          78
                  Developed countries         Other emerging           LATAM
   Source: World Economic Forum, 2007
A Further Competitive Edge

•   A growing network of Free Trade Agreements
•   High levels of transparency
•   Strong institutions
•   Competitiveness
•   A Freedom Economy
•   High levels of connectivity and Internet use
•   Excellent quality of life
Economic157 economies)
                  (Out of
                          Freedom Index
     Honk Kong                                                                             1

   United States                                                                       4
United Kingdom                                                                         6

            Chile                                                                 11

           Japan                                                             18

       Germany                                                               19

           Spain                                                        27

        Portugal                                                   43

          France                                                  45

    South Africa                                             52

             Italy                                      60
       Indonesia                        110
           China                  119

                             Developed countries   Other emerging       LATAM

Source: Heritage Foundation (www.heritage.org)
A Further Competitive Edge

•   A growing network of Free Trade Agreements
•   High levels of transparency
•   Strong institutions
•   Competitiveness
•   A Freedom Economy
•   High levels of connectivity and Internet use
•   Excellent quality of life
The Networked Readiness Index 2006–07
                              (Out of 122 economies)
    Denmark                                                                                      1
 Switzerland                                                                                 5
United States                                                                            7
       United                                                                           9
      France                                                                    23
        Chile                                                              31
       Spain                                                              32
       Czech                                                              34
         Italy                                                       38
        India                                                   44
 South Africa                                                 47
      Mexico                                                 49
      Turkey                                               52
       Brazil                                              53
  Costa Rica                                              56
      Poland                                            58
       China                                           59
   Argentina                                      63
      Russia                               70

                         Developed countries           Other emerging           LATAM

 Source: World Economic Forum (www.weforum.org)
A Further Competitive Edge

•   A growing network of Free Trade Agreements
•   High levels of transparency
•   Strong institutions
•   Competitiveness
•   A Freedom Economy
•   High levels of connectivity and Internet use
•   Excellent quality of life
Human Development Index
                               (Out of 177 countries)

        Norway                                                                                1

United Kingdom                                                                           18
           Chile                                                                    38

        Croatia                                                                44

        Mexico                                                            53

       Malaysia                                                      61

         Russia                                                  65

          Brazil                                                69
       Thailand                                            74

          China                                       81

        Turkey                                  92

     Indonesia                            108

   South Africa                     121

                          Developed countries        Other emerging                  LATAM
 Source: United Nations Development Programme
Why all these
economic indicators
are important?
Reduction of Poverty (1990-2006)
40   38,6

35

30
            25,6
25                    23,2
                                          20,2
20                           17,5
                                                 14,6          13,7
15             13,0
                                                                      10,5
10
                                    5,7                 5,6
 5                                                                           3,2

 0
       1990             1996                2000                  2006

      Total Poverty   Non Extreme Poverty               Extreme Poverty
Economic Growth, Trade and Poverty (1990-2006)
                120                                                               45

                                                                                  40
                100
                                                                                  35




                                                                                       % of Population
 US$ Billions




                    80                                                            30

                                                                                  25
                    60
                                                                                  20

                    40                                                            15

                                                                                  10
                    20
                                                                                  5

                -                                                                 0

                         1990   1992   1994   1996   1998    2000   2003   2006

                                       PIB    TRADE         POVERTY
Chile: An Overview


   Mr. Carlos Mladinic
   New Dehli, November 2007

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2007_11_Chile: An overview

  • 1. Chile: An Overview Mr. Carlos Mladinic New Dehli, November 2007
  • 2. Chile at a Glance (2006) Population: 16.3 M GDP: USD 145 B GDP per capita: USD 8.9 K Time zone Income per capita (PPP): USD 12.9 K alignment FDI (net inflow): $6.7 billion Annual inflation: 2.6% Unemployment: 6% Adult literacy rate: 96% Corporate tax: 17% Remitted Profits Tax: 35% (corporate tax is credited towards Overnight remitted profits) flights to the U.S. Tariffs • General 6% • Hardware 0% • 95% of imports pay no tax (FTAs)
  • 3. Labor and Education • Total Labor Force : 6.1 million More than 60 Universities • Labor Force in Santiago: 2.8 million 48 Professional Institutes • Education: - Primary: 98.6% 109 Technical Centers - Secondary: 90% 21 MBA Programs - Professional: 31.4% Education Average (years) 1992 2002 National 7.5 8.5 Labor Force 9.2 10.5 Source: Ministry of Education of Chile (www.mineduc.cl), National Institute of Statistics (www.ine.cl ), 2006
  • 4. Chile, An Attractive Place to do Business Chile is one of the most competitive countries in the world in terms of its positive business environment. • Business Environment Rankings (Economist Intelligence Unit) • Ease of Doing Business (World Bank) • Best Latin American Cities to do Business (America Economía)
  • 5. The Best Places to Do Business Ranking of the Best Places to Do Business in the Next Five Years (2006-2010) (Out of 77 economies) Denmark 1 Canada 3 United Kingdom 7 United States 8 Chile 22 Malaysia 25 Korea 26 Czech Republic 27 Poland 37 T hailand 40 South Africa 41 Mexico 42 Brazil 45 China 50 Russia 62 Pakistan 74 Developed countries Other emerging LATAM Source: Economist Intelligence Unit (www.eiu.com)
  • 6. Ease of Doing Business 2008 (Out of 178 economies) Singapore 1 United States 3 Ireland 8 Finland 13 Thailand 15 Malaysia 24 France 31 Chile 33 Portugal 37 Spain 38 Mexico 44 Italy 53 Peru 58 Colombia 66 Poland 74 China 83 Uruguay 98 Paraguay 103 Argentina 109 Ecuador 128 Bolivia 140 Venezuela 172 Developed countries Other emerging LATAM Source: World Bank (www.doingbusiness.org)
  • 7. Best Latin American Cities to do Business (Out of 42 cities) Santiago (Chile) 1 Sao Paulo (Brazil) 4 Buenos Aires (Argentina) 5 Mexico City (Mexico) 10 Bogota (Colombia) 11 Lima (Peru) 14 Montevideo (Uruguay) 20 Quito (Ecuador) 39 Asuncion (Paraguay) 40 La Paz (Bolivia) 41 Caracas (Venezuela) 42 Source: America Economia (www.americaeconomia.com)
  • 8. Success Factors Chile’s dynamic business environment is the result of a policy- driven strategy that has focused on: • Building sound macroeconomic fundamentals through a rules-based policy framework (characterized by a floating exchange rate, inflation targeting and a structural fiscal surplus rule) • Advancing democracy, political freedom and civil liberties • Actively encouraging international integration through free trade agreements and FDI • Implementing strong social policies to promote social cohesion so all citizens benefit from economic growth
  • 9. The Chilean Economy Today, the Chilean economy is very well positioned to weather global macro and market uncertainty thanks to its solid fundamentals, characterized by: • Record of strong growth • High growth of industrial output • Record investment rates • Record employment levels • Low inflation rate • Large fiscal surplus • An export oriented economy • Favorable outlook for the price of copper • Very low country risk
  • 10. The Chilean Economy • Record of strong growth • High growth of industrial output • Record investment rates • Record employment levels • Low inflation rate • Large fiscal surplus • An export oriented economy • Favorable outlook for the price of copper • Very low country risk
  • 11. Chile: GDP Growth (1990-2006) 14 12,3 12 10,6 10 8,0 7,4 7,0 8 6,6 6,0 5,7 5,7 5,7 6 4,5 4,0 4,0 3,7 3,5 3,3 4 2,2 2 0 -0,8 -2 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007*
  • 12. GDP Growth (1990-2006) China 9,8 Ire land 6,5 India 6,1 Chile 5,5 Indone sia 4,6 Luxe mbourg 4,5 Colombia 3,3 M e xico 3,2 Australia 3,2 Spain 3,1 United State s 2,9 New Ze aland 2,7 Portugal 2,5 Unite d Kingdom 2,4 Brazil 2,3 Denmark 2,2 France 1,8 Japan 1,6 Russia 1,5 Italy 1,4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Developed countries Other emerging LATAM
  • 13. The Chilean Economy • Record of strong growth • High growth of industrial output • Record investment rates • Record employment levels • Low inflation rate • Large fiscal surplus • An export oriented economy • Favorable outlook for the price of copper • Very low country risk
  • 14. Industrial Output (August 2006-August 2007, 12-monthly var.) 8% 6,7% 6% 5,2% 5,2% 4,5% 4,6% 4,0% 4,0% 4% 3,0% 2,9% 2,4% 2% 1,6% 1,2% 0% -2% -2,6% -4% Ago-06 Ago-07 Nov-06 Ene-07 Jun-07 Abr-07 Oct-06 Dic-06 Jul-07 May-07 Sep-06 Feb-07 Mar-07
  • 15. The Chilean Economy • Record of strong growth • High growth of industrial output • Record investment rates • Record employment levels • Low inflation rate • Large fiscal surplus • An export oriented economy • Favorable outlook for the price of copper • Very low country risk
  • 16. Investment at record levels (% of GDP) 25% 24, 7% 24, 3% 24, 2% 24, 2% 24, 1% 24, 1% 24, 3% 24% 23, 5% 23% 22, 6% 22% 21, 7% 20, 9% 21% 20, 3% 20, 0% 20, 0% 20% 19% 18% 17% 1trim-04 2trim-04 3trim-04 4trim-04 1trim-05 2trim-05 3trim-05 4trim-05 1trim-06 2trim-06 3trim-06 4trim-06 1trim-07 2trim-07
  • 17. The Chilean Economy • Record of strong growth • High growth of industrial output • Record investment rates • Record employment levels • Low inflation rate • Large fiscal surplus • An export oriented economy • Favorable outlook for the price of copper • Very low country risk
  • 18. E n 5,0 6,0 7,0 8,0 9,0 10,0 11,0 12,0 e- 04 M ar -0 M 4 ay -0 4 Ju l- 04 S ep -0 4 N o v- 04 E n e- 05 M ar -0 M 5 ay -0 5 Ju l- 05 S Unemployment ep -0 5 N o v- 05 E n e- 06 M ar -0 M 6 ay -0 6 Ju l- 06 S ep -0 N 6 o v- 06 E Deseasoned Unemployment n e- 07 M ar -0 M 7 ay -0 Unemployment (% of labor force) 7 Ju l- 07 S ep -0 7
  • 19. The Chilean Economy • Record of strong growth • High growth of industrial output • Record investment rates • Record employment levels • Low inflation rate • Large fiscal surplus • An export oriented economy • Favorable outlook for the price of copper • Very low country risk
  • 20. Low Inflation Rate 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Ene-03 Jul-03 Ene-04 Jul-04 Ene-05 Jul-05 Ene-06 Jul-06 Ene-07 Jul-07 -1% -2%
  • 21. The Chilean Economy • Record of strong growth • High growth of industrial output • Record investment rates • Record employment levels • Low inflation rate • Large fiscal surplus • An export oriented economy • Favorable outlook for the price of copper • Very low country risk
  • 22. Fiscal balance pre- & post rule (% GDP) 12% Política Fiscal 10% 7,7% 7,5% 8% 6% 4,8% 4,6% 4% 3,1% 2,4% 2,1% 2,2% 2,0% 2,1% 1,6% 1,4% 1,5% 2% 1,0% 1,0% 1,0% 1,0% 1,0% 0,4% 0,6% 0,7% 0,5% 0% -0,7% -0,5% -0,4% -2% -1,2% -2,1% -4% 2008 (p) 2007 (e) 1990 1991 1992 1994 1995 1996 1998 1999 2000 2002 2003 2004 2006 1993 1997 2001 2005 Efectivo Estructural Source: Ministry of Finance
  • 23. The Chilean Economy • Record of strong growth • High growth of industrial output • Record investment rates • Record employment levels • Low inflation rate • Large fiscal surplus • An export oriented economy • Favorable outlook for the price of copper • Very low country risk
  • 24. Chile’s Trade with the World 1990 - 2006 Chile is a “global trader” as it is reflected in this chart (with an ascending tendency) 90.634 70.000 65.000 69.192 60.000 E xports repres ent 62% E xports repres ent 62% of C hile’s total exchange 55.000 53.914 of C hile’s total exchange with the world 50.000 58.995 with the world 45.000 38.291 39.252 Millones de US$ 40.000 35.129 35.268 35.000 32.205 31.841 33.430 30.000 29.937 33.902 22.794 31.357 25.000 31.460 20.000 19.383 17.405 19.958 15.000 16.602 18.425 17.668 17.676 20.627 16.454 15.395 17.017 15.915 8.580 14.754 10.000 11.645 9.049 9.927 9.414 5.000 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 Source: General Directorate for International Economic Affairs
  • 25. Chile’s Trade with the World (Exports, 2006) Others Nafta 3% Asia 22% 33% South Asean Others 5% Korea China 10% Europe LA 18% 26% 29% 13% India 8% Japan 33% Source: General Directorate for International Economic Affairs
  • 26. Chile’s Trade with the World (Imports, 2006) Others Nafta 3% Asia 22% 33% South Asean Others 5% Korea China 10% 18% 26% Europe LA 29% 13% India 8% Japan 33% Source: General Directorate for International Economic Affairs
  • 27. The Chilean Economy • Record of strong growth • High growth of industrial output • Record investment rates • Record employment levels and rising wages • Low inflation rate • Large fiscal surplus • An export oriented economy • Favorable outlook for the price of copper • Very low country risk
  • 28. 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Jan/99 Jul/99 Jan/00 Jul/00 Jan/01 Jul/01 Jan/02 Jul/02 Jan/03 Jul/03 Jan/04 Jul/04 Jan/05 Jul/05 Jan/06 Jul/06 appreciating the exchange rate Jan/07 Jul/07 Recent sustained copper price rise risks
  • 29. A measure of the “real” copper price (deflated by US PPI) reveals strength of recent appreciation 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 - 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Spot LME copper price deflated by the US PPI Source: Cochilco & Central Bank of Chile
  • 30. Exports by quantity: robust despite copper price appreciation 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 1trim-04 2trim-04 3trim-04 4trim-04 2trim-05 4trim-05 2trim-06 4trim-06 1trim-07 2trim-07 1trim-05 1trim-06 3trim-06 3trim-05 Cobre No Cobre Source: Central Bank of Chile
  • 31. The Chilean Economy • Record of strong growth • High growth of industrial output • Record investment rates • Record employment levels and rising wages • Low inflation rate • Large fiscal surplus • An export oriented economy • Favorable outlook for the price of copper • Very low country risk
  • 32. Very Low Country Risk Sovereign Spread: EMBI Global Spread (Monthly averages, in basis points over USTBs) 249 243 232 250 226 203 200 189 192 176 176 200 164 167 161 165 168 160 152 138 140 144 129 134 129 150 121 121 108 90 82 80 80 100 50 0 Abr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Ago-07 Sep-07 Global Latin America Asia Europe Chile
  • 33. A Further Competitive Edge As well as these sound macroeconomic indicators, Chile has the advantage of: • A growing network of Free Trade Agreements • High levels of transparency • Strong institutions • Competitiveness • A Freedom Economy • High levels of connectivity and Internet use • Excellent quality of life
  • 34. A Further Competitive Edge • A growing network of Free Trade Agreements • High levels of transparency • Strong institutions • Competitiveness • A Freedom Economy • High levels of connectivity and Internet use • Excellent quality of life
  • 35. Chile’s Trade EU EFTA Canada (European Free Trade Association, Agreements Iceland-Norway- Suitzerland- Liechtenstein) USA China Turkey South Korea Mexico Japan Cuba El Salvador Vietnam Costa Rica New Zealand Malaysia Guatemala Brunei Panama Colombia Honduras Peru Uruguay Paraguay Singapore Argentina Australia Brazil In Force Bolivia India Venezuela Signed Ecuador Under Negotiation Chile has Preferential Market Access to 86% of world GDP
  • 36. Spain Double_taxatio Portugal Norway Denmark n Agreements UK Sweeden Poland France Croatia Canada Switzerland Belgium Hungary Ireland Holland Czech Republic Russia Italy Finland South Korea USA Mexico Cuba Malaysia China India Argentina Brazil South Africa In Force Ecuador Australia New Zealand Peru Signed Paraguay Under Negotiation Colombia Venezuela
  • 37. A Further Competitive Edge • A growing network of Free Trade Agreements • High levels of transparency • Strong institutions • Competitiveness • A Freedom Economy • High levels of connectivity and Internet use • Excellent quality of life
  • 38. Corruption Perceptions Index 2007 (Out of 180 countries; 1 = least corrupt) New Zealand 1 Australia 11 United Kingdom 12 United States 20 Chile 22 Spain 25 Portugal 28 Italy 41 South Korea 43 Turkey 64 China 72 Argentina 105 Russia 143 Developed countries Other emerging LATAM Source: Transparency International (www.transparency.org)
  • 39. A Further Competitive Edge • A growing network of Free Trade Agreements • High levels of transparency • Strong institutions • Competitiveness • A Freedom Economy • High levels of connectivity and Internet use • Excellent quality of life
  • 40. % of % of Pupulati Pupulati on on Quality of Institutions (Out of 125 economies) Finland 1 Singapore 4 Germany 7 New Zealand 8 Ireland 17 Chile 25 United States 27 Spain 36 Korea 47 Mexico 69 Italy 71 China 80 Brazil 91 Developed countries Other emerging LATAM Source: World Economic Forum (www.weforum.org)
  • 41. A Further Competitive Edge • A growing network of Free Trade Agreements • High levels of transparency • Strong institutions • Competitiveness • A Freedom Economy • High levels of connectivity and Internet use • Excellent quality of life
  • 42. World Competitiveness Scoreboard (IMD) (Out of 66 economies) USA 1 Australia 12 United Kingdom 20 Chile 26 India 27 Spain 30 Russia 43 Mexico 47 Brazil 49 Poland 52 Croatia 53 Venezuela 55 Developed countries Other emerging LATAM Source: IMD, 2007
  • 43. Global Competitiveness Index 2006 (WEF) (Out of 125 countries) Switzerland 1 USA 6 Japan 7 United Kingdom 10 Chile 27 Spain 28 Italy 42 India 43 Poland 48 China 54 Russia 62 Colombia 65 Ukraine 78 Developed countries Other emerging LATAM Source: World Economic Forum, 2007
  • 44. A Further Competitive Edge • A growing network of Free Trade Agreements • High levels of transparency • Strong institutions • Competitiveness • A Freedom Economy • High levels of connectivity and Internet use • Excellent quality of life
  • 45. Economic157 economies) (Out of Freedom Index Honk Kong 1 United States 4 United Kingdom 6 Chile 11 Japan 18 Germany 19 Spain 27 Portugal 43 France 45 South Africa 52 Italy 60 Indonesia 110 China 119 Developed countries Other emerging LATAM Source: Heritage Foundation (www.heritage.org)
  • 46. A Further Competitive Edge • A growing network of Free Trade Agreements • High levels of transparency • Strong institutions • Competitiveness • A Freedom Economy • High levels of connectivity and Internet use • Excellent quality of life
  • 47. The Networked Readiness Index 2006–07 (Out of 122 economies) Denmark 1 Switzerland 5 United States 7 United 9 France 23 Chile 31 Spain 32 Czech 34 Italy 38 India 44 South Africa 47 Mexico 49 Turkey 52 Brazil 53 Costa Rica 56 Poland 58 China 59 Argentina 63 Russia 70 Developed countries Other emerging LATAM Source: World Economic Forum (www.weforum.org)
  • 48. A Further Competitive Edge • A growing network of Free Trade Agreements • High levels of transparency • Strong institutions • Competitiveness • A Freedom Economy • High levels of connectivity and Internet use • Excellent quality of life
  • 49. Human Development Index (Out of 177 countries) Norway 1 United Kingdom 18 Chile 38 Croatia 44 Mexico 53 Malaysia 61 Russia 65 Brazil 69 Thailand 74 China 81 Turkey 92 Indonesia 108 South Africa 121 Developed countries Other emerging LATAM Source: United Nations Development Programme
  • 50. Why all these economic indicators are important?
  • 51. Reduction of Poverty (1990-2006) 40 38,6 35 30 25,6 25 23,2 20,2 20 17,5 14,6 13,7 15 13,0 10,5 10 5,7 5,6 5 3,2 0 1990 1996 2000 2006 Total Poverty Non Extreme Poverty Extreme Poverty
  • 52. Economic Growth, Trade and Poverty (1990-2006) 120 45 40 100 35 % of Population US$ Billions 80 30 25 60 20 40 15 10 20 5 - 0 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2003 2006 PIB TRADE POVERTY
  • 53. Chile: An Overview Mr. Carlos Mladinic New Dehli, November 2007

Editor's Notes

  1. The Business Environment Rankings 2006-2010 published by the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) ranked Chile as the world’s 22nd most attractive economy in which to do business over the next five years. In the ranking of 82 nations --led by Denmark, Finland and Canada-- Chile was positioned between Spain and Israel and ahead of other emerging economies.
  2. Similarly, a recent ranking by the World Bank puts Chile in a leading position in terms of ease of doing business, ahead of Spain and Italy.
  3. 1990-2006: 5.5% annual average; 5.7% in 2007
  4. up by 12% to 25% of GDP
  5. However, 12-monthly inflation was running at 5.8% in September (well above the Central Bank’s target of 3%). This is mainly a consequence of higher energy prices - due to increasing natural gas cuts from Argentina and lower rainfall - and to higher food prices following an unusually cold winter that damaged fruit and vegetable crops.
  6. Thanks mainly to copper windfall
  7. Average 121 bps over USTBs during September 2007
  8. Notas: Desde hace 15 años, Chile viene implementando una política comercial basada en la apertura de su economía, apoyando la liberalización multilateral del comercio ante la OMC, así como en APEC. Pero, sin duda, la opción por el bilateralismo ha sido nuestra prioridad, consiguiendo para Chile notables resultados en la negociación de Acuerdos de Libre Comercio. En la actualidad, Chile tiene en vigencia 15 Acuerdos Comerciales, con más de 50 países, abarcando un mercado potencial de 3.400 millones de habitantes.
  9. Notas: Desde hace 15 años, Chile viene implementando una política comercial basada en la apertura de su economía, apoyando la liberalización multilateral del comercio ante la OMC, así como en APEC. Pero, sin duda, la opción por el bilateralismo ha sido nuestra prioridad, consiguiendo para Chile notables resultados en la negociación de Acuerdos de Libre Comercio. En la actualidad, Chile tiene en vigencia 15 Acuerdos Comerciales, con más de 50 países, abarcando un mercado potencial de 3.400 millones de habitantes.
  10. Notas: Desde hace 15 años, Chile viene implementando una política comercial basada en la apertura de su economía, apoyando la liberalización multilateral del comercio ante la OMC, así como en APEC. Pero, sin duda, la opción por el bilateralismo ha sido nuestra prioridad, consiguiendo para Chile notables resultados en la negociación de Acuerdos de Libre Comercio. En la actualidad, Chile tiene en vigencia 15 Acuerdos Comerciales, con más de 50 países, abarcando un mercado potencial de 3.400 millones de habitantes.