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December 22, 2008

Outfront
INSURANCE




                                    Mutual Respect
     The sharpshooters at publicly owned insurers used to scoff at their stodgy
                 competitors, the mutual insurers. Not anymore.
                      By Bernard Condon and Daniel Fisher


M
          UTUAL LIFE INSURERS ARE STUCK IN THE MUD.               mutuals have done plenty of stupid things over time. But
          IF you’ve pizzazz, you work for a stockholder-          he reserves his 2008 booby prize for their public rivals, sev-
           owned insurer. That was the refrain from stock         eral of which he has downgraded this year. He puts the blame
insurers a few decades ago.                                       for their missteps squarely on the need to satisfy Wall Street
    Without the shareholders’ lash to whip them into shape        and its lust for quarterly profit gains. Public companies felt
and stock with which to buy rivals, policyholder-owned in-        they had to report a return on equity of at least 15%. “You
surers were sure to get crushed by publicly traded rivals.        just can’t do that in a mature business without taking too
So went the argument, and so began a flight from mutual           much risk,” Fliegelman says.
ownership that included such stalwarts as Equitable, Pru-              Two years ago mutually owned New York Life began fear-
dential and Metropolitan.                                         ing that the thin premiums corporate bonds were paying
    Who’s sneering now? The mutuals that refused to switch        over Treasurys didn’t justify the added risk and began
over. The stocks of publicly held life insurers have fallen 63%   shifting assets into government bonds. The $20 million a
this year. They had a little too much pizzazz, in the form        year in income it lost as a result would have left sharehold-
of corporate bonds, mortgage securities and risky bets on         ers howling at publicly held insurers, says Solomon
annuities.                                                        Goldfinger, a New York Life senior vice president.
    With their survival on the line, publicly traded insurers          Publicly held firms like MetLife, Prudential Financial and
are scrambling for cash by cutting dividends and issuing          Hartford Financial have been forced to recognize billions of
new shares (diluting existing investors), begging regulators      dollars in losses this year on mortgage securities, corporate
for a relaxation of capital requirements and lobbying Wash-       bonds and real estate. They’ve also been clobbered by prom-
ington for a cut of the $700 billion Wall Street bailout.         ises they made to pay variable annuity holders minimum re-
    Their mutually owned rivals haven’t asked for a dime.         turns in the event that stocks fared badly.
Their statutory surpluses (the regulatory counterpart to book          Variable annuities are mutual funds (often stock funds)
value) have held steady or even increased. Some are an-           wrapped inside life insurance policies that endow them with
nouncing plans to pay out near-record dividends to poli-          a tax deferral. As competition heated up for this lucrative,
cyholders.                                                        fee-driven business,publicly listed insurers began making brash
    “We’re Main Street. Not Wall Street,” brags an ad from        guarantees of minimum returns to backstop the stock funds
mutually owned New York Life. Translation: We’re better           in which the customers’ money was invested. Following Oc-
off than swashbucklers like American International Group.         tober’s stock market shellacking, more than half of Hartford’s
                                                                                                                                       RYAN HESHKA FOR FORBES




    “We’re not seen as stodgy and slow anymore,”says Den-         U.S. variable annuity clients are sitting on portfolios worth
nis Manning, chief executive of mutually owned Guardian           less than the company has guaranteed to pay them. That has
Life.                                                             caused its potential annuity-linked liabilities to balloon to $3.9
    Moody’s life insurance analyst Arthur Fliegelman says         billion from $184 million at the beginning of the year.
Outfront
   Hartford noted in a November securities filing that an
S&P 500 decline to 900 would cause its capital to fall by an-
                                                                                    Policy Differences
                                                                                    Economic tumult aside, top mutually owned insurers have
other $1.5 billion; the index recently closed at 816. Hartford’s                    increased book values this year. Not so their public rivals.
shares are off 90% since the beginning of September and                                                              BOOK            % CHANGE      A.M. BEST
now trade for 18% of book value.                                                    COMPANY                       VALUE ($BIL)1      THIS YEAR      RATING
    Soon after going public in 2001, Prudential Financial                           MUTUALS
bought Skandia,the largest variable annuity distributor.It then                     Mass Mutual                        $8.4                5%         A++
acquired similar units from Cigna and Allstate. Pru Chief Ex-                       New York Life                      12.0                0          A++
ecutive Arthur Ryan assured shareholders of“double-digit re-                        Northwestern Mutual                12.4                2          A++
turns.” Instead,they got triple-digit losses.As stocks have fallen,                 PUBLICS    2

and Pru’s guarantees kicked in, its annuities unit swung to a                       Hartford Life                       4.7             –19            A+
$307 million operating loss in the third quarter from a $205
                                                                                    Metropolitan Life                  12.0              –9            A+
million profit a year earlier.
                                                                                    Prudential Life                     3.8             –46            A+
    The mutuals, meanwhile, are sticking largely to sales of                        1Statutory surplus and capital as of Sept. 30. 2Surplus and capital at
whole life—policies with a death benefit and relatively stingy                      each insurer’s biggest operating subsidiary. Source: SNL Financial.
payout guarantees. Guardian Life says its individual life in-
surance sales rose 14% in October from a year earlier. New                       surers, according to Etti Baranoff, a professor of insurance
York Life says its individual life sales are growing at dou-                     at Virginia Commonwealth University and former Texas
ble-digit annual rates, too.                                                     insurance regulator. It’s just that mutuals don’t have the
    David Schiff, an industry gadfly and publisher of Schiff’s                   same incentives to boost net income.
Insurance Observer, has been warning since the late 1990s that                       Baranoff also notes that mutuals don’t have to file fi-
earnings-per-share pressures would drive insurers to do dumb                     nancials under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles.
things. He was right. Since going public Prudential has spent                    Those principles require public companies to mark down
$11 billion buying back shares at an average cost of $63, Schiff                 investment securities, some of them distressed and thinly
estimates. Those shares are now worth $19. Hartford spent                        traded, to current market values. The rule has given rise to
$2 billion the past two years buying back stock.That’s as much                   $40 billion in unrealized losses as of Sept. 30.
as the entire company is now worth.                                                  Perhaps the market has overcorrected, and shares of
    The mutuals aren’t geniuses at investing—proportion-                         Hartford and Prudential are a bargain. But their mutual ri-
ally they own more mortgage securities than do public in-                        vals will be snickering for quite a while.                a




                     Reprinted by Permission of æ Magazine - December 22, 2008 issue © 2008 æ LLC.
                   For information on ordering æ reprints, please call (212) 620-2399. To subscribe to æ magazine, please call (800) 888-9896.

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Mutual Insurers Gain Respect as Stocks of Public Rivals Plummet

  • 1. æ December 22, 2008 Outfront INSURANCE Mutual Respect The sharpshooters at publicly owned insurers used to scoff at their stodgy competitors, the mutual insurers. Not anymore. By Bernard Condon and Daniel Fisher M UTUAL LIFE INSURERS ARE STUCK IN THE MUD. mutuals have done plenty of stupid things over time. But IF you’ve pizzazz, you work for a stockholder- he reserves his 2008 booby prize for their public rivals, sev- owned insurer. That was the refrain from stock eral of which he has downgraded this year. He puts the blame insurers a few decades ago. for their missteps squarely on the need to satisfy Wall Street Without the shareholders’ lash to whip them into shape and its lust for quarterly profit gains. Public companies felt and stock with which to buy rivals, policyholder-owned in- they had to report a return on equity of at least 15%. “You surers were sure to get crushed by publicly traded rivals. just can’t do that in a mature business without taking too So went the argument, and so began a flight from mutual much risk,” Fliegelman says. ownership that included such stalwarts as Equitable, Pru- Two years ago mutually owned New York Life began fear- dential and Metropolitan. ing that the thin premiums corporate bonds were paying Who’s sneering now? The mutuals that refused to switch over Treasurys didn’t justify the added risk and began over. The stocks of publicly held life insurers have fallen 63% shifting assets into government bonds. The $20 million a this year. They had a little too much pizzazz, in the form year in income it lost as a result would have left sharehold- of corporate bonds, mortgage securities and risky bets on ers howling at publicly held insurers, says Solomon annuities. Goldfinger, a New York Life senior vice president. With their survival on the line, publicly traded insurers Publicly held firms like MetLife, Prudential Financial and are scrambling for cash by cutting dividends and issuing Hartford Financial have been forced to recognize billions of new shares (diluting existing investors), begging regulators dollars in losses this year on mortgage securities, corporate for a relaxation of capital requirements and lobbying Wash- bonds and real estate. They’ve also been clobbered by prom- ington for a cut of the $700 billion Wall Street bailout. ises they made to pay variable annuity holders minimum re- Their mutually owned rivals haven’t asked for a dime. turns in the event that stocks fared badly. Their statutory surpluses (the regulatory counterpart to book Variable annuities are mutual funds (often stock funds) value) have held steady or even increased. Some are an- wrapped inside life insurance policies that endow them with nouncing plans to pay out near-record dividends to poli- a tax deferral. As competition heated up for this lucrative, cyholders. fee-driven business,publicly listed insurers began making brash “We’re Main Street. Not Wall Street,” brags an ad from guarantees of minimum returns to backstop the stock funds mutually owned New York Life. Translation: We’re better in which the customers’ money was invested. Following Oc- off than swashbucklers like American International Group. tober’s stock market shellacking, more than half of Hartford’s RYAN HESHKA FOR FORBES “We’re not seen as stodgy and slow anymore,”says Den- U.S. variable annuity clients are sitting on portfolios worth nis Manning, chief executive of mutually owned Guardian less than the company has guaranteed to pay them. That has Life. caused its potential annuity-linked liabilities to balloon to $3.9 Moody’s life insurance analyst Arthur Fliegelman says billion from $184 million at the beginning of the year.
  • 2. Outfront Hartford noted in a November securities filing that an S&P 500 decline to 900 would cause its capital to fall by an- Policy Differences Economic tumult aside, top mutually owned insurers have other $1.5 billion; the index recently closed at 816. Hartford’s increased book values this year. Not so their public rivals. shares are off 90% since the beginning of September and BOOK % CHANGE A.M. BEST now trade for 18% of book value. COMPANY VALUE ($BIL)1 THIS YEAR RATING Soon after going public in 2001, Prudential Financial MUTUALS bought Skandia,the largest variable annuity distributor.It then Mass Mutual $8.4 5% A++ acquired similar units from Cigna and Allstate. Pru Chief Ex- New York Life 12.0 0 A++ ecutive Arthur Ryan assured shareholders of“double-digit re- Northwestern Mutual 12.4 2 A++ turns.” Instead,they got triple-digit losses.As stocks have fallen, PUBLICS 2 and Pru’s guarantees kicked in, its annuities unit swung to a Hartford Life 4.7 –19 A+ $307 million operating loss in the third quarter from a $205 Metropolitan Life 12.0 –9 A+ million profit a year earlier. Prudential Life 3.8 –46 A+ The mutuals, meanwhile, are sticking largely to sales of 1Statutory surplus and capital as of Sept. 30. 2Surplus and capital at whole life—policies with a death benefit and relatively stingy each insurer’s biggest operating subsidiary. Source: SNL Financial. payout guarantees. Guardian Life says its individual life in- surance sales rose 14% in October from a year earlier. New surers, according to Etti Baranoff, a professor of insurance York Life says its individual life sales are growing at dou- at Virginia Commonwealth University and former Texas ble-digit annual rates, too. insurance regulator. It’s just that mutuals don’t have the David Schiff, an industry gadfly and publisher of Schiff’s same incentives to boost net income. Insurance Observer, has been warning since the late 1990s that Baranoff also notes that mutuals don’t have to file fi- earnings-per-share pressures would drive insurers to do dumb nancials under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles. things. He was right. Since going public Prudential has spent Those principles require public companies to mark down $11 billion buying back shares at an average cost of $63, Schiff investment securities, some of them distressed and thinly estimates. Those shares are now worth $19. Hartford spent traded, to current market values. The rule has given rise to $2 billion the past two years buying back stock.That’s as much $40 billion in unrealized losses as of Sept. 30. as the entire company is now worth. Perhaps the market has overcorrected, and shares of The mutuals aren’t geniuses at investing—proportion- Hartford and Prudential are a bargain. But their mutual ri- ally they own more mortgage securities than do public in- vals will be snickering for quite a while. a Reprinted by Permission of æ Magazine - December 22, 2008 issue © 2008 æ LLC. For information on ordering æ reprints, please call (212) 620-2399. To subscribe to æ magazine, please call (800) 888-9896.