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Oil Revenue and the National Budget
Penplusbytes,
26th Sep, 2017
Benjamin Boakye (Executive
Director)
Africa Centre for Energy Policy
Focus
❖ PRMA and the
National Budget
❖ Governance of Oil
revenues
❖ Compliance with the
PRMA in the Budget
❖ After the Budget,
what next?
Oil Revenue Trend
❖
2011 2012 2013
2014 2015 2016
❖ Many oil producing countries
mismanage oil revenues -Oil
curse
❖ Few people benefit and the
greater majority live in poverty
❖ the preoccupation of leadership
is not how to generate revenue
for the state but how to
consolidate their political
power by annexing the
ownership right of the
resources
❖ the sad part- the politicians steal
and save outside the country.
The Paradox of Plenty
Gen Yakubu Gowon (Head of State, Nigeria – 1966 -1975)
Leadership is Key in
Oil Governance
Ladies and Gentlemen,
our problem is no
longer money but how
to spend it’
Ghana’s Strategy against Oil Curse and Dutch Disease
making and
changing the laws
❖ The Petroleum Revenue
Management law (Act 815),2011
❖ Local content and Local Participation
Regulation (LI2204), 3013
❖ E&P Act passed in 2016
The Architecture of the Law
Sources of Oil Revenues
Actual	
Petroleum	
Revenues	into	
PHF
Royalties	(oil	
&	gas)	plus	
AOE
Corporate	
Income	tax
Other	Revenues	–
Capital	Gain	Tax,	
Surface	rent,	etc
GNPC’s	Dividend
Net	revenue	inflow	
from	equity	less	
GNPC’s	share
The Objectives of the PRMA
Section 21(2) defines spending objectives of oil
revenues:
The use of the annual allocation of the Annual Budget
Funding Amount shall be:
(a) to maximize the rate of economic development;
(b) to promote equality of economic opportunity with
a view to ensure the well-being of citizens;
(c) to undertake even and balanced development of
the regions
Spending of Oil Revenue
• Section	18	(2)	of	Act	815
• The	exact	percentage	of	allocation	of	oil	
revenues	shall	be	...	guided	by	
– a	medium-term	development	strategy	aligned	
with	a	long	term	national	development	
framework
– absorptive	capacity	of	the	economy	and
– the	need	for	prudent	macro-economic	
management.
Where to Spend
• Section	18	(3)	of	Act	815:		
Where	no	long-term	
national	development	plan	
approved	
– Agriculture and	industry;	
– physical	infrastructure	and	
service	delivery	in	education,	
science	and	technology;	
– potable	water	delivery	and	
sanitation;	
– Infrastructure	development	
in	telecommunication,	road,	
rail	and	port;	
– physical	infrastructure	and	
service	delivery	in	health;	
– housing	delivery;	
– environmental	protection,	
sustainable	utilization	and	
protection	of	natural	
resources;	
– rural	development;	
– developing	alternative	
energy	sources;	
– the	strengthening	of	
institutions	of	government	
concerned	with	governance	
and	the	maintenance	of	law	
and	order;	
– public	safety	and	security;	
and	
– provision	of	social	welfare	
and	the	protection	of	the	
physically	handicapped	and	
disadvantaged	citizens.
Prioritisation of Sectors
• Section	18	(5)	of	Act	815
• Minister	shall	prioritize	not	
more	than	four	areas	when	
submitting	a	programme	of	
activities	for	the	use	of	the	
petroleum	revenue.	
• Section	18	(6)	of	Act	815
• This	will	be	reviewed	every	
three	years	except	in	the	
case	of	national	disaster
Revenue Management Structure
Ministry	of	
Finance
Investment	Adv.	
Committee
Bank	of	
Ghana
Advisory	
services	to	
Minister
Operational	
management
Fund	
Managers
Parliament
Oversight Roles
Parliament
Auditor GeneralPIAC
Transparency Requirements
Accountable Institution Type of Report Frequency
The Minister of Finance Annual Report on the Ghana
Petroleum Holding Fund as part
of the annual Budget
Annual
Reconciliation Report on the
Ghana Petroleum Holding Fund
Annual
Report on advise from the
Investment Advisory Committee
7 days from
receipt of advise
PIAC Report on the management of
petroleum revenues
Semi-annual
Report on the management of
petroleum revenues
Annual
Bank of Ghana Report on the performance of
the Ghana Petroleum Funds
Semi-annual
Auditor General Audit Report on the Ghana
Petroleum Holding Fund
Annual
Investment in Pro-Poor Sectors
❖ Both citizens Consultation and research evidence Show
that investment in Agriculture, Education and Health
are the fastest route to achieving the objective of the
PRMA
❖ With high priority for Agriculture and Education
Agriculture
❖ 58% of Ghana’s landmass are for agriculture lands.
❖ half of the agriculture lands are under cultivation,
largely for rain fed agriculture
❖ out of 14million hectares of agricultural lands only
30,000 hectares are irrigated
❖ Ghana continues to import more food and meet
Year local Production/ Mt
Importation
of meat/ Mt
Variance/
Mt
2003
77,235 46,055
31180
2004
80,959 51,485
29474
2005
76,582 60,850
15732
2006
92,893 73,474
19419
2007
97,229 96,965
264
2008
101,895 114,472
-12577
source: MOFA
Education
❖ Thin Spreading of revenue on so many projects
❖ Missing projects
❖ double counting of projects under the GoG funding source
❖ Time overruns
❖ Cost overruns
❖ Communities do not know the projects receiving oil
revenues
PRMA Implementation Challenges
❖ we followed the project to
Dabaabi
❖ realised the project was not
there
❖ Followed up to the assembly
and did not get information on
the project
Dabaabi Kindergarten
GHS 251,000
2017 Revenue Sharing in $s
Total Estimates US$515,674,244.44 Comments
GNPC 273,590,424.25
$228.3m for Equity
financing and $45.3m as
share of Net Capi
ABFA 169,458,674.13
Expenditure in the
Budget
GSF 50,837,602.24
not sure what the
Minister wants to do
with $100m cap
GHF 21,787,543.82 Safe from attack
Priority Areas for ABFA in Cedis
Priority Area Amount Percentage
Infrastruc
ture
Service
Agriculture 156,077,117 19.5
142,400,000
13,677,117
Physical Infrastructure
and service delivery in
Education
211,717,458 26.5
0
211,717,458
Physical Infrastructure
and service delivery
inHealth
50,000,000 6.3 50,000,000
0
Road, Rail and other
Critical infrastructure
376,620,676 47.3
365,020,676
11,600,000
Some Clarity in the priority Areas
❖ Only Five MDAs will receive Funds from ABFA
❖ There has been a consistent reduction in MDAs from 16
in 2012 to 7 in 2016
❖ Road, Railway and other critical infrastructure may
however pose interpretation challenges in the future
Goods and Service Component of ABFA
❖ the PRMA allows up to 30% of ABFA for recurrent
expenditure
❖ the Budget allocated exactly 30% to goods and services
❖ 88.6% of the Goods and services budget is allocated to
the Education sector for Free SHS - this further
improves the measurability/tracking of impact of the
ABFA expenditures.
Next Step
❖ once discussion on the budget has ended we have to
move on to tracking the expenditure
❖ we are still not sure of the specific projects that will
receive funding under the prioritised ministries
❖ citizens must be interested in Government project- talk
to your Assembly
Prevent this!

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Oil Revenue and the National Budget by Benjamin Boakye

  • 1. Oil Revenue and the National Budget Penplusbytes, 26th Sep, 2017 Benjamin Boakye (Executive Director) Africa Centre for Energy Policy
  • 2. Focus ❖ PRMA and the National Budget ❖ Governance of Oil revenues ❖ Compliance with the PRMA in the Budget ❖ After the Budget, what next?
  • 3. Oil Revenue Trend ❖ 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
  • 4. ❖ Many oil producing countries mismanage oil revenues -Oil curse ❖ Few people benefit and the greater majority live in poverty ❖ the preoccupation of leadership is not how to generate revenue for the state but how to consolidate their political power by annexing the ownership right of the resources ❖ the sad part- the politicians steal and save outside the country. The Paradox of Plenty
  • 5. Gen Yakubu Gowon (Head of State, Nigeria – 1966 -1975) Leadership is Key in Oil Governance Ladies and Gentlemen, our problem is no longer money but how to spend it’
  • 6. Ghana’s Strategy against Oil Curse and Dutch Disease making and changing the laws ❖ The Petroleum Revenue Management law (Act 815),2011 ❖ Local content and Local Participation Regulation (LI2204), 3013 ❖ E&P Act passed in 2016
  • 8. Sources of Oil Revenues Actual Petroleum Revenues into PHF Royalties (oil & gas) plus AOE Corporate Income tax Other Revenues – Capital Gain Tax, Surface rent, etc GNPC’s Dividend Net revenue inflow from equity less GNPC’s share
  • 9. The Objectives of the PRMA Section 21(2) defines spending objectives of oil revenues: The use of the annual allocation of the Annual Budget Funding Amount shall be: (a) to maximize the rate of economic development; (b) to promote equality of economic opportunity with a view to ensure the well-being of citizens; (c) to undertake even and balanced development of the regions
  • 10. Spending of Oil Revenue • Section 18 (2) of Act 815 • The exact percentage of allocation of oil revenues shall be ... guided by – a medium-term development strategy aligned with a long term national development framework – absorptive capacity of the economy and – the need for prudent macro-economic management.
  • 11. Where to Spend • Section 18 (3) of Act 815: Where no long-term national development plan approved – Agriculture and industry; – physical infrastructure and service delivery in education, science and technology; – potable water delivery and sanitation; – Infrastructure development in telecommunication, road, rail and port; – physical infrastructure and service delivery in health; – housing delivery; – environmental protection, sustainable utilization and protection of natural resources; – rural development; – developing alternative energy sources; – the strengthening of institutions of government concerned with governance and the maintenance of law and order; – public safety and security; and – provision of social welfare and the protection of the physically handicapped and disadvantaged citizens.
  • 12. Prioritisation of Sectors • Section 18 (5) of Act 815 • Minister shall prioritize not more than four areas when submitting a programme of activities for the use of the petroleum revenue. • Section 18 (6) of Act 815 • This will be reviewed every three years except in the case of national disaster
  • 15. Transparency Requirements Accountable Institution Type of Report Frequency The Minister of Finance Annual Report on the Ghana Petroleum Holding Fund as part of the annual Budget Annual Reconciliation Report on the Ghana Petroleum Holding Fund Annual Report on advise from the Investment Advisory Committee 7 days from receipt of advise PIAC Report on the management of petroleum revenues Semi-annual Report on the management of petroleum revenues Annual Bank of Ghana Report on the performance of the Ghana Petroleum Funds Semi-annual Auditor General Audit Report on the Ghana Petroleum Holding Fund Annual
  • 16. Investment in Pro-Poor Sectors ❖ Both citizens Consultation and research evidence Show that investment in Agriculture, Education and Health are the fastest route to achieving the objective of the PRMA ❖ With high priority for Agriculture and Education
  • 17. Agriculture ❖ 58% of Ghana’s landmass are for agriculture lands. ❖ half of the agriculture lands are under cultivation, largely for rain fed agriculture ❖ out of 14million hectares of agricultural lands only 30,000 hectares are irrigated ❖ Ghana continues to import more food and meet
  • 18. Year local Production/ Mt Importation of meat/ Mt Variance/ Mt 2003 77,235 46,055 31180 2004 80,959 51,485 29474 2005 76,582 60,850 15732 2006 92,893 73,474 19419 2007 97,229 96,965 264 2008 101,895 114,472 -12577 source: MOFA
  • 20. ❖ Thin Spreading of revenue on so many projects ❖ Missing projects ❖ double counting of projects under the GoG funding source ❖ Time overruns ❖ Cost overruns ❖ Communities do not know the projects receiving oil revenues PRMA Implementation Challenges
  • 21. ❖ we followed the project to Dabaabi ❖ realised the project was not there ❖ Followed up to the assembly and did not get information on the project Dabaabi Kindergarten GHS 251,000
  • 22. 2017 Revenue Sharing in $s Total Estimates US$515,674,244.44 Comments GNPC 273,590,424.25 $228.3m for Equity financing and $45.3m as share of Net Capi ABFA 169,458,674.13 Expenditure in the Budget GSF 50,837,602.24 not sure what the Minister wants to do with $100m cap GHF 21,787,543.82 Safe from attack
  • 23. Priority Areas for ABFA in Cedis Priority Area Amount Percentage Infrastruc ture Service Agriculture 156,077,117 19.5 142,400,000 13,677,117 Physical Infrastructure and service delivery in Education 211,717,458 26.5 0 211,717,458 Physical Infrastructure and service delivery inHealth 50,000,000 6.3 50,000,000 0 Road, Rail and other Critical infrastructure 376,620,676 47.3 365,020,676 11,600,000
  • 24. Some Clarity in the priority Areas ❖ Only Five MDAs will receive Funds from ABFA ❖ There has been a consistent reduction in MDAs from 16 in 2012 to 7 in 2016 ❖ Road, Railway and other critical infrastructure may however pose interpretation challenges in the future
  • 25. Goods and Service Component of ABFA ❖ the PRMA allows up to 30% of ABFA for recurrent expenditure ❖ the Budget allocated exactly 30% to goods and services ❖ 88.6% of the Goods and services budget is allocated to the Education sector for Free SHS - this further improves the measurability/tracking of impact of the ABFA expenditures.
  • 26. Next Step ❖ once discussion on the budget has ended we have to move on to tracking the expenditure ❖ we are still not sure of the specific projects that will receive funding under the prioritised ministries ❖ citizens must be interested in Government project- talk to your Assembly