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IAEA Sandstone Uranium
                                                             Conference 2012


Grade – The Crucial Factor for an Economic
Sandstone Uranium Mine (An Opinion Based on
Considerable Experience and Common Sense)

Ed Becker
Executive General Manager – Geology and Exploration
Mine - Economics

The main factors which
define the economics      Picture of Block Model:
of an orebody:            Kayelekera
 —   Grade of the
     mineralisation
 —   Tonnage of the
     mineralisation
 —   Value of the
     commodity
 —   Cost of extraction
     (capex + opex)
 —   Efficiency of
     operation




                                                    1
Commodity Value

 Currently uranium is traded for US$51.00 to US$61.00
 Prices are expected to rise (when?)
 Price rise expectations vary from US$60.00 to US$90.00/lb U3O8




                                                                  2
Production Costs
(mining and processing)

  Minimum US$30/t for mining and processing for large tonnage
  operations of >10Mt/year or more (includes C1 and 2 costs)
  Smaller operations will be in the range of US$40 to US$60/t or more
  Production efficiency will vary between 70% to 90% extraction
  (This talk will use 90% extraction)




                                                                        3
Capital Cost

  Rule of Thumb: $100 to $150 per lb U3O8 annual production
  —   e.g. 3Mlb U3O8 annual production needs US$300M to $450M investment
  (This talk will use $100 per lb U3O8 annual production)
  Minimum size for an economic operation: 3Mlb U3O8 annual
  production for at least 8 years




                                                                           4
Marginal Cut of Grades
     (using 90% recovery)
Revenue Production Marginal Cut   Marginal Cut of Grade +                                                                      Marginal Cut of Grade
$/lb         Costs    of Grade    Basic Capital Repayment
               $/t   ppm U3O8               US$20/lb U3O8                    Revenue $60/lb                                    Marginal Cut of Grade +
                                                                       800
60             30          252                      402                                                                        Basic Capital Repayment
                                                                       600




                                                            ppm U3O8
                                                                       400
               40          336                      482                200
               50          420                      570                  0
                                                                             30   40    50    60
               60          504                      654                      Production Costs $/t
                                                                                                                     Revenue $70/lb
70             30          216                      345                                                        600




                                                                                                    ppm U3O8
                                                                                                               400
               40          288                      417
                                                                                                               200
               50          360                      489                                                          0
                                                                                                                     30   40    50    60
               60          432                      561
                                                                                                                     Production Costs $/t
                                                                             Revenue $80/lb
80             30          189                      302                600
                                                            ppm U3O8
               40          252                      365                400
                                                                       200
               50          315                      428
                                                                         0
               60          378                      491                      30   40    50    60
                                                                             Production Costs $/t                    Revenue $90/lb
90             30          168                      268                                                        600



                                                                                                    ppm U3O8
               40          224                      324                                                        400
                                                                                                               200
               50          280                      380
                                                                                                                 0
               60          336                      436                                                              30   40    50    60
                                                                                                                     Production Costs $/t

                                                                                       Note: these are break even grades                                 5
Economic Reserves and Grades

          Basic tonnage and grade (reserves) requirements for an economic
          sandstone uranium orebody


Ore Reserves          Average Grade    Contained Metal        700
Mt                        Ppm U3O8            Mlb U3O8
                                                              600
10                            1,000                24
                                                              500
20                              900                40
                                                              400




                                                         Mt
40                              800                70
                                                              300
80                              700               120
                                                              200
160                             600               210
                                                              100
320                             500               350          0




                                                                     100
                                                                     200
                                                                     300
                                                                     400
                                                                     500
                                                                     600
                                                                     700
                                                                     800
                                                                     900
                                                                    1000
640 (?)                       400...           560 (?)

                                                                     ppm U3O8



                                                                                6
Conclusion

 In the current economic environment, minimum grade and tonnage
 combination are required to have a chance to develop a sandstone
 uranium mining operation
 A minimum average grade of 500ppm U3O8 needs large tonnages of
 +300Mt of ore
 Better average grades of mineralisation of 1,000ppm or better still
 need a minimum of 25Mlb recoverable metal
 Note: good grades and tonnages are just the starting point but not
 the only requirements for the development of a sandstone uranium
 mining venture.




                                                                       7
Recommendation

 Before you spend money on metallurgical test
 programmes, scoping, prefeasibility, let alone definitive feasibility
 studies, concentrate your efforts on improving the grade or tonnage
 of your mineralisation to the point that gives you a realistic
 development chance.




                                                                         8
Feasibility and Reality

                                            BFS          Real

Langer Heinrich Mine (2005)   $/lb           15            30
$100 million CAPEX
                              $/t            26            45

                              Recovery     90%           85%


Kayelekera Mine (2007)        $/lb           28            45
$230 million CAPEX                                               Langer Heinrich Mine under construction

                              $/t            60            90

                              Recovery     90%           85%


Dominion Mine (2006)          $/lb       (15) 20   ? (40 + 60)
$180 million CAPEX
NPV $180 million              $/t        (22) 30   ? (40 + 60)
                                                                   Kayelekera Mine under construction
IRR 32%                       Recovery     87%           84%



                                                                                                           9
Contact Details

             Mr Ed Becker
             Executive General Manager – Geology & Exploration
             Email: ed.becker@paladinenergy.com.au

             Level 4, 502 Hay Street,
             Subiaco Western Australia 6008

Thank you.   PO Box 201 Subiaco Western Australia 6904

             Tel:   +61 (0) 8 9381 4366
             Fax: +61 (0) 8 9381 4978
             Email: paladin@paladinenergy.com.au
             www.paladinenergy.com.au




                                                                 10

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03 iaea conference becker

  • 1. IAEA Sandstone Uranium Conference 2012 Grade – The Crucial Factor for an Economic Sandstone Uranium Mine (An Opinion Based on Considerable Experience and Common Sense) Ed Becker Executive General Manager – Geology and Exploration
  • 2. Mine - Economics The main factors which define the economics Picture of Block Model: of an orebody: Kayelekera — Grade of the mineralisation — Tonnage of the mineralisation — Value of the commodity — Cost of extraction (capex + opex) — Efficiency of operation 1
  • 3. Commodity Value Currently uranium is traded for US$51.00 to US$61.00 Prices are expected to rise (when?) Price rise expectations vary from US$60.00 to US$90.00/lb U3O8 2
  • 4. Production Costs (mining and processing) Minimum US$30/t for mining and processing for large tonnage operations of >10Mt/year or more (includes C1 and 2 costs) Smaller operations will be in the range of US$40 to US$60/t or more Production efficiency will vary between 70% to 90% extraction (This talk will use 90% extraction) 3
  • 5. Capital Cost Rule of Thumb: $100 to $150 per lb U3O8 annual production — e.g. 3Mlb U3O8 annual production needs US$300M to $450M investment (This talk will use $100 per lb U3O8 annual production) Minimum size for an economic operation: 3Mlb U3O8 annual production for at least 8 years 4
  • 6. Marginal Cut of Grades (using 90% recovery) Revenue Production Marginal Cut Marginal Cut of Grade + Marginal Cut of Grade $/lb Costs of Grade Basic Capital Repayment $/t ppm U3O8 US$20/lb U3O8 Revenue $60/lb Marginal Cut of Grade + 800 60 30 252 402 Basic Capital Repayment 600 ppm U3O8 400 40 336 482 200 50 420 570 0 30 40 50 60 60 504 654 Production Costs $/t Revenue $70/lb 70 30 216 345 600 ppm U3O8 400 40 288 417 200 50 360 489 0 30 40 50 60 60 432 561 Production Costs $/t Revenue $80/lb 80 30 189 302 600 ppm U3O8 40 252 365 400 200 50 315 428 0 60 378 491 30 40 50 60 Production Costs $/t Revenue $90/lb 90 30 168 268 600 ppm U3O8 40 224 324 400 200 50 280 380 0 60 336 436 30 40 50 60 Production Costs $/t Note: these are break even grades 5
  • 7. Economic Reserves and Grades Basic tonnage and grade (reserves) requirements for an economic sandstone uranium orebody Ore Reserves Average Grade Contained Metal 700 Mt Ppm U3O8 Mlb U3O8 600 10 1,000 24 500 20 900 40 400 Mt 40 800 70 300 80 700 120 200 160 600 210 100 320 500 350 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 640 (?) 400... 560 (?) ppm U3O8 6
  • 8. Conclusion In the current economic environment, minimum grade and tonnage combination are required to have a chance to develop a sandstone uranium mining operation A minimum average grade of 500ppm U3O8 needs large tonnages of +300Mt of ore Better average grades of mineralisation of 1,000ppm or better still need a minimum of 25Mlb recoverable metal Note: good grades and tonnages are just the starting point but not the only requirements for the development of a sandstone uranium mining venture. 7
  • 9. Recommendation Before you spend money on metallurgical test programmes, scoping, prefeasibility, let alone definitive feasibility studies, concentrate your efforts on improving the grade or tonnage of your mineralisation to the point that gives you a realistic development chance. 8
  • 10. Feasibility and Reality BFS Real Langer Heinrich Mine (2005) $/lb 15 30 $100 million CAPEX $/t 26 45 Recovery 90% 85% Kayelekera Mine (2007) $/lb 28 45 $230 million CAPEX Langer Heinrich Mine under construction $/t 60 90 Recovery 90% 85% Dominion Mine (2006) $/lb (15) 20 ? (40 + 60) $180 million CAPEX NPV $180 million $/t (22) 30 ? (40 + 60) Kayelekera Mine under construction IRR 32% Recovery 87% 84% 9
  • 11. Contact Details Mr Ed Becker Executive General Manager – Geology & Exploration Email: ed.becker@paladinenergy.com.au Level 4, 502 Hay Street, Subiaco Western Australia 6008 Thank you. PO Box 201 Subiaco Western Australia 6904 Tel: +61 (0) 8 9381 4366 Fax: +61 (0) 8 9381 4978 Email: paladin@paladinenergy.com.au www.paladinenergy.com.au 10