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chap005.ppt
1.
Chapter 5 Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Fifth
Edition Slides by Matthew Will McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved Valuing Bonds
2.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 2 Topics Covered Bond Characteristics reading the financial pages Interest Rates and Bond Prices Current Yield and Yield to Maturity Bond Rates and Returns The Yield Curve Corporate Bonds and the Risk of Default
3.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 3 Bonds Terminology Bond - Security that obligates the issuer to make specified payments to the bondholder. Coupon - The interest payments made to the bondholder. Face Value (Par Value or Principal Value) - Payment at the maturity of the bond. Coupon Rate - Annual interest payment, as a percentage of face value.
4.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 4 Bonds WARNING The coupon rate IS NOT the discount rate used in the Present Value calculations. The coupon rate merely tells us what cash flow the bond will produce. Since the coupon rate is listed as a %, this misconception is quite common.
5.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 5 Bond Pricing The price of a bond is the Present Value of all cash flows generated by the bond (i.e. coupons and face value) discounted at the required rate of return. PV cpn r cpn r cpn par r t ( ) ( ) .... ( ) ( ) 1 1 1 1 2
6.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 6 Bond Pricing Example What is the price of a 5.5 % annual coupon bond, with a $1,000 face value, which matures in 3 years? Assume a required return of 3.5%. 03 . 056 , 1 $ ) 035 . 1 ( 055 , 1 ) 035 . 1 ( 55 ) 035 . 1 ( 55 3 2 1 PV PV
7.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 7 Bond Cash Flows
8.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 8 Bond Pricing Example (continued) What is the price of the bond if the required rate of return is 5.5 %? 000 , 1 $ ) 055 . 1 ( 055 , 1 ) 055 . 1 ( 55 ) 055 . 1 ( 55 3 2 1 PV PV
9.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 9 Bond Pricing Example (continued) What is the price of the bond if the required rate of return is 15 %? 09 . 783 $ ) 15 . 1 ( 055 , 1 ) 15 . 1 ( 55 ) 15 . 1 ( 55 3 2 1 PV PV
10.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 10 Bond Pricing Example (continued) What is the price of the bond if the required rate of return is 3.5% AND the coupons are paid semi-annually? 49 . 056 , 1 $ ) 0175 . 1 ( 50 . 027 , 1 ) 0175 . 1 ( 50 . 27 ... ) 0175 . 1 ( 50 . 27 ) 0175 . 1 ( 50 . 27 6 5 2 1 PV PV
11.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 11 Bond Pricing Example (continued) Q: How did the calculation change, given semi- annual coupons versus annual coupon payments?
12.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 12 Bond Pricing Example (continued) Q: How did the calculation change, given semi- annual coupons versus annual coupon payments? Time Periods Paying coupons twice a year, instead of once doubles the total number of cash flows to be discounted in the PV formula. Discount Rate Since the time periods are now half years, the discount rate is also changed from the annual rate to the half year rate.
13.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 13 Bond Yields Current Yield - Annual coupon payments divided by bond price. Yield To Maturity - Interest rate for which the present value of the bond’s payments equal the price.
14.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 14 Bond Yields Calculating Yield to Maturity (YTM=r) If you are given the price of a bond (PV) and the coupon rate, the yield to maturity can be found by solving for r. PV cpn r cpn r cpn par r t ( ) ( ) .... ( ) ( ) 1 1 1 1 2
15.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 15 Bond Yields Example What is the YTM of a 5.5 % annual coupon bond, with a $1,000 face value, which matures in 3 years? The market price of the bond is $1,056.03. 03 . 056 , 1 $ ) 1 ( 055 , 1 ) 1 ( 55 ) 1 ( 55 3 2 1 PV r r r PV
16.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 16 Bond Yields WARNING Calculating YTM by hand can be very tedious. It is highly recommended that you learn to use the “IRR” or “YTM” or “i” functions on a financial calculator.
17.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 17 Bond Yields Rate of Return - Earnings per period per dollar invested. Rate of return = total income investment Rate of return = Coupon income + price change investment
18.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 18 Bond Valuation Spreadsheet Valuing bonds using a spreadsheet 5.5 % coupon 5.5% coupon maturing May 2005 10-year maturity Settlement date 5/15/05 1/1/05 Maturity date 5/15/08 1/1/15 Annual coupon rate 0.055 0.055 Yield to maturity 0.035 0.035 Redemption value (% of face value) 100 100 Coupon payments per year 1 1 Bond price (% of par) 105.603 116.633 =PRICE(B7,B8,B9,B10,B11,B12) Esc and Double click on spreadsheet to access
19.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 19 Bond Yield Spreadsheet Finding yield to maturity using a spreadsheet May 2008 maturity bond, coupon rate = 5.5%, maturity = 3 years Annual coupons Semiannual coupons Settlement date 5/15/05 5/15/05 Maturity date 5/15/08 5/15/08 Annual coupon rate 0.055 0.055 Bond price 105.603 105.603 Redemption value (% of face value) 100 100 Coupon payments per year 1 2 Yield to maturity (decimal) 0.035 0.0352 =YIELD(B7,B8,B9,B10,B11,B12) Esc and Double click on spreadsheet to access
20.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 20 Interest Rate Risk 880 900 920 940 960 980 1,000 1,020 1,040 1,060 1,080 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Time to Maturity Bond Price Price path for Premium Bond Price path for Discount Bond Today Maturity
21.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 21 Interest Rate Risk - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 0 2 4 6 8 10 YTM $ Bond Price 30 yr bond 3 yr bond When the interest rate equals the 5.5% coupon rate, both bonds sell at face value
22.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 22 Nominal and Real rates 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 8 5 8 6 8 7 8 8 8 9 9 0 9 1 9 2 9 3 9 4 9 5 9 6 9 7 9 8 9 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 Year Percent Yield on UK nominal bonds Yield on UK indexed bonds
23.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 23 Default Risk Credit risk Default premium Investment grade Junk bonds
24.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 24 Default Risk Standard Moody' s & Poor's Safety Aaa AAA The strongest rating; ability to repay interest and principal is very strong. Aa AA Very strong likelihood that interest and principal will be repaid A A Strong ability to repay, but some vulnerability to changes in circumstances Baa BBB Adequate capacity to repay; more vulnerability to changes in economic circumstances Ba BB Considerable uncertainty about ability to repay. B B Likelihood of interest and principal payments over sustained periods is questionable. Caa CCC Bonds in the Caa/CCC and Ca/CC classes may already be Ca CC in default or in danger of imminent default C C C-rated bonds offer little prospect for interest or principal on the debt ever to be repaid.
25.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 25 Corporate Bonds Zero coupons Floating rate bonds Convertible bonds
26.
Copyright © 2007
by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin 5- 26 The Yield Curve Term Structure of Interest Rates - A listing of bond maturity dates and the interest rates that correspond with each date. Yield Curve - Graph of the term structure.
Editor's Notes
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