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THE ASIAN CRISIS 1997
VENKATESH GANAPATHY
THE ASIAN CRISIS
 JULY 1997 – THAILAND : VALUE OF THAI BAHT
PLUMMETED.
 SPILLOVER OF CRISIS – INDONESIA, KOREA,
MALAYSIA, PHILLIPPINES
 CLOSURE OF BANKS AND FINANCIAL
INSTITUTIONS
 COLLAPSE OF REAL ESTATE SECTOR
OTHER EFFECTS OF THE CRISIS
 INCREASE IN INTEREST RATES
 DEPRECIATION IN CURRENCIES
 REGIONAL STOCK MARKETS
ADVERSELY AFFECTED
CAUSES OF THE CRISES
 80’S – ASIAN ECONOMIES EXPERIENCING UNPRECEDENTED
ECONOMIC GROWTH.
 RAPID RISE IN EXPORTS
 SHIFT IN EXPORTS FROM TEXTILES TO HIGH TECH PRODUCTS LIKE
AUTOMOBILES, SEMI CONDUCTORS & CONSUMER ELECTRONICS.
 CYCLICAL DOWNTURN IN THE DEMAND FOR ELECTRONIC GOODS
 RISING DOLLAR, FALLING YEN
 FALL IN EXPORTS
IMPACT OF ASIAN CRISIS
 REDUCED INFLOW OF FOREIGN CAPITAL
 CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
 MARKET CONCERN ABOUT EXCHANGE RATES
 EVENTUAL COLLAPSE OF THAI BAHT
 NO IMPLICIT GUARANTEES IN INVESTMENTS
 FALL IN ASSET PRICES
CRISIS DEEPENS…
 FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES – BANKRUPT
 CRISIS SPREAD TO MALAYSIA, S KOREA,
INDONESIA, PHILLIPINES.
 INVESTORS BACKED OUT
 RUSSIA AFFECTED [ RIPPLE EFFECT]
EFFECT OF ASIAN CRISES ON OTHER
ECONOMIES
 JAPAN’S EXPORT TO ASIAN TIGERS WAS HIT
 LATIN AMERICAN COUNTRIES – CHILE, MEXICO,
VENZEULA WERE ADVERSELY AFFECTED
 LOWER DEMAND FOR EXPORTS FROM LATIN
AMERICA
 EUROPEAN FIRMS AFFECTED DUE TO REDUCED
EXPORTS TO ASIAN COUNTRIES
 IMPORTS FROM ASIAN COUNTRIES INCREASED
INSTEAD OF EUROPE
HOW BUSINESSES WERE AFFECTED
BY ASIAN CRISES
 American firms – 3M, Motorola, HP and Nike
experienced a fall in stock values
 European banks had provided huge loans to Asian
companies and when these companies defaulted
on these loans, the banks were affected.
HOW DID RECOVERY HAPPEN?
 MACRO ECONOMIC POLICY RESPONSES
 STRINGENT FISCAL & MONETARY MEASURES
 STRUCTURAL REFORMS
 INTERVENTION BY IMF
MORAL OF THE STORY
STRICTER FISCAL DISCIPLINE IS A MUST.
https://bookboon.com/en/international-
business-dynamics-ebook

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The Asian Crisis 1997

  • 1. THE ASIAN CRISIS 1997 VENKATESH GANAPATHY
  • 2. THE ASIAN CRISIS  JULY 1997 – THAILAND : VALUE OF THAI BAHT PLUMMETED.  SPILLOVER OF CRISIS – INDONESIA, KOREA, MALAYSIA, PHILLIPPINES  CLOSURE OF BANKS AND FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS  COLLAPSE OF REAL ESTATE SECTOR
  • 3. OTHER EFFECTS OF THE CRISIS  INCREASE IN INTEREST RATES  DEPRECIATION IN CURRENCIES  REGIONAL STOCK MARKETS ADVERSELY AFFECTED
  • 4. CAUSES OF THE CRISES  80’S – ASIAN ECONOMIES EXPERIENCING UNPRECEDENTED ECONOMIC GROWTH.  RAPID RISE IN EXPORTS  SHIFT IN EXPORTS FROM TEXTILES TO HIGH TECH PRODUCTS LIKE AUTOMOBILES, SEMI CONDUCTORS & CONSUMER ELECTRONICS.  CYCLICAL DOWNTURN IN THE DEMAND FOR ELECTRONIC GOODS  RISING DOLLAR, FALLING YEN  FALL IN EXPORTS
  • 5. IMPACT OF ASIAN CRISIS  REDUCED INFLOW OF FOREIGN CAPITAL  CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT  MARKET CONCERN ABOUT EXCHANGE RATES  EVENTUAL COLLAPSE OF THAI BAHT  NO IMPLICIT GUARANTEES IN INVESTMENTS  FALL IN ASSET PRICES
  • 6. CRISIS DEEPENS…  FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES – BANKRUPT  CRISIS SPREAD TO MALAYSIA, S KOREA, INDONESIA, PHILLIPINES.  INVESTORS BACKED OUT  RUSSIA AFFECTED [ RIPPLE EFFECT]
  • 7. EFFECT OF ASIAN CRISES ON OTHER ECONOMIES  JAPAN’S EXPORT TO ASIAN TIGERS WAS HIT  LATIN AMERICAN COUNTRIES – CHILE, MEXICO, VENZEULA WERE ADVERSELY AFFECTED  LOWER DEMAND FOR EXPORTS FROM LATIN AMERICA  EUROPEAN FIRMS AFFECTED DUE TO REDUCED EXPORTS TO ASIAN COUNTRIES  IMPORTS FROM ASIAN COUNTRIES INCREASED INSTEAD OF EUROPE
  • 8. HOW BUSINESSES WERE AFFECTED BY ASIAN CRISES  American firms – 3M, Motorola, HP and Nike experienced a fall in stock values  European banks had provided huge loans to Asian companies and when these companies defaulted on these loans, the banks were affected.
  • 9. HOW DID RECOVERY HAPPEN?  MACRO ECONOMIC POLICY RESPONSES  STRINGENT FISCAL & MONETARY MEASURES  STRUCTURAL REFORMS  INTERVENTION BY IMF
  • 10. MORAL OF THE STORY STRICTER FISCAL DISCIPLINE IS A MUST.