The	
  Challenge	
  and	
  Opportunity	
  of	
  
Comprehensive	
  Climate	
  Resilience	
  
Lara	
  Hansen,	
  Ph.D.	
  	
  
Chief	
  Scien3st	
  &	
  Execu3ve	
  Director	
  
Resilience	
  =	
  Adapta3on	
  +	
  Mi3ga3on	
  +	
  Social	
  Cohesion	
  	
  
Adapta:on	
  
Ac3ons	
  that	
  reduce	
  the	
  adverse	
  effects	
  or	
  harness	
  the	
  
beneficial	
  effects	
  of	
  climate	
  change	
  by	
  planning	
  for	
  change	
  
	
  
Mi:ga:on	
  
Reducing	
  GHG	
  emissions	
  that	
  cause	
  climate	
  change	
  
	
  
Social	
  Cohesion	
  
Willingness	
  of	
  members	
  of	
  a	
  community	
  to	
  cooperate	
  in	
  
order	
  to	
  achieve	
  resilience	
  
Defini3ons	
  
 The	
  Climate	
  Clock	
  
	
  	
  
 The	
  Climate	
  Clock	
  
	
  	
  
 The	
  Climate	
  Clock	
  
	
  	
  
San	
  Francisco	
  Bay	
  Area	
  with	
  
a	
  projected	
  55	
  inches	
  of	
  sea	
  
level	
  rise	
  
 The	
  Climate	
  Clock	
  
	
  	
  
Ocean	
  Acidifica3on	
  
Energy	
  
Use	
  
Air	
  
Quality	
  
Implica3ons	
  of	
  the	
  clock	
  
	
  	
  
Drought	
  
Flooding	
  
How	
  to	
  not	
  lose	
  any	
  progress	
  we’ve	
  made	
  to	
  the	
  
problem	
  we’ve	
  created?	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  GeVng	
  to	
  Durability	
  
“The	
  future	
  ain’t	
  what	
  it	
  
used	
  to	
  be.”	
  	
  
-­‐Yogi	
  Berra	
  
	
  
 	
  	
  	
  
Adapta:on	
  Op:ons	
  
Resistance	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Resilience	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Response	
  
Vulnerability	
  
 	
  	
  Five	
  tenets	
  of	
  adapta3on	
  
• Refugia	
  	
  
• Gradients	
  (La3tudinal/Eleva3onal)	
  
• Heterogeneity	
  
• Connec3vity	
  
• Linkage	
  between	
  systems	
  
Spa$al/Place-­‐based	
  Ac$ons	
  Require	
  Temporal	
  Thinking	
  
1)	
  Protect	
  adequate	
  and	
  appropriate	
  space	
  for	
  a	
  	
  
changing	
  world	
  
2)	
  Reduce	
  non-­‐climate	
  stressors	
  
Disease	
  &	
  Pest	
  
Species	
  
Pollution	
  &	
  	
  
Habitat	
  Degradation	
  
Agriculture	
  &	
  Habitat	
  
Fragmentation	
  Unsustainable	
  
Harvest	
  
© WWF/ Eric Mielbrecht
3)	
  Manage	
  for	
  Uncertainty	
  
Making	
  decisions	
  given	
  an	
  
uncertain	
  future	
  
Using	
  the	
  information	
  we	
  already	
  have	
  
to	
  inform	
  what	
  we	
  already	
  do!	
  
A	
  word	
  about	
  Uncertainty	
  
Should	
  I	
  take	
  my	
  umbrella?	
  
4)	
  Reduce	
  local	
  and	
  regional	
  climate	
  change	
  
MichaelS.Quinton,NationalGeographic
Resilience	
  op3ons	
  have	
  limits,	
  
some	
  systems	
  are	
  very	
  limited	
  
5)	
  Reduce	
  Greenhouse	
  Gas	
  Emissions	
  
Making	
  progress	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
in	
  resilience	
  
4.	
  Implementation	
  
6.	
  Integration	
  
5.	
  Evaluation	
  
3.	
  Planning	
  
2.	
  Assessment	
  
7.	
  Sharing	
  
1.	
  Awareness	
  
www.cakex.org
A	
  conceptual	
  interpreta3on	
  What	
  are	
  your	
  
goals?	
  Individual	
  
and	
  collec3ve	
  
How	
  does	
  climate	
  
change	
  affect	
  your	
  
region	
  and	
  the	
  services	
  
you	
  support?	
  
How	
  will	
  changes	
  in	
  the	
  
region	
  effect	
  the	
  
effec3veness	
  of	
  your	
  goals,	
  
plans	
  and	
  ac3vi3es?	
  
How	
  likely	
  are	
  those	
  
changes	
  to	
  occur	
  and	
  
how	
  will	
  they	
  interact	
  
with	
  other	
  stressors?	
  
	
  
What	
  can	
  you	
  do	
  
about	
  it?	
  
	
  
What	
  are	
  you	
  
presently	
  
planning/doing	
  
in	
  your	
  work?	
  
Process	
  
Are	
  you	
  considering	
  climate	
  change	
  when	
  you	
  
develop	
  your	
  goals,	
  plans	
  and	
  ac3ons?	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Asking	
  Climate	
  Ques3on(s)	
  
Etc…..	
  
Asking	
  Climate	
  Ques3on(s)	
  
Is	
  this	
  skateboard	
  
company	
  
planning	
  for	
  
climate	
  change	
  
more	
  than	
  your	
  
community?	
  
	
  
	
  
 Climate	
  Change’s	
  Opportunity	
  
Climate	
  change	
  gives	
  us	
  the	
  opportunity	
  
in	
  evalua3ng	
  what	
  we	
  can	
  do	
  to	
  reduce	
  
our	
  vulnerability	
  to	
  climate	
  change	
  	
  
to	
  re-­‐imagine	
  our	
  communi3es	
  
Changing	
  them	
  to	
  reflect	
  our	
  collected	
  values,	
  	
  
Priori3ze	
  the	
  people	
  that	
  live	
  in	
  them,	
  	
  
And	
  make	
  them	
  more	
  resilient	
  for	
  a	
  shared	
  future.	
  	
  
	
  
We	
  can	
  correct	
  past	
  decisions	
  that	
  created	
  inequitable	
  
zoning,	
  growth	
  rather	
  than	
  people,	
  and	
  the	
  fossil	
  energy	
  
economy	
  that	
  created	
  the	
  problems	
  we	
  fact	
  today.	
  	
  

The Challenge and Opportunity of Comprehensive Climate Resilience

  • 1.
    The  Challenge  and  Opportunity  of   Comprehensive  Climate  Resilience   Lara  Hansen,  Ph.D.     Chief  Scien3st  &  Execu3ve  Director  
  • 2.
    Resilience  =  Adapta3on  +  Mi3ga3on  +  Social  Cohesion     Adapta:on   Ac3ons  that  reduce  the  adverse  effects  or  harness  the   beneficial  effects  of  climate  change  by  planning  for  change     Mi:ga:on   Reducing  GHG  emissions  that  cause  climate  change     Social  Cohesion   Willingness  of  members  of  a  community  to  cooperate  in   order  to  achieve  resilience   Defini3ons  
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
     The  Climate  Clock       San  Francisco  Bay  Area  with   a  projected  55  inches  of  sea   level  rise  
  • 6.
     The  Climate  Clock       Ocean  Acidifica3on  
  • 7.
    Energy   Use   Air   Quality   Implica3ons  of  the  clock       Drought   Flooding  
  • 8.
    How  to  not  lose  any  progress  we’ve  made  to  the   problem  we’ve  created?            GeVng  to  Durability   “The  future  ain’t  what  it   used  to  be.”     -­‐Yogi  Berra    
  • 9.
            Adapta:on  Op:ons   Resistance                  Resilience                  Response   Vulnerability  
  • 10.
         Five  tenets  of  adapta3on  
  • 11.
    • Refugia     • Gradients  (La3tudinal/Eleva3onal)   • Heterogeneity   • Connec3vity   • Linkage  between  systems   Spa$al/Place-­‐based  Ac$ons  Require  Temporal  Thinking   1)  Protect  adequate  and  appropriate  space  for  a     changing  world  
  • 12.
    2)  Reduce  non-­‐climate  stressors   Disease  &  Pest   Species   Pollution  &     Habitat  Degradation   Agriculture  &  Habitat   Fragmentation  Unsustainable   Harvest  
  • 13.
    © WWF/ EricMielbrecht 3)  Manage  for  Uncertainty  
  • 14.
    Making  decisions  given  an   uncertain  future   Using  the  information  we  already  have   to  inform  what  we  already  do!   A  word  about  Uncertainty  
  • 15.
    Should  I  take  my  umbrella?  
  • 16.
    4)  Reduce  local  and  regional  climate  change   MichaelS.Quinton,NationalGeographic
  • 17.
    Resilience  op3ons  have  limits,   some  systems  are  very  limited   5)  Reduce  Greenhouse  Gas  Emissions  
  • 18.
    Making  progress                             in  resilience   4.  Implementation   6.  Integration   5.  Evaluation   3.  Planning   2.  Assessment   7.  Sharing   1.  Awareness   www.cakex.org
  • 19.
    A  conceptual  interpreta3on  What  are  your   goals?  Individual   and  collec3ve   How  does  climate   change  affect  your   region  and  the  services   you  support?   How  will  changes  in  the   region  effect  the   effec3veness  of  your  goals,   plans  and  ac3vi3es?   How  likely  are  those   changes  to  occur  and   how  will  they  interact   with  other  stressors?     What  can  you  do   about  it?     What  are  you   presently   planning/doing   in  your  work?   Process  
  • 20.
    Are  you  considering  climate  change  when  you   develop  your  goals,  plans  and  ac3ons?         Asking  Climate  Ques3on(s)   Etc…..  
  • 21.
  • 22.
    Is  this  skateboard   company   planning  for   climate  change   more  than  your   community?      
  • 23.
     Climate  Change’s  Opportunity   Climate  change  gives  us  the  opportunity   in  evalua3ng  what  we  can  do  to  reduce   our  vulnerability  to  climate  change     to  re-­‐imagine  our  communi3es   Changing  them  to  reflect  our  collected  values,     Priori3ze  the  people  that  live  in  them,     And  make  them  more  resilient  for  a  shared  future.       We  can  correct  past  decisions  that  created  inequitable   zoning,  growth  rather  than  people,  and  the  fossil  energy   economy  that  created  the  problems  we  fact  today.