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Daniel Landsman
New Entrepreneurial Ventures
“The difference that makes a difference”
Introduction
There are many factors that effect if an entrepreneur will be successful. Obviously, the ability
to raise capital is an important factor. Being unable to procure capital may possibly prevent some
qualified entrants from actually becoming entrepreneurs. Evans and Jovanavich1
found that if liquidity
constraints were removed, entrants would have no problems procuring capital, and within the time line
they studied entrepreneurship entry would have increased from 3.81% to 5.11%. Financing the venture
will be the first topic that I discuss which makes a difference in how successful an entrepreneur's firm
is.
The second characteristic that influences the success of an entrepreneur's new venture is human
capital . Human capital can include, but is not limited to: how much education the individual has, the
jobs the entrepreneur had previously held with rank attained, what the individuals parents did, the costs
of switching careers to go work for someone else, and also their personal feelings about their success.
There are many more human capital factor that have a substantial effect on the outcome of the
entrepreneurial venture. These effects will be discussed later for further review.
This paper is laid out I n the following format. I will first review the previously conducted
research about financing and human capital for new business ventures. Then I will present my
hypotheses, that may be tested in the future , but will be extrapolated at this point in time to attempt
1 An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints Author(s): David S. Evans and Boyan Jovanovic
Source: The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 4 (Aug., 1989), pp. 808-827
to defend my views about financing and human capital for new business ventures. Then I will look at
the data that different people have extensively collected through out their respective areas. After which
I will give my interpretation of the data along with what was originally found. Finally, I will give my
conclusions and state other areas of research that could be pursued.
Previous Research
To prevent convolution I must make clear that I am only looking at what makes a new venture
successful from the start. Klofsten2
business platform theory has some very valid points but it doesn't
focus on the area I'm trying to study. Therefore, I will acknowledge the business platform theory
Klofsten2
, but choose to leave it out because it focuses on the volatility of young firms and certain
business steps that can be undertaken to avoid failure.
Penrose3
said being a successful venture has mostly to do with the profitability of the firm. If
the company is unprofitable it will go out of business because other firms force it out of the market.
This statement seemed very obvious to me because if a firm doesn't make money why would it stay in
business. Because profitability plays such a large role in determining the future outcome for a firm I
will use profitability as a measure of success.
It is important to find what drives those profits that Penrose was talking about. Financial capital
plays a roll in a firms profitability. Most studies show that when profits are measured as a gauge of
success the larger the firm with respect to assets the higher the profits. This is to be expected because
2 Klofsten, M. (1998). The Business Platform:
Entrepreneurship and Management
in the Early Stages of a Firm’s
Development. Luxembourg: European
Commission, TII.
3 Penrose, Edith Tilton
1952 Biological Analogies in the Theory of a Firm
American Economic Review 42 804-819
the firm wouldn't grow larger if it was not a profitable venture. Candida G. Brush, Linda F. Edelman,
and Tatiana S. Manolova4
studied how the initial location and aspirations of the specific entrepreneur
had an effect on the procurement of financial capital. In their model they showed that the higher the
initial aspirations the more likely the entrepreneur was to obtain larger amounts of capital. This was
because most of the time the higher aspirations would lead the entrepreneur to start the business away
from their home allowing for greater visibility to their potential clients. Also, with a separate work
location, more organized business practices would become implemented which created more credibility
with possible venders and business' partners, which eventually lead to better opportunities in order to
obtain financial capital. Levenson and Willard’s5
found that at most 2% of entrepreneurs fail to obtain
financing from banks. The biggest reason for not obtaining credit was that their business plan or project
was socially inefficient. Bates6
found that the government stepped in and helped finance many
entrepreneurs, especially the minority groups to cultivate more entry into different businesses. There
are sometimes loan guarantee schemes that are created by the government in order to help
entrepreneurs who cant get financing from banks. However, the government loan guarantee schemes,
only account for 1% of the loans made to entrepreneurs.
Other factors contribute to the profitability of firms. Human Capital Theory Becker7
“uses
economic logic to study individual decisions dealing with productivity-enhancing skills and
knowledge(school, training,other firm specific investments), career choices(decision to work,switching
4 Candida G. Brush, Linda F. Edelman, and Tatiana S. Manolova
The Effects of Initial Location, Aspirations, and
Resources on Likelihood of First Sale in
Nascent Firms
Journal of Small Business Management 2008 46(2), pp. 159–182
5 [11] A. R. Levenson and K. L. Willard, “Do firms get the financing they want?
Measuring credit rationing experienced by small businesses in the US,” Small
Business Economics, vol. 14, pp. 83–94, 2000.
6 Timothy Bates Entrepreneur Human Capital Endowments and Minority Business Viability
The Journal of Human Resources, Vol. 20, No. 4 (Autumn, 1985), pp. 540-554
7 G. Becker Human Capital
New York Columbia Press 1975
employment, labor mobility) and other work characteristics(wages, reservation wages, hours of work).
It is believed that individuals choose an occupation or employment that maximizes the present value of
economic and psychic benefits over their lifetimes.” Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo8
conducted a
study that showed each firm had a specific “threshold” which is an aggregation of the deciding factors
to close the firm. Thresholds are one of many factors that the entrepreneurs posses that stem from their
own human capital. Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo8
also showed that just because a firm stays open
doesn't mean its entirely successful. Certain entrepreneurs may have other jobs or just enjoy working
for themselves as opposed to working for someone else. Therefore, Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo8
thresholds alone aren't a good measure for profitably. Due to the fact a person might stay in businesses
just because they have a greater utility doing so; not because they are profitable.
Evans and Jovanovich9
studied how the liquidity constraints on entrepreneurs effected the amount of
money they could procure for their business venture. Evans and Jovanovich10
showed how the capital
the entrepreneur was able to get in the beginning of their venture linked to their profitability. Evans
and Jovanovich11
said the high ability low asset people are affected by the wealth liquidity constraint
the most. Wealthier people would have a much easier time starting a business because they already
have the capital available. What this means is even if you have a high level of human capital it won't
do you any good unless you can come up with the necessary financial capital to match it.
Hypotheses & Model
8 Javier Gimeno; Timothy B Folta; Arnold C Cooper; Carolyn Y Woo
Survival of the fittest? Entrepreneurial human capital and the persistence o...
Administrative Science Quarterly; Dec 1997; 42, 4
9 David S. Evans and Boyan Jovanovic
An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints
Source: The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 4 (Aug., 1989), pp. 808-827
10 David S. Evans and Boyan Jovanovic
An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints
Source: The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 4 (Aug., 1989), pp. 808-827
11 David S. Evans and Boyan Jovanovic
An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints
Source: The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 4 (Aug., 1989), pp. 808-827
H1: Financial Capital makes no difference in a firms profitability.(Which is my measure of success.)
H2: Human Capital makes no difference in a firms profitability.
The model that I would like to have had isn't possible because without the financial backing to
make my research legitimate I am forced to use other people's research. I will try to extrapolate the
specific factors that make entrepreneurs successful. I will expand the exit equation used by Cooper,
Folta, Gimeno, and Woo12
but only for theoretical purposes. Originally their model was designed to
show the factors that would make a firm exit their specific business. The way I'm going to use their
model in an expanded form to illustrate what are the factors that make a person successful from the
start. Their original equation shows "The entrepreneur's economic performance (EPe) is a function of
his or her general human capital represented by the vector X1, and of the human capital specific to the
current business, represented by the vector X2. Meanwhile, since specific skills cannot be transferred to
alternative employment, the economic returns available in employment (EPa) are a function of stock of
general human capital X1 and of a specific human capital to an alternative occupation X3 but not of the
human capital specific to the current business X2.
The individuals psychic income associated with either the entrepreneurial venture(PIe) or alternative
employment(PIa) is influenced by a number of factors ( respectively, X4 and X5), including the
individuals preference for the occupation, or personal satisfaction." Ue is Utility received from
undertaking the venture. Ua is the utility from taking another occupation.
Ue=EPe(X1,X2)+PIe(X4) .....1a
Ua=EPa(X1,X3)+PIa(X5) .....1b
substitute 1a and 1b into one equation EPe on one side
Start Venture if
12 Javier Gimeno; Timothy B Folta; Arnold C Cooper; Carolyn Y Woo
Survival of the fittest? Entrepreneurial human capital and the persistence o...
Administrative Science Quarterly; Dec 1997; 42, 4
EPe(X1,X2)>EPa(X1,X3)+PIa(X5)-PIe(X4) .....2
Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo9
put in another variable called SC which represented the cost
of switching occupations, since I'm focusing on starting the venture, I chose to omit that particular
variable . I switched around the inequality to represent when the startup of a firm should happen instead
of an exit. Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo9
equation 2 only refers to human capital which is only one
part of becoming a successful entrepreneur. I need to change their equation further to show the
financial aspect. I'm going to say that procuring capital is also an important step towards success as an
entrepreneur. Therefore, I'm going to say that the money entrepreneur's can make from the venture and
the ability to procure capital for the current venture will be represented as FCe(X6) and Fca(X7) for
the salary that the person would have received from working in an alternate occupation and their ability
to keep their job. Also I eliminated psychic capital because it can't be linked to profitability which I am
using as my measure of success.
From this we can expand equations 1a and 1b to include Fce(X6) and FCa(X7)
Ue=EPe(X1,X2)+FCe(X6).....1c
Ua=EPa(X1,X3)+FCa(X7).....1d
Start Venture if Ue>Ua
Epe(X1,X2)+FCe(X6)>EPa(X1,X3)+FCa(X7).....2b
Data
I will be referring to a few different data sets. Evans and Jovanavich13
used The National
Longitudinal Survey of Young Men . The survey is based on a national probability sample of men who
13 An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints Author(s): David S. Evans and Boyan Jovanovic
Source: The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 4 (Aug., 1989), pp. 808-827
were between the ages of 14 and 24 in 1966 and who were surveyed yearly between 1966 and 1971 and
in 1973, 1975, 1976, 1978, 1980, and 1981. They used a subset of 1,949 white males wage workers in
1976, which were either wage workers or were self-employed in 1978, and who were not unemployed,
out of the labor force, in the military, or in school full-time in either 1976 or 1978. Of this subset only
89 people or 4.5 % were entrepreneurs. With that being the case the statistical inferences made may not
be representative of the entire population. To analyze the data Evans and Jovanavich13
used probit
regression.
T. Mengistae14
used data from a sample survey of manufacturing establishments that was
carried out in the mid 1990s in Ethiopia. The survey was confined to registered businesses located in
the city of Addis Ababa and was conducted in two waves. The first wave took place during September
to October 1993 and covered a random selection of 220 manufacturing establishments. Out of the first
wave 190 were owner-managed (or entrepreneurial) businesses employing less than 200 people, the
rest being medium to large scale state owned enterprises. The same 220 establishments were then
revisited in October 1995. Mengistae14
also used a different measure to see which business' were
successful. Instead of looking at profitability like Penrose15
did he chose to look at the number of
employees that worked at the firm. Mengistae15
did that because of the volatile currency in Ethiopia
and felt that number of employees was a significant indicator of how well a business is doing. To
analyze his data collected Mengistae14
used OLS regression.
Bates16
used the Dun and Bradstreet( D&B)Financial Profiles database which includes detailed
the balance sheet data as well as information on employment, industry, sales, and profits for minority-
14 TAYE MENGISTAE
Competition and Entrepreneurs’ HumanCapital in Small Business Longevity and Growth
Journal of Development Studies, Vol. 42, No. 5, 812–836, July 2006
15 Penrose, Edith Tilton
1952 Biological Analogies in the Theory of a Firm
American Economic Review 42 804-819
16 Timothy Bates Entrepreneur Human Capital Endowments and Minority Business Viability
The Journal of Human Resources, Vol. 20, No. 4 (Autumn, 1985), pp. 540-554
owned firms. Because firms in the sample tend to be large established enterprises relative to the
universe, they represent a more "successful" subset of the minority business community. This may have
caused anomalous skewed fallacious results. Bates used OLS regression.
In 1985 Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo17
sent out 13,000 questionnaires to the members of
the National Federation of Independent Business who reported they had been in business for 18 months
or less. They focused on entrepreneurs who had recently started their own firms. They received back
responses from 4,814 entrepreneurs who they then sent follow up questionnaires to in 1986 and 1987.
In all after smoothing the data sample for the companies that fit they model criteria they were left with
1,547 firms. To analyze the data Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo15
used censored regression with
stochastic thresholds and grouped data regression.
Through my research I found that most of the information compiled was from start up
companies that were given paper surveys. The surveys had a 40-50% response rate depending on the
given survey . The surveys have a built in response bias that isn't easily counteracted. So the data that I
looked at may possibly be skewed to only represent positive outcomes from the entrepreneurs polled.
The economists who tested their theoretical model with real data tried to account for this bias, but
where human capital is data is concerned I am still weary. For liquidity models I don't think the
skewness is as bad.
Results
For some of the human capital examination I'm going to focus on column 1 of table 3 on page 21 of
Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo18
(appendix). This deals with the economic performance equation that
17 Javier Gimeno; Timothy B Folta; Arnold C Cooper; Carolyn Y Woo
Survival of the fittest? Entrepreneurial human capital and the persistence o...
Administrative Science Quarterly; Dec 1997; 42, 4
18 Javier Gimeno; Timothy B Folta; Arnold C Cooper; Carolyn Y Woo
I used from Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo16
earlier which I then modified. It doesn't contain any of
the information about how financing affects the success of an entrepreneur except for initial capital that
the entrepreneur has.
Survival of the fittest? Entrepreneurial human capital and the
Administrative Science Quarterly; Dec 1997; 42, 4
Having a formal education seems to help the likelihood for success a great deal. Management
and supervisory experience have a moderate positive effect on success with supervisory experience
more so than management experience. Working in a similar business prior to opening a new firm seems
to have a very large positive effect. It would seem logical that if an individual already knows the field
that they're opening a business in, they would already have the abilities to cope with the different
business obstacles in that specific field. This would help the entrepreneur overcome the difficult times
in their business and eventually become more successful. Having previous entrepreneurship
experience also has a positive effect on success. Initial capital has a noticeable positive effect as well.
If, the entrepreneur doesn't have enough money to start the business but decides to move forward
anyway, the business may become stagnant. Without the necessary capital it is almost impossible for
the business to grow which is one of the factors that drive profitability. On top of that, the greater the
number of employees in a firm pointed toward a more successful venture.
One very large negative effect on firm performance is having another job. All comments made
above are statistically significant. There are however some noteworthy points that aren't statistically
significant which are correct number of jobs before stating an entrepreneurial venture, intrinsic
motivation, if their parents were owners of a business, and the hours worked. There appears to be
sweet spot in the number of jobs that a person should hold before they start a new venture. Two to four
jobs increase the likelihood of success. However five or more jobs may indicate that they may not be a
quality worker and are being pushed into entrepreneurship. These all have very high standard
deviations so the inferences may just be noise picked up by the data set. The intrinsic motivation may
be negative, because they could be complacent just working for themselves as opposed to working for
someone else. Parent owned business may have the effect that is similar to intrinsic motivation. That is
as long as the entrepreneur is self employed it may be ok to not be be as successful, all that matters is
they are self employed. Hours worked was very close to zero, but I suspect that some unexplained
phenomenon is going on. Most entrepreneurs work more hours for less pay. In this data set hours
worked seemed to have little effect on performance.
Mengistae19
found a correlation with growth and survivability of the firm. Ultimately if a firm grows
then it must be profitable, otherwise it would have be driven out of businesses(Mengistate table4
above). Also shown in that table is how business experience influences survivability of the firm. It
shows that the larger amount of business experience the entrepreneur has the higher likelihood of
survivability. Age doesn't seem to be a factor on survivability. Mengistate17
said that it may be due to
model imperfections. Evan and Leightion20
found that this is a true fact and age really doesn't affect
survivability.
19 TAYE MENGISTAE
Competition and Entrepreneurs’ HumanCapital in Small Business Longevity and Growth
Journal of Development Studies, Vol. 42, No. 5, 812–836, July 2006
20 David S. Evans and Linda S. Leighton
Some Empirical Aspects of Entrepreneurship
Source: The American Economic Review, Vol. 79, No. 3 (Jun., 1989), pp. 519-535 Published by: American Economic
Association
Bates21
found two different things when analyzing the data. (Bates tables3 & 4 above)
In table 3 it is clear that the entrepreneurs with a higher education were more profitable. Also in table
4a entrepreneurs who put down more capital originally were more likely to be profitable. This again
21 Timothy Bates Entrepreneur Human Capital Endowments and Minority Business Viability
The Journal of Human Resources, Vol. 20, No. 4 (Autumn, 1985), pp. 540-554
shows that being educated will help the new business venture be profitable.
Evans and Jovanovich22
studied how the liquidity constraint affect entrepreneurial start ups. Ham23
said“New businesses are liquidity constrained and that the amount of capital available to them is
limited by their personal assets.” My assumed model is consistent with Evans and Jovanovich with
respect to the only way that an entrepreneur will go into business for himself or herself would be if his
perceived salary from starting his or her own business would be greater than wage work. ( Table 3
From Jovanavich above) Shows that initial capital, education, and experience all have a positive effect
on the success of a new firm start up. Some other implications from Evans and Jovanavich20
liquidity
22 An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints Author(s): David S. Evans and Boyan Jovanovic
Source: The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 4 (Aug., 1989), pp. 808-827
23 Ham, John C., and Melnik, Arie. "Loan Demand: An Empirical Analysis
Using Micro Data." Rev. Econ. and Statis. 69 (November 1987): 704-9.
constraint. “It reduces the amount of capital flowing to entrepreneurship in two ways. First, it will
prevent some people from trying entrepreneurship. Second, individuals who do try entrepreneurship
use less capital because of the constraint.” Evan and Jovanavich20
found that entrepreneurs that needed
capital were only given roughly 50% of the capital they requested. Therefore, the entrepreneurs had to
use a large portion of their own assets when starting firms. However as firms grew, most likely in
profitably, it was easier to get financing.
Conclusion
For a new business venture to be successful the entrepreneur must have the right amount of both
financial and human capital. The age of the entrepreneur makes no difference, however it may be
useful to work in the field of their business so that they can gain experience. Education is a also a very
influential factor in starting new ventures. It is very clear that the entrepreneur who achieve a minimum
of a college degree does much better than his or her uneducated counterparts in business. Educated
people business' grow more, which leads to a more profitable venture. Finally procuring capital is
important. Entrepreneurs are limited by their financial resources. This means is that in order to thrive
and be profitable an entrepreneur needs to have the money to back them for the business endeavor. It
helps if the individual who is going to start a business already has large amounts of capital, but if not
it's best to obtain an amount of capital that is enough to fully finance the business venture. This may
prove to be difficult because most venture are under financed. With the proper human capital skill set
and the right amount financial backing and entrepreneur will most likely be successful.
Other Areas for Further Research
It may be beneficial to look at sociology and psychology Human Capital Theory data for future
research. Also, I would like to see another survey conducted like the National Longitudinal Survey for
Young Men. On top of that, it would be interesting to look at individuals risk tolerances for entrance
into being self employed. The data from that may provide some valuable insights into why people
choose to be workers even if they have good ideas and could created quality business'. I would also like
to see the combination of Jovanovich's20
Liquidity model and Javier Gimeno; Timothy B Folta; Arnold
C Cooper; Carolyn Y Woo's24
exit model.
24 Javier Gimeno; Timothy B Folta; Arnold C Cooper; Carolyn Y Woo
Survival of the fittest? Entrepreneurial human capital and the persistence o...
Administrative Science Quarterly; Dec 1997; 42, 4
References
Bates, Timothy
Entrepreneur Human Capital Endowments and Minority Business Viability
The Journal of Human Resources, Vol. 20, No. 4 (Autumn, 1985), pp. 540-554
G. Becker
Human Capital
New York Columbia Press 1975
Candida G. Brush, Linda F. Edelman, and Tatiana S. Manolova
The Effects of Initial Location, Aspirations, and
Resources on Likelihood of First Sale inNascent Firms
Journal of Small Business Management 2008 46(2), pp. 159–182
David S. Evans and Boyan Jovanovic
An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints
The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 4 (Aug., 1989), pp. 808-827
David S. Evans and Linda S. Leighton
Some Empirical Aspects of Entrepreneurship
The American Economic Review, Vol. 79, No. 3 (Jun., 1989), pp. 519-535
Javier Gimeno; Timothy B Folta; Arnold C Cooper; Carolyn Y Woo
Survival of the fittest? Entrepreneurial human capital and the persistence o...
Administrative Science Quarterly; Dec 1997; 42, 4
Ham, John C., and Melnik, Arie.
"Loan Demand: An Empirical Analysis Using Micro Data."
Rev. Econ. and Statis. 69 (November 1987): 704-9.
Klofsten, M. (1998). The Business Platform:
Entrepreneurship and Managementin the Early Stages of a Firm’s
Development. Luxembourg: European
Commission, TII.
Levenson ,A. R. and K. L. Willard, “Do firms get the financing they want?
Measuring credit rationing experienced by small businesses in the US,” Small
Business Economics, vol. 14, pp. 83–94, 2000.
Penrose, Edith Tilton
1952 Biological Analogies in the Theory of a Firm
American Economic Review 42 804-819
Taye Mengistae
Competition and Entrepreneurs’ HumanCapital in Small Business Longevity and Growth
Journal of Development Studies, Vol. 42, No. 5, 812–836, July 2006

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New entrepreneurial ventures

  • 1. Daniel Landsman New Entrepreneurial Ventures “The difference that makes a difference” Introduction There are many factors that effect if an entrepreneur will be successful. Obviously, the ability to raise capital is an important factor. Being unable to procure capital may possibly prevent some qualified entrants from actually becoming entrepreneurs. Evans and Jovanavich1 found that if liquidity constraints were removed, entrants would have no problems procuring capital, and within the time line they studied entrepreneurship entry would have increased from 3.81% to 5.11%. Financing the venture will be the first topic that I discuss which makes a difference in how successful an entrepreneur's firm is. The second characteristic that influences the success of an entrepreneur's new venture is human capital . Human capital can include, but is not limited to: how much education the individual has, the jobs the entrepreneur had previously held with rank attained, what the individuals parents did, the costs of switching careers to go work for someone else, and also their personal feelings about their success. There are many more human capital factor that have a substantial effect on the outcome of the entrepreneurial venture. These effects will be discussed later for further review. This paper is laid out I n the following format. I will first review the previously conducted research about financing and human capital for new business ventures. Then I will present my hypotheses, that may be tested in the future , but will be extrapolated at this point in time to attempt 1 An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints Author(s): David S. Evans and Boyan Jovanovic Source: The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 4 (Aug., 1989), pp. 808-827
  • 2. to defend my views about financing and human capital for new business ventures. Then I will look at the data that different people have extensively collected through out their respective areas. After which I will give my interpretation of the data along with what was originally found. Finally, I will give my conclusions and state other areas of research that could be pursued. Previous Research To prevent convolution I must make clear that I am only looking at what makes a new venture successful from the start. Klofsten2 business platform theory has some very valid points but it doesn't focus on the area I'm trying to study. Therefore, I will acknowledge the business platform theory Klofsten2 , but choose to leave it out because it focuses on the volatility of young firms and certain business steps that can be undertaken to avoid failure. Penrose3 said being a successful venture has mostly to do with the profitability of the firm. If the company is unprofitable it will go out of business because other firms force it out of the market. This statement seemed very obvious to me because if a firm doesn't make money why would it stay in business. Because profitability plays such a large role in determining the future outcome for a firm I will use profitability as a measure of success. It is important to find what drives those profits that Penrose was talking about. Financial capital plays a roll in a firms profitability. Most studies show that when profits are measured as a gauge of success the larger the firm with respect to assets the higher the profits. This is to be expected because 2 Klofsten, M. (1998). The Business Platform: Entrepreneurship and Management in the Early Stages of a Firm’s Development. Luxembourg: European Commission, TII. 3 Penrose, Edith Tilton 1952 Biological Analogies in the Theory of a Firm American Economic Review 42 804-819
  • 3. the firm wouldn't grow larger if it was not a profitable venture. Candida G. Brush, Linda F. Edelman, and Tatiana S. Manolova4 studied how the initial location and aspirations of the specific entrepreneur had an effect on the procurement of financial capital. In their model they showed that the higher the initial aspirations the more likely the entrepreneur was to obtain larger amounts of capital. This was because most of the time the higher aspirations would lead the entrepreneur to start the business away from their home allowing for greater visibility to their potential clients. Also, with a separate work location, more organized business practices would become implemented which created more credibility with possible venders and business' partners, which eventually lead to better opportunities in order to obtain financial capital. Levenson and Willard’s5 found that at most 2% of entrepreneurs fail to obtain financing from banks. The biggest reason for not obtaining credit was that their business plan or project was socially inefficient. Bates6 found that the government stepped in and helped finance many entrepreneurs, especially the minority groups to cultivate more entry into different businesses. There are sometimes loan guarantee schemes that are created by the government in order to help entrepreneurs who cant get financing from banks. However, the government loan guarantee schemes, only account for 1% of the loans made to entrepreneurs. Other factors contribute to the profitability of firms. Human Capital Theory Becker7 “uses economic logic to study individual decisions dealing with productivity-enhancing skills and knowledge(school, training,other firm specific investments), career choices(decision to work,switching 4 Candida G. Brush, Linda F. Edelman, and Tatiana S. Manolova The Effects of Initial Location, Aspirations, and Resources on Likelihood of First Sale in Nascent Firms Journal of Small Business Management 2008 46(2), pp. 159–182 5 [11] A. R. Levenson and K. L. Willard, “Do firms get the financing they want? Measuring credit rationing experienced by small businesses in the US,” Small Business Economics, vol. 14, pp. 83–94, 2000. 6 Timothy Bates Entrepreneur Human Capital Endowments and Minority Business Viability The Journal of Human Resources, Vol. 20, No. 4 (Autumn, 1985), pp. 540-554 7 G. Becker Human Capital New York Columbia Press 1975
  • 4. employment, labor mobility) and other work characteristics(wages, reservation wages, hours of work). It is believed that individuals choose an occupation or employment that maximizes the present value of economic and psychic benefits over their lifetimes.” Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo8 conducted a study that showed each firm had a specific “threshold” which is an aggregation of the deciding factors to close the firm. Thresholds are one of many factors that the entrepreneurs posses that stem from their own human capital. Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo8 also showed that just because a firm stays open doesn't mean its entirely successful. Certain entrepreneurs may have other jobs or just enjoy working for themselves as opposed to working for someone else. Therefore, Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo8 thresholds alone aren't a good measure for profitably. Due to the fact a person might stay in businesses just because they have a greater utility doing so; not because they are profitable. Evans and Jovanovich9 studied how the liquidity constraints on entrepreneurs effected the amount of money they could procure for their business venture. Evans and Jovanovich10 showed how the capital the entrepreneur was able to get in the beginning of their venture linked to their profitability. Evans and Jovanovich11 said the high ability low asset people are affected by the wealth liquidity constraint the most. Wealthier people would have a much easier time starting a business because they already have the capital available. What this means is even if you have a high level of human capital it won't do you any good unless you can come up with the necessary financial capital to match it. Hypotheses & Model 8 Javier Gimeno; Timothy B Folta; Arnold C Cooper; Carolyn Y Woo Survival of the fittest? Entrepreneurial human capital and the persistence o... Administrative Science Quarterly; Dec 1997; 42, 4 9 David S. Evans and Boyan Jovanovic An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints Source: The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 4 (Aug., 1989), pp. 808-827 10 David S. Evans and Boyan Jovanovic An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints Source: The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 4 (Aug., 1989), pp. 808-827 11 David S. Evans and Boyan Jovanovic An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints Source: The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 4 (Aug., 1989), pp. 808-827
  • 5. H1: Financial Capital makes no difference in a firms profitability.(Which is my measure of success.) H2: Human Capital makes no difference in a firms profitability. The model that I would like to have had isn't possible because without the financial backing to make my research legitimate I am forced to use other people's research. I will try to extrapolate the specific factors that make entrepreneurs successful. I will expand the exit equation used by Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo12 but only for theoretical purposes. Originally their model was designed to show the factors that would make a firm exit their specific business. The way I'm going to use their model in an expanded form to illustrate what are the factors that make a person successful from the start. Their original equation shows "The entrepreneur's economic performance (EPe) is a function of his or her general human capital represented by the vector X1, and of the human capital specific to the current business, represented by the vector X2. Meanwhile, since specific skills cannot be transferred to alternative employment, the economic returns available in employment (EPa) are a function of stock of general human capital X1 and of a specific human capital to an alternative occupation X3 but not of the human capital specific to the current business X2. The individuals psychic income associated with either the entrepreneurial venture(PIe) or alternative employment(PIa) is influenced by a number of factors ( respectively, X4 and X5), including the individuals preference for the occupation, or personal satisfaction." Ue is Utility received from undertaking the venture. Ua is the utility from taking another occupation. Ue=EPe(X1,X2)+PIe(X4) .....1a Ua=EPa(X1,X3)+PIa(X5) .....1b substitute 1a and 1b into one equation EPe on one side Start Venture if 12 Javier Gimeno; Timothy B Folta; Arnold C Cooper; Carolyn Y Woo Survival of the fittest? Entrepreneurial human capital and the persistence o... Administrative Science Quarterly; Dec 1997; 42, 4
  • 6. EPe(X1,X2)>EPa(X1,X3)+PIa(X5)-PIe(X4) .....2 Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo9 put in another variable called SC which represented the cost of switching occupations, since I'm focusing on starting the venture, I chose to omit that particular variable . I switched around the inequality to represent when the startup of a firm should happen instead of an exit. Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo9 equation 2 only refers to human capital which is only one part of becoming a successful entrepreneur. I need to change their equation further to show the financial aspect. I'm going to say that procuring capital is also an important step towards success as an entrepreneur. Therefore, I'm going to say that the money entrepreneur's can make from the venture and the ability to procure capital for the current venture will be represented as FCe(X6) and Fca(X7) for the salary that the person would have received from working in an alternate occupation and their ability to keep their job. Also I eliminated psychic capital because it can't be linked to profitability which I am using as my measure of success. From this we can expand equations 1a and 1b to include Fce(X6) and FCa(X7) Ue=EPe(X1,X2)+FCe(X6).....1c Ua=EPa(X1,X3)+FCa(X7).....1d Start Venture if Ue>Ua Epe(X1,X2)+FCe(X6)>EPa(X1,X3)+FCa(X7).....2b Data I will be referring to a few different data sets. Evans and Jovanavich13 used The National Longitudinal Survey of Young Men . The survey is based on a national probability sample of men who 13 An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints Author(s): David S. Evans and Boyan Jovanovic Source: The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 4 (Aug., 1989), pp. 808-827
  • 7. were between the ages of 14 and 24 in 1966 and who were surveyed yearly between 1966 and 1971 and in 1973, 1975, 1976, 1978, 1980, and 1981. They used a subset of 1,949 white males wage workers in 1976, which were either wage workers or were self-employed in 1978, and who were not unemployed, out of the labor force, in the military, or in school full-time in either 1976 or 1978. Of this subset only 89 people or 4.5 % were entrepreneurs. With that being the case the statistical inferences made may not be representative of the entire population. To analyze the data Evans and Jovanavich13 used probit regression. T. Mengistae14 used data from a sample survey of manufacturing establishments that was carried out in the mid 1990s in Ethiopia. The survey was confined to registered businesses located in the city of Addis Ababa and was conducted in two waves. The first wave took place during September to October 1993 and covered a random selection of 220 manufacturing establishments. Out of the first wave 190 were owner-managed (or entrepreneurial) businesses employing less than 200 people, the rest being medium to large scale state owned enterprises. The same 220 establishments were then revisited in October 1995. Mengistae14 also used a different measure to see which business' were successful. Instead of looking at profitability like Penrose15 did he chose to look at the number of employees that worked at the firm. Mengistae15 did that because of the volatile currency in Ethiopia and felt that number of employees was a significant indicator of how well a business is doing. To analyze his data collected Mengistae14 used OLS regression. Bates16 used the Dun and Bradstreet( D&B)Financial Profiles database which includes detailed the balance sheet data as well as information on employment, industry, sales, and profits for minority- 14 TAYE MENGISTAE Competition and Entrepreneurs’ HumanCapital in Small Business Longevity and Growth Journal of Development Studies, Vol. 42, No. 5, 812–836, July 2006 15 Penrose, Edith Tilton 1952 Biological Analogies in the Theory of a Firm American Economic Review 42 804-819 16 Timothy Bates Entrepreneur Human Capital Endowments and Minority Business Viability The Journal of Human Resources, Vol. 20, No. 4 (Autumn, 1985), pp. 540-554
  • 8. owned firms. Because firms in the sample tend to be large established enterprises relative to the universe, they represent a more "successful" subset of the minority business community. This may have caused anomalous skewed fallacious results. Bates used OLS regression. In 1985 Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo17 sent out 13,000 questionnaires to the members of the National Federation of Independent Business who reported they had been in business for 18 months or less. They focused on entrepreneurs who had recently started their own firms. They received back responses from 4,814 entrepreneurs who they then sent follow up questionnaires to in 1986 and 1987. In all after smoothing the data sample for the companies that fit they model criteria they were left with 1,547 firms. To analyze the data Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo15 used censored regression with stochastic thresholds and grouped data regression. Through my research I found that most of the information compiled was from start up companies that were given paper surveys. The surveys had a 40-50% response rate depending on the given survey . The surveys have a built in response bias that isn't easily counteracted. So the data that I looked at may possibly be skewed to only represent positive outcomes from the entrepreneurs polled. The economists who tested their theoretical model with real data tried to account for this bias, but where human capital is data is concerned I am still weary. For liquidity models I don't think the skewness is as bad. Results For some of the human capital examination I'm going to focus on column 1 of table 3 on page 21 of Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo18 (appendix). This deals with the economic performance equation that 17 Javier Gimeno; Timothy B Folta; Arnold C Cooper; Carolyn Y Woo Survival of the fittest? Entrepreneurial human capital and the persistence o... Administrative Science Quarterly; Dec 1997; 42, 4 18 Javier Gimeno; Timothy B Folta; Arnold C Cooper; Carolyn Y Woo
  • 9. I used from Cooper, Folta, Gimeno, and Woo16 earlier which I then modified. It doesn't contain any of the information about how financing affects the success of an entrepreneur except for initial capital that the entrepreneur has. Survival of the fittest? Entrepreneurial human capital and the Administrative Science Quarterly; Dec 1997; 42, 4
  • 10. Having a formal education seems to help the likelihood for success a great deal. Management and supervisory experience have a moderate positive effect on success with supervisory experience more so than management experience. Working in a similar business prior to opening a new firm seems to have a very large positive effect. It would seem logical that if an individual already knows the field that they're opening a business in, they would already have the abilities to cope with the different business obstacles in that specific field. This would help the entrepreneur overcome the difficult times in their business and eventually become more successful. Having previous entrepreneurship experience also has a positive effect on success. Initial capital has a noticeable positive effect as well. If, the entrepreneur doesn't have enough money to start the business but decides to move forward anyway, the business may become stagnant. Without the necessary capital it is almost impossible for the business to grow which is one of the factors that drive profitability. On top of that, the greater the number of employees in a firm pointed toward a more successful venture. One very large negative effect on firm performance is having another job. All comments made above are statistically significant. There are however some noteworthy points that aren't statistically significant which are correct number of jobs before stating an entrepreneurial venture, intrinsic motivation, if their parents were owners of a business, and the hours worked. There appears to be sweet spot in the number of jobs that a person should hold before they start a new venture. Two to four jobs increase the likelihood of success. However five or more jobs may indicate that they may not be a quality worker and are being pushed into entrepreneurship. These all have very high standard deviations so the inferences may just be noise picked up by the data set. The intrinsic motivation may be negative, because they could be complacent just working for themselves as opposed to working for someone else. Parent owned business may have the effect that is similar to intrinsic motivation. That is as long as the entrepreneur is self employed it may be ok to not be be as successful, all that matters is they are self employed. Hours worked was very close to zero, but I suspect that some unexplained
  • 11. phenomenon is going on. Most entrepreneurs work more hours for less pay. In this data set hours worked seemed to have little effect on performance. Mengistae19 found a correlation with growth and survivability of the firm. Ultimately if a firm grows then it must be profitable, otherwise it would have be driven out of businesses(Mengistate table4 above). Also shown in that table is how business experience influences survivability of the firm. It shows that the larger amount of business experience the entrepreneur has the higher likelihood of survivability. Age doesn't seem to be a factor on survivability. Mengistate17 said that it may be due to model imperfections. Evan and Leightion20 found that this is a true fact and age really doesn't affect survivability. 19 TAYE MENGISTAE Competition and Entrepreneurs’ HumanCapital in Small Business Longevity and Growth Journal of Development Studies, Vol. 42, No. 5, 812–836, July 2006 20 David S. Evans and Linda S. Leighton Some Empirical Aspects of Entrepreneurship Source: The American Economic Review, Vol. 79, No. 3 (Jun., 1989), pp. 519-535 Published by: American Economic Association
  • 12. Bates21 found two different things when analyzing the data. (Bates tables3 & 4 above) In table 3 it is clear that the entrepreneurs with a higher education were more profitable. Also in table 4a entrepreneurs who put down more capital originally were more likely to be profitable. This again 21 Timothy Bates Entrepreneur Human Capital Endowments and Minority Business Viability The Journal of Human Resources, Vol. 20, No. 4 (Autumn, 1985), pp. 540-554
  • 13. shows that being educated will help the new business venture be profitable. Evans and Jovanovich22 studied how the liquidity constraint affect entrepreneurial start ups. Ham23 said“New businesses are liquidity constrained and that the amount of capital available to them is limited by their personal assets.” My assumed model is consistent with Evans and Jovanovich with respect to the only way that an entrepreneur will go into business for himself or herself would be if his perceived salary from starting his or her own business would be greater than wage work. ( Table 3 From Jovanavich above) Shows that initial capital, education, and experience all have a positive effect on the success of a new firm start up. Some other implications from Evans and Jovanavich20 liquidity 22 An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints Author(s): David S. Evans and Boyan Jovanovic Source: The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 4 (Aug., 1989), pp. 808-827 23 Ham, John C., and Melnik, Arie. "Loan Demand: An Empirical Analysis Using Micro Data." Rev. Econ. and Statis. 69 (November 1987): 704-9.
  • 14. constraint. “It reduces the amount of capital flowing to entrepreneurship in two ways. First, it will prevent some people from trying entrepreneurship. Second, individuals who do try entrepreneurship use less capital because of the constraint.” Evan and Jovanavich20 found that entrepreneurs that needed capital were only given roughly 50% of the capital they requested. Therefore, the entrepreneurs had to use a large portion of their own assets when starting firms. However as firms grew, most likely in profitably, it was easier to get financing. Conclusion For a new business venture to be successful the entrepreneur must have the right amount of both financial and human capital. The age of the entrepreneur makes no difference, however it may be useful to work in the field of their business so that they can gain experience. Education is a also a very influential factor in starting new ventures. It is very clear that the entrepreneur who achieve a minimum of a college degree does much better than his or her uneducated counterparts in business. Educated people business' grow more, which leads to a more profitable venture. Finally procuring capital is important. Entrepreneurs are limited by their financial resources. This means is that in order to thrive and be profitable an entrepreneur needs to have the money to back them for the business endeavor. It helps if the individual who is going to start a business already has large amounts of capital, but if not it's best to obtain an amount of capital that is enough to fully finance the business venture. This may prove to be difficult because most venture are under financed. With the proper human capital skill set and the right amount financial backing and entrepreneur will most likely be successful. Other Areas for Further Research It may be beneficial to look at sociology and psychology Human Capital Theory data for future
  • 15. research. Also, I would like to see another survey conducted like the National Longitudinal Survey for Young Men. On top of that, it would be interesting to look at individuals risk tolerances for entrance into being self employed. The data from that may provide some valuable insights into why people choose to be workers even if they have good ideas and could created quality business'. I would also like to see the combination of Jovanovich's20 Liquidity model and Javier Gimeno; Timothy B Folta; Arnold C Cooper; Carolyn Y Woo's24 exit model. 24 Javier Gimeno; Timothy B Folta; Arnold C Cooper; Carolyn Y Woo Survival of the fittest? Entrepreneurial human capital and the persistence o... Administrative Science Quarterly; Dec 1997; 42, 4
  • 16. References Bates, Timothy Entrepreneur Human Capital Endowments and Minority Business Viability The Journal of Human Resources, Vol. 20, No. 4 (Autumn, 1985), pp. 540-554 G. Becker Human Capital New York Columbia Press 1975 Candida G. Brush, Linda F. Edelman, and Tatiana S. Manolova The Effects of Initial Location, Aspirations, and Resources on Likelihood of First Sale inNascent Firms Journal of Small Business Management 2008 46(2), pp. 159–182 David S. Evans and Boyan Jovanovic An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice under Liquidity Constraints The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 97, No. 4 (Aug., 1989), pp. 808-827 David S. Evans and Linda S. Leighton Some Empirical Aspects of Entrepreneurship The American Economic Review, Vol. 79, No. 3 (Jun., 1989), pp. 519-535 Javier Gimeno; Timothy B Folta; Arnold C Cooper; Carolyn Y Woo Survival of the fittest? Entrepreneurial human capital and the persistence o... Administrative Science Quarterly; Dec 1997; 42, 4 Ham, John C., and Melnik, Arie. "Loan Demand: An Empirical Analysis Using Micro Data." Rev. Econ. and Statis. 69 (November 1987): 704-9.
  • 17. Klofsten, M. (1998). The Business Platform: Entrepreneurship and Managementin the Early Stages of a Firm’s Development. Luxembourg: European Commission, TII. Levenson ,A. R. and K. L. Willard, “Do firms get the financing they want? Measuring credit rationing experienced by small businesses in the US,” Small Business Economics, vol. 14, pp. 83–94, 2000. Penrose, Edith Tilton 1952 Biological Analogies in the Theory of a Firm American Economic Review 42 804-819 Taye Mengistae Competition and Entrepreneurs’ HumanCapital in Small Business Longevity and Growth Journal of Development Studies, Vol. 42, No. 5, 812–836, July 2006