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Appendix 1:                             Many rules of thumb exist that
                                                                suggest improving your lubrication
                        Quantifying the                         program would garner a 10%

                        Business Opportunity
                                                                reduction in maintenance costs,
                                                                or that implementing RCM would
                                                                improve productivity by 20%, or that
                                he very first challenge with


                        T
                                                                implementing precision alignment
                                any improvement initiative is   standards would decrease energy
                                to demonstrate that spending    consumption by 7-11%. While all of
                        money to improve something will         these have been true for scores of
                        actually yield a return. Essentially,   plants, when it comes to our plant,
                        we must build a business case           we are skeptical about attaching our
                        to show that the investment in          name to a business case that is built
                        the initiative is worthwhile. While     on rules of thumb, no matter how
                        most people understand this, the        historically reliable they may be. So,
                        challenge comes in the next step:       what is the answer?
                        agreeing on performance standards.

                                                                Business cases built on actual
                                                                data versus rules of thumb are
                                                                usually much more successful in
                                                                garnering support. Then enters the
                                                                next challenge, and that is one of
                                                                design parameters. Immediately,
                                                                people begin to argue about whether
                                                                a machine could do this or should
                                                                do that, and whether or not it was
                                                                designed for this rate, or remember
                                                                that one day for about an hour it had
                                                                actually done twice that, and so on.




32   GPAllied, © 2011
Debates rage on about design            scientific exercise, based on actual
capacity versus actual capacity         data and void of any opinion
and quickly turn into philosophical     or conjecture. The findings are
debates about unrealistic               clear, and the hidden capacity of
expectations versus theoretical         the production line is simply and
design and actual performance.          quickly calculated, thus making the
These debates are further               monetization of process losses easy
aggravated by the ever-present          and painless.
“well, when I ran these kinds of
plants, I routinely got 30% more out    The message is based on
of it than you are” type of comments.   demonstrating the business value of
When the dust has settled, we are       employing science and engineering
no closer to an agreed upon process     as a process improvement tool
maximum than when we started the        that can visually bring the value
debate.                                 proposition we offer to life. These
                                        plots allow us to provide a clear
This is where Process Weibull Plots     vision of gains a process line can
can help. Immediately, 99% of           make, and only requires an hour
those conversations become moot.        or so of our effort using one year’s
Why? Because Process Weibull            worth of daily production data in
Plots simply take a look at a plant’s   order to do so.
actual daily production, find the
repeatable patterns of demonstrated
production capacity, and show the
effects of removing variation from
the process and holding that level
of performance for a longer period
of time. Thus, the opportunity case
for improving the performance of
a given line becomes a strictly




                                                                               www.gpallied.com   33
What Is a Process Weibull Plot?        This data is valuable for running
                        Process Weibull Plots, or more         day-to-day operations, but it is not
                        simply process plots, represent a      extremely valuable when it comes
                        new way of looking at production       to understanding the value of gains
                        data. In most cases, industries look   from improving process control and
                        at their daily production data in a    reliability levels. Process plots give
                        time plot format, as shown below.      us that capability.


                        In other words, they show production   The process plot provides a wealth
                        data from day-to-day and calculate     of information at a quick glance.
                        averages, standard deviations,         With this plot, we are able to see the
                        and in some sophisticated cases,       line’s normal level of process control
                        they even generate Statistical         and the point at which process
                        Process Control (SPC) values for       reliability is lost.
                        understanding when they may
                        be losing control of their process.




34   GPAllied, © 2011
The Beta value of the plot is the
                                           Beta Value            Control Level
prime indicator of the level of control.
The point at which the plot strays             5                      Poor
from the production line is where
process reliability is lost. We can           10                      Fair

then calculate the production gains           25                      Tight
that can be made from improving
process and asset reliability, as             50                    Excellent

well as the gains that can be made            100       World Class (Potential Six-Sigma)
from improving overall control of the
process.                                      200               Seldom Achieved


                                                                          www.gpallied.com   35
How Would We Use This                      Line Monitoring and Performance
                        Information?                               Improvement
                        Performance is a function of three         The Special and Common Cause
                        things: 1) your rate; 2) how much          Losses can be calculated and used
                        variation you have in that rate;           to benchmark a process line.
                        and 3) how long you were able to           Special cause losses are those
                        maintain that rate within a given level    losses associated with significant
                        of variation. It takes all three factors   amounts of downtime. These
                        to attain high levels of performance.      losses are very often the result of
                        Let any one of the three drop and          commercial downtime, equipment
                        line performance is significantly          failures, problems with raw
                        affected.                                  materials, and/or supply chain
                                                                   issues. Common Cause Losses are
                        Process plots are excellent ways to        a lot harder to track and, when not
                        measure all three, and the data from       using process plots, very difficult to
                        the analysis of these plots can be         quantify. Common Cause Losses
                        used in numerous ways.                     are those losses that are usually the
                                                                   result of short process interruptions,
                                                                   equipment changeovers, variations
                                                                   in raw materials that result in jams,
                                                                   variations in operators, etc.




36   GPAllied, © 2011
Hidden Plant Capacity Calculations      In summary, using a production
The losses associated with a line       line’s actual daily output to calculate
equate to production units lost.        line performance characteristics
Recovering those lost units in the      and the amount of hidden capacity
future means more production            is fairly straightforward utilizing
from the same amount of invested        Process Weibull Plots. These plots
capital. The losses can add up to       relieve the analyst of the burden of
numbers so large that capital dollars   the traditional engineering versus
need not be spent. Meaning, if          actual performance set points and
enough lines have enough hidden         enable a useful and believable
capacity, then additional lines need    calculation of line performance.
not be built if the business is in a
sold-out state. If the business is      How would you shift Beta and
not capacity constrained, then two      increase Process Reliability?
shift operations could be reduced
to single shift operations, provided
enough of the hidden plant capacity
is uncovered.




                                                                                  www.gpallied.com   37

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Quantifying The Business Opportunity

  • 1. Appendix 1: Many rules of thumb exist that suggest improving your lubrication Quantifying the program would garner a 10% Business Opportunity reduction in maintenance costs, or that implementing RCM would improve productivity by 20%, or that he very first challenge with T implementing precision alignment any improvement initiative is standards would decrease energy to demonstrate that spending consumption by 7-11%. While all of money to improve something will these have been true for scores of actually yield a return. Essentially, plants, when it comes to our plant, we must build a business case we are skeptical about attaching our to show that the investment in name to a business case that is built the initiative is worthwhile. While on rules of thumb, no matter how most people understand this, the historically reliable they may be. So, challenge comes in the next step: what is the answer? agreeing on performance standards. Business cases built on actual data versus rules of thumb are usually much more successful in garnering support. Then enters the next challenge, and that is one of design parameters. Immediately, people begin to argue about whether a machine could do this or should do that, and whether or not it was designed for this rate, or remember that one day for about an hour it had actually done twice that, and so on. 32 GPAllied, © 2011
  • 2. Debates rage on about design scientific exercise, based on actual capacity versus actual capacity data and void of any opinion and quickly turn into philosophical or conjecture. The findings are debates about unrealistic clear, and the hidden capacity of expectations versus theoretical the production line is simply and design and actual performance. quickly calculated, thus making the These debates are further monetization of process losses easy aggravated by the ever-present and painless. “well, when I ran these kinds of plants, I routinely got 30% more out The message is based on of it than you are” type of comments. demonstrating the business value of When the dust has settled, we are employing science and engineering no closer to an agreed upon process as a process improvement tool maximum than when we started the that can visually bring the value debate. proposition we offer to life. These plots allow us to provide a clear This is where Process Weibull Plots vision of gains a process line can can help. Immediately, 99% of make, and only requires an hour those conversations become moot. or so of our effort using one year’s Why? Because Process Weibull worth of daily production data in Plots simply take a look at a plant’s order to do so. actual daily production, find the repeatable patterns of demonstrated production capacity, and show the effects of removing variation from the process and holding that level of performance for a longer period of time. Thus, the opportunity case for improving the performance of a given line becomes a strictly www.gpallied.com 33
  • 3. What Is a Process Weibull Plot? This data is valuable for running Process Weibull Plots, or more day-to-day operations, but it is not simply process plots, represent a extremely valuable when it comes new way of looking at production to understanding the value of gains data. In most cases, industries look from improving process control and at their daily production data in a reliability levels. Process plots give time plot format, as shown below. us that capability. In other words, they show production The process plot provides a wealth data from day-to-day and calculate of information at a quick glance. averages, standard deviations, With this plot, we are able to see the and in some sophisticated cases, line’s normal level of process control they even generate Statistical and the point at which process Process Control (SPC) values for reliability is lost. understanding when they may be losing control of their process. 34 GPAllied, © 2011
  • 4. The Beta value of the plot is the Beta Value Control Level prime indicator of the level of control. The point at which the plot strays 5 Poor from the production line is where process reliability is lost. We can 10 Fair then calculate the production gains 25 Tight that can be made from improving process and asset reliability, as 50 Excellent well as the gains that can be made 100 World Class (Potential Six-Sigma) from improving overall control of the process. 200 Seldom Achieved www.gpallied.com 35
  • 5. How Would We Use This Line Monitoring and Performance Information? Improvement Performance is a function of three The Special and Common Cause things: 1) your rate; 2) how much Losses can be calculated and used variation you have in that rate; to benchmark a process line. and 3) how long you were able to Special cause losses are those maintain that rate within a given level losses associated with significant of variation. It takes all three factors amounts of downtime. These to attain high levels of performance. losses are very often the result of Let any one of the three drop and commercial downtime, equipment line performance is significantly failures, problems with raw affected. materials, and/or supply chain issues. Common Cause Losses are Process plots are excellent ways to a lot harder to track and, when not measure all three, and the data from using process plots, very difficult to the analysis of these plots can be quantify. Common Cause Losses used in numerous ways. are those losses that are usually the result of short process interruptions, equipment changeovers, variations in raw materials that result in jams, variations in operators, etc. 36 GPAllied, © 2011
  • 6. Hidden Plant Capacity Calculations In summary, using a production The losses associated with a line line’s actual daily output to calculate equate to production units lost. line performance characteristics Recovering those lost units in the and the amount of hidden capacity future means more production is fairly straightforward utilizing from the same amount of invested Process Weibull Plots. These plots capital. The losses can add up to relieve the analyst of the burden of numbers so large that capital dollars the traditional engineering versus need not be spent. Meaning, if actual performance set points and enough lines have enough hidden enable a useful and believable capacity, then additional lines need calculation of line performance. not be built if the business is in a sold-out state. If the business is How would you shift Beta and not capacity constrained, then two increase Process Reliability? shift operations could be reduced to single shift operations, provided enough of the hidden plant capacity is uncovered. www.gpallied.com 37