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Trattamento antivirale e controllo della malattia: benefici a lungo termine
1. Infezione cronica da virus B
Trattamento antivirale e controllo della malattia:
benefici a lungo termine
Nuovi target di terapia antivirale:
la lunga strada verso la cura
Pietro Andreone
Dipartimento di Scienze Mediche e Chirurgiche
Università di Bologna
Ospedaletto di Pescantina, 25 Giugno 2014
2. − Long term benefit
− News from EASL
− The long way to cure
Outline
3. • Clinical
– Control of symptoms
• Biochemical
– AST/ALT normalization
• Serological
– HBeAg loss
– HBsAg loss
• Virological
– HBV-DNA suppression
Long-term benefits
• Histological
– Inflammation/Fibrosis reduction
• Portal pressure measurement
– HVPG decrease
• Liver Function
– CTP/MELD scores
4. • Advantages
– Relevant to patients
• Disadvantages
– Often asymptomatic even with advanced disease
– Non specific
Long-term benefits
Clinical: control of symptoms
5. • Advantages
– Inexpensive
– Correlation with disease activity
• Disadvantages
– Significant fluctuation
– Not specific to HBV
– Imprecise correlation with histology
Long-term benefits
Biochemical: normalization of AST/ALT
6. • Advantages
– Predicts favorable outcome if maintained off therapy
• Disadvantages
– Durability limited when treatment-induced
– HBeAg-negative disease may develop
Long-term benefits
Serological: HBeAg loss ± HBeAb development
7. • Advantages
– Associated with excellent prognosis (particularly if before 50 yrs)
• Disadvantages
– Rare event with current therapy
– Difficult to predict (?)
Long-term benefits
Serological: HBsAg loss ± HBsAb development
8. • Advantages
– On-treatment suppression associated with favorable short to medium-
term outcome
– Useful to identify viral resistance
• Disadvantages
– Poor durability off treatment (especially in HBeAg-negative)
Surrogate Endpoints in CHB
Virological: HBV-DNA suppression
9. Long term benefits
Serological: HBsAg loss ± HBsAb development
Aghemo A et al, J Hepatol 2012
Virological and serological responses after 12 mo
(Peg-IFN after 6 mo of FU)
10. • Advantages
– Accurate assessment of liver injury
– Clinically relevant
• Disadvantages
– Invasive
– Costly
– Subject to sampling error
– Slow to change (especially fibrosis)
Long-term benefits
Histological: inflammation/fibrosis improvement
11. Chang TT et al, Hepatology 2010
Long-term benefits
Histological: inflammation/fibrosis improvement
Fibrosis regression during long-term ETV treatment in 57 pts (10 with ≥F5)
HBeAg+ and HBeAb+
13. • Advantages
– Non invasive
– Relatively good correlation with histology
• Disadvantages
– Limited validation in HBV
– Longitudinal data lacking
Long-term benefits
Fibrosis serum markers/Fibroscan improvement
14. • Advantages
– Accurate assessment of portal hypertension
– Clinically relevant
• Disadvantages
– Invasive
– Costly
– Subject to sampling error
– Slow to change (linked to fibrosis regression)
Long-term benefits
Portal pressure reduction
15. HVPG decrease in cirrhotic patients with significant (>10 mm Hg)
portal hypertension treated with LMV
Manolakopoulos S et al, J Hepatol 2009
Long-term benefits
Portal pressure reduction
16. − Long term benefit
− News from EASL
− The long way to cure
Outline
17. Jacobson I, EASL, 2014, Poster #1084
Coexisting steatosis and HBeAg+ status were independent predictors of pALT in HBV patients
receiving long-term TDF treatment
News from EASL 2014
Combined Impact of Baseline Steatosis and
HBeAg Status on pALT after 5 yrs of TDF
*Fisher exact test
18. Presence of steatosis was associated with a lower likelihood of regression of cirrhosis
Buti MM, EASL, 2014, Poster #677
Regression of Cirrhosis in Obese and Non-Obese Patients With and Without Steatosis
News from EASL 2014
Prediction of Liver Cirrhosis Regression
in TDF-treated CHB Patients with Hepatic Steatosis
P=0.05
19. Pageaux G-P, EASL, 2014, Poster #1061
News from EASL 2014
TDF in Treatment-Naïve or –Experienced CHB Patients (n=440)
in a 3 yrs Real Life Practice
94–97% HBV DNA undetectable, with no difference between TN and TE
Overall HBsAg-loss: 12 (2.7%)
3 cases of HCC reported over 3 years
Virologic Response Rates
97%
n=110
n=119
94%
n=101 n=189 n=171 n=158
Patients
with
HBV-DNA
<69IU/mL
(%)
Overall Population (N=440)
eGFR ≥ 60 and < 90 (n=98)
eGFR ≥ 90 (n=238)
eGFR ≥ 30 and < 60 (n=24)
20. Causse X, EASL, 2014, Poster #1062
News from EASL 2014
TDF in CHB Patients with Older Age and Comorbidities
Patients
with
HBV-DNA
<69IU/mL
(%)
n=268 n=252 n=40 n=29 n=26
n=233
100%
95%
Incidence of comorbidities in elderly patients: 35% HTN, 17% diabetes
58% were F3-F4 (METAVIR) at baseline
21. Lim Y-S, EASL, 2014, Poster #1064
Mean Change in Serum Creatinine
Proportion of Patients with Virologic Response
News from EASL 2014
TDF Monotherapy vs. TDF+ETV in ADV*-Resistant HBV
* 30/102 had rtA181T/V and rtN236T mutations
n=50
n=52
n=50
n=52
Intention-to-treat analysis
22. Abu-Amara M, EASL, 2014, Poster #194
778 patients treated; 70
patients developed HCC
(median f/u of 47 months)
Cumulative incidence of HCC
– 5-year, 2.53%
– 10-year, 3.32%
News from EASL 2014
Risk of Hepatitis B-Related HCC with Antiviral Therapy
External validation of three HCC risk models (NGM1-HCC, CU-HCC, REACH-B)
in a North American mixed genotype population (n=2,105)
Treatment modified the predicted risk of HCC, with lower than predicted incidence
observed to a greater extent in high risk groups
REACH-B Full Patient Cohort
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.5
Observed
HCC
Risk
Predicted HCC Risk
0
0.2
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
HR
HR
HR
LR
MR
MR
5 Years
3 Years High Risk
23. Ahn SJ, EASL, 2014, Poster #1069
News from EASL 2014
Efficacy of ETV in Naïve and LAM-Experienced CHB Patients
Retrospective analysis of 342 consecutive NUC-naïve and LAM-experienced
patients without LAM resistance treated with ETV for ≥ 30 months from
2006–2012
NA-Naïve
n=270
LAM-
Experience
d
n=72
P-
value
Median duration of ETV,
months (SD)
44.1 (10.0) 44.8 (9.9) 0.584
Virologic response, % 97 94.4 0.295
Virologic breakthrough*,
%
3.5 17 0.000
ETV resistance*, % 2.6 12.2 0.013
Independent predictive
factors for developing ETV
resistance:
– Lack of virologic response at
Month 12, HR 20.71,
P=0.005
– LAM exposure, HR 5.01,
P=0.035
*At Month 60
24. Chi H, EASL, 2014, Poster #1077
News from EASL 2014
Virologic Relapse Rate After NUC Discontinuation in CHB
International study investigating off-treatment response after NUC therapy
discontinuation in 94 CHB patients
Mean f/u: 19.4 months
Cirrhosis: 27 (28.7%)
Median therapy duration: 4.1
years
Patients with cirrhosis had
lower risk of relapse (HR:
0.39; 95% CI 0.21-0.74)
20
60
80
100
Cumulative
Rate,
%
Months After Discontinuation
0
40
0 12 24 36 48
Cumulative Rate of Virologic Relapse in Patients
With and Without Cirrhosis
66.2%
Cirrhosis
No Cirrhosis
44.7%
P=0.037
82.9%
70.1%
Cirrhosis
No Cirrhosis
17
12
67
27
No Cirrhosis
Cirrhosis
10
4
5
2
4
1
Number at Risk
25. Patwardhan V, EASL, 2014, Poster #1080
News from EASL 2014
Treatment Cessation After Prolonged Suppression with NUCs in
HBeAg-Negative Non-Cirrhotic Patients
Single-center, retrospective chart review of HBeAg-negative patients on treatment
with suppression for 4–5 years who stopped treatment
Median f/u: 3 years
33 patients met eligibility criteria (LAM,
3; ADV, 14; ETV, 4; TDF, 12)
37% of patients stayed off treatment safely and without viral relapse
after 5 years on suppressive NUC therapy
20
60
80
100
Cumulative
Proportional
Rate
of
Relapse
Duration of Follow Up (Months)
0
40
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
63%
26. − Long term benefit
− News from EASL
− The long way to cure
Outline
27. The long way to cure HBV
Next-Generation Delivery System of Tenofovir
N
N
N
N
NH2
O
P
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
N
N
N
N
NH2
O
P
O
HO
OH
N
N
N
N
NH2
O
P
O
N
H O
O
O
Tenofovir
Disoproxil Fumarate
Tenofovir
Tenofovir
Alafenamide
LYMPHOID CELLS/
HEPATOCYTES
PLASMA
GUT
TFV
TFV
TFV-MP
TFV-DP
TDF/TFV
TDF
TFV TDF TAF
TAF
Cathepsin A
CES1
TAF TAF
♦ Improved stability in plasma:
– Enhanced delivery of
active form (TFV-DP) to
hepatocytes
– Lower doses are used;
systemic exposures of TFV
reduced
CES1 = carboxylesterase 1; DP= di-phosphate; MP= mono-phosphate.
28. The long way to cure HBV
TAF Phase 3 Program
• 2 phase 3, randomized, double-blind studies
• Primary endpoint (non inferiority margin of 10%)
– HBV DNA <29 IU/mL at Week 48
• Secondary endpoints
– Bone mineral density
– Renal parameters
TAF 25 mg
TDF 300 mg
2:1 randomization
Open-label
TAF
Week 96 Week 144
(Year 3)
Study 1
HBeAg+
N=864
Study 2
HBeAg-
N=390
GS-US-320-0108 – Clinicaltrials.gov NCT01940341
GS-US-320-0110– Clinical trials.gov NCT01940471
29. The long way to cure HBV
Combination therapy of TDF and PEG-IFN on HBsAg loss in
noncirrhotic HBeAg(+) and HBeAg(-) CHB
Primary endpoint: loss of HBsAg at Week 72
Arm A
N=186
TDF
PEG
TDF
PEG
TDF
PEG
48 72 120
Weeks
16 wks
Arm B
N=184
Arm C
N=185
Arm D
N=185
GS-US-174-0149 - Clinicaltrials.gov NCT01940341
30. HBsAg loss 8.5%
HBsAb seroconversion 4.3%
HBsAg loss 0%
HBsAb seroconversion 0%
Ning Q et al, J Hepatol 2014 in press
The long way to cure HBV
Combination therapy of ETV and PEG-IFN on HBsAg and HBeAg
loss in CHB
31. The long way to cure HBV
Oral Toll-Like Receptor 7 (TLR7) Agonist
Pro-inflammatory
cytokines
NF-B
IFN-α and
other IFNs
IRF7
MyD88
TLR7
TLR7: part of the innate immune system
• Expressed in pDCs and B cells
• Activated by ssRNA or small molecules
GS-9620
Roethle et al. J Med Chem 2013
32. The long way to cure HBV
HBV-Specific Therapeutic Vaccine
• Recombinant yeast is efficiently taken up by professional antigen-presenting cells
(APCs)
• Processed viral antigens are then presented to T cells via MHC I and II.
Haller AA, et al. Vaccine 2007;25:1452-63;
Lu Y, et al. Cancer Res 2004;64:5084-8;
Franzusoff A, et al. Expert Opin Biol Ther 2005;5:565-75
33. The long way to cure HBV
Tarmogen Phase 2 in Chronic Hepatitis B
• On treatment with nucleos(t)ide polymerase inhibitor (HBV
DNA undetectable), excludes cirrhotics
• Endpoints
– HBsAg decline at Week 24 (primary)
– HBsAg loss/seroconversion (secondary)
– Immunology evaluation*
Antiviral Antiviral
n=25
Antiviral + 2 YU GS-4774 (q4wk) Antiviral
n=50
Antiviral + 10 YU GS-4774 (q4wk) Antiviral
n=50
Antiviral + 40 YU GS-4774 (q4wk) Antiviral
n=50
0 24 48
Wk
* Flow cytometry, ELISpot response to HBV antigens, pentamer evaluation for HBV-specific T-cells (number and phenotype), serum cytokine profile, PBMC mRNA expression changes, HLA typing.
GS-US-330-0101 - Clinicaltrials.gov NCT01943799
34. The long way to cure HBV
cccDNA
inhibitor
NUC
Agent to prevent viral spread,
cccDNA re-amplification
Agents to activate antiviral immunity or
relieve repression of the system
Selective agent to deplete or
perturb cccDNA
Immune
activator
+
+
HBV antigen
inhibition
Agents to inhibit other components in the
HBV life cycle [entry or cell-spread, capsid,
HBX, HBsAg]
+
Editor's Notes
15
Transition
This slide shows the results of the exploration of baseline and on-treatment factors in HBeAg-positive (HBeAg+) and -negative (HBeAg−) patients with chronic HBV after 5 years of TDF treatment that are associated with persistently elevated ALT levels (pALT)
Main Messages
Nearly all patients (98%; 463/471) achieved complete suppression (HBV DNA < 69 IU/mL) at year 5
~20% of suppressed patients on TDF at 5 years have pALT levels (Marcellin P, et al. Lancet 2013;381:468-75; Jacobson IM, et al. AASLD 2012, Poster 411)
In univariate analyses, pALT at year 5 was associated with higher baseline BMI (p < 0.001)
In multivariate analysis, pALT at year 5 was associated with baseline HBeAg+ status (p < 0.001); presence of baseline steatosis [<5% vs >=5%], (odds ratio=0.455, p=0.047); and year 5 steatosis [<5% vs >=5%], (odds ratio=0.202, p<0.001)
Coexisting steatosis and HBeAg+ status were independent predictors of pALT
Etiologies other than HBV infection may have contributed to pALT on long-term TDF treatment
Background
Methods
All patients on TDF through Year 5 were included (N=471/641 [73%])
In a pooled analysis (N=471) from Studies 102 (HBeAg-) and 103 (HBeAg+), relationships were assessed between baseline demographic and disease characteristics, and on treatment response parameters with pALT at year 5.
pALT (n=87) and normal ALT (n=384) patients were compared
pALT was defined as serum ALT >upper limit of normal (ULN) at Year 5.
Upper limit of ALT normal range: males 43 U/L (18–69 y) and 35 U/L (≥69 y); females 34 U/L (18–69 y) and 32 U/L (≥69 y)
Hepatic steatosis scores were determined by independent pathologist based on biopsy slides at baseline (n=467/471 [99%]) and Year 5 (n=339/471 [72%])
Steatosis scoring: <5% (grade 0), ≥5% to < 34% (grade 1), ≥34% to <66% (grade 2), ≥66% (grade 3)
If patients have steatosis, they are significantly less likely to have viral suppression <69 IU/ml.
Assessment of steatosis and associated metabolic risk factors should be considered in CHB patients who have pALT while on effective antiviral therapy.
Transition
This slide shows the results of a subanalysis of the TDF Studies 102/103 done to assess the impact of hepatic steatosis on the persistance of cirrhosis in patients with long-term HBV DNA suppression at Year 5 which has never been studied.
Main Messages
Hepatic steatosis at baseline correlated with baseline BMI.
Among obese patients with cirrhosis, the presence of hepatic steatosis was associated with a lower likelihood of cirrhosis regression.
BMI was the strongest predictor of cirrhosis regression with obese patients having the lowest likelihood of regression despite having complete viral suppression.
The mechanism by which obesity reduces the likelihood of regression of cirrhosis is unclear but obesity, metabolic syndrome and steatohepatitis may play a role in histological response.
Background
Methods: Out of the 351 patients that had biopsies after 240 weeks of treatment, 96 patients had cirrhosis.
Steatosis grading was based on system used to assess nonalcoholic steatohepatitis:
Grade 0: < 5% steatosis, Grade 1: > 5% to < 34% steatosis, Grade 2: > 34% to < 66% steatosis
Grade 3: > 66% steatosis
Of the 96 TDF treated patients with cirrhosis (Ishak score 5 or 6) at baseline, 71 (74%) no longer had cirrhosis versus 3 of 252 patients without cirrhosis at baseline progressed to cirrhosis at year 5 (p < 0.0001). (Marcellin P, et al. Lancet 2013;381:468-75.)
Results: Overall, in the 96 patients with cirrhosis, Steatosis Grade > 1 at baseline correlated with a lower likelihood of cirrhosis regression at Week 240 in univariate analysis (OR [95% CI] 2.76 [1.08-7.07]) but was not a significant negative predictor of cirrhosis regression in a multivariate model (NS).
Of the 96 patients, 18% were obese.
Among non-obese patients(78/95), cirrhosis regression occurred at a similar rate in those with and without steatosis.
Among obese patients (17/95) with and without steatosis, those without steatosis were more likely to have regression of cirrhosis (p=0.05).
BMI correlated with cirrhosis regression in normal weight patients (compared to obese) in a multivariate model (p< 0.001).
BMI definition (CDC, http://www.cdc.gov/healthyweight/assessing/bmi/adult_bmi/):
Underweight: <18.5; Normal: 18.5 – 24.9; Overweight: 25 – 29.9; Obese: > 30
Transition
The real-life VIREAL multicenter prospective study follows 440 patients in France recruited during June 2009–April 2010. The 2-year treatment data on TDF efficacy and tolerability was previously reported at EASL 2013 (Hézode et al. J Hepatol 2013 Supp1:58(748);S303 Poster#748).
The objective of this analysis was to assess the 3-year treatment data on TDF efficacy and tolerability.
Main Messages
This slide reviews the virologic response both in treatment-naïve or –experienced.
94-97% HBV DNA undetectable, with no difference between TN and TE
Overall HBsAg-loss: 12 (2.7%)
Mean eGFR (CKD-EPI) remains stable for 3 years, including patients previously treated with ADV and those with low baseline CrCl.
In real life practice, 3 years of TDF therapy was associated with high virologic response, very low number of HCC cases and a favorable safety profile
Background
AE rate: 14%
Most common AEs: Asthenia (n=14), abdominal pain (n=14), nausea (n=7), vomiting (n=7), diarrhea (n=6)
7 patients stopped trial due to renal insufficiency (from raw data)
HBsAg loss observed in 3 HBeAg+ (2.8%) and 9 HBeAg- (3.0%)
Among the 12 patients, 3 stopped TDF and 9 continued
S seroconversion observed in 4 patients (HBeAg-). None observed in HBeAg+ (from raw database)
3 cases of HCC (all F4 at Baseline; reported at 3, 12 and 36-month)
10 deaths (none related to TDF): 1 HCC, 2 leukemia, 1 breast cancer, 1 suicide (post-liver transplantation), 1 stroke, 1 post surgery (liver transplantation), 1 cholangiocarcinoma, 2 end-stage liver disease (1 hepatic encephalopathy, 1 spontaneous bacterial peritonitis)
Inclusion criteria: HBsAg-positive for > 6 months, first prescription of TDF, Patients informed about collection of their medical data, and having signed an informed consent form
Exclusion criteria: Patients with HIV, hepatitis C or D virus co-infection, HCC (suspected or diagnosed), or participating in an ongoing interventional clinical trial
Transition
This slide shows the 3-year final analysis in the subgroup of 48 elderly patients from Vireal study, a French real-life cohort evaluating TDF treatment in chronic hepatitis B patients.
Main Messages
Elderly patients (age ≥ 65 years) had similar rates of undetectable HBV-DNA at 3 years when compared to younger patients (100% vs 95%).
TDF treatment was well tolerated in all subgroups, including elderly patients.
Renal function, described in terms of mean estimated glomerular filtration rate by CKD-EPI formula, was stable over 3 years in young and elderly patients.
Background
1 patient had HCC at baseline and was removed from the elderly cohort analysis
TDF treatment in elderly patient was not well described. Only 5 patients ≥ 65 years were included in studies 102/103.
Baseline characteristics of elderly patients (n=48):
age 71±6 yrs, male 73%, HBeAg(-) 85%, F3-F4 58%, treatment naïve 23%
Results for full cohort:
Overall HBsAg-loss: 12 (2.7%) patients at 3 years
HBsAg-loss according to age: 10 (2.6%) and 2 (4.2%) in < 65 and ≥ 65 years, respectively
Decrease in n’s is due to the availability of data at collection
Safety for full cohort:
Rate of AE in overall population: 14%. Similar rates of AE in elderly patients (14%).
Liver-related complications in 5 patients: 3 HCC (all F4 at baseline, reported at 3-month, 12-month and 36-month), 1 hepatic encephalopathy and 1 spontaneous bacterial peritonitis
10 deaths (none related to TDF)
Renal safety in elderly patients with comorbidities was presented at AASLD 2013
(Zoulim F, et al. AASLD 2013, poster#969):
eGFR estimated by CKD-EPI was stable after 2 years of TDF therapy in elderly patients with hypertension (n=16) or diabetes (n=8).
Among 48 elderly patients, 10 had eGFR < 50 mL/min (esti2mated by C-G formula). Among these 10 patients who should have a TDF dose adjustment (according to SmPC), 4 patients started treatment with full dose of TDF 300mg QD (non published data).
Transition
This is a study from South Korea comparing the efficacy and safety of combination therapy with tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF, 300mg/day) and entecavir (ETV, 1mg/day) versus TDF monotherapy in patients with documented adefovir (ADV) resistance and persistent viremia (suboptimal virologic response to prior treatment).
Main Messages
Virologic response was similar between TDF+ETV and TDF-alone after 48 weeks (“about 63%”).
Reduction in HBV DNA was similar between the two groups as well.
There was a marked reduction in detectable resistance mutations with no additional resistance mutations in either group.
Treatment was well tolerated with no significant increase in creatinine and no significant decrease in bone mineral density seen.
Background
Patients randomized to TDF+ETV combination therapy (n=52) or TDF monotherapy (n=50).
2 patients in the group assigned TDF+ETV withdrew consent and did not complete treatment.
1 patient in each group had virologic breakthrough, however both had documented non-adherence.
Baseline characteristics:
Average age: 46.9 yrs, 86.3% were Male, 18.6% had cirrhosis, 88.2% were HBeAg+.
HBV DNA: 3.38 log. (HBV DNA for two treatment arms were similar at baseline)
74.5% had been previously treated with ADV, LAM and ETV
71% had either rtA181V/T or rtN236T
29% had both rtA181V/T and rtN236T
86 patients had resistant mutations to LAM and ADV; and 35 of these patients had resistant mutations to LAM, ADV and ETV. (calculated from the table in back-up)
Results:
No statistically significant difference in HBV DNA reduction between the two groups overall and including: patients with rtA181V/T or rtN236T, patients with rtA181V/T and rtN236T, patients with high viral load (>5 log10).
There was a trend in favor of TDF+ETV in patients with rtA181V/T and rtN236T to reduce HBV DNA
Error bars indicates 95% confidence interval
No T or Z-score data provided on the poster, the BMD changes were not statistically significant
Note: EASL 2012 (corrigendum 2013) cross resistance data lists TDF as having intermediate (I) sensitivity to the individual mutations rtA181V/T, rtN236T and being intermediate/resistant (I/R) to the combination of these two mutations based upon in-vitro data.
Transition
HCC Risk Score Calculators are being increasingly used to evaluate cohorts of HBV patients to determine if HCC incidence decreases with treatment. This analysis was conducted in North America (Toronto) and included 2105 treated and untreated patients, and utilized 3 HCC risk scores, including REACH-B, which is derived from the REVEAL cohort.
Main Messages
Authors concluded that treatment of HBV demonstrably reduced the predicted risk of HCC as predicted by three HCC calculators (CU-HCC, REACH-B, and NGM1-HCC) in the mixed population (14% Caucasian) of HBV patients. The trend was seen at 5 years and was even more pronounced at 10 years, particularly in cirrhotic patients.
Results also indicate the models predicted the risk of HCC more accurately in cirrhotics compared to non-cirrhotics.
Background
All 3 risk-prediction models accurately identify CHB patients at low risk of HCC in a North American mixed genotype population.
For medium- and high-risk patients, the models performed better in cirrhotics compared to non-cirrhotics and in treated compared to untreated patients.
Patient Characteristics (N = 2105):
Asian – Chinese: 1016 (48%), Asian – Southeast: 552 (26%), Asian – Other: 95 (4.5%)
Black: 107 (5%), Caucasian: 291 (14%), Other: 17 (0.8%)
Treated patients: 778 (37%), treated with NUCs only: 754 (36%), treated with IFN only: 15 (0.7%), treated with NUCs and IFN: 9 (0.4%)
A significant factor of this study is that it compares treated to untreated patients. This allows the calculators to be analyzed for the HCC prediction accuracy for both treated and untreated patients. All three models tended to overestimate the predicted risk of HCC compared to the actual risk in high-risk groups.
References for the three risk models:
NGM1-HCC: Wong VW, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2010;28:1660-5
REACH-B: Yang HI, et al. Lancet Oncol. 2011;12:568-74
CU-HCC: Yang HI, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2010;28:2437-44
Transition
This study evaluated ETV efficacy in NA-naïve versus LAM-experienced patients.
Main Messages
Both NA-naïve and LAM-experienced patients achieve high levels of virologic response with ETV treatment (97 vs 94.4%) after a median duration of 44.1 (NA-naïve) or 44.8 months (LAM-experienced).
However, more virologic breakthrough is observed in the LAM-experienced group (3.5% NA-naïve vs 17% LAM-experienced).
The authors also observe more frequent development of ETV resistance in LAM-experienced patients versus NA naïve patients (12.2% vs 2.6% (P=0.013)).
Background
All patients were treated with 0.5 mg ETV.
Baseline characteristics were similar between the groups, except for gender (74.2% male in NA naïve vs 91.6% in LAM-experienced; P=0.001).
Approximately one third of this cohort had cirrhosis at baseline (32.5% in NA naïve vs 26.3% in LAM-experienced; P=0.313).
Virologic response in this study was defined as HBV DNA<20 IU/ml during the treatment period.
Please note that the poster does not state how absence of LAM resistance in these patients was evaluated.