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MEGAMINERÍA EN EL
ECUADOR Y EL MUNDO
• 1980-2000: CONSENSO DE WASHINGTON
• 2000-2010: CONSENSO DE LOS COMMODITIES
• 2010-…. : CONSENSO DE BEIJING
SITUACIÓN POLÍTICO-LEGAL
COYUNTURA ECONÓMICA GLOBAL
• CRISIS
• PRECIOS ALTOS
• ALTA DEMANDA
• PRODUCCIÓN CRECIENTE
1947 1967 1987 2007
Indicio CRB de los precios de los metales (valores reales)
100
300
500
700
900
crisis petroleras
crisis asiáticas
demanda china
fuente: Roseneau-Tornow et al., 2009
1930 1940 1980 2010
Producción de varios metales (millones de toneladas)
5
10
1950 1960 1970 1990 2000
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Aluminio
Cobre
Zinc
Plomo
fuente: SIM/BRGM/USGS
3
TAL
exploration estimate is based
more than 3,500 mining
ldwide, of which more than
reported in the CES study.
ing at least $100,000)
on for nonferrous exploration,
t 95% of worldwide
ous exploration spending.
ts that we could not obtain,
oration budget reached
emains outside the scope
in the analysis throughout
e began coverage of iron ore
tially surveyed companies
above and beyond the core
Figure 1: Estimated Global Nonferrous Exploration Budget Totals,
1993-2013
0
1
2
3
4
5
$0
$4
$8
$12
$16
$20
$24
93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
IndexedMetalsPrice(1993=1)
NonferrousExploration(US$bil)
Nonferrous Exploration Total SNL Metals & Mining Indexed Metals Price
aggressively increased their exploration budgets, lifting the
industry’s budget total by 44% in 2010 to $11.51 billion,
« SUPERCICLO » MINERO
Volúmenes de “estériles” en Mt en minas de oro de
Australia, Canadá, E.E.U.U y Papúa Nueva Guinea
(Mudd, 2007).
GIGANTISMO MINERO
Mirador:
Gigantismo minero
Tundayme
Escombrera
total: 438 millones de T
= 5 panecillos
Relavera 2
447 millones de m3
= 3 x Lago San Pablo
Relavera 1
44 millones de m3
Tundayme
Cráter
diámetro: 1,5 km
profundidad: 1 km
Consumo (y contaminación) de agua / día = Ibarra Desechos / día = 6 x Quito
GENERALIZACIÓN DE LOS CONFLICTOS
210 CONFLICTOS MINEROS EN VIGENTES EN AL
26 PROYECTOS
6 GRANDES PROYECTOS AVANZADOS
Proyecto Metal
Empresa en
Ecuador
Empresa
matriz
País
Llurimagua Cobre Enami E.P Codelco Chile
Río Blanco Oro Ecuagold S.A Junefields Hong Kong
Loma
Larga
Oro
INV Ecuador
S.A
INV Canadá
Fruta del
Norte
Oro
Aurelian
Ecuador S.A
Lundin
Gold
Suecia/
Canadá
Panantza-
San Carlos
Cobre EXSA
Tongling-
CRCC
China
Mirador Cobre ECSA
Tongling-
CRCC
China
Concesiones en trámite (1.768.677 Ha)
Concesiones inscritas (828.649 Ha)
Bloques mineros prioritarios (654.043 Ha)
Quito
Guayaquil
Cuenca
Loja
Llurimagua
Cascabel
Curipamba
Río Blanco Loma Larga
Ruta del Cobre
Gaby Gold
Shyri
Cangrejos
Zaruma
Caña Brava
Dynasty Gold
Panantza-San Carlos
Mirador-Mirador Norte
Fruta del Norte
Condor Gold
El Hito
Jerusalén
Río Zarza
Caya 21
Tola Norte
La Bonita
Pacto
Telimbela
El Torneado
Nanguipa
Sangola
Megaproyectos Mineros
Megaproyectos Mineros de la ENAMI
Ciudades
Antes de
04/2016
enero de 2017
Superficie
Concesionada
~ 790.000 Ha 2.657.306 Ha
% del país ~ 3 % ~ 11 %
Desde abril de 2016:
un nuevo
« Festín minero »
Ejemplo: Aurania Resources

420.000 Ha de concesiones incritos y
en trámite en Morona-Santiago
Concesiones en trámite
(1.828.666 Ha)
Concesiones inscritas (828.649 Ha)
Bloques mineros prioritarios
(654.043 Ha)
Cordillera del Cóndor
Cuenca
Loja
Zamora
Panantza -San Carlos
Mirador -Mirador Norte
Fruta del Norte
Megaproyectos en la
Cordillera del Cóndor
• Mirador-Mirador Norte
• Panantza-San Carlos
• Fruta del Norte
Mirador-
Mirador Norte
Panantza-
San Carlos
Superficie
concesionada
9.786 Ha 38.549 Ha
El Pangui
Gualaquiza
Panantza
San Carlos
Mirador Norte
Mirador
Tundayme
Nankintz
Megaproyectos mineros
de la Tongling-CRCC
Ciudades y comunidades
Concesiones de la Tongling-CRCC
asociadas a los megaproyectos mineros
Otras concesiones de la Tongling-CRCC
Otras concesiones mineras inscritas
Otras concesiones mineras en trámite
Territorio del Pueblo Shuar Arutam
Panantza-
San Carlos:
Gigantismo minero
Following immediately below is a 3D representation of the company’s current view of the proposed Panantza – San Carlos mine
site, based upon the Preliminary Assessment Technical Report referenced above.
Other opportunities within the Corriente Copper Belt include the La Florida, San Miguel, San Luis, San Marcos and Sutzu
porphyry prospects, all of which are located within 10 to 12 kilometres of the Panantza prospect, as well as the Dolorosa
sediment-hosted copper prospect, located mid-way between the Panantza and Mirador properties.
Cráter de Panantza Cráter de San Carlos
Relavera
~720 millones de m3
= 5 x Lago San Pablo
Desechos / día = 10 x Quito
Nankints
MIRADOR Y PANANTZA-SAN CARLOS:
DESECHOS PRODUCIDOS
Proyecto Metales
Empresa en
Ecuador
Empresa
matriz
País
Superficie
concesionada
Tratamiento
diario

previsto
Desechos
sólidos
diarios
Desechos
totales
Equivalente
en
Panecillos
Mirador -
Mirador
Norte
Cobre / Oro ECSA
Tongling-
CRCC
China 9.928 Ha 60.000 t/d 106.800 t/d 970 Mt 12
Panantza-
San Carlos
Cobre EXSA
Tongling-
CRCC
China 38.549 Ha 90.000 t/d 178.200 t/d 1.414,27 Mt 17
BAJA TENDENCIA DE LA CALIDAD DE LOS YACIMIENTOS
Calidad de los yacimientos (1840-2010)
Exploración
identificación del yacimiento
« Desarrollo »
Construcción de las infraestructuras
Extracción
remoción y tratamiento de la
roca
« Cierre »
remoción y tratamiento de la roca
Duración Presupuesto
$US
5-20 años
2-3 años
8-30 años
~ 10-50 M
~1000-5000 M
~1000-5000 M
ETAPAS DE UN MEGAPROYECTO
MINERO METALÍFERO
GIGANTISMO MINERO
1 t de Cu = 300-500 t de
desechos sólidos +
contaminación de 170.000
litros de agua
354 Industrial Ecology at the Sectoral/Materials Level
Coal
Gross production = 18444MMT
Net production = 3787MMT
Building Stone
& Aggregates
Gross production = 14186MMT
Net production = 10430MMT
Brown Coal & Lignite
Gross production = 9024MMT
Net production = 930MMT
Copper
Gross production = 4190MMT
Net production = 9.3MMT
Petroleum
Gross production = 3489MMT
Net production = 3065MMT
Iron
Gross production = 3138MMT
Net production = 604MMT
Gold
Gross production = 2138MMT
Net production = 0.002MMT
Phosphate
Gross production = 477MMT
Net production = 119MMT
Nickel
Gross production = 403MMT
Net production = 0.72MMT
Bauxite
Gross production = 302MMT
Net production = 101MMT
Clay
Gross production = 231MMT
Net production = 154MMT
Zinc
Gross production = 222MMT
Net production = 6.9MMTWaste
Mineral
produced
Figure 28.1 World mineral production and total ‘hidden flows’ for the 12 commodities
1 onza de oro (30g ~un
anillo) = 20-400 t de
desechos + contaminación
de 20.000 litros de agua
GRANDES ACCIDENTES: BRASIL, 2015 Nombre: Samarco,
Empresa: Vale, Brasil -
BHP, Australia
Ubicación: Minas Geiras, Brasil


Fecha: 5/11/2015
Ruptura de relavera
mina de hierro

32.000.000 metros
cúbicos de lodos
contaminados

17 muertos, 800 km de
río contaminados
GRANDES ACCIDENTES: CANADÁ, 2014
Ruptura de relavera mina de cobre

14.500.000 metros cúbicos de lodos
contaminados

> 50.000 Ha de Bosque Boreal
destruídos

> 10.000 personas sin agua potable
Nombre: Mount Polley
Empresa: Imperial Metals, Canadá
Ubicación: Colombia Británica, Canadá
Fecha: 08/2014
CONSEQUENCIA 1: « SUPERCICLO » MINERO
1991-1999: inversión en exploración
x 5 en AL
(Mining Journal, citado en Borg, 1998)
2003-2012: inversión en exploración
x 10 a nivel global
25% en AL
(MEG, 2013)
3
BASIS FOR ESTIMATED
NONFERROUS EXPLORATION TOTAL
SNL Metals & Mining’s 2013 exploration estimate is based
on information collected from more than 3,500 mining
and exploration companies worldwide, of which more than
2,100 had exploration budgets reported in the CES study.
These companies (each budgeting at least $100,000)
together allocated $14.43 billion for nonferrous exploration,
which we estimate covers about 95% of worldwide
commercially oriented nonferrous exploration spending.
Adding our estimates of budgets that we could not obtain,
the 2013 worldwide total exploration budget reached
$15.19 billion.
Although iron ore exploration remains outside the scope
of the CES and is not included in the analysis throughout
the remainder of this report, we began coverage of iron ore
explorers in 2011 when we initially surveyed companies
for their total ferrous budgets above and beyond the core
targets detailed in the CES. Including the allocations by
a number of pure iron ore producers and explorers that
were not otherwise part of the study, we compiled a total
exploration budget of $1.74 billion for iron ore in 2013,
down from $2.89 billion in 2012. Aggregating the iron ore
budgets with the budgets for the other commodities covered
by the CES, the total 2013 exploration budget rises to
$16.17 billion, of which 11% is attributable to iron ore.
SUMMARY OF OVERALL TRENDS
Figure 1 shows SNL Metals & Mining’s estimate of annual
Figure 1: Estimated Global Nonferrous Exploration Budget Totals,
1993-2013
0
1
2
3
4
5
$0
$4
$8
$12
$16
$20
$24
93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
IndexedMetalsPrice(1993=1)
NonferrousExploration(US$bil)
Nonferrous Exploration Total SNL Metals & Mining Indexed Metals Price
aggressively increased their exploration budgets, lifting the
industry’s budget total by 44% in 2010 to $11.51 billion,
and by a further 50% in 2011 to $17.25 billion.
Continued uncertainty in Europe and the United States,
along with concerns over waning demand in China, caused
most metals prices to dip or at best level off through 2012.
Nevertheless, most metals prices remained well above their
ten-year averages, and exploration budgets continued to
increase in 2012 (up 19%), setting a new all-time high of
$20.53 billion. Despite the increase, 2012 represented
a year of change for the industry. Beginning in April,
investors became increasingly wary of the junior sector,
causing many companies to struggle to raise funds for their
MARCO LEGAL MINERO EN EL ECUADOR
1991: Ley 126
2000: Ley Trole II
2001: Reglamento de la Ley de Minería
2009: Ley de Minería
2009: Reglamento de la Ley de Minería
2013: Reforma a la Ley de Minería
Pos-neoliberal
2008: Mandato Minero
Neoliberal
CONFLICTOS EN LA ÉPOCA NEOLIBERAL

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MEGAMINERÍA EN EL ECUADOR Y EL MUNDO: GIGANTISMO, CONFLICTOS Y DESECHOS

  • 2. • 1980-2000: CONSENSO DE WASHINGTON • 2000-2010: CONSENSO DE LOS COMMODITIES • 2010-…. : CONSENSO DE BEIJING SITUACIÓN POLÍTICO-LEGAL COYUNTURA ECONÓMICA GLOBAL • CRISIS • PRECIOS ALTOS • ALTA DEMANDA • PRODUCCIÓN CRECIENTE 1947 1967 1987 2007 Indicio CRB de los precios de los metales (valores reales) 100 300 500 700 900 crisis petroleras crisis asiáticas demanda china fuente: Roseneau-Tornow et al., 2009 1930 1940 1980 2010 Producción de varios metales (millones de toneladas) 5 10 1950 1960 1970 1990 2000 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Aluminio Cobre Zinc Plomo fuente: SIM/BRGM/USGS
  • 3. 3 TAL exploration estimate is based more than 3,500 mining ldwide, of which more than reported in the CES study. ing at least $100,000) on for nonferrous exploration, t 95% of worldwide ous exploration spending. ts that we could not obtain, oration budget reached emains outside the scope in the analysis throughout e began coverage of iron ore tially surveyed companies above and beyond the core Figure 1: Estimated Global Nonferrous Exploration Budget Totals, 1993-2013 0 1 2 3 4 5 $0 $4 $8 $12 $16 $20 $24 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 IndexedMetalsPrice(1993=1) NonferrousExploration(US$bil) Nonferrous Exploration Total SNL Metals & Mining Indexed Metals Price aggressively increased their exploration budgets, lifting the industry’s budget total by 44% in 2010 to $11.51 billion, « SUPERCICLO » MINERO
  • 4. Volúmenes de “estériles” en Mt en minas de oro de Australia, Canadá, E.E.U.U y Papúa Nueva Guinea (Mudd, 2007). GIGANTISMO MINERO
  • 5. Mirador: Gigantismo minero Tundayme Escombrera total: 438 millones de T = 5 panecillos Relavera 2 447 millones de m3 = 3 x Lago San Pablo Relavera 1 44 millones de m3 Tundayme Cráter diámetro: 1,5 km profundidad: 1 km Consumo (y contaminación) de agua / día = Ibarra Desechos / día = 6 x Quito
  • 6. GENERALIZACIÓN DE LOS CONFLICTOS 210 CONFLICTOS MINEROS EN VIGENTES EN AL
  • 7. 26 PROYECTOS 6 GRANDES PROYECTOS AVANZADOS Proyecto Metal Empresa en Ecuador Empresa matriz País Llurimagua Cobre Enami E.P Codelco Chile Río Blanco Oro Ecuagold S.A Junefields Hong Kong Loma Larga Oro INV Ecuador S.A INV Canadá Fruta del Norte Oro Aurelian Ecuador S.A Lundin Gold Suecia/ Canadá Panantza- San Carlos Cobre EXSA Tongling- CRCC China Mirador Cobre ECSA Tongling- CRCC China Concesiones en trámite (1.768.677 Ha) Concesiones inscritas (828.649 Ha) Bloques mineros prioritarios (654.043 Ha) Quito Guayaquil Cuenca Loja Llurimagua Cascabel Curipamba Río Blanco Loma Larga Ruta del Cobre Gaby Gold Shyri Cangrejos Zaruma Caña Brava Dynasty Gold Panantza-San Carlos Mirador-Mirador Norte Fruta del Norte Condor Gold El Hito Jerusalén Río Zarza Caya 21 Tola Norte La Bonita Pacto Telimbela El Torneado Nanguipa Sangola Megaproyectos Mineros Megaproyectos Mineros de la ENAMI Ciudades
  • 8. Antes de 04/2016 enero de 2017 Superficie Concesionada ~ 790.000 Ha 2.657.306 Ha % del país ~ 3 % ~ 11 % Desde abril de 2016: un nuevo « Festín minero » Ejemplo: Aurania Resources
 420.000 Ha de concesiones incritos y en trámite en Morona-Santiago Concesiones en trámite (1.828.666 Ha) Concesiones inscritas (828.649 Ha) Bloques mineros prioritarios (654.043 Ha)
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Cordillera del Cóndor Cuenca Loja Zamora Panantza -San Carlos Mirador -Mirador Norte Fruta del Norte Megaproyectos en la Cordillera del Cóndor • Mirador-Mirador Norte • Panantza-San Carlos • Fruta del Norte
  • 12. Mirador- Mirador Norte Panantza- San Carlos Superficie concesionada 9.786 Ha 38.549 Ha El Pangui Gualaquiza Panantza San Carlos Mirador Norte Mirador Tundayme Nankintz Megaproyectos mineros de la Tongling-CRCC Ciudades y comunidades Concesiones de la Tongling-CRCC asociadas a los megaproyectos mineros Otras concesiones de la Tongling-CRCC Otras concesiones mineras inscritas Otras concesiones mineras en trámite Territorio del Pueblo Shuar Arutam
  • 13. Panantza- San Carlos: Gigantismo minero Following immediately below is a 3D representation of the company’s current view of the proposed Panantza – San Carlos mine site, based upon the Preliminary Assessment Technical Report referenced above. Other opportunities within the Corriente Copper Belt include the La Florida, San Miguel, San Luis, San Marcos and Sutzu porphyry prospects, all of which are located within 10 to 12 kilometres of the Panantza prospect, as well as the Dolorosa sediment-hosted copper prospect, located mid-way between the Panantza and Mirador properties. Cráter de Panantza Cráter de San Carlos Relavera ~720 millones de m3 = 5 x Lago San Pablo Desechos / día = 10 x Quito Nankints
  • 14. MIRADOR Y PANANTZA-SAN CARLOS: DESECHOS PRODUCIDOS Proyecto Metales Empresa en Ecuador Empresa matriz País Superficie concesionada Tratamiento diario previsto Desechos sólidos diarios Desechos totales Equivalente en Panecillos Mirador - Mirador Norte Cobre / Oro ECSA Tongling- CRCC China 9.928 Ha 60.000 t/d 106.800 t/d 970 Mt 12 Panantza- San Carlos Cobre EXSA Tongling- CRCC China 38.549 Ha 90.000 t/d 178.200 t/d 1.414,27 Mt 17
  • 15. BAJA TENDENCIA DE LA CALIDAD DE LOS YACIMIENTOS Calidad de los yacimientos (1840-2010)
  • 16. Exploración identificación del yacimiento « Desarrollo » Construcción de las infraestructuras Extracción remoción y tratamiento de la roca « Cierre » remoción y tratamiento de la roca Duración Presupuesto $US 5-20 años 2-3 años 8-30 años ~ 10-50 M ~1000-5000 M ~1000-5000 M ETAPAS DE UN MEGAPROYECTO MINERO METALÍFERO
  • 17. GIGANTISMO MINERO 1 t de Cu = 300-500 t de desechos sólidos + contaminación de 170.000 litros de agua 354 Industrial Ecology at the Sectoral/Materials Level Coal Gross production = 18444MMT Net production = 3787MMT Building Stone & Aggregates Gross production = 14186MMT Net production = 10430MMT Brown Coal & Lignite Gross production = 9024MMT Net production = 930MMT Copper Gross production = 4190MMT Net production = 9.3MMT Petroleum Gross production = 3489MMT Net production = 3065MMT Iron Gross production = 3138MMT Net production = 604MMT Gold Gross production = 2138MMT Net production = 0.002MMT Phosphate Gross production = 477MMT Net production = 119MMT Nickel Gross production = 403MMT Net production = 0.72MMT Bauxite Gross production = 302MMT Net production = 101MMT Clay Gross production = 231MMT Net production = 154MMT Zinc Gross production = 222MMT Net production = 6.9MMTWaste Mineral produced Figure 28.1 World mineral production and total ‘hidden flows’ for the 12 commodities 1 onza de oro (30g ~un anillo) = 20-400 t de desechos + contaminación de 20.000 litros de agua
  • 18. GRANDES ACCIDENTES: BRASIL, 2015 Nombre: Samarco, Empresa: Vale, Brasil - BHP, Australia Ubicación: Minas Geiras, Brasil 
 Fecha: 5/11/2015 Ruptura de relavera mina de hierro 32.000.000 metros cúbicos de lodos contaminados 17 muertos, 800 km de río contaminados
  • 19. GRANDES ACCIDENTES: CANADÁ, 2014 Ruptura de relavera mina de cobre 14.500.000 metros cúbicos de lodos contaminados > 50.000 Ha de Bosque Boreal destruídos > 10.000 personas sin agua potable Nombre: Mount Polley Empresa: Imperial Metals, Canadá Ubicación: Colombia Británica, Canadá Fecha: 08/2014
  • 20. CONSEQUENCIA 1: « SUPERCICLO » MINERO 1991-1999: inversión en exploración x 5 en AL (Mining Journal, citado en Borg, 1998) 2003-2012: inversión en exploración x 10 a nivel global 25% en AL (MEG, 2013) 3 BASIS FOR ESTIMATED NONFERROUS EXPLORATION TOTAL SNL Metals & Mining’s 2013 exploration estimate is based on information collected from more than 3,500 mining and exploration companies worldwide, of which more than 2,100 had exploration budgets reported in the CES study. These companies (each budgeting at least $100,000) together allocated $14.43 billion for nonferrous exploration, which we estimate covers about 95% of worldwide commercially oriented nonferrous exploration spending. Adding our estimates of budgets that we could not obtain, the 2013 worldwide total exploration budget reached $15.19 billion. Although iron ore exploration remains outside the scope of the CES and is not included in the analysis throughout the remainder of this report, we began coverage of iron ore explorers in 2011 when we initially surveyed companies for their total ferrous budgets above and beyond the core targets detailed in the CES. Including the allocations by a number of pure iron ore producers and explorers that were not otherwise part of the study, we compiled a total exploration budget of $1.74 billion for iron ore in 2013, down from $2.89 billion in 2012. Aggregating the iron ore budgets with the budgets for the other commodities covered by the CES, the total 2013 exploration budget rises to $16.17 billion, of which 11% is attributable to iron ore. SUMMARY OF OVERALL TRENDS Figure 1 shows SNL Metals & Mining’s estimate of annual Figure 1: Estimated Global Nonferrous Exploration Budget Totals, 1993-2013 0 1 2 3 4 5 $0 $4 $8 $12 $16 $20 $24 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 IndexedMetalsPrice(1993=1) NonferrousExploration(US$bil) Nonferrous Exploration Total SNL Metals & Mining Indexed Metals Price aggressively increased their exploration budgets, lifting the industry’s budget total by 44% in 2010 to $11.51 billion, and by a further 50% in 2011 to $17.25 billion. Continued uncertainty in Europe and the United States, along with concerns over waning demand in China, caused most metals prices to dip or at best level off through 2012. Nevertheless, most metals prices remained well above their ten-year averages, and exploration budgets continued to increase in 2012 (up 19%), setting a new all-time high of $20.53 billion. Despite the increase, 2012 represented a year of change for the industry. Beginning in April, investors became increasingly wary of the junior sector, causing many companies to struggle to raise funds for their
  • 21. MARCO LEGAL MINERO EN EL ECUADOR 1991: Ley 126 2000: Ley Trole II 2001: Reglamento de la Ley de Minería 2009: Ley de Minería 2009: Reglamento de la Ley de Minería 2013: Reforma a la Ley de Minería Pos-neoliberal 2008: Mandato Minero Neoliberal
  • 22. CONFLICTOS EN LA ÉPOCA NEOLIBERAL