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Weekly Chart Book
June 23, 2014
Global Clients…Global Portfolios
disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Weekly Chart Book report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for
research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts,
including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and
information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.
Financial Conditions
5
Developed Markets – Year to Date
6
Emerging Markets – Year to Date
7
US Financial Conditions vs. 52 weeks & 2000-2007 Period
8
The VIX Index (S&P 500 Implied Volatility)
9
AAII Bullishness Index - % Bullish
10
StateStreet Investor Confidence Index
11
Global Financial Stress Index (Higher = More Stress)
12
Citi Macro Risk Index
13
SHIBOR (Shanghai Interbank Overnight Lending Rate)
14
S&P 500 – This Week
15
10 Year UST Yields – This Week
16
Gold Price – This Week
Fixed Income & Credit
18
US Yield Curve (Current vs. 1 Month & 12 Months Ago)
19
UST Curve vs. US Investment Grade Curve
20
U.S. Treasury 30 Year Yield
21
U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield
22
Fed’s 5 Year Forward Breakeven (Inflation Expectations)
23
Investment Grade Bond Prices
24
Investment Grade Credit Spread (BBB – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
25
High Yield Bond Prices
26
High Yield Credit Spreads (HY – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
27
Emerging Market Debt (USD Denominated)
28
Emerging Market Bond Spreads
Global Equities
30
World Equity Indices
31
MSCI All Country World Index
32
S&P 500 Index
33
MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index
34
MSCI Emerging Markets Index
35
Equity Risk Premiums by Country
36
Trend Analysis by Country (MSCI Index)
37
Trend Analysis by Sector (S&P500)
38
Sector Performance by Region (YTD)
The Economy
40
Last week’s Economic Calendar
41
Next week’s Economic Calendar
42
US Consumer Confidence
43
US Personal Income Growth (Year over Year)
44
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Above 50 = Expansion)
45
US Non-Farm Payrolls (Monthly Change)
46
6 Month Outlook for Increase Capital Expenditures
47
NFIB Small Business Actual Capital Expenditures
48
Fed’s Total Credit Market Borrowing and Lending
49
US Auto Sales Total (Annualized SA)
Currencies & Commodities
51
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Spot Returns)
52
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (Spot Forecast: Q4 2014)
53
US Dollar Index $
54
Euro €
55
Japanese Yen ¥
56
Mexican Peso
57
Brazilian Real
58
Russian Ruble
59
Indian Rupee
60
Chinese Renminbi
61
Global Commodity Prices
62
Continuous Commodity Index – 5 Years
63
Gold Prices – 5 Years
64
Crude Oil Prices – 5 Years

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Chart Book and Financial Market Update (6/23/14)