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1
Energy Poll Background

Development
• Developed questionnaire in 2010
• Collaboration with representatives from academic institutions, polling
  companies, non-governmental organizations, energy producers, and
  energy consumers
• Pre-tested with 100 respondents in December 2010
• Revised and further reviewed with Advisors through summer 2011
• Examined strengths and weaknesses of methodologies

Fielding
• Online survey conducted Sept. 14-25, 2011
• 3,406 qualified respondents
• Sample weighted to reflect U.S. Census demographics

2
Only 14% think we are headed in the right
direction

     Dealing With Energy Issues That Face Our Nation - Headed In...


          Wrong Direction:                                    Right Direction:
              43.2%                                               13.7%




     19                 25                   43                     11    2




      Definitely the     1                          5   Definitely the
                              2      3      4
    Wrong Direction                                     Right Direction




3
Expected situation in 25 years

            Energy Situation In 25 years (Compared To Now)...


             Worse Off:                                          Better Off:
              41.3%                                               22.5%




    14%              27%                   36%                  18%            5%




     Definitely Worse      1    2      3         4     5   Definitely Better




4
Today’s energy prices

                    Very/Somewhat High
             %


      Gasoline                                          95




    Heating Oil                                    85




      Electricity                             78




    Natural Gas                          69




5
Energy prices expected to increase in 6 months

                    Increase Significantly/Somewhat
             %


      Gasoline                                               78




    Heating Oil                                             75




      Electricity                                      68




    Natural Gas                                       66




6
Household spending on energy expected to
increase
        In 12 Months, Portion Of Household Budget Spent On Energy Will...


     Decrease:                                      Increase:
       5.1%                                           69.1%




1%     4%           26%                           53%                    16%




             Decrease       Decrease   Stay The          Increase    Increase
            Significantly   Somewhat    Same            Somewhat    Significantly




7
Satisfaction with addressing energy issues

Satisfaction With The Job That Each Is Doing To Address Important Energy Issues
                                    (Top 3 Box/Bottom Three Box on 7 Point Scale)

              You / Your Household                                                                                   57                                         13
           Engineers and scientists                                                        41                                                              19
                Research institutes                                                       39                                                               20
            Wind energy companies                                                    36                                                              24
           Solar energy companies                                                    36                                                         26
          Colleges and universities                                                 35                                                                22
               Small US companies                                             31                                                                25
           Hydroelectric companies                                       29                                                                           22
                 Energy innovators                                   27                                                                   30
          The Nature Conservancy                                    26                                                                                22
                       Greenpeace                                   26                                                                         27
                 Your electric utility                              26                                                         40
          President Barack Obama                                    26                                    54
         Nuclear energy companies                              22                                                                    34
      Environmental Defense Fund                              21                                                                               27
Natural Resources Defense Council                         20                                                                                        24
                    Coal companies                        20                                                                        35
                    The Sierra Club                       19                                                                                         23
             Your local government                       18                                                    51
            Your state government                   16                                               56
            Oil and gas companies                   16                                          58
              Large US companies                15                                                             51
          US Department of Energy               15                                                         52
                  Energy financiers            14                                                                         46
8                 Business leaders             14                                                                   49
                                                                               71
                 The US Congress           8
Perspectives on government’s role

                  Feelings With Regard To The U.S. Government’s
                   Role in Preparing Us For Future Energy Needs

     Trying to Do Too
      Many Things:                                 Should Do More:
          25.2%                                        56.7%




     16%            9%       18%           24%                       32%




     Definitely Trying To     1                               5      Should Do
                                      2     3       4
    Do Too Many Things                                               More




9
Factors influencing prices

                            Most Impact/Least Impact On Energy Prices




 %




       Pricing power of
      energy companies            Global      Government     Consumer     Supply
     and/or electric utilities    politics     regulation     demand    constraints




10
U.S. budget priorities

                  U.S. Budget Areas Most Likely To Put More Money
                                           %

                                 Job creation                                 36

                                   Education                             15

                              Social Security                        13

                                 Health care                        12

                         Military and defense                   8

     Infrastructure development / maintenance               6

       Energy security / dependable access to           4

                           Energy innovation        3

                     Environmental protection   2

                                  Other most    2




11
Economic growth versus harm to the
environment
                  Environmental Protection Versus Economic Growth


             Avoiding Harm to                               Economic Growth:
              Environment:                                       37.4%
                  33.3%




           18%            15%           29%                19%             19%




     Avoiding Permanent Harm                                         Economic Growth
           To The Environment    1       2     3       4         5   Should Definitely
      Should Be Given Priority                                       Be Given Priority




12
What consumers are concerned about

        Concerned About… (Top 3 Box on 7 point scale)
                                 %




13
Expectations for adopting new technologies

     Likelihood To Do In Next 5 Years (Top 3 Box on a 7 Point Scale)

                     %




14
Consumers’ level of knowledge about energy

                       Self-Reported Level Of Knowledge About
                      How Energy Is Produced, Delivered & Used
                Not
           Knowledgeable:                                         Knowledgeable:
              33.7%                                                  24.2%




     10%           24%                     42%                      19%        6%




                Not At All    1                            5     Very
                                     2      3       4
           Knowledgeable                                         Knowledgeable




15
Consumers interested in learning more

                Very / Somewhat Interested
            %




16
Sources for energy information

        Groups/Organizations Trusted To Provide Information
                   About Efficient Energy Use
                       %




17

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UT Energy Poll Results Summary

  • 1. 1
  • 2. Energy Poll Background Development • Developed questionnaire in 2010 • Collaboration with representatives from academic institutions, polling companies, non-governmental organizations, energy producers, and energy consumers • Pre-tested with 100 respondents in December 2010 • Revised and further reviewed with Advisors through summer 2011 • Examined strengths and weaknesses of methodologies Fielding • Online survey conducted Sept. 14-25, 2011 • 3,406 qualified respondents • Sample weighted to reflect U.S. Census demographics 2
  • 3. Only 14% think we are headed in the right direction Dealing With Energy Issues That Face Our Nation - Headed In... Wrong Direction: Right Direction: 43.2% 13.7% 19 25 43 11 2 Definitely the 1 5 Definitely the 2 3 4 Wrong Direction Right Direction 3
  • 4. Expected situation in 25 years Energy Situation In 25 years (Compared To Now)... Worse Off: Better Off: 41.3% 22.5% 14% 27% 36% 18% 5% Definitely Worse 1 2 3 4 5 Definitely Better 4
  • 5. Today’s energy prices Very/Somewhat High % Gasoline 95 Heating Oil 85 Electricity 78 Natural Gas 69 5
  • 6. Energy prices expected to increase in 6 months Increase Significantly/Somewhat % Gasoline 78 Heating Oil 75 Electricity 68 Natural Gas 66 6
  • 7. Household spending on energy expected to increase In 12 Months, Portion Of Household Budget Spent On Energy Will... Decrease: Increase: 5.1% 69.1% 1% 4% 26% 53% 16% Decrease Decrease Stay The Increase Increase Significantly Somewhat Same Somewhat Significantly 7
  • 8. Satisfaction with addressing energy issues Satisfaction With The Job That Each Is Doing To Address Important Energy Issues (Top 3 Box/Bottom Three Box on 7 Point Scale) You / Your Household 57 13 Engineers and scientists 41 19 Research institutes 39 20 Wind energy companies 36 24 Solar energy companies 36 26 Colleges and universities 35 22 Small US companies 31 25 Hydroelectric companies 29 22 Energy innovators 27 30 The Nature Conservancy 26 22 Greenpeace 26 27 Your electric utility 26 40 President Barack Obama 26 54 Nuclear energy companies 22 34 Environmental Defense Fund 21 27 Natural Resources Defense Council 20 24 Coal companies 20 35 The Sierra Club 19 23 Your local government 18 51 Your state government 16 56 Oil and gas companies 16 58 Large US companies 15 51 US Department of Energy 15 52 Energy financiers 14 46 8 Business leaders 14 49 71 The US Congress 8
  • 9. Perspectives on government’s role Feelings With Regard To The U.S. Government’s Role in Preparing Us For Future Energy Needs Trying to Do Too Many Things: Should Do More: 25.2% 56.7% 16% 9% 18% 24% 32% Definitely Trying To 1 5 Should Do 2 3 4 Do Too Many Things More 9
  • 10. Factors influencing prices Most Impact/Least Impact On Energy Prices % Pricing power of energy companies Global Government Consumer Supply and/or electric utilities politics regulation demand constraints 10
  • 11. U.S. budget priorities U.S. Budget Areas Most Likely To Put More Money % Job creation 36 Education 15 Social Security 13 Health care 12 Military and defense 8 Infrastructure development / maintenance 6 Energy security / dependable access to 4 Energy innovation 3 Environmental protection 2 Other most 2 11
  • 12. Economic growth versus harm to the environment Environmental Protection Versus Economic Growth Avoiding Harm to Economic Growth: Environment: 37.4% 33.3% 18% 15% 29% 19% 19% Avoiding Permanent Harm Economic Growth To The Environment 1 2 3 4 5 Should Definitely Should Be Given Priority Be Given Priority 12
  • 13. What consumers are concerned about Concerned About… (Top 3 Box on 7 point scale) % 13
  • 14. Expectations for adopting new technologies Likelihood To Do In Next 5 Years (Top 3 Box on a 7 Point Scale) % 14
  • 15. Consumers’ level of knowledge about energy Self-Reported Level Of Knowledge About How Energy Is Produced, Delivered & Used Not Knowledgeable: Knowledgeable: 33.7% 24.2% 10% 24% 42% 19% 6% Not At All 1 5 Very 2 3 4 Knowledgeable Knowledgeable 15
  • 16. Consumers interested in learning more Very / Somewhat Interested % 16
  • 17. Sources for energy information Groups/Organizations Trusted To Provide Information About Efficient Energy Use % 17

Editor's Notes

  1. Many faculty at UT and McCombs advisors provided input into the questionnaire Many external eyeballs on the questionnaire Academic advisory panel with representation from five different institutions, including Stanford, Cambridge, Mannheim Academic advisors reviewed a second time after everyone else gave feedback- Strengths and weaknesses…. Took a longterm view of this initiative and the trend is moving to online because of no call lists, and lack of landline use, particularly for younger population- Highlevel summary of the Poll results have three themes: what consumer’s think about 1) the national situation on energy issues; 2) energy prices and 3) satisfaction with leadership in addressing energy issues.
  2. Current situation: only 14% think we are headed in the right direction43% think we are headed in the wrong direction43% are neutralAND….
  3. 41% of people expect to be worse off in 25 years 23% expect to be better off
  4. - People think prices today are high
  5. - And majority of population expects prices will increase further in the next 6 months
  6. - People anticipate a personal financial hit in the next year… can’t offset increase in prices with efficiency or behavioral changes and total energy budget will increase
  7. Break this chart into pieces: highest satisfaction ratings include engineers and scientists, research institutes, wind/solar companies and colleges and universities Lowest satisfaction with local/state government, large companies, DOE and business leaders Congress is strikingly low in satisfaction, and strikingly high on dissatisfaction President Obama is mid-range for satisfaction, but high on dissatisfaction
  8. This slide offers a possible explanation for dissatisfaction ratings…. Majority of people think the government should do more to prepare us for future energy needs To recap, only 14% of the population think we are headed in the right direction, the situation will only get worse in the long term, prices are already high and rising, and the government needs to do more That is the situational analysis Now let’s look at some specific findings in five areas: economic, environmental, policy, technological, and consumer knowledge and education
  9. Economic finding… what is driving prices? 36% of people attribute pricing power of energy companies and/or utilities as the greatest factor impacting high energy prices Flipside, only 14% rated pricing power as least impact on pricing 26% rated supply/demand combined as greatest impact on prices, while a combined 49% of respondents rated supply & demand as least important factors influencing prices Approximately equal number of people thought politics and regulations were important/not important Message: people do not think standard economic theory applies to energy prices
  10. Environmental finding… are people concerned? Given today’s economic climate, it isn’t surprising that jobs trump all other budget priorities by a wide margin energy and environment rank fairly low on the list BUT….
  11. - On a more general level, economic growth is fairly balanced with environmental concerns- 37% of respondents thought economic growth should be given priority and 33% thought avoiding permanent harm to the environment deserved priority
  12. Policy finding… specifically on energy issues, where are consumers’ focused? 84% expressed concern on nation’s consumption of oil from foreign sources 76% concerned about development of energy efficiency and renewable sources People were more concerned on a national level than on an individual level, although even the individual areas ranked as important Interesting comparison between 84% concerned about foreign oil, yet only 4% chose this as a budget priority. Again, economic climate clouds the picture for all else.
  13. Technological finding…. Which technologies will people adopt in the next five years? 38% use smart meter, 30% buy hybrid, and 21% install solar panels Higher adoption percentages among younger population
  14. Expect people to rate their knowledge as higher than it is yet 1/3 of the population said they aren’t knowledgeable about energy! And this most likely under-states the true situationHOWEVER….
  15. Consumers are interested in learning more, particularly on issues close to home, but even on global energy issues Families showed greatest interest in learning energy efficiency- It is great that they want to learn more, but where do they turn for information?
  16. Consumers trust consumer groups and reports, followed closely by electric utility companies. Non-profits and environmental groups are trusted sources Government agencies are least trusted