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PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS OF ALL THE OPEN ENDED
EQUITY MUTUAL FUND SCHEMES IN INDIA
FY 2015
Excel model to analyze portfolios of more than 340 parent open ended
equity mutual fund schemes in India.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Contents
Introduction ______________________________________________________________________________________________ 1
Company Profile__________________________________________________________________________________________ 3
Objective and Methodology______________________________________________________________________________ 4
Comparative Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 22
Findings and observation______________________________________________________________________________ 33
Suggestions and Recomendations_____________________________________________________________________ 36
Bibliography ____________________________________________________________________________________________ 37
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Introduction
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
It has been a little over 20 years since the asset management industry was opened up to the entry
of new players. The objective was to expand the business by widening and deepening the market
for asset management products. The inclusion of asset management products in the basket of
traditional investment avenues such as cash-in-hand, corporate and fixed deposits (FDs), savings
accounts, stocks and gold was expected to occur over time. The mid-90s saw the emergence of
stock investment trends with large-scale retail investments in the primary and secondary stock
markets. The IPO boom of the early 90s saw retail investors opting to invest a significant portion of
their investible surpluses in the stock markets. The enhanced liquidity chasing stocks
correspondingly saw a surge in the BSE Sensex from under 2000 in 1992 to around 5000 as on 31
March 2000. The same period also saw the asset management industry expand rapidly in terms of
number of schemes, products and companies. Considering the industry is still relatively young, its
evolution and growth over the two decades is impressive. This is true in all aspects and not just
about the scale of growth of assets under management (AuM). It applies to the creation of evolved
products as well as the human capital and skill development. The ecosystem including support and
outsourced functions has been created and knit together almost from scratch. The regulatory
regime kept pace with the changing environment and the AuM of the asset management industry
grew from 470 billion INR in 1993 to 1396 billion INR in 2004 and to 8252 billion INR in 2014.
LOOKING AHEAD
We earn regularly, we spend regularly but do we invest regularly??We all have various dreams that
we want to realize such as owning a house, owning a car or going on a vacation. Investments in
mutual funds can help realize such dreams. As we all know mutual funds have become highly
popular financial instrument in the recent years. Half of the household in America invest in a
mutual fund which stands out to trillions of dollars. This is indeed a huge sum of money. Slowly but
steadily the Indian Market is also adopting to investments in the Mutual Fund Industry. Currently
there are about 78 Lakh Investors in India who contribute to Mutual Funds on a regular basis. This
might be a small number as compared to other developed markets but one must consider this as
taking a baby step towards the right direction. This project gives you an insight into the mutual
fund industry and the likely trend in the Mutual Fund industry in the near future.
Pranjal Mitra
Xavier Institute of Social Service
June 26, 2015
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2
WHAT IS A MUTUAL FUND??
The history of Mutual Funds in India can be dated back to 1963, when UTI was established, by an
act of Parliament. There has been a drastic rise in the AuM in this period a mere 470 billion INR in
1993 to 1396 billion INR in 2004 and to 8252 billion INR in 2014. In this context it becomes
pertinent to study the pattern and behavior of the Mutual fund schemes, to which the common
man is still unaware of. The risk-return relationship is perhaps one of the best ways to analyze the
performance of a mutual fund. (AMFI, 2015)
A Mutual Fund is a trust that pools the savings of a number of investors who share a common
financial goal. It is essentially a diversified portfolio of financial instruments - these could be
equities, debentures/bonds or money market instruments. The corpus of the fund is then
deployed in investment alternatives that help to meet predefined investment objectives. The
income earned through these investments and the capital appreciation realised are shared by its
unit holders in proportion to the number of units owned by them. Thus a Mutual Fund is a suitable
investment for the common man as it offers an opportunity to invest in a diversified, professionally
managed basket of securities at a relatively low cost. The various types of funds are Balanced,
Debt. , Dynamic/Asset Allocation, Equity, ETF, Fund of Funds, GILT, Liquid, Regular and Speciality
Funds.
WHY ANALYSIS OF OPEN ENDED EQUITY MUTUAL FUNDS??
Open-ended Mutual Funds are priced daily and are always willing to buy back units from investors.
This means that investors can sell their holdings in Mutual Fund investments anytime without
worrying about finding a buyer at the right price. In the case of other investment avenues such as
stocks and bonds, buyers are not necessarily available and therefore these investment avenues are
less liquid compared to open-ended schemes of Mutual Funds. Thus there is a continuous shift in
the portfolio of an Open ended equity mutual fund. A closer look into the various portfolios can
help us predict an industry shift i.e. uptrend and downtrend in the NAV (Net Asset Value) of a fund.
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Company Profile
Tata Asset Management
Tata Asset Management has a track record of more than 20 years in investment management. The
company offers a range of investment solutions for financial planning and wealth creation. The
company also advises international investors in Indian equity assets.
The core strength of the company stems from its intellectual capital and its robust risk
management framework based on in-built controls and balances.
AREAS OF BUSINESS
Tata Asset Management manages funds across the entire risk-return continuum. These include
equity, hybrid and debt. The company also offers portfolio management services to high net worth
individuals and advisory services to offshore investors / funds investing in India. It also plans to
offer access to real estate investments via the alternative investment fund structure which has
been permitted by the Securities and Exchange Board of India.
As part of its social initiative, Tata Asset Management has taken the lead in providing financial
planning education to distributors and investors. Through its vastly popular Professor Simply
Simple jargon buster tool, the company has spread financial literacy to people in India and abroad.
LOCATION
Tata Asset Management is headquartered in Mumbai and has offices across India. (TataAMC, 2015)
“What comes from the people should go back to them many times over”
- J R D Tata
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Objective and Methodology
OBJECTIVE:
To analyze all the open ended equity mutual Fund schemes in India using an in house built in excel
tool.
“The Market offers more than 340 Parent open ended mutual fund schemes in India. Each mutual
fund is promising better returns than the other. In this paper an attempt has been made to analyze
the performance of all the open ended equity mutual funds schemes in India.”Comparisons have
been made on the basis of current 2 months portfolio data.
Impact of performance and overall market movement on inflows:
72 % of the investors profit on exit, even during turbulent times. Worryingly, may be cutting
themselves off from further gains. It’s time for distributors and fund houses to reinforce the
benefits of sticking around longer. It has also been noticed that the largest 4 schemes in the open
ended equity category are the ones which have built up a reputation for performance for a
substantial part of their long existence - HDFC Top 200, Reliance Growth Fund, HDFC Equity and
Franklin India Prima fund. (Jain, 2015)
The report concludes on an optimistic note that equity funds have come of age and are likely to
keep up this momentum over the next five to six years given many favorable factors such as under
penetration, high economic growth rate, tax benefits such as equity linked savings schemes and
enhanced presence in household savings products.
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METHODOLOGY:
An excel tool had been built for the comparison of data. The tool helped us to amalgamate data
from MFI Explorer and Capital Line.
The project can be divided into 3 parts:
1. Data extracted from MFI Explorer, data extracted from Capital Line in an excel sheet(.xls
format )
2. Compilation of data into a master file (.xls format)
3. Analysis of data using Pivots in Excel Sheet. Data changes based on Large Cap, mid cap,
diversified funds etc.
MFI EXPLORER:
MFI Explorer, a mutual fund analysis tool, addresses complete research and analysis requirement
for both fund advisory and fund management industry. The desktop application is powered by the
most comprehensive and authentic industry data and numerous benchmark information to help
you analyse fund’s performance and portfolio and compare it with peer-group or a benchmark
index. Over the years the product has established itself as the major source of custom peer
performance reports and industry analysis reports across many fund houses, wealth managers,
banks, brokers and advisors. (Explorer, 2015)
User Groups:
1. Fund management
2. Advisors and Financial Planners
3. Distributors and Brokers
4. Treasuries and Trusts
5. Education institutions
Features:
1. Large inbuilt report library: MFI Explorer comes with a massive collection of inbuilt reports
which adds to perspective and flexibility to analyze.
2. Flexible parameter selection: Flexibility in our case not only includes selection of some
additional data points in a report but also includes selection of most granular parameters
necessary for any report in the application.
3. Data quality: ICRON's content management team ensures that only the correct data goes
into MFI Explorer. This increases the reliability and consistency of reports many folds.
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Benefits:
1. Analyse fund performance with returns and ratios and the flexibility to select all the
parameters.
2. Get to know how portfolio was churned over different periods of time with details at
company or sector level.
3. Create Fund of Funds and compare its performance with any other scheme or index.
4. Create composite indices and use it along with standard indices to benchmark your scheme
set.
4. Save time on generating your frequently used reports by creating templates and
automatically updating data from the spreadsheet using Active Workbook.
Fig. I: The figure shows the screen shot of the Pilot Page of MFI Explorer. The screen shot
shows that there are a total of 341 parent open ended equity mutual funds schemes in India.
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CAPITAL LINE
Capitaline database provides fundamental and market data on more than 35,000 Indian listed and
unlisted companies, classified under more than 300 industries, along with powerful analytic tools.
Extensive data and analysis on every company profile, directors, more than 10-year financials
(P&L, balance sheet, cash flow, consolidated financial data, segment data, forex data, R&D data,
ratios, etc), quarterly results, ownership pattern, finished products, raw materials, share price
data, directors' report, management discussion, notes to account, business news, corporate events,
etc. Capitaline database is a sister product of Capital Market, India's foremost investment
fortnightly. The specialized expertise in data collection, standardization and presentation built up
since 1985 has earned Capitaline database the highest level of respect and confidence in the
financial information Industry. (Capitaline)
Fig. II: The figure shows the screen shot of the Pilot Page of Capitaline.
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Capital Line Master Files Steps:
File Name: Background
Components:
CO_CODE, CO_NAME, BSE Code, ISIN No, Company Long Name, Sector, BSE Scrip ID, BSE Group,
Bloomberg, Sensex, Nifty, BSE 100, BSE 200, BSE 500, BSE Teck, BSE IT, BSE CG, BSE FMCG, BSE CD,
BSE HC, BSE PSU, BSE Dollex, BSE Auto, BSE Greenex, BANK NIFTY, BSE IPO, BSE BANKEX, BSE
Metal, BSE Mid Cap, BSE Oil and Gas, BSE Power, BSE Realty, BSE Small Cap, Shariah 50, Nifty Jr,
Midcap 200, CNX 500, CNX IBG, CNX 100, CNX MNC, CNX IT, CNX 200, CNX FMCG, CNX Millen, CNX
PSE, CNX AUTO, CNX COMMODI, CNX CONSUMP, CNX DIVIDEN, CNX ENERGY, CNX FINANCE, CNX
INFRAST, CNX MEDIA, CNX METAL, CNX MID50, CNX MIDCAP, CNX PHARMA, CNX REALTY CNX
SERVICE, CNX SMALL CAP
File Name: Returns
Components:
Co_Code, Co_Name, BSE Code, ISIN No, Company Long Name, 7D, 15D, 1M, 3M, 6M, 1Y
File Name: Latest Equity
Components:
CO_CODE, CO_NAME, BSE Code, ISIN No, BSE Scrip ID, Price Date, Date:(ind. data), Latest No. of
Equity Shares, Latest Reserve, Latest EPS-Unit Curr., Latest Book value-Unit Curr., Face Value,
Latest Market Price-Unit Curr.(BSE), Latest P/E Ratio(BSE), Latest P/BV(BSE),52 Week High – Unit
Curr.(BSE), 52 Week High-Date(BSE), All Time High -Unit Curr.(BSE), All Time High-Date(BSE), 52
Week Low -Unit Curr.(BSE), 52 Week Low-Date(BSE), All Time Low -Unit Curr.(BSE), All Time
Low-Date(BSE), Market Capitalisation(BSE), Dividend Yield -%(BSE), Latest Industry P/E(BSE),
Latest Industry P/BV(BSE), Close PE (201504), Close PE (201503), Difference in PE in Comparison
with the Industry PE, Category Band
File Name: Monthly Equity
Components:
CO_CODE, CO_NAME, BSE Code, BSE Scrip ID, Year and Month(Latest), Month(Latest), Year
(Latest), High(Latest), Low(Latest), Close(Latest), High PE(Latest), Low PE(Latest), Close PE
(Latest), Market Cap(Latest), Volume(Latest), No of Trades(Latest), Net Turnover-Rs Thousands
(Latest)
File Name: MF Category (Mutual Fund Category)
Components:
DCode, RCode, Fund Name, Category
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Steps for Extraction of Background file.
1. Open Capital Line >> Open Screener [S symbol.
2. Go to Domain, click on Listed Companies (All the listed companies are selected. A total of
8808 companies as on 07/05/2015)
3. Click on the check box and click on select all.
4. Click on Filters. Open General >> Background.
5. For Compilation of the Background Files desired fields are being chosen. Eg. Company Long
Name, BSE Code, BSE Scrip ID, and all the BSE Indices.
6. Field criteria value can also be set based on our requirement.
7. Query saved as PT_Background so that fields need not be selected each month.
8. Run Query to import the files in Excel format. Fields are being verified and can be sorted out
accordingly as per requirement.
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Steps for Extraction of Return File.
1. Open Capital Line >> Open Screener [S symbol.
2. Go to Domain, click on Listed Companies (All the listed companies are selected. A total of
8808 companies as on 07/05/2015)
3. Click on the check box and click on select all.
4. Click on Filters. Open General >> Share Price Data
5. Click on Stock Return >> BSE Return
6. Select Simple, Select the date manually and separate fields according to 7D,15D, 1Month,6
Months, 1Year Respectively.
7. Query saved as PT_Returns so that fields need not be selected each month.
8. Run Query to import the files in Excel format. Fields are being verified and can be sorted out
accordingly as per requirement.
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Steps for Extraction of Latest Equity File.
1. Open Capital Line >> Open Screener [S symbol.
2. Go to Domain, click on Listed Companies (All the listed companies are selected. A total of
8808 companies as on 07/05/2015)
3. Click on the check box and click on select all.
4. Click on Filters. Open General >> Share Price Data
5. Click on Latest Equity
6. Select all fields.
7. Query saved as PT_Latest Equity so that fields need not be selected each month.
8. Run Query to import the files in Excel format. Fields are being verified and can be sorted out
accordingly as per requirement.
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Steps for Extraction of Monthly Equity File
1. Open Capital Line >> Open Screener [S symbol.
2. Go to Domain, click on Listed Companies (All the listed companies are selected. A total of
8808 companies as on 07/05/2015)
3. Click on the check box and click on select all.
4. Click on Filters. Open General >> Share Price Data
5. Click on Monthly Adjusted Price >> BSE
6. Select all fields.
7. Query saved as PT_Monthly Equity so that fields need not be selected each month.
8. Run Query to import the files in Excel format. Fields are being verified and can be sorted out
accordingly as per requirement.
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Steps for Extraction of Debt. MF Category
1. This List is being generated by the Investment team on a Monthly/ Quarterly / Yearly Basis
2. The file includes old and new mutual fund scheme codes.
3. Also includes the type of mutual fund i.e Arbitrage, Liquid, Diversified, Mid Cap, Large Cap,
Small-Micro Cap and GILT Funds.
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MFI Explorer File Steps:
MFI Explorer File: Directly extracted from MFI Explorer.
Components:
MutFund_Name, Scheme Code, Scheme Name, Port Date, Company Code, Company Name, Corpus
Percent, Market Value(Crs.), No Of Shares, Company Instrument, Company Nature, Company ISIN,
BSE Code
Fig. III. Excel Sheet extracted from MFI Explorer. The Screen Shot Show the
various components as per the query in the MFI Explorer.
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Steps for Extraction of MFI Explorer Files
1. Go to Menu >> General >> Select Schemes. The Selected Schemes are Parent Open ended
equity mutual fund schemes.
2. Go to Menu >> Performance >> Query Builder
3. Select the fields as per your requirement get the output in Excel and save the file on a
monthly basis.
Fig. IV: Excel Sheet extracted from MFI Explorer. The Screen Shot Show the
various components as per the query in the MFI Explorer.
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Master File Steps:
FIRST PART COMPONENTS:
Concat, Concatenate, Benchmark, AMFI Sector Classification
Concatenate: Helps us to calculate the change in number of Shares Month on Month basis. It takes
into consideration Scheme Code, Date and BSE Code.
Benchmark: Benchmark can be mentioned manually or benchmark can be exported from MFI
Explorer. Different Funds have different benchmarks that they follow. For Example it is no
necessary that all the Large Cap Funds will have the same benchmark.
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AMFI Sector Classification: Sector classifications have been done on the basis of AMFI (Association
of Mutual Funds of India).
Formula USED: VLOOKUP (BSE CODE) >> AMFI
SECOND PART COMPONENTS:
AMC, Scheme Code, Fund Name, Date, MFI Co Code, Company Name, % to Corpus, Market Value
(Rs. Crs), No. of Shares, Instrument Nature, ISIN, BSE, NSE
The Data in this part is being extracted from the MFI Explorer. Data is on a month on Month basis.
The data for the latest month is kept on top while the later months are kept at the bottom.
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THIRD PART COMPONENTS
Cline Code, Cline Co Name, Price, Market Cap, Market Cap Band, Instrument, Change in Share Price
Band, Change in Volume of Shares Traded, Return, Debt Market Cap Ratio, Additional Cline 2
Cline Code: Cline Code represents capitaline company code. Formula used VLOOKUP (BSE Code,
ISIN Code) >> Cline Company Name.
Cline Co Name: Cline Co Name represents capitaline company name. Formula used VLOOKUP (BSE
Code, ISIN Code)>> Cline Company Name.
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Price: Price represents the current market price of the stock. Price variable can be adjusted based
on the monthly average price or the day price. Formula Used VLOOKUP (BSE Code, ISIN Code)>>
Capitaline Master.
Market Cap: Market Cap represents the total market capitalization of a company. It represents the
value of all the listed shares of that particular company. Formula Used VLOOKUP (BSE Code, ISIN
Code)>> Capitaline Master.
Note: Market cap represents the total market capitalization based on the current price of the share.
Market Cap Band: Market cap band represents the current market cap scenario of the company.
The company can be small, mid, micro or a large cap company. Bifurcations have been made on the
basis of size of the market capitalization.
The entire Market cap lies in the range of 0 to 10000 Cr, 10000 Cr. and above. It signifies type of
companies the mutual funds are investing in.
Instrument: Instrument signifies the type of instrument the Mutual Fund scheme has invested in, it
can be an equity or debt. Any other instrument apart from equity is named as “Other Instrument”.
Change in Share Price Band: Change in the share price band represents the percentage change in
the price of shares. The change in share price detail is on month on month basis. Data is framed
from MFI Explorer as the current month on top and the previous month on bottom.
The range of change in Share price band is categorized into 6 bifurcations from “More than 30%
Decrease to More than 30% increase “.
Change in Volume of Shares Traded: Change in the volume of shares traded represents the
percentage change in the volume of shares traded. This field forms an important part as we see
from our analysis that there is not always an increase in the price due to an increase in the volume
of shares being traded.
The range of change in volume of shares traded band is categorized into 6 bifurcations from “More
than 30% Decrease to More than 30% increase “.
Return: Returns on the stock. Returns can be 1M, 3M, 6M, 1Y returns. Formula used HLOOKUP
(“Based on time frame”) >> Capitaline Master.
Returns can turn out to be positive or negative.
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FOURTH PART COMPONENTS
Index Weighatge, Coverage Ratio, Active Ratio, Scheme Classification, Previous Month, MoM
Change in Shares, No Chg in Shares, M Val of Chg in Shares (Cr.), MTHYR
Index Weighatge: This field shows the weightage of the particular stock in stated benchmark index.
Benchmark index can be BSE Sensex, Nifty, BSE 100, BSE 200, BSE Sharia Index etc. It means a
mutual fund considering BSE Sharia as its benchmark will only invest in stocks present in the BSE
Sharia index.
Note: it is not necessary that all large cap, small cap etc. should follow the same set of index. A
HDFC fund may follow a different index than a DSP Blackrock fund though both may be large cap
funds.
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Coverage Ratio: Coverage ratio is the weightage of that particular stock in the fund. We usually
compare the coverage ratio with the index weightage. It briefs us about the stocks exposure in the
fund as compared to the exposure of the stock in the index.
Active Ratio: The difference of the corpus percentage and the coverage ratio is the active ratio. It
signifies what percentage of the investment has been done outside the coverage ratio.
Note: Till date no mutual fund officially publishes the coverage rate or the active ratio.
Scheme Classification: Scheme classification shows type of scheme i.e Diversified, balanced, large
cap, GILT Funds etc.
MoM Change in Shares: MoM shows the changes in the number of shares on a monthly basis. There
can be an increase or decrease in the number of shares on a monthly basis.
M Val of Chg in Shares (Cr.): It emits the market value of the MoM change in Shares.
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Comparative Analysis
COMPARISON OF LARGE CAP FUNDS FOR MARCH TO APRIL
Comparison has been done on the basis of the type of Mutual Fund.
Case1. 10 – 20 % increase in the value of the stock.
10 – 20 % increase in the volume of shares traded.
Date 30/04/2015
Market Cap Band (All)
Change in Share Price Band 10 to 20 % Increase
Change in Volume of Shares Traded 10 to 20 % Increase
Sum of % to Corpus Column Labels
Row Labels HCL Technologies Ltd.
Ultratech Cement
Ltd.
Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund - Regular - Growth 0.3825
HSBC Equity Fund - Growth 4.0832
SBI Bluechip Fund - Growth 1.4774
Grand Total 4.0832 1.8599
As per the above observation we find that HCL Tech and Ultratech Cement has outperformed in
the month of March to April Giving above 10 % returns. Invariably there is a substantial increase in
the volume of shares traded as well.
What we also find is that HSBC Equity fund was holding more than 4 % of its corpus. Values for the
same are mentioned below:
Date 30/04/2015
Market Cap Band (All)
Change in Share Price Band 10 to 20 % Increase
Change in Volume of Shares Traded 10 to 20 % Increase
Sum of Market Value (Rs. Crs) Column Labels
Row Labels HCL Technologies Ltd.
Ultratech Cement
Ltd.
Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund - Regular - Growth 33.4013
HSBC Equity Fund - Growth 26.4165
SBI Bluechip Fund - Growth 25.5946
Grand Total 26.4165 58.9959
HSBC Equity fund holds 26.41 Cr. worth of Shares for HCL Tech. Birla Holds around 33.40 Cr. of
Ultratech Shares as compared to 25.59 Cr. of holdings by SBI Bluechip Fund.
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Case2. 5 – 10 % increase in the value of the stock.
More than 30 % increase in the volume of stocks traded.
Date 30/04/2015
Market Cap Band (All)
Change in Share Price Band 5 to 10 % Increase
Change in Volume of Shares Traded More Than 30 % Increase
Sum of Market Value (Rs. Crs) Column Labels
Row Labels Blue Dart Express Ltd.
Century
Textiles &
Industries
Ltd.
IndusInd
Bank Ltd.
Lupin
Ltd.
Maruti
Suzuki
India
Ltd.
Sun
Pharmaceuticals
Industries Ltd.
Wipro
Ltd.
Franklin India Bluechip - Growth 263.616
HDFC Index Fund - Sensex Plus Plan 1.5451
HDFC Large Cap Fund - Growth 37.26
IDBI India Top 100 Equity Fund - Growth 3.7554
IDFC Imperial Equity Fund - Regular - Growth 3.7071
Kotak 50 - Regular - Dividend 3.4668
Principal Large Cap Fund - Growth 2.8947
Reliance Focused Large Cap Fund - Growth 37.26
SBI Bluechip Fund - Growth 5.844
Grand Total 3.4668 2.8947 267.3231 5.844 74.52 3.7554 1.5451
The figure specifies there is substantial amount of holding of IndusInd bank by Franklin India
Bluechip- Growth Fund. The stock has risen almost 10% in the period of March to April. A holding
of 263 Cr. might have given outstanding returns for Franklin India Bluechip – Growth Fund. Stock
picking had been precise and accurate.
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Case3. 10 – 20 % increase in the value of the stock based on sector.
Date 30/04/2015
Market Cap Band (All)
Change in Share Price Band 10 to 20 % Increase
Sum of Market Value (Rs. Crs) Column Labels
Row Labels AUTOMOBILE
CEMENT & CEMENT
PRODUCTS CONSTRUCTION
CONSUMER
GOODS
Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund - Regular - Growth 33.4013 103.849
Birla Sun Life Top 100 Fund - Growth
Franklin India Bluechip - Growth
HDFC Large Cap Fund - Growth 15.249
HSBC Equity Fund - Growth 9.3156 12.1865
ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity Fund - Retail – Growth
ICICI Prudential Top 100 Fund - Growth 21.1063
IDFC Imperial Equity Fund - Regular - Growth
L&T India Large Cap Fund - Growth 3.202 4.3034
SBI Bluechip Fund - Growth 25.5946 12.5327
Sundaram Growth Fund - Regular - Growth
Sundaram Select Focus - Regular - Growth
Tata Pure Equity Fund - Plan A - Growth
UTI Leadership Equity Fund - Growth
UTI Top 100 Fund - Growth
Grand Total 9.3156 71.1824 24.3083 135.9341
Consumer goods have been a major contributor of increase in the portfolio value during the month
of March to April. BirlaSun Life was holding a major chunk of corpus in the consumer goods
segment.
Moreover Cement and Cement Products had also outperformed the other sectors. Top AMC’s were
holding a major part of the corpus in this sector.
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COMPARISON OF LARGE CAP FUNDS FOR APRIL TO MAY
Case1. 10 – 20 % increase in the value of the stock.
10 – 20 % increase in the volume of shares traded.
Date 31/05/2015
Change in Share Price Band 10 to 20 % Increase
Change in Volume of Shares Traded 10 to 20 % Increase
Sum of % to Corpus Column Labels
Row Labels Ambuja Cements Ltd.
Bharti
Airtel Ltd.
Britannia
Industries
Ltd.
HSBC Equity Fund - Growth 1.5224
SBI Bluechip Fund - Growth 1.2967
Sundaram Growth Fund - Regular - Growth 0.5088
Grand Total 0.5088 1.5224 1.2967
Case2. 5 – 10 % increase in the value of the stock.
5 – 10 % Decrease in the volume of shares traded.
Date 31/05/2015
Change in Share Price Band 5 to 10 % Increase
Change in Volume of Shares Traded 5 to 10 % Decrease
Sum of % to Corpus Column Labels
Row Labels Castrol India Ltd.
Gujarat Pipavav Port
Ltd.
KPIT Technologies
Ltd.
Yes Bank
Ltd.
Birla Sun Life Top 100 Fund - Growth 1.3203
HSBC Equity Fund - Growth 1.5128
Kotak 50 - Regular - Dividend 1.0003
LIC Nomura Equity Fund - Growth 1.2179
Sundaram Select Focus - Regular - Growth 0.9921
Grand Total 0.9921 1.5128 1.2179 2.3206
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Case3. All companies with a market cap of 10000 Crores.
5 – 10 % Decrease in the volume of shares traded.
Date 31/05/2015
Market Cap Band Above 10000 Crores
Change in Share Price Band 10 to 20 % Increase
Sum of Market Value (Rs. Crs) Column Labels
Row Labels
CEMENT & CEMENT
PRODUCTS
CONSUMER
GOODS ENERGY
FINANCIAL
SERVICES
INDUSTRIAL
MANUFACTURING
MEDIA &
ENTERTAINMENT PHARMA
Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund -
Regular - Growth 1.9345 57.1374
Birla Sun Life Top 100 Fund - Growth 0.1888
HDFC Large Cap Fund - Growth 15.741
HSBC Equity Fund - Growth 21.44 14.141
ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip
Equity Fund - Retail - Growth 89.858
ICICI Prudential Top 100 Fund - Growth 18.418
IDFC Imperial Equity Fund - Regular -
Growth 3.2375
SBI Bluechip Fund - Growth 38.8292 54.22 26.5835
Sundaram Growth Fund - Regular -
Growth 1.3249
Tata Pure Equity Fund - Plan A -
Growth
UTI Leadership Equity Fund - Growth 16.815
UTI Top 100 Fund - Growth 11.1276
Grand Total 1.3249 54.5702 39.858 65.3476 16.815 5.3608 187.72
As per the above observation we find that there has been a substantial investment and return in
the pharmaceutical sector. Returns in the April to May Months have been in the range of 10-20%
MoM (Month on Month) basis.
The total investment in the pharmaceutical sector in the April to May months have been in the
range of 187.72 Crores. The major funds investing in these sectors are ICICI Prudential, BirlaSun
life and SBI Bluechip.
The consumer goods sector has consistently performed over 2 months from March to April.
Page 27
27
COMPARISON OF DIVERSIFIED FUNDS FOR MARCH TO APRIL
Case1. All companies with a market cap of 10000 Crores.
More than 30% Increase in the
Date 31/03/2015
Market Cap Band Above 10000 Crores
Change in Share Price Band More Than 30 % Increase
Sum of Market Value (Rs. Crs)
Row Labels
Crompton Greaves
Ltd.
Power Grid Corporation
of India Ltd.
Birla Sun Life Advantage Fund - Growth
Birla Sun Life Equity Fund - Growth
Birla Sun Life Long Term Advantage Fund - Growth
Canara Robeco Equity Diversified - Growth
Goldman Sachs India Equity Fund - Growth
ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund - Growth 96.1388
Mirae Asset India Opportunities Fund - Regular - Growth
Principal Growth Fund - Growth
Reliance Growth - Growth 94.6267
SBI Magnum Multi Cap Fund - Growth
UTI Multi Cap Fund - Regular - Growth
Grand Total 94.6267 96.1388
Page 28
28
MARKET EXPOSURE OF INFRASTRUCTURE FUNDS FOR APRIL
The figure shows the allocation of stocks for all prominent Infrastructure funds in Large Cap, Mid
Cap and Non-Equity Exposure.
DSP Blackrock India Tiger Fund - Growth has the maximum exposure in the large cap segment
compared to other funds. HSBC Progressive Themes Fund – Growth has the least amount of
exposure in the Large Cap Sector but it has maximum exposure in the Mid Cap Sector.
As per the figure we can also see a huge amount of exposure in the Non- Equity front for certain
funds. This is generally CBLO’s (Collateral Borrowing and Lending Obligation) and cash
Components.
Date 30/04/2015
Instrument (All)
Sum of % to Corpus Column Labels
Row Labels LARGECAP MID CAP
Non
Equity
SMALL
CAP Total
Birla Sun Life Infrastructure Fund - Plan A - Growth 45.0596 49.9936 4.947 100
Canara Robeco Infrastructure Fund - Growth 62.602 33.2983 4.0997 100
DSP BlackRock India Tiger Fund - Regular - Growth 61.0561 36.6496 2.2943 100
Franklin Build India Fund - Growth 52.8241 33.435 13.7409 100
HDFC Infrastructure Fund - Growth 51.2808 41.0143 7.5889 0.1158 100
HSBC Progressive Themes Fund - Growth 28.8644 66.5091 4.6266 100
ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund - Growth 60.5176 36.6274 2.8548 100
IDFC Infrastructure Fund - Regular - Growth 55.4731 30.6412 13.8856 100
Kotak Infrastructure & Economic Reform Fund - Regular - Growth 47.8644 50.2254 1.9103 100
L&T Infrastructure Fund - Growth 47.1656 41.0646 11.7698 100
SBI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 45.5524 46.1119 8.3357 100
Sundaram Infrastructure Advantage Fund - Regular - Growth 49.3392 45.6681 4.9928 100
Tata Infrastructure Fund - Plan A - Growth 52.3584 40.6493 6.9927 100
UTI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 62.5544 36.1685 1.2769 100
Grand Total 722.5121 588.0563 89.316 0.1158 100
Page 29
29
VOLUME MOVERS FOR INFRASTRUCTURE FUNDS FOR APRIL
Date 30/04/2015
Change in Share Price Band (All)
Change in Volume of Shares Traded 10 to 20 % Increase
Sum of % to Corpus Column Labels
Row Labels Ambuja Cements Ltd.
Bharti Airtel
Ltd.
Ultratech Cement
Ltd.
Birla Sun Life Infrastructure Fund -
Plan A - Growth
Canara Robeco Infrastructure Fund -
Growth
8.783
DSP BlackRock India Tiger Fund -
Regular - Growth
2.2279
Franklin Build India Fund - Growth 4.0862
1.5079
HDFC Infrastructure Fund - Growth 1.6344
HSBC Progressive Themes Fund -
Growth
ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund -
Growth 4.6182
1.1472
IDFC Infrastructure Fund - Regular -
Growth 10.1836
4.8545
Kotak Infrastructure & Economic
Reform Fund - Regular - Growth 9.6423
4.7662
L&T Infrastructure Fund - Growth 1.1287 0.9428
SBI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 7.4587
Sundaram Infrastructure Advantage
Fund - Regular - Growth 1.6506
0.9869
Tata Infrastructure Fund - Plan A -
Growth
3.6781
UTI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 0.4966
3.4822
Grand Total 2.7793 39.0628 31.4339
The figure represents the volume movers in the range of 10-20% MoM Basis. Both Bharti Airtel Ltd
and UltraTech Cement have been volume movers.
All the major infra funds holds a substantial amount of Shares in Bharti Airtel and UltraTech
Cement Ltd.
Page 30
30
DISTRIBUTION OF EQUITY COMPONENT FOR INFRASTRUCTURE FUNDS FOR THE MONTH OF MAY
Date 31/05/2015
Instrument Equity
Sum of % to Corpus Column Labels
Row Labels LARGECAP MID CAP
SMALL
CAP
Birla Sun Life Infrastructure Fund - Plan A - Growth 48.0115 49.613
DSP BlackRock India Tiger Fund - Regular - Growth 60.532 35.4868
HDFC Infrastructure Fund - Growth 53.1627 40.8644 0.0904
HSBC Progressive Themes Fund - Growth 28.9965 69.9899
ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund - Growth 56.5226 35.3504
IDFC Infrastructure Fund - Regular - Growth 54.296 32.2596
Kotak Infrastructure & Economic Reform Fund - Regular - Growth 46.7018 46.4097
SBI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 44.1222 43.6047
Sundaram Infrastructure Advantage Fund - Regular - Growth 47.9692 48.1135
Tata Infrastructure Fund - Plan A - Growth 52.1493 43.4278
UTI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 61.6769 36.5689
Grand Total 554.1407 481.6887 0.0904
All the infrastructure funds have majorly invested in Large and Mid Cap segments.
Page 31
31
CHANGE IN NUMBER OF SHARES FOR INFRASTRUCTURE FUNDS FOR THE MONTH OF MAY
The figure shows the sum of all the MoM change in Shares. As we can see HDFC infrastructure fund
is the market leader with a net asset under management of 1971.67 Crores followed by ICICI Pru
Infrastructure fund and DSP Blackrock India Tiger fund.
As per the figure we also find that Tata Asset Management highest MoM change in the number of
Shares. There has also been massive selling by DSP Blackrock Mutual Fund. What we also find in
our observation that the corpus of top 5 mutual funds is massive as compared to its younger peers.
Date 31/05/2015
Values
Row Labels
Sum of MoM Change in
Shares
Sum of Market Value (Rs.
Crs)
Birla Sun Life Infrastructure Fund - Plan A - Growth 489775 834.27
DSP BlackRock India Tiger Fund - Regular - Growth -562852 1609.68
HDFC Infrastructure Fund - Growth 2367390 1971.67
HSBC Progressive Themes Fund - Growth -65000 137.89
ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund - Growth 2141418 1757.94
IDFC Infrastructure Fund - Regular - Growth -159624 136.07
Kotak Infrastructure & Economic Reform Fund - Regular - Growth -63708 144.29
SBI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 400000 552.89
Sundaram Infrastructure Advantage Fund - Regular - Growth 451217 710.25
Tata Infrastructure Fund - Plan A - Growth 3772146 731.39
UTI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 29410 1565.79
Grand Total 8800172 10152.1272
Page 32
32
ACTIVE RATIO AND COVERAGE RATIO OF ALL INDEX FUNDS
Portfolio profiles are always carefully monitored in terms of 'active ratio’ and 'coverage ratio'
which measures aggregate active weights in individual stocks and overlaps with benchmark
holdings respectively.
While active ratio is a key metric for the alpha generation potential of a portfolio, coverage ratio
represents the alpha preservation component needed to maintain the desired beta and style
characteristics. The figure shows the Active ratios and the coverage ratios of all the prominent
index funds in the industry.
Date 31/05/2015
Row Labels Coverage Ratio Active Ratio Total
Birla Sun Life Index Fund - Growth 88.92 11.08 100.00
HDFC Index Fund - Nifty Plan 96.90 3.10 100.00
ICICI Prudential Index Fund 81.11 18.89 100.00
IDFC Nifty Fund - Regular - Growth 92.31 7.69 100.00
LIC Nomura MF Index Fund - Nifty - Growth 97.79 2.21 100.00
Principal Index Fund - Nifty - Growth 99.89 0.11 100.00
Reliance Index Fund - Nifty Plan - Growth 98.99 1.01 100.00
SBI Nifty Index Fund - Growth 98.16 1.84 100.00
Tata Index Fund - Nifty Plan - Plan A 99.52 0.48 100.00
UTI Nifty Fund - Growth 96.84 3.16 100.00
Grand Total 951.40 49.57 1000
Page 33
33
Findings and Observation
Findings and observation are based on the current economic scenario.
1. Oil Prices:
Oil prices have risen about 35-40% from the low levels seen in the recent past. Currently crude oil
is trading at 66 Dollars per Barrel. India has benefitted disproportionately from the sharp
fundamental fall in crude prices. Crude price has fallen from ~110 in the FY 14 to ~65 now.
(http://www.oil-price.net/, 2015) India's crude import bill for FY 14 was 165 Billion USD. The
sharp fall has helped the economy save nearly 50 Billion USD. The budgeted subsidy bill for
petroleum has been reduced by Rs. 30 thousand Crs. Further, with the fuel reforms, the pressure
on Government from increasing crude prices is far lower. India will be easily able to manage the
current oil prices (or even a marginally higher level from now). (NASDAQ, 2015) In addition, the
fundamental outlook for crude is for the prices to remain muted. Therefore, the recent hike in the
prices is not a major concern but oil and Gas stocks have thereby not performed substantially.
Returns in the Oil and gas sector are a mere 2.5% for the past 3months. Mutual funds holding huge
corpus under the Oil and Gas Sector have not benefited much from the sharp fall in the crude oil
prices.
2. Rupee:
Rupee had depreciated to 64 levels against the Dollar - lowest in 20 Months, before retracing
marginally to current levels of 63.7. However, despite the recent depreciation, Rupee is one of the
Best among EM currencies. Rupee has lost just 1.86% in the current year, as against Turkish Lira or
Brazilian Real, which have fallen by about 14%. Over the medium term, sustained economic
growth will attract capital flows, and help Rupee. (Currency, 2015)
Global investors still feel that the Indian markets are overvalued. The market had therefore had
correction in the recent months leading to a decrease in NAV Net asset value) of all the leading
funds.
3. Bond Yields
The 10 Year G-Sec Yields had inched closer to 8%.The movement in gilt yields is in line with sharp
sell-off in the global bonds. US 10 year Yield inched up to 2.27%, a sharp increase in the recent
past, perhaps on the fear that oil prices could go up further. In my view India is one of the few
Page 34
34
countries in the world, which could afford to cut interest rates meaningfully - Current over-night
rates are 250 bps above CPI inflation. Rates across the yield curve far higher. The Central Bank is
targeting a real rate of 1.5-2%, leaving enough headroom to cut rates. Continuing fiscal prudence,
disinflationary trends and benign liquidity scenario are expected to result in lowering of interest
rates. The Lowering of the rate cut could lead to an improvement of market sentiments.
4. Monsoon and RBI Rate Cuts.
The RBI cut interest rates for a third time this year on 2nd June 2015, taking advantage of subdued
inflation to lend more support to an economy that the bank itself says is not doing as well as latest
impressive growth numbers suggest. The Reserve Bank of India also left open the possibility of
further cuts later this year, even with forecasts of a below-average monsoon that could put
pressure on food prices. Previous cuts in January and March had also been by 25 basis points. As
on the first week of June the monsoon was below average thus leading to only 25 basis points
reduction in the interest rates rather than a 50 basis point reduction in the rate cut estimated by
many analysts. Over the month of June the conditions of Monsoon had increased leading to an
estimation of further rate cut in the next quarter. If the conditions of stable monsoon improve we
can expect further rate cut leading to an uptick in Sensex and Nifty indices.
Despite demands from India's commercial banks, the RBI did not take steps to free up liquidity,
which bankers had said were needed for them to lower lending rates further and pass on the
benefits of monetary easing to the broader economy. Instead, with growth in bank lending at its
lowest in almost two decades, the RBI urged banks to reduce rates quickly.
The market had been down by about 600-700 points on the day the rate cuts had been declared.
The Mid and Micro cap had fallen by around 10-12% on intraday trading. The conditions of
Monsoon improved during the month of June leading to an improvement in market sentiments and
leading to an increase in the Indices.
5. Sharp run-up in markets.
Indian equities had gone up by 55% since Sep 2013 (since Mr. Modi was announced as BJP
candidate), before the recent correction of 8-10%.There may be a bit of fatigue and profit-booking
in some stocks. However, the valuation of Indian equities is very attractive. At 19x trailing P/E on
low cyclical earnings, and 15x 2 Yr Fwd PE on expectations of decent turnaround in earnings, the
valuations are quite attractive. Market Cap / GDP at 75% low in absolute and relative terms.
Page 35
35
6. Flows to other countries.
Countries like China, Korea, Taiwan and Japan have been attracting inflows in the recent past. Most
investors were heavily underweight in countries like China because their economy was
systemically slowing down. However, cheap valuations have started attracting fund flows recently.
For instance, since the beginning of August 2014, their markets have gone up by nearly 85%. Some
of the recent IPOs have also attracted flows into China. However, over the medium to long term,
investors are likely to be guided by fundamentals, and hence we believe India is well-placed to
receive flows. In Dollar Terms, Indian equity markets are at the same level as in May 2014, around
elections, making it particularly attractive for FIIs. This had led to a correction in the market.
FIIs have pulled out nearly Rs. 4000 Crs from equity markets in the first two weeks of May.
However, FIIs have been consistently investing into India over the longer term. Since 2009, they
have invested 120 Billion USD, an average of 20 Bn USD per year. They have been net sellers only in
2008-2009 during the global crisis when they had sold 10.4 Bn USD. With the fundamental outlook
for India remaining strong, we expect FII flows to be robust. In addition to FII flows, Domestic
Flows will also help. Mutual Funds, for instance, invested 6.6 Bn USD in 2014.
7. Policy Issues.
The current government is working on various reforms and is trying to implement reforms swiftly.
Government is firmly committed to bringing about key reforms and implementing them. GST has
been passed in the Lok Sabha, diesel price has been deregulated, gas price revision, targeted
subsidy, hiking FDI limit in critical sectors of Railways, Defence and Insurance, etc., to name a few.
It’s very much likely that more such reforms will get implemented, benefiting the economy.
Page 36
36
Recommendations
1. India is extremely well-placed for long-term economic growth and to generate attractive
equity returns. The current market correction should be used as a good opportunity to
increase allocation to equities. Mutual Funds provides up an opportunity to invest in
mutual funds with lesser risk and higher returns.
2. It is on the basis on one’s risk appetite that once should decide on the type of Mutual Fund
he should invest in. Equity Mutual Funds is high risk instrument and one should invest in
equity mutual funds over long term to negate the risk factor. Balanced Funds invest in both
equity and debt components and thus the risk factor is moderate. Tata Balance fund has
given decent return of 16 % over a period of 5 Years. Certain Mutual Funds invests in Bonds
and Government securities where the risk factor is less but the returns are low as well.
3. Investing in mutual fund once should always have a long term perspective. If one would
have remained invested in Reliance Growth Fund for 20 years it would have earned CAGR of
above 20 %. In short if one would have invested Rs. 1,00,000 in 1995 he would have an
asset value of 78,50,000 by 2015. Thus it is advisable to invest in mutual funds to fulfill long
term goals.
4. Mutual Funds can also be segmented into various types based on the sector where the Fund
has invested its corpus into. The various sectors might be Pharmaceuticals, Banking and
Financial Services, Infrastructure or PSU’s. We should be very clear about the asset class the
fund is investing into. The various asset classes might not give similar returns every time.
Pharmaceuticals Funds has given maximum returns for the past 10 Years where as Banking
& Financial Services have given a return of more than 60 % CAGR return only over a period
of 3 years. Thus the portfolio of the scheme should be thoroughly analyzed before investing.
5. One must take help from financial planners and investment advisors before investing into a
mutual fund scheme.
Page 37
37
Bibliography
AMFI. (2015, 06 11). AMFI. Retrieved from AMFI: http://www.amfiindia.com/research-information/mf-history
Capitaline. (n.d.). Capitaline. Retrieved from Capitaline: https://www.capitaline.com/Demo/Plus.aspx
Currency, H. (2015, 06 22). Historical Currency. Retrieved from http://tools.currenciesdirect.net/currency-chart/
Explorer, M. (2015, 06 11). MFI Explorer. Retrieved from MFI Website:
http://www.mutualfundindia.com/ProductEnquiry/MFIExplorer
http://www.oil-price.net/. (2015, 06 15). Oil-price. Retrieved from Oil-price: http://www.oil-price.net/
Jain, P. (2015, 05 23). Mutual Fund Perspectives. (T. AMC, Interviewer)
NASDAQ. (2015, 06 15). NASDAQ Oil Prices. Retrieved from NASDAQ Oil Prices:
http://www.nasdaq.com/markets/crude-oil.aspx
TataAMC. (2015, 06 11). Tata AMC. Retrieved from Tata AMC: http://www.tata.co.in/company/profileinside/Tata-
Asset-Management
Page 38
38
Contact Information
PRANJAL MITRA
SUMMER INTERNSHIP TRAINEE
Tel 7033174839
pranjalmitra18@gmail.com
Company Information
Tata Asset Management Limited
9th Floor, Mafatlal Centre, Nariman Point
Mumbai 400021
Tel 180-02090101
http://www.tatamutualfund.com/

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PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS OF ALL THE OPEN ENDED EQUITY MUTUAL FUND SCHEMES IN INDIA

  • 1. PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS OF ALL THE OPEN ENDED EQUITY MUTUAL FUND SCHEMES IN INDIA FY 2015 Excel model to analyze portfolios of more than 340 parent open ended equity mutual fund schemes in India.
  • 2. TABLE OF CONTENTS Contents Introduction ______________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Company Profile__________________________________________________________________________________________ 3 Objective and Methodology______________________________________________________________________________ 4 Comparative Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 22 Findings and observation______________________________________________________________________________ 33 Suggestions and Recomendations_____________________________________________________________________ 36 Bibliography ____________________________________________________________________________________________ 37
  • 3. Page 1 1 Introduction FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS It has been a little over 20 years since the asset management industry was opened up to the entry of new players. The objective was to expand the business by widening and deepening the market for asset management products. The inclusion of asset management products in the basket of traditional investment avenues such as cash-in-hand, corporate and fixed deposits (FDs), savings accounts, stocks and gold was expected to occur over time. The mid-90s saw the emergence of stock investment trends with large-scale retail investments in the primary and secondary stock markets. The IPO boom of the early 90s saw retail investors opting to invest a significant portion of their investible surpluses in the stock markets. The enhanced liquidity chasing stocks correspondingly saw a surge in the BSE Sensex from under 2000 in 1992 to around 5000 as on 31 March 2000. The same period also saw the asset management industry expand rapidly in terms of number of schemes, products and companies. Considering the industry is still relatively young, its evolution and growth over the two decades is impressive. This is true in all aspects and not just about the scale of growth of assets under management (AuM). It applies to the creation of evolved products as well as the human capital and skill development. The ecosystem including support and outsourced functions has been created and knit together almost from scratch. The regulatory regime kept pace with the changing environment and the AuM of the asset management industry grew from 470 billion INR in 1993 to 1396 billion INR in 2004 and to 8252 billion INR in 2014. LOOKING AHEAD We earn regularly, we spend regularly but do we invest regularly??We all have various dreams that we want to realize such as owning a house, owning a car or going on a vacation. Investments in mutual funds can help realize such dreams. As we all know mutual funds have become highly popular financial instrument in the recent years. Half of the household in America invest in a mutual fund which stands out to trillions of dollars. This is indeed a huge sum of money. Slowly but steadily the Indian Market is also adopting to investments in the Mutual Fund Industry. Currently there are about 78 Lakh Investors in India who contribute to Mutual Funds on a regular basis. This might be a small number as compared to other developed markets but one must consider this as taking a baby step towards the right direction. This project gives you an insight into the mutual fund industry and the likely trend in the Mutual Fund industry in the near future. Pranjal Mitra Xavier Institute of Social Service June 26, 2015
  • 4. Page 2 2 WHAT IS A MUTUAL FUND?? The history of Mutual Funds in India can be dated back to 1963, when UTI was established, by an act of Parliament. There has been a drastic rise in the AuM in this period a mere 470 billion INR in 1993 to 1396 billion INR in 2004 and to 8252 billion INR in 2014. In this context it becomes pertinent to study the pattern and behavior of the Mutual fund schemes, to which the common man is still unaware of. The risk-return relationship is perhaps one of the best ways to analyze the performance of a mutual fund. (AMFI, 2015) A Mutual Fund is a trust that pools the savings of a number of investors who share a common financial goal. It is essentially a diversified portfolio of financial instruments - these could be equities, debentures/bonds or money market instruments. The corpus of the fund is then deployed in investment alternatives that help to meet predefined investment objectives. The income earned through these investments and the capital appreciation realised are shared by its unit holders in proportion to the number of units owned by them. Thus a Mutual Fund is a suitable investment for the common man as it offers an opportunity to invest in a diversified, professionally managed basket of securities at a relatively low cost. The various types of funds are Balanced, Debt. , Dynamic/Asset Allocation, Equity, ETF, Fund of Funds, GILT, Liquid, Regular and Speciality Funds. WHY ANALYSIS OF OPEN ENDED EQUITY MUTUAL FUNDS?? Open-ended Mutual Funds are priced daily and are always willing to buy back units from investors. This means that investors can sell their holdings in Mutual Fund investments anytime without worrying about finding a buyer at the right price. In the case of other investment avenues such as stocks and bonds, buyers are not necessarily available and therefore these investment avenues are less liquid compared to open-ended schemes of Mutual Funds. Thus there is a continuous shift in the portfolio of an Open ended equity mutual fund. A closer look into the various portfolios can help us predict an industry shift i.e. uptrend and downtrend in the NAV (Net Asset Value) of a fund.
  • 5. Page 3 3 Company Profile Tata Asset Management Tata Asset Management has a track record of more than 20 years in investment management. The company offers a range of investment solutions for financial planning and wealth creation. The company also advises international investors in Indian equity assets. The core strength of the company stems from its intellectual capital and its robust risk management framework based on in-built controls and balances. AREAS OF BUSINESS Tata Asset Management manages funds across the entire risk-return continuum. These include equity, hybrid and debt. The company also offers portfolio management services to high net worth individuals and advisory services to offshore investors / funds investing in India. It also plans to offer access to real estate investments via the alternative investment fund structure which has been permitted by the Securities and Exchange Board of India. As part of its social initiative, Tata Asset Management has taken the lead in providing financial planning education to distributors and investors. Through its vastly popular Professor Simply Simple jargon buster tool, the company has spread financial literacy to people in India and abroad. LOCATION Tata Asset Management is headquartered in Mumbai and has offices across India. (TataAMC, 2015) “What comes from the people should go back to them many times over” - J R D Tata
  • 6. Page 4 4 Objective and Methodology OBJECTIVE: To analyze all the open ended equity mutual Fund schemes in India using an in house built in excel tool. “The Market offers more than 340 Parent open ended mutual fund schemes in India. Each mutual fund is promising better returns than the other. In this paper an attempt has been made to analyze the performance of all the open ended equity mutual funds schemes in India.”Comparisons have been made on the basis of current 2 months portfolio data. Impact of performance and overall market movement on inflows: 72 % of the investors profit on exit, even during turbulent times. Worryingly, may be cutting themselves off from further gains. It’s time for distributors and fund houses to reinforce the benefits of sticking around longer. It has also been noticed that the largest 4 schemes in the open ended equity category are the ones which have built up a reputation for performance for a substantial part of their long existence - HDFC Top 200, Reliance Growth Fund, HDFC Equity and Franklin India Prima fund. (Jain, 2015) The report concludes on an optimistic note that equity funds have come of age and are likely to keep up this momentum over the next five to six years given many favorable factors such as under penetration, high economic growth rate, tax benefits such as equity linked savings schemes and enhanced presence in household savings products.
  • 7. Page 5 5 METHODOLOGY: An excel tool had been built for the comparison of data. The tool helped us to amalgamate data from MFI Explorer and Capital Line. The project can be divided into 3 parts: 1. Data extracted from MFI Explorer, data extracted from Capital Line in an excel sheet(.xls format ) 2. Compilation of data into a master file (.xls format) 3. Analysis of data using Pivots in Excel Sheet. Data changes based on Large Cap, mid cap, diversified funds etc. MFI EXPLORER: MFI Explorer, a mutual fund analysis tool, addresses complete research and analysis requirement for both fund advisory and fund management industry. The desktop application is powered by the most comprehensive and authentic industry data and numerous benchmark information to help you analyse fund’s performance and portfolio and compare it with peer-group or a benchmark index. Over the years the product has established itself as the major source of custom peer performance reports and industry analysis reports across many fund houses, wealth managers, banks, brokers and advisors. (Explorer, 2015) User Groups: 1. Fund management 2. Advisors and Financial Planners 3. Distributors and Brokers 4. Treasuries and Trusts 5. Education institutions Features: 1. Large inbuilt report library: MFI Explorer comes with a massive collection of inbuilt reports which adds to perspective and flexibility to analyze. 2. Flexible parameter selection: Flexibility in our case not only includes selection of some additional data points in a report but also includes selection of most granular parameters necessary for any report in the application. 3. Data quality: ICRON's content management team ensures that only the correct data goes into MFI Explorer. This increases the reliability and consistency of reports many folds.
  • 8. Page 6 6 Benefits: 1. Analyse fund performance with returns and ratios and the flexibility to select all the parameters. 2. Get to know how portfolio was churned over different periods of time with details at company or sector level. 3. Create Fund of Funds and compare its performance with any other scheme or index. 4. Create composite indices and use it along with standard indices to benchmark your scheme set. 4. Save time on generating your frequently used reports by creating templates and automatically updating data from the spreadsheet using Active Workbook. Fig. I: The figure shows the screen shot of the Pilot Page of MFI Explorer. The screen shot shows that there are a total of 341 parent open ended equity mutual funds schemes in India.
  • 9. Page 7 7 CAPITAL LINE Capitaline database provides fundamental and market data on more than 35,000 Indian listed and unlisted companies, classified under more than 300 industries, along with powerful analytic tools. Extensive data and analysis on every company profile, directors, more than 10-year financials (P&L, balance sheet, cash flow, consolidated financial data, segment data, forex data, R&D data, ratios, etc), quarterly results, ownership pattern, finished products, raw materials, share price data, directors' report, management discussion, notes to account, business news, corporate events, etc. Capitaline database is a sister product of Capital Market, India's foremost investment fortnightly. The specialized expertise in data collection, standardization and presentation built up since 1985 has earned Capitaline database the highest level of respect and confidence in the financial information Industry. (Capitaline) Fig. II: The figure shows the screen shot of the Pilot Page of Capitaline.
  • 10. Page 8 8 Capital Line Master Files Steps: File Name: Background Components: CO_CODE, CO_NAME, BSE Code, ISIN No, Company Long Name, Sector, BSE Scrip ID, BSE Group, Bloomberg, Sensex, Nifty, BSE 100, BSE 200, BSE 500, BSE Teck, BSE IT, BSE CG, BSE FMCG, BSE CD, BSE HC, BSE PSU, BSE Dollex, BSE Auto, BSE Greenex, BANK NIFTY, BSE IPO, BSE BANKEX, BSE Metal, BSE Mid Cap, BSE Oil and Gas, BSE Power, BSE Realty, BSE Small Cap, Shariah 50, Nifty Jr, Midcap 200, CNX 500, CNX IBG, CNX 100, CNX MNC, CNX IT, CNX 200, CNX FMCG, CNX Millen, CNX PSE, CNX AUTO, CNX COMMODI, CNX CONSUMP, CNX DIVIDEN, CNX ENERGY, CNX FINANCE, CNX INFRAST, CNX MEDIA, CNX METAL, CNX MID50, CNX MIDCAP, CNX PHARMA, CNX REALTY CNX SERVICE, CNX SMALL CAP File Name: Returns Components: Co_Code, Co_Name, BSE Code, ISIN No, Company Long Name, 7D, 15D, 1M, 3M, 6M, 1Y File Name: Latest Equity Components: CO_CODE, CO_NAME, BSE Code, ISIN No, BSE Scrip ID, Price Date, Date:(ind. data), Latest No. of Equity Shares, Latest Reserve, Latest EPS-Unit Curr., Latest Book value-Unit Curr., Face Value, Latest Market Price-Unit Curr.(BSE), Latest P/E Ratio(BSE), Latest P/BV(BSE),52 Week High – Unit Curr.(BSE), 52 Week High-Date(BSE), All Time High -Unit Curr.(BSE), All Time High-Date(BSE), 52 Week Low -Unit Curr.(BSE), 52 Week Low-Date(BSE), All Time Low -Unit Curr.(BSE), All Time Low-Date(BSE), Market Capitalisation(BSE), Dividend Yield -%(BSE), Latest Industry P/E(BSE), Latest Industry P/BV(BSE), Close PE (201504), Close PE (201503), Difference in PE in Comparison with the Industry PE, Category Band File Name: Monthly Equity Components: CO_CODE, CO_NAME, BSE Code, BSE Scrip ID, Year and Month(Latest), Month(Latest), Year (Latest), High(Latest), Low(Latest), Close(Latest), High PE(Latest), Low PE(Latest), Close PE (Latest), Market Cap(Latest), Volume(Latest), No of Trades(Latest), Net Turnover-Rs Thousands (Latest) File Name: MF Category (Mutual Fund Category) Components: DCode, RCode, Fund Name, Category
  • 11. Page 9 9 Steps for Extraction of Background file. 1. Open Capital Line >> Open Screener [S symbol. 2. Go to Domain, click on Listed Companies (All the listed companies are selected. A total of 8808 companies as on 07/05/2015) 3. Click on the check box and click on select all. 4. Click on Filters. Open General >> Background. 5. For Compilation of the Background Files desired fields are being chosen. Eg. Company Long Name, BSE Code, BSE Scrip ID, and all the BSE Indices. 6. Field criteria value can also be set based on our requirement. 7. Query saved as PT_Background so that fields need not be selected each month. 8. Run Query to import the files in Excel format. Fields are being verified and can be sorted out accordingly as per requirement.
  • 12. Page 10 10 Steps for Extraction of Return File. 1. Open Capital Line >> Open Screener [S symbol. 2. Go to Domain, click on Listed Companies (All the listed companies are selected. A total of 8808 companies as on 07/05/2015) 3. Click on the check box and click on select all. 4. Click on Filters. Open General >> Share Price Data 5. Click on Stock Return >> BSE Return 6. Select Simple, Select the date manually and separate fields according to 7D,15D, 1Month,6 Months, 1Year Respectively. 7. Query saved as PT_Returns so that fields need not be selected each month. 8. Run Query to import the files in Excel format. Fields are being verified and can be sorted out accordingly as per requirement.
  • 13. Page 11 11 Steps for Extraction of Latest Equity File. 1. Open Capital Line >> Open Screener [S symbol. 2. Go to Domain, click on Listed Companies (All the listed companies are selected. A total of 8808 companies as on 07/05/2015) 3. Click on the check box and click on select all. 4. Click on Filters. Open General >> Share Price Data 5. Click on Latest Equity 6. Select all fields. 7. Query saved as PT_Latest Equity so that fields need not be selected each month. 8. Run Query to import the files in Excel format. Fields are being verified and can be sorted out accordingly as per requirement.
  • 14. Page 12 12 Steps for Extraction of Monthly Equity File 1. Open Capital Line >> Open Screener [S symbol. 2. Go to Domain, click on Listed Companies (All the listed companies are selected. A total of 8808 companies as on 07/05/2015) 3. Click on the check box and click on select all. 4. Click on Filters. Open General >> Share Price Data 5. Click on Monthly Adjusted Price >> BSE 6. Select all fields. 7. Query saved as PT_Monthly Equity so that fields need not be selected each month. 8. Run Query to import the files in Excel format. Fields are being verified and can be sorted out accordingly as per requirement.
  • 15. Page 13 13 Steps for Extraction of Debt. MF Category 1. This List is being generated by the Investment team on a Monthly/ Quarterly / Yearly Basis 2. The file includes old and new mutual fund scheme codes. 3. Also includes the type of mutual fund i.e Arbitrage, Liquid, Diversified, Mid Cap, Large Cap, Small-Micro Cap and GILT Funds.
  • 16. Page 14 14 MFI Explorer File Steps: MFI Explorer File: Directly extracted from MFI Explorer. Components: MutFund_Name, Scheme Code, Scheme Name, Port Date, Company Code, Company Name, Corpus Percent, Market Value(Crs.), No Of Shares, Company Instrument, Company Nature, Company ISIN, BSE Code Fig. III. Excel Sheet extracted from MFI Explorer. The Screen Shot Show the various components as per the query in the MFI Explorer.
  • 17. Page 15 15 Steps for Extraction of MFI Explorer Files 1. Go to Menu >> General >> Select Schemes. The Selected Schemes are Parent Open ended equity mutual fund schemes. 2. Go to Menu >> Performance >> Query Builder 3. Select the fields as per your requirement get the output in Excel and save the file on a monthly basis. Fig. IV: Excel Sheet extracted from MFI Explorer. The Screen Shot Show the various components as per the query in the MFI Explorer.
  • 18. Page 16 16 Master File Steps: FIRST PART COMPONENTS: Concat, Concatenate, Benchmark, AMFI Sector Classification Concatenate: Helps us to calculate the change in number of Shares Month on Month basis. It takes into consideration Scheme Code, Date and BSE Code. Benchmark: Benchmark can be mentioned manually or benchmark can be exported from MFI Explorer. Different Funds have different benchmarks that they follow. For Example it is no necessary that all the Large Cap Funds will have the same benchmark.
  • 19. Page 17 17 AMFI Sector Classification: Sector classifications have been done on the basis of AMFI (Association of Mutual Funds of India). Formula USED: VLOOKUP (BSE CODE) >> AMFI SECOND PART COMPONENTS: AMC, Scheme Code, Fund Name, Date, MFI Co Code, Company Name, % to Corpus, Market Value (Rs. Crs), No. of Shares, Instrument Nature, ISIN, BSE, NSE The Data in this part is being extracted from the MFI Explorer. Data is on a month on Month basis. The data for the latest month is kept on top while the later months are kept at the bottom.
  • 20. Page 18 18 THIRD PART COMPONENTS Cline Code, Cline Co Name, Price, Market Cap, Market Cap Band, Instrument, Change in Share Price Band, Change in Volume of Shares Traded, Return, Debt Market Cap Ratio, Additional Cline 2 Cline Code: Cline Code represents capitaline company code. Formula used VLOOKUP (BSE Code, ISIN Code) >> Cline Company Name. Cline Co Name: Cline Co Name represents capitaline company name. Formula used VLOOKUP (BSE Code, ISIN Code)>> Cline Company Name.
  • 21. Page 19 19 Price: Price represents the current market price of the stock. Price variable can be adjusted based on the monthly average price or the day price. Formula Used VLOOKUP (BSE Code, ISIN Code)>> Capitaline Master. Market Cap: Market Cap represents the total market capitalization of a company. It represents the value of all the listed shares of that particular company. Formula Used VLOOKUP (BSE Code, ISIN Code)>> Capitaline Master. Note: Market cap represents the total market capitalization based on the current price of the share. Market Cap Band: Market cap band represents the current market cap scenario of the company. The company can be small, mid, micro or a large cap company. Bifurcations have been made on the basis of size of the market capitalization. The entire Market cap lies in the range of 0 to 10000 Cr, 10000 Cr. and above. It signifies type of companies the mutual funds are investing in. Instrument: Instrument signifies the type of instrument the Mutual Fund scheme has invested in, it can be an equity or debt. Any other instrument apart from equity is named as “Other Instrument”. Change in Share Price Band: Change in the share price band represents the percentage change in the price of shares. The change in share price detail is on month on month basis. Data is framed from MFI Explorer as the current month on top and the previous month on bottom. The range of change in Share price band is categorized into 6 bifurcations from “More than 30% Decrease to More than 30% increase “. Change in Volume of Shares Traded: Change in the volume of shares traded represents the percentage change in the volume of shares traded. This field forms an important part as we see from our analysis that there is not always an increase in the price due to an increase in the volume of shares being traded. The range of change in volume of shares traded band is categorized into 6 bifurcations from “More than 30% Decrease to More than 30% increase “. Return: Returns on the stock. Returns can be 1M, 3M, 6M, 1Y returns. Formula used HLOOKUP (“Based on time frame”) >> Capitaline Master. Returns can turn out to be positive or negative.
  • 22. Page 20 20 FOURTH PART COMPONENTS Index Weighatge, Coverage Ratio, Active Ratio, Scheme Classification, Previous Month, MoM Change in Shares, No Chg in Shares, M Val of Chg in Shares (Cr.), MTHYR Index Weighatge: This field shows the weightage of the particular stock in stated benchmark index. Benchmark index can be BSE Sensex, Nifty, BSE 100, BSE 200, BSE Sharia Index etc. It means a mutual fund considering BSE Sharia as its benchmark will only invest in stocks present in the BSE Sharia index. Note: it is not necessary that all large cap, small cap etc. should follow the same set of index. A HDFC fund may follow a different index than a DSP Blackrock fund though both may be large cap funds.
  • 23. Page 21 21 Coverage Ratio: Coverage ratio is the weightage of that particular stock in the fund. We usually compare the coverage ratio with the index weightage. It briefs us about the stocks exposure in the fund as compared to the exposure of the stock in the index. Active Ratio: The difference of the corpus percentage and the coverage ratio is the active ratio. It signifies what percentage of the investment has been done outside the coverage ratio. Note: Till date no mutual fund officially publishes the coverage rate or the active ratio. Scheme Classification: Scheme classification shows type of scheme i.e Diversified, balanced, large cap, GILT Funds etc. MoM Change in Shares: MoM shows the changes in the number of shares on a monthly basis. There can be an increase or decrease in the number of shares on a monthly basis. M Val of Chg in Shares (Cr.): It emits the market value of the MoM change in Shares.
  • 24. Page 22 22 Comparative Analysis COMPARISON OF LARGE CAP FUNDS FOR MARCH TO APRIL Comparison has been done on the basis of the type of Mutual Fund. Case1. 10 – 20 % increase in the value of the stock. 10 – 20 % increase in the volume of shares traded. Date 30/04/2015 Market Cap Band (All) Change in Share Price Band 10 to 20 % Increase Change in Volume of Shares Traded 10 to 20 % Increase Sum of % to Corpus Column Labels Row Labels HCL Technologies Ltd. Ultratech Cement Ltd. Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund - Regular - Growth 0.3825 HSBC Equity Fund - Growth 4.0832 SBI Bluechip Fund - Growth 1.4774 Grand Total 4.0832 1.8599 As per the above observation we find that HCL Tech and Ultratech Cement has outperformed in the month of March to April Giving above 10 % returns. Invariably there is a substantial increase in the volume of shares traded as well. What we also find is that HSBC Equity fund was holding more than 4 % of its corpus. Values for the same are mentioned below: Date 30/04/2015 Market Cap Band (All) Change in Share Price Band 10 to 20 % Increase Change in Volume of Shares Traded 10 to 20 % Increase Sum of Market Value (Rs. Crs) Column Labels Row Labels HCL Technologies Ltd. Ultratech Cement Ltd. Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund - Regular - Growth 33.4013 HSBC Equity Fund - Growth 26.4165 SBI Bluechip Fund - Growth 25.5946 Grand Total 26.4165 58.9959 HSBC Equity fund holds 26.41 Cr. worth of Shares for HCL Tech. Birla Holds around 33.40 Cr. of Ultratech Shares as compared to 25.59 Cr. of holdings by SBI Bluechip Fund.
  • 25. Page 23 23 Case2. 5 – 10 % increase in the value of the stock. More than 30 % increase in the volume of stocks traded. Date 30/04/2015 Market Cap Band (All) Change in Share Price Band 5 to 10 % Increase Change in Volume of Shares Traded More Than 30 % Increase Sum of Market Value (Rs. Crs) Column Labels Row Labels Blue Dart Express Ltd. Century Textiles & Industries Ltd. IndusInd Bank Ltd. Lupin Ltd. Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries Ltd. Wipro Ltd. Franklin India Bluechip - Growth 263.616 HDFC Index Fund - Sensex Plus Plan 1.5451 HDFC Large Cap Fund - Growth 37.26 IDBI India Top 100 Equity Fund - Growth 3.7554 IDFC Imperial Equity Fund - Regular - Growth 3.7071 Kotak 50 - Regular - Dividend 3.4668 Principal Large Cap Fund - Growth 2.8947 Reliance Focused Large Cap Fund - Growth 37.26 SBI Bluechip Fund - Growth 5.844 Grand Total 3.4668 2.8947 267.3231 5.844 74.52 3.7554 1.5451 The figure specifies there is substantial amount of holding of IndusInd bank by Franklin India Bluechip- Growth Fund. The stock has risen almost 10% in the period of March to April. A holding of 263 Cr. might have given outstanding returns for Franklin India Bluechip – Growth Fund. Stock picking had been precise and accurate.
  • 26. Page 24 24 Case3. 10 – 20 % increase in the value of the stock based on sector. Date 30/04/2015 Market Cap Band (All) Change in Share Price Band 10 to 20 % Increase Sum of Market Value (Rs. Crs) Column Labels Row Labels AUTOMOBILE CEMENT & CEMENT PRODUCTS CONSTRUCTION CONSUMER GOODS Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund - Regular - Growth 33.4013 103.849 Birla Sun Life Top 100 Fund - Growth Franklin India Bluechip - Growth HDFC Large Cap Fund - Growth 15.249 HSBC Equity Fund - Growth 9.3156 12.1865 ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity Fund - Retail – Growth ICICI Prudential Top 100 Fund - Growth 21.1063 IDFC Imperial Equity Fund - Regular - Growth L&T India Large Cap Fund - Growth 3.202 4.3034 SBI Bluechip Fund - Growth 25.5946 12.5327 Sundaram Growth Fund - Regular - Growth Sundaram Select Focus - Regular - Growth Tata Pure Equity Fund - Plan A - Growth UTI Leadership Equity Fund - Growth UTI Top 100 Fund - Growth Grand Total 9.3156 71.1824 24.3083 135.9341 Consumer goods have been a major contributor of increase in the portfolio value during the month of March to April. BirlaSun Life was holding a major chunk of corpus in the consumer goods segment. Moreover Cement and Cement Products had also outperformed the other sectors. Top AMC’s were holding a major part of the corpus in this sector.
  • 27. Page 25 25 COMPARISON OF LARGE CAP FUNDS FOR APRIL TO MAY Case1. 10 – 20 % increase in the value of the stock. 10 – 20 % increase in the volume of shares traded. Date 31/05/2015 Change in Share Price Band 10 to 20 % Increase Change in Volume of Shares Traded 10 to 20 % Increase Sum of % to Corpus Column Labels Row Labels Ambuja Cements Ltd. Bharti Airtel Ltd. Britannia Industries Ltd. HSBC Equity Fund - Growth 1.5224 SBI Bluechip Fund - Growth 1.2967 Sundaram Growth Fund - Regular - Growth 0.5088 Grand Total 0.5088 1.5224 1.2967 Case2. 5 – 10 % increase in the value of the stock. 5 – 10 % Decrease in the volume of shares traded. Date 31/05/2015 Change in Share Price Band 5 to 10 % Increase Change in Volume of Shares Traded 5 to 10 % Decrease Sum of % to Corpus Column Labels Row Labels Castrol India Ltd. Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd. KPIT Technologies Ltd. Yes Bank Ltd. Birla Sun Life Top 100 Fund - Growth 1.3203 HSBC Equity Fund - Growth 1.5128 Kotak 50 - Regular - Dividend 1.0003 LIC Nomura Equity Fund - Growth 1.2179 Sundaram Select Focus - Regular - Growth 0.9921 Grand Total 0.9921 1.5128 1.2179 2.3206
  • 28. Page 26 26 Case3. All companies with a market cap of 10000 Crores. 5 – 10 % Decrease in the volume of shares traded. Date 31/05/2015 Market Cap Band Above 10000 Crores Change in Share Price Band 10 to 20 % Increase Sum of Market Value (Rs. Crs) Column Labels Row Labels CEMENT & CEMENT PRODUCTS CONSUMER GOODS ENERGY FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRIAL MANUFACTURING MEDIA & ENTERTAINMENT PHARMA Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund - Regular - Growth 1.9345 57.1374 Birla Sun Life Top 100 Fund - Growth 0.1888 HDFC Large Cap Fund - Growth 15.741 HSBC Equity Fund - Growth 21.44 14.141 ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity Fund - Retail - Growth 89.858 ICICI Prudential Top 100 Fund - Growth 18.418 IDFC Imperial Equity Fund - Regular - Growth 3.2375 SBI Bluechip Fund - Growth 38.8292 54.22 26.5835 Sundaram Growth Fund - Regular - Growth 1.3249 Tata Pure Equity Fund - Plan A - Growth UTI Leadership Equity Fund - Growth 16.815 UTI Top 100 Fund - Growth 11.1276 Grand Total 1.3249 54.5702 39.858 65.3476 16.815 5.3608 187.72 As per the above observation we find that there has been a substantial investment and return in the pharmaceutical sector. Returns in the April to May Months have been in the range of 10-20% MoM (Month on Month) basis. The total investment in the pharmaceutical sector in the April to May months have been in the range of 187.72 Crores. The major funds investing in these sectors are ICICI Prudential, BirlaSun life and SBI Bluechip. The consumer goods sector has consistently performed over 2 months from March to April.
  • 29. Page 27 27 COMPARISON OF DIVERSIFIED FUNDS FOR MARCH TO APRIL Case1. All companies with a market cap of 10000 Crores. More than 30% Increase in the Date 31/03/2015 Market Cap Band Above 10000 Crores Change in Share Price Band More Than 30 % Increase Sum of Market Value (Rs. Crs) Row Labels Crompton Greaves Ltd. Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd. Birla Sun Life Advantage Fund - Growth Birla Sun Life Equity Fund - Growth Birla Sun Life Long Term Advantage Fund - Growth Canara Robeco Equity Diversified - Growth Goldman Sachs India Equity Fund - Growth ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund - Growth 96.1388 Mirae Asset India Opportunities Fund - Regular - Growth Principal Growth Fund - Growth Reliance Growth - Growth 94.6267 SBI Magnum Multi Cap Fund - Growth UTI Multi Cap Fund - Regular - Growth Grand Total 94.6267 96.1388
  • 30. Page 28 28 MARKET EXPOSURE OF INFRASTRUCTURE FUNDS FOR APRIL The figure shows the allocation of stocks for all prominent Infrastructure funds in Large Cap, Mid Cap and Non-Equity Exposure. DSP Blackrock India Tiger Fund - Growth has the maximum exposure in the large cap segment compared to other funds. HSBC Progressive Themes Fund – Growth has the least amount of exposure in the Large Cap Sector but it has maximum exposure in the Mid Cap Sector. As per the figure we can also see a huge amount of exposure in the Non- Equity front for certain funds. This is generally CBLO’s (Collateral Borrowing and Lending Obligation) and cash Components. Date 30/04/2015 Instrument (All) Sum of % to Corpus Column Labels Row Labels LARGECAP MID CAP Non Equity SMALL CAP Total Birla Sun Life Infrastructure Fund - Plan A - Growth 45.0596 49.9936 4.947 100 Canara Robeco Infrastructure Fund - Growth 62.602 33.2983 4.0997 100 DSP BlackRock India Tiger Fund - Regular - Growth 61.0561 36.6496 2.2943 100 Franklin Build India Fund - Growth 52.8241 33.435 13.7409 100 HDFC Infrastructure Fund - Growth 51.2808 41.0143 7.5889 0.1158 100 HSBC Progressive Themes Fund - Growth 28.8644 66.5091 4.6266 100 ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund - Growth 60.5176 36.6274 2.8548 100 IDFC Infrastructure Fund - Regular - Growth 55.4731 30.6412 13.8856 100 Kotak Infrastructure & Economic Reform Fund - Regular - Growth 47.8644 50.2254 1.9103 100 L&T Infrastructure Fund - Growth 47.1656 41.0646 11.7698 100 SBI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 45.5524 46.1119 8.3357 100 Sundaram Infrastructure Advantage Fund - Regular - Growth 49.3392 45.6681 4.9928 100 Tata Infrastructure Fund - Plan A - Growth 52.3584 40.6493 6.9927 100 UTI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 62.5544 36.1685 1.2769 100 Grand Total 722.5121 588.0563 89.316 0.1158 100
  • 31. Page 29 29 VOLUME MOVERS FOR INFRASTRUCTURE FUNDS FOR APRIL Date 30/04/2015 Change in Share Price Band (All) Change in Volume of Shares Traded 10 to 20 % Increase Sum of % to Corpus Column Labels Row Labels Ambuja Cements Ltd. Bharti Airtel Ltd. Ultratech Cement Ltd. Birla Sun Life Infrastructure Fund - Plan A - Growth Canara Robeco Infrastructure Fund - Growth 8.783 DSP BlackRock India Tiger Fund - Regular - Growth 2.2279 Franklin Build India Fund - Growth 4.0862 1.5079 HDFC Infrastructure Fund - Growth 1.6344 HSBC Progressive Themes Fund - Growth ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund - Growth 4.6182 1.1472 IDFC Infrastructure Fund - Regular - Growth 10.1836 4.8545 Kotak Infrastructure & Economic Reform Fund - Regular - Growth 9.6423 4.7662 L&T Infrastructure Fund - Growth 1.1287 0.9428 SBI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 7.4587 Sundaram Infrastructure Advantage Fund - Regular - Growth 1.6506 0.9869 Tata Infrastructure Fund - Plan A - Growth 3.6781 UTI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 0.4966 3.4822 Grand Total 2.7793 39.0628 31.4339 The figure represents the volume movers in the range of 10-20% MoM Basis. Both Bharti Airtel Ltd and UltraTech Cement have been volume movers. All the major infra funds holds a substantial amount of Shares in Bharti Airtel and UltraTech Cement Ltd.
  • 32. Page 30 30 DISTRIBUTION OF EQUITY COMPONENT FOR INFRASTRUCTURE FUNDS FOR THE MONTH OF MAY Date 31/05/2015 Instrument Equity Sum of % to Corpus Column Labels Row Labels LARGECAP MID CAP SMALL CAP Birla Sun Life Infrastructure Fund - Plan A - Growth 48.0115 49.613 DSP BlackRock India Tiger Fund - Regular - Growth 60.532 35.4868 HDFC Infrastructure Fund - Growth 53.1627 40.8644 0.0904 HSBC Progressive Themes Fund - Growth 28.9965 69.9899 ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund - Growth 56.5226 35.3504 IDFC Infrastructure Fund - Regular - Growth 54.296 32.2596 Kotak Infrastructure & Economic Reform Fund - Regular - Growth 46.7018 46.4097 SBI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 44.1222 43.6047 Sundaram Infrastructure Advantage Fund - Regular - Growth 47.9692 48.1135 Tata Infrastructure Fund - Plan A - Growth 52.1493 43.4278 UTI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 61.6769 36.5689 Grand Total 554.1407 481.6887 0.0904 All the infrastructure funds have majorly invested in Large and Mid Cap segments.
  • 33. Page 31 31 CHANGE IN NUMBER OF SHARES FOR INFRASTRUCTURE FUNDS FOR THE MONTH OF MAY The figure shows the sum of all the MoM change in Shares. As we can see HDFC infrastructure fund is the market leader with a net asset under management of 1971.67 Crores followed by ICICI Pru Infrastructure fund and DSP Blackrock India Tiger fund. As per the figure we also find that Tata Asset Management highest MoM change in the number of Shares. There has also been massive selling by DSP Blackrock Mutual Fund. What we also find in our observation that the corpus of top 5 mutual funds is massive as compared to its younger peers. Date 31/05/2015 Values Row Labels Sum of MoM Change in Shares Sum of Market Value (Rs. Crs) Birla Sun Life Infrastructure Fund - Plan A - Growth 489775 834.27 DSP BlackRock India Tiger Fund - Regular - Growth -562852 1609.68 HDFC Infrastructure Fund - Growth 2367390 1971.67 HSBC Progressive Themes Fund - Growth -65000 137.89 ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund - Growth 2141418 1757.94 IDFC Infrastructure Fund - Regular - Growth -159624 136.07 Kotak Infrastructure & Economic Reform Fund - Regular - Growth -63708 144.29 SBI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 400000 552.89 Sundaram Infrastructure Advantage Fund - Regular - Growth 451217 710.25 Tata Infrastructure Fund - Plan A - Growth 3772146 731.39 UTI Infrastructure Fund - Growth 29410 1565.79 Grand Total 8800172 10152.1272
  • 34. Page 32 32 ACTIVE RATIO AND COVERAGE RATIO OF ALL INDEX FUNDS Portfolio profiles are always carefully monitored in terms of 'active ratio’ and 'coverage ratio' which measures aggregate active weights in individual stocks and overlaps with benchmark holdings respectively. While active ratio is a key metric for the alpha generation potential of a portfolio, coverage ratio represents the alpha preservation component needed to maintain the desired beta and style characteristics. The figure shows the Active ratios and the coverage ratios of all the prominent index funds in the industry. Date 31/05/2015 Row Labels Coverage Ratio Active Ratio Total Birla Sun Life Index Fund - Growth 88.92 11.08 100.00 HDFC Index Fund - Nifty Plan 96.90 3.10 100.00 ICICI Prudential Index Fund 81.11 18.89 100.00 IDFC Nifty Fund - Regular - Growth 92.31 7.69 100.00 LIC Nomura MF Index Fund - Nifty - Growth 97.79 2.21 100.00 Principal Index Fund - Nifty - Growth 99.89 0.11 100.00 Reliance Index Fund - Nifty Plan - Growth 98.99 1.01 100.00 SBI Nifty Index Fund - Growth 98.16 1.84 100.00 Tata Index Fund - Nifty Plan - Plan A 99.52 0.48 100.00 UTI Nifty Fund - Growth 96.84 3.16 100.00 Grand Total 951.40 49.57 1000
  • 35. Page 33 33 Findings and Observation Findings and observation are based on the current economic scenario. 1. Oil Prices: Oil prices have risen about 35-40% from the low levels seen in the recent past. Currently crude oil is trading at 66 Dollars per Barrel. India has benefitted disproportionately from the sharp fundamental fall in crude prices. Crude price has fallen from ~110 in the FY 14 to ~65 now. (http://www.oil-price.net/, 2015) India's crude import bill for FY 14 was 165 Billion USD. The sharp fall has helped the economy save nearly 50 Billion USD. The budgeted subsidy bill for petroleum has been reduced by Rs. 30 thousand Crs. Further, with the fuel reforms, the pressure on Government from increasing crude prices is far lower. India will be easily able to manage the current oil prices (or even a marginally higher level from now). (NASDAQ, 2015) In addition, the fundamental outlook for crude is for the prices to remain muted. Therefore, the recent hike in the prices is not a major concern but oil and Gas stocks have thereby not performed substantially. Returns in the Oil and gas sector are a mere 2.5% for the past 3months. Mutual funds holding huge corpus under the Oil and Gas Sector have not benefited much from the sharp fall in the crude oil prices. 2. Rupee: Rupee had depreciated to 64 levels against the Dollar - lowest in 20 Months, before retracing marginally to current levels of 63.7. However, despite the recent depreciation, Rupee is one of the Best among EM currencies. Rupee has lost just 1.86% in the current year, as against Turkish Lira or Brazilian Real, which have fallen by about 14%. Over the medium term, sustained economic growth will attract capital flows, and help Rupee. (Currency, 2015) Global investors still feel that the Indian markets are overvalued. The market had therefore had correction in the recent months leading to a decrease in NAV Net asset value) of all the leading funds. 3. Bond Yields The 10 Year G-Sec Yields had inched closer to 8%.The movement in gilt yields is in line with sharp sell-off in the global bonds. US 10 year Yield inched up to 2.27%, a sharp increase in the recent past, perhaps on the fear that oil prices could go up further. In my view India is one of the few
  • 36. Page 34 34 countries in the world, which could afford to cut interest rates meaningfully - Current over-night rates are 250 bps above CPI inflation. Rates across the yield curve far higher. The Central Bank is targeting a real rate of 1.5-2%, leaving enough headroom to cut rates. Continuing fiscal prudence, disinflationary trends and benign liquidity scenario are expected to result in lowering of interest rates. The Lowering of the rate cut could lead to an improvement of market sentiments. 4. Monsoon and RBI Rate Cuts. The RBI cut interest rates for a third time this year on 2nd June 2015, taking advantage of subdued inflation to lend more support to an economy that the bank itself says is not doing as well as latest impressive growth numbers suggest. The Reserve Bank of India also left open the possibility of further cuts later this year, even with forecasts of a below-average monsoon that could put pressure on food prices. Previous cuts in January and March had also been by 25 basis points. As on the first week of June the monsoon was below average thus leading to only 25 basis points reduction in the interest rates rather than a 50 basis point reduction in the rate cut estimated by many analysts. Over the month of June the conditions of Monsoon had increased leading to an estimation of further rate cut in the next quarter. If the conditions of stable monsoon improve we can expect further rate cut leading to an uptick in Sensex and Nifty indices. Despite demands from India's commercial banks, the RBI did not take steps to free up liquidity, which bankers had said were needed for them to lower lending rates further and pass on the benefits of monetary easing to the broader economy. Instead, with growth in bank lending at its lowest in almost two decades, the RBI urged banks to reduce rates quickly. The market had been down by about 600-700 points on the day the rate cuts had been declared. The Mid and Micro cap had fallen by around 10-12% on intraday trading. The conditions of Monsoon improved during the month of June leading to an improvement in market sentiments and leading to an increase in the Indices. 5. Sharp run-up in markets. Indian equities had gone up by 55% since Sep 2013 (since Mr. Modi was announced as BJP candidate), before the recent correction of 8-10%.There may be a bit of fatigue and profit-booking in some stocks. However, the valuation of Indian equities is very attractive. At 19x trailing P/E on low cyclical earnings, and 15x 2 Yr Fwd PE on expectations of decent turnaround in earnings, the valuations are quite attractive. Market Cap / GDP at 75% low in absolute and relative terms.
  • 37. Page 35 35 6. Flows to other countries. Countries like China, Korea, Taiwan and Japan have been attracting inflows in the recent past. Most investors were heavily underweight in countries like China because their economy was systemically slowing down. However, cheap valuations have started attracting fund flows recently. For instance, since the beginning of August 2014, their markets have gone up by nearly 85%. Some of the recent IPOs have also attracted flows into China. However, over the medium to long term, investors are likely to be guided by fundamentals, and hence we believe India is well-placed to receive flows. In Dollar Terms, Indian equity markets are at the same level as in May 2014, around elections, making it particularly attractive for FIIs. This had led to a correction in the market. FIIs have pulled out nearly Rs. 4000 Crs from equity markets in the first two weeks of May. However, FIIs have been consistently investing into India over the longer term. Since 2009, they have invested 120 Billion USD, an average of 20 Bn USD per year. They have been net sellers only in 2008-2009 during the global crisis when they had sold 10.4 Bn USD. With the fundamental outlook for India remaining strong, we expect FII flows to be robust. In addition to FII flows, Domestic Flows will also help. Mutual Funds, for instance, invested 6.6 Bn USD in 2014. 7. Policy Issues. The current government is working on various reforms and is trying to implement reforms swiftly. Government is firmly committed to bringing about key reforms and implementing them. GST has been passed in the Lok Sabha, diesel price has been deregulated, gas price revision, targeted subsidy, hiking FDI limit in critical sectors of Railways, Defence and Insurance, etc., to name a few. It’s very much likely that more such reforms will get implemented, benefiting the economy.
  • 38. Page 36 36 Recommendations 1. India is extremely well-placed for long-term economic growth and to generate attractive equity returns. The current market correction should be used as a good opportunity to increase allocation to equities. Mutual Funds provides up an opportunity to invest in mutual funds with lesser risk and higher returns. 2. It is on the basis on one’s risk appetite that once should decide on the type of Mutual Fund he should invest in. Equity Mutual Funds is high risk instrument and one should invest in equity mutual funds over long term to negate the risk factor. Balanced Funds invest in both equity and debt components and thus the risk factor is moderate. Tata Balance fund has given decent return of 16 % over a period of 5 Years. Certain Mutual Funds invests in Bonds and Government securities where the risk factor is less but the returns are low as well. 3. Investing in mutual fund once should always have a long term perspective. If one would have remained invested in Reliance Growth Fund for 20 years it would have earned CAGR of above 20 %. In short if one would have invested Rs. 1,00,000 in 1995 he would have an asset value of 78,50,000 by 2015. Thus it is advisable to invest in mutual funds to fulfill long term goals. 4. Mutual Funds can also be segmented into various types based on the sector where the Fund has invested its corpus into. The various sectors might be Pharmaceuticals, Banking and Financial Services, Infrastructure or PSU’s. We should be very clear about the asset class the fund is investing into. The various asset classes might not give similar returns every time. Pharmaceuticals Funds has given maximum returns for the past 10 Years where as Banking & Financial Services have given a return of more than 60 % CAGR return only over a period of 3 years. Thus the portfolio of the scheme should be thoroughly analyzed before investing. 5. One must take help from financial planners and investment advisors before investing into a mutual fund scheme.
  • 39. Page 37 37 Bibliography AMFI. (2015, 06 11). AMFI. Retrieved from AMFI: http://www.amfiindia.com/research-information/mf-history Capitaline. (n.d.). Capitaline. Retrieved from Capitaline: https://www.capitaline.com/Demo/Plus.aspx Currency, H. (2015, 06 22). Historical Currency. Retrieved from http://tools.currenciesdirect.net/currency-chart/ Explorer, M. (2015, 06 11). MFI Explorer. Retrieved from MFI Website: http://www.mutualfundindia.com/ProductEnquiry/MFIExplorer http://www.oil-price.net/. (2015, 06 15). Oil-price. Retrieved from Oil-price: http://www.oil-price.net/ Jain, P. (2015, 05 23). Mutual Fund Perspectives. (T. AMC, Interviewer) NASDAQ. (2015, 06 15). NASDAQ Oil Prices. Retrieved from NASDAQ Oil Prices: http://www.nasdaq.com/markets/crude-oil.aspx TataAMC. (2015, 06 11). Tata AMC. Retrieved from Tata AMC: http://www.tata.co.in/company/profileinside/Tata- Asset-Management
  • 40. Page 38 38 Contact Information PRANJAL MITRA SUMMER INTERNSHIP TRAINEE Tel 7033174839 pranjalmitra18@gmail.com Company Information Tata Asset Management Limited 9th Floor, Mafatlal Centre, Nariman Point Mumbai 400021 Tel 180-02090101 http://www.tatamutualfund.com/