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Market Forecast 2012 –  Expected Geographic Region & End-Use Market 2012 vs. 2011 Source: US Census Bureau, Scotia Capital , JD Power, EuroConstruct, Forecast, Global Insight, Alcoa NA Extrusion demand expected in increase 5-7%, which will primarily be driven by overall economic conditions. Distribution Industrial Com. B&C Res. B&C Transport Automotive North America 0% to 5% 0% to 5% 0% to -5% 0% to 5% 5% to 10% 0% to 5% Europe 0% to 5% 0% to 5% 0% to -5% 0% to -10% 0% to 5% 0% to 5% China N/A 10% to 15% 10% to 15% N/A 5% to 10% 5% to 10%
Market Forecast 2012 Industrial/Distribution ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],For the most  part, extrusion demand in this area will be driven by overall economic conditions.
Market Forecast 2012 Building & Construction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],In this area demand will be driven by new housing starts, which will  marginalized by the continued erosion of aluminum as the material of choice.
Market Forecast 2012 Transportation & Automotive ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Transportation continues to show the aluminum industry to benefits of driving an increase in aluminum content in applications .  Our industry must take note of this and build on this success!
The aluminum industry must find new ways to promote the usage of aluminum.  Otherwise we will continue to be hostage to unpredictable economic cycles. Which path will  WE  choose? 2020 Estimate based on: 25 lb per Car increase in Auto Average Housing build units – Return to 2003 % of alum windows 50% of Solar projection with middle range alum %

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Jeff Henderson Aluminum Extrusion Market Outlook Presentation Platts 2012

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  • 2. Market Forecast 2012 – Expected Geographic Region & End-Use Market 2012 vs. 2011 Source: US Census Bureau, Scotia Capital , JD Power, EuroConstruct, Forecast, Global Insight, Alcoa NA Extrusion demand expected in increase 5-7%, which will primarily be driven by overall economic conditions. Distribution Industrial Com. B&C Res. B&C Transport Automotive North America 0% to 5% 0% to 5% 0% to -5% 0% to 5% 5% to 10% 0% to 5% Europe 0% to 5% 0% to 5% 0% to -5% 0% to -10% 0% to 5% 0% to 5% China N/A 10% to 15% 10% to 15% N/A 5% to 10% 5% to 10%
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  • 6. The aluminum industry must find new ways to promote the usage of aluminum. Otherwise we will continue to be hostage to unpredictable economic cycles. Which path will WE choose? 2020 Estimate based on: 25 lb per Car increase in Auto Average Housing build units – Return to 2003 % of alum windows 50% of Solar projection with middle range alum %