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Hardware as a commodity
                          NEXT Conference
                         the shape of things to come




Thursday, May 13, 2010
How intelligent spaces
                         hardware as commodity
                            and smart objects

                          will change the game
                             of everyday life

                         in the next 5 to 10 years
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Peter Kaptein
                         @PeterKaptein


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Peter Kaptein


                                  PROJECT

Thursday, May 13, 2010
- Smart spaces
                             - Sharing
                          - Open Source

Thursday, May 13, 2010
Revolution
                            Enabled by:
                             - the Web
                         - Current industry
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Key elements:
                          - Decentralization
                                - Quality
                            - Independence
                                - Control


Thursday, May 13, 2010
TRENDS
Thursday, May 13, 2010
1: Energy

Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
PRESS RELEASE
                            Home power plants project
                              unveiled in Germany
                                September 9, 2009

                         100.000 mini gas-fired power plants
                               in people's basements

                           produce as much electricity as
                         two nuclear reactors within a year

                              Lichtblick & Volkswagen


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Home made




Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         From this
Centralized




Thursday, May 13, 2010
                            To this
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         and this
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         and this
Home made




Thursday, May 13, 2010
                          Back to this
DIY energy


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
2: Computing

Thursday, May 13, 2010
The phone is a computer


Thursday, May 13, 2010
2010 phone   My 2001 laptop




        Google Nexus One       Dell Latitude L400
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Compare


Thursday, May 13, 2010
2010                   2001
                                      Winner!




       Price              Processor   RAM   Storage
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Same build year


Thursday, May 13, 2010
2010                    2010
                         Laptop        Winner!




       Price               Processor   RAM   Storage
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Shift


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Phone as Thin Client?


Thursday, May 13, 2010
2010                   2010
                                      Equal




                          Processor    RAM    Storage
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
3: DIY

Thursday, May 13, 2010
Hardware
                         as a commodity


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Mass storage
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Bread machine
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Beer machine
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Laser cutter
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         3D Printer
Lower costs / more choice


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Design - factory - ±30% of retail price
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Limited edition designer car, $50.000
Do It yourself stuff:


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         and bio-hacking
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Tailor made shoes
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         DIY Electronics
Production of (tastier) food
Thursday, May 13, 2010
4: Wireless

Thursday, May 13, 2010
Instant?


Thursday, May 13, 2010
§


Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Whole process is slow
Bottlenecks:
                             - Data connection
                           - Power consumption
                         - Time to resolve service
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Increasing range and speed


Thursday, May 13, 2010
3G
      384 Kbit/s - moving
      2 Mbit/s - stationary
            Mobile




Thursday, May 13, 2010
4G
                         ±50 x faster
                         100 Mbit/s - moving
                         1 Gbit/s - stationary
                                Mobile


               3G
Thursday, May 13, 2010
‘5G’
                                  Quantum
                               Entanglement?

                              1000 x faster?
                                 more?

               3G        4G
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Core goal?


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         This becomes instant
Wireless:
                         towards DIY Telephony?


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Then
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Now
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Next: “Google wireless”?
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         End of telephony?
End of centralized systems?
Thursday, May 13, 2010
End of centralized systems?
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Default way to call?
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         On our own networks?
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Beyond wireless?
PROJECT

Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Where we are involved
SMART
                         SPACES
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Elements:
                           1: Remote control
                               2: Sensors
                               3: Devices
                             4: Home cloud
                         5: Catering lazyness?
                           6: Being relevant
Thursday, May 13, 2010
1: Remote control

Thursday, May 13, 2010
Any of these devices - wireless
Thursday, May 13, 2010
2: Sensors

Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Smart sockets
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Smart showers
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Smart heating systems
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Sensors on windows
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         and doors
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         All visible here
3: Devices

Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Door openers
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Thermostats
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Multi media systems
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Controlled by this
4: Home Cloud

Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Why store things online?
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         your own datacenter
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         your own backups
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         your own web server
File
                                video
                                audio
                               E-mail
                              Domotica


Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         your own web services
5: Catering lazyness?


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
6: Being relevant

Thursday, May 13, 2010
solving a problem


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         For disabled people
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Bed ridden people
People prone to heart failure
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Or accidents
To increase safety


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Here
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Here
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         And here
SO
                         WHAT?
Thursday, May 13, 2010
What is it all about?


Thursday, May 13, 2010
before           after




Thursday, May 13, 2010
                          Reducing accidents
Better warnings
                         Auto shut down


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Reducing negative consequences
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Faster response
                          Better support


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Improving quality of life
More control
                         More independence
                           Better response
                         to individual needs
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Increasing choice
Tailor made stuff
                         For the individual


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Reducing cost
On
                            - production
                             - accidents
                          - consequences
                         - individual care
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
                         Better ways to create
Increasing amount of
                         high level DIY solutions


Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Peter Kaptein


                                 PROJECT
                         Thank you
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Thursday, May 13, 2010

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Roomware - Trends - Hardware as commodity