Technology, Innovation,
and Modern War
INTLPOL 340; MS&E 296
Steve Blank, Joe Felter, Raj Shah
Lesson 3:Sourcing, Acquiring and
Deploying Technology for Modern War
Agenda
• Class Logistics
• White Board Session
• Lecture: “Sourcing, Acquiring and Deploying Technology
for Modern War”
• Discussion
• Lesson 4 - Preview “US Defense Strategies and Military
Plans in an Era of Great Power Competition”
Winning The Wars We Knew
And through all this welter of change and development,
your mission remains fixed, determined, inviolable:
it is to win our wars
Two Paradigm Shifts
in Acquisition
● Innovations that will shape future conflicts will
increasingly occur in the commercial technology base.
● Advancements in these technologies will be driven by
consumer demand and the potential for profit- not
government directives.
● Requirements are not known years ahead of time
What we could make you experts on if we had 30
years instead of 20 minutes
Requirements Developed
Prototypes Developed
Production Developed
Sustainment
AWG
JIDA
REF
Technology Maturity
F-35
F-22
AEGIS
CH-47
DoD
Labs
“Valley of Death”
R&D Programs of Record
SOCOM, NSA, CIA, Services
LAB 41
CTTSO
Requirements Developed
Prototypes Developed
Production Developed
Sustainment
DARPA
DOE
Labs
Barriers to reform
• Congress
• Service culture
• Workforce incentives
• Traditional industrial base
• Process
• Requirements
• Acquisitions
• Imagination
Paradigm shifts:
● Exquisite vs commodity
● Buy vs build
● Driving urgency vs a patient adversary
For more see: Haggerty, A. and Wood, R. The P-51 Mustang: A Case Study in Defense Acquisition. October 2010. Defense Acquisition University (www.dau.mil)
https://www.dau.edu/cop/pm/dau%20sponsored%20documents/mrap%20history%20final%2030june2014.pdf
Real progress is happening
● Software color of money
● Middle-tier acquisitions
● OTAs
● Commercial outreach
● SIBR reform
● Software factories
● Talent pipelines
Issues to think about:
- Scale
- Change led by conops
Questions to discuss:
• What would it take to awaken the American public?
• What will your generation’s Sputnik Moment be?
• What frameworks could we use to speculate on how
the future of war will look?
• How can validate our speculations?

Lecture 3 - Technology, innovation and Modern War