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Short Presentation
Presented
Ventura Securities Ltd.
by
On
Visit Update
DB Corp – About the company
• DBCL is one of the leading print media companies in India, with an average daily
readership of 19.8 million spread across 12 states.
• In addition to Dainik Bhaskar, it publishes 4 other newspapers, which include Aha
Zindagi, Bal Bhaskar, Young Bhaskar and Lakshya.
•The company also has a presence in the radio business under the brand name
94.3 MY FM, which operates 17 FM radio stations across 7 states.
Through its subsidiary, I Media Corp Limited (IMCL), it operates internet portals
and short messaging service (SMS) portals. Print media accounted for 95% of total
revenues, of which 74% are derived from advertising while circulation accounts for
the rest.
Print Segment
Print Segment -- Changed strategy on advertising price rates; significant
efforts to enhance content quality
• Volumes continue to be weak as economic activity and ad spends are yet to pick-up
• The company is taking cost control steps and news print prices are on a downward trend
on account of falling consumption worldwide
• Ad Pricing Strategy: The company has hiked its advertising rates by an average of 12-
13% in the past two years and hence has not taken any price hikes in the past 8 months.
Despite having a strong readership in the market in which he operates, its ad rates were
significantly lower compared to other regional newspapers since it entered these markets on
the basis of bundled rates. Realizing the lost potential, the company has now appointed
professionals for each market in order to increase pricing. Hence, it is moving from a club
rate model to a regional specific model to remove the gap in prices.
9MFY15 9MFY14 % increase YoY
Advertisement
Revenues 1162.3 1077.8 8%
Circulation Revenues 276.9 239.5 16%
Total Print Revenues 1439.2 1317.3 9%
EBITDA margin 29.8% 28.9% 100 bps
Print Segment
• Growth Strategy: Look to enter new markets only if the IRR would be 13-14%, existing
markets are under penetrated -- will look to expand presence in Rajasthan, MP,
Chhattisgarh and Gujarat, new market potential assessed based on Gross State Domestic
Product, and consumption pattern and lifestyle
• Content Quality: i) It has the largest editorial strength in Asia – 3500+ writers on payroll
with an average of age of 25-30 years ii) They follow certain content practices such as All
positive news on Monday and No content Jackets/ Advertising pages on Weekends in order
to differentiate from the competitors. It has also secured exclusive tie-ups with international
magazines for content. Their aim is to provide as much relevant content in the first page of
the newspaper as they can so that a reader spends a good 5-7 minutes on the first page
itself.
• Cover price strategy: The pricing strategy of the newspaper is to i) ensure the user does
not purchase a second newspaper and ii) to migrate the affluent users from competition to
DB Corp
Print Segment – Revenue Projections
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
` Crore
Revenue % growth
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
` Crore
Revenue % growth
Ad revenues to grow at a 3 yr CAGR of 9.2% Circulation revenues to grow at a 3 yr CAGR
of 12.6%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
` Crore
Revenue % growth (RHS)
Print media
revenues to
grow at a CAGR
of 9.2% to Rs
2330 crores by
FY17
Radio Segment
Radio Segment -- Leveraging on the benefits of print media content and
infrastructure
9MFY15 9MFY14 % increase YoY
Radio Revenues 69.193 58.074 19%
PBIT 21.28 13.37 59%
PBIT margin 31% 23% 800 bps
• It has the highest listenership in markets because of its rich source of content in the print
media space
•Operating Margins at 36% are ;highest in the industry as the company uses its print premises
to set up a radio station. They also follow a centralized programming and accounting policy
which helps reduced costs
• Phase III strategy: The company is likely to spend Rs 150-175 crores as migration fee for
existing licenses and an additional Rs 50 crores for acquisition of 25-40 stations; strategy is to
open radio stations in cities which have DB has a strong foothold through its print media
assets
•In Phase II, DB Corp was the third highest bidder in most cases – not a very aggressive
stance which has helped the company break-even faster
• The relay of news content from AIR will enable higher rates and sticky listenership
Radio Segment
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
` Crore
Revenue % growth
Radio revenues to grow at a 3 yr CAGR of 23% to Rs 149 crore
Digital Segment
Digital Segment -- Thinking management; has envisaged the digital potential
early
• The digital business is being driven as an independent business unit with a strength of 400
people and 200 journalists.
• Industry Potential: There are 800 mn mobile users in India, with 170 mn using smart
phones which is expected to grow to 500 mn smart phone users in the coming 3 years. At
present, out of the 170 mn smart phone users, 40 mn are in DB’s markets, which is expected
to grow to 150 mn in 3 years. Hence, the potential, as the management envisages, is huge.
• It has the highest listenership in markets because of its rich source of content in the print
media space
• Penetrative Strategy: The management classifies any city with 50,000 smart phones or
higher as a focus city; they started with Bhopal as a pilot project for downloading the Dainik
Bhaskar App. Around 1,75,000 users downloaded the app; the app is also equipped with a
tracking device which helps understand the mobile usage behavior of a particular user. Also,
the surveyor who helps download the app also screens the house of the customer to
understand their lifestyle.
9MFY15 9MFY14 % increase YoY
Digital Revenues 21.321 11.828 80%
PBIT -4.90 -5.93 -17%
PBIT margin -23% -50%
Digital Segment
• Current Stats: The company currently has a run rate of 18 mn unique visitors and 5 lakh
app users. The company aims to increase their active app user base from 30% to 50% in the
coming years. It also aims to expand their digital user base from 18 mn visitors to 80-90 mn
visitors in the coming years which will help generate substantial advertising revenues.
• Ad Rates: For ad rates, the company has set Facebook’s ad rates as the benchmark;
Google makes Rs 100 per user, while Facebook makes Rs 35 per user. DB Corp currently
earns Rs 20 per user per annum.
• Vision: Vision is to take the digital revenues to Rs 300-400 crores ( 10% of total revenues) in
the next 3-5 years from current revenues of Rs 30 crores. This business can earn a 50-60%
EBITDA margin on a sustainable basis. Currently, it is operating at a minor loss due to the
substantial investments.
Digital Segment
Digital revenues to grow at a 3 yr CAGR of 83% to Rs 116 crore
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
` Crore
Revenue % growth
Financial Performance
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
` Crore
Revenue % growth
Consol revenues to grow at a 3 yr CAGR of
12% to Rs 2596 crore
-100.0%
-80.0%
-60.0%
-40.0%
-20.0%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
Print EBITDA margin Radio EBITDA margin
Digital EBITDA margin
EBITDA margin to expand from 27% in
FY14 to 28.7% in FY17
Financial Performance
PAT margin and RoE to remain steady at 18% and 26% respectively
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
RoE PAT margin
Valuation
•We assign a PE of 21x to FY17 EPS of Rs 23.5 to arrive at a target price of Rs 494, implying
an upside of 32% from the CMP of Rs 375.
• The print segment continues to grow at a healthy pace. Further with costs under control and
news print prices declining, the prospects of this segment are bright.
•Radio and Digital, both high growth and high margin segments, are expected to do well given
DB’s well thought out strategy.
•We hence assign a multiple at the higher end of the PE band
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Mar-11 Dec-11 Sep-12 Jun-13 Mar-14 Dec-14
CMP 15X 17X 18X 20X 22X
Ventura Securities Limited
Corporate Office: C-112/116, Bldg No. 1, Kailash Industrial Complex, Park Site, Vikhroli (W), Mumbai – 400079
This report is neither an offer nor a solicitation to purchase or sell securities. The information and views expressed herein are believed to be
reliable, but no responsibility (or liability) is accepted for errors of fact or opinion. Writers and contributors may be trading in or have positions in
the securities mentioned in their articles. Neither Ventura Securities Limited nor any of the contributors accepts any liability arising out of the
above information/articles. Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission is prohibited. This report is for private circulation.

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DB Corp Company visit update ppt

  • 2. DB Corp – About the company • DBCL is one of the leading print media companies in India, with an average daily readership of 19.8 million spread across 12 states. • In addition to Dainik Bhaskar, it publishes 4 other newspapers, which include Aha Zindagi, Bal Bhaskar, Young Bhaskar and Lakshya. •The company also has a presence in the radio business under the brand name 94.3 MY FM, which operates 17 FM radio stations across 7 states. Through its subsidiary, I Media Corp Limited (IMCL), it operates internet portals and short messaging service (SMS) portals. Print media accounted for 95% of total revenues, of which 74% are derived from advertising while circulation accounts for the rest.
  • 3. Print Segment Print Segment -- Changed strategy on advertising price rates; significant efforts to enhance content quality • Volumes continue to be weak as economic activity and ad spends are yet to pick-up • The company is taking cost control steps and news print prices are on a downward trend on account of falling consumption worldwide • Ad Pricing Strategy: The company has hiked its advertising rates by an average of 12- 13% in the past two years and hence has not taken any price hikes in the past 8 months. Despite having a strong readership in the market in which he operates, its ad rates were significantly lower compared to other regional newspapers since it entered these markets on the basis of bundled rates. Realizing the lost potential, the company has now appointed professionals for each market in order to increase pricing. Hence, it is moving from a club rate model to a regional specific model to remove the gap in prices. 9MFY15 9MFY14 % increase YoY Advertisement Revenues 1162.3 1077.8 8% Circulation Revenues 276.9 239.5 16% Total Print Revenues 1439.2 1317.3 9% EBITDA margin 29.8% 28.9% 100 bps
  • 4. Print Segment • Growth Strategy: Look to enter new markets only if the IRR would be 13-14%, existing markets are under penetrated -- will look to expand presence in Rajasthan, MP, Chhattisgarh and Gujarat, new market potential assessed based on Gross State Domestic Product, and consumption pattern and lifestyle • Content Quality: i) It has the largest editorial strength in Asia – 3500+ writers on payroll with an average of age of 25-30 years ii) They follow certain content practices such as All positive news on Monday and No content Jackets/ Advertising pages on Weekends in order to differentiate from the competitors. It has also secured exclusive tie-ups with international magazines for content. Their aim is to provide as much relevant content in the first page of the newspaper as they can so that a reader spends a good 5-7 minutes on the first page itself. • Cover price strategy: The pricing strategy of the newspaper is to i) ensure the user does not purchase a second newspaper and ii) to migrate the affluent users from competition to DB Corp
  • 5. Print Segment – Revenue Projections 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E ` Crore Revenue % growth 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E ` Crore Revenue % growth Ad revenues to grow at a 3 yr CAGR of 9.2% Circulation revenues to grow at a 3 yr CAGR of 12.6% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E ` Crore Revenue % growth (RHS) Print media revenues to grow at a CAGR of 9.2% to Rs 2330 crores by FY17
  • 6. Radio Segment Radio Segment -- Leveraging on the benefits of print media content and infrastructure 9MFY15 9MFY14 % increase YoY Radio Revenues 69.193 58.074 19% PBIT 21.28 13.37 59% PBIT margin 31% 23% 800 bps • It has the highest listenership in markets because of its rich source of content in the print media space •Operating Margins at 36% are ;highest in the industry as the company uses its print premises to set up a radio station. They also follow a centralized programming and accounting policy which helps reduced costs • Phase III strategy: The company is likely to spend Rs 150-175 crores as migration fee for existing licenses and an additional Rs 50 crores for acquisition of 25-40 stations; strategy is to open radio stations in cities which have DB has a strong foothold through its print media assets •In Phase II, DB Corp was the third highest bidder in most cases – not a very aggressive stance which has helped the company break-even faster • The relay of news content from AIR will enable higher rates and sticky listenership
  • 7. Radio Segment 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E ` Crore Revenue % growth Radio revenues to grow at a 3 yr CAGR of 23% to Rs 149 crore
  • 8. Digital Segment Digital Segment -- Thinking management; has envisaged the digital potential early • The digital business is being driven as an independent business unit with a strength of 400 people and 200 journalists. • Industry Potential: There are 800 mn mobile users in India, with 170 mn using smart phones which is expected to grow to 500 mn smart phone users in the coming 3 years. At present, out of the 170 mn smart phone users, 40 mn are in DB’s markets, which is expected to grow to 150 mn in 3 years. Hence, the potential, as the management envisages, is huge. • It has the highest listenership in markets because of its rich source of content in the print media space • Penetrative Strategy: The management classifies any city with 50,000 smart phones or higher as a focus city; they started with Bhopal as a pilot project for downloading the Dainik Bhaskar App. Around 1,75,000 users downloaded the app; the app is also equipped with a tracking device which helps understand the mobile usage behavior of a particular user. Also, the surveyor who helps download the app also screens the house of the customer to understand their lifestyle. 9MFY15 9MFY14 % increase YoY Digital Revenues 21.321 11.828 80% PBIT -4.90 -5.93 -17% PBIT margin -23% -50%
  • 9. Digital Segment • Current Stats: The company currently has a run rate of 18 mn unique visitors and 5 lakh app users. The company aims to increase their active app user base from 30% to 50% in the coming years. It also aims to expand their digital user base from 18 mn visitors to 80-90 mn visitors in the coming years which will help generate substantial advertising revenues. • Ad Rates: For ad rates, the company has set Facebook’s ad rates as the benchmark; Google makes Rs 100 per user, while Facebook makes Rs 35 per user. DB Corp currently earns Rs 20 per user per annum. • Vision: Vision is to take the digital revenues to Rs 300-400 crores ( 10% of total revenues) in the next 3-5 years from current revenues of Rs 30 crores. This business can earn a 50-60% EBITDA margin on a sustainable basis. Currently, it is operating at a minor loss due to the substantial investments.
  • 10. Digital Segment Digital revenues to grow at a 3 yr CAGR of 83% to Rs 116 crore 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E ` Crore Revenue % growth
  • 11. Financial Performance 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E ` Crore Revenue % growth Consol revenues to grow at a 3 yr CAGR of 12% to Rs 2596 crore -100.0% -80.0% -60.0% -40.0% -20.0% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E Print EBITDA margin Radio EBITDA margin Digital EBITDA margin EBITDA margin to expand from 27% in FY14 to 28.7% in FY17
  • 12. Financial Performance PAT margin and RoE to remain steady at 18% and 26% respectively 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E RoE PAT margin
  • 13. Valuation •We assign a PE of 21x to FY17 EPS of Rs 23.5 to arrive at a target price of Rs 494, implying an upside of 32% from the CMP of Rs 375. • The print segment continues to grow at a healthy pace. Further with costs under control and news print prices declining, the prospects of this segment are bright. •Radio and Digital, both high growth and high margin segments, are expected to do well given DB’s well thought out strategy. •We hence assign a multiple at the higher end of the PE band 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 Mar-11 Dec-11 Sep-12 Jun-13 Mar-14 Dec-14 CMP 15X 17X 18X 20X 22X
  • 14. Ventura Securities Limited Corporate Office: C-112/116, Bldg No. 1, Kailash Industrial Complex, Park Site, Vikhroli (W), Mumbai – 400079 This report is neither an offer nor a solicitation to purchase or sell securities. The information and views expressed herein are believed to be reliable, but no responsibility (or liability) is accepted for errors of fact or opinion. Writers and contributors may be trading in or have positions in the securities mentioned in their articles. Neither Ventura Securities Limited nor any of the contributors accepts any liability arising out of the above information/articles. Reproduction in whole or in part without written permission is prohibited. This report is for private circulation.