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Tabel 4.1
Analisis Kebangkrutan Model Springate Perusahaan
Perkebunaan
Tahun 2009 - 2011
Nama Perusahaan

2009
S-

2010
Kriteria

Score

S-

Kriteria

Score

2011
S-

Kriteria

Score

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk

3,31

Sehat

3,41

Sehat

2,96

Sehat

PT BW Plantation Tbk

1,16

Sehat

0,96

Sehat

1,04

Sehat

PT Bakrie Sumatra Plantation Tbk

0,84

Bangkrut

0,33

Bangkrut

0,39

Bangkrut

PT Gozko Plantation Tbk

1,44

Sehat

1,19

Sehat

0,58

Bangkrut

PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk

0,86

Bangkrut

1,23

Sehat

1,51

Sehat

PT London Sumatra Plantation Tbk

1,95

Sehat

2,66

Sehat

4,09

Sehat

PT Salim Ivomas Pratama Tbk

1,04

Sehat

0,87

Bangkrut

1,11

Sehat

PT Sampoerna Agro Tbk

2,27

Sehat

2,07

Sehat

2,13

Sehat

PT Sinarmas Agro R&T Tbk

1,31

Sehat

1,50

Sehat

2,00

Sehat

PT Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk

0,93

Sehat

0,81

Bangkrut

1,18

Sehat

Sehat

8 Perusahaan

7 Perusahaan

8 Perusahaan

2 Perusahaan

3 Perusahaan

2 Perusahaan

Grey Arya
Bangkrut
Grafik 4.1
Analisis Kebangkrutan Model Springate Perusahaan
Perkebunaan
Tahun 2009 - 2011
Model Springate
4.5
4
3.5
S-Score

3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5

2009 S- Score

0

2010 S- Score
2011 S- Score

Nama Perusahaan
Tabel 4.2
Analisis Kebangkrutan Model Zmijewski Perusahaan
Perkebunaan
Tahun 2009 - 2011
Nama Perusahaan

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk
PT BW Plantation Tbk
PT Bakrie Sumatra Plantation
Tbk
PT Gozko Plantation Tbk
PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk
PT London Sumatra Plantation
Tbk
PT Salim Ivomas Pratama Tbk
PT Sampoerna Agro Tbk
PT Sinarmas Agro R&T Tbk
PT Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk
Sehat
Grey Arya
Bangkrut

2009
SKriteria
Score
-4.43 Sehat
-2.25 Sehat

2010
SKriteria
Score
-4.52 Sehat
-1.44 Sehat

2011
SKriteria
Score
-4.41 Sehat
-1.27 Sehat

-1.83
-2.23
-0.88

-1.43
-2.3
-1.15

-1.54
-1.9
-2.37

Sehat
Sehat
Sehat

-3.75 Sehat
-1.64 Sehat
-3.68 Sehat
-1.7 Sehat
-0.86 Sehat
10 Perusahaan

Sehat
Sehat
Sehat

-4.11 Sehat
-1.54 Sehat
-3.6 Sehat
-1.79 Sehat
-0.85 Sehat
10 Perusahaan

Sehat
Sehat
Sehat

-4.65 Sehat
-2.39 Sehat
-3.51 Sehat
-1.99 Sehat
-1.21 Sehat
10 Perusahaan
Tabel 4.2
Analisis Kebangkrutan Model Zmijewski Perusahaan Perkebunaan
Tahun 2009 - 2011
Nama Perusahaan
0
-0.5

-1
-1.5

S-Score

-2
-2.5

2009 S- Score
2010 S- Score
2011 S- Score

-3
-3.5
-4

-4.5
-5
Tabel 4.3
Analisis Kebangkrutan Model Altman Z-Score Perusahaan Perkebunaan
Tahun 2009 - 2011
Nama Perusahaan

PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk
PT BW Plantation Tbk

SScore
3,64
1,53

2009
Kriteria
Sehat
Bangkrut

SScore
3,64
1,24

2010
Kriteria
Sehat
Bangkrut

SScore
3,40
1,09

2011
Kriteria
Sehat
Bangkrut

PT Bakrie Sumatra Plantation Tbk
PT Gozko Plantation Tbk

1,07
1,08

Bangkrut
Bangkrut

0,41
1,10

Bangkrut
Bangkrut

0,57
0,84

Bangkrut
Bangkrut

PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk

1,09

Bangkrut

1,42

Bangkrut

2,08

Grey Area

PT London Sumatra Plantation Tbk
PT Salim Ivomas Pratama Tbk

2,43
1,50

Grey Area
Bangkrut

2,78
1,32

Grey Area
Bangkrut

3,30
1,62

Sehat
Bangkrut

PT Sampoerna Agro Tbk

2,59

Grey Area

2,56

Grey Area

2,57

Grey Area

PT Sinarmas Agro R&T Tbk

2,35

Grey Area

2,71

Grey Area

3.52

Sehat

PT Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk
Sehat
Grey Arya
Bangkrut

1,95
Grey Area
1 Perusahaan
4 Perusahaan
5 Perusahaan

1,80
Bangkrut
1 Perusahaan
3 Perusahaan
6 Perusaahaan

2,17
Grey Area
3 Perusahaan
3 Perusahaan
4 Perusahaan
Tabel 4.3
Analisis Kebangkrutan Model Altman Z-Score Perusahaan Perkebunaan
Tahun 2009 - 2011
4
3.5

S-Score

3
2.5
2
1.5

1
2009 S- Score

0.5

2010 S- Score

0

2011 S- Score

Nama Perusahaan
Tabel4.4
Hasil Prediksi Kebangkrutan Periode 2009-2011

Model Springate

Model Zmijewski

Model Altman Z-Score

Tahun Sehat Grey Bangkrut Sehat Grey Bangkrut Sehat Grey Bangkrut
Area
Area
Area

2009

8

0

2

10

0

0

1

4

5

2010

7

0

3

10

0

0

1

3

6

2011

8

0

2

10

0

0

3

3

4

Jumlah

23

0

7

30

0

0

5

10

15
Tabel 4.4
Hasil Prediksi Kebangkrutan Periode 2009-2011
35

30

Kriteria S-Score

25

20
2009

15

2010
2011
Jumlah

10

5

0
Sehat

Grey

Bangkrut

Model Springate

Sehat

Grey

Bangkrut

Model Zmijewski

Sehat

Grey

Bangkrut

Model Altman Z-Score
Tabel 4.5
Hasil Test Of Homogeneity Of Variances

HASIL SCORE
Levene
Statistic

Df 1

Df 2

Sig.

1.998

2

87

142
Tabel 4.5
Hasil Test Of Homogeneity Of Variances
160
140
120
100
80
Series1

60
40
20
0
Levene Statistic

Df 1

Df 2
HASIL SCORE

Sig.
Tabel 4.6
Hasil Pengujian One Way Anova
ANOVA
HASIL SCORE
Sum Of
Squares

Df

Mean
Square

Between
Group

346.726

2

173.363 158.646 ,000

Within Group

95.071

87

Total

441.796

89

1.093

F

Sig
Tabel 4.6
Hasil Pengujian One Way Anova
500
450
400

Kriteria S-Score

350
300
250
200

Within Group

150

Total

100
50
0
346.726

2

173.363

158.646

,000

Df

Mean Square

F

Sig

Squares
Sum Of
Analisis kebangkrutan

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Analisis kebangkrutan

  • 1. Nama : Epriadus Jeprianto Nim : 11.03.3924
  • 2. Tabel 4.1 Analisis Kebangkrutan Model Springate Perusahaan Perkebunaan Tahun 2009 - 2011 Nama Perusahaan 2009 S- 2010 Kriteria Score S- Kriteria Score 2011 S- Kriteria Score PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk 3,31 Sehat 3,41 Sehat 2,96 Sehat PT BW Plantation Tbk 1,16 Sehat 0,96 Sehat 1,04 Sehat PT Bakrie Sumatra Plantation Tbk 0,84 Bangkrut 0,33 Bangkrut 0,39 Bangkrut PT Gozko Plantation Tbk 1,44 Sehat 1,19 Sehat 0,58 Bangkrut PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk 0,86 Bangkrut 1,23 Sehat 1,51 Sehat PT London Sumatra Plantation Tbk 1,95 Sehat 2,66 Sehat 4,09 Sehat PT Salim Ivomas Pratama Tbk 1,04 Sehat 0,87 Bangkrut 1,11 Sehat PT Sampoerna Agro Tbk 2,27 Sehat 2,07 Sehat 2,13 Sehat PT Sinarmas Agro R&T Tbk 1,31 Sehat 1,50 Sehat 2,00 Sehat PT Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk 0,93 Sehat 0,81 Bangkrut 1,18 Sehat Sehat 8 Perusahaan 7 Perusahaan 8 Perusahaan 2 Perusahaan 3 Perusahaan 2 Perusahaan Grey Arya Bangkrut
  • 3. Grafik 4.1 Analisis Kebangkrutan Model Springate Perusahaan Perkebunaan Tahun 2009 - 2011 Model Springate 4.5 4 3.5 S-Score 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 2009 S- Score 0 2010 S- Score 2011 S- Score Nama Perusahaan
  • 4. Tabel 4.2 Analisis Kebangkrutan Model Zmijewski Perusahaan Perkebunaan Tahun 2009 - 2011 Nama Perusahaan PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk PT BW Plantation Tbk PT Bakrie Sumatra Plantation Tbk PT Gozko Plantation Tbk PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk PT London Sumatra Plantation Tbk PT Salim Ivomas Pratama Tbk PT Sampoerna Agro Tbk PT Sinarmas Agro R&T Tbk PT Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk Sehat Grey Arya Bangkrut 2009 SKriteria Score -4.43 Sehat -2.25 Sehat 2010 SKriteria Score -4.52 Sehat -1.44 Sehat 2011 SKriteria Score -4.41 Sehat -1.27 Sehat -1.83 -2.23 -0.88 -1.43 -2.3 -1.15 -1.54 -1.9 -2.37 Sehat Sehat Sehat -3.75 Sehat -1.64 Sehat -3.68 Sehat -1.7 Sehat -0.86 Sehat 10 Perusahaan Sehat Sehat Sehat -4.11 Sehat -1.54 Sehat -3.6 Sehat -1.79 Sehat -0.85 Sehat 10 Perusahaan Sehat Sehat Sehat -4.65 Sehat -2.39 Sehat -3.51 Sehat -1.99 Sehat -1.21 Sehat 10 Perusahaan
  • 5. Tabel 4.2 Analisis Kebangkrutan Model Zmijewski Perusahaan Perkebunaan Tahun 2009 - 2011 Nama Perusahaan 0 -0.5 -1 -1.5 S-Score -2 -2.5 2009 S- Score 2010 S- Score 2011 S- Score -3 -3.5 -4 -4.5 -5
  • 6. Tabel 4.3 Analisis Kebangkrutan Model Altman Z-Score Perusahaan Perkebunaan Tahun 2009 - 2011 Nama Perusahaan PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk PT BW Plantation Tbk SScore 3,64 1,53 2009 Kriteria Sehat Bangkrut SScore 3,64 1,24 2010 Kriteria Sehat Bangkrut SScore 3,40 1,09 2011 Kriteria Sehat Bangkrut PT Bakrie Sumatra Plantation Tbk PT Gozko Plantation Tbk 1,07 1,08 Bangkrut Bangkrut 0,41 1,10 Bangkrut Bangkrut 0,57 0,84 Bangkrut Bangkrut PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk 1,09 Bangkrut 1,42 Bangkrut 2,08 Grey Area PT London Sumatra Plantation Tbk PT Salim Ivomas Pratama Tbk 2,43 1,50 Grey Area Bangkrut 2,78 1,32 Grey Area Bangkrut 3,30 1,62 Sehat Bangkrut PT Sampoerna Agro Tbk 2,59 Grey Area 2,56 Grey Area 2,57 Grey Area PT Sinarmas Agro R&T Tbk 2,35 Grey Area 2,71 Grey Area 3.52 Sehat PT Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk Sehat Grey Arya Bangkrut 1,95 Grey Area 1 Perusahaan 4 Perusahaan 5 Perusahaan 1,80 Bangkrut 1 Perusahaan 3 Perusahaan 6 Perusaahaan 2,17 Grey Area 3 Perusahaan 3 Perusahaan 4 Perusahaan
  • 7. Tabel 4.3 Analisis Kebangkrutan Model Altman Z-Score Perusahaan Perkebunaan Tahun 2009 - 2011 4 3.5 S-Score 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 2009 S- Score 0.5 2010 S- Score 0 2011 S- Score Nama Perusahaan
  • 8. Tabel4.4 Hasil Prediksi Kebangkrutan Periode 2009-2011 Model Springate Model Zmijewski Model Altman Z-Score Tahun Sehat Grey Bangkrut Sehat Grey Bangkrut Sehat Grey Bangkrut Area Area Area 2009 8 0 2 10 0 0 1 4 5 2010 7 0 3 10 0 0 1 3 6 2011 8 0 2 10 0 0 3 3 4 Jumlah 23 0 7 30 0 0 5 10 15
  • 9. Tabel 4.4 Hasil Prediksi Kebangkrutan Periode 2009-2011 35 30 Kriteria S-Score 25 20 2009 15 2010 2011 Jumlah 10 5 0 Sehat Grey Bangkrut Model Springate Sehat Grey Bangkrut Model Zmijewski Sehat Grey Bangkrut Model Altman Z-Score
  • 10. Tabel 4.5 Hasil Test Of Homogeneity Of Variances HASIL SCORE Levene Statistic Df 1 Df 2 Sig. 1.998 2 87 142
  • 11. Tabel 4.5 Hasil Test Of Homogeneity Of Variances 160 140 120 100 80 Series1 60 40 20 0 Levene Statistic Df 1 Df 2 HASIL SCORE Sig.
  • 12. Tabel 4.6 Hasil Pengujian One Way Anova ANOVA HASIL SCORE Sum Of Squares Df Mean Square Between Group 346.726 2 173.363 158.646 ,000 Within Group 95.071 87 Total 441.796 89 1.093 F Sig
  • 13. Tabel 4.6 Hasil Pengujian One Way Anova 500 450 400 Kriteria S-Score 350 300 250 200 Within Group 150 Total 100 50 0 346.726 2 173.363 158.646 ,000 Df Mean Square F Sig Squares Sum Of