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A SUSTAINABILITY INDEX FOR WATER RESOURCES:
                                                                                             LANDSCAPE IRRIGATION
                                                                                                    Michael Igo, P.E., D.WRE, LEED A.P., C.I.D., Irrigation Consulting, Inc.
                                                                                                       Master of Science, Tufts University School of Engineering, 2006

                                                                                                                                                                                               From Theory of Games and Economic Behavior                                                                                Water Resources Sustainability Index Model Control Space
  ABSTRACT                                                                                                                                                                                         (von Neumann & Morgenstern, 1944)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Dependency
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    on Resources
                                                                                                                                            "The great progress in every science came when, in the study of problems which were modest as                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Outside
  Sustainability means different things to different design professionals and                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Roof Runoff:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Conveyed to                         Weather Sensing:                                                                                                    Control Space
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Storage Facility
  organizations. There are many accepted models and definitions with the most                                                               compared with ultimate aims (such as defining Sustainability), methods were developed which could                                                                                                                  Adjusts Irrigation on
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Real-Time Climate

  prevalent including three dimensions to consider for sustainable development:                                                             be extended further and further”
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Irrigation Controls:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Increased Capability
  economy, society, and environment. Sustainable designers seek to optimize                                                                 “The sound procedure to systematically describe everything economic (or Sustainable) is to obtain                                                                                                                                                                                                     for Maximum Savings


  projects in this context. This paper attempts to fit a standardized numerical                                                             first utmost precision and mastery in a limited field, and then to proceed to another, somewhat wider                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Electric Power:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Purchased from

  model of each dimension into accepted definitions of sustainability and achieving                                                         one, and so on”                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Proposed Landscape:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Soil-Plant-Air
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Continuum Model
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Grid to Power
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Irrigation Equipment
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Determined by
  an aggregate Sustainability Index, S, for design alternative comparisons.                                                                 “The experience of more advanced sciences, for example physics, indicates that this impatience to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Landscape Architect
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                and Owner
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        (See Insert Close Up)


  Landscape irrigation is a prevalent design consideration from a water resources                                                           describe a larger, unifying theory of economics (or Sustainability) merely delays progress”
  development perspective. General irrigation concepts have been simplified to                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Domestic Water:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Purchased to

  create the framework for measuring S. Spreadsheet modeling estimates                                                                                             Therefore, before embarking on a Sustainability Index, we need to:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Makeup
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Harvested Water

  long-term irrigation performance associated with the three dimensions of
  sustainability for many design alternatives. Design alternatives with the lowest S                                                                Start Simple, Understand Simple Cases Fully, Then Slowly Add Complexity
  values are estimated to be the most sustainable for water consumption. The
  index presented here is merely a starting point towards a new optimization of                                                                         Landscaping Irrigation Design allows us to do just that in a                                                                                                       Overland Runoff:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Conveyed to

  water resource consumption.                                                                                                                                            "Model Control Space"                                                                                                                             Storage Facility




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Water Harvesting
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Storage Facility:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Runoff Overflow to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Varied for
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Storm Sewer: Varies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Cost-Benefit Analysis
                       AGGREGATION OF STANDARDIZED                                              STANDARDIZATION AND LINEARIZATION (FROM 0 TO 1) OF                                                                  GENERALLY ACCEPTED THREE DIMENSIONS OF SUSTAINABILITY                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Based on Size of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Storage Facility
                         SUSTAINABILITY DIMENSIONS                                                    WORST AND BEST CASE SCENARIOS FROM                                                                                    REDEFINED FOR THIS NUMERICAL MODEL
            BY ACCEPTED DEFINITIONS OF SUSTAINABILITY:                                           TABULATED QUANTITIES FROM SPREADSHEET MODEL
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Electrical Demand
     DEVELOPMENT OWNERS MUST VALUE EACH DIMENSION EQUALLY:                                                                                                                                                                                       The amount of natural resources required to sustain the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        for Irrigation Pump:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ENVIRONMENT, x                                                                                                                                                                                         Factored into
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 development as originally intended over its life-cycle. In                                                                                                             Economic Analysis
   SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT                           DEVELOPMENT TODAY:                     0      ENVIRONMENT STANDARDIZED VARIABLE, CAPITAL X                                               1                      (LIFE SUSTAINING)           this case, the amount of potable water used for
       EQUAL VALUATION                               UNEQUAL PREFERNCES                                                                                                                                              GALLONS OF WATER            irrigation that could be used for drinking, washing, etc.
                                                                                                   Zero Potable Water                     Maximum Water Used in a
                                                                SOCIETY                            Consumed for                          Base Case: Poor Efficiency
                              SOCIETY
                                                                                                   Landscape Irrigation                   No Weather Sensing, Etc.                                                                               The amount or level of the development as a social
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         SOCIETY, y                                                                                                                                                       Irrigation Controls:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Soil-Plant-Air Continuum
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 resources. In this case, maintaining the landscape as
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Plant Vulnerability Curve                                         ·    ET Based
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                (SPAC) Model
                                     ECONOMY
                                                                                            0           SOCIETY STANDARDIZED VARIABLE, CAPITAL Y                                              1                      (USE SUSTAINING)            originally intended requires plants to be healthy. Thus,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 life-cycle plant health (the "use" of the irrigation system)        (Measuring Visual Plant Health)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          ·
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          ·
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Soil Moisture
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Constant Rate
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    VISUAL PLANT HEALTH
                                                                                                   Plants Retain Perfect                   Soil Reaches Permanent                                                                                indicates the quantifiable efficacy of the development.
                                               ENVIRONMENT
                                                                     ECONOMY                       Health and Turgid                         Wilting Point: Irrigated                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Irrigation Delivery:
ENVIRONMENT                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     ·    Sprinkler
                                                                                                   Vascular Tissue at All Times                     Landscape Dies                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              ·    Drip
          THEREFORE, BY VALUING EACH DIMENSION EQUALLY,                                                                                                                                                                 ECONOMY, z               The amount of net monetary resources required to                                                                                                                                                                               ·    None
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 sustain the development as originally intended. In this
  DIRECT AGGREGATION OF THE DIMENSIONS ARE POSSIBLE, SUCH THAT
   A SUSTAINABILITY INDEX, S, FOR EACH DESIGN, i CAN BE DEFINED BY:
                                                                                            0          ECONOMY STANDARDIZED VARIABLE, CAPITAL Z                                               1                    (MONEY SUSTAINING)            case, the initial capital cost of installation plus the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       LIFE-CYCLE COST           inflation-adjusted costs of potable water and electricity.
                                                                                                   Zero Net Life-Cycle Cost             Equivalent Monetary Cost to
        Si = Xi + Yi + Zi                              BEST CASE = 0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Landscape Type
                                                                                                   Achieved Through a                  Replace Plants that Irrigation                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   from Architects with
                                                       WORST CASE = 3                              Variety of Harvesting Techniqes      is Watering (System Failure)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Root Zone Depth



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Irrigation Water
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Supply Resources
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        (See Above)




                                                                                                                                                                                                     Example External                                                                                                         Theoretical:
                                                                                                                                  Model of Development as                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Soil Type:

  INTERPRETATIONS OF SUSTAINABILITY INDEX                                                                                         Cellular Organism using
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Social Resources:
                                                                                                                                                                                           Loss of Site Attractiveness,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Assumed for Analyses
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Irrigation Efficiency
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       and Uniformity of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                ·
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                ·
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                ·
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Field Capacity
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Wilting Point
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Effective Precipitation
                                                                                                                                    Sustainability Index                                Utility and Desirability to Visit,                                                                                                                                                             Reaching Root Zone
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Decreased Safety                                                               Model Control Space
  Plotting design alternatives on a graph of environmental (X) and economic (Z) standardized variables
  shows the extent of possible design scenarios. Only two dimensions are shown on this figure for                                                                                                                                                                                   S = 3: Maximum                                             Add Net Irrigation to Soil
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Add Gross Irrigation to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                MINUS

  graphical ease. The extent of all scenarios approaching the origin (ideal case at 0,0) creates a                                                                                                                                                                                  External Resources Required;                                  Water Consumed                         YES                           Irrigation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ET
                                                                                                                                                            Inter-Linkages Between                                                                                                  "Certainly Not Sustainable";        End                   (Harvested or Purchased)                                                                                                          for Plants                Start
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Decision:                          Subtotal
  boundary within the design space called the Pareto Frontier. Design solutions residing on the frontier                                                 Sustainability Dimensions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Day #1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Based on                             Soil
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Climate                   Day #1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       SOCIETY                                                                          Soil                                                                                                                                                     Data                      Soil
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Moisture
  exhibit Pareto Efficiency: designs that cannot improve one benefit further without worsening the                                                  Demonstrating Inter-Dependece                                                                                                                                     Moisture                    Maintain Subtotal                                                    Controller                                               Effective                Moisture

  other. Design scenarios inside the Pareto Frontier are not Pareto Efficient because it would be
                                                                                                                                                                          EXAMPLE:
                                                                                                                                                        Purchasing with Cash (- Z)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Y                                        Project S-Index 3 > S > 0:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Some Dependency on
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Soil Moisture
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                (No Water Consumed)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          NO                              Type                                                    Rain

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 PLUS
  possible to improve X (use less freshwater) without worsening Z (costing more money). Pareto                                                     Domestic Water for Irrigation (- X)                                                                                              Outside Resources;
                                                                                                                                                       to Improve Landscape (+ Y)                                                                                                   "Likelihood of Sustainability"                                                                                         Carry to Next Day
  Frontier analysis is valid only if the marginal rate of substitution is the same for everybody. This                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       of Simulation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Higher with Lower S-Values
  means that landscape owners using this chart would be willing to substitute some of X for Z and vice                                                                                                                       ENVIRONMENT       ECONOMY                                                                                         Add Net Irrigation to Soil                                                                                                       MINUS
                                                                                                                                                Extent of Available Resources
  versa if the overall “satisfaction level” remained the same. This holds true for sustainability analysis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 X                 Z                                S = 0: No External                                          Add Gross Irrigation to
                                                                                                                                               Expected to Reduce Over Time
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Resources Required;                                           Water Consumed                         YES                           Irrigation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ET
  because, based on the accepted definitions, sustainable developers must consider all dimensions                                                                                                                                                                                   "Certainly Sustainable";
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        End
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Day #2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              (Harvested or Purchased)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Decision:                          Subtotal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                for Plants
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Climate
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Start
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Day #2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Soil
  equally and without weighting. Maximizing the total benefit (i.e., addition of X, Y, and Z) by Pareto                                                                                                                                                                             Self-Sustaining                     Soil                                                                                           Based on
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Controller                         Moisture
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Data                       Soil
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Moisture                    Maintain Subtotal                                                                                                             Effective                Moisture
  Efficiency is the goal for users of the Sustainability Index. Ideally, an optimal irrigation design                                                                                                                               PROJECT                                                                                                                                                                               Type
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Soil Moisture                         NO                                                                                      Rain

  solution will arise when a “knee” occurs on the Pareto Frontier.                                                                                                 Example External                                               DEVELOPMENT                                       Example External                                            (No Water Consumed)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 PLUS
                                                                                                                                                           Environmental Resources:                                                                                                 Economic Resources:
                                                                                                                                                             Domestic Water, Runoff,                                                                                                Cash, Loans, Credit to                                    Continue Simulation for 25 Year of Climate Data, Tabulating:
                                                                                                                                                             Loss of Deep Infiltration                                                                                              Cover Operating Expenses                                  x = Potable Water Used (Gallons)                                                                                            Discretized Spreadsheet
      Pareto Chart Generated                                                           NOTE: Society Score, Y
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              y = Relative Percentage of Perfect Plant Health (%)
                                                                                      Equals 0.0 for all Scenarios                Model of Sustainability                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     SPAC Simulation
   from Simulation Spreadsheet                                                          (Perfect Plant Health)
                                                                                                                                                                                                Designers Cannot                                                Extent of Available Resources Expected to                                     z = 25-Year Life-Cycle Cost (Currency, $)
                                                                                                                                   Index over Time with                                      CONTROL Resource                                                   Shrink Over Time due to: Inflation,
                                                                                                                                   Shrinking Resources                                        Availability, but can                                             Climate Change, Regulation, Natural Disaster
                                                                                                                                                                                             MITIGATE the Effects                                               (See Model Below)

                                                                                                                                                                  S=3
                                                                                                                                                                                             Available External          Expected Gradual Decrease Rare, but Possible Sudden
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     SUMMARY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Decrease in Resources
                                                                                                                                                          SUSTAINABILITY INDEX, S




                                                                                                                                                                                               Resources at                of Resources over Time
                                                                           Varying Irrigation Controls and                                                                                     Project Start               (Inflation, Climate, etc.) (Earthquake, Drought, etc.)                                    At the outset of a project, there are very few ways, if any, for projects to be
                                                                          Rainwater Harvesting Tank Sizes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           SA < SB                   assured sustainability. Many tools exist to exercise judgment in estimating
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Project "A" is             whether a project will be sustainable or not to advise stakeholders. If the
                                                                                                                                                                                    B                                                               B                                   "More Likely to be           process is well understood, it may be possible to estimate sustainability.
                                                                                 Pareto Frontier                                                                                                Project B Trajectory (S = SB)
                                                                               (Maximum Efficiency)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Sustainable" than            Landscape irrigation can be “simplified enough” to understand the process fully
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Project "B"
             Lowest Index                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            the internal design considerations can be projected for future performance. S is
           (Best) at S = 0.36:                                                                                                                                                                  Project A Trajectory (S = SA)
        X = 0.2, Y = 0.0, Z = 0.16                                                                                                                                                  A                                                                                               A                                not intended to be a definitive and final solution in estimating sustainability: it is
                                                                                                                                                                  S=0                                                                                                                                                the start of a system-based engineering approach for consumption efficiency of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Project                                 resources.
                                                                                                                                                                                    0                                                TIME SCALE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Life-Cycle

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Tufts Symposium Poster

  • 1. A SUSTAINABILITY INDEX FOR WATER RESOURCES: LANDSCAPE IRRIGATION Michael Igo, P.E., D.WRE, LEED A.P., C.I.D., Irrigation Consulting, Inc. Master of Science, Tufts University School of Engineering, 2006 From Theory of Games and Economic Behavior Water Resources Sustainability Index Model Control Space ABSTRACT (von Neumann & Morgenstern, 1944) Dependency on Resources "The great progress in every science came when, in the study of problems which were modest as Outside Sustainability means different things to different design professionals and Roof Runoff: Conveyed to Weather Sensing: Control Space Storage Facility organizations. There are many accepted models and definitions with the most compared with ultimate aims (such as defining Sustainability), methods were developed which could Adjusts Irrigation on Real-Time Climate prevalent including three dimensions to consider for sustainable development: be extended further and further” Irrigation Controls: Increased Capability economy, society, and environment. Sustainable designers seek to optimize “The sound procedure to systematically describe everything economic (or Sustainable) is to obtain for Maximum Savings projects in this context. This paper attempts to fit a standardized numerical first utmost precision and mastery in a limited field, and then to proceed to another, somewhat wider Electric Power: Purchased from model of each dimension into accepted definitions of sustainability and achieving one, and so on” Proposed Landscape: Soil-Plant-Air Continuum Model Grid to Power Irrigation Equipment Determined by an aggregate Sustainability Index, S, for design alternative comparisons. “The experience of more advanced sciences, for example physics, indicates that this impatience to Landscape Architect and Owner (See Insert Close Up) Landscape irrigation is a prevalent design consideration from a water resources describe a larger, unifying theory of economics (or Sustainability) merely delays progress” development perspective. General irrigation concepts have been simplified to Domestic Water: Purchased to create the framework for measuring S. Spreadsheet modeling estimates Therefore, before embarking on a Sustainability Index, we need to: Makeup Harvested Water long-term irrigation performance associated with the three dimensions of sustainability for many design alternatives. Design alternatives with the lowest S Start Simple, Understand Simple Cases Fully, Then Slowly Add Complexity values are estimated to be the most sustainable for water consumption. The index presented here is merely a starting point towards a new optimization of Landscaping Irrigation Design allows us to do just that in a Overland Runoff: Conveyed to water resource consumption. "Model Control Space" Storage Facility Water Harvesting Storage Facility: Runoff Overflow to Varied for Storm Sewer: Varies Cost-Benefit Analysis AGGREGATION OF STANDARDIZED STANDARDIZATION AND LINEARIZATION (FROM 0 TO 1) OF GENERALLY ACCEPTED THREE DIMENSIONS OF SUSTAINABILITY Based on Size of Storage Facility SUSTAINABILITY DIMENSIONS WORST AND BEST CASE SCENARIOS FROM REDEFINED FOR THIS NUMERICAL MODEL BY ACCEPTED DEFINITIONS OF SUSTAINABILITY: TABULATED QUANTITIES FROM SPREADSHEET MODEL Electrical Demand DEVELOPMENT OWNERS MUST VALUE EACH DIMENSION EQUALLY: The amount of natural resources required to sustain the for Irrigation Pump: ENVIRONMENT, x Factored into development as originally intended over its life-cycle. In Economic Analysis SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT TODAY: 0 ENVIRONMENT STANDARDIZED VARIABLE, CAPITAL X 1 (LIFE SUSTAINING) this case, the amount of potable water used for EQUAL VALUATION UNEQUAL PREFERNCES GALLONS OF WATER irrigation that could be used for drinking, washing, etc. Zero Potable Water Maximum Water Used in a SOCIETY Consumed for Base Case: Poor Efficiency SOCIETY Landscape Irrigation No Weather Sensing, Etc. The amount or level of the development as a social SOCIETY, y Irrigation Controls: Soil-Plant-Air Continuum resources. In this case, maintaining the landscape as Plant Vulnerability Curve · ET Based (SPAC) Model ECONOMY 0 SOCIETY STANDARDIZED VARIABLE, CAPITAL Y 1 (USE SUSTAINING) originally intended requires plants to be healthy. Thus, life-cycle plant health (the "use" of the irrigation system) (Measuring Visual Plant Health) · · Soil Moisture Constant Rate VISUAL PLANT HEALTH Plants Retain Perfect Soil Reaches Permanent indicates the quantifiable efficacy of the development. ENVIRONMENT ECONOMY Health and Turgid Wilting Point: Irrigated Irrigation Delivery: ENVIRONMENT · Sprinkler Vascular Tissue at All Times Landscape Dies · Drip THEREFORE, BY VALUING EACH DIMENSION EQUALLY, ECONOMY, z The amount of net monetary resources required to · None sustain the development as originally intended. In this DIRECT AGGREGATION OF THE DIMENSIONS ARE POSSIBLE, SUCH THAT A SUSTAINABILITY INDEX, S, FOR EACH DESIGN, i CAN BE DEFINED BY: 0 ECONOMY STANDARDIZED VARIABLE, CAPITAL Z 1 (MONEY SUSTAINING) case, the initial capital cost of installation plus the LIFE-CYCLE COST inflation-adjusted costs of potable water and electricity. Zero Net Life-Cycle Cost Equivalent Monetary Cost to Si = Xi + Yi + Zi BEST CASE = 0 Landscape Type Achieved Through a Replace Plants that Irrigation from Architects with WORST CASE = 3 Variety of Harvesting Techniqes is Watering (System Failure) Root Zone Depth Irrigation Water Supply Resources (See Above) Example External Theoretical: Model of Development as Soil Type: INTERPRETATIONS OF SUSTAINABILITY INDEX Cellular Organism using Social Resources: Loss of Site Attractiveness, Assumed for Analyses Irrigation Efficiency and Uniformity of · · · Field Capacity Wilting Point Effective Precipitation Sustainability Index Utility and Desirability to Visit, Reaching Root Zone Decreased Safety Model Control Space Plotting design alternatives on a graph of environmental (X) and economic (Z) standardized variables shows the extent of possible design scenarios. Only two dimensions are shown on this figure for S = 3: Maximum Add Net Irrigation to Soil Add Gross Irrigation to MINUS graphical ease. The extent of all scenarios approaching the origin (ideal case at 0,0) creates a External Resources Required; Water Consumed YES Irrigation ET Inter-Linkages Between "Certainly Not Sustainable"; End (Harvested or Purchased) for Plants Start Decision: Subtotal boundary within the design space called the Pareto Frontier. Design solutions residing on the frontier Sustainability Dimensions Day #1 Based on Soil Climate Day #1 SOCIETY Soil Data Soil Moisture exhibit Pareto Efficiency: designs that cannot improve one benefit further without worsening the Demonstrating Inter-Dependece Moisture Maintain Subtotal Controller Effective Moisture other. Design scenarios inside the Pareto Frontier are not Pareto Efficient because it would be EXAMPLE: Purchasing with Cash (- Z) Y Project S-Index 3 > S > 0: Some Dependency on Soil Moisture (No Water Consumed) NO Type Rain PLUS possible to improve X (use less freshwater) without worsening Z (costing more money). Pareto Domestic Water for Irrigation (- X) Outside Resources; to Improve Landscape (+ Y) "Likelihood of Sustainability" Carry to Next Day Frontier analysis is valid only if the marginal rate of substitution is the same for everybody. This of Simulation Higher with Lower S-Values means that landscape owners using this chart would be willing to substitute some of X for Z and vice ENVIRONMENT ECONOMY Add Net Irrigation to Soil MINUS Extent of Available Resources versa if the overall “satisfaction level” remained the same. This holds true for sustainability analysis X Z S = 0: No External Add Gross Irrigation to Expected to Reduce Over Time Resources Required; Water Consumed YES Irrigation ET because, based on the accepted definitions, sustainable developers must consider all dimensions "Certainly Sustainable"; End Day #2 (Harvested or Purchased) Decision: Subtotal for Plants Climate Start Day #2 Soil equally and without weighting. Maximizing the total benefit (i.e., addition of X, Y, and Z) by Pareto Self-Sustaining Soil Based on Controller Moisture Data Soil Moisture Maintain Subtotal Effective Moisture Efficiency is the goal for users of the Sustainability Index. Ideally, an optimal irrigation design PROJECT Type Soil Moisture NO Rain solution will arise when a “knee” occurs on the Pareto Frontier. Example External DEVELOPMENT Example External (No Water Consumed) PLUS Environmental Resources: Economic Resources: Domestic Water, Runoff, Cash, Loans, Credit to Continue Simulation for 25 Year of Climate Data, Tabulating: Loss of Deep Infiltration Cover Operating Expenses x = Potable Water Used (Gallons) Discretized Spreadsheet Pareto Chart Generated NOTE: Society Score, Y y = Relative Percentage of Perfect Plant Health (%) Equals 0.0 for all Scenarios Model of Sustainability SPAC Simulation from Simulation Spreadsheet (Perfect Plant Health) Designers Cannot Extent of Available Resources Expected to z = 25-Year Life-Cycle Cost (Currency, $) Index over Time with CONTROL Resource Shrink Over Time due to: Inflation, Shrinking Resources Availability, but can Climate Change, Regulation, Natural Disaster MITIGATE the Effects (See Model Below) S=3 Available External Expected Gradual Decrease Rare, but Possible Sudden SUMMARY Decrease in Resources SUSTAINABILITY INDEX, S Resources at of Resources over Time Varying Irrigation Controls and Project Start (Inflation, Climate, etc.) (Earthquake, Drought, etc.) At the outset of a project, there are very few ways, if any, for projects to be Rainwater Harvesting Tank Sizes SA < SB assured sustainability. Many tools exist to exercise judgment in estimating Project "A" is whether a project will be sustainable or not to advise stakeholders. If the B B "More Likely to be process is well understood, it may be possible to estimate sustainability. Pareto Frontier Project B Trajectory (S = SB) (Maximum Efficiency) Sustainable" than Landscape irrigation can be “simplified enough” to understand the process fully Project "B" Lowest Index the internal design considerations can be projected for future performance. S is (Best) at S = 0.36: Project A Trajectory (S = SA) X = 0.2, Y = 0.0, Z = 0.16 A A not intended to be a definitive and final solution in estimating sustainability: it is S=0 the start of a system-based engineering approach for consumption efficiency of Project resources. 0 TIME SCALE Life-Cycle