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Case Pr esentation
                 A study of Optimization




By Bernie Karlowicz & Matt Osterstrom
Case Overview
United Broadcast Network (UBN)
     • A commercial broadcasting network
     • Sells 15 & 30 second advertising slots on its T.V. shows
                • Bayside, Newsline, The Hour, Cops and Lawyers, The Judge, Friday
                Night Football, and ER Doctor
     • Develops detailed sales plans for customers, typically on monthly,
       bimonthly, 6-week, or quarterly basis.
     • Bases sales plans on performance scores for T.V. shows
     • Sets advertising rates based on performance scores

Nanocom
    • Business software development firm
    • Purchaser of advertising slots from UBN in October and November, a 6 week
      segment
    • Advertising budget of $600,000
    • Wants to reach an older, more mature, upper-income audience that is
       likely to include many high-tech businesspeople.

“The primary objective of both UBN and the advertiser is to develop a sales plan that
                 will achieve the highest total performance score.”
Case Overview (Cont…)
Performance Scores explained
     • Based on several factors:
          1. How well the show matches the desired audience demographics
          2. Strength of the T.V. show
          3. Historical ratings for the time slot
          4. Competing shows in the same time slot
          5. Performance of adjacent shows

Weighting Factor
    •Performance scores and rates are multiplied by a weighting factor
    •The weighting factor is based on:
         • The week of the show
         • Total audience expected during that week.

                    October                          November
         Week       3         4      1         2         3       4
         Weight     1.1       1.2    1.2       1.4       1.4     1.6
         Minimum    1         1      2         2         2       3
         Maximum    4         5      5         5         5       5
Case Overview (Cont…)
T.V. shows
     • 7 shows, each with a 30 second and 15 second commercial slot
     • Base costs of commercial slots are variable per show
     • Base performance score of commercial slots are variable per show
     • Each Commercial option has a predefined inventory level

        Show            Commercial Length   Cost ($1000s)   Performance Score Available Inventory
                           (seconds)
Bayside                        30              $50.00            115.20                3
                               15              $25.00            72.00                 3
The Hour                       30              $41.00            160.00                4
                               15              $20.50            100.00                1
Newsline                       30              $36.00            57.60                 3
                               15              $18.00            36.00                 3
Cops and Lawyers               30              $45.00            136.00                4
                               15              $27.50            85.00                 2
The Judge                      30              $52.00            100.80                2
                               15              $26.00            63.00                 2
Friday Night Football          30              $25.00            60.80                 4
                               15              $12.50            38.00                 2
ER Doctor                      30              $46.00            129.60                3
                               15              $23.00            81.00                 1
Case Overview (Cont…)
Sales plan timing
   • Nanocom requests a 6-week sales plan
   • Sales plan should cover the period beginning with the third week in
     October through November
   • This timing will include the November sweeps

With The Sales Plan involving a 6 week duration, for seven shows, with
two different commercial lengths, and variable availability, it is inferred
 that decisions have to be made over time => Perfect for Optimization.
Optimization – Overview
 Purpose: Attempt to develop the optimal solution to a problem, given a set of
 restrictions.


   Three Components to Optimization:
Decision Variables                      Constraints
                                          •   Restrictions to consider
  a)  What decisions?
                                          •   Restrictions placed on the
  b)  What needs to be decided?
                                              decision

                      Objective Function - The goal
                      •    Either Maximize or Minimize
                    •    A single linear function => Huh?
         •    The sum of constants times decision variables ∑ (C * Xi)


 Question: What is Linear Programming?
Linear Programming – Overview
“Linear programming (LP) is a mathematical method for determining a way to achieve
the best outcome (such as maximum profit or lowest cost) in a given
mathematical model for some list of requirements represented as linear equations.” –
Wikipedia, 2010


               Examples of linear equations:
                    - Slope of a line: y = mx + b
                         - Einstein’s Mass Equivalence: e = mc^2
                         - Pythagorean Theorem: a^2 + b^2 = c^2
Case – Optimization Analysis
Provided data table, with assignment of Decision Variables:

       Show       Commercial   Cost ($1000s) Performance   Available   Decision
                     Length                     Score      Inventory   Variable
                   (seconds)
  Bayside              30        $50.00        115.20         3           X1
                       15        $25.00        72.00          3           X2
  The Hour             30        $41.00        160.00         4           X3
                       15        $20.50        100.00         1           X4
  Newsline             30        $36.00        57.60          3           X5
                       15        $18.00        36.00          3           X6
  Cops and             30        $45.00        136.00         4
  Lawyers                                                                 X7
                     15          $27.50        85.00          2           X8
  The Judge          30          $52.00        100.80         2           X9
                     15          $26.00        63.00          2          X10
  Friday Night       30          $25.00        60.80          4
  Football                                                               X11
                     15          $12.50        38.00          2          X12
  ER Doctor          30          $46.00        129.60         3          X13
                     15          $23.00        81.00          1          X14
Case – Optimization Analysis (Cont…)
   Examining the Objective Function
    From the case: “The primary objective of both UBN and the advertiser is to develop a
    sales plan that will achieve the highest total performance score.”
                                                         115.20   *          X1    +
So we declare:                                            72.00   *          X2    +
                                                         160.00   *          X3    +

P = Maximize Total Performance Score                     100.00   *          X4    +
                                                          57.60   *          X5    +
Si = Performance Scores                                   36.00   *          X6    +
Xi = Decision Variables (# of Advertizing Slots)   OR…   136.00   *          X7    +
                                                          85.00   *          X8    +
Giving:                                                  100.80   *          X9    +
                                                          63.00   *          X10   +
          Pi = ∑ ( Si * Xi )                              60.80   *          X11   +
                                                          38.00   *          X12   +
                                                         129.60   *          X13   +
                                                          81.00   *          X14

                                                                      P(Total)
Case – Optimization Analysis (Cont…)
  Examining the Constraints

                              First we note inventory constraints:

Decision        Show        Comm           Available
Variable                    Length         Inventory
                             (secs)
   X1          Bayside         30     <=      3
   X2                          15     <=      3
   X3         The Hour         30     <=      4
   X4                          15     <=      1
   X5         Newsline         30     <=      3
   X6                          15     <=      3
   X7      Cops and Lawyers    30     <=      4
   X8                          15     <=      2
   X9         The Judge        30     <=      2
  X10                          15     <=      2
             Friday Night      30     <=      4
  X11          Football
  X12                          15     <=      2
  X13         ER Doctor        30     <=      3
  X14                          15     <=      1
Case – Optimization Analysis (Cont…)
Additional Constraints…

            Then we note the total budget constraint:
                   Total Budget = $600,000
Case – Optimization Analysis (Cont…)
Additional Constraints…

We also note that “50% of the total number of advertising
slots it purchases to be on Newsline, The Hour, and Friday
Night Football.”
Case – Optimization Analysis (Cont…)
Additional Constraints…
         “there should be a minimum and maximum number of
                advertising slots during each of the 6 weeks”
Case – Optimization Analysis (Cont…)
Additional Constraints…

                            And finally:
“Nanocom should have at most only one ad slot (either 15 or 30 seconds)
                        per show per week”
Case – Results

 Required detail tables for calculating either the Maximum
 Performance Score, or the Minimum Total Cost to consider the
 Weight Factor for a given show, in a given week.



                    Performance Score per Week                                        Cost per Week
             October                 November                             October               November
         Week 3 Week 4 Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4                    Week 3 Week 4 Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4
Weight =      1.1     1.2     1.2      1.4      1.4    1.6   Weight =      1.1    1.2    1.2      1.4    1.4  1.6
   X1      126.72 138.24 138.24 161.28 161.28 184.32            X1      $55.00 $60.00 $60.00 $70.00 $70.00 $80.00
   X2        79.2    86.4    86.4   100.8    100.8  115.2       X2      $27.50 $30.00 $30.00 $35.00 $35.00 $40.00
   X3        176     192     192      224      224    256       X3      $45.10 $49.20 $49.20 $57.40 $57.40 $65.60
   X4        110     120     120      140      140    160       X4      $22.55 $24.60 $24.60 $28.70 $28.70 $32.80
   X5       63.36   69.12   69.12   80.64    80.64  92.16       X5      $39.60 $43.20 $43.20 $50.40 $50.40 $57.60
   X6        39.6    43.2    43.2     50.4    50.4   57.6       X6      $19.80 $21.60 $21.60 $25.20 $25.20 $28.80
   X7       149.6   163.2   163.2   190.4    190.4  217.6       X7      $49.50 $54.00 $54.00 $63.00 $63.00 $72.00
   X8        93.5    102     102      119      119    136       X8      $30.25 $33.00 $33.00 $38.50 $38.50 $44.00
   X9      110.88 120.96 120.96 141.12 141.12 161.28            X9      $57.20 $62.40 $62.40 $72.80 $72.80 $83.20
  X10        69.3    75.6    75.6     88.2    88.2  100.8      X10      $28.60 $31.20 $31.20 $36.40 $36.40 $41.60
  X11       66.88   72.96   72.96   85.12    85.12  97.28      X11      $27.50 $30.00 $30.00 $35.00 $35.00 $40.00
  X12        41.8    45.6    45.6     53.2    53.2   60.8      X12      $13.75 $15.00 $15.00 $17.50 $17.50 $20.00
  X13      142.56 155.52 155.52 181.44 181.44 207.36           X13      $50.60 $55.20 $55.20 $64.40 $64.40 $73.60
  X14        89.1    97.2    97.2   113.4    113.4  129.6      X14      $25.30 $27.60 $27.60 $32.20 $32.20 $36.80
Case – Results (Cont…)
Decision      Show        Comm       Cost     Performanc   Available                             Inventory Actual                                    Total         Total Cost
Variable                  Length   ($1000s)     e Score    Inventory                                                                               Inventory
                          (secs)                                                                                                                     Actual

           Bayside          30     $50.00       115.20        3
  X1                                                                           0            0           0            0            0           0                0         $0.00
                            15     $25.00       72.00         3
  X2                                                                           0            0           0            0            0           0                0         $0.00
           The Hour         30     $41.00       160.00        4
  X3                                                                           0    7.006E-11           1            1            1           1                4 $229,600.00
                            15     $20.50       100.00        1
  X4                                                                           0            0           0            0    -2.703E-39          1                1   $32,800.00
           Newsline         30     $36.00       57.60         3
  X5                                                                           0            0           0            0            0           0                0         $0.00
                            15     $18.00       36.00         3
  X6                                                                           0            0           0            0            0           0                0         $0.00
           Cops and         30     $45.00       136.00        4
           Lawyers

  X7                                                                           1            1           1    0.5068323    5.2848E-12          0     3.5068323 $189,430.43
                            15     $27.50       85.00         2
  X8                                                                           0            0           0            0            1           1                2   $82,500.00
           The Judge        30     $52.00       100.80        2
  X9                                                                           0            0           0            0            0           0                0         $0.00
                            15     $26.00       63.00         2
  X10                                                                          0            0           0            0            0           0                0         $0.00
           Friday Night     30     $25.00       60.80         4
           Football

  X11                                                                          0            0           0            0            0           0                0         $0.00
                            15     $12.50       38.00         2
  X12                                                                  1.6184E-15           0           0    0.5068323            0           1     1.5068323      $28,869.57
           ER Doctor        30     $46.00       129.60        3
  X13                                                                          0            0           0            0            0           0                0         $0.00
                            15     $23.00       81.00         1
  X14                                                                          0            0           0            0            0           1                1   $36,800.00
           TOTALS          315      447.5        1235         37
                                                                               1            1           2    2.0136646            2           5 13.0136646 $600,000.00
                                                           Cost ($)
                                                                       $49,500.00   $54,000.00 $103,200.00   $98,200.00   $95,900.00 $199,200.00
Case – Results (Cont…)


We derive the Maximum Performance Score by calculating the
Sumproduct, with input arrays of:
           1. All decision variables, for all time periods
           2. All weighted performance scores from detail table
               previously mentioned.

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Optimization Analysis Case Example

  • 1. Case Pr esentation A study of Optimization By Bernie Karlowicz & Matt Osterstrom
  • 2. Case Overview United Broadcast Network (UBN) • A commercial broadcasting network • Sells 15 & 30 second advertising slots on its T.V. shows • Bayside, Newsline, The Hour, Cops and Lawyers, The Judge, Friday Night Football, and ER Doctor • Develops detailed sales plans for customers, typically on monthly, bimonthly, 6-week, or quarterly basis. • Bases sales plans on performance scores for T.V. shows • Sets advertising rates based on performance scores Nanocom • Business software development firm • Purchaser of advertising slots from UBN in October and November, a 6 week segment • Advertising budget of $600,000 • Wants to reach an older, more mature, upper-income audience that is likely to include many high-tech businesspeople. “The primary objective of both UBN and the advertiser is to develop a sales plan that will achieve the highest total performance score.”
  • 3. Case Overview (Cont…) Performance Scores explained • Based on several factors: 1. How well the show matches the desired audience demographics 2. Strength of the T.V. show 3. Historical ratings for the time slot 4. Competing shows in the same time slot 5. Performance of adjacent shows Weighting Factor •Performance scores and rates are multiplied by a weighting factor •The weighting factor is based on: • The week of the show • Total audience expected during that week. October November Week 3 4 1 2 3 4 Weight 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.6 Minimum 1 1 2 2 2 3 Maximum 4 5 5 5 5 5
  • 4. Case Overview (Cont…) T.V. shows • 7 shows, each with a 30 second and 15 second commercial slot • Base costs of commercial slots are variable per show • Base performance score of commercial slots are variable per show • Each Commercial option has a predefined inventory level Show Commercial Length Cost ($1000s) Performance Score Available Inventory (seconds) Bayside 30 $50.00 115.20 3   15 $25.00 72.00 3 The Hour 30 $41.00 160.00 4   15 $20.50 100.00 1 Newsline 30 $36.00 57.60 3   15 $18.00 36.00 3 Cops and Lawyers 30 $45.00 136.00 4   15 $27.50 85.00 2 The Judge 30 $52.00 100.80 2   15 $26.00 63.00 2 Friday Night Football 30 $25.00 60.80 4   15 $12.50 38.00 2 ER Doctor 30 $46.00 129.60 3   15 $23.00 81.00 1
  • 5. Case Overview (Cont…) Sales plan timing • Nanocom requests a 6-week sales plan • Sales plan should cover the period beginning with the third week in October through November • This timing will include the November sweeps With The Sales Plan involving a 6 week duration, for seven shows, with two different commercial lengths, and variable availability, it is inferred that decisions have to be made over time => Perfect for Optimization.
  • 6. Optimization – Overview Purpose: Attempt to develop the optimal solution to a problem, given a set of restrictions. Three Components to Optimization: Decision Variables Constraints • Restrictions to consider a) What decisions? • Restrictions placed on the b) What needs to be decided? decision Objective Function - The goal • Either Maximize or Minimize • A single linear function => Huh? • The sum of constants times decision variables ∑ (C * Xi) Question: What is Linear Programming?
  • 7. Linear Programming – Overview “Linear programming (LP) is a mathematical method for determining a way to achieve the best outcome (such as maximum profit or lowest cost) in a given mathematical model for some list of requirements represented as linear equations.” – Wikipedia, 2010 Examples of linear equations: - Slope of a line: y = mx + b - Einstein’s Mass Equivalence: e = mc^2 - Pythagorean Theorem: a^2 + b^2 = c^2
  • 8. Case – Optimization Analysis Provided data table, with assignment of Decision Variables: Show Commercial Cost ($1000s) Performance Available Decision Length Score Inventory Variable (seconds) Bayside 30 $50.00 115.20 3 X1   15 $25.00 72.00 3 X2 The Hour 30 $41.00 160.00 4 X3   15 $20.50 100.00 1 X4 Newsline 30 $36.00 57.60 3 X5   15 $18.00 36.00 3 X6 Cops and  30 $45.00 136.00 4 Lawyers X7   15 $27.50 85.00 2 X8 The Judge 30 $52.00 100.80 2 X9   15 $26.00 63.00 2 X10 Friday Night  30 $25.00 60.80 4 Football X11   15 $12.50 38.00 2 X12 ER Doctor 30 $46.00 129.60 3 X13   15 $23.00 81.00 1 X14
  • 9. Case – Optimization Analysis (Cont…) Examining the Objective Function From the case: “The primary objective of both UBN and the advertiser is to develop a sales plan that will achieve the highest total performance score.” 115.20 * X1 + So we declare: 72.00 * X2 + 160.00 * X3 + P = Maximize Total Performance Score 100.00 * X4 + 57.60 * X5 + Si = Performance Scores 36.00 * X6 + Xi = Decision Variables (# of Advertizing Slots) OR… 136.00 * X7 + 85.00 * X8 + Giving: 100.80 * X9 + 63.00 * X10 + Pi = ∑ ( Si * Xi ) 60.80 * X11 + 38.00 * X12 + 129.60 * X13 + 81.00 * X14 P(Total)
  • 10. Case – Optimization Analysis (Cont…) Examining the Constraints First we note inventory constraints: Decision Show Comm Available Variable Length Inventory (secs) X1 Bayside 30 <= 3 X2   15 <= 3 X3 The Hour 30 <= 4 X4   15 <= 1 X5 Newsline 30 <= 3 X6   15 <= 3 X7 Cops and Lawyers 30 <= 4 X8   15 <= 2 X9 The Judge 30 <= 2 X10   15 <= 2 Friday Night  30 <= 4 X11 Football X12   15 <= 2 X13 ER Doctor 30 <= 3 X14   15 <= 1
  • 11. Case – Optimization Analysis (Cont…) Additional Constraints… Then we note the total budget constraint: Total Budget = $600,000
  • 12. Case – Optimization Analysis (Cont…) Additional Constraints… We also note that “50% of the total number of advertising slots it purchases to be on Newsline, The Hour, and Friday Night Football.”
  • 13. Case – Optimization Analysis (Cont…) Additional Constraints… “there should be a minimum and maximum number of advertising slots during each of the 6 weeks”
  • 14. Case – Optimization Analysis (Cont…) Additional Constraints… And finally: “Nanocom should have at most only one ad slot (either 15 or 30 seconds) per show per week”
  • 15. Case – Results Required detail tables for calculating either the Maximum Performance Score, or the Minimum Total Cost to consider the Weight Factor for a given show, in a given week. Performance Score per Week Cost per Week October November October November Week 3 Week 4 Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 3 Week 4 Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Weight = 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.6 Weight = 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.6 X1 126.72 138.24 138.24 161.28 161.28 184.32 X1 $55.00 $60.00 $60.00 $70.00 $70.00 $80.00 X2 79.2 86.4 86.4 100.8 100.8 115.2 X2 $27.50 $30.00 $30.00 $35.00 $35.00 $40.00 X3 176 192 192 224 224 256 X3 $45.10 $49.20 $49.20 $57.40 $57.40 $65.60 X4 110 120 120 140 140 160 X4 $22.55 $24.60 $24.60 $28.70 $28.70 $32.80 X5 63.36 69.12 69.12 80.64 80.64 92.16 X5 $39.60 $43.20 $43.20 $50.40 $50.40 $57.60 X6 39.6 43.2 43.2 50.4 50.4 57.6 X6 $19.80 $21.60 $21.60 $25.20 $25.20 $28.80 X7 149.6 163.2 163.2 190.4 190.4 217.6 X7 $49.50 $54.00 $54.00 $63.00 $63.00 $72.00 X8 93.5 102 102 119 119 136 X8 $30.25 $33.00 $33.00 $38.50 $38.50 $44.00 X9 110.88 120.96 120.96 141.12 141.12 161.28 X9 $57.20 $62.40 $62.40 $72.80 $72.80 $83.20 X10 69.3 75.6 75.6 88.2 88.2 100.8 X10 $28.60 $31.20 $31.20 $36.40 $36.40 $41.60 X11 66.88 72.96 72.96 85.12 85.12 97.28 X11 $27.50 $30.00 $30.00 $35.00 $35.00 $40.00 X12 41.8 45.6 45.6 53.2 53.2 60.8 X12 $13.75 $15.00 $15.00 $17.50 $17.50 $20.00 X13 142.56 155.52 155.52 181.44 181.44 207.36 X13 $50.60 $55.20 $55.20 $64.40 $64.40 $73.60 X14 89.1 97.2 97.2 113.4 113.4 129.6 X14 $25.30 $27.60 $27.60 $32.20 $32.20 $36.80
  • 16. Case – Results (Cont…) Decision Show Comm Cost Performanc Available Inventory Actual Total Total Cost Variable Length ($1000s) e Score Inventory Inventory (secs) Actual Bayside 30 $50.00 115.20 3 X1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $0.00 15 $25.00 72.00 3 X2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $0.00 The Hour 30 $41.00 160.00 4 X3 0 7.006E-11 1 1 1 1 4 $229,600.00 15 $20.50 100.00 1 X4 0 0 0 0 -2.703E-39 1 1 $32,800.00 Newsline 30 $36.00 57.60 3 X5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $0.00 15 $18.00 36.00 3 X6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $0.00 Cops and 30 $45.00 136.00 4 Lawyers X7 1 1 1 0.5068323 5.2848E-12 0 3.5068323 $189,430.43 15 $27.50 85.00 2 X8 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 $82,500.00 The Judge 30 $52.00 100.80 2 X9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $0.00 15 $26.00 63.00 2 X10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $0.00 Friday Night 30 $25.00 60.80 4 Football X11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $0.00 15 $12.50 38.00 2 X12 1.6184E-15 0 0 0.5068323 0 1 1.5068323 $28,869.57 ER Doctor 30 $46.00 129.60 3 X13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $0.00 15 $23.00 81.00 1 X14 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 $36,800.00 TOTALS 315 447.5 1235 37 1 1 2 2.0136646 2 5 13.0136646 $600,000.00 Cost ($) $49,500.00 $54,000.00 $103,200.00 $98,200.00 $95,900.00 $199,200.00
  • 17. Case – Results (Cont…) We derive the Maximum Performance Score by calculating the Sumproduct, with input arrays of: 1. All decision variables, for all time periods 2. All weighted performance scores from detail table previously mentioned.