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JosƩ Manuel Ribeiro
Director-General
Consumer Directorate-General
Portugal
                                     18th Consumers International World Congress
                               Luna Park, Sydney, 29 October to 1 November 2007
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                     Some Factors that Influence Consumption Levels


                            Income
  Credit appealing                         Financial behaviour


Savings                                          Motivations to consume:

                                                    . Physiological needs
                            Consumption             . New induced needs

Indebtedness standards                              . Social recognition
                                                    . Hedonism

  Socio-economic context                            . Cultural values
                                                    . Etc.


                               Personal Characteristics

                                                                            2
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                                       Consumption in Portugal


ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦..1974ā€¦ā€¦.1986...1990ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦.ā€¦2000ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦..ā€¦ā€¦


. high levels of saving                                   . new consumption standards
. low levels of consumption                               . credit facilities
. low levels of indebtedness                             . high levels of confidence


                                  Portugal in EEC                 INDEBTEDNESS RISES

                   April Revolution
                   . social, political, cultural
                    and economic changes
                                                   . changes in the means of payment
                                                   . risk of overindebtedness

                                                   . social exclusion
                                                                                       3
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                                    Consumption - Indebtedness


                                     objective: income, age, qualification,
   Motivations to consume                        marital status, etc.
                                     social: buy to fit in, hedonism


                                     rational
      Kinds of consumption
                                     excessive (materialism)


High Materialism Levels         +         Objective and Social Motivations




        compulsive consumption                    overindebtedness


                                                                              4
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                Some Factors that influence (Over) Indebtedness


                             Structural Factors
1. Money Supply                         2. Money Demand

. Legal Framework                       . Income insecurity / Wage
                                        stagnation
. Credit promotion techniques and       . Fragile social protection in illness,
risk management available in the        unemployment, invalidity, etc.
credit institutions                     . Divorce
                                        . Cognitive bias (e.g.: optimism)


                             Cultural Factors
3. That affect the Supply               4. That affect the Demand
                                        . Culture of (needs and wishes)
. Marketā€™s liberalization ideology      satisfaction
. Indebtedness culture                  . Development of high expectations
. Overindebteds as marketing            by the individuals (influenced by the
targets                                 media)
. Exploitation of the minorities that   . Acceptance of indebtedness as
have been excluded from the credit      ā€˜normalā€™
market                                  . Decrease in saving
                                        . Lack of financial sophistication
                                                                                  5
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                                     Indebtedness




                                                           House acquisition
                                                           Other goods




Indebtedness level of families as a percentage of their disposable Income


                                  The Portuguese reality

        Portuguese studyā€™s sample . . . . . . . . 835 individuals

                                                                               6
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                                        Indebtedness: some correlations

                             individuals that work full time to others or individuals that create their
    Labour situation
                                                    own job have more debts

     Mensal income                            the higher, more the number of debts


      Marital status                            married people have more debts

 Utilization of electronic
 payments, frequency of
 credit request,
                                     any of these factors makes the number of debts grow
propensity to materialism
     and to excessive
       consumption
 Frequency of acquisition
 of furniture, equipment
                                     any of these factors makes the number of debts grow
for the house, drinks and
          tobacco

         Savings                     the existence of savings reduces the number of debts


  Budget management          the use of budgets in the households reduces the need to ask for loans


                                                                                                          7
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                            Attitudes towards credit ā€“ some conclusions




The Portuguese attitude towards debts seems to be favourable to indebtedness but cautious
      when the all household is involved


Most of the Portuguese households (72,2%) voluntary keep saving resources


Savings are mostly done when the income level grows, when the individual works for
      another person and when he lives in the Metropolitan Area


When the household makes a budget, it has a positive effect in saving reserves


Saving also contributes to develop the growth of financial management and to keep the
      acquisition process rational




                                                                                        8
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                               Attitudes towards credit ā€“ some conclusions


When the Portuguese households save to consume, they increase the probability of making
     compulsive consumption


If they save to consume, then their reason is more social than objective ā€“ which is called the
       conspicuous consumption


When precautious saving is made, the materialism tends to reduce, the regularity of saving
     tends to grow, the rationality of consumptions tends to grow, it usually implies the
     existence of a budget and households are more aware of their need to manage their
     income


Saving to the retirement period itā€™s associated to a reduction of materialism


When the aim of saving is to transmit the wealth to other generations, thereā€™s a
    predisposition to have a budget and to keep more control and rationality in
    consumption


                                                                                             9
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                                        Overindebtedness


growth in consumption                     growth in indebtedness


                                growth in overindebtedness
       (especially in young couples with children and in families with less income)
     - Unknown factors in the credit contract (divorce / disease / unemployment)
     - Rises in interest rates
     - Bad planning of the familiar budget


                 How to deal with the households overindebtedness?


1. Actorsā€™ Responsibilities
2. Investigation, Evaluation and Benchmarking
3. Consumer Financial Education
4. Better Regulation
5. Responsible Lending Practices
                                                                                      10
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                                             Overindebtedness




1. Actorsā€™ Responsibilities


    Credit Institutions


- Develop instruments to evaluate potential indebteds and avoid insolvency situations
-   Develop voluntary codes of conduct in order to pursue Responsible Credit
-   Responsible advertisement
- Not to hide information:
          - The consumers must have clear, complete and understandable
              information about the contract theyā€™ll sign
          - The consumers must be informed about theirs and their financial institutionā€™s
              rights, obligations and responsibilities




                                                                                            11
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                                           Overindebtedness




1. Actors Responsibilities


   Consumer Associations


   Advisory Financial Offices are important because:
          - They can provide answers to consumersā€™ legal questions
          - They can help indebted or overindebted households to solve
              their problems and provide independent counselling


   Recommendations:
          - Use of internet as an instrument to cover all country and develop ā€˜indebtedness
              testsā€™ to help consumers understand their level of dependency
          - Participation in financial education programmes


                                                                                          12
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                                              Overindebtedness



1. Actors Responsibilities


    Government - Preventive Measures


Credit supply:
- Create and enforce the use of clear rules to be followed by all financial institutions (that
    standardise the relevant information that financial institutions must provide)
- Advertise the Annual Tax Rate (ATR)


Credit demand:
- Stimulate savings
- Financial education namely the meaning of the ATR
- Support Advisory Financial Offices


                                                                                                 13
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                                             Overindebtedness


1. Actors Responsibilities


   Government - Measures to deal with the Indebtedness and Overindebtedness


Credit supply:
- Create special credit lines to less income households
- Sensitize financial institutions to the need of readjustment of payment plans
- More responsible credit and calculate risk more efficiently




Credit demand:
- Mechanisms necessary to facilitate rehabilitation of over indebted individuals and families
   and their reintegration into society (Renegotiating debts versus Personal Bankruptcy)




                                                                                                14
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                                             Overindebtedness


2. Investigation, benchmarking and permanent evaluation


Intensive investigation to follow and understand fast changes in our consumer society in
order to act in the systemic factors of overindebtedness
- a priori (avoid the problem before it affects consumers)
- a posteriori (to face the problem and solve it, or at least diminish its damages)


Benchmarking to share knowledge of other communities
- Not to pay learning costs
- Having in mind the specific reality of each country and community


Permanent Evaluation of measures efficiency in order to find the best solution for the
individual and the community


                                                                                           15
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                                             Overindebtedness


3. Consumer Financial Education


Preventive (in schools)
   - Financial education represents a precious common ground on which creditors and
   debtors, government agencies and non-governmental organizations can stand together.
Post-overindebtedness, so that people deal with their problem, solve it and be able to avoid
    it next time.


4. Better Regulation


Legal frameworks
   - Markets must be the primary solution to credit problems; consumers should get as
   much information as possible and have time for reflection.
Facing a dilemma
     - Regulation versus Self-regulation

                                                                                           16
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                                             Overindebtedness



5. Responsible Lending Practices


Consumers, Governments and Financial Institutions must be able to foresee and prevent
over indebtedness of individuals and families


Financial Institutions must practise a responsible credit, and must be forced to calculate risk
more efficiently
-   More and better information
-   Time for reflection
-   Measures to alleviate the effects of the recovery of debts




                                                                                              17
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                                                    Overview

When credit ā€˜democratizationā€™ generalizes and indebtedness rises, more than
    prevent, we have to find a solution to consumersā€™ insolvency
    Risk of social exclusion
-   Renegotiating debts (new payment plan, according to the income) versus Personal
    Bankruptcy and forgiveness of part of the debt (ā€˜fresh startā€™)
-   Whatever option we decide has a collective community, we canĀ“t forget the cultural
    Background
-   Risk of ā€˜free ridingā€™ attitude of consumers


Whatever are the measures taken
-   Facilitate rehabilitation of over indebted individuals and families and their reintegration
    into society
-   Long-term perspective
-   Its efficiency must be evaluated throughout time
-   Measures must not crowd out consumersā€™ responsibility in fulfilling their duties

                                                                                                  18

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10a Rebiero Credit and Debt

  • 1. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+ 0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ !quot;#quot;$%&'(quot;)*+,-quot;.(quot;*/'quot;0.%*+1+')'quot;%'#2&*-quot;! JosĆ© Manuel Ribeiro Director-General Consumer Directorate-General Portugal 18th Consumers International World Congress Luna Park, Sydney, 29 October to 1 November 2007
  • 2. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Some Factors that Influence Consumption Levels Income Credit appealing Financial behaviour Savings Motivations to consume: . Physiological needs Consumption . New induced needs Indebtedness standards . Social recognition . Hedonism Socio-economic context . Cultural values . Etc. Personal Characteristics 2
  • 3. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Consumption in Portugal ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦..1974ā€¦ā€¦.1986...1990ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦.ā€¦2000ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦ā€¦..ā€¦ā€¦ . high levels of saving . new consumption standards . low levels of consumption . credit facilities . low levels of indebtedness . high levels of confidence Portugal in EEC INDEBTEDNESS RISES April Revolution . social, political, cultural and economic changes . changes in the means of payment . risk of overindebtedness . social exclusion 3
  • 4. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Consumption - Indebtedness objective: income, age, qualification, Motivations to consume marital status, etc. social: buy to fit in, hedonism rational Kinds of consumption excessive (materialism) High Materialism Levels + Objective and Social Motivations compulsive consumption overindebtedness 4
  • 5. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Some Factors that influence (Over) Indebtedness Structural Factors 1. Money Supply 2. Money Demand . Legal Framework . Income insecurity / Wage stagnation . Credit promotion techniques and . Fragile social protection in illness, risk management available in the unemployment, invalidity, etc. credit institutions . Divorce . Cognitive bias (e.g.: optimism) Cultural Factors 3. That affect the Supply 4. That affect the Demand . Culture of (needs and wishes) . Marketā€™s liberalization ideology satisfaction . Indebtedness culture . Development of high expectations . Overindebteds as marketing by the individuals (influenced by the targets media) . Exploitation of the minorities that . Acceptance of indebtedness as have been excluded from the credit ā€˜normalā€™ market . Decrease in saving . Lack of financial sophistication 5
  • 6. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Indebtedness House acquisition Other goods Indebtedness level of families as a percentage of their disposable Income The Portuguese reality Portuguese studyā€™s sample . . . . . . . . 835 individuals 6
  • 7. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Indebtedness: some correlations individuals that work full time to others or individuals that create their Labour situation own job have more debts Mensal income the higher, more the number of debts Marital status married people have more debts Utilization of electronic payments, frequency of credit request, any of these factors makes the number of debts grow propensity to materialism and to excessive consumption Frequency of acquisition of furniture, equipment any of these factors makes the number of debts grow for the house, drinks and tobacco Savings the existence of savings reduces the number of debts Budget management the use of budgets in the households reduces the need to ask for loans 7
  • 8. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Attitudes towards credit ā€“ some conclusions The Portuguese attitude towards debts seems to be favourable to indebtedness but cautious when the all household is involved Most of the Portuguese households (72,2%) voluntary keep saving resources Savings are mostly done when the income level grows, when the individual works for another person and when he lives in the Metropolitan Area When the household makes a budget, it has a positive effect in saving reserves Saving also contributes to develop the growth of financial management and to keep the acquisition process rational 8
  • 9. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Attitudes towards credit ā€“ some conclusions When the Portuguese households save to consume, they increase the probability of making compulsive consumption If they save to consume, then their reason is more social than objective ā€“ which is called the conspicuous consumption When precautious saving is made, the materialism tends to reduce, the regularity of saving tends to grow, the rationality of consumptions tends to grow, it usually implies the existence of a budget and households are more aware of their need to manage their income Saving to the retirement period itā€™s associated to a reduction of materialism When the aim of saving is to transmit the wealth to other generations, thereā€™s a predisposition to have a budget and to keep more control and rationality in consumption 9
  • 10. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Overindebtedness growth in consumption growth in indebtedness growth in overindebtedness (especially in young couples with children and in families with less income) - Unknown factors in the credit contract (divorce / disease / unemployment) - Rises in interest rates - Bad planning of the familiar budget How to deal with the households overindebtedness? 1. Actorsā€™ Responsibilities 2. Investigation, Evaluation and Benchmarking 3. Consumer Financial Education 4. Better Regulation 5. Responsible Lending Practices 10
  • 11. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Overindebtedness 1. Actorsā€™ Responsibilities Credit Institutions - Develop instruments to evaluate potential indebteds and avoid insolvency situations - Develop voluntary codes of conduct in order to pursue Responsible Credit - Responsible advertisement - Not to hide information: - The consumers must have clear, complete and understandable information about the contract theyā€™ll sign - The consumers must be informed about theirs and their financial institutionā€™s rights, obligations and responsibilities 11
  • 12. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Overindebtedness 1. Actors Responsibilities Consumer Associations Advisory Financial Offices are important because: - They can provide answers to consumersā€™ legal questions - They can help indebted or overindebted households to solve their problems and provide independent counselling Recommendations: - Use of internet as an instrument to cover all country and develop ā€˜indebtedness testsā€™ to help consumers understand their level of dependency - Participation in financial education programmes 12
  • 13. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Overindebtedness 1. Actors Responsibilities Government - Preventive Measures Credit supply: - Create and enforce the use of clear rules to be followed by all financial institutions (that standardise the relevant information that financial institutions must provide) - Advertise the Annual Tax Rate (ATR) Credit demand: - Stimulate savings - Financial education namely the meaning of the ATR - Support Advisory Financial Offices 13
  • 14. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Overindebtedness 1. Actors Responsibilities Government - Measures to deal with the Indebtedness and Overindebtedness Credit supply: - Create special credit lines to less income households - Sensitize financial institutions to the need of readjustment of payment plans - More responsible credit and calculate risk more efficiently Credit demand: - Mechanisms necessary to facilitate rehabilitation of over indebted individuals and families and their reintegration into society (Renegotiating debts versus Personal Bankruptcy) 14
  • 15. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Overindebtedness 2. Investigation, benchmarking and permanent evaluation Intensive investigation to follow and understand fast changes in our consumer society in order to act in the systemic factors of overindebtedness - a priori (avoid the problem before it affects consumers) - a posteriori (to face the problem and solve it, or at least diminish its damages) Benchmarking to share knowledge of other communities - Not to pay learning costs - Having in mind the specific reality of each country and community Permanent Evaluation of measures efficiency in order to find the best solution for the individual and the community 15
  • 16. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Overindebtedness 3. Consumer Financial Education Preventive (in schools) - Financial education represents a precious common ground on which creditors and debtors, government agencies and non-governmental organizations can stand together. Post-overindebtedness, so that people deal with their problem, solve it and be able to avoid it next time. 4. Better Regulation Legal frameworks - Markets must be the primary solution to credit problems; consumers should get as much information as possible and have time for reflection. Facing a dilemma - Regulation versus Self-regulation 16
  • 17. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Overindebtedness 5. Responsible Lending Practices Consumers, Governments and Financial Institutions must be able to foresee and prevent over indebtedness of individuals and families Financial Institutions must practise a responsible credit, and must be forced to calculate risk more efficiently - More and better information - Time for reflection - Measures to alleviate the effects of the recovery of debts 17
  • 18. !quot;#$%&'()quot;#*+,#-./(.-#.$$+0#-+12.3)#-./(.-#.$$ Overview When credit ā€˜democratizationā€™ generalizes and indebtedness rises, more than prevent, we have to find a solution to consumersā€™ insolvency Risk of social exclusion - Renegotiating debts (new payment plan, according to the income) versus Personal Bankruptcy and forgiveness of part of the debt (ā€˜fresh startā€™) - Whatever option we decide has a collective community, we canĀ“t forget the cultural Background - Risk of ā€˜free ridingā€™ attitude of consumers Whatever are the measures taken - Facilitate rehabilitation of over indebted individuals and families and their reintegration into society - Long-term perspective - Its efficiency must be evaluated throughout time - Measures must not crowd out consumersā€™ responsibility in fulfilling their duties 18