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LENDING POLICY OF BANKS
      IN FRANCE


                VINEET BHANSALI
                    SEMESTER VI
                    ROLL NO. 783
                   NLU JODHPUR
 The aim of this presentation is to check for the
 possible existence of a bank lending channel in
 France. For that purpose, it is necessary to estimate a
 dynamic reduced form model allowing for
 asymmetries in loan supply across banks, depending
 on their size, liquidity and capitalization.
INTRODUCTION

 Bank lending is at the heart of the money creation mechanism:
  monitoring developments in bank lending is key to the definition of
  the monetary policy stance and its conduct.
  Bank lending and interest rates in France In France, bank
  lending is monitored via the following channels: the lending activity
  reflected in banks' balance sheets, a regional census of flows of new
  loans, loans (beyond a given threshold) reported to the Central
  Credit Register, a regional census among 300 banks that are
  members of the French Banking Federation.
  Bank lending and interest rates in the euro area An opinion
  survey has been carried out on a quarterly basis since end-2002
  among a sample of credit institutions in France and the rest of the
  euro area. It aims at analysing banks' lending policy vis-à-vis the
  non-financial sector in the euro area.
THE FRENCH BANKING SYSTEM

 The 90’s have been characterized in France by a
  reduction in the number of institutions, an increase of
  market finance and a steady decline of the interest rate.
 The French banking system has modernized a lot over
  the last 20 years. This is the consequence of the banking
  system law of 1984 and the modernization of capital
  markets initiated by the 1986 reform. The rationalization
  of the structure of the French banking industry, and the
  more intense competition that followed, has resulted in a
  steady decline in the number of credit institutions over
  the last decade
Continued….

Concentration in the French banking industry has
 intensified in recent years. In terms of total
 assets, the share of the five largest institutions has
 expanded by four percentage points from 38.7 % to
 42.7 % between 1993 and 1999. Meanwhile, the
 share of the top twenty has risen by 11.1 percentage
 points (to reach 74.3 % at the end of 1999). As
 regards customer lending, concentration has also
 intensified since 1993 but to a lesser extent, with
 moderate rises in market share: +2.3 points for the
 top five (to 46.4 %), +3.6 points for the top ten (to
 66.1 %) and +2 points for the top twenty (to 76.3 %)
Continued….

 The period studied has thus been characterized by an
  increased competition among banks, a relative stability of the
  repartition between short and long-term borrowing, and a
  steady decrease of the interest rate. The improved competition
  among banks is favorable for finding an impact of monetary
  policy on bank loans. On the other hand the steady decline of
  interest rates might weaken the link between monetary policy
  and loan supply.
 Short-term loans, both because of their “natural” term
  difference and of this strongerproportion of variable interest
  rate contracts, are expected to depend more strongly on the
  monetary policy interest rate than long-term ones. As far as
  outstanding amounts are considered, this phenomenon is
  reinforced by the significant decrease in interest rates that has
  been observed over the period.
IMPACT OF MONETARY POLICY ON BANK
              LENDING

 The loan demand elasticities with respect to GDP
  and inflation are homogeneous across banks.
 The average impact on outstanding loans of banks is
  significant and amounts to a reduction of 1.4% in the
  “shortrun”, and 2% in the long run, for an increase of
  100 base points in the interest rates.
 Some evidence of a lending channel in France.
IMPACT OF LIQUIDITY

The existence of a lending channel can be assessed
 since our econometric results show that more liquid
 banks do not respond to a monetary policy
 tightening as strongly as less liquid banks do. The
 former use their liquidity to compensate the effects
 of a monetary policy tightening. Indeed, the
 interaction coefficient with liquidity is positive and
 highly significant. Banks appear to draw on their
 short-term interbank assets to soften the
 consequences of an interest rate increase on their
 loan supply.
OBSERVATIONS

 Banks cannot easily adjust downward their loan
  portfolio, at least for long-term loans which
  represent a significant proportion of bank lending.
 At the “aggregate” level, the estimates show a
  significant impact of the monetary policy on bank
  lending. An increase of 100 base points in the
  interest rate leads, in the long run, to a 1.5 to 2%
  decrease in the outstanding amount of loans for the
  “average bank” and of around 2.5 to 3% at the
  “aggregate level”.
CONCLUSION

 There is some asymmetry between liquid and illiquid banks, the
    latter being more sensitive to a monetary policy tightening. It
    constitutes an indication that, banks somehow reduce their liquid
    assets portfolio in order to maintain their loan portfolio.
   French small banks are, relatively speaking, most often better
    capitalized than large ones.
   The loan demand addressed to small banks is less elastic with
    respect to the interest rate than that addressed to large banks
   it would be probably more satisfactory to get an evaluation of the
    impact of monetary policy decisions on new loans granted by banks
    rather than on their outstanding amount.
   the availability of bank loans to households and businesses is
    important but does not totally reflect the consequences of monetary
    policy decisions on the financing of non-bank economic agents.
BIBLIOGRAPHY

 http://www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp101.pdf
 Barran, Fernando; Coudert, Virginie; Mojon, Benoit
  (1997), ''La transmission des politiques monétaires
  dans les pays européens'', Revue Française
  d'Economie vol 12, 2, spring, p 133-176
 Bellando R., Pollin J.-P. (1996), ''Le canal du crédit
  en France depuis la déréglementation
  financière, quelques tests exploratoires'', Revue
  Economique, mai, 731-743
 “Fiscal policy effectiveness and neutrality results in a
  non-Ricardian world” by C. Detken, May 1999.

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Bank Lending Policy in France

  • 1. LENDING POLICY OF BANKS IN FRANCE VINEET BHANSALI SEMESTER VI ROLL NO. 783 NLU JODHPUR
  • 2.  The aim of this presentation is to check for the possible existence of a bank lending channel in France. For that purpose, it is necessary to estimate a dynamic reduced form model allowing for asymmetries in loan supply across banks, depending on their size, liquidity and capitalization.
  • 3. INTRODUCTION  Bank lending is at the heart of the money creation mechanism: monitoring developments in bank lending is key to the definition of the monetary policy stance and its conduct. Bank lending and interest rates in France In France, bank lending is monitored via the following channels: the lending activity reflected in banks' balance sheets, a regional census of flows of new loans, loans (beyond a given threshold) reported to the Central Credit Register, a regional census among 300 banks that are members of the French Banking Federation. Bank lending and interest rates in the euro area An opinion survey has been carried out on a quarterly basis since end-2002 among a sample of credit institutions in France and the rest of the euro area. It aims at analysing banks' lending policy vis-à-vis the non-financial sector in the euro area.
  • 4. THE FRENCH BANKING SYSTEM  The 90’s have been characterized in France by a reduction in the number of institutions, an increase of market finance and a steady decline of the interest rate.  The French banking system has modernized a lot over the last 20 years. This is the consequence of the banking system law of 1984 and the modernization of capital markets initiated by the 1986 reform. The rationalization of the structure of the French banking industry, and the more intense competition that followed, has resulted in a steady decline in the number of credit institutions over the last decade
  • 5. Continued…. Concentration in the French banking industry has intensified in recent years. In terms of total assets, the share of the five largest institutions has expanded by four percentage points from 38.7 % to 42.7 % between 1993 and 1999. Meanwhile, the share of the top twenty has risen by 11.1 percentage points (to reach 74.3 % at the end of 1999). As regards customer lending, concentration has also intensified since 1993 but to a lesser extent, with moderate rises in market share: +2.3 points for the top five (to 46.4 %), +3.6 points for the top ten (to 66.1 %) and +2 points for the top twenty (to 76.3 %)
  • 6. Continued….  The period studied has thus been characterized by an increased competition among banks, a relative stability of the repartition between short and long-term borrowing, and a steady decrease of the interest rate. The improved competition among banks is favorable for finding an impact of monetary policy on bank loans. On the other hand the steady decline of interest rates might weaken the link between monetary policy and loan supply.  Short-term loans, both because of their “natural” term difference and of this strongerproportion of variable interest rate contracts, are expected to depend more strongly on the monetary policy interest rate than long-term ones. As far as outstanding amounts are considered, this phenomenon is reinforced by the significant decrease in interest rates that has been observed over the period.
  • 7. IMPACT OF MONETARY POLICY ON BANK LENDING  The loan demand elasticities with respect to GDP and inflation are homogeneous across banks.  The average impact on outstanding loans of banks is significant and amounts to a reduction of 1.4% in the “shortrun”, and 2% in the long run, for an increase of 100 base points in the interest rates.  Some evidence of a lending channel in France.
  • 8. IMPACT OF LIQUIDITY The existence of a lending channel can be assessed since our econometric results show that more liquid banks do not respond to a monetary policy tightening as strongly as less liquid banks do. The former use their liquidity to compensate the effects of a monetary policy tightening. Indeed, the interaction coefficient with liquidity is positive and highly significant. Banks appear to draw on their short-term interbank assets to soften the consequences of an interest rate increase on their loan supply.
  • 9. OBSERVATIONS  Banks cannot easily adjust downward their loan portfolio, at least for long-term loans which represent a significant proportion of bank lending.  At the “aggregate” level, the estimates show a significant impact of the monetary policy on bank lending. An increase of 100 base points in the interest rate leads, in the long run, to a 1.5 to 2% decrease in the outstanding amount of loans for the “average bank” and of around 2.5 to 3% at the “aggregate level”.
  • 10. CONCLUSION  There is some asymmetry between liquid and illiquid banks, the latter being more sensitive to a monetary policy tightening. It constitutes an indication that, banks somehow reduce their liquid assets portfolio in order to maintain their loan portfolio.  French small banks are, relatively speaking, most often better capitalized than large ones.  The loan demand addressed to small banks is less elastic with respect to the interest rate than that addressed to large banks  it would be probably more satisfactory to get an evaluation of the impact of monetary policy decisions on new loans granted by banks rather than on their outstanding amount.  the availability of bank loans to households and businesses is important but does not totally reflect the consequences of monetary policy decisions on the financing of non-bank economic agents.
  • 11. BIBLIOGRAPHY  http://www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp101.pdf  Barran, Fernando; Coudert, Virginie; Mojon, Benoit (1997), ''La transmission des politiques monétaires dans les pays européens'', Revue Française d'Economie vol 12, 2, spring, p 133-176  Bellando R., Pollin J.-P. (1996), ''Le canal du crédit en France depuis la déréglementation financière, quelques tests exploratoires'', Revue Economique, mai, 731-743  “Fiscal policy effectiveness and neutrality results in a non-Ricardian world” by C. Detken, May 1999.