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demonstrate your comprehension of the study. As such, assume
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etc.—raised for you? What do you suspect might be the answer
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Applied Linguistics 2014: 35/2: 184–207 � Oxford University
Press 2013
doi:10.1093/applin/amt013 Advance Access published on 13
July 2013
Dynamics of Complexity and Accuracy: A
Longitudinal Case Study of Advanced
Untutored Development
*BRITTANY POLAT and YOUJIN KIM
Georgia State University
*E-mail: [email protected] or [email protected]
This longitudinal case study follows a dynamic systems
approach to investigate
an under-studied research area in second language acquisition,
the development
of complexity and accuracy for an advanced untutored learner
of English. Using
the analytical tools of dynamic systems theory (Verspoor et al.
2011) within the
framework of complexity, accuracy, and fluency (Skehan 1998;
Norris and
Ortega 2009), the study tracks accuracy, syntactic complexity,
and lexical
diversity in the speech of a Turkish immigrant over one year.
Results from
these oral interviews show that most development occurred in
the participant’s
lexical diversity, syntactic complexity showed potential but
unverifiable gains,
and accuracy showed no development. These findings suggest
that an untutored
language learner may develop advanced lexical and syntactic
skills, but achiev-
ing grammatical accuracy without instruction may be more
difficult. Overall,
dynamic systems theory seems to provide a suitable framework
for examining
the linguistic development of advanced naturalistic learners,
with important
implications for future research involving untutored immigrant
and refugee
populations of English language learners.
INTRODUCTION
In recent decades, second language acquisition (SLA) research
has
predominantly focused on issues in instructed language learning
rather than
naturalistic language learning. Despite promising early research
and several
seminal studies of untutored adult learners—Schmidt’s (1984)
Wes study,
Schumann’s (1978) Alberto study, Huebner’s (1983) Ge study—
which have
made significant contributions to the field, the vast majority of
publications
today concentrate on instructed language learning. Although
many of these
have certainly increased our understanding of how language
learning works in
the classroom, there are compelling reasons to pay more
attention to language
acquisition outside the classroom.
Whereas many of the students who participate in SLA studies
have the
luxury of formal language instruction, the majority of the
world’s language
learners acquire second and additional languages in naturalistic
contexts
(Klein and Perdue 1993). Without knowing how this type of
learning takes
place, SLA researchers are missing a crucial part of the
language acquisition
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process: the basic mechanisms that have allowed humans to
create and pass
on languages for millennia (Klein and Dimroth 2009). As Klein
and Dimroth
put it:
Untutored second language acquisition is not something exotic,
it is
the normal case, and if we want to understand the very
principles
according to which the human mind constructs, copies, and uses
linguistic systems, then we must study how human beings
cope with this task when not under the influence of teaching.
(p. 519)
As the field discovers how important social and situational
factors are in lan-
guage learning, it becomes increasingly apparent that tutored
and untutored
acquisition may have very different driving factors. So far,
however, only a few
studies in the past two decades have explored naturalistic
language learning
(Klein and Perdue 1993; Ioup et al. 1994; Dimroth and Starren
2003), and of
these, only Ioup et al. (1994) have specifically investigated
advanced natural-
istic learning, with an English-speaking learner of Arabic.
Perhaps the most extensive study of untutored language learning
to date is
that conducted by the European Science Foundation from 1981
to 1988
(Perdue 1993). This study tracked the development of 40
language learners
from a variety of first language backgrounds in five host
countries (Britain,
France, Sweden, Germany, and The Netherlands) over 30
months and found
that immigrants at first developed a basic variety (BV) of the
target language.
The BVs were all very similar, lacking morphological inflection
and consisting
of a rudimentary lexicon, and they mainly seemed independent
of the lear-
ner’s first language and target language. Whereas about one-
third of the im-
migrants remained at this basic level throughout the study, the
others
continued to develop beyond the BV (Klein and Perdue 1993).
The study
has yielded important insights into universals of basic language
varieties, as
well as developmental stages that most naturalistic learners
appear to pass
through. However, because the study did not report on learners
beyond
basic development, we know neither how proficient these
learners ultimately
became nor what their most advanced forms of learner language
looked like.
The present study addresses the research lacuna of advanced
naturalistic
learning by examining the language development of an
untutored adult lan-
guage learner beginning two and a half years after his arrival in
the target
language environment. The methodological approach taken is
that of dynamic
systems theory (DST) (Verspoor et al. 2011), and the variables
investigated are
two widely used constructs of language performance,
complexity and accuracy
(Ellis and Barkhuizen 2005). In the following text, we will
address the theor-
etical considerations behind researching complexity and
accuracy from a
dynamic systems perspective, and then we will present the 12-
month case
study. We conclude with a discussion of implications for
untutored language
acquisition and the importance of integrating research on
untutored learning
over time into mainstream SLA research.
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CAF AND DST
Theoretical platforms
Researchers of second language (L2) development are
increasingly relying on
measures of complexity, accuracy, and fluency (known together
as CAF) to
assess learners’ written and oral proficiency and to probe more
deeply into
the cognitive processes of language learning (Ellis and
Barkhuizen 2005).
Originally conceived as a way to distinguish aspects of task
performance,
these three components are oriented toward either form
(complexity and
accuracy) or meaning (fluency; Skehan1998). One of the major
advantages of
CAF-based research is that it provides a sophisticated
framework for investigat-
ing the multicomponential nature of language use and
development. As form
has consistently been shown to be challenging for naturalistic
learners (Schmidt
1984; Dimroth and Starren 2003), the present study focuses on
the two form-
oriented components of L2 oral performance, complexity and
accuracy.
The CAF constructs have frequently been examined by task-
based SLA
researchers who are interested in the role of task design and
implementation
in L2 performance (Ellis 2003; Samuda and Bygate 2008). Some
researchers
assert that the CAF measures have been inconsistently defined
and operatio-
nalized (Housen and Kuiken 2009), leading to calls for
consistent, specific, and
validated CAF measures to be used across studies (Norris and
Ortega 2009;
Pallotti 2009). Norris and Ortega (2009), for example, argue
that different
operationalizations of complexity capture different facets of
language develop-
ment, and that researchers should use multiple construct
measurements to
provide a more complete picture. They also call for ‘more
organic practice’
(p. 574) and a deeper consideration of context as an influence
on CAF. In
other words, according to Norris and Ortega (2009), ‘our
measurements
must provide multivariate, longitudinal, and descriptive
accounts of constructs
in L2 performance in order to capture the complex, dynamic,
and develop-
mental nature of CAF phenomena’ (p. 574).
At the same time, many SLA researchers are embracing the
perspective that
SLA is an individualized nonlinear endeavor, and that research
should con-
sider the variability and interaction of its components (Larsen-
Freeman and
Cameron 2008a, 2008b). Although the idea of nonlinearity in
language devel-
opment is not new, investigations undertaken within this
dynamic systems
framework have applied new conceptual tools and analyses to
the study of
developmental variability, showing the complex interrelations
of CAF vari-
ables within language acquisition (Verspoor et al. 2011). DST
researchers
advocate longitudinal, fine-grained, and microgenetic studies to
discover indi-
vidual learning trajectories and the interrelationships of parts
within the whole
(van Geert and van Dijk 2002; de Bot 2008; Larsen-Freeman
and Cameron
2008a). Because DST is centered around time and variability,
Ortega and
Byrnes (2008) propose that this theoretical approach is very
well-suited to
the longitudinal study of advanced language capacities.
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Empirical research on CAF through DST
Because of the relative newness of the dynamic systems
paradigm—and the
shift in perspective and analytical tools that it requires—only a
few studies
have as yet connected this framework with CAF. Larsen-
Freeman (2006)
was the first applied linguist to examine CAF through a DST
lens, with a
focus on the variability between learners. Her investigation of
five instructed
Chinese learners of English measured their written development
of grammat-
ical complexity (clauses per t-unit), lexical complexity (a kind
of type-token
ratio), accuracy (ratio of correct t-units to all t-units), and
fluency (words per t-
unit) over four months, in addition to analyzing oral narrative
idea units for
qualitative differences. The study revealed that although
averaged group data
showed steady improvement in all three CAF components for
the learners,
patterns of development for each individual were far removed
from the aver-
aged trajectory. Learners exhibited unique trajectories, with
different rates of
improvement and even decreases in some areas, an important
fact that had
been obscured by the group averages.
Given this important individual variability in language
acquisition, other
CAF studies have examined single language learners over a
period of several
years. Verspoor et al. (2008) analyzed an advanced English
learner’s academic
writing for development of vocabulary (measured by average
word length,
type-token ratio, use of words from the Academic Word List)
and complexity
(measured by length of noun phrase and number of words per
finite verb).
They found that although the learner showed development in
almost all the
aspects investigated, progress was nonlinear and was different
for each vari-
able. Several interesting patterns emerged, including a possible
competitive
relationship between development of type-token ratio and
sentence length,
and a supportive relationship between finite verb ratio and noun
phrase
length. The authors conclude that in the dynamic system of
language learning,
‘there can be no development without variability, and the
amount and type of
variability can reveal the actual developmental process’ (p.
229).
In another DST/CAF study, Spoelman and Verspoor (2010)
tracked a Dutch
learner’s acquisition of written Finnish over three years. They
examined
accuracy (case usage) and several measures of complexity
(morphemes per
word, words per noun phrase, and ‘difference between the
average sentence
length in morphemes and the average sentence length in words’,
p. 539). The
results once again showed the interaction of variables over time,
with the
learner’s complexity variables sometimes competing and
sometimes support-
ing each other. Interestingly, although accuracy and complexity
seemed to be
in competition early in the study period, they later changed to a
noncompe-
titive relationship as the learner became more proficient,
suggesting that
proficiency level may have an impact on the interaction of
variables. Similar
to Verspoor et al. (2008), Spoelman and Verspoor (2010)
maintain that these
language learner systems demonstrate the ‘classic’ jumps,
transitions, and
nonlinear development of dynamic systems.
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The findings of these DST-based CAF studies show the
importance of seeking
emergent dynamic patterns within the components of language
systems
(Larsen-Freeman 2009; de Bot and Larsen-Freeman 2011). So
far, however,
research in this area has concentrated on instructed, mainly
written language
learning in academic settings, and researchers have not applied
the DST the-
oretical framework or CAF constructs to studying untutored
language devel-
opment. In addition, although several of these studies involve
high-
intermediate (Larsen-Freeman 2006) or advanced learners
(Verspoor et al.
2008), by and large the CAF/DST paradigm has not explicitly
engaged with
the special concerns of advanced language capacities. One of
the main goals of
the current study, therefore, is to specifically tease out the
important issues
related to L2 advancedness, particularly as they apply to
nonacademic
contexts.
ADVANCED LANGUAGE CAPACITIES
Although studies of advanced language learners have often
figured in import-
ant SLA research, a wake-up call was sounded by Ortega and
Byrnes’ (2008)
collection of longitudinal research on advanced language
capacities. There is
an acute need, they argue, to closely examine the question of
how ‘learning
over time evolve[s] toward sophisticated second language
capacities, indeed to
high-level multiple-language capacities’ (p. 282). Researchers
may often call
for longitudinal studies of language development, but the field
has yet to come
to a consensus on what advancedness means in terms of L2
capabilities, or on
how it should be measured. Researchers such as Harklau (2008),
Myles (2008),
and Angelelli (2008) offer different definitions and
methodological techniques
for capturing advanced L2 use, including various qualitative and
quantitative
approaches that examine linguistic, sociolinguistic, and
pragmatic aspects of
language acquisition.
By claiming to investigate an advanced language learner,
therefore, the pre-
sent study grapples with the unresolved theoretical issue of
what advancedness
actually is. Research set in any kind of instructional context can
easily rely on
test scores, institutional status, or classroom performance to
define advanced
language capacities (Ortega and Byrnes 2008), and laboratory-
based research
can elicit advanced or late-acquired linguistic features to claim
advancedness.
In the present type of research conducted with an untutored
learner, none of
these options are available. We therefore prefer the criterion of
‘advanced
language use in context’ (Ortega and Byrnes 2008: 282), based
on what the
focal participant uses language to do in everyday life.
This more naturalistic approach to advancedness allows us to
take the study
of advanced language capacities outside of academically
defined parameters
and into the context of untutored learning. Just as there have
been few studies
of untutored language acquisition from a CAF or DST
framework, so, too, are
studies of advanced naturalistic learners few and far between.
Ortega and
Byrnes’ (2008) collection does not include any studies on
untutored learners,
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mainly because most research on advanced language learning
has overwhelm-
ingly privileged written and academic language. The authors
conclude that
‘longitudinal research on advancedness would benefit from
sampling across
a variety of social settings that afford opportunities for diverse
language rep-
ertoires, as this will enrich the developmental insights we
obtain’ (Ortega and
Byrnes 2008: 284). It seems clear that not only are more
longitudinal studies of
advanced language learning needed, but more are needed in a
variety of con-
texts, such as untutored learners in a target-language setting.
A point of contention in the debate on advancedness seems to be
whether
learner language should be compared with native speaker norms
(Ortega and
Byrnes 2008). In this article, we take the position that L2
systems should never
be seen merely as deficient versions of native speaker language
systems (Cook
2002; Harklau 2008), but it would be difficult to establish any
learner’s level of
advancedness without considering target-like language use. For
this reason,
the present study uses a native speaker comparison with the
intention not of
showing deficiencies, but rather of showing the advanced
language capacity of
an untutored learner. This is similar to Verspoor et al.’s (2008)
inclusion of a
native speaker comparison, which is a helpful touchstone for
interpreting the
performance of non-native speakers. In addition to the native
speaker data
collected in this study, we offer comparisons of our
participant’s language
with that of non-native English speakers in several previous
studies that
have measured naturalistic oral data.
In summary, the study presented in later text seeks to join
several strands of
research that have not yet been united but which have the
potential to en-
hance our understanding of language learning: DST, CAF,
naturalistic learn-
ing, and advanced language capacities. The complexity theory
perspective
allows us to analyze various developmental patterns of an
untutored but
nevertheless advanced L2 user, and the CAF platform provides a
systematic
and conceptually clear set of tools for our investigation.
METHODS
Participants
Focal participant
The focal participant in this study, Alex (a pseudonym), is a
native speaker of
Turkish who had lived in the USA for two and a half years at
the beginning of
the interview period. Although Alex completed a bachelor’s
degree in televi-
sion production at a prestigious university in Istanbul, he
describes his English
at the time of his arrival in the USA as very basic. In fact, his
experience with
English had been overwhelmingly negative before his
interactions with
Americans. According to Alex, he had taken English for four
years in high
school—delivered strictly through grammar-translation
instruction—but never
managed to pass the class (he was allowed to graduate on the
strength of his
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grades in other subjects). At university, he was required to take
a year-long
English preparatory program before beginning his degree
studies. Alex esti-
mates that he attended only about 30 percent of the English
classes during that
year, and he failed to pass the English examination that would
allow him to
proceed with his major studies. To help him move on with the
degree, his
department allowed him to complete a ‘project’ in lieu of
passing the difficult
examination; the project entailed writing 100 words on a sheet
of notebook
paper, which Alex accomplished, thus ending his English
learning
requirements.
Alex attributes his repeated failures and complete lack of
interest in English
to poor teaching methods and to his belief (at the time) that the
language was
completely irrelevant to his life. This belief necessarily
changed, however,
when Alex moved to the USA at the age of 25. Once in the
USA, he used
only English outside the home, although he reports reading
newspapers,
watching movies and television shows, and talking weekly with
his family
in Turkish. His interview comments reveal a positive orientation
toward the
target language community and an openness to the new language
and culture:
For me I’m don’t believe I’m belongs to one culture. Basically I
am
making my own culture . . . You know anytime I learn
something, if
it’s better than what I have, I get it. That’s my culture now. I
found
it something like that in English, in United State, and I took it
some
of them. Now they are my culture. But, something is ridiculous,
it
will never be my culture . . . I believe everybody have to do
that, like
this. (February 14)
Although Alex did have some formal language instruction in his
home coun-
try, in this study, he is considered an untutored learner because
his English
skills were rudimentary at the time of his arrival in the target
language con-
text, because he has not taken any language classes in the USA,
and because
he has learned English primarily through quotidian interaction
(Lightbown
and Spada 2006). At the same time, Alex can be considered an
advanced
English user based on what he is able to accomplish through
everyday use
of the language (Harklau 2008; Ortega and Byrnes 2008).
During this year-
long study, he worked in an English-only context as an assistant
department
manager in a supermarket, supervising 25 employees (mainly
native English
speakers), complying with strict federal food safety regulations,
and managing
high volumes of perishable food inventory. Alex began working
part-time in
the supermarket six months after he arrived in the USA and in
three years was
promoted three times, in competition with native English
speakers. Shortly
after the study ended, he was promoted again, to department
manager.
Native speakers
Three native speakers were selected for comparison (two
females and one
male), and they were each interviewed under similar
circumstances as Alex
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(see Procedures for details). These speakers were all
undergraduate
students at a university in the same city where Alex lives, with
majors of
religious studies, applied linguistics, and education/drama. We
believe that
these participants provide an appropriate comparison group
because they
are at a similar education level as Alex (obtaining bachelor’s
degrees) and
were discussing topics conceptually similar to topics in several
of Alex’s
interviews.
Procedures
For exactly one year, Alex was interviewed once every two
weeks for approxi-
mately 30 minutes. Several factors contributed to providing an
authentic con-
text for language production: (1) Alex is a friend of the first
author and has
experience discussing a wide variety of topics with her, (2) the
interviews took
place in a familiar and nonthreatening environment, and (3)
Alex was encour-
aged to choose topics that he enjoyed and felt comfortable
discussing through-
out the unstructured interview. The interviews were carried out
by the first
author, whose primary role was simply to be a conversational
participant to
elicit speech production from Alex. Because the goal of data
collection was to
gather authentic speech, topics varied and the conversation was
unstructured
and unplanned (Duff 2008). Alex selected the topics for
discussion (such as
politics, childhood memories, or his experience learning
English) and could
decide when to move on to a new subject. The interviews
therefore provided
realistic and meaning-oriented communicative situations
(Hesse-Biber and
Leavy 2011).
Interviews were held every two weeks to capture any
microgenetic
changes in Alex’s language. Microdevelopment is important in
DST, as it can
provide details on how processes actually develop, particularly
during key
moments of transition (Larsen-Freeman and Cameron 2008b). In
addition,
the study was designed along the longitudinal timescale of one
year, which
was long enough to represent development but still a
manageable commit-
ment for the participant (see Ortega and Iberri-Shea 2005 for a
discussion of
choosing timescales).
In addition to Alex’s data, three interviews were held with the
native speak-
ers to obtain comparison data. These interviews were conducted
in much the
same way as the interviews with Alex, with the main difference
being that
they were slightly longer, at 45–60 minutes. The three native
speakers were
familiar with the first author, who also carried out these
interviews. Interviews
were recorded in a familiar environment on a laptop computer,
and the topic
discussed was language learning, which was also a topic in
Alex’s interviews.
Although native speaker conversation can vary in its
complexity, because vari-
ables such as interlocutor, topic, and passage length were
controlled for (see
Data Analysis), these data provide an appropriate starting point
for target-like
use comparison.
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Data analysis and intercoder reliability
To investigate Alex’s longitudinal development of complexity
and accuracy,
100-word passages were taken from each interview transcript
(following
Spoelman and Verspoor 2010). The passage selected from each
transcript
was the end of the last turn in which Alex spoke more than 100
words. This
was done to eliminate very short interactional utterances and
dialogic re-
sponses that may have different levels of complexity and
accuracy than
longer utterances. Passages were taken from the end of each
interview because
it was assumed that Alex would be speaking more naturally at
the end rather
than the beginning of the recording. Due to the organic nature
of the interview
setting, discussion topics varied by session.
1
False starts, repetitions, inserts,
and other hesitation phenomena were excluded from the
passages, so that the
100-word segments represented Alex’s speech without
hesitation phenomena.
As in Spoelman and Verspoor (2010) and other studies, the oral
data were
converted to CHAT format to be compatible with CHILDES
program software
(MacWhinney 2000). The data were then analyzed for syntactic
complexity
(mean length of AS-units, clauses per AS-unit, mean length of
clauses), lexical
diversity (D), and accuracy (errors per 100 words, present
simple tense).
AS-units
The 100-word passages were divided into analysis of speech
units (AS-units),
which are defined as ‘an independent clause, or sub-clausal
unit, together with
any subordinate clauses associated with either’ (Foster et al.
2000: 365).
AS-units have been widely used with oral data in SLA studies in
the past
decade (Norris and Ortega 2009), and this was deemed the most
appropriate
unit of measurement for the present study. To maintain
consistent AS-unit
analysis, we followed Foster et al. (2000) as far as possible.
Some examples of
the AS-unit in the data include You are not government and
Because they knew
ninety percent people say ‘yes’.
In cases where the 100-word passages did not coincide with the
boundaries
of AS-units, the entire AS-unit was retained for purposes of
counting mean
length of AS-units and clauses per AS-unit. This was done to
avoid including
incomplete AS-units in these complexity measures, which would
have dis-
torted them.
Complexity
As complexity and accuracy have been operationalized in
various ways in
previous research (Ellis and Barkhuizen 2005), any researcher
must choose
from among several different ways of measuring these
constructs. Since this
study focused on oral language development over time, it
seemed appropriate
to consider complexity as holistically as possible to reveal any
possible patterns.
Following Norris and Ortega (2009), syntactic complexity was
investigated in
terms of length (mean length of AS-units), subordination
(clauses per
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AS-unit), and phrasal elaboration (mean length of clauses). A
measure of
lexical diversity, D, was also included in our complexity
analysis, as suggested
by Skehan (2009). D has been shown to measure similar
features in the speech
of both native English speakers and L2 learners (Durán et al.
2004) and has
been suggested as one of the most valid measures for oral
narratives of English
L2 speakers (Lu 2012).
Accuracy
Previous CAF studies have measured accuracy in a variety of
ways, including
percentage of error-free clauses, errors per 100 words,
percentage of target-like
verbal morphology, and percentage of target-like use of plurals,
among others
(Ellis and Barkhuizen 2005). The present study used two
measures of accur-
acy, one global and one focused on a specific linguistic feature
(present simple
tense). It was decided that errors per 100 words would provide
the best global
representation of the learner’s accuracy because, given the high
number of
errors that often characterizes naturalistic learners’ speech, few
of Alex’s
AS-units were error-free. However, some units contained only
one error and
others contained five or more errors, so it was more informative
to count errors
per 100 words.
To determine global accuracy, an error analysis was conducted
in which any
mistakes that a native speaker would normally not make were
considered
errors (Ellis and Barkhuizen 2005). In instances where more
than one error
caused an utterance to be non-target-like, each aspect of the
error was counted
as an error. For example, in Alex’s utterance Even somebody
pay me million dollar
I won’t change, mistakes were counted based on the target-like
sentence Even if
somebody paid me a million dollars I wouldn’t change it, which
was derived from
the context. The minimum number of changes needed to turn the
learner
utterance into the target-like utterance was considered to be the
number of
errors in this AS-unit: if, paid, a, dollars, wouldn’t, it (six in
total). In addition,
obvious lexical errors were counted as one mistake, as in My
father let them work
in a context that called for My father made them work. This
method of error
analysis could raise questions about the L2 learner’s desire to
match target-
language norms, as well as the appropriateness of the
researcher’s interpret-
ation and reconstruction (Ellis and Barkhuizen 2005). However,
as yet no
alternative has been devised that can measure global accuracy
without intro-
ducing these issues, so this method was used consistently
throughout the
present data analysis.
To complement this global accuracy measure, present simple
tense was
selected as a more specific linguistic measure that would be
appropriate to
the interview setting and to Alex’s linguistic proficiency.
2
Present simple ac-
curacy was measured by analyzing each 100-word passage for
obligatory use
contexts of present simple tense. Because the number and type
of obligatory
contexts varied by interview session, it was decided to use
percentage scores
rather than raw frequencies. The number of correct suppliances
of the target
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verbal morphology in a passage was divided by the sum of the
number of
obligatory contexts plus the number of oversupplied present
simple verbs
(e.g., supplying present tense where past tense would be
appropriate), follow-
ing Pica (1984). The resulting target-like use analysis therefore
considers both
underuse and overuse of the simple present tense.
Native speaker analysis
Passages from the native speakers were selected and analyzed
following the
same procedures described previously, except that they were
analyzed only for
complexity, not accuracy.
Intercoder reliability
To assess reliability, interrater reliability for AS-units,
complexity, and accur-
acy analysis was calculated with 25 percent of data after the
researchers coded
the data independently. In terms of identifying AS-units, simple
percentage
agreement between the researchers was 98 percent.
Additionally, simple per-
centage agreement between the raters for complexity was 100
percent for
words and 94 percent for clauses. In terms of accuracy, simple
percentage
agreement between the researchers was 90 percent for the
number of errors
and 97 percent for the present simple tense analysis. The
disagreements in data
coding were resolved through discussion, typically deferring to
the first author
who had coded the entire data.
RESULTS
Over the one-year period, Alex’s syntactic complexity, lexical
diversity, and
accuracy each showed distinctive patterns. Each of these results
will be dis-
cussed in detail in further text, followed by comparisons with
native speakers
and other non-native speakers from previous studies (Klein and
Dimroth 2009;
Schmidt 1984). Raw counts of each measure for all 24 weeks
are provided in
the supplementary material for Table A1.
Syntactic complexity
In looking at the three components of syntactic complexity over
time, we first
see that all three seem to exhibit variation, with no clear
patterns of develop-
ment visible in simple graphs of raw data (Figure 1a and 1b).
This high degree
of fluctuation is not surprising, given that interlanguage
development is
known to display properties of dynamic systems, including
variability over
time (Verspoor et al. 2008; Spoelman and Verspoor 2010). At
the same time,
polynomial trend lines show a very slight decrease in clauses
per AS-unit over
the year, suggesting no improvement or negative improvement
in this meas-
ure, but a slight increase in words per AS-unit and words per
clause, indicating
possible improvement in these two areas. To investigate these
developmental
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http://applij.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/full/amt013/DC1
patterns in more depth, moving averages graphs and moving
min–max graphs
were created to obtain a clearer picture of the dynamics of each
measure
(Verspoor et al. 2011). These two methods of visualization are
examples of
tools available within a dynamic systems framework that allow
researchers
to more accurately trace developmental variability over time.
Looking first at clauses per AS-unit, which did not seem to
exhibit any
improvement over time in the raw data graphs, we see that an
examination
of the moving min–max graph for clauses per AS-unit (Figure 2)
likewise gives
little indication of improvement. It shows two periods
throughout the year
(March through June and August through October) in which the
min and
max line open into wider windows, indicating greater volatility
in this per-
formance measure during those times. These open-window
transition periods
are known as phase shifts, and often point toward a
restructuring within the
learner language system that can result in significant change
(Larsen-Freeman
and Cameron 2008a, 2008b). However, the two potential phase
shifts taking
place in Alex’s clauses per AS-unit do not seem to alter his
performance; the
measure continues to hover around 1.5, even after the transition
period in the
second half of the year. Despite several very high points,
therefore, we cannot
conclude that Alex improved in this measure of syntactic
complexity (i.e.,
subordination).
When we look at words per AS-unit and words per clause, a
different picture
emerges. Raw data graphs show a similar story of high volatility
throughout
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Figure 1: (a) Clauses per AS-unit over time. (b) Words per AS-
unit and
words per clause over time
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the year, which is difficult to interpret on its own, although
polynomial trend
lines allow for the possibility of overall improvement over the
study period.
The min–max graph for words per clause (Figure 3) shows a
decrease occurring
around the same time that the phase shift takes place for clauses
per AS-unit
(April 18 through June 19). This leads to an apparent phase
shift beginning in
late September and continuing through the end of the study
period, which
means that as the second phase shift was ending for clauses per
AS-unit, the
restructuring for words per clause was just beginning. Because
we do not know
when this phase shift will end, or what Alex’s level of words
per clause will be
after the restructuring period, it is not possible to conclude
whether words per
clause will mimic clauses per AS-unit in staying steady, or
whether it will show
improvement. Overall, however, it seems possible that despite
the downward
polynomial curve visible in the moving averages graph,
syntactic development
may be taking place in this performance component.
The min–max graph of words per AS-unit (Figure 4) is
somewhat similar to
words per clause, which is not surprising, given their conceptual
overlap and
close relationship on the raw data graph. Words per AS-unit
also demonstrates
two phase shifts over the year, but with the difference that as its
second phase
shift ends in late October, Alex’s performance appears to have
actually im-
proved. The min line is noticeably higher during the second
phase shift than
during the first, and Alex’s words per AS-unit is trending
upwards as the study
ends. Although it is difficult to say for sure, it appears that this
performance
measure may indicate Alex’s ongoing improvement as the study
period ends.
In terms of Alex’s overall syntactic competence, close
examination of his
language over the year further suggests that the word-based
measures may be
improving. For instance, Excerpt 1 shows that Alex produced
somewhat short
simple AS-units at the beginning of the data collection period
when he recalled
an episode from his childhood.
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Figure 2: Moving min–max graph of clauses/AS-unit
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Excerpt 1: January 17
3
But it sometimes took all day long. / But I worked. / I got so
many. /
Sometimes my father let them work. / Because we have a market
/
we were building house. / I don’t know / it was very funny.
By October (Excerpt 2), when describing another episode from
his childhood,
his AS-units and clauses are more sophisticated.
Excerpt 2: October 21
Let’s say ten thousand bricks need :: to go to third floor. / For
one is
enough for children / and my father was saying to children ::
this
thing done. / Let’s say twenty children around the house. / Take
it
down there / I will buy a drinks for everybody.
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Words/AS-unit
Min
Max
Figure 4: Moving min–max graph of words per AS-unit
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Figure 3: Moving min–max graph of words per clause
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Keeping in mind the fact that Alex’s language did show
variability throughout
the year—and that in some cases the word-based measures were
longer in
some early interviews than in some later interviews—by the end
of the
study period, he may be more capable of producing longer
syntactic structures
in terms of length, subordination, and phrasal elaboration.
Lexical diversity
The measure of lexical diversity used in this study, D, shows
the clearest
improvement of any of Alex’s linguistic features. Although
there is consider-
able variation throughout the year, with a sudden spike around
August, a
visual inspection of the raw data graph (Figure 5) suggests a
consistent
upward trend. This is confirmed by a moving averages graph of
D (Figure 6),
in which the data points have been smoothed into a more
obvious upward
curve.
Accuracy
Accuracy displays a great deal of variability but no patterns of
clear develop-
ment during the study period. As Figures 7 and 8 show, both
measures (which
are inversely related, as one represents number of errors and
one represents
correct percent of present simple tense) were characterized by
high variability
over time. Moving min–max graphs (Figures 9 and 10) also
show no develop-
ment, instead indicating a possible downward trend in accuracy
over the year.
The min–max graph of global accuracy shows a potential phase
shift window
opening up from May through August, but this is followed by an
increase in
number of errors for the rest of the year. We therefore cannot
say whether
global accuracy will remain low or will improve later on,
although the data
indicate no change in the foreseeable future.
The min–max graph of present simple tense is even more
variable, with a
wide distance between minimum and maximum values for
almost the entire
study period. This indicates high volatility, which continues
until the end of
the study, leaving us with no clear picture of how Alex’s
present simple
accuracy will continue to develop. The fact that both his global
and present
simple tense accuracy fluctuate so much could mean that his
interlanguage
grammar is still in the midst of development, or it could mean
that his accuracy
may have entered a strong attractor state, in which variability
occurs within
stability (Larsen-Freeman and Cameron 2008a, 2008b).
Native speaker and non-native speaker comparisons
Alex’s syntactic complexity and lexical diversity from his first
and last inter-
views, as well as from his highest and lowest interviews, were
compared with
that of the native speakers (Table 1). Here we see expected
variation among
the three native speakers, but we also see that in at least some
of his inter-
views, Alex is squarely within the native speaker range for two
or possibly
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three of these measures. His lexical diversity, just approaching
native speaker
levels early in the year, consistently surpasses the native
speakers by the end of
the study period. It is important to note that lexical diversity
measures are
probably dependent on speaker-external factors such as
conversation topic,
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Figure 7: Errors over time
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Figure 5: Lexical diversity over time
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Figure 6: Moving averages graph of lexical diversity
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Figure 9: Moving min–max graph of global accuracy (errors)
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Figure 10: Moving min–max graph of present simple accuracy
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Figure 8: Present simple tense accuracy over time
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level of formality, and so forth, which means that these values
will vary even
for a single native speaker. The fact that Alex has reached a
particular D value
does not, therefore, imply that his speech is in general more
lexically complex
than that of the native speakers. Rather, the important finding
from this com-
parison is that Alex is within native speaker range, even
allowing for the
variation that naturally takes place within conversation.
In terms of syntactic complexity, Alex’s words per clause,
which showed
only slight (if any) improvement over the year, is in line with
the native
speakers (at or above 5.05) for half of his interviews, whereas
words per
AS-unit is somewhat lower in comparison with native speakers.
However, as
four of Alex’s words per AS-unit scores are in the low 9 range
(which is
approaching that of the lowest native speaker at 9.55), he may
be quite
close to target-like levels for words per AS-unit, as well.
Similarly, three of
Alex’s interviews show that he is capable of at least sometimes
achieving
clauses per AS-unit at native speaker levels (above 1.8 clauses
per AS-unit),
even if he is far below this range in most other interviews. In
summary,
although Alex is not as obviously comparable with the native
speakers in
syntactic complexity as he is for lexical diversity, he is
consistently within
native speaker range for one measure (words per clause) and is
not far
below the native speakers in the other two (words per AS-unit
and clauses
per AS-unit).
Although we believe that these native speaker comparisons
provide insights
into Alex’s advancedness in various aspect of language
complexity, we also
considered the performance of untutored non-native speakers
from previous
studies. First, although Alex’s grammatical accuracy remains
highly imperfect,
we can see that he has moved far beyond the BV spoken among
the low-
proficiency European Science Foundation learners (Klein and
Dimroth
2009). The BV contains no inflection or marking of tense,
aspect, or agree-
ment, and its lexicon ‘essentially consists of a repertoire of
noun-like and verb-
like words as well as a few adjectives and adverbs’ (Klein and
Dimroth 2009:
510). In Alex’s speech, in contrast, we see morphological
marking even in the
first interview, and throughout the year, as shown in Excerpts 3
and 4.
Table 1: Alex’s syntactic complexity and lexical diversity
compared with
native speakers’
Measure Alex
(First)
Alex
(Last)
Alex
(Lowest)
Alex
(Highest)
NS 1 NS 2 NS 3 NS
average
D 55.88 83.05 42.59 125.41 64.62 58.03 56.97 59.87
Words/AS-unit 9.36 8.75 5.56 9.45 12.63 9.55 11.22 11.13
Clauses/AS-unit 1.73 1.50 1.15 2.00 1.88 1.82 2.22 1.97
Words/clause 5.42 5.83 4.00 6.67 6.73 5.25 5.05 5.68
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Excerpt 3: January 2
But if they are gonna lose I want them to lose very bad . . . for
example when they play important game or any other countries,
I will support them.
Excerpt 4: August 8
They were trying to do so obvious because they were trusting
themselves too much. But people is not stupid anymore.
Alex clearly has a wide range of vocabulary words at his
disposal, including
many closed-class items (pronouns, conjunctions, quantifiers)
that are rare in
the BV, and he conveys nuanced temporality and negation, even
though
non-native elements remain. He is able to express quite
sophisticated ideas
with his grammatical system, a capacity that is doubtless
necessary for his
work responsibilities and managerial duties.
In his high-level communicative competence, Alex resembles
another
naturalistic learner, Wes, whose professional success and
limited grammatical
system were chronicled by Schmidt (1984). Like Wes, Alex is
apparently suc-
cessful at communicating with a range of native speakers for
personal and
professional purposes, and he seems mostly untroubled by
differences between
his own way of speaking and that of native speakers. He also
shares Wes’
propensity to simplify verbal morphology, delete articles and
plural markings,
and ignore clausal subordination. However, whereas Wes
achieved an accur-
acy of only 24 percent for third person –s marking after living
in the USA
for five years, Alex accurately marked third person endings as
much as
100 percent of the time in some interview excerpts (although on
occasion,
his accuracy dropped below 50 percent). It therefore seems that
although
Alex’s grammatical accuracy did not improve much during the
study period,
he has managed to become rather more accurate than some other
naturalistic
learners.
DISCUSSION
This study attempted to bring untutored language development
into the CAF/
DST conversation, in the hope that this might broaden our
perspective and
allow us to form a more coherent picture of language learning.
We found that
Alex performs very differently on three different form-based
aspects of L2
performance—syntactic complexity, lexical diversity, and
accuracy—and that
even within a single one of these measures (syntactic
complexity), his per-
formance is quite different on three different subcomponents.
All of this
validates Norris and Ortega’s (2009) call for differentiation
between the specific
components of complexity, as well as Skehan’s (2009) call for
inclusion of
lexical measures in complexity research. The study shows that
for at least
one learner, each of these subcomponents may develop in a
different way,
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and therefore they should be measured individually if we wish
to see a clearer
picture of language development.
It is likely that Alex’s unique situation as an untutored but
educated immi-
grant led him to advance beyond the BV (Klein and Perdue
1993) and the level
of grammatical competence achieved by Wes (Schmidt 1984)
and some other
naturalistic learners (Shumann 1978; Huebner 1983). As a high
school and
early university student, Alex apparently lacked motivation to
learn English
and skipped most of his English classes, but the time he did
spend in English
class may have paved the way for future development. On the
other hand, his
language displays the primary hallmark of untutored adult
language learning:
limited grammatical accuracy that may or may not show
development in the
future. Alex shows himself to be a very competent and willing
communicator,
despite obvious grammatical inaccuracies that would likely have
been
corrected had he learned in a classroom setting.
Constraints on grammatical accuracy in untutored learning are
understand-
able when we consider how untutored acquisition differs from
instructed lan-
guage learning. Two unique features of untutored acquisition
could be
responsible for this phenomenon: the presence of
communicative pressure
and the absence of systematic external control (Dimroth and
Starren 2003;
Klein and Dimroth 2009). According to Klein and Dimroth
(2009), ‘Unlike
students in the classroom, immigrant workers rapidly find
themselves in situ-
ations in which they cannot wait for the relevant structures to be
acquired in
the exact target language way’ (p. 507), thus forcing them to
use whatever
linguistic means they have available for complex
communicative purposes.
Because their communicative needs exceed their language
knowledge, they
develop language systems that may be ‘partly independent of
the source and
target language regularities’ (p. 508).
Additionally, untutored learners do not have the benefit of
external con-
trol in the form of teachers, tests, and grades (Klein and
Dimroth 2009).
When learners interact with native-speaking interlocutors, they
usually do
not receive any feedback on their grammatical accuracy if their
meaning is
understood. Untutored learners may therefore simply rely on
communica-
tive effectiveness as their feedback, which probably
corresponds to a much
greater emphasis on meaning than form. As a result, meaningful
segments
of language such as lexical items, which are necessary for the
learner to
make himself understood, may be integrated into the learner’s
interlan-
guage system, whereas ‘meaningless’ and redundant
grammatical features
may not be.
It is likely that for learners like Alex and Wes, whose
overriding concern is
communicative effectiveness, language primarily develops in
ways that pro-
mote or complement their communicative needs. In DST terms,
their language
is ‘soft assembled’ into a linguistic system consisting of
necessary grammatical
elements, lexical knowledge required by personal or
occupational demands,
and the pragmatic and social competence needed to function
with limited
linguistic means. Alex (along with other untutored learners)
seems strongly
B. POLAT AND Y. KIM 203
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on 12 December 2017
pulled toward an attractor state of grammatical accuracy,
meaning that his
interlanguage grammar system is highly variable but exists
within a stable
plane. Although this type of attractor state may precede a phase
shift, signaling
continued development (Larsen-Freeman and Cameron 2008a),
it is not pos-
sible to know what will occur in Alex’s language after the study
period. His
accuracy and/or complexity may be pulled out of this potential
attractor state
by increased demands on his English abilities at work, or they
might remain at
the same level for many years. One possibility is that had the
study continued
after Alex was promoted to a new position, we may have seen
sudden devel-
opment in his performance measures.
Due to space constraints, this study was not able to adequately
address
the complex influence of identity, culture, and context on
Alex’s language
development. We recognize that the environment and specific
attributes of
the learner must play a crucial role in how he or she approaches
L2 learn-
ing, and that issues of acculturation and attitude surely impact
linguistic
development, even if we do not understand the exact
relationship (Block
2010). In particular, because DST highlights the importance of
considering
various factors in language learning (e.g., both cognitive and
social factors),
future studies are warranted that account for cultural and social
aspects of
language development. For instance, does the fact that Alex not
only works
with but supervises native English-speaking employees
contribute positively
to his linguistic development? In what ways does Alex’s
educational status
in his home country, or his ‘downward occupational mobility’ in
the USA
(Batalova et al. 2008: 10), influence his willingness to work
toward gram-
matical competence? In accepting that immigrant identities are
exceedingly
complex and individualized, we necessarily introduce additional
layers into
the language learning process, but we hope that the
sophisticated perspec-
tive offered by DST can help accommodate these important
considerations
in future research.
CONCLUSION
The present study has provided a first attempt to measure
longitudinal com-
plexity and accuracy for an adult untutored learner, and at the
same time,
represents the first DST-based study to look at untutored SLA.
This longitu-
dinal microgenetic record allowed us to see that untutored
language acquisi-
tion may be much more dynamic than it is often given credit
for. For this
reason, researchers should be careful and deliberate in the
constructs and
measurements they use to study longitudinal acquisition, and
they may find
important theoretical and methodological tools in a dynamic
systems approach
to untutored development.
Although the findings of the present study fit well with existing
research
on naturalistic learning, far more longitudinal research is
needed for us to
form a reliable picture of the advanced reaches of untutored
language ac-
quisition. We need additional studies of untutored learners in
different
204 COMPLEXITY AND ACCURACY
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on 12 December 2017
contexts, from different linguistic and cultural backgrounds, and
at different
timescales. In particular, much more research is needed on the
advanced
stages of naturalistic learning with learners from different age-
groups, which
may shed light on psycholinguistic learning mechanisms and
highlight ‘raw’
learning processes. In addition to CAF, other aspects of
linguistic develop-
ment should also be investigated from a DST perspective,
including prag-
matic competence, intonation and pronunciation-related
phenomena, or the
influence of the first language. Future DST studies should also
address the
relationship of learning context, motivation, and identity to
performance
measures, which may offer important information about how
and why
learners progress (or do not progress) as they do.
If the field hopes to more thoroughly understand the SLA
process over
time, researchers would do well to consider both instructed and
unin-
structed learning, as they piece together the social and
psychological con-
structs of acquisition. The possibilities and limitations of
naturalistic learning
have implications for classroom instruction as well, by
indicating which
performance areas benefit most from instruction and which
areas learners
might be best positioned to learn on their own. In addition, a
greater
understanding of naturalistic acquisition processes can help
instructors to
better assist learners from refugee and immigrant backgrounds,
who may
need completely different kinds of instruction and attention than
‘trad-
itional’ classroom learners. In short, if the field of SLA does
not take into
account the fascinating complexity of untutored language
learning, we risk
losing important pieces of the language acquisition puzzle that
could sig-
nificantly enhance our understanding of crucial questions and
our ability to
effectively reach a broader range of learners.
Conflict of interest statement. None declared.
SUPPLEMENTARY DATA
Supplementary material is available at Applied Linguistics
online.
NOTES
1 To determine whether discussion topic
impacted complexity and accuracy
levels, we identified and labeled topic
categories for all interviews (as shown
in the supplementary material for Table
A1). Performance measures for each
topic category were compared, and no
significant differences were found
between topics.
2 Initially, several other linguistic
features were also considered as spe-
cific accuracy measures, including past
tense morphology, negation, and plural
marking. Each of these was examined
in four months of data (January,
February, November, and December),
and patterns were found to be very
similar to patterns in present simple
B. POLAT AND Y. KIM 205
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by University of California, Santa Cruz user
on 12 December 2017
http://applij.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/full/amt013/DC1
http://applij.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/full/amt013/DC1
http://applij.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/full/amt013/DC1
tense. Additionally, because these three
features appeared in many but not all
of the interview sessions, we decided to
include only simple present tense as a
specific measure of accuracy.
3 AS-units are separated by backslash
and clauses are separated by double
colons. Punctuation has been added
for ease of reading.
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DirectionsLength ~3-4 typed, double-spaced pages (approx. 750-1.docx

  • 1. Directions Length: ~3-4 typed, double-spaced pages (approx. 750-1000 words) Content: The reviews will follow a summary/response organization. The following questions should help guide your review: Summary: · General comments: The goal of this part of your review is to demonstrate your comprehension of the study. As such, assume your target audience is non-experts in SLA research. Avoid highly technical details and jargon, opting instead for more accessible language and descriptions, i.e., “your own words.” There should be no need for any quotes in this summary. · Content: Your summary should address the following questions: · What were the goals of the study? What were the researchers hoping to find out as a result of the study? What were the gaps/limitations in our understanding that they were hoping to address? (Note: You do not need to summarize their entire literature review, but should provide some basic background to contextualize the study.) · How did they attempt to address the research questions? Summarize the methodology employed. Who were the participants? What data-collection methods/instruments were used? What was analyzed, compared…? · What were the key findings? (Note: No need to discuss detailed statistical findings. Simply summarize the important findings). How did the researcher(s) interpret these findings in relation to their research questions and previous research discussed in their literature review? Response: · General Comments: The goal of this part of your review is to demonstrate your intellectual interaction with the research you have read.
  • 2. · Content: Your response should address the following questions: · What new terms or concepts have you learned from this article? (Don’t just list terms/concepts, but briefly explain them.) · How do the findings relate to your own experience with and/or ideas about language acquisition? Any surprises? Confirmations? Anything about which you remain skeptical? (If relevant, how do findings relate to other course readings or discussions?) · What questions has this study—the methodology, the findings, etc.—raised for you? What do you suspect might be the answer to your questions? Applied Linguistics 2014: 35/2: 184–207 � Oxford University Press 2013 doi:10.1093/applin/amt013 Advance Access published on 13 July 2013 Dynamics of Complexity and Accuracy: A Longitudinal Case Study of Advanced Untutored Development *BRITTANY POLAT and YOUJIN KIM Georgia State University *E-mail: [email protected] or [email protected] This longitudinal case study follows a dynamic systems approach to investigate an under-studied research area in second language acquisition, the development
  • 3. of complexity and accuracy for an advanced untutored learner of English. Using the analytical tools of dynamic systems theory (Verspoor et al. 2011) within the framework of complexity, accuracy, and fluency (Skehan 1998; Norris and Ortega 2009), the study tracks accuracy, syntactic complexity, and lexical diversity in the speech of a Turkish immigrant over one year. Results from these oral interviews show that most development occurred in the participant’s lexical diversity, syntactic complexity showed potential but unverifiable gains, and accuracy showed no development. These findings suggest that an untutored language learner may develop advanced lexical and syntactic skills, but achiev- ing grammatical accuracy without instruction may be more difficult. Overall, dynamic systems theory seems to provide a suitable framework for examining the linguistic development of advanced naturalistic learners, with important
  • 4. implications for future research involving untutored immigrant and refugee populations of English language learners. INTRODUCTION In recent decades, second language acquisition (SLA) research has predominantly focused on issues in instructed language learning rather than naturalistic language learning. Despite promising early research and several seminal studies of untutored adult learners—Schmidt’s (1984) Wes study, Schumann’s (1978) Alberto study, Huebner’s (1983) Ge study— which have made significant contributions to the field, the vast majority of publications today concentrate on instructed language learning. Although many of these have certainly increased our understanding of how language learning works in the classroom, there are compelling reasons to pay more attention to language acquisition outside the classroom.
  • 5. Whereas many of the students who participate in SLA studies have the luxury of formal language instruction, the majority of the world’s language learners acquire second and additional languages in naturalistic contexts (Klein and Perdue 1993). Without knowing how this type of learning takes place, SLA researchers are missing a crucial part of the language acquisition Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 process: the basic mechanisms that have allowed humans to create and pass on languages for millennia (Klein and Dimroth 2009). As Klein and Dimroth put it: Untutored second language acquisition is not something exotic, it is the normal case, and if we want to understand the very principles according to which the human mind constructs, copies, and uses
  • 6. linguistic systems, then we must study how human beings cope with this task when not under the influence of teaching. (p. 519) As the field discovers how important social and situational factors are in lan- guage learning, it becomes increasingly apparent that tutored and untutored acquisition may have very different driving factors. So far, however, only a few studies in the past two decades have explored naturalistic language learning (Klein and Perdue 1993; Ioup et al. 1994; Dimroth and Starren 2003), and of these, only Ioup et al. (1994) have specifically investigated advanced natural- istic learning, with an English-speaking learner of Arabic. Perhaps the most extensive study of untutored language learning to date is that conducted by the European Science Foundation from 1981 to 1988 (Perdue 1993). This study tracked the development of 40 language learners from a variety of first language backgrounds in five host countries (Britain,
  • 7. France, Sweden, Germany, and The Netherlands) over 30 months and found that immigrants at first developed a basic variety (BV) of the target language. The BVs were all very similar, lacking morphological inflection and consisting of a rudimentary lexicon, and they mainly seemed independent of the lear- ner’s first language and target language. Whereas about one- third of the im- migrants remained at this basic level throughout the study, the others continued to develop beyond the BV (Klein and Perdue 1993). The study has yielded important insights into universals of basic language varieties, as well as developmental stages that most naturalistic learners appear to pass through. However, because the study did not report on learners beyond basic development, we know neither how proficient these learners ultimately became nor what their most advanced forms of learner language looked like.
  • 8. The present study addresses the research lacuna of advanced naturalistic learning by examining the language development of an untutored adult lan- guage learner beginning two and a half years after his arrival in the target language environment. The methodological approach taken is that of dynamic systems theory (DST) (Verspoor et al. 2011), and the variables investigated are two widely used constructs of language performance, complexity and accuracy (Ellis and Barkhuizen 2005). In the following text, we will address the theor- etical considerations behind researching complexity and accuracy from a dynamic systems perspective, and then we will present the 12- month case study. We conclude with a discussion of implications for untutored language acquisition and the importance of integrating research on untutored learning over time into mainstream SLA research. B. POLAT AND Y. KIM 185
  • 9. Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 CAF AND DST Theoretical platforms Researchers of second language (L2) development are increasingly relying on measures of complexity, accuracy, and fluency (known together as CAF) to assess learners’ written and oral proficiency and to probe more deeply into the cognitive processes of language learning (Ellis and Barkhuizen 2005). Originally conceived as a way to distinguish aspects of task performance, these three components are oriented toward either form (complexity and accuracy) or meaning (fluency; Skehan1998). One of the major advantages of CAF-based research is that it provides a sophisticated framework for investigat-
  • 10. ing the multicomponential nature of language use and development. As form has consistently been shown to be challenging for naturalistic learners (Schmidt 1984; Dimroth and Starren 2003), the present study focuses on the two form- oriented components of L2 oral performance, complexity and accuracy. The CAF constructs have frequently been examined by task- based SLA researchers who are interested in the role of task design and implementation in L2 performance (Ellis 2003; Samuda and Bygate 2008). Some researchers assert that the CAF measures have been inconsistently defined and operatio- nalized (Housen and Kuiken 2009), leading to calls for consistent, specific, and validated CAF measures to be used across studies (Norris and Ortega 2009; Pallotti 2009). Norris and Ortega (2009), for example, argue that different operationalizations of complexity capture different facets of language develop-
  • 11. ment, and that researchers should use multiple construct measurements to provide a more complete picture. They also call for ‘more organic practice’ (p. 574) and a deeper consideration of context as an influence on CAF. In other words, according to Norris and Ortega (2009), ‘our measurements must provide multivariate, longitudinal, and descriptive accounts of constructs in L2 performance in order to capture the complex, dynamic, and develop- mental nature of CAF phenomena’ (p. 574). At the same time, many SLA researchers are embracing the perspective that SLA is an individualized nonlinear endeavor, and that research should con- sider the variability and interaction of its components (Larsen- Freeman and Cameron 2008a, 2008b). Although the idea of nonlinearity in language devel- opment is not new, investigations undertaken within this dynamic systems framework have applied new conceptual tools and analyses to
  • 12. the study of developmental variability, showing the complex interrelations of CAF vari- ables within language acquisition (Verspoor et al. 2011). DST researchers advocate longitudinal, fine-grained, and microgenetic studies to discover indi- vidual learning trajectories and the interrelationships of parts within the whole (van Geert and van Dijk 2002; de Bot 2008; Larsen-Freeman and Cameron 2008a). Because DST is centered around time and variability, Ortega and Byrnes (2008) propose that this theoretical approach is very well-suited to the longitudinal study of advanced language capacities. 186 COMPLEXITY AND ACCURACY Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 Empirical research on CAF through DST
  • 13. Because of the relative newness of the dynamic systems paradigm—and the shift in perspective and analytical tools that it requires—only a few studies have as yet connected this framework with CAF. Larsen- Freeman (2006) was the first applied linguist to examine CAF through a DST lens, with a focus on the variability between learners. Her investigation of five instructed Chinese learners of English measured their written development of grammat- ical complexity (clauses per t-unit), lexical complexity (a kind of type-token ratio), accuracy (ratio of correct t-units to all t-units), and fluency (words per t- unit) over four months, in addition to analyzing oral narrative idea units for qualitative differences. The study revealed that although averaged group data showed steady improvement in all three CAF components for the learners, patterns of development for each individual were far removed from the aver-
  • 14. aged trajectory. Learners exhibited unique trajectories, with different rates of improvement and even decreases in some areas, an important fact that had been obscured by the group averages. Given this important individual variability in language acquisition, other CAF studies have examined single language learners over a period of several years. Verspoor et al. (2008) analyzed an advanced English learner’s academic writing for development of vocabulary (measured by average word length, type-token ratio, use of words from the Academic Word List) and complexity (measured by length of noun phrase and number of words per finite verb). They found that although the learner showed development in almost all the aspects investigated, progress was nonlinear and was different for each vari- able. Several interesting patterns emerged, including a possible competitive relationship between development of type-token ratio and
  • 15. sentence length, and a supportive relationship between finite verb ratio and noun phrase length. The authors conclude that in the dynamic system of language learning, ‘there can be no development without variability, and the amount and type of variability can reveal the actual developmental process’ (p. 229). In another DST/CAF study, Spoelman and Verspoor (2010) tracked a Dutch learner’s acquisition of written Finnish over three years. They examined accuracy (case usage) and several measures of complexity (morphemes per word, words per noun phrase, and ‘difference between the average sentence length in morphemes and the average sentence length in words’, p. 539). The results once again showed the interaction of variables over time, with the learner’s complexity variables sometimes competing and sometimes support- ing each other. Interestingly, although accuracy and complexity
  • 16. seemed to be in competition early in the study period, they later changed to a noncompe- titive relationship as the learner became more proficient, suggesting that proficiency level may have an impact on the interaction of variables. Similar to Verspoor et al. (2008), Spoelman and Verspoor (2010) maintain that these language learner systems demonstrate the ‘classic’ jumps, transitions, and nonlinear development of dynamic systems. B. POLAT AND Y. KIM 187 Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 The findings of these DST-based CAF studies show the importance of seeking emergent dynamic patterns within the components of language systems (Larsen-Freeman 2009; de Bot and Larsen-Freeman 2011). So far, however,
  • 17. research in this area has concentrated on instructed, mainly written language learning in academic settings, and researchers have not applied the DST the- oretical framework or CAF constructs to studying untutored language devel- opment. In addition, although several of these studies involve high- intermediate (Larsen-Freeman 2006) or advanced learners (Verspoor et al. 2008), by and large the CAF/DST paradigm has not explicitly engaged with the special concerns of advanced language capacities. One of the main goals of the current study, therefore, is to specifically tease out the important issues related to L2 advancedness, particularly as they apply to nonacademic contexts. ADVANCED LANGUAGE CAPACITIES Although studies of advanced language learners have often figured in import- ant SLA research, a wake-up call was sounded by Ortega and
  • 18. Byrnes’ (2008) collection of longitudinal research on advanced language capacities. There is an acute need, they argue, to closely examine the question of how ‘learning over time evolve[s] toward sophisticated second language capacities, indeed to high-level multiple-language capacities’ (p. 282). Researchers may often call for longitudinal studies of language development, but the field has yet to come to a consensus on what advancedness means in terms of L2 capabilities, or on how it should be measured. Researchers such as Harklau (2008), Myles (2008), and Angelelli (2008) offer different definitions and methodological techniques for capturing advanced L2 use, including various qualitative and quantitative approaches that examine linguistic, sociolinguistic, and pragmatic aspects of language acquisition. By claiming to investigate an advanced language learner, therefore, the pre-
  • 19. sent study grapples with the unresolved theoretical issue of what advancedness actually is. Research set in any kind of instructional context can easily rely on test scores, institutional status, or classroom performance to define advanced language capacities (Ortega and Byrnes 2008), and laboratory- based research can elicit advanced or late-acquired linguistic features to claim advancedness. In the present type of research conducted with an untutored learner, none of these options are available. We therefore prefer the criterion of ‘advanced language use in context’ (Ortega and Byrnes 2008: 282), based on what the focal participant uses language to do in everyday life. This more naturalistic approach to advancedness allows us to take the study of advanced language capacities outside of academically defined parameters and into the context of untutored learning. Just as there have been few studies
  • 20. of untutored language acquisition from a CAF or DST framework, so, too, are studies of advanced naturalistic learners few and far between. Ortega and Byrnes’ (2008) collection does not include any studies on untutored learners, 188 COMPLEXITY AND ACCURACY Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 mainly because most research on advanced language learning has overwhelm- ingly privileged written and academic language. The authors conclude that ‘longitudinal research on advancedness would benefit from sampling across a variety of social settings that afford opportunities for diverse language rep- ertoires, as this will enrich the developmental insights we obtain’ (Ortega and Byrnes 2008: 284). It seems clear that not only are more longitudinal studies of
  • 21. advanced language learning needed, but more are needed in a variety of con- texts, such as untutored learners in a target-language setting. A point of contention in the debate on advancedness seems to be whether learner language should be compared with native speaker norms (Ortega and Byrnes 2008). In this article, we take the position that L2 systems should never be seen merely as deficient versions of native speaker language systems (Cook 2002; Harklau 2008), but it would be difficult to establish any learner’s level of advancedness without considering target-like language use. For this reason, the present study uses a native speaker comparison with the intention not of showing deficiencies, but rather of showing the advanced language capacity of an untutored learner. This is similar to Verspoor et al.’s (2008) inclusion of a native speaker comparison, which is a helpful touchstone for interpreting the performance of non-native speakers. In addition to the native
  • 22. speaker data collected in this study, we offer comparisons of our participant’s language with that of non-native English speakers in several previous studies that have measured naturalistic oral data. In summary, the study presented in later text seeks to join several strands of research that have not yet been united but which have the potential to en- hance our understanding of language learning: DST, CAF, naturalistic learn- ing, and advanced language capacities. The complexity theory perspective allows us to analyze various developmental patterns of an untutored but nevertheless advanced L2 user, and the CAF platform provides a systematic and conceptually clear set of tools for our investigation. METHODS Participants Focal participant
  • 23. The focal participant in this study, Alex (a pseudonym), is a native speaker of Turkish who had lived in the USA for two and a half years at the beginning of the interview period. Although Alex completed a bachelor’s degree in televi- sion production at a prestigious university in Istanbul, he describes his English at the time of his arrival in the USA as very basic. In fact, his experience with English had been overwhelmingly negative before his interactions with Americans. According to Alex, he had taken English for four years in high school—delivered strictly through grammar-translation instruction—but never managed to pass the class (he was allowed to graduate on the strength of his B. POLAT AND Y. KIM 189 Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017
  • 24. grades in other subjects). At university, he was required to take a year-long English preparatory program before beginning his degree studies. Alex esti- mates that he attended only about 30 percent of the English classes during that year, and he failed to pass the English examination that would allow him to proceed with his major studies. To help him move on with the degree, his department allowed him to complete a ‘project’ in lieu of passing the difficult examination; the project entailed writing 100 words on a sheet of notebook paper, which Alex accomplished, thus ending his English learning requirements. Alex attributes his repeated failures and complete lack of interest in English to poor teaching methods and to his belief (at the time) that the language was completely irrelevant to his life. This belief necessarily changed, however, when Alex moved to the USA at the age of 25. Once in the
  • 25. USA, he used only English outside the home, although he reports reading newspapers, watching movies and television shows, and talking weekly with his family in Turkish. His interview comments reveal a positive orientation toward the target language community and an openness to the new language and culture: For me I’m don’t believe I’m belongs to one culture. Basically I am making my own culture . . . You know anytime I learn something, if it’s better than what I have, I get it. That’s my culture now. I found it something like that in English, in United State, and I took it some of them. Now they are my culture. But, something is ridiculous, it will never be my culture . . . I believe everybody have to do that, like this. (February 14) Although Alex did have some formal language instruction in his home coun- try, in this study, he is considered an untutored learner because his English skills were rudimentary at the time of his arrival in the target language con-
  • 26. text, because he has not taken any language classes in the USA, and because he has learned English primarily through quotidian interaction (Lightbown and Spada 2006). At the same time, Alex can be considered an advanced English user based on what he is able to accomplish through everyday use of the language (Harklau 2008; Ortega and Byrnes 2008). During this year- long study, he worked in an English-only context as an assistant department manager in a supermarket, supervising 25 employees (mainly native English speakers), complying with strict federal food safety regulations, and managing high volumes of perishable food inventory. Alex began working part-time in the supermarket six months after he arrived in the USA and in three years was promoted three times, in competition with native English speakers. Shortly after the study ended, he was promoted again, to department manager.
  • 27. Native speakers Three native speakers were selected for comparison (two females and one male), and they were each interviewed under similar circumstances as Alex 190 COMPLEXITY AND ACCURACY Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 (see Procedures for details). These speakers were all undergraduate students at a university in the same city where Alex lives, with majors of religious studies, applied linguistics, and education/drama. We believe that these participants provide an appropriate comparison group because they are at a similar education level as Alex (obtaining bachelor’s degrees) and were discussing topics conceptually similar to topics in several of Alex’s
  • 28. interviews. Procedures For exactly one year, Alex was interviewed once every two weeks for approxi- mately 30 minutes. Several factors contributed to providing an authentic con- text for language production: (1) Alex is a friend of the first author and has experience discussing a wide variety of topics with her, (2) the interviews took place in a familiar and nonthreatening environment, and (3) Alex was encour- aged to choose topics that he enjoyed and felt comfortable discussing through- out the unstructured interview. The interviews were carried out by the first author, whose primary role was simply to be a conversational participant to elicit speech production from Alex. Because the goal of data collection was to gather authentic speech, topics varied and the conversation was unstructured and unplanned (Duff 2008). Alex selected the topics for discussion (such as
  • 29. politics, childhood memories, or his experience learning English) and could decide when to move on to a new subject. The interviews therefore provided realistic and meaning-oriented communicative situations (Hesse-Biber and Leavy 2011). Interviews were held every two weeks to capture any microgenetic changes in Alex’s language. Microdevelopment is important in DST, as it can provide details on how processes actually develop, particularly during key moments of transition (Larsen-Freeman and Cameron 2008b). In addition, the study was designed along the longitudinal timescale of one year, which was long enough to represent development but still a manageable commit- ment for the participant (see Ortega and Iberri-Shea 2005 for a discussion of choosing timescales). In addition to Alex’s data, three interviews were held with the
  • 30. native speak- ers to obtain comparison data. These interviews were conducted in much the same way as the interviews with Alex, with the main difference being that they were slightly longer, at 45–60 minutes. The three native speakers were familiar with the first author, who also carried out these interviews. Interviews were recorded in a familiar environment on a laptop computer, and the topic discussed was language learning, which was also a topic in Alex’s interviews. Although native speaker conversation can vary in its complexity, because vari- ables such as interlocutor, topic, and passage length were controlled for (see Data Analysis), these data provide an appropriate starting point for target-like use comparison. B. POLAT AND Y. KIM 191 Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user
  • 31. on 12 December 2017 Data analysis and intercoder reliability To investigate Alex’s longitudinal development of complexity and accuracy, 100-word passages were taken from each interview transcript (following Spoelman and Verspoor 2010). The passage selected from each transcript was the end of the last turn in which Alex spoke more than 100 words. This was done to eliminate very short interactional utterances and dialogic re- sponses that may have different levels of complexity and accuracy than longer utterances. Passages were taken from the end of each interview because it was assumed that Alex would be speaking more naturally at the end rather than the beginning of the recording. Due to the organic nature of the interview setting, discussion topics varied by session. 1
  • 32. False starts, repetitions, inserts, and other hesitation phenomena were excluded from the passages, so that the 100-word segments represented Alex’s speech without hesitation phenomena. As in Spoelman and Verspoor (2010) and other studies, the oral data were converted to CHAT format to be compatible with CHILDES program software (MacWhinney 2000). The data were then analyzed for syntactic complexity (mean length of AS-units, clauses per AS-unit, mean length of clauses), lexical diversity (D), and accuracy (errors per 100 words, present simple tense). AS-units The 100-word passages were divided into analysis of speech units (AS-units), which are defined as ‘an independent clause, or sub-clausal unit, together with any subordinate clauses associated with either’ (Foster et al. 2000: 365). AS-units have been widely used with oral data in SLA studies in the past
  • 33. decade (Norris and Ortega 2009), and this was deemed the most appropriate unit of measurement for the present study. To maintain consistent AS-unit analysis, we followed Foster et al. (2000) as far as possible. Some examples of the AS-unit in the data include You are not government and Because they knew ninety percent people say ‘yes’. In cases where the 100-word passages did not coincide with the boundaries of AS-units, the entire AS-unit was retained for purposes of counting mean length of AS-units and clauses per AS-unit. This was done to avoid including incomplete AS-units in these complexity measures, which would have dis- torted them. Complexity As complexity and accuracy have been operationalized in various ways in previous research (Ellis and Barkhuizen 2005), any researcher must choose
  • 34. from among several different ways of measuring these constructs. Since this study focused on oral language development over time, it seemed appropriate to consider complexity as holistically as possible to reveal any possible patterns. Following Norris and Ortega (2009), syntactic complexity was investigated in terms of length (mean length of AS-units), subordination (clauses per 192 COMPLEXITY AND ACCURACY Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 AS-unit), and phrasal elaboration (mean length of clauses). A measure of lexical diversity, D, was also included in our complexity analysis, as suggested by Skehan (2009). D has been shown to measure similar features in the speech of both native English speakers and L2 learners (Durán et al. 2004) and has
  • 35. been suggested as one of the most valid measures for oral narratives of English L2 speakers (Lu 2012). Accuracy Previous CAF studies have measured accuracy in a variety of ways, including percentage of error-free clauses, errors per 100 words, percentage of target-like verbal morphology, and percentage of target-like use of plurals, among others (Ellis and Barkhuizen 2005). The present study used two measures of accur- acy, one global and one focused on a specific linguistic feature (present simple tense). It was decided that errors per 100 words would provide the best global representation of the learner’s accuracy because, given the high number of errors that often characterizes naturalistic learners’ speech, few of Alex’s AS-units were error-free. However, some units contained only one error and others contained five or more errors, so it was more informative
  • 36. to count errors per 100 words. To determine global accuracy, an error analysis was conducted in which any mistakes that a native speaker would normally not make were considered errors (Ellis and Barkhuizen 2005). In instances where more than one error caused an utterance to be non-target-like, each aspect of the error was counted as an error. For example, in Alex’s utterance Even somebody pay me million dollar I won’t change, mistakes were counted based on the target-like sentence Even if somebody paid me a million dollars I wouldn’t change it, which was derived from the context. The minimum number of changes needed to turn the learner utterance into the target-like utterance was considered to be the number of errors in this AS-unit: if, paid, a, dollars, wouldn’t, it (six in total). In addition, obvious lexical errors were counted as one mistake, as in My father let them work
  • 37. in a context that called for My father made them work. This method of error analysis could raise questions about the L2 learner’s desire to match target- language norms, as well as the appropriateness of the researcher’s interpret- ation and reconstruction (Ellis and Barkhuizen 2005). However, as yet no alternative has been devised that can measure global accuracy without intro- ducing these issues, so this method was used consistently throughout the present data analysis. To complement this global accuracy measure, present simple tense was selected as a more specific linguistic measure that would be appropriate to the interview setting and to Alex’s linguistic proficiency. 2 Present simple ac- curacy was measured by analyzing each 100-word passage for obligatory use contexts of present simple tense. Because the number and type
  • 38. of obligatory contexts varied by interview session, it was decided to use percentage scores rather than raw frequencies. The number of correct suppliances of the target B. POLAT AND Y. KIM 193 Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 verbal morphology in a passage was divided by the sum of the number of obligatory contexts plus the number of oversupplied present simple verbs (e.g., supplying present tense where past tense would be appropriate), follow- ing Pica (1984). The resulting target-like use analysis therefore considers both underuse and overuse of the simple present tense. Native speaker analysis Passages from the native speakers were selected and analyzed following the
  • 39. same procedures described previously, except that they were analyzed only for complexity, not accuracy. Intercoder reliability To assess reliability, interrater reliability for AS-units, complexity, and accur- acy analysis was calculated with 25 percent of data after the researchers coded the data independently. In terms of identifying AS-units, simple percentage agreement between the researchers was 98 percent. Additionally, simple per- centage agreement between the raters for complexity was 100 percent for words and 94 percent for clauses. In terms of accuracy, simple percentage agreement between the researchers was 90 percent for the number of errors and 97 percent for the present simple tense analysis. The disagreements in data coding were resolved through discussion, typically deferring to the first author who had coded the entire data.
  • 40. RESULTS Over the one-year period, Alex’s syntactic complexity, lexical diversity, and accuracy each showed distinctive patterns. Each of these results will be dis- cussed in detail in further text, followed by comparisons with native speakers and other non-native speakers from previous studies (Klein and Dimroth 2009; Schmidt 1984). Raw counts of each measure for all 24 weeks are provided in the supplementary material for Table A1. Syntactic complexity In looking at the three components of syntactic complexity over time, we first see that all three seem to exhibit variation, with no clear patterns of develop- ment visible in simple graphs of raw data (Figure 1a and 1b). This high degree of fluctuation is not surprising, given that interlanguage development is known to display properties of dynamic systems, including variability over
  • 41. time (Verspoor et al. 2008; Spoelman and Verspoor 2010). At the same time, polynomial trend lines show a very slight decrease in clauses per AS-unit over the year, suggesting no improvement or negative improvement in this meas- ure, but a slight increase in words per AS-unit and words per clause, indicating possible improvement in these two areas. To investigate these developmental 194 COMPLEXITY AND ACCURACY Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 http://applij.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/full/amt013/DC1 patterns in more depth, moving averages graphs and moving min–max graphs were created to obtain a clearer picture of the dynamics of each measure (Verspoor et al. 2011). These two methods of visualization are examples of tools available within a dynamic systems framework that allow researchers
  • 42. to more accurately trace developmental variability over time. Looking first at clauses per AS-unit, which did not seem to exhibit any improvement over time in the raw data graphs, we see that an examination of the moving min–max graph for clauses per AS-unit (Figure 2) likewise gives little indication of improvement. It shows two periods throughout the year (March through June and August through October) in which the min and max line open into wider windows, indicating greater volatility in this per- formance measure during those times. These open-window transition periods are known as phase shifts, and often point toward a restructuring within the learner language system that can result in significant change (Larsen-Freeman and Cameron 2008a, 2008b). However, the two potential phase shifts taking place in Alex’s clauses per AS-unit do not seem to alter his performance; the
  • 43. measure continues to hover around 1.5, even after the transition period in the second half of the year. Despite several very high points, therefore, we cannot conclude that Alex improved in this measure of syntactic complexity (i.e., subordination). When we look at words per AS-unit and words per clause, a different picture emerges. Raw data graphs show a similar story of high volatility throughout 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 01 /0 2 1/ 17
  • 49. u n t Week Words/AS-unit Words/clause (b) Figure 1: (a) Clauses per AS-unit over time. (b) Words per AS- unit and words per clause over time B. POLAT AND Y. KIM 195 Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 the year, which is difficult to interpret on its own, although polynomial trend lines allow for the possibility of overall improvement over the study period. The min–max graph for words per clause (Figure 3) shows a decrease occurring around the same time that the phase shift takes place for clauses per AS-unit
  • 50. (April 18 through June 19). This leads to an apparent phase shift beginning in late September and continuing through the end of the study period, which means that as the second phase shift was ending for clauses per AS-unit, the restructuring for words per clause was just beginning. Because we do not know when this phase shift will end, or what Alex’s level of words per clause will be after the restructuring period, it is not possible to conclude whether words per clause will mimic clauses per AS-unit in staying steady, or whether it will show improvement. Overall, however, it seems possible that despite the downward polynomial curve visible in the moving averages graph, syntactic development may be taking place in this performance component. The min–max graph of words per AS-unit (Figure 4) is somewhat similar to words per clause, which is not surprising, given their conceptual overlap and close relationship on the raw data graph. Words per AS-unit
  • 51. also demonstrates two phase shifts over the year, but with the difference that as its second phase shift ends in late October, Alex’s performance appears to have actually im- proved. The min line is noticeably higher during the second phase shift than during the first, and Alex’s words per AS-unit is trending upwards as the study ends. Although it is difficult to say for sure, it appears that this performance measure may indicate Alex’s ongoing improvement as the study period ends. In terms of Alex’s overall syntactic competence, close examination of his language over the year further suggests that the word-based measures may be improving. For instance, Excerpt 1 shows that Alex produced somewhat short simple AS-units at the beginning of the data collection period when he recalled an episode from his childhood. 0
  • 54. 11 /0 7 11 /2 1 12 /1 2 12 /2 7 C o u n t Week Clauses/AS-unit Min Max Figure 2: Moving min–max graph of clauses/AS-unit 196 COMPLEXITY AND ACCURACY Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user
  • 55. on 12 December 2017 Excerpt 1: January 17 3 But it sometimes took all day long. / But I worked. / I got so many. / Sometimes my father let them work. / Because we have a market / we were building house. / I don’t know / it was very funny. By October (Excerpt 2), when describing another episode from his childhood, his AS-units and clauses are more sophisticated. Excerpt 2: October 21 Let’s say ten thousand bricks need :: to go to third floor. / For one is enough for children / and my father was saying to children :: this thing done. / Let’s say twenty children around the house. / Take it down there / I will buy a drinks for everybody. 0 1 2 3
  • 59. Figure 4: Moving min–max graph of words per AS-unit 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 01 /0 2 1/ 17 2/ 06 2/ 21 3/ 7 3/ 23
  • 62. Words/clause Min Max Figure 3: Moving min–max graph of words per clause B. POLAT AND Y. KIM 197 Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 Keeping in mind the fact that Alex’s language did show variability throughout the year—and that in some cases the word-based measures were longer in some early interviews than in some later interviews—by the end of the study period, he may be more capable of producing longer syntactic structures in terms of length, subordination, and phrasal elaboration. Lexical diversity The measure of lexical diversity used in this study, D, shows the clearest improvement of any of Alex’s linguistic features. Although there is consider- able variation throughout the year, with a sudden spike around
  • 63. August, a visual inspection of the raw data graph (Figure 5) suggests a consistent upward trend. This is confirmed by a moving averages graph of D (Figure 6), in which the data points have been smoothed into a more obvious upward curve. Accuracy Accuracy displays a great deal of variability but no patterns of clear develop- ment during the study period. As Figures 7 and 8 show, both measures (which are inversely related, as one represents number of errors and one represents correct percent of present simple tense) were characterized by high variability over time. Moving min–max graphs (Figures 9 and 10) also show no develop- ment, instead indicating a possible downward trend in accuracy over the year. The min–max graph of global accuracy shows a potential phase shift window
  • 64. opening up from May through August, but this is followed by an increase in number of errors for the rest of the year. We therefore cannot say whether global accuracy will remain low or will improve later on, although the data indicate no change in the foreseeable future. The min–max graph of present simple tense is even more variable, with a wide distance between minimum and maximum values for almost the entire study period. This indicates high volatility, which continues until the end of the study, leaving us with no clear picture of how Alex’s present simple accuracy will continue to develop. The fact that both his global and present simple tense accuracy fluctuate so much could mean that his interlanguage grammar is still in the midst of development, or it could mean that his accuracy may have entered a strong attractor state, in which variability occurs within stability (Larsen-Freeman and Cameron 2008a, 2008b).
  • 65. Native speaker and non-native speaker comparisons Alex’s syntactic complexity and lexical diversity from his first and last inter- views, as well as from his highest and lowest interviews, were compared with that of the native speakers (Table 1). Here we see expected variation among the three native speakers, but we also see that in at least some of his inter- views, Alex is squarely within the native speaker range for two or possibly 198 COMPLEXITY AND ACCURACY Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 three of these measures. His lexical diversity, just approaching native speaker levels early in the year, consistently surpasses the native speakers by the end of the study period. It is important to note that lexical diversity measures are
  • 66. probably dependent on speaker-external factors such as conversation topic, 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 01 /0 2 1/ 17 2/ 06 2/ 21 3/ 7
  • 69. Week Figure 7: Errors over time 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 01 /0 2 1/ 17 2/ 06 2/ 21 3/ 7 3/
  • 72. Figure 5: Lexical diversity over time 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 D at e 01 /0 2 1/ 17 2/ 06 2/ 21 3/ 7
  • 75. B. POLAT AND Y. KIM 199 Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 01 /0 2 1/ 17 2/
  • 78. C o u n t Week Errors Min Max Figure 9: Moving min–max graph of global accuracy (errors) 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 01 /0 2 1/ 17 2/ 06
  • 81. er ce n t Week Present simple Min Max Figure 10: Moving min–max graph of present simple accuracy 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 01 /0 2 1/ 17 2/ 06 2/
  • 84. ce n t Week Figure 8: Present simple tense accuracy over time 200 COMPLEXITY AND ACCURACY Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 level of formality, and so forth, which means that these values will vary even for a single native speaker. The fact that Alex has reached a particular D value does not, therefore, imply that his speech is in general more lexically complex than that of the native speakers. Rather, the important finding from this com- parison is that Alex is within native speaker range, even allowing for the variation that naturally takes place within conversation. In terms of syntactic complexity, Alex’s words per clause, which showed
  • 85. only slight (if any) improvement over the year, is in line with the native speakers (at or above 5.05) for half of his interviews, whereas words per AS-unit is somewhat lower in comparison with native speakers. However, as four of Alex’s words per AS-unit scores are in the low 9 range (which is approaching that of the lowest native speaker at 9.55), he may be quite close to target-like levels for words per AS-unit, as well. Similarly, three of Alex’s interviews show that he is capable of at least sometimes achieving clauses per AS-unit at native speaker levels (above 1.8 clauses per AS-unit), even if he is far below this range in most other interviews. In summary, although Alex is not as obviously comparable with the native speakers in syntactic complexity as he is for lexical diversity, he is consistently within native speaker range for one measure (words per clause) and is not far
  • 86. below the native speakers in the other two (words per AS-unit and clauses per AS-unit). Although we believe that these native speaker comparisons provide insights into Alex’s advancedness in various aspect of language complexity, we also considered the performance of untutored non-native speakers from previous studies. First, although Alex’s grammatical accuracy remains highly imperfect, we can see that he has moved far beyond the BV spoken among the low- proficiency European Science Foundation learners (Klein and Dimroth 2009). The BV contains no inflection or marking of tense, aspect, or agree- ment, and its lexicon ‘essentially consists of a repertoire of noun-like and verb- like words as well as a few adjectives and adverbs’ (Klein and Dimroth 2009: 510). In Alex’s speech, in contrast, we see morphological marking even in the
  • 87. first interview, and throughout the year, as shown in Excerpts 3 and 4. Table 1: Alex’s syntactic complexity and lexical diversity compared with native speakers’ Measure Alex (First) Alex (Last) Alex (Lowest) Alex (Highest) NS 1 NS 2 NS 3 NS average D 55.88 83.05 42.59 125.41 64.62 58.03 56.97 59.87 Words/AS-unit 9.36 8.75 5.56 9.45 12.63 9.55 11.22 11.13 Clauses/AS-unit 1.73 1.50 1.15 2.00 1.88 1.82 2.22 1.97 Words/clause 5.42 5.83 4.00 6.67 6.73 5.25 5.05 5.68 B. POLAT AND Y. KIM 201 Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017
  • 88. Excerpt 3: January 2 But if they are gonna lose I want them to lose very bad . . . for example when they play important game or any other countries, I will support them. Excerpt 4: August 8 They were trying to do so obvious because they were trusting themselves too much. But people is not stupid anymore. Alex clearly has a wide range of vocabulary words at his disposal, including many closed-class items (pronouns, conjunctions, quantifiers) that are rare in the BV, and he conveys nuanced temporality and negation, even though non-native elements remain. He is able to express quite sophisticated ideas with his grammatical system, a capacity that is doubtless necessary for his work responsibilities and managerial duties. In his high-level communicative competence, Alex resembles another naturalistic learner, Wes, whose professional success and limited grammatical
  • 89. system were chronicled by Schmidt (1984). Like Wes, Alex is apparently suc- cessful at communicating with a range of native speakers for personal and professional purposes, and he seems mostly untroubled by differences between his own way of speaking and that of native speakers. He also shares Wes’ propensity to simplify verbal morphology, delete articles and plural markings, and ignore clausal subordination. However, whereas Wes achieved an accur- acy of only 24 percent for third person –s marking after living in the USA for five years, Alex accurately marked third person endings as much as 100 percent of the time in some interview excerpts (although on occasion, his accuracy dropped below 50 percent). It therefore seems that although Alex’s grammatical accuracy did not improve much during the study period, he has managed to become rather more accurate than some other naturalistic
  • 90. learners. DISCUSSION This study attempted to bring untutored language development into the CAF/ DST conversation, in the hope that this might broaden our perspective and allow us to form a more coherent picture of language learning. We found that Alex performs very differently on three different form-based aspects of L2 performance—syntactic complexity, lexical diversity, and accuracy—and that even within a single one of these measures (syntactic complexity), his per- formance is quite different on three different subcomponents. All of this validates Norris and Ortega’s (2009) call for differentiation between the specific components of complexity, as well as Skehan’s (2009) call for inclusion of lexical measures in complexity research. The study shows that for at least one learner, each of these subcomponents may develop in a
  • 91. different way, 202 COMPLEXITY AND ACCURACY Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 and therefore they should be measured individually if we wish to see a clearer picture of language development. It is likely that Alex’s unique situation as an untutored but educated immi- grant led him to advance beyond the BV (Klein and Perdue 1993) and the level of grammatical competence achieved by Wes (Schmidt 1984) and some other naturalistic learners (Shumann 1978; Huebner 1983). As a high school and early university student, Alex apparently lacked motivation to learn English and skipped most of his English classes, but the time he did spend in English class may have paved the way for future development. On the other hand, his
  • 92. language displays the primary hallmark of untutored adult language learning: limited grammatical accuracy that may or may not show development in the future. Alex shows himself to be a very competent and willing communicator, despite obvious grammatical inaccuracies that would likely have been corrected had he learned in a classroom setting. Constraints on grammatical accuracy in untutored learning are understand- able when we consider how untutored acquisition differs from instructed lan- guage learning. Two unique features of untutored acquisition could be responsible for this phenomenon: the presence of communicative pressure and the absence of systematic external control (Dimroth and Starren 2003; Klein and Dimroth 2009). According to Klein and Dimroth (2009), ‘Unlike students in the classroom, immigrant workers rapidly find themselves in situ-
  • 93. ations in which they cannot wait for the relevant structures to be acquired in the exact target language way’ (p. 507), thus forcing them to use whatever linguistic means they have available for complex communicative purposes. Because their communicative needs exceed their language knowledge, they develop language systems that may be ‘partly independent of the source and target language regularities’ (p. 508). Additionally, untutored learners do not have the benefit of external con- trol in the form of teachers, tests, and grades (Klein and Dimroth 2009). When learners interact with native-speaking interlocutors, they usually do not receive any feedback on their grammatical accuracy if their meaning is understood. Untutored learners may therefore simply rely on communica- tive effectiveness as their feedback, which probably corresponds to a much greater emphasis on meaning than form. As a result, meaningful
  • 94. segments of language such as lexical items, which are necessary for the learner to make himself understood, may be integrated into the learner’s interlan- guage system, whereas ‘meaningless’ and redundant grammatical features may not be. It is likely that for learners like Alex and Wes, whose overriding concern is communicative effectiveness, language primarily develops in ways that pro- mote or complement their communicative needs. In DST terms, their language is ‘soft assembled’ into a linguistic system consisting of necessary grammatical elements, lexical knowledge required by personal or occupational demands, and the pragmatic and social competence needed to function with limited linguistic means. Alex (along with other untutored learners) seems strongly B. POLAT AND Y. KIM 203
  • 95. Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 pulled toward an attractor state of grammatical accuracy, meaning that his interlanguage grammar system is highly variable but exists within a stable plane. Although this type of attractor state may precede a phase shift, signaling continued development (Larsen-Freeman and Cameron 2008a), it is not pos- sible to know what will occur in Alex’s language after the study period. His accuracy and/or complexity may be pulled out of this potential attractor state by increased demands on his English abilities at work, or they might remain at the same level for many years. One possibility is that had the study continued after Alex was promoted to a new position, we may have seen sudden devel- opment in his performance measures.
  • 96. Due to space constraints, this study was not able to adequately address the complex influence of identity, culture, and context on Alex’s language development. We recognize that the environment and specific attributes of the learner must play a crucial role in how he or she approaches L2 learn- ing, and that issues of acculturation and attitude surely impact linguistic development, even if we do not understand the exact relationship (Block 2010). In particular, because DST highlights the importance of considering various factors in language learning (e.g., both cognitive and social factors), future studies are warranted that account for cultural and social aspects of language development. For instance, does the fact that Alex not only works with but supervises native English-speaking employees contribute positively to his linguistic development? In what ways does Alex’s educational status
  • 97. in his home country, or his ‘downward occupational mobility’ in the USA (Batalova et al. 2008: 10), influence his willingness to work toward gram- matical competence? In accepting that immigrant identities are exceedingly complex and individualized, we necessarily introduce additional layers into the language learning process, but we hope that the sophisticated perspec- tive offered by DST can help accommodate these important considerations in future research. CONCLUSION The present study has provided a first attempt to measure longitudinal com- plexity and accuracy for an adult untutored learner, and at the same time, represents the first DST-based study to look at untutored SLA. This longitu- dinal microgenetic record allowed us to see that untutored language acquisi- tion may be much more dynamic than it is often given credit for. For this
  • 98. reason, researchers should be careful and deliberate in the constructs and measurements they use to study longitudinal acquisition, and they may find important theoretical and methodological tools in a dynamic systems approach to untutored development. Although the findings of the present study fit well with existing research on naturalistic learning, far more longitudinal research is needed for us to form a reliable picture of the advanced reaches of untutored language ac- quisition. We need additional studies of untutored learners in different 204 COMPLEXITY AND ACCURACY Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 contexts, from different linguistic and cultural backgrounds, and at different
  • 99. timescales. In particular, much more research is needed on the advanced stages of naturalistic learning with learners from different age- groups, which may shed light on psycholinguistic learning mechanisms and highlight ‘raw’ learning processes. In addition to CAF, other aspects of linguistic develop- ment should also be investigated from a DST perspective, including prag- matic competence, intonation and pronunciation-related phenomena, or the influence of the first language. Future DST studies should also address the relationship of learning context, motivation, and identity to performance measures, which may offer important information about how and why learners progress (or do not progress) as they do. If the field hopes to more thoroughly understand the SLA process over time, researchers would do well to consider both instructed and unin- structed learning, as they piece together the social and
  • 100. psychological con- structs of acquisition. The possibilities and limitations of naturalistic learning have implications for classroom instruction as well, by indicating which performance areas benefit most from instruction and which areas learners might be best positioned to learn on their own. In addition, a greater understanding of naturalistic acquisition processes can help instructors to better assist learners from refugee and immigrant backgrounds, who may need completely different kinds of instruction and attention than ‘trad- itional’ classroom learners. In short, if the field of SLA does not take into account the fascinating complexity of untutored language learning, we risk losing important pieces of the language acquisition puzzle that could sig- nificantly enhance our understanding of crucial questions and our ability to effectively reach a broader range of learners.
  • 101. Conflict of interest statement. None declared. SUPPLEMENTARY DATA Supplementary material is available at Applied Linguistics online. NOTES 1 To determine whether discussion topic impacted complexity and accuracy levels, we identified and labeled topic categories for all interviews (as shown in the supplementary material for Table A1). Performance measures for each topic category were compared, and no significant differences were found between topics. 2 Initially, several other linguistic features were also considered as spe- cific accuracy measures, including past tense morphology, negation, and plural
  • 102. marking. Each of these was examined in four months of data (January, February, November, and December), and patterns were found to be very similar to patterns in present simple B. POLAT AND Y. KIM 205 Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/applij/article- abstract/35/2/184/191987 by University of California, Santa Cruz user on 12 December 2017 http://applij.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/full/amt013/DC1 http://applij.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/full/amt013/DC1 http://applij.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/full/amt013/DC1 tense. Additionally, because these three features appeared in many but not all of the interview sessions, we decided to include only simple present tense as a specific measure of accuracy. 3 AS-units are separated by backslash and clauses are separated by double
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