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Book Industry TRENDS 2009 BookExpo America 2009 Working to create a more informed, efficient and empowered book industry
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],Introduction
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],About BISG
BISG’s mission ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How we accomplish our mission ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Research and publications
Book Industry TRENDS 2009 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TRENDS 2009: availability and pricing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],About Outsell
[object Object],[object Object],Methodology and Sources of Data
TRENDS 2009 Objectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Research Methodology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Book Publishing Universe ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Book Publishing’s Long Tail $12.7 Billion $27.6 Billion
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Fully Integrated Projections
[object Object],[object Object],Book Industry Trends
Book Publishing $40.3 Billion in 2008
Growth Leaders and Laggards, 2008 Book Industry Growth – 1% 1%
Projected Growth, 2008-2010 Book Industry Growth – 2.1% CAGR 2.1% CAGR
All Book Publishing Segments 39,936 40,321 41,040 42,028 3,127 3,079 3,101 3,169 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 -1.5% 2008 to2009 0.7% 2009 to 2010 2.2% CAGR 2007-2010 0.4% CAGR 2008-2010 1.5% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 1.0% 2008 to 2009 1.8% 2009 to 2010 2.4% CAGR 2007-2010 1.7% CAGR 2008-2010 2.1%
Trade Book Publishing 15,048 14,734 14,812 15,135 2,282 2,238 2,248 2,294 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 -1.9% 2008 to 2009 0.5% 2009 to 2010 2.0% CAGR 2007-2010 0.2% CAGR 2008-2010 1.3% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 -2.1% 2008 to 2009 0.5% 2009 to 2010 2.2% CAGR 2007-2010 0.2% CAGR 2008-2010 1.4%
Adult Trade 11,392 11,125 11,214 11,483 1,381 1,348 1,361 1,393 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 -2.3% 2008 to 2009 0.9% 2009 to 2010 2.4% CAGR 2007-2010 0.3% CAGR 2008-2010 1.7% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 -2.3% 2008 to 2009 0.8% 2009 to 2010 2.4% CAGR 2007-2010 0.3% CAGR 2008-2010 1.6%
Juvenile Trade 3,657 3,609 3,598 3,652 901 889 888 901 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 -1.3% 2008 to 2009 -0.2% 2009 to 2010 1.5% CAGR 2007-2010 0.0% CAGR 2008-2010 0.7% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 -1.3% 2008 to 2009 -0.3% 2009 to 2010 1.5% CAGR 2007-2010 0.0% CAGR 2008-2010 0.6%
Religious Publishing 2,575 2,318 2,225 2,296 275 247 239 247 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 -10.0% 2008 to 2009 -3.2% 2009 to 2010 3.2% CAGR 2007-2010 -3.5% CAGR 2008-2010 0.0% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 -10.0% 2008 to 2009 -4.0% 2009 to 2010 -3.2% CAGR 2007-2010 -3.8% CAGR 2008-2010 -0.5%
Professional Publishing 8,358 8,696 8,961 9,116 246 256 265 269 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 4.0% 2008 to 2009 3.4% 2009 to 2010 1.7% CAGR 2007-2010 3.0% CAGR 2008-2010 2.5% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 4.0% 2008 to 2009 3.0% 2009 to 2010 1.7% CAGR 2007-2010 2.9% CAGR 2008-2010 2.4%
Scholarly Publishing 1,375 1,428 1,446 1,470 72 75 76 77 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 3.9% 2008 to 2009 1.7% 2009 to 2010 1.7% CAGR 2007-2010 2.4% CAGR 2008-2010 1.7% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 3.9% 2008 to 2009 1.3% 2009 to 2010 1.7% CAGR 2007-2010 2.3% CAGR 2008-2010 1.5%
Elhi Publishing 7,056 7,373 7,606 7,827 175 182 189 194 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 4.2% 2008 to 2009 3.5% 2009 to 2010 2.9% CAGR 2007-2010 3.5% CAGR 2008-2010 3.2% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 4.5% 2008 to 2009 3.2% 2009 to 2010 2.9% CAGR 2007-2010 3.5% CAGR 2008-2010 3.0%
College Publishing 5,524 5,772 5,990 6,184 78 81 84 87 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 4.5% 2008 to 2009 4.2% 2009 to 2010 3.2% CAGR 2007-2010 4.0% CAGR 2008-2010 3.7% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 4.5% 2008 to 2009 3.8% 2009 to 2010 3.2% CAGR 2007-2010 3.8% CAGR 2008-2010 3.5%
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Conclusions
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Looking Ahead
Questions? Michael Healy [email_address] Leigh Watson Healy [email_address]

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BookExpo America -- Book Industry TRENDS 2009

  • 1. Book Industry TRENDS 2009 BookExpo America 2009 Working to create a more informed, efficient and empowered book industry
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  • 14.
  • 15. Book Publishing’s Long Tail $12.7 Billion $27.6 Billion
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. Book Publishing $40.3 Billion in 2008
  • 19. Growth Leaders and Laggards, 2008 Book Industry Growth – 1% 1%
  • 20. Projected Growth, 2008-2010 Book Industry Growth – 2.1% CAGR 2.1% CAGR
  • 21. All Book Publishing Segments 39,936 40,321 41,040 42,028 3,127 3,079 3,101 3,169 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 -1.5% 2008 to2009 0.7% 2009 to 2010 2.2% CAGR 2007-2010 0.4% CAGR 2008-2010 1.5% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 1.0% 2008 to 2009 1.8% 2009 to 2010 2.4% CAGR 2007-2010 1.7% CAGR 2008-2010 2.1%
  • 22. Trade Book Publishing 15,048 14,734 14,812 15,135 2,282 2,238 2,248 2,294 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 -1.9% 2008 to 2009 0.5% 2009 to 2010 2.0% CAGR 2007-2010 0.2% CAGR 2008-2010 1.3% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 -2.1% 2008 to 2009 0.5% 2009 to 2010 2.2% CAGR 2007-2010 0.2% CAGR 2008-2010 1.4%
  • 23. Adult Trade 11,392 11,125 11,214 11,483 1,381 1,348 1,361 1,393 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 -2.3% 2008 to 2009 0.9% 2009 to 2010 2.4% CAGR 2007-2010 0.3% CAGR 2008-2010 1.7% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 -2.3% 2008 to 2009 0.8% 2009 to 2010 2.4% CAGR 2007-2010 0.3% CAGR 2008-2010 1.6%
  • 24. Juvenile Trade 3,657 3,609 3,598 3,652 901 889 888 901 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 -1.3% 2008 to 2009 -0.2% 2009 to 2010 1.5% CAGR 2007-2010 0.0% CAGR 2008-2010 0.7% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 -1.3% 2008 to 2009 -0.3% 2009 to 2010 1.5% CAGR 2007-2010 0.0% CAGR 2008-2010 0.6%
  • 25. Religious Publishing 2,575 2,318 2,225 2,296 275 247 239 247 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 -10.0% 2008 to 2009 -3.2% 2009 to 2010 3.2% CAGR 2007-2010 -3.5% CAGR 2008-2010 0.0% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 -10.0% 2008 to 2009 -4.0% 2009 to 2010 -3.2% CAGR 2007-2010 -3.8% CAGR 2008-2010 -0.5%
  • 26. Professional Publishing 8,358 8,696 8,961 9,116 246 256 265 269 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 4.0% 2008 to 2009 3.4% 2009 to 2010 1.7% CAGR 2007-2010 3.0% CAGR 2008-2010 2.5% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 4.0% 2008 to 2009 3.0% 2009 to 2010 1.7% CAGR 2007-2010 2.9% CAGR 2008-2010 2.4%
  • 27. Scholarly Publishing 1,375 1,428 1,446 1,470 72 75 76 77 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 3.9% 2008 to 2009 1.7% 2009 to 2010 1.7% CAGR 2007-2010 2.4% CAGR 2008-2010 1.7% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 3.9% 2008 to 2009 1.3% 2009 to 2010 1.7% CAGR 2007-2010 2.3% CAGR 2008-2010 1.5%
  • 28. Elhi Publishing 7,056 7,373 7,606 7,827 175 182 189 194 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 4.2% 2008 to 2009 3.5% 2009 to 2010 2.9% CAGR 2007-2010 3.5% CAGR 2008-2010 3.2% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 4.5% 2008 to 2009 3.2% 2009 to 2010 2.9% CAGR 2007-2010 3.5% CAGR 2008-2010 3.0%
  • 29. College Publishing 5,524 5,772 5,990 6,184 78 81 84 87 Publishers’ Net Dollar Sales ($M) 2007 to 2008 4.5% 2008 to 2009 4.2% 2009 to 2010 3.2% CAGR 2007-2010 4.0% CAGR 2008-2010 3.7% Publishers’ Unit Sales (M) 2007 to 2008 4.5% 2008 to 2009 3.8% 2009 to 2010 3.2% CAGR 2007-2010 3.8% CAGR 2008-2010 3.5%
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32. Questions? Michael Healy [email_address] Leigh Watson Healy [email_address]