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2017: Theyear
for sovereign
green bonds?
Recent issuances highlight
the potential opportunities
for global investors
1 White & Case
t’s been almost 10 years since
the World Bank issued the very
first green bond and, in that
short period, the market’s depth
and volume has expanded to such
a degree that green issuances are
now considered mainstream.
Green bonds started in the
supranational space, so logic
suggests that they should have
now spread to the sovereign space.
Instead, corporate and financial
issuers made the market popular
with investors and brought principles
and increased standardisation
to the market. Surprisingly, even
though some sovereigns have laid
foundations for entering the market,
they have been slow to issue.
However, they are now beginning
to realise that green bonds offer
easy access to a large and diverse
funding pool, which provides a
low-cost injection of much-needed
capital to finance infrastructure
projects and provide funding
programmes that enable sovereigns
to meet international environmental
obligations, as well as their
stewardship responsibilities
to citizens.
A number of factors are
influencing sovereigns’ growing
interest in issuing green bonds:
their commitments under the
Paris Agreement; the need for
infrastructure finance; and the
focus on power production,
2017: The year for
sovereign green bonds?
Green bonds allow sovereign issuers to diversify their investor base, support investment
in sustainable infrastructure projects, and help with conservation and environmental
challenges at a low cost of funding. However, to date there have been only two sovereign
green bond issuances. Tallat Hussain and Mindy Hauman of global law firm White & Case
discuss steps sovereigns can take to start accessing the green bond market.
I
Sovereigns are increasingly realising that
green bonds provide an opportunity to tap
into new pools of capital and meet their
international environmental obligations
2016 issuance by type of issuer
Source: FinancialTimes
Financial institutions
Non-financial corporates
Public, project and infrastructure
Development banks
Asset-backed securities
Sovereigns
0 10 20 30 40 50
2008
The year in which
the World Bank
issued its first
green bond
2 White & Case
climate change adaptation and
sustainable development.There are
now sovereign green frameworks
that capture the unique status of
a sovereign in being able to set
subsidies and other incentives
that can stimulate the market.
What makes a bond green?
Sovereign green bonds are akin to
mainstream sovereign bonds in many
ways. Pricing and transaction costs are
similar, and they are listed, traded and
regulated in the same way as other
bonds. Like conventional sovereign
bonds, green equivalents are based
on the creditworthiness of the issuer
and are risk-weighted and credit-rated
using the same methodology.
From a credit perspective,
sovereign green bonds are often
From a credit perspective,
sovereign green bonds
are often indistinguishable
from other bonds
North America: 138.3 Latin America: 4.4 Western and Eastern Europe: 210.7 Asia-Pacific (ex. China): 48
Source: Climate Bonds Initiative
Green bond issuances by region (US$bn)
and financial institutions are based
on the International Capital Market
Association’s (ICMA) Green Bond
Principles. However, the majority of
supranationals and sovereigns tend
to have their own, more bespoke
standards to cater to their unique
circumstances and needs.
In terms of reporting, most
standards suggest an independent
third party verify and report on the
transparency of a green bond.The
issuer will need to engage a third-party
verifier to check that the projects or
assets to be financed are eligible and
that there are internal processes to
track how the bond proceeds are being
used.The verifier will also produce,
at least annually, reports confirming
that this is still the case. Issuers find
that costs for verification fall into two
indistinguishable from other bonds.
As there is no standard international
definition of what constitutes a green
bond, investors usually look to the
Use of Proceeds section of a typical
green bond prospectus to assess
whether or not a given bond is
‘green enough’ for them.Today, the
majority of issuances by corporates
3
Commitment to legislation and investment
will play a critical role in encouraging green
finance and sends an important signal to
global markets
categories: internal and external.
Internal costs are based on the issuer
establishing the required internal
processes and controls for selecting
projects and assets, allocating and
managing proceeds, and producing
regular reports. External costs
are typically associated with the
verifier’s assurance of procedures
and reports.There may be other
costs depending on the type of bond
and the certification sought, but the
external cost is mainly determined
by commercial negotiations between
issuer and verifier.
Incentivising sovereigns
Most countries, whether economically
developed or developing, have
a need for infrastructure—and
“green infrastructure” such as
urban transport, water services or
clean power compete with other
government projects for funding. A
large portion of these projects could
be financed through green financing
initiatives that tap into investors
looking for exposure to green assets.
The Better Growth, Better Climate
2016 report by the New Climate
Economy estimated that from 2015 to
2030 global demand for new, climate-
resilient infrastructure could surpass
US$90 trillion, and green bonds will
be a key tool to drive this growth.
The strong creditworthiness of
many sovereigns, along with their
ability to make very large-scale
issuances, makes them attractive
to investors. Further, sovereigns
are in the unique position of being
able to create policy which directly
and indirectly drives the direction
of the market. For example, tax
incentives and other sweeteners
can be introduced to make these
debt instruments more attractive to
investors. Commitment to legislation
and investment will play a critical
role in encouraging green finance
within the jurisdiction and will send an
important signal to global markets.
Sovereign green bond pioneers
To date, only two sovereigns have
issued green bonds.Their diverse
journeys demonstrate the flexibility,
ease and wealth of opportunity green
finance represents.
Poland was the first mover. It
identified a number of sustainable
projects including renewable
energy, clean transportation, landfill
rehabilitation and afforestation that
required financing.
Poland generates more than
80 percent of its electricity from coal,
demonstrating that even nations
with a heavy reliance on fossil fuels
can successfully issue green bonds.
It also shows that it is possible to
balance a nation’s economic needs
with its environmental obligations.
The Polish government has shown
its commitment to diversifying the
country’s energy mix and a more
sustainable future and, as this issue
has confirmed, investors value
green ambitions.
The issuance also helped dispel the
misconception that sovereign green
bonds are more complicated to issue
than conventional sovereign bonds.
Poland’s bond took only a few months
to devise, and future issuances may
take less time now that the framework
is in place.
France kicked off 2017 with a record-
breaking €7 billion issuance with a
22-year term.The coupon was set at
1.75 percent, in line with conventional
bonds with a similar maturity, the
proceeds of which will go towards
funding renewable energy tax credits
and other “green eligible expenditure”,
as France pursues its climate and
energy policy.
France’s inaugural green bond
has added a strong impetus and
much-needed liquidity to the market.
Moreover, it was oversubscribed by
more than three times, which should
serve as ample encouragement to
other sovereigns considering entering
the market.
Sub-sovereign innovators
In some cases, it may be easier
to start small rather than lead
with a sovereign issue. Sub- and
quasi-sovereign issuers have been
comparatively prolific and diverse
in terms of geography, economic
development and project type, further
demonstrating the versatility of green
bonds and their ability to be tailored
to local circumstances.
There are a variety of reasons for
issuing at a sub-sovereign level. For
example, Sweden, which is considered
among the greenest nations, has not
yet issued a sovereign green bond
because the strength of its economy
is such that its government does not
require debt finance at the sovereign
level. However, Sweden’s second-
largest city, Gothenburg, required
funds to aid in its modernisation
after the decline of its local shipping
economy, so in 2013, it issued the
world’s first sub-sovereign green bond.
Most European sub- and quasi-
sovereign green bonds issued
to date comply with the ICMA’s
Green Bond Principles—partly for
credibility. Recent issuers around the
world have followed a similar trend,
including the state-owned Brazilian
Development Bank (BNDES); the New
York MetropolitanTransport Authority;
DC Water’s Clean River Project; the
municipal government of Queensland,
Australia; and Mexico City.
In accordance with their published
frameworks, each issuer earmarked
€7bn
The value of
France’s 22-year
term sovereign
green bond, issued
in early 2017
4
proceeds of the green bonds to local
green projects which were most
appropriately dealt with at the local,
rather than national, level.
Sub-sovereigns have enticed
investors by offering income tax relief
on interest payments. Incidentally,
this has led to competitive pricing, as
holding green bonds offers continued
tax benefits and, as a result, they are in
short supply in the secondary market.
The road to issuance:
Green frameworks
While only two sovereigns to date
have issued a green bond, many
have created, or are in the process
of creating, legislative frameworks
that will facilitate green issuance in
the future.This is a crucial first step,
in particular for emerging economies
with less-developed capital markets.
It also fosters development of
green finance initiatives by private
institutions in a jurisdiction and sends
important signals to the market and
the citizens of a jurisdiction.
Some countries have fully embraced
green bond frameworks. For China
and India, it is a matter of when, not
if, they will issue a sovereign green
bond. Both countries have been
extremely vocal in their support
and commitment to the Paris
Agreement, and both have worked
with international bodies to develop
frameworks aligned with the global
green bond market while addressing
their unique circumstances.
Despite only entering the market in
2015, by the end of 2016 China was the
world’s biggest issuer of green bonds,
spurred by the development and
implementation of official green bond
guidelines and policy initiatives. Going
over and above the production of a
framework, the country has created
a mandatory regulatory regime to
more effectively address its specific
national targets.
An issue with China-labelled green
bonds is that projects that would
not qualify for green funding in the
international market may qualify in
China. For example, ‘clean’ coal
Thestrongcreditworthinessofmanysovereigns,
alongwiththeirabilitytomakeverylarge-scale
issuances,makesthemattractivetoinvestors
thatmanycorporateissuersareunabletoaccess
and the infrastructure that carries
fossil fuels as well as renewable
energy all qualify according to the
Chinese standards. While on the
face of it, this lack of international
uniformity may be cause for investor
uncertainty and concern, it has not
proven problematic nor prevented
Chinese banks from issuing green
bonds on an unprecedented scale.
As it stands, the Chinese market is
being entirely driven by commercial
banks; there have been no Chinese
sovereign or quasi-sovereign green
issuances to date, although rumours
suggest this will change very soon.
The government has shown a deep
commitment at almost every level
and frequently speaks in public
forums about its commitment to
green finance.
Elsewhere, the Securities and
Exchange Board of India has
introduced listing mechanisms that will
encourage and facilitate future green
issuances.The country is planning
numerous large-scale projects, such
as the installation of solar panels on
Green city bonds issuance (2013–2016)
Source: Climate Bonds Initiative
0
2
4
6
8
10
2016201520142013
USA
USA
USA
AustraliaBritainCanadaNorway
Sweden France
Norway
Sweden
Canada
Finland
Norway
Mexico
Sweden
France
USA
SouthAfrica
Sweden
52017: The year for sovereign green bonds?
the roofs and grounds of Indian railway
stations.These initiatives are driven
in part by the government’s ambitious
target of producing 165 gigawatts
of new renewable energy by 2022.
Despite being one of the most heavily
polluting countries in the world, India,
like Poland, has the potential to use
green bonds to simultaneously draw
international investment and clean
up its infrastructure.
At the end of 2016, India ranked
seventh internationally for total issuance
and is a global leader in the external
certification of green bonds. India is
nearly as vocal and committed as
China in encouraging such
environmental finance.
Natural resource-rich sovereigns
For some natural resource-rich
sovereigns, such as Indonesia and
Brazil, issuance should be a natural and
logical progression.These countries
are prime examples of sovereigns with
extremely rich natural resources which
require protection and preservation
and extensive infrastructure plans that
could be financed using green methods.
Many of their infrastructure projects are
inherently green, so the introduction of
green mechanisms has simply supported
what was already in place.
After recognising the gap in funding
required to reach national commitments
under the Paris Agreement, the
Brazilian Federation of Banks and
the Brazilian Business Council for
Sustainable Development in 2016
published guidelines for issuing Brazilian
green bonds.The guidelines outline the
country’s market potential as well as
issuance models.There have already
been many high-profile quasi-sovereign
and corporate green bond issuances,
such as those by BNDES and eucalyptus
pulp producer Fibria Celulose, and this
trend is expected to continue.
Meanwhile, the Financial Services
Authority of Indonesia, Otoritas Jasa
Keuangan, will launch a regulatory
framework later this year. A fundamental
consideration in addition to complying
with the Green Bond Principles will be
compliance with Shari’ah law.These
often go hand in hand and, as such, 2017
may well see a new green product in
the market: a green sukuk—the Islamic
equivalent of a green bond.
Africa’s first movers
Compelled by access to cheap long-term
money from a wide pool of investors,
emerging market sovereigns like Nigeria
are beginning to weigh up this financing
option. A green label conveys higher
standards of disclosure and transparency
required by the Green Bond Principles.
This credibility unlocks access to a much
wider pool of investors who invest in
higher-rated debt instruments than most
emerging markets issuers can offer.
A legislative framework is now in
place, and a Nigerian sovereign green
issuance is expected in the near
future. One of the keys to success will
be winning investors’ confidence by
complying with the evolving Green Bond
Principles.The rest of sub-Saharan
Africa will be watching the country’s
progress intently.
Like Nigeria, Morocco is at the
forefront of developing Africa’s green
bond market.The Moroccan Capital
Market Association (AMMC) has
produced guidelines explaining the
concept of green bonds as well as
practical instructions for issuance. For
securities to be listed as green bonds in
Morocco, the AMMC requires certain
additional elements over and above
Sovereign and supranational
green bond sales have been
heavily oversubscribed
Emerging markets green bond issuance to Q1 2017
Source: Climate Bonds Initiative
China
India
Brazil
M
exico
SouthAfrica
UAE
Costa Rica
M
orocco
The Philippines
Argentina
Peru
29.7
3.3
3.1
2.6
1.3
0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
Allocategreen
b
ond
proceeds, and report progress and impact to investor
s
Review
pro
ject pipeline
62017: The year for sovereign green bonds?
those for plain vanilla issuances. Further,
the AMMC itself will not make a value
judgement on the ‘greenness’ of the use
of proceeds, rather it requires a second
opinion to verify the bond’s legitimacy.
Morocco has numerous upcoming
projects that will be eligible for green
financing, particularly in the solar
energy space.
Investor incentives
Sovereigns are in the unique position of
being able to stimulate the market in a
particular direction by creating policy that
encourages market participants to act
in a certain way.
One clear example is through the
provision of tax incentives or subsidies.
Though not directly facilitating
government issuance, such incentives
are a catalyst for private sector
participation, which will be necessary
for nations to effectively develop green
infrastructure and economies.
The Singaporean government, for
example, is putting in place a Green
Bond Grant regime which recognises
the small additional financial burden of
making a bond green, and nullifies this
disparity through a subsidy.The subsidy
is linked to the mandatory independent
assessment and verification, which will
be covered up to a cap of SGD100,000.
Eliminating this disparity will make
green bonds even more attractive
for issuers.
Another form of incentive is tax
credits, which investors receive in lieu of
an interest payment on their investment.
The US Clean Renewable Energy Bonds
and Qualified Energy Conservation
Bonds programmes are such examples
and facilitate the issuance of bonds for
the purposes of clean energy and energy
conservation. Some 70 percent of the
coupon is a tax credit or a subsidy from
the federal government. Such policies
will help to entice investors, who cite a
lack of green investments in the market
as being the main hindrance to
market development.This paucity of
supply has also meant that, to date,
sovereign and supranational green bond
sales have been heavily oversubscribed,
a boon for issuers.
The case for going green
Almost every sovereign is party to the
Paris Agreement and is committed to
reducing carbon dioxide emissions to
some degree.
Green bonds are one of the most
readily accessible and economical
options available to nations that must
raise large amounts of capital to meet
such environmental targets and
the infrastructure projects that
underpin them.
Government infrastructure projects
are often inherently green, so in many
instances putting these instruments in
place is confirmation of what already
exists. In most cases, sovereigns can
issue green bonds regardless of their
level of economic development and
for an array of purposes.
Investor appetite for these bonds
outstrips global supply, and even more
so in the sovereign space. By capitalising
on this demand, sovereigns can raise
green finance to modernise their
infrastructure and invest in sustainable,
future-proof energy sources to become
more competitive on the world stage and
meet their domestic and international
obligations. Emerging market sovereigns
in particular should not miss the
opportunity to be at the forefront of
this movement, while the initiative
is still for the taking.
For some natural resource-rich sovereigns,
such as Indonesia and Brazil, issuance should
be a natural and logical progression
The carbon dioxide
emission reduction
pledged by Nigeria
by 2030 under the
Paris Agreement
20%
Green bond process implementation guidelines
Source: World Bank
Country
Partnership
Framework
Identification
21
3
45
6Evaluation
Implementation
and completion
Implementation
and supervision
Preparation,
appraisal,
and board
approval
Screeneligibleprojects
Cover photography: GettyImages
whitecase.com
© 2017 White & Case LLP
Tallat Hussain
Environmental Counsel
T +44 20 7532 2376
E thussain@whitecase.com
Mindy Hauman
Professional Support Counsel
T +44 20 7532 1407
E mindy.hauman@whitecase.com

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2017: The year for sovereign green bonds?

  • 1. 2017: Theyear for sovereign green bonds? Recent issuances highlight the potential opportunities for global investors
  • 2. 1 White & Case t’s been almost 10 years since the World Bank issued the very first green bond and, in that short period, the market’s depth and volume has expanded to such a degree that green issuances are now considered mainstream. Green bonds started in the supranational space, so logic suggests that they should have now spread to the sovereign space. Instead, corporate and financial issuers made the market popular with investors and brought principles and increased standardisation to the market. Surprisingly, even though some sovereigns have laid foundations for entering the market, they have been slow to issue. However, they are now beginning to realise that green bonds offer easy access to a large and diverse funding pool, which provides a low-cost injection of much-needed capital to finance infrastructure projects and provide funding programmes that enable sovereigns to meet international environmental obligations, as well as their stewardship responsibilities to citizens. A number of factors are influencing sovereigns’ growing interest in issuing green bonds: their commitments under the Paris Agreement; the need for infrastructure finance; and the focus on power production, 2017: The year for sovereign green bonds? Green bonds allow sovereign issuers to diversify their investor base, support investment in sustainable infrastructure projects, and help with conservation and environmental challenges at a low cost of funding. However, to date there have been only two sovereign green bond issuances. Tallat Hussain and Mindy Hauman of global law firm White & Case discuss steps sovereigns can take to start accessing the green bond market. I Sovereigns are increasingly realising that green bonds provide an opportunity to tap into new pools of capital and meet their international environmental obligations 2016 issuance by type of issuer Source: FinancialTimes Financial institutions Non-financial corporates Public, project and infrastructure Development banks Asset-backed securities Sovereigns 0 10 20 30 40 50 2008 The year in which the World Bank issued its first green bond
  • 3. 2 White & Case climate change adaptation and sustainable development.There are now sovereign green frameworks that capture the unique status of a sovereign in being able to set subsidies and other incentives that can stimulate the market. What makes a bond green? Sovereign green bonds are akin to mainstream sovereign bonds in many ways. Pricing and transaction costs are similar, and they are listed, traded and regulated in the same way as other bonds. Like conventional sovereign bonds, green equivalents are based on the creditworthiness of the issuer and are risk-weighted and credit-rated using the same methodology. From a credit perspective, sovereign green bonds are often From a credit perspective, sovereign green bonds are often indistinguishable from other bonds North America: 138.3 Latin America: 4.4 Western and Eastern Europe: 210.7 Asia-Pacific (ex. China): 48 Source: Climate Bonds Initiative Green bond issuances by region (US$bn) and financial institutions are based on the International Capital Market Association’s (ICMA) Green Bond Principles. However, the majority of supranationals and sovereigns tend to have their own, more bespoke standards to cater to their unique circumstances and needs. In terms of reporting, most standards suggest an independent third party verify and report on the transparency of a green bond.The issuer will need to engage a third-party verifier to check that the projects or assets to be financed are eligible and that there are internal processes to track how the bond proceeds are being used.The verifier will also produce, at least annually, reports confirming that this is still the case. Issuers find that costs for verification fall into two indistinguishable from other bonds. As there is no standard international definition of what constitutes a green bond, investors usually look to the Use of Proceeds section of a typical green bond prospectus to assess whether or not a given bond is ‘green enough’ for them.Today, the majority of issuances by corporates
  • 4. 3 Commitment to legislation and investment will play a critical role in encouraging green finance and sends an important signal to global markets categories: internal and external. Internal costs are based on the issuer establishing the required internal processes and controls for selecting projects and assets, allocating and managing proceeds, and producing regular reports. External costs are typically associated with the verifier’s assurance of procedures and reports.There may be other costs depending on the type of bond and the certification sought, but the external cost is mainly determined by commercial negotiations between issuer and verifier. Incentivising sovereigns Most countries, whether economically developed or developing, have a need for infrastructure—and “green infrastructure” such as urban transport, water services or clean power compete with other government projects for funding. A large portion of these projects could be financed through green financing initiatives that tap into investors looking for exposure to green assets. The Better Growth, Better Climate 2016 report by the New Climate Economy estimated that from 2015 to 2030 global demand for new, climate- resilient infrastructure could surpass US$90 trillion, and green bonds will be a key tool to drive this growth. The strong creditworthiness of many sovereigns, along with their ability to make very large-scale issuances, makes them attractive to investors. Further, sovereigns are in the unique position of being able to create policy which directly and indirectly drives the direction of the market. For example, tax incentives and other sweeteners can be introduced to make these debt instruments more attractive to investors. Commitment to legislation and investment will play a critical role in encouraging green finance within the jurisdiction and will send an important signal to global markets. Sovereign green bond pioneers To date, only two sovereigns have issued green bonds.Their diverse journeys demonstrate the flexibility, ease and wealth of opportunity green finance represents. Poland was the first mover. It identified a number of sustainable projects including renewable energy, clean transportation, landfill rehabilitation and afforestation that required financing. Poland generates more than 80 percent of its electricity from coal, demonstrating that even nations with a heavy reliance on fossil fuels can successfully issue green bonds. It also shows that it is possible to balance a nation’s economic needs with its environmental obligations. The Polish government has shown its commitment to diversifying the country’s energy mix and a more sustainable future and, as this issue has confirmed, investors value green ambitions. The issuance also helped dispel the misconception that sovereign green bonds are more complicated to issue than conventional sovereign bonds. Poland’s bond took only a few months to devise, and future issuances may take less time now that the framework is in place. France kicked off 2017 with a record- breaking €7 billion issuance with a 22-year term.The coupon was set at 1.75 percent, in line with conventional bonds with a similar maturity, the proceeds of which will go towards funding renewable energy tax credits and other “green eligible expenditure”, as France pursues its climate and energy policy. France’s inaugural green bond has added a strong impetus and much-needed liquidity to the market. Moreover, it was oversubscribed by more than three times, which should serve as ample encouragement to other sovereigns considering entering the market. Sub-sovereign innovators In some cases, it may be easier to start small rather than lead with a sovereign issue. Sub- and quasi-sovereign issuers have been comparatively prolific and diverse in terms of geography, economic development and project type, further demonstrating the versatility of green bonds and their ability to be tailored to local circumstances. There are a variety of reasons for issuing at a sub-sovereign level. For example, Sweden, which is considered among the greenest nations, has not yet issued a sovereign green bond because the strength of its economy is such that its government does not require debt finance at the sovereign level. However, Sweden’s second- largest city, Gothenburg, required funds to aid in its modernisation after the decline of its local shipping economy, so in 2013, it issued the world’s first sub-sovereign green bond. Most European sub- and quasi- sovereign green bonds issued to date comply with the ICMA’s Green Bond Principles—partly for credibility. Recent issuers around the world have followed a similar trend, including the state-owned Brazilian Development Bank (BNDES); the New York MetropolitanTransport Authority; DC Water’s Clean River Project; the municipal government of Queensland, Australia; and Mexico City. In accordance with their published frameworks, each issuer earmarked €7bn The value of France’s 22-year term sovereign green bond, issued in early 2017
  • 5. 4 proceeds of the green bonds to local green projects which were most appropriately dealt with at the local, rather than national, level. Sub-sovereigns have enticed investors by offering income tax relief on interest payments. Incidentally, this has led to competitive pricing, as holding green bonds offers continued tax benefits and, as a result, they are in short supply in the secondary market. The road to issuance: Green frameworks While only two sovereigns to date have issued a green bond, many have created, or are in the process of creating, legislative frameworks that will facilitate green issuance in the future.This is a crucial first step, in particular for emerging economies with less-developed capital markets. It also fosters development of green finance initiatives by private institutions in a jurisdiction and sends important signals to the market and the citizens of a jurisdiction. Some countries have fully embraced green bond frameworks. For China and India, it is a matter of when, not if, they will issue a sovereign green bond. Both countries have been extremely vocal in their support and commitment to the Paris Agreement, and both have worked with international bodies to develop frameworks aligned with the global green bond market while addressing their unique circumstances. Despite only entering the market in 2015, by the end of 2016 China was the world’s biggest issuer of green bonds, spurred by the development and implementation of official green bond guidelines and policy initiatives. Going over and above the production of a framework, the country has created a mandatory regulatory regime to more effectively address its specific national targets. An issue with China-labelled green bonds is that projects that would not qualify for green funding in the international market may qualify in China. For example, ‘clean’ coal Thestrongcreditworthinessofmanysovereigns, alongwiththeirabilitytomakeverylarge-scale issuances,makesthemattractivetoinvestors thatmanycorporateissuersareunabletoaccess and the infrastructure that carries fossil fuels as well as renewable energy all qualify according to the Chinese standards. While on the face of it, this lack of international uniformity may be cause for investor uncertainty and concern, it has not proven problematic nor prevented Chinese banks from issuing green bonds on an unprecedented scale. As it stands, the Chinese market is being entirely driven by commercial banks; there have been no Chinese sovereign or quasi-sovereign green issuances to date, although rumours suggest this will change very soon. The government has shown a deep commitment at almost every level and frequently speaks in public forums about its commitment to green finance. Elsewhere, the Securities and Exchange Board of India has introduced listing mechanisms that will encourage and facilitate future green issuances.The country is planning numerous large-scale projects, such as the installation of solar panels on Green city bonds issuance (2013–2016) Source: Climate Bonds Initiative 0 2 4 6 8 10 2016201520142013 USA USA USA AustraliaBritainCanadaNorway Sweden France Norway Sweden Canada Finland Norway Mexico Sweden France USA SouthAfrica Sweden
  • 6. 52017: The year for sovereign green bonds? the roofs and grounds of Indian railway stations.These initiatives are driven in part by the government’s ambitious target of producing 165 gigawatts of new renewable energy by 2022. Despite being one of the most heavily polluting countries in the world, India, like Poland, has the potential to use green bonds to simultaneously draw international investment and clean up its infrastructure. At the end of 2016, India ranked seventh internationally for total issuance and is a global leader in the external certification of green bonds. India is nearly as vocal and committed as China in encouraging such environmental finance. Natural resource-rich sovereigns For some natural resource-rich sovereigns, such as Indonesia and Brazil, issuance should be a natural and logical progression.These countries are prime examples of sovereigns with extremely rich natural resources which require protection and preservation and extensive infrastructure plans that could be financed using green methods. Many of their infrastructure projects are inherently green, so the introduction of green mechanisms has simply supported what was already in place. After recognising the gap in funding required to reach national commitments under the Paris Agreement, the Brazilian Federation of Banks and the Brazilian Business Council for Sustainable Development in 2016 published guidelines for issuing Brazilian green bonds.The guidelines outline the country’s market potential as well as issuance models.There have already been many high-profile quasi-sovereign and corporate green bond issuances, such as those by BNDES and eucalyptus pulp producer Fibria Celulose, and this trend is expected to continue. Meanwhile, the Financial Services Authority of Indonesia, Otoritas Jasa Keuangan, will launch a regulatory framework later this year. A fundamental consideration in addition to complying with the Green Bond Principles will be compliance with Shari’ah law.These often go hand in hand and, as such, 2017 may well see a new green product in the market: a green sukuk—the Islamic equivalent of a green bond. Africa’s first movers Compelled by access to cheap long-term money from a wide pool of investors, emerging market sovereigns like Nigeria are beginning to weigh up this financing option. A green label conveys higher standards of disclosure and transparency required by the Green Bond Principles. This credibility unlocks access to a much wider pool of investors who invest in higher-rated debt instruments than most emerging markets issuers can offer. A legislative framework is now in place, and a Nigerian sovereign green issuance is expected in the near future. One of the keys to success will be winning investors’ confidence by complying with the evolving Green Bond Principles.The rest of sub-Saharan Africa will be watching the country’s progress intently. Like Nigeria, Morocco is at the forefront of developing Africa’s green bond market.The Moroccan Capital Market Association (AMMC) has produced guidelines explaining the concept of green bonds as well as practical instructions for issuance. For securities to be listed as green bonds in Morocco, the AMMC requires certain additional elements over and above Sovereign and supranational green bond sales have been heavily oversubscribed Emerging markets green bond issuance to Q1 2017 Source: Climate Bonds Initiative China India Brazil M exico SouthAfrica UAE Costa Rica M orocco The Philippines Argentina Peru 29.7 3.3 3.1 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
  • 7. Allocategreen b ond proceeds, and report progress and impact to investor s Review pro ject pipeline 62017: The year for sovereign green bonds? those for plain vanilla issuances. Further, the AMMC itself will not make a value judgement on the ‘greenness’ of the use of proceeds, rather it requires a second opinion to verify the bond’s legitimacy. Morocco has numerous upcoming projects that will be eligible for green financing, particularly in the solar energy space. Investor incentives Sovereigns are in the unique position of being able to stimulate the market in a particular direction by creating policy that encourages market participants to act in a certain way. One clear example is through the provision of tax incentives or subsidies. Though not directly facilitating government issuance, such incentives are a catalyst for private sector participation, which will be necessary for nations to effectively develop green infrastructure and economies. The Singaporean government, for example, is putting in place a Green Bond Grant regime which recognises the small additional financial burden of making a bond green, and nullifies this disparity through a subsidy.The subsidy is linked to the mandatory independent assessment and verification, which will be covered up to a cap of SGD100,000. Eliminating this disparity will make green bonds even more attractive for issuers. Another form of incentive is tax credits, which investors receive in lieu of an interest payment on their investment. The US Clean Renewable Energy Bonds and Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds programmes are such examples and facilitate the issuance of bonds for the purposes of clean energy and energy conservation. Some 70 percent of the coupon is a tax credit or a subsidy from the federal government. Such policies will help to entice investors, who cite a lack of green investments in the market as being the main hindrance to market development.This paucity of supply has also meant that, to date, sovereign and supranational green bond sales have been heavily oversubscribed, a boon for issuers. The case for going green Almost every sovereign is party to the Paris Agreement and is committed to reducing carbon dioxide emissions to some degree. Green bonds are one of the most readily accessible and economical options available to nations that must raise large amounts of capital to meet such environmental targets and the infrastructure projects that underpin them. Government infrastructure projects are often inherently green, so in many instances putting these instruments in place is confirmation of what already exists. In most cases, sovereigns can issue green bonds regardless of their level of economic development and for an array of purposes. Investor appetite for these bonds outstrips global supply, and even more so in the sovereign space. By capitalising on this demand, sovereigns can raise green finance to modernise their infrastructure and invest in sustainable, future-proof energy sources to become more competitive on the world stage and meet their domestic and international obligations. Emerging market sovereigns in particular should not miss the opportunity to be at the forefront of this movement, while the initiative is still for the taking. For some natural resource-rich sovereigns, such as Indonesia and Brazil, issuance should be a natural and logical progression The carbon dioxide emission reduction pledged by Nigeria by 2030 under the Paris Agreement 20% Green bond process implementation guidelines Source: World Bank Country Partnership Framework Identification 21 3 45 6Evaluation Implementation and completion Implementation and supervision Preparation, appraisal, and board approval Screeneligibleprojects
  • 8. Cover photography: GettyImages whitecase.com © 2017 White & Case LLP Tallat Hussain Environmental Counsel T +44 20 7532 2376 E thussain@whitecase.com Mindy Hauman Professional Support Counsel T +44 20 7532 1407 E mindy.hauman@whitecase.com