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March 20- the low point. I had
                                                          been calling for a correction because the
                                                          drop was justified but the size of the drop
                                                          wasn't so I was looking to see some ground
                                                          reclaimed in the market correct.




March 6-
Bonds climbed and hit a high mark
at $103.75 before losing steam.
(The "wick" above the flat means that
we closed roughly where we opened but
lower than the highs that day.) Losing
that head of steam from the run up,
bonds started getting hammered a blood bath
                                                                                   Today's close is right up against a 2nd
ensued. Over the next 10 days of trading,
                                                                                   layer of resistance. I locked all loans
Mortgage bonds dropped to a low point of
                                                                                   closing in the next 30 days today because this
$101.625 or 213 bp below that previous high water
                                                                                   is about where we "should be" from what I can
mark. To relate that, it's a jump in offered rates from
                                                                                   tell. There is a chance we'll make another move
3.75% to around 4.375%... 5/8ths of a point increase
                                                                                   higher but It's not worth the risk in my
over less than 2 weeks....That's a HUGE move in
                                                                                   opinion. We picked up .375% of what we lost and
the wrong direction.
                                                                                   that was enough for me to make a move on locking
                                                                                   loans.

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Tracking Mortgage Bonds

  • 1. March 20- the low point. I had been calling for a correction because the drop was justified but the size of the drop wasn't so I was looking to see some ground reclaimed in the market correct. March 6- Bonds climbed and hit a high mark at $103.75 before losing steam. (The "wick" above the flat means that we closed roughly where we opened but lower than the highs that day.) Losing that head of steam from the run up, bonds started getting hammered a blood bath Today's close is right up against a 2nd ensued. Over the next 10 days of trading, layer of resistance. I locked all loans Mortgage bonds dropped to a low point of closing in the next 30 days today because this $101.625 or 213 bp below that previous high water is about where we "should be" from what I can mark. To relate that, it's a jump in offered rates from tell. There is a chance we'll make another move 3.75% to around 4.375%... 5/8ths of a point increase higher but It's not worth the risk in my over less than 2 weeks....That's a HUGE move in opinion. We picked up .375% of what we lost and the wrong direction. that was enough for me to make a move on locking loans.