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股指期货套期保值交易 —— 股指期货系列讲座 股指期货网 www.gz11.com
套期保值的基本含义 套期保值基本形式 套期保值操作要求 套期保值注意事项 1 2 3 4
[object Object],套期保值基本含义 概念
[object Object],股指期货市场套期保值:
股指期货套期保值基本原理  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
S&P500 指数与指数期货关系— 高度相似性,到期趋同性   (最后交易日为交割月份第三个星期五) 例 1
恒生指数与对应指数期货关系— 到期趋同   (最后交易日为交割月倒数第二个交易日) 例 2
套期保值的理论意义     —  回避市场系统性风险 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],市场风险 系统性风险 非系统性风险
股指期货套期保值的实际运用   股指期货套期保值的实际 运用 规避特定时期的短期风险 1 方便机构投资者在现货市场大规模建仓 2 通过不同金融产品之间的相关性实现跨市场的风险规避 4 便于投资者有效配置资产 3
套期保值的基本形式 套期保值分类 按保值目的 按期现关系 按持有期货头寸 积极套期保值 中性套期保值 消极套期保值 直接套期保值 交叉套期保值 多头套期保值 空头套期保值
多头套期保值 ,[object Object],套期保值两种主要类型: 空头套期保值
股指期货多头套期保值主要运用 2 利用指数期货控制购入股票时间,同时锁定股票或者股票组合的买进价格 3 降低收购成本  1 融券者规避市场整体上涨的系统风险
[object Object],多头套期保值 套期保值两种主要类型: 空头套期保值
股指期货空头套期保值主要运用 1 降低股票或者股票组合暴露头寸的整体下跌风险,这是空头套期保值的最常见模式。 2 锁定资产净值或者利润 3 券商或者投行锁定发行包销价格风险
套期保值的操作要求 基本 步骤 2 保值计划与策略选择—明确保值目的制定计划,明确保值产品、确定头寸大小,选择合适的操作时机。 3 实施计划,进行实时监控与评价分析—对计划执行情况进行实时跟踪与调整,明确套保交易与投机交易的评价标准不同。 1 判断风险,进行决策—趋势判断,判断风险敞口,比较风险与成本,决定是否进行套保。
股指期货套期保值核心   —保值头寸的确定 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],时机、产品、头寸 ,[object Object],[object Object]
1 、确定保值头寸大小的主要模型 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2 、 OLS 法确定保值头寸—直观、易操作 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3 、股指期货套保比率确定 ,[object Object]
4 、什么是 β 系数 ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],举例:假定某股票的收益率( R i )和指数收益率( R m )有右表中的关系: 通过散点图来观察它们之间的关系,如果如何线形关系,可以用一条直线来拟合。 得到最优拟合直线方程为: R i  = α +βR m  =2+1.5 R m0
[object Object],[object Object]
5 、关于 β 值的一些说明 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],实际上:没有完美的套保,动态套期保值策略 套期保值的注意事项 保值的艺术性 保值时机 头寸确定
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank you ,[object Object],[object Object]

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七、股指期货的套期保值