A slideshow to demonstrate how much human beings fail at predictions. Even reknowned experts are unable to predict future evolutions of their subject of expertise
2. ‘Everything that can be invented
has been invented’
C.Duell
working at the US Patent office, 1899
3. ‘Stocks have reached what looks like a
permanently high plateau’
I.Fisher,
Economic professor at Yale 1929
4. ‘They couldn’t hit an
elephant at this dist…’
Last words of General Sedgwick,
Battle of Spotsylvania 1864
5. ‘That the automobile has practically reached the limit of
its Development is suggested that during the past year
no movements of a radical nature has been introduced’
Scientific American 1909
6. ‘I think there is a world market for
maybe five computers’
Thomas Watson,
IBM Chairman 1943
7. ‘Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?’
H.M. Warner 1927
8. ‘Prediction requires knowing about
technologies that will be discovered in
the future’
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Author of the Black Swan
9. ‘It’s tough to make predictions,
especially about the future’
Unknown