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TOPOLOGY
     hierarchical                 X functional / matrixed                            directed scale free                      scale free

                                                         PEACE AND STABILIZATION




                                                                                            Non Traditional C2




                                                                                                 New/Partner         New/Partner
single      service     joint      military coalition       X-agency          New/Partner                                                unanticipated
                                                                                                  Coalition +         Coalition +
 unit                                 e.g. NATO                                Coalition                                                     user
                                                                                                 Int X agency       Int X agency +
                                       Centrix                                                                           NGO
           Traditional C2                                                                                             Contractor




                                                              Intelligence



                                                        DECISIVE OPERATIONS

                                                              COMPLEXITY
    individual              enterprise / intranet                  extranet                             dark webs                    internet

            Classic Enterprise Architecture                                  ULS / COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEMS


                                                        ARCHITECTURAL PATTERNS
Differing types of complexity and the relationship to consolidation an dispersal of ICT capability

   complexity type - institutional                             complexity type - combinatorial
   solution - standardization                                  solution - harmonization
   approach - modernization and consolidation                  approach - adaptation, dispersal, aggregation


                      Enterprise                                               Extraprise




 One common corporate culture                              Many often competing corporate cultures
 Standardized systems                                      Bring your own heterogeneous systems
 Common processes and communications platforms             Divergent processes and communications platforms



                                                                 Many interoperable applications and
    One collaboration application or portal                      portals the sum of which constitute
                                                                 a collaborative information environment
INTERNET OPEN ARCHITECTURE ECONOMICS

             COST



              How can we accelerate                                                                            How can we best
              this curve for our                                                                               leverage this curve
              partners?                                                           economics of abundance       for our missions?




                                                                           commodification




           Capability development /
                                                                tipping point
           adoption curve




“That’s a very different application model than we’ve ever seen in computing. Very different from the mainframe era, very different
from the PC industry, and likely to be very, very large. There are low barriers to entry, the new generation of tools… make it relatively
easy to do, solve a lot of problems, and work everywhere.”

Eric Schmidt - CEO Google
capability building
                                                                                    d
                                                                                    a                                  Capability development for technical service/
                                                                                a   t
                                                                                p   a                                  component transitions
                                                                                p
   OTD




                       Application                   discreet                       data interop
                       instances                     organization




              capability building

                                                                                                d
                                                                                                a
                                                                                                              d
                                                                                                              a              Semantic reconciliation
                                                                                          a            a
                                                                                                t             t
                                                                                                                             DOD data strategy/Dublin Core/RDF
                                                                                          p     a      p      a
                                                          SLA ought be defined
                                                                                          p            p


                                                                                                                  d
                                                                                                                  a
                                    application toolkit                                                                        Data Services
Application Services                     service
                                                                 subscription           application toolkit        t
                                                                                                                  a
                                                                                                                  tk
                                                                                          mashup


                                                                                         S3    EC2     SDB

                                    component service
                                    eg mapping,                mashup enabling
                                                                                                                                                       Example Amazon style
                                    visuallization             services
   services                         service                                                                                                            infrastucre services that
                                                                                          subscription
                                                                                                                                                       commoditize application
                                                                                                                                                       development such as
                                                                                                                                                       storage, supercomputing,
                                                                                                                                                       databases


 Example Infrastructure
                                                                 S3                            EC2                            SDB
 Services

                                                                                          infrastrcuture
Web Native Maturity

                         DISTRIBUTED INTEROPERABILITY
      START

     Homogenous                  Homogenous                 Heterogeneous
     Centralized                 Distributed                Distributed
     Interoperable               Interoperable              Interoperable




Enterprise Maturity
                          CONSOLIDATED INTEGRATION
                                                               START

         Homogeneous             Homogeneous              Heterogeneous
         Centralized             Distributed              Distributed
         Integrated              Stove-piped              Stove-piped
         Interoperable           Interoperable            Non -Interoperable
Mission and Community Dynamics in Support of Outreach Development for 3000.5 Capability

  key activity opportunities


   Community events1                                                                                                                          Development/capability
                                                                                                                                              building


                                     Community support,                                                  Enabling infrastructure, toolkits
                                     stability                                                           - data collection,management
                                      - community action and                                             - communications
                                     harmonization                                                       - collaboration environments
                                     - continuous improvement                                            - interactive platform




   Productive capacity                                                                                                                  Local Micro Initiatives
                                                                    Platform Capability
   - Human capital                                                                                                                      - local infrastructure maturity
                                                                     - Products and services
   - Public Health                           Community                                                                 Mission          - strength of ties to capability
                                                                     - Costs (operations, acquisition,
   - Security                                                                                                                           supply chains
                                                                    technical development, equipment)
                                                                     - Business Model




                                   Community capability                                                    Capital, labor, employment
                                    - Initial condition                                                    - Key participants
                                    - accumulated benefit and                                              - Portfolio investments
                                   increased capacity                                                      - Suppliers




   Training/education2



                                                                                                                                                            Created by Ivan Labra
1. For example, exercises, demonstrations, COI meetings , real world HADR operations
                                                                                                                                                            Created on Thu Nov 22 2007
2. For example individual and collective training, HADR professional military education, civilian education                                                 Edited by Ivan Labra
                                                                                                                                                            Modified on Sun Dec 02 2007
based on a grassroots approach to emerging-market consumers, Christopher p. Beshouri, McKinsey Quarterly, 2006 #4
requires refinement and prioritization
  Portfolio Framework for JCTD
   each initiative should have a                                                                                    Initiatives
   set of metrics for success
   that will determine the size                                                                                      Community/sociological
                                        Community/sociological initiatives
   of bubble after the initiative                                                                                     1. Establish cross sector consortium
                                        Mission/technological initiatives
   is "complete"                                                                                                      2. Establish cross cocom COI
    - the roll-up of the metrics        Size of bubble - estimated level of effort                                    3. Establish NGO participation in formation of
   will drive this unified number
                                                                                                                      exercise concept and execution
                                                                                                                      4. Develop best practice and lessons learned
   The ratio of this metric to
                                                                             need to revise effort estimates          distribution mechanism
   cost will determine ROI for                                                                                        5. Support CWID/African Endeavor
                                                                             currently bubbles weighted 1-10
   initiative.                                                                                                        6. Develop position papers
                                                                                                                      7. Develop foundation and private sector
                                                                                                                      partnership project
                                         2
                                                                                                                      8. Establish partnerships to develop
                 Low (familiar      6
                 with execution                                        4                                              education and training capability
                                                  21
                 requirements)                                                                                        9. Establish and integrate technology COI and
                                                                 20              3                                    acquisition strategies within OTD framework
                                         9

                                                                       14
                                                 10    11                                                            Mission/technological
                                                                                         8
                                                  1                                                                   10. Integrate messaging capabilities
                 Medium                                     15              12
                                             5                                                                        11. Develop virtualization and packaging
  Risk           (unfamiliar with
                 execution                                                                                            capabilities
                                                                      16                              18              12. Develop distributed framework for data,
                 requirements)                                                       7
                                                                                                                      distribution aggregation and discovery (such as
every initiative ought to have a                                 17          13                                       classification, publish subscribe and distributed
risk mitigation plan and process                                                             19                       search) capabilities
                                                                                                                      13. Develop social networking models
                 High (uncertain                                                                                      14. Develop service and platform provisioning
                 how to execute)                                                                                      capabilities
                                                                                                                      15. Develop distributed identity and
                                                                                                                      authentication
                                                                                                                      16. Develop analytic capabilities
                                                                                                                      17. Develop multi-modal (with emphasis on cell
                                                                                                                      phones) user experience
                                                                                                                      18. Develop offline capabilities and data
Need to revise target               year 1                       year 2                           year 3              synchronization capabilities
dates for initiatives and roll-up                                                                                     19. Develop and integrate information assurance
                                                                                                                      capabilities
into comprehensive POA&M                                         Timing                                               20. Develop GIS and LBS capabilities
There may be interdependencies
                                                                                                                      21. Develop personalization and composable
that need consideration.                                                                                              filter capabilities to support UDOP
An Adaptive Spiral Approach using a Portfolio                                                                                  Community/sociological initiatives
Framework for Transition Planning                                                                                              Mission/technological initiatives

                                                                                                                               Size of bubble - estimated level of effort



         1                                                              2
             Search                                                         Execute                 - Map initiatives by potential community, level of
                                                                                                   familiarity, timing of alignment with key events
              - Examine existing initiatives                                                        - Execute high-priority initiatives
              - Create or identify initiatives that                                                 - Evaluate initiatives with greater uncertainty, less
              provide favorable ROI to risk ratio                                                  familiarity, or both
                                                                                                    - Define POA&Ms

                                                                                                       Integrate messaging capabilities


                                                          Risk                                         Establish cross sector consortium


                                                                                                       Develop distributed framework for data,
                                                                                                       distribution aggregation and discovery (such
                                                                                                       as classification, publish subscribe and
                                                                                                       distributed search) capabilities

                                                                            Timing
 cycle
 continues



             4    Reassess portfolio
                     - Reassess strategic opportunities
                     - Consider mission evolution, community capabilities
                                                                                                  3       Monitor and manage progress
                                                                                                               - Assess initial results of implementation
                                                                                                               - Further evaluate attractiveness of initiatives
                     - Add initiatives                                                                         - Abandon unsuccessful or unattractive initiatives
                     - Re-prioritize initiatives

                                                                                                                                           Abandon initiative - cost
                                                                                                                                           exceeds return




                      Risk                                                                 Risk
                                                                                                                                            Scale up investment -
                                                                                                                                            initiative successful
                                                                            Abandon initiative - ROI
                                                                                                                                            prepare to transition to
                                                                            is too low
                                                                                                                                            program of record




                                              Timing                                                            Timing

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Ivan Combined

  • 1. TOPOLOGY hierarchical X functional / matrixed directed scale free scale free PEACE AND STABILIZATION Non Traditional C2 New/Partner New/Partner single service joint military coalition X-agency New/Partner unanticipated Coalition + Coalition + unit e.g. NATO Coalition user Int X agency Int X agency + Centrix NGO Traditional C2 Contractor Intelligence DECISIVE OPERATIONS COMPLEXITY individual enterprise / intranet extranet dark webs internet Classic Enterprise Architecture ULS / COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEMS ARCHITECTURAL PATTERNS
  • 2. Differing types of complexity and the relationship to consolidation an dispersal of ICT capability complexity type - institutional complexity type - combinatorial solution - standardization solution - harmonization approach - modernization and consolidation approach - adaptation, dispersal, aggregation Enterprise Extraprise One common corporate culture Many often competing corporate cultures Standardized systems Bring your own heterogeneous systems Common processes and communications platforms Divergent processes and communications platforms Many interoperable applications and One collaboration application or portal portals the sum of which constitute a collaborative information environment
  • 3. INTERNET OPEN ARCHITECTURE ECONOMICS COST How can we accelerate How can we best this curve for our leverage this curve partners? economics of abundance for our missions? commodification Capability development / tipping point adoption curve “That’s a very different application model than we’ve ever seen in computing. Very different from the mainframe era, very different from the PC industry, and likely to be very, very large. There are low barriers to entry, the new generation of tools… make it relatively easy to do, solve a lot of problems, and work everywhere.” Eric Schmidt - CEO Google
  • 4. capability building d a Capability development for technical service/ a t p a component transitions p OTD Application discreet data interop instances organization capability building d a d a Semantic reconciliation a a t t DOD data strategy/Dublin Core/RDF p a p a SLA ought be defined p p d a application toolkit Data Services Application Services service subscription application toolkit t a tk mashup S3 EC2 SDB component service eg mapping, mashup enabling Example Amazon style visuallization services services service infrastucre services that subscription commoditize application development such as storage, supercomputing, databases Example Infrastructure S3 EC2 SDB Services infrastrcuture
  • 5. Web Native Maturity DISTRIBUTED INTEROPERABILITY START Homogenous Homogenous Heterogeneous Centralized Distributed Distributed Interoperable Interoperable Interoperable Enterprise Maturity CONSOLIDATED INTEGRATION START Homogeneous Homogeneous Heterogeneous Centralized Distributed Distributed Integrated Stove-piped Stove-piped Interoperable Interoperable Non -Interoperable
  • 6. Mission and Community Dynamics in Support of Outreach Development for 3000.5 Capability key activity opportunities Community events1 Development/capability building Community support, Enabling infrastructure, toolkits stability - data collection,management - community action and - communications harmonization - collaboration environments - continuous improvement - interactive platform Productive capacity Local Micro Initiatives Platform Capability - Human capital - local infrastructure maturity - Products and services - Public Health Community Mission - strength of ties to capability - Costs (operations, acquisition, - Security supply chains technical development, equipment) - Business Model Community capability Capital, labor, employment - Initial condition - Key participants - accumulated benefit and - Portfolio investments increased capacity - Suppliers Training/education2 Created by Ivan Labra 1. For example, exercises, demonstrations, COI meetings , real world HADR operations Created on Thu Nov 22 2007 2. For example individual and collective training, HADR professional military education, civilian education Edited by Ivan Labra Modified on Sun Dec 02 2007 based on a grassroots approach to emerging-market consumers, Christopher p. Beshouri, McKinsey Quarterly, 2006 #4
  • 7. requires refinement and prioritization Portfolio Framework for JCTD each initiative should have a Initiatives set of metrics for success that will determine the size Community/sociological Community/sociological initiatives of bubble after the initiative 1. Establish cross sector consortium Mission/technological initiatives is "complete" 2. Establish cross cocom COI - the roll-up of the metrics Size of bubble - estimated level of effort 3. Establish NGO participation in formation of will drive this unified number exercise concept and execution 4. Develop best practice and lessons learned The ratio of this metric to need to revise effort estimates distribution mechanism cost will determine ROI for 5. Support CWID/African Endeavor currently bubbles weighted 1-10 initiative. 6. Develop position papers 7. Develop foundation and private sector partnership project 2 8. Establish partnerships to develop Low (familiar 6 with execution 4 education and training capability 21 requirements) 9. Establish and integrate technology COI and 20 3 acquisition strategies within OTD framework 9 14 10 11 Mission/technological 8 1 10. Integrate messaging capabilities Medium 15 12 5 11. Develop virtualization and packaging Risk (unfamiliar with execution capabilities 16 18 12. Develop distributed framework for data, requirements) 7 distribution aggregation and discovery (such as every initiative ought to have a 17 13 classification, publish subscribe and distributed risk mitigation plan and process 19 search) capabilities 13. Develop social networking models High (uncertain 14. Develop service and platform provisioning how to execute) capabilities 15. Develop distributed identity and authentication 16. Develop analytic capabilities 17. Develop multi-modal (with emphasis on cell phones) user experience 18. Develop offline capabilities and data Need to revise target year 1 year 2 year 3 synchronization capabilities dates for initiatives and roll-up 19. Develop and integrate information assurance capabilities into comprehensive POA&M Timing 20. Develop GIS and LBS capabilities There may be interdependencies 21. Develop personalization and composable that need consideration. filter capabilities to support UDOP
  • 8. An Adaptive Spiral Approach using a Portfolio Community/sociological initiatives Framework for Transition Planning Mission/technological initiatives Size of bubble - estimated level of effort 1 2 Search Execute - Map initiatives by potential community, level of familiarity, timing of alignment with key events - Examine existing initiatives - Execute high-priority initiatives - Create or identify initiatives that - Evaluate initiatives with greater uncertainty, less provide favorable ROI to risk ratio familiarity, or both - Define POA&Ms Integrate messaging capabilities Risk Establish cross sector consortium Develop distributed framework for data, distribution aggregation and discovery (such as classification, publish subscribe and distributed search) capabilities Timing cycle continues 4 Reassess portfolio - Reassess strategic opportunities - Consider mission evolution, community capabilities 3 Monitor and manage progress - Assess initial results of implementation - Further evaluate attractiveness of initiatives - Add initiatives - Abandon unsuccessful or unattractive initiatives - Re-prioritize initiatives Abandon initiative - cost exceeds return Risk Risk Scale up investment - initiative successful Abandon initiative - ROI prepare to transition to is too low program of record Timing Timing