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Myocardial Infarction and Sudden
Cardiac Death in Olmsted County,
Minnesota, Before and After Smoke-
Free Workplace Laws
  Jon O. Ebbert, MD, MSc; Richard D. Hurt, MD; Susan A.
  Weston, MS; Sheila M. McNallan, MPH; Ivana T. Croghan,
PhD; Darrell R. Schroeder, MS; Véronique L. Roger, MD, MPH

                       Mayo Clinic
Disclosures
• Consultant for GSK, maker of Nicorette™ gum
 & Nicorette™ lozenge
• Received medication for clinical trialsfrom
 Pfizer, maker of Chantix™
• Off-Label Use: None
• Sponsor: ClearWay
Whincup PH, et al. BMJ. 2004 Jul 24;329(7459):200-5.
California EPA Report on Environmental
Tobacco Smoke – 2006
Excess Morbidity and Mortality in USA
Pregnancy
Low birth weight infants     24,500
Pre Term Delivery            71,900
Children
Asthma Episodes              202,300
Lower Respiratory Illness    150,000-300,000
Otitis Media Office Visits   790,000
SIDS                         430
Adults
Cardiac Deaths               46,000 (22,700-69,600)
Lung Cancer Deaths           3,400
Smoke-Free Legislation Reduces Coronary
Events
• Meta-analysis assessing smoke-free legislation
 and acute coronary events
• 17 eligible studies
   • 10 from North America
   • 6 from Europe and 1 from Australasia
    provided 35 estimates of effect size.
• Pooled RR = 0.90 (95% CI 0.86 to 0.94)
Goals of Project
• To evaluate the population impact of smoke-
 free laws on the incidence of Myocardial
 Infarction (MI) and Sudden Cardiac Death
 (SCD) in Olmsted County during the 18-month
 calendar period before and after
 implementation of each smoke-free ordinance.
Olmsted County, MN
• Smoke free ordinances implemented on two
 different dates
  • January 1, 2002: smoke-free restaurant law
     (Ordinance 1)
  • October 1, 2007: all workplaces became
     smoke-free (Ordinance 2)
Methods
• The Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP)
   • Medical records linkage system
   • Links and archives medical records of
      virtually all persons residing in Olmsted
      County, Minnesota
  •   Identifies patients through their outpatient
      (office, urgent care, or emergency
      department) and hospital contacts across all
      local medical providers
Methods (Cont.)
• Myocardial infarction (MI)
   • International Classification of Disease, Ninth
       Revision code 410 (acute MI)
   •   Standard algorithms integrating cardiac pain,
       electrocardiographic (ECG) and biomarker data
        • CK & CKMB until 2000, troponin thereafter
• Sudden cardiac death
   • Out-of-hospital deaths with the primary cause of
       death classified as coronary heart disease on the
       death certificate
   •   International Classification of Diseases, Ninth
       Revision codes 410-414
Methods (Cont.)
• Medical records were abstracted at time of event
• Clinical diagnoses used for hypertension,
  hyperlipidemia, diabetes, familial coronary heart
  disease, and smoking status.
• Statistics:
   • Age-and-sex-adjusted incidence rates of MI and
       SCD were calculated for the 18 months before and
       18 months after law implementation
   •   Events were numerators & denominators were
       Olmsted County population as determined by
       census data for the year 2000 and extrapolated
   •   Rates were standardized to the age distribution of
       the 2000 US population
Results: Patient Characteristics
                                                            MI                                   SCD
                                                         (N=768)                               (N=570*)
      Age (years), mean (SD)                            67.7 (15.2                            77.7 (14.9)
             Female, n(%)                              285 (37.1)                             252 (44.2)
             Hypertension
                  n(%)                                 513 (66.8)                             371 (72.6)
           Current smoking
                  n(%)                                 469 (61.1)                             270 (52.8)
          Diabetes mellitus
                  n(%)                                 175 (22.8)                              76 (15.0)
      Body mass index (kg/m2)                          173 (22.5)                             127 (25.0)
         Normal (<25), n(%)                            208 (27.1)                             203 (40.3)
      Overweight (25-30), n(%)                         289 (37.6)                             163(32.3)
         Obese (≥30), n(%)                             271 (25.3)                             138 (27.4)
 Familial Coronary Heart Disease                        61 (21.2)                              62 (12.4)
               n(%)
*Age and sex were obtained from the death certificates. For all other characteristics, data are missing for 52 patients
              who did not provide consent for the use of their medical records for research purposes.
Results: Incidence Rates & Relative Risks
     of MI Prior and Post Smoke-free Laws

                                       Prior                       Post

                       N     Rate per 100,000      N     Rate per 100,000      Adjusted RR* (95%
                             (95% CI)*                   (95% CI)              CI), P
MI
Ordinance #1           233   186.7 (162.5-210.8)   215   167.9 (145.3-190.5)   0.89 (0.74-1.08), 0.24

Ordinance #2           177   129.4 (11.02-148.5)   143   102.2 (85.3-119.0)    0.79 (0.63-0.98), 0.04

Pre-Ordinance #1 vs.
Post –Ordinance #2     233   186.7 (162.5-510.8)   143   102.2 (85.3-119.0)    0.54 (0.44-0.67), <0.01
Results: Incidence Rates & Relative Risks
    of SCD Prior and Post Smoke-free Laws

                                           Prior                        Post

                            N   Rate per 100,000        N     Rate per 100,000     Adjusted RR* (95%
                                (95% CI)*                     (95% CI)             CI), P
SCD
Ordinance #1            199     152.5 (131.1-174.0)     148   112.2 (93.9-130.4)   0.72 (0.58-0.89), <0.01

Ordinance #2            111     78.0 (63.4-92.7)        112   76.6 (62.2-91.0)     0.99 (0.76-1.28,) 0.91

Pre-Ordinance #1 vs.
Post –Ordinance #2      199     152.5 (131.100-174.0)   112   76.6 (62.2-91.0)     0.50 (0.40-0.63), <0.01
*Adjusted for age and sex
Prevalence of self-reported high cholesterol, diabetes,
                        hypertension and obesity in Minnesota, 1999-2010 from
                        Behavioral Risk Factors Surveillance System (BRFSS)

                                                        High Cholesterol                                                                                               Hypertension

                 40                                                                                                           25
                 35
Prevalence (%)




                                                                                                                              20




                                                                                                             Prevalence (%)
                 30
                 25                                                                                                           15
                 20
                 15                                                                                                           10
                 10
                                                                                                                               5
                  5
                  0                                                                                                            0
                       1999    2000    2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010                         1999   2000   2001   2002    2003    2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010

                                                               Year                                                                                                        Year




                                                            Diabetes*                                                                                          Obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2)

                 8                                                                                                            30
                 7
                                                                                                                              25
Prevalence (%)




                 6                                                                                           Prevalence (%)
                 5                                                                                                            20
                 4                                                                                                            15
                 3                                                                                                            10
                 2
                 1                                                                                                            5
                 0                                                                                                            0
                      1999    2000    2001    2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010                         1999   2000   2001   2002    2003    2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010
                                                              Year                                                                                                        Year
Prevalence of Self-Reported Current Smoking in
Minnesota, 1999-2010 from Behavioral Risk Factors
                               Surveillance System (BRFSS)


                                                     Current Smokers

                   25
                   20
  Prevalence (%)




                   15

                   10
                   5
                   0
                        1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010

                                                             Year
Conclusions

• The implementation of smoke-free ordinances
 was associated with significant decreases in MI
 (46% reduction) and SCD (50% reduction)
• The magnitude is not explained by community
 co-interventions or changes in known
 cardiovascular risk factors.
• SHS exposure should be considered a
 modifiable risk factor for MI and SCD.

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Myocardial infarction and sudden cardiac death in olmsted 10 19_11

  • 1. Myocardial Infarction and Sudden Cardiac Death in Olmsted County, Minnesota, Before and After Smoke- Free Workplace Laws Jon O. Ebbert, MD, MSc; Richard D. Hurt, MD; Susan A. Weston, MS; Sheila M. McNallan, MPH; Ivana T. Croghan, PhD; Darrell R. Schroeder, MS; Véronique L. Roger, MD, MPH Mayo Clinic
  • 2. Disclosures • Consultant for GSK, maker of Nicorette™ gum & Nicorette™ lozenge • Received medication for clinical trialsfrom Pfizer, maker of Chantix™ • Off-Label Use: None • Sponsor: ClearWay
  • 3. Whincup PH, et al. BMJ. 2004 Jul 24;329(7459):200-5.
  • 4. California EPA Report on Environmental Tobacco Smoke – 2006 Excess Morbidity and Mortality in USA Pregnancy Low birth weight infants 24,500 Pre Term Delivery 71,900 Children Asthma Episodes 202,300 Lower Respiratory Illness 150,000-300,000 Otitis Media Office Visits 790,000 SIDS 430 Adults Cardiac Deaths 46,000 (22,700-69,600) Lung Cancer Deaths 3,400
  • 5. Smoke-Free Legislation Reduces Coronary Events • Meta-analysis assessing smoke-free legislation and acute coronary events • 17 eligible studies • 10 from North America • 6 from Europe and 1 from Australasia provided 35 estimates of effect size. • Pooled RR = 0.90 (95% CI 0.86 to 0.94)
  • 6. Goals of Project • To evaluate the population impact of smoke- free laws on the incidence of Myocardial Infarction (MI) and Sudden Cardiac Death (SCD) in Olmsted County during the 18-month calendar period before and after implementation of each smoke-free ordinance.
  • 7. Olmsted County, MN • Smoke free ordinances implemented on two different dates • January 1, 2002: smoke-free restaurant law (Ordinance 1) • October 1, 2007: all workplaces became smoke-free (Ordinance 2)
  • 8. Methods • The Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP) • Medical records linkage system • Links and archives medical records of virtually all persons residing in Olmsted County, Minnesota • Identifies patients through their outpatient (office, urgent care, or emergency department) and hospital contacts across all local medical providers
  • 9. Methods (Cont.) • Myocardial infarction (MI) • International Classification of Disease, Ninth Revision code 410 (acute MI) • Standard algorithms integrating cardiac pain, electrocardiographic (ECG) and biomarker data • CK & CKMB until 2000, troponin thereafter • Sudden cardiac death • Out-of-hospital deaths with the primary cause of death classified as coronary heart disease on the death certificate • International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision codes 410-414
  • 10. Methods (Cont.) • Medical records were abstracted at time of event • Clinical diagnoses used for hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, familial coronary heart disease, and smoking status. • Statistics: • Age-and-sex-adjusted incidence rates of MI and SCD were calculated for the 18 months before and 18 months after law implementation • Events were numerators & denominators were Olmsted County population as determined by census data for the year 2000 and extrapolated • Rates were standardized to the age distribution of the 2000 US population
  • 11. Results: Patient Characteristics MI SCD (N=768) (N=570*) Age (years), mean (SD) 67.7 (15.2 77.7 (14.9) Female, n(%) 285 (37.1) 252 (44.2) Hypertension n(%) 513 (66.8) 371 (72.6) Current smoking n(%) 469 (61.1) 270 (52.8) Diabetes mellitus n(%) 175 (22.8) 76 (15.0) Body mass index (kg/m2) 173 (22.5) 127 (25.0) Normal (<25), n(%) 208 (27.1) 203 (40.3) Overweight (25-30), n(%) 289 (37.6) 163(32.3) Obese (≥30), n(%) 271 (25.3) 138 (27.4) Familial Coronary Heart Disease 61 (21.2) 62 (12.4) n(%) *Age and sex were obtained from the death certificates. For all other characteristics, data are missing for 52 patients who did not provide consent for the use of their medical records for research purposes.
  • 12. Results: Incidence Rates & Relative Risks of MI Prior and Post Smoke-free Laws Prior Post N Rate per 100,000 N Rate per 100,000 Adjusted RR* (95% (95% CI)* (95% CI) CI), P MI Ordinance #1 233 186.7 (162.5-210.8) 215 167.9 (145.3-190.5) 0.89 (0.74-1.08), 0.24 Ordinance #2 177 129.4 (11.02-148.5) 143 102.2 (85.3-119.0) 0.79 (0.63-0.98), 0.04 Pre-Ordinance #1 vs. Post –Ordinance #2 233 186.7 (162.5-510.8) 143 102.2 (85.3-119.0) 0.54 (0.44-0.67), <0.01
  • 13. Results: Incidence Rates & Relative Risks of SCD Prior and Post Smoke-free Laws Prior Post N Rate per 100,000 N Rate per 100,000 Adjusted RR* (95% (95% CI)* (95% CI) CI), P SCD Ordinance #1 199 152.5 (131.1-174.0) 148 112.2 (93.9-130.4) 0.72 (0.58-0.89), <0.01 Ordinance #2 111 78.0 (63.4-92.7) 112 76.6 (62.2-91.0) 0.99 (0.76-1.28,) 0.91 Pre-Ordinance #1 vs. Post –Ordinance #2 199 152.5 (131.100-174.0) 112 76.6 (62.2-91.0) 0.50 (0.40-0.63), <0.01 *Adjusted for age and sex
  • 14. Prevalence of self-reported high cholesterol, diabetes, hypertension and obesity in Minnesota, 1999-2010 from Behavioral Risk Factors Surveillance System (BRFSS) High Cholesterol Hypertension 40 25 35 Prevalence (%) 20 Prevalence (%) 30 25 15 20 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year Year Diabetes* Obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) 8 30 7 25 Prevalence (%) 6 Prevalence (%) 5 20 4 15 3 10 2 1 5 0 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year Year
  • 15. Prevalence of Self-Reported Current Smoking in Minnesota, 1999-2010 from Behavioral Risk Factors Surveillance System (BRFSS) Current Smokers 25 20 Prevalence (%) 15 10 5 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year
  • 16. Conclusions • The implementation of smoke-free ordinances was associated with significant decreases in MI (46% reduction) and SCD (50% reduction) • The magnitude is not explained by community co-interventions or changes in known cardiovascular risk factors. • SHS exposure should be considered a modifiable risk factor for MI and SCD.