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The Role of Natural Resources and Demand
in Germany’s Industrialization
By Theresa Gutberlet
Presented by Michael Kirmes
FE
11.2
4.65
3.42
3.02
4.5
1.6 1.55
0.97
1.61 1.53
1.21 1.05
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1846 1861 1875 1882
Average Freight Rates (Pfg. / tonkm)
Railroads
Waterways
Ocean
Roads: 40Pfg / tonkm
Transshipment: 50 Pfg.
𝜋𝑙𝑖𝑡 = 𝛽1 𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑡 + 𝛽2 𝑐𝑜𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑡
𝐴,𝐵
+ 𝛽3 𝑙𝑖𝑔𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑒𝑖𝑡
𝐴,𝐵
+ 𝛽4 𝑖𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑖𝑡
𝐴,𝐵
+Γ𝑔 + 𝜏 𝑡 + Γ𝑔 × 1 𝑡 𝐸𝑚𝑝𝑖𝑟𝑒 + 𝜉𝑖𝑡 + 𝜖𝑙𝑖𝑡
𝑗=1
𝐽
1
𝐶𝑖𝑗𝑡
× 𝑃𝑗𝑡
max
𝑗
1
𝐶𝑖𝑗𝑡
1𝑗𝑡 Coal output > 10,000 tons
𝑗=1
𝐽
1
𝐶𝑖𝑗𝑡
Coal output 𝑗𝑡
A
B
Pr 𝑙 ∈ 𝐿𝑖𝑡 = Pr 𝜋𝑙𝑖𝑡 > 𝜋𝑙𝑗𝑡 = Pr 𝛿𝑖𝑡 − 𝛿𝑗𝑡 > 𝜖𝑙𝑗𝑡 − 𝜖𝑙𝑖𝑡
= 𝛿𝑖𝑡 + 𝜖𝑙𝑖𝑡
𝐶𝑖𝑗𝑡
𝐼𝑉
= 𝐷𝑖𝑗 ×
1
Network 𝑡
𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑡
𝐼𝑉
=
𝑗
1
𝐷𝑖𝑗
× Network 𝑡 × 𝑃𝑗,𝑡−26
Cheap Coal and Market Access
Cheap Coal and Market Access
Cheap Coal and Market Access
Cheap Coal and Market Access
Cheap Coal and Market Access

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Cheap Coal and Market Access

  • 1. The Role of Natural Resources and Demand in Germany’s Industrialization By Theresa Gutberlet Presented by Michael Kirmes
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. FE
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. 11.2 4.65 3.42 3.02 4.5 1.6 1.55 0.97 1.61 1.53 1.21 1.05 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 1846 1861 1875 1882 Average Freight Rates (Pfg. / tonkm) Railroads Waterways Ocean Roads: 40Pfg / tonkm Transshipment: 50 Pfg.
  • 20. 𝜋𝑙𝑖𝑡 = 𝛽1 𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑡 + 𝛽2 𝑐𝑜𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑡 𝐴,𝐵 + 𝛽3 𝑙𝑖𝑔𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑒𝑖𝑡 𝐴,𝐵 + 𝛽4 𝑖𝑟𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑖𝑡 𝐴,𝐵 +Γ𝑔 + 𝜏 𝑡 + Γ𝑔 × 1 𝑡 𝐸𝑚𝑝𝑖𝑟𝑒 + 𝜉𝑖𝑡 + 𝜖𝑙𝑖𝑡 𝑗=1 𝐽 1 𝐶𝑖𝑗𝑡 × 𝑃𝑗𝑡 max 𝑗 1 𝐶𝑖𝑗𝑡 1𝑗𝑡 Coal output > 10,000 tons 𝑗=1 𝐽 1 𝐶𝑖𝑗𝑡 Coal output 𝑗𝑡 A B Pr 𝑙 ∈ 𝐿𝑖𝑡 = Pr 𝜋𝑙𝑖𝑡 > 𝜋𝑙𝑗𝑡 = Pr 𝛿𝑖𝑡 − 𝛿𝑗𝑡 > 𝜖𝑙𝑗𝑡 − 𝜖𝑙𝑖𝑡 = 𝛿𝑖𝑡 + 𝜖𝑙𝑖𝑡
  • 21. 𝐶𝑖𝑗𝑡 𝐼𝑉 = 𝐷𝑖𝑗 × 1 Network 𝑡 𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑡 𝐼𝑉 = 𝑗 1 𝐷𝑖𝑗 × Network 𝑡 × 𝑃𝑗,𝑡−26