SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 16
Puerto Rico’s Fiscal and Economic Turnaround

  Luis G. Fortuño, Governor of Puerto Rico

  March 2012
Fiscal Achievements (2009-2011)

        Goals                          What we faced…                                What we accomplished…
                             There was no money to pay our first payroll        Full payment to suppliers
                             $756 million in unpaid checks to suppliers
                             Monumental deficit of $ 3,306 billion or 44%       Successful implementation of financing plan
                              of revenues                                         to reduce inherited deficits.
Implementation of the
Fiscal Stabilization Plan    Lack of credibility and transparency with          Almost 20% reduction in government
                              the investment community and rating                 spending. Cut deficit by 81%, to 7% of
                              agencies                                            revenues.


                             Puerto Rico's credit was at its lowest level in   Improvement in credit rating:
                              history, just above junk status
                                                                                 Moody’s: from Baa3 to Baa1 (two notches)
Improve Puerto Rico’s
    Credit Rating                                                                S&P: from BBB- to BBB (First credit rating
                                                                                  upgrade by S&P in the US since 2009)

                                                                                 Fitch: inaugural rating of BBB+
                             Our Retirement System has less than 8.5            We will increased employer contribution
                              cents per dollar obligation                         from 9.275% to 20.525% by year 2021

                             A system that was going to run out of liquid       Injected $162.5 million on capital
                              assets by 2014                                      appreciation bonds with maturity value of
 Save our Retirement
                                                                                  over $1.5 billion

                                                                                 Additional measures have been taken to
                                                                                  increase life of System past 2022 (i.e.
                                                                                  reduction of personal loans to members)
                                                                                                                                2
Improving fiscal and economic landscape by reforming
  budget practices

                                   $9,684                        $9,684
   Projected                                   $8,541
                                                                             $8,862            $9,077
                                                                                                          $8,359           $8,488
   Revenues                                                                                                                           $7,583
       vs.
     Actual                        Projected    Actual           Projected   Actual           Projected    Actual       Projected      Actual

   Revenues
                                        FY 2006                      FY 2007                       FY 2008                     FY 2009




                                                                                                                        $10,890
     FY 2009
                                                                                      $3,306                                Deficit
    Inherited
      Deficit                                    $7,583
(in millions of $)
                                                 Revenues                                Deficit                            Expenses



                                                                                                                               Estimate   Projection
                                               2.7%                                                                                         0.7%
                                 2.1%                     1.9%       0.5%
   Negative
   Economic                                                                      -1.2%                                           -1.0%
                                                                                              -2.9%
    Growth                                                                                                -4.0%     -3.8%
 (GNP Growth)
                                 2003          2004       2005       2006         2007        2008        2009      2010        2011        2012


  Source: Government’s Budget Reports, OMB, Treasury Department, and Planning Board.
                                                                                                                                                       3
Major credit rating agencies have recognized our fiscal
progress with positive ratings


            A       Negative
                    Outlook              Negative
                                A-       Outlook                                               BBB
                                                     BBB        BBB                Positive     Stable
                                                     Negative   Credit
                                                                                   Outlook     Outlook
                                                     Outlook    Watch
                                                                         BBB-

          2000      2001       2002      2003        2005       2006     2007    2010          2011




          Baa1                                                              A3
                                                                           Negative
         Positive                                                          Outlook
                     Stable
         Outlook
                     Outlook                        Baa2                                      Baa1
                                     Negative
                                     Outlook        Credit
                                                    Watch       Baa3


         2000        2001            2004           2006         2007       2010              2011

                                          Inaugural rating : BBB+ Stable Outlook

                                                                                                         4
We have achieved unparalleled fiscal improvement, reducing
           our deficit dramatically

       $3,306
       billion
      43.6%
                             36.8%                36.7%
                                                                    22.2%       19.9%        18.8%        15.1%
                                                                                                                        8.5%


   Puerto Rico             Arizona            California           Florida     Nevada      New Jersey     Illinois    Michigan




        45.2%                                                                                             $610
                             37.4%
                                                  29.3%                                                   million
                                                                    23.6%
                                                                                18.0%        14.9%
                                                                                                          7.1%          5.9%


       Nevada           New Jersey            California          Minnesota   Conecticut    Florida     Puerto Rico   Michigan



Source: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities & The Bond Buyer                                                                  5
Economic Development Achievements (2009-2011)

     Goals                 What we faced…                         What we accomplished…
                      Lack of sustainable plan for the        “Schools for the 21st Century: 100 schools (at
                       development of infrastructure            least 1 per municipality)
Implementation of
                                                               PR-22 – Toll Road Concession – DONE (private
  Public-Private      Limited lending capacity from the        investment of more than $1.5 billion
 Partnerships (P3)     government to promote infrastructure
                                                               Airport Concession - due in 2012
                       projects

                      Tax code, with effective top rate of    Implemented the largest tax cuts in Puerto Rico
                       41%, was stifling job creation and       history
                       entrepreneurship                        New, simplified tax code provides dramatic
                                                                reduction in tax rates across the board, both
Comprehensive Tax                                               individual and corporate. Average rates
                                                                reduced 50% for individuals, 30% for corporations.
    Reform
                                                               General Fund Net Revenues have increased
                                                                during FY2011, due to the “Positive Revenue”
                                                                effects of the Tax Reform


                      Unprecedented increase in housing       Successfully implemented Housing Initiative from
                       inventory                                Sept. 2010-Dec. 2012 that dramatically reduced
                                                                housing inventories in both existing and new
                                                                housing units
 Revamp sluggish
                                                               Initiative cuts property, capital gains taxes for
  housing sector                                                buyers, sellers and investors.

                                                               2011 vs. 2010 increase:
                                                                  New Homes Sales: 59.8%
                                                                  Existing Homes Sales : 26.5%                      6
Results – Economic Indicators point to positive
growth
  The results of Puerto Rico’s fiscal and economic policies are clear.
  Puerto Rico is experiencing the first positive growth in six years,
  including increased job creation, a sharp rise in home sales, an
  increase in consumer confidence reflected in climbing retail and
  auto sales, surging tourism numbers, record exports and new
  business creation, and tax reform that is generating results.
Total employment number in December 2011 increased by 28,000
                 when compared to the same period in 2010
       1,191                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2.6%
 2%
             1,170
                      1,153                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  -0.1%                                -0.3%
 0%                                         1,143
                                        1,139                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                -0.6%
                               1,127                                              1,125                                                                                                     -2.1% -1.8%
-2%                                                       1,117         1,118 1,117 1,113                                                                                                                                                -2.3%                                                                         -1.6%                 1,118
                                                              1,106,105
                                                                  1 1,103
                                                                                           -2.9% -2.9%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         -2.6%                     -2.2%
                                                                                        1,096
                                                                                            1,094                                                                                              1,097
                                                                                                                                                                                           1,094
                          -3.6%                                                                 1,089
                                                                                                        1,085                                                                      -3.4%          -3.1% -2.7%
                                                                                                                                                                                                   1,090
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1,087                                 1,090
-4%                                                                                                 1,081                                                                              1,083                               1,084   1,080
                                                                                                                                                                                   1,075                                                 1,077
                                                                                              -5.7%                                                                            1,068                       1,066
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1,061,062 1,062
                                                                                                                                                                                                               1,057
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       1
-6%                                -6.9%                                                                                     -4.9%                          -5.4%                                                                1,051
                                                                                                                         -5.5%
-8%                                                           -7.8%                         -7.0%
                             -8.8%
-10%
        Dec-08




                                                                                                  Oct-09


                                                                                                                    Dec-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                              Oct-10


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Dec-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Oct-11


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Dec-11
                 Jan-09




                                                              Jun-09




                                                                                                                             Jan-10




                                                                                                                                                                          Jun-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jan-11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jun-11
                                                                       Jul-09




                                                                                                                                                                                   Jul-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Jul-11
                          Feb-09
                                   Mar-09




                                                                                                                                      Feb-10
                                                                                                                                               Mar-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Feb-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Mar-11
                                            Apr-09




                                                                                                           Nov-09




                                                                                                                                                        Apr-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Nov-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Apr-11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Nov-11
                                                                                Aug-09
                                                                                         Sep-09




                                                                                                                                                                                            Aug-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Sep-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Aug-11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Sep-11
                                                     May-09




                                                                                                                                                                 May-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              May-11
                                                                                              Total Employment
                                                                                             ((Household Survey)                                                                                                       % Year-Over-Year Change




                     Source: Department of Labor
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          8
The Housing Initiative enacted in 2010 has jumpstarted
        Puerto Rico’s residential real estate market



From September 2010 -                                                                 From September 2010 -
November 2011 Overall Year-                                                           November 2011 Overall Year-
over-Year Change                                59.8%                                 over-Year Change




                                                                                                                      26.5%




                                                                                                        1.8%


             -5.8%                                                                                      US          Puerto Rico

                US                          Puerto Rico




        Source: Housing Finance Authority
        * Gradual incentive reduction subject to approval of “Housing Stimulus Act Transition Program
                                                                                                                                  9
In 2011, Puerto Rico experienced the highest hotel occupancy
ever on record




       Hotel Occupancy Rate                           Average Daily Rate (ADR)

                                       69.6%                         Chart Title
                                                 $ 190.50


                                                                                            $170.75
                  68.1%                                         $ 165.05       $ 163.17


67.5%


                                                                                        +4.6%

                                                            -13.4%
                                                                           -1.1%


CY 2009          CY 2010               CY 2011   CY 2008       CY 2009        CY 2010       CY 2011


 Source: Puerto Rico Tourism Company

                                                                                                      10
2011 also showed an increase in cruise ship passenger arrivals




                              Cruise Ship Passengers (Homeport)

                                                          398,023
                                                388,912


                                      319,918




                                      CY 2009   CY 2010   CY 2011


Source: Puerto Rico Ports Authority
                                                                    11
Consumer confidence levels are increasing




                                               $35,555*
$34,453                $34,858                                                           1.5%   91,052
                                                                       17.3%   89,745
                                    2%          $28,788
           1.54%



                                                             76,477
                                   2.7%




CY 2009                CY 2010           CY 2011 (Jan-Oct)   CY 2009           CY 2010          CY 2011



Source: Puerto Rico Trade and Export Company

                                                                                                          12
Recent export data shows a robust improvement since 2009




$66,000                                                         $48,000
                                                     $64,876
$64,000          +5.2%                     $63,954              $46,000     +9.5%              $45,266
                                                                                                                    $44,671
                                                                                                         $44,928
                                                                $44,000
$62,000
                              $60,119                 $61,657                     $42,630
                                                                $42,000
$60,000                                 $60,011 $60,807
                                                                $40,000                                             $40,810
                                                                                            $38,905
$58,000                                                                                                   $40,651
                                                                $38,000           $38,898
                            $56,543
$56,000      $55,175
                                                                $36,000
                    $55,080
$54,000                                                                       $33,750
                                                                $34,000
$52,000                                                         $32,000

$50,000                                                         $30,000
          2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                    2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011


   During fiscal year 2011, exports have increased by 5.2% when compared to fiscal year 2010, while
                                     imports have increased by 9.5%

   Source: Puerto Rico Planning Board
                                                                                                                              13
A total of 14,716 new corporations were created in calendar year
2011, reflecting a 14% increase compared to 2010




                                                                                                  14,716


13,731      -0.8%
                        13,628
            (-103)                                                                      +14.0%
                                                                                       (+1,805)
                                                               12,866   +0.3% 12,911
                                                                        (+45)
                                                      +6.6%
                                      -11.4% 12,071
                                                      (+795)
                                     (-1,557)




CY 2006                CY 2007              CY 2008        CY 2009           CY 2010          CY 2011


 Source: Puerto Rico Department of State
                                                                                                           14
The most comprehensive tax reform in the history of Puerto
Rico is generating the intended results

           January – November                             January – November
         Individual Tax Collections                    General Fund Net Revenues
 (in $ millions)                                (in $ millions)

                                                                        $7,724
           $2,489



                           $1,789
                                                         $6,918




            2010            2011                           2010          2011



     In spite of decreased Individual Tax Collections, General Fund Net Revenues
          have increased during the first 11 months of CY 2011, mainly due to the
                       “Positive Revenue” effects of the Tax Reform


                                                                                    15
Puerto Rico’s Fiscal and Economic Turnaround

  Luis G. Fortuño, Governor of Puerto Rico

  March 2012

More Related Content

What's hot

u.s.bancorp 1Q 2007 Earnings Release
u.s.bancorp 1Q 2007 Earnings Release u.s.bancorp 1Q 2007 Earnings Release
u.s.bancorp 1Q 2007 Earnings Release finance13
 
Relevant Fact – Swift & Co. Closing
Relevant Fact – Swift & Co. ClosingRelevant Fact – Swift & Co. Closing
Relevant Fact – Swift & Co. ClosingJBS RI
 
u.s.bancorp1Q 2008 Earnings Release
u.s.bancorp1Q 2008 Earnings Release   u.s.bancorp1Q 2008 Earnings Release
u.s.bancorp1Q 2008 Earnings Release finance13
 
AES 4Q 07 Review
AES 4Q 07 ReviewAES 4Q 07 Review
AES 4Q 07 Reviewfinance19
 
Overview of Recapitalization Plan
Overview of Recapitalization PlanOverview of Recapitalization Plan
Overview of Recapitalization PlanCNOServices
 
Overview of recapitalization plan
Overview of recapitalization planOverview of recapitalization plan
Overview of recapitalization planCNOServices
 
1st_Qtr_Report_2008
1st_Qtr_Report_20081st_Qtr_Report_2008
1st_Qtr_Report_2008finance50
 
November 2010 State Budget Forecast
November 2010 State Budget ForecastNovember 2010 State Budget Forecast
November 2010 State Budget ForecastPost-Bulletin Co.
 
american express Annual Reports 1998
american express Annual Reports 1998american express Annual Reports 1998
american express Annual Reports 1998finance8
 
Release usd 2_q11_final
Release usd 2_q11_finalRelease usd 2_q11_final
Release usd 2_q11_finalEmbraer RI
 
fifth third bancorp 5033603C-B0AA-45B0-B2AF-058D5B12B34C_FITB_Citi_012809
fifth third bancorp 5033603C-B0AA-45B0-B2AF-058D5B12B34C_FITB_Citi_012809fifth third bancorp 5033603C-B0AA-45B0-B2AF-058D5B12B34C_FITB_Citi_012809
fifth third bancorp 5033603C-B0AA-45B0-B2AF-058D5B12B34C_FITB_Citi_012809finance28
 
Release usd 1 q11 final
Release usd 1 q11 finalRelease usd 1 q11 final
Release usd 1 q11 finalEmbraer RI
 
Summer 2011 Newsletter (Business)
Summer 2011 Newsletter (Business)Summer 2011 Newsletter (Business)
Summer 2011 Newsletter (Business)mfissel
 
May 2010 Cu Trends Report
May 2010 Cu Trends ReportMay 2010 Cu Trends Report
May 2010 Cu Trends Reportdongross
 
GE-2009 Annual Meeting of Shareowners
GE-2009 Annual Meeting of ShareownersGE-2009 Annual Meeting of Shareowners
GE-2009 Annual Meeting of ShareownersManya Mohan
 
citigroup January 21, 2003 - Fourth Quarter Financial Supplement
citigroup January 21, 2003 - Fourth Quarter Financial Supplementcitigroup January 21, 2003 - Fourth Quarter Financial Supplement
citigroup January 21, 2003 - Fourth Quarter Financial SupplementQuarterlyEarningsReports
 
Paragon Shipping Q4 2012 results presentation
Paragon Shipping Q4 2012 results presentationParagon Shipping Q4 2012 results presentation
Paragon Shipping Q4 2012 results presentationTradeWindsnews
 

What's hot (19)

u.s.bancorp 1Q 2007 Earnings Release
u.s.bancorp 1Q 2007 Earnings Release u.s.bancorp 1Q 2007 Earnings Release
u.s.bancorp 1Q 2007 Earnings Release
 
Relevant Fact – Swift & Co. Closing
Relevant Fact – Swift & Co. ClosingRelevant Fact – Swift & Co. Closing
Relevant Fact – Swift & Co. Closing
 
u.s.bancorp1Q 2008 Earnings Release
u.s.bancorp1Q 2008 Earnings Release   u.s.bancorp1Q 2008 Earnings Release
u.s.bancorp1Q 2008 Earnings Release
 
AES 4Q 07 Review
AES 4Q 07 ReviewAES 4Q 07 Review
AES 4Q 07 Review
 
Overview of Recapitalization Plan
Overview of Recapitalization PlanOverview of Recapitalization Plan
Overview of Recapitalization Plan
 
Overview of recapitalization plan
Overview of recapitalization planOverview of recapitalization plan
Overview of recapitalization plan
 
1st_Qtr_Report_2008
1st_Qtr_Report_20081st_Qtr_Report_2008
1st_Qtr_Report_2008
 
November 2010 State Budget Forecast
November 2010 State Budget ForecastNovember 2010 State Budget Forecast
November 2010 State Budget Forecast
 
american express Annual Reports 1998
american express Annual Reports 1998american express Annual Reports 1998
american express Annual Reports 1998
 
2011 Pension Overview
2011 Pension Overview2011 Pension Overview
2011 Pension Overview
 
Release usd 2_q11_final
Release usd 2_q11_finalRelease usd 2_q11_final
Release usd 2_q11_final
 
fifth third bancorp 5033603C-B0AA-45B0-B2AF-058D5B12B34C_FITB_Citi_012809
fifth third bancorp 5033603C-B0AA-45B0-B2AF-058D5B12B34C_FITB_Citi_012809fifth third bancorp 5033603C-B0AA-45B0-B2AF-058D5B12B34C_FITB_Citi_012809
fifth third bancorp 5033603C-B0AA-45B0-B2AF-058D5B12B34C_FITB_Citi_012809
 
Release usd 1 q11 final
Release usd 1 q11 finalRelease usd 1 q11 final
Release usd 1 q11 final
 
Summer 2011 Newsletter (Business)
Summer 2011 Newsletter (Business)Summer 2011 Newsletter (Business)
Summer 2011 Newsletter (Business)
 
HSBC Chicago Investor Roadshow
HSBC 	Chicago Investor RoadshowHSBC 	Chicago Investor Roadshow
HSBC Chicago Investor Roadshow
 
May 2010 Cu Trends Report
May 2010 Cu Trends ReportMay 2010 Cu Trends Report
May 2010 Cu Trends Report
 
GE-2009 Annual Meeting of Shareowners
GE-2009 Annual Meeting of ShareownersGE-2009 Annual Meeting of Shareowners
GE-2009 Annual Meeting of Shareowners
 
citigroup January 21, 2003 - Fourth Quarter Financial Supplement
citigroup January 21, 2003 - Fourth Quarter Financial Supplementcitigroup January 21, 2003 - Fourth Quarter Financial Supplement
citigroup January 21, 2003 - Fourth Quarter Financial Supplement
 
Paragon Shipping Q4 2012 results presentation
Paragon Shipping Q4 2012 results presentationParagon Shipping Q4 2012 results presentation
Paragon Shipping Q4 2012 results presentation
 

Similar to Puerto rico's fiscal and economic turnaround

BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference
BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference
BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference finance2
 
Q1 2008 SunTrust Earnings Conference Call
Q1 2008 SunTrust Earnings Conference CallQ1 2008 SunTrust Earnings Conference Call
Q1 2008 SunTrust Earnings Conference Callfinance20
 
xcel energy AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruary
xcel energy  AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruaryxcel energy  AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruary
xcel energy AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruaryfinance26
 
xcel energy AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruary
xcel energy  AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruaryxcel energy  AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruary
xcel energy AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruaryfinance26
 
SLM EarningsPresentationJuly242008Final
SLM  EarningsPresentationJuly242008FinalSLM  EarningsPresentationJuly242008Final
SLM EarningsPresentationJuly242008Finalfinance42
 
shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...
shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...
shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...finance36
 
shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...
shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...
shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...finance36
 
ameren InvestorMeetings_0308
ameren InvestorMeetings_0308ameren InvestorMeetings_0308
ameren InvestorMeetings_0308finance30
 
JPMorgan Chase First Quarter 2008 Financial Results Conference Call
JPMorgan Chase First Quarter 2008 Financial Results Conference Call JPMorgan Chase First Quarter 2008 Financial Results Conference Call
JPMorgan Chase First Quarter 2008 Financial Results Conference Call finance2
 
BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference
	BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference	BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference
BancAnalysts Association of Boston ConferenceQuarterlyEarningsReports3
 
monsanto 01-08-08
monsanto 01-08-08monsanto 01-08-08
monsanto 01-08-08finance28
 
monsanto 01-08-08
monsanto 01-08-08monsanto 01-08-08
monsanto 01-08-08finance28
 
monsanto 01-08-08
monsanto 01-08-08monsanto 01-08-08
monsanto 01-08-08finance28
 
northrop grumman Q3 08 Earnings Presentation
northrop grumman	Q3 08 Earnings Presentationnorthrop grumman	Q3 08 Earnings Presentation
northrop grumman Q3 08 Earnings Presentationfinance8
 
northrop grumman Slide Presentation 2008 3rd
northrop grumman  Slide Presentation 2008 3rdnorthrop grumman  Slide Presentation 2008 3rd
northrop grumman Slide Presentation 2008 3rdfinance8
 
northrop grumman Slide Presentation 2007 3rd
northrop grumman  Slide Presentation 2007 3rdnorthrop grumman  Slide Presentation 2007 3rd
northrop grumman Slide Presentation 2007 3rdfinance8
 
SPX Corporation 4th Quarter and Full Year 2008 Results
SPX Corporation 4th Quarter and Full Year 2008 Results SPX Corporation 4th Quarter and Full Year 2008 Results
SPX Corporation 4th Quarter and Full Year 2008 Results finance40
 
csx 2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583
csx  2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583csx  2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583
csx 2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583finance27
 
csx 2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583
csx  2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583csx  2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583
csx 2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583finance27
 

Similar to Puerto rico's fiscal and economic turnaround (20)

BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference
BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference
BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference
 
Q1 2008 SunTrust Earnings Conference Call
Q1 2008 SunTrust Earnings Conference CallQ1 2008 SunTrust Earnings Conference Call
Q1 2008 SunTrust Earnings Conference Call
 
xcel energy AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruary
xcel energy  AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruaryxcel energy  AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruary
xcel energy AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruary
 
xcel energy AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruary
xcel energy  AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruaryxcel energy  AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruary
xcel energy AB7A4639-F266-4C1B-8624-A2DC294B5C02_2009_NEWFixedIncomeFebruary
 
SLM EarningsPresentationJuly242008Final
SLM  EarningsPresentationJuly242008FinalSLM  EarningsPresentationJuly242008Final
SLM EarningsPresentationJuly242008Final
 
shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...
shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...
shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...
 
shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...
shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...
shaw group 8C04E297-E3DD-4F1E-8BB2-56C5BB51CEDA_SGR_AnnualShareholdersMeeting...
 
ameren InvestorMeetings_0308
ameren InvestorMeetings_0308ameren InvestorMeetings_0308
ameren InvestorMeetings_0308
 
Investor Day 2012: Financial Overview
Investor Day 2012: Financial OverviewInvestor Day 2012: Financial Overview
Investor Day 2012: Financial Overview
 
JPMorgan Chase First Quarter 2008 Financial Results Conference Call
JPMorgan Chase First Quarter 2008 Financial Results Conference Call JPMorgan Chase First Quarter 2008 Financial Results Conference Call
JPMorgan Chase First Quarter 2008 Financial Results Conference Call
 
BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference
	BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference	BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference
BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference
 
monsanto 01-08-08
monsanto 01-08-08monsanto 01-08-08
monsanto 01-08-08
 
monsanto 01-08-08
monsanto 01-08-08monsanto 01-08-08
monsanto 01-08-08
 
monsanto 01-08-08
monsanto 01-08-08monsanto 01-08-08
monsanto 01-08-08
 
northrop grumman Q3 08 Earnings Presentation
northrop grumman	Q3 08 Earnings Presentationnorthrop grumman	Q3 08 Earnings Presentation
northrop grumman Q3 08 Earnings Presentation
 
northrop grumman Slide Presentation 2008 3rd
northrop grumman  Slide Presentation 2008 3rdnorthrop grumman  Slide Presentation 2008 3rd
northrop grumman Slide Presentation 2008 3rd
 
northrop grumman Slide Presentation 2007 3rd
northrop grumman  Slide Presentation 2007 3rdnorthrop grumman  Slide Presentation 2007 3rd
northrop grumman Slide Presentation 2007 3rd
 
SPX Corporation 4th Quarter and Full Year 2008 Results
SPX Corporation 4th Quarter and Full Year 2008 Results SPX Corporation 4th Quarter and Full Year 2008 Results
SPX Corporation 4th Quarter and Full Year 2008 Results
 
csx 2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583
csx  2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583csx  2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583
csx 2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583
 
csx 2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583
csx  2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583csx  2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583
csx 2007_BB&T_Conference-REF23583
 

Recently uploaded

complaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfk
complaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfkcomplaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfk
complaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfkbhavenpr
 
HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...
HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...
HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...Ismail Fahmi
 
Chandrayaan 3 Successful Moon Landing Mission.pdf
Chandrayaan 3 Successful Moon Landing Mission.pdfChandrayaan 3 Successful Moon Landing Mission.pdf
Chandrayaan 3 Successful Moon Landing Mission.pdfauroraaudrey4826
 
N Chandrababu Naidu Launches 'Praja Galam' As Part of TDP’s Election Campaign
N Chandrababu Naidu Launches 'Praja Galam' As Part of TDP’s Election CampaignN Chandrababu Naidu Launches 'Praja Galam' As Part of TDP’s Election Campaign
N Chandrababu Naidu Launches 'Praja Galam' As Part of TDP’s Election Campaignanjanibaddipudi1
 
VIP Girls Available Call or WhatsApp 9711199012
VIP Girls Available Call or WhatsApp 9711199012VIP Girls Available Call or WhatsApp 9711199012
VIP Girls Available Call or WhatsApp 9711199012ankitnayak356677
 
57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdf
57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdf57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdf
57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdfGerald Furnkranz
 
Brief biography of Julius Robert Oppenheimer
Brief biography of Julius Robert OppenheimerBrief biography of Julius Robert Oppenheimer
Brief biography of Julius Robert OppenheimerOmarCabrera39
 
AP Election Survey 2024: TDP-Janasena-BJP Alliance Set To Sweep Victory
AP Election Survey 2024: TDP-Janasena-BJP Alliance Set To Sweep VictoryAP Election Survey 2024: TDP-Janasena-BJP Alliance Set To Sweep Victory
AP Election Survey 2024: TDP-Janasena-BJP Alliance Set To Sweep Victoryanjanibaddipudi1
 
Top 10 Wealthiest People In The World.pdf
Top 10 Wealthiest People In The World.pdfTop 10 Wealthiest People In The World.pdf
Top 10 Wealthiest People In The World.pdfauroraaudrey4826
 
Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.
Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.
Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.NaveedKhaskheli1
 
Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...
Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...
Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...Axel Bruns
 
Referendum Party 2024 Election Manifesto
Referendum Party 2024 Election ManifestoReferendum Party 2024 Election Manifesto
Referendum Party 2024 Election ManifestoSABC News
 
Manipur-Book-Final-2-compressed.pdfsal'rpk
Manipur-Book-Final-2-compressed.pdfsal'rpkManipur-Book-Final-2-compressed.pdfsal'rpk
Manipur-Book-Final-2-compressed.pdfsal'rpkbhavenpr
 
Quiz for Heritage Indian including all the rounds
Quiz for Heritage Indian including all the roundsQuiz for Heritage Indian including all the rounds
Quiz for Heritage Indian including all the roundsnaxymaxyy
 
Opportunities, challenges, and power of media and information
Opportunities, challenges, and power of media and informationOpportunities, challenges, and power of media and information
Opportunities, challenges, and power of media and informationReyMonsales
 

Recently uploaded (15)

complaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfk
complaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfkcomplaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfk
complaint-ECI-PM-media-1-Chandru.pdfra;;prfk
 
HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...
HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...
HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...
 
Chandrayaan 3 Successful Moon Landing Mission.pdf
Chandrayaan 3 Successful Moon Landing Mission.pdfChandrayaan 3 Successful Moon Landing Mission.pdf
Chandrayaan 3 Successful Moon Landing Mission.pdf
 
N Chandrababu Naidu Launches 'Praja Galam' As Part of TDP’s Election Campaign
N Chandrababu Naidu Launches 'Praja Galam' As Part of TDP’s Election CampaignN Chandrababu Naidu Launches 'Praja Galam' As Part of TDP’s Election Campaign
N Chandrababu Naidu Launches 'Praja Galam' As Part of TDP’s Election Campaign
 
VIP Girls Available Call or WhatsApp 9711199012
VIP Girls Available Call or WhatsApp 9711199012VIP Girls Available Call or WhatsApp 9711199012
VIP Girls Available Call or WhatsApp 9711199012
 
57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdf
57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdf57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdf
57 Bidens Annihilation Nation Policy.pdf
 
Brief biography of Julius Robert Oppenheimer
Brief biography of Julius Robert OppenheimerBrief biography of Julius Robert Oppenheimer
Brief biography of Julius Robert Oppenheimer
 
AP Election Survey 2024: TDP-Janasena-BJP Alliance Set To Sweep Victory
AP Election Survey 2024: TDP-Janasena-BJP Alliance Set To Sweep VictoryAP Election Survey 2024: TDP-Janasena-BJP Alliance Set To Sweep Victory
AP Election Survey 2024: TDP-Janasena-BJP Alliance Set To Sweep Victory
 
Top 10 Wealthiest People In The World.pdf
Top 10 Wealthiest People In The World.pdfTop 10 Wealthiest People In The World.pdf
Top 10 Wealthiest People In The World.pdf
 
Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.
Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.
Global Terrorism and its types and prevention ppt.
 
Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...
Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...
Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...
 
Referendum Party 2024 Election Manifesto
Referendum Party 2024 Election ManifestoReferendum Party 2024 Election Manifesto
Referendum Party 2024 Election Manifesto
 
Manipur-Book-Final-2-compressed.pdfsal'rpk
Manipur-Book-Final-2-compressed.pdfsal'rpkManipur-Book-Final-2-compressed.pdfsal'rpk
Manipur-Book-Final-2-compressed.pdfsal'rpk
 
Quiz for Heritage Indian including all the rounds
Quiz for Heritage Indian including all the roundsQuiz for Heritage Indian including all the rounds
Quiz for Heritage Indian including all the rounds
 
Opportunities, challenges, and power of media and information
Opportunities, challenges, and power of media and informationOpportunities, challenges, and power of media and information
Opportunities, challenges, and power of media and information
 

Puerto rico's fiscal and economic turnaround

  • 1. Puerto Rico’s Fiscal and Economic Turnaround Luis G. Fortuño, Governor of Puerto Rico March 2012
  • 2. Fiscal Achievements (2009-2011) Goals What we faced… What we accomplished…  There was no money to pay our first payroll  Full payment to suppliers  $756 million in unpaid checks to suppliers  Monumental deficit of $ 3,306 billion or 44%  Successful implementation of financing plan of revenues to reduce inherited deficits. Implementation of the Fiscal Stabilization Plan  Lack of credibility and transparency with  Almost 20% reduction in government the investment community and rating spending. Cut deficit by 81%, to 7% of agencies revenues.  Puerto Rico's credit was at its lowest level in Improvement in credit rating: history, just above junk status  Moody’s: from Baa3 to Baa1 (two notches) Improve Puerto Rico’s Credit Rating  S&P: from BBB- to BBB (First credit rating upgrade by S&P in the US since 2009)  Fitch: inaugural rating of BBB+  Our Retirement System has less than 8.5  We will increased employer contribution cents per dollar obligation from 9.275% to 20.525% by year 2021  A system that was going to run out of liquid  Injected $162.5 million on capital assets by 2014 appreciation bonds with maturity value of Save our Retirement over $1.5 billion  Additional measures have been taken to increase life of System past 2022 (i.e. reduction of personal loans to members) 2
  • 3. Improving fiscal and economic landscape by reforming budget practices $9,684 $9,684 Projected $8,541 $8,862 $9,077 $8,359 $8,488 Revenues $7,583 vs. Actual Projected Actual Projected Actual Projected Actual Projected Actual Revenues FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 $10,890 FY 2009 $3,306 Deficit Inherited Deficit $7,583 (in millions of $) Revenues Deficit Expenses Estimate Projection 2.7% 0.7% 2.1% 1.9% 0.5% Negative Economic -1.2% -1.0% -2.9% Growth -4.0% -3.8% (GNP Growth) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Government’s Budget Reports, OMB, Treasury Department, and Planning Board. 3
  • 4. Major credit rating agencies have recognized our fiscal progress with positive ratings A Negative Outlook Negative A- Outlook BBB BBB BBB Positive Stable Negative Credit Outlook Outlook Outlook Watch BBB- 2000 2001 2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 2010 2011 Baa1 A3 Negative Positive Outlook Stable Outlook Outlook Baa2 Baa1 Negative Outlook Credit Watch Baa3 2000 2001 2004 2006 2007 2010 2011 Inaugural rating : BBB+ Stable Outlook 4
  • 5. We have achieved unparalleled fiscal improvement, reducing our deficit dramatically $3,306 billion 43.6% 36.8% 36.7% 22.2% 19.9% 18.8% 15.1% 8.5% Puerto Rico Arizona California Florida Nevada New Jersey Illinois Michigan 45.2% $610 37.4% 29.3% million 23.6% 18.0% 14.9% 7.1% 5.9% Nevada New Jersey California Minnesota Conecticut Florida Puerto Rico Michigan Source: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities & The Bond Buyer 5
  • 6. Economic Development Achievements (2009-2011) Goals What we faced… What we accomplished…  Lack of sustainable plan for the  “Schools for the 21st Century: 100 schools (at development of infrastructure least 1 per municipality) Implementation of  PR-22 – Toll Road Concession – DONE (private Public-Private  Limited lending capacity from the investment of more than $1.5 billion Partnerships (P3) government to promote infrastructure  Airport Concession - due in 2012 projects  Tax code, with effective top rate of  Implemented the largest tax cuts in Puerto Rico 41%, was stifling job creation and history entrepreneurship  New, simplified tax code provides dramatic reduction in tax rates across the board, both Comprehensive Tax individual and corporate. Average rates reduced 50% for individuals, 30% for corporations. Reform  General Fund Net Revenues have increased during FY2011, due to the “Positive Revenue” effects of the Tax Reform  Unprecedented increase in housing  Successfully implemented Housing Initiative from inventory Sept. 2010-Dec. 2012 that dramatically reduced housing inventories in both existing and new housing units Revamp sluggish  Initiative cuts property, capital gains taxes for housing sector buyers, sellers and investors.  2011 vs. 2010 increase:  New Homes Sales: 59.8%  Existing Homes Sales : 26.5% 6
  • 7. Results – Economic Indicators point to positive growth The results of Puerto Rico’s fiscal and economic policies are clear. Puerto Rico is experiencing the first positive growth in six years, including increased job creation, a sharp rise in home sales, an increase in consumer confidence reflected in climbing retail and auto sales, surging tourism numbers, record exports and new business creation, and tax reform that is generating results.
  • 8. Total employment number in December 2011 increased by 28,000 when compared to the same period in 2010 1,191 2.6% 2% 1,170 1,153 -0.1% -0.3% 0% 1,143 1,139 -0.6% 1,127 1,125 -2.1% -1.8% -2% 1,117 1,118 1,117 1,113 -2.3% -1.6% 1,118 1,106,105 1 1,103 -2.9% -2.9% -2.6% -2.2% 1,096 1,094 1,097 1,094 -3.6% 1,089 1,085 -3.4% -3.1% -2.7% 1,090 1,087 1,090 -4% 1,081 1,083 1,084 1,080 1,075 1,077 -5.7% 1,068 1,066 1,061,062 1,062 1,057 1 -6% -6.9% -4.9% -5.4% 1,051 -5.5% -8% -7.8% -7.0% -8.8% -10% Dec-08 Oct-09 Dec-09 Oct-10 Dec-10 Oct-11 Dec-11 Jan-09 Jun-09 Jan-10 Jun-10 Jan-11 Jun-11 Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11 Feb-09 Mar-09 Feb-10 Mar-10 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-09 Nov-09 Apr-10 Nov-10 Apr-11 Nov-11 Aug-09 Sep-09 Aug-10 Sep-10 Aug-11 Sep-11 May-09 May-10 May-11 Total Employment ((Household Survey) % Year-Over-Year Change Source: Department of Labor 8
  • 9. The Housing Initiative enacted in 2010 has jumpstarted Puerto Rico’s residential real estate market From September 2010 - From September 2010 - November 2011 Overall Year- November 2011 Overall Year- over-Year Change 59.8% over-Year Change 26.5% 1.8% -5.8% US Puerto Rico US Puerto Rico Source: Housing Finance Authority * Gradual incentive reduction subject to approval of “Housing Stimulus Act Transition Program 9
  • 10. In 2011, Puerto Rico experienced the highest hotel occupancy ever on record Hotel Occupancy Rate Average Daily Rate (ADR) 69.6% Chart Title $ 190.50 $170.75 68.1% $ 165.05 $ 163.17 67.5% +4.6% -13.4% -1.1% CY 2009 CY 2010 CY 2011 CY 2008 CY 2009 CY 2010 CY 2011 Source: Puerto Rico Tourism Company 10
  • 11. 2011 also showed an increase in cruise ship passenger arrivals Cruise Ship Passengers (Homeport) 398,023 388,912 319,918 CY 2009 CY 2010 CY 2011 Source: Puerto Rico Ports Authority 11
  • 12. Consumer confidence levels are increasing $35,555* $34,453 $34,858 1.5% 91,052 17.3% 89,745 2% $28,788 1.54% 76,477 2.7% CY 2009 CY 2010 CY 2011 (Jan-Oct) CY 2009 CY 2010 CY 2011 Source: Puerto Rico Trade and Export Company 12
  • 13. Recent export data shows a robust improvement since 2009 $66,000 $48,000 $64,876 $64,000 +5.2% $63,954 $46,000 +9.5% $45,266 $44,671 $44,928 $44,000 $62,000 $60,119 $61,657 $42,630 $42,000 $60,000 $60,011 $60,807 $40,000 $40,810 $38,905 $58,000 $40,651 $38,000 $38,898 $56,543 $56,000 $55,175 $36,000 $55,080 $54,000 $33,750 $34,000 $52,000 $32,000 $50,000 $30,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 During fiscal year 2011, exports have increased by 5.2% when compared to fiscal year 2010, while imports have increased by 9.5% Source: Puerto Rico Planning Board 13
  • 14. A total of 14,716 new corporations were created in calendar year 2011, reflecting a 14% increase compared to 2010 14,716 13,731 -0.8% 13,628 (-103) +14.0% (+1,805) 12,866 +0.3% 12,911 (+45) +6.6% -11.4% 12,071 (+795) (-1,557) CY 2006 CY 2007 CY 2008 CY 2009 CY 2010 CY 2011 Source: Puerto Rico Department of State 14
  • 15. The most comprehensive tax reform in the history of Puerto Rico is generating the intended results January – November January – November Individual Tax Collections General Fund Net Revenues (in $ millions) (in $ millions) $7,724 $2,489 $1,789 $6,918 2010 2011 2010 2011 In spite of decreased Individual Tax Collections, General Fund Net Revenues have increased during the first 11 months of CY 2011, mainly due to the “Positive Revenue” effects of the Tax Reform 15
  • 16. Puerto Rico’s Fiscal and Economic Turnaround Luis G. Fortuño, Governor of Puerto Rico March 2012

Editor's Notes

  1. Calendar year
  2. Calendar year and MONTHS translate
  3. CONCRETE SALES - calendar year