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Current State of Real
Estate Q1 2018
By Ray Dipasupil
ray@rodeore.com
1
HI, I’M RAY!
➢ Economics major, Accounting minor Degree from Loyola
➢ 7 years of fun with UX / Product Design & Front-End
engineering experience with companies across industries
including Rovi Technologies, Tata Consulting, Variety,
ABCMouse, Internet Brands, & 3D printing with
EEZITEC. Worked also as Financial Analyst with Disney
& Warner Music Group
➢ Realtor with Rodeo Realty focused on commercial &
residential properties, & investments.
Email: ray@rodeore.com
Linkedin: linkedin.com/in/raysspl/
2
What is the Current State of the Real Estate Market?
Buying vs Renting? What matters to YOU?
Bonus: Real Estate Investing
Q&A, Networking
Agenda
Ray Dipasupil
3
WHAT IS THE
CURRENT STATE OF
THE REAL ESTATE
MARKET FOR Q1 2018?
Ray Dipasupil
4
Current State of the Real Estate Market
Short on supply & inventory, high on demand
Ray Dipasupil
5
National Association of Realtors reported number of existing homes sold
in 2017 increased 1.1% from 2016 to the highest level in 11 years.
Current State of the Real Estate Market
➢ Existing, single-family home sales totaled 422,910 in February up 3.3% from January &
5.4% from February 2017.
➢ February’s statewide median home price was $522,440, down 1% from January & up
8% from February 2017.
➢ San Francisco, San Mateo, Marin, Santa Clara, Sonoma counties surpassed previous
peak price to hit $1,730,000, $1,610,000, $1,371,000, $1,383,500, and $689,000.
➢ The unsold inventory index revealed that there was just a 2.5 month supply of homes in
the market in December, the lowest monthly reading in 13 years.
➢ Median price in Los Angeles County increased 10.6%, while number of sales dropped
7.3%.
Ray Dipasupil
6
➢ Stocks close higher for the last week of February
➢ Most companies reported higher profits for the fourth quarter of 2017 and issued
positive guidance.
➢ Extremely tight inventory has caused prices to increase and has begun to cause
fewer sales.
➢ Mortgage Rates slightly lower - 30 year fixed mortgage rate average was 4.44%,
down slightly from last week’s 4.46%. The 15 year fixed was 3.90%, down from
3.94% last week. The 5-year ARM was 3.67%, up from 3.63% last week.
Current State of the Real Estate Market
Ray Dipasupil
7
Who is Buying in California
Median Age: 45
Ray Dipasupil
Source: California Association of Realtors
8
Who is Selling in California
Median Age: 45
Ray Dipasupil
Source: California Association of Realtors
9
Tight Supply Pushed Home Prices ⅓ Sold Above Asking
Ray Dipasupil
10
Market Competitiveness Up in 2017
6 out of 10 had Multiple Offers
Ray Dipasupil
11
RENTING VS BUYING? WHICH ROUTE?
12
RENTING & BUYING
AREN’T GOOD
OR BAD. IT DEPENDS
Ray Dipasupil
13
Equally Convincing Arguments in Favor of Renting
➢ You own your house, but you pay quite a bit in interest and taxes.
➢ You get a place to live. It’s not wasted money.
➢ Buying has an opportunity cost—the amount you can invest and earn on the
down payment, taxes, insurance payments, and interest.
➢ Not liable for repairs, maintenance, or other issues that come up.
Ray Dipasupil
14
Strong Arguments in Favor of Buying
● Paid off home is yours. You eliminate the expense of housing once
you’ve paid it off.
● If the home appreciates more than you’ve paid in mortgage, interest,
taxes, & maintenance over time, you’ve earned a return.
● Tax credits help offset some of the cost of homeownership.
Ray Dipasupil
15
➢ How long you’ll live in the home
➢ The cost of housing in the area
➢ The opportunity cost of taxes & insurance
➢ The opportunity cost of down payment
Factor Dependent, Case by Case Basis
Ray Dipasupil
16
Or at least it should be… if structured correctly…
➢ Major consensus: Primary home is not an investment
➢ Investing myth is another valid argument against buying
➢ However...
A Home is Both a Purchase & an Investment
Ray Dipasupil
17
Just because your home
isn’t a great investment
doesn’t necessarily make
it a bad purchase.
Ray Dipasupil
18
➢ American Dream of Homeownership but numbers have to add up
➢ Don’t buy a home & be house poor
➢ Buying a home for the sake of owning is pretty pointless
➢ Numbers & non-numerical numbers have to add-up, be pragmatic
➢ However… if you really have the financial means, it’s always a good
time to buy & invest in real estate
THE BOTTOMLINE
Ray DipasupilRay Dipasupil
19
Many ways to invest within real estate
➢ Fix-n-Flips
➢ Buy & Hold
➢ Notes
➢ REITs
➢ Private Lending
Bonus: Real Estate Investing
Ray Dipasupil
20
THANK YOU
NETWORKING, Q&A
RAY@RODEORE.COM
linkedin.com/in/raysspl/
Ray Dipasupil
21

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Current State of Real estate Q1 2018

  • 1. Current State of Real Estate Q1 2018 By Ray Dipasupil ray@rodeore.com 1
  • 2. HI, I’M RAY! ➢ Economics major, Accounting minor Degree from Loyola ➢ 7 years of fun with UX / Product Design & Front-End engineering experience with companies across industries including Rovi Technologies, Tata Consulting, Variety, ABCMouse, Internet Brands, & 3D printing with EEZITEC. Worked also as Financial Analyst with Disney & Warner Music Group ➢ Realtor with Rodeo Realty focused on commercial & residential properties, & investments. Email: ray@rodeore.com Linkedin: linkedin.com/in/raysspl/ 2
  • 3. What is the Current State of the Real Estate Market? Buying vs Renting? What matters to YOU? Bonus: Real Estate Investing Q&A, Networking Agenda Ray Dipasupil 3
  • 4. WHAT IS THE CURRENT STATE OF THE REAL ESTATE MARKET FOR Q1 2018? Ray Dipasupil 4
  • 5. Current State of the Real Estate Market Short on supply & inventory, high on demand Ray Dipasupil 5 National Association of Realtors reported number of existing homes sold in 2017 increased 1.1% from 2016 to the highest level in 11 years.
  • 6. Current State of the Real Estate Market ➢ Existing, single-family home sales totaled 422,910 in February up 3.3% from January & 5.4% from February 2017. ➢ February’s statewide median home price was $522,440, down 1% from January & up 8% from February 2017. ➢ San Francisco, San Mateo, Marin, Santa Clara, Sonoma counties surpassed previous peak price to hit $1,730,000, $1,610,000, $1,371,000, $1,383,500, and $689,000. ➢ The unsold inventory index revealed that there was just a 2.5 month supply of homes in the market in December, the lowest monthly reading in 13 years. ➢ Median price in Los Angeles County increased 10.6%, while number of sales dropped 7.3%. Ray Dipasupil 6
  • 7. ➢ Stocks close higher for the last week of February ➢ Most companies reported higher profits for the fourth quarter of 2017 and issued positive guidance. ➢ Extremely tight inventory has caused prices to increase and has begun to cause fewer sales. ➢ Mortgage Rates slightly lower - 30 year fixed mortgage rate average was 4.44%, down slightly from last week’s 4.46%. The 15 year fixed was 3.90%, down from 3.94% last week. The 5-year ARM was 3.67%, up from 3.63% last week. Current State of the Real Estate Market Ray Dipasupil 7
  • 8. Who is Buying in California Median Age: 45 Ray Dipasupil Source: California Association of Realtors 8
  • 9. Who is Selling in California Median Age: 45 Ray Dipasupil Source: California Association of Realtors 9
  • 10. Tight Supply Pushed Home Prices ⅓ Sold Above Asking Ray Dipasupil 10
  • 11. Market Competitiveness Up in 2017 6 out of 10 had Multiple Offers Ray Dipasupil 11
  • 12. RENTING VS BUYING? WHICH ROUTE? 12
  • 13. RENTING & BUYING AREN’T GOOD OR BAD. IT DEPENDS Ray Dipasupil 13
  • 14. Equally Convincing Arguments in Favor of Renting ➢ You own your house, but you pay quite a bit in interest and taxes. ➢ You get a place to live. It’s not wasted money. ➢ Buying has an opportunity cost—the amount you can invest and earn on the down payment, taxes, insurance payments, and interest. ➢ Not liable for repairs, maintenance, or other issues that come up. Ray Dipasupil 14
  • 15. Strong Arguments in Favor of Buying ● Paid off home is yours. You eliminate the expense of housing once you’ve paid it off. ● If the home appreciates more than you’ve paid in mortgage, interest, taxes, & maintenance over time, you’ve earned a return. ● Tax credits help offset some of the cost of homeownership. Ray Dipasupil 15
  • 16. ➢ How long you’ll live in the home ➢ The cost of housing in the area ➢ The opportunity cost of taxes & insurance ➢ The opportunity cost of down payment Factor Dependent, Case by Case Basis Ray Dipasupil 16
  • 17. Or at least it should be… if structured correctly… ➢ Major consensus: Primary home is not an investment ➢ Investing myth is another valid argument against buying ➢ However... A Home is Both a Purchase & an Investment Ray Dipasupil 17
  • 18. Just because your home isn’t a great investment doesn’t necessarily make it a bad purchase. Ray Dipasupil 18
  • 19. ➢ American Dream of Homeownership but numbers have to add up ➢ Don’t buy a home & be house poor ➢ Buying a home for the sake of owning is pretty pointless ➢ Numbers & non-numerical numbers have to add-up, be pragmatic ➢ However… if you really have the financial means, it’s always a good time to buy & invest in real estate THE BOTTOMLINE Ray DipasupilRay Dipasupil 19
  • 20. Many ways to invest within real estate ➢ Fix-n-Flips ➢ Buy & Hold ➢ Notes ➢ REITs ➢ Private Lending Bonus: Real Estate Investing Ray Dipasupil 20