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Emerging Markets
J Le
3-23-11
Overview
• Latin America
– Mexico and Brazil are the stars
– LA: Projected 6% growth by IMF in 2011
– DEMAND: energy, material/ag commodities
– More $ for commodities = more infrastructure and
consumer spending
– Advantages
• Lots of Nat Res.
• Growing Middle class
• Great connections to Europe and Asia
Wide Exposure
• NYSE: AND* (40 company ETF)
– Nasdaq: SCCO
– NYSE: BVN
– Peru EPU*
Colombia
• Stabilized political situation
• Fastest growing oil producer in LA
• One of the largest coal exporters and low costs to
boot
• Many free trade agreements w/ Asian and other LA
countries
• Citi estimate 4.5% growth in 2011
• Raised debt rating from BBB- TO BB+
• Plays:
– COLX * GXG* EC# (oil) CIB# (FS bank)
Argentina
• Large food producer
• 2nd largest corn exporter
• 3rd largest soy exporter
• Top producer of beef and lamb
• Newly discovered NatGas = energy independence
• Trade surpluses = ^ FE reserves and gold holdings
• Plays:
– ARGT* CRESY# (farm company) TGS#(Natgas)

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Emerging Markets 3 23 11

  • 2. Overview • Latin America – Mexico and Brazil are the stars – LA: Projected 6% growth by IMF in 2011 – DEMAND: energy, material/ag commodities – More $ for commodities = more infrastructure and consumer spending – Advantages • Lots of Nat Res. • Growing Middle class • Great connections to Europe and Asia
  • 3. Wide Exposure • NYSE: AND* (40 company ETF) – Nasdaq: SCCO – NYSE: BVN – Peru EPU*
  • 4. Colombia • Stabilized political situation • Fastest growing oil producer in LA • One of the largest coal exporters and low costs to boot • Many free trade agreements w/ Asian and other LA countries • Citi estimate 4.5% growth in 2011 • Raised debt rating from BBB- TO BB+ • Plays: – COLX * GXG* EC# (oil) CIB# (FS bank)
  • 5. Argentina • Large food producer • 2nd largest corn exporter • 3rd largest soy exporter • Top producer of beef and lamb • Newly discovered NatGas = energy independence • Trade surpluses = ^ FE reserves and gold holdings • Plays: – ARGT* CRESY# (farm company) TGS#(Natgas)