SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 86
Download to read offline
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Be Sure to Participate in Our Polls
You Could Be a Winner!
24 Carat Gold Plated Horseshoe
2
Three opportunities to win:
We’ll select one person at
random from each poll
question.
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Poll Question #1
How is gold included in your portfolio?
3
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Facebook Use Around the World
1.7 Billion People Connected Without Passports!
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Australian Dollar Tracks Iron Ore
5
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Brazilian Real Tracks Iron Ore
6
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
The Peruvian Sol Tracks Copper Prices
7
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Canadian Dollar and Russian
Ruble Track Oil Prices
8
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Colombian Peso Tracks Oil Prices
9
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Global PMI — Upturn May Be
Good for Commodity Demand
10
11
The Periodic Table of Commodity ReturnsThe Periodic Table of Commodity Returns
12
The Periodic Table of Commodity ReturnsThe Periodic Table of Commodity Returns
13
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Each Asset Class Has Its Own DNA of Volatility
Daily Rolling 1
Year
Gold Bullion ±1% ±19%
NYSE Arca Exchange Gold BUGS Index ±3% ±39%
WTI Crude Oil ±3% ±38%
S&P 500 Index (SPX) ±1% ±18%
Euro ±1% ±10%
Canadian Dollar ±1% ±10%
U.S. Dollar Index ±1% ±9%
Source: Bloomberg, U.S. Global Investors
Standard deviation based on 10-year daily data as of 9/30/2016
14
Standard deviation is a measure of the dispersion of a set of data from its mean. The more
spread apart the data, the higher the deviation. Standard deviation is also known as
historical volatility. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Sharing Gold Insights with CNBC
and Bloomberg Television
15
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Gold’s Heartbeat:
Historically Gold Reverts to the Mean
16
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Gold’s Heartbeat:
Historically Gold Reverts to the Mean
17
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Driver: The Fear Trade
President Barack Obama
Janet Yellen, Chairman
of the Federal Reserve
18
Nominal Interest Rates
19
Real Interest Rates
Investors Focus on Tip of Interest Rates
INVESTORS NEED TO FOCUS
ON REAL INTEREST RATES
(Nominal Rates – CPI = Real Rates)
Historically, when CPI inflation has been greater than
nominal rates, real interest rates became negative,
and gold rose in value.
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Historically Gold Corrects on Rise of
10-Year Treasury Yield
20
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Fear Trade: The Inverse Relation Between Real Interest Rates
and the Price of Gold
21
Aug 2015
vs
Aug 2016
Compare
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Fear Trade: The Inverse Relation Between Real Interest Rates
and the Price of Gold
22
Nov 2015
vs
Nov 2016
Compare
23
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
“Chindia” Accounts for More Than Half of Total Global
Gold Jewelry Demand in 2015
24
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
June 2016 | 16-196
Understanding Various Market Cycles
Managing Expectations — Cycles
DAY MONTH ANNUAL
SEASONAL
PRESIDENTIAL
4-YEAR
LIFE CYCLE
OF MINE
8-YEAR
25
26
The seasonal pattern shows historical
tendency of when the highest and
lowest prices occurred, based on analysis
of daily prices collected over the last 5,
15 and 30 years by Moore Research
Center, Inc.
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Gold’s Love Trade: Cultural Celebrations
Prompting the Purchase of Gold
27
28
29
30
31
Indian Households Own More
Gold Than Top Six
Central Banks
In Tonnes
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Gold Is Among Indian Households’
Regular Expenditures
32
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Indians Use Gold Jewelry to Help Protect
Their Wealth Against Currency Devaluation
33
34
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
India’s Spot Gold Premium/Discount
Through U.S. Election Day
35
This index calculates the Premium/Discount of the Gold Spot price in India to Gold Spot in the
U.S. dollar (USD/troy oz). The index uses a 10% import duty which came into effect in 2013.
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
India’s Spot Gold Premium/Discount
After U.S. Election Day
36
This index calculates the Premium/Discount of the Gold Spot price in India to Gold Spot in the
U.S. dollar (USD/troy oz). The index uses a 10% import duty which came into effect in 2013.
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Who’s Best For Markets: Trump or Clinton? Frank
Holmes Speaks with Kitco News
37
38
39
40
Even Gold-Colored Phones Have Become Popular Purchases
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
The Great Tectonic Shift of Physical
Gold From West to East
41
February 8, 2016
In December 2015, China imported 180 tonnes of
gold from Switzerland alone.
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
China Surpasses U.S. on Purchasing Power Parity
Valuation of GDP
42
43
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Poll Question #2
What do you think the price of
gold will be by year end?
44
45
46
*Three Hedge Fund Managers’ Thoughts on Gold
*
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Gold-Coin Sales In U.S. Climb to
Highest Since January
47
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Near-Record Gold ETF Inflows
in First Quarter
The price of gold is subject to substantial price fluctuations over short periods of time and
may be affected by unpredicted international monetary and political policies.
48
Visit usfunds.com
to watch a replay
of our webcast,
All Eyes on Gold:
What’s Attracting
Investors to the
Yellow Metal
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Gold Cycle 2001 to 2007: Gold Stocks
Outperformed Bullion
49
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Gold Cycle 2009 to 2016: Bullion
Outperformed Gold Stocks
50
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Gold Cycle Year-to-Date: Bullion
Outperformed Gold Stocks
51
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Gold’s Performance in Various World Currencies
Since 2011 Peak
52
+80%
+20%
+18%
-20%
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Gold’s Performance in Various World Currencies
Past 12 Months
53
+30%
+22%
+21%
+20%
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Global Gross Debt at an
All-Time High – $152 Trillion
54
$152 Trillion
55
As of October 2016
Source: IMF, World Gold Council, U.S. Global Investors
56
57
58
The Portfolio Manager’s
Cube: A Look at the Value
Drivers Behind Superior
Resource Stock Performance
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Top 10 Gold Names Based
on SG&A-to-Revenue
69
88%
Combined
Return
70
*Hypothetical portfolio of 10 gold-stocks selected based on OCF/EV
As of 11/2/2016
GDM = NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index
*
71
*Hypothetical portfolio of 10 gold-stocks selected based on REV/SGA
As of 11/2/2016
GDM = NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index
*
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Top Performing Australian Gold Producers Based
on Relative Valuations
72
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Royalty Companies Have Had a Greater
Revenue Per Employee Model than Producers
Royalty companies serve as
specialized financiers that help fund
miners’ exploration and production
projects. In return, they receive either
royalties on whatever the mine
produces or a “stream,” which is a
commitment to an agreed-upon
number of ounces of gold or other
precious metal per year.
73
As of 11/4/2016
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX)
Beat Benchmark Over 1 Year
74
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX)
Beat Benchmark Over 3 Years
75
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
World Quarterly Mine Production
Is Trending Down
76
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Where Have All the Gold Discoveries Gone?
77
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Long-Term Diversification Has Benefitted
from Resource Stocks
78
79
Are you tuning in?
Don’t miss Frank Holmes’ weekly gold commentary on Kitco News
with Daniela Cambone!
Kitco.com on July 14, 2016
80
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Recognition As an Industry Leader
in Investor Education — 80 Awards
81
80 Mutual Fund Education Alliance STAR Awards
2007 - 2016
MFEA
The Mutual Fund Education Alliance (MFEA) is a national industry association committed to investor education, and its
STAR Awards program recognizes marketing communications efforts in the mutual fund industry. The awards competition is
judged by industry professionals, and based on criteria including educational value, content, design and functionality.
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Poll Question #3
Do you plan on adding to your gold
allocation in the next 12 months?
82
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Total Annualized Returns as of 9/30/2016
83
Expense ratios as stated in the most recent prospectus. The expense cap is a voluntary limit on total fund operating
expenses (exclusive of any acquired fund fees and expenses, performance fees, extraordinary expenses, taxes,
brokerage commissions and interest) that U.S. Global Investors, Inc. can modify or terminate at any time, which may
lower a fund’s yield or return. Performance data quoted above is historical. Past performance is no guarantee of future
results. Results reflect the reinvestment of dividends and other earnings. For a portion of periods, the fund had expense
limitations, without which returns would have been lower. Current performance may be higher or lower than the
performance data quoted. The principal value and investment return of an investment will fluctuate so that your shares,
when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Performance does not include the effect of any direct
fees described in the fund’s prospectus (e.g., short-term trading fees of 0.05%) which, if applicable, would lower your total
returns. Performance quoted for periods of one year or less is cumulative and not annualized. Obtain performance data
current to the most recent month-end at www.usfunds.com or 1-800-US-FUNDS. High double-digit returns are
attributable, in part, to unusually favorable market conditions and may not be repeated or consistently achieved in the
future.
One-Year Five-Year Ten-Year
Gross
Expense
Ratio
Expense
Cap
World Precious Minerals
Fund (UNWPX)
151.98% -6.49% -0.75% 2.01% 1.90%
NYSE Arca Gold Miners
Index
95.49% -12.44% -1.75% N/A N/A
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Disclosures
84
Please consider carefully a fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. For this
and other important information, obtain a fund prospectus by visiting www.usfunds.com or by
calling 1-800-US-FUNDS (1-800-873-8637). Read it carefully before investing. Foreside Fund
Services, LLC, Distributor. U.S. Global Investors is the investment adviser.
Gold, precious metals, and precious minerals funds may be susceptible to adverse economic, political or
regulatory developments due to concentrating in a single theme. The prices of gold, precious metals, and
precious minerals are subject to substantial price fluctuations over short periods of time and may be affected by
unpredicted international monetary and political policies. We suggest investing no more than 5% to 10% of your
portfolio in these sectors.
All opinions expressed and data provided are subject to change without notice. Some of these opinions may not
be appropriate to every investor.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI is a composite indicator designed to provide an overall view of activity in
the manufacturing sector and acts as a leading indicator for the whole economy.
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Disclosures
85
The J.P. Morgan Global Purchasing Manager’s Index is an indicator of the economic health of the global manufacturing sector. The
PMI index is based on five major indicators: new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries and the employment
environment.
The NYSE Arca Gold BUGS (Basket of Unhedged Gold Stocks) Index (HUI) is a modified equal dollar weighted index of companies
involved in gold mining. The HUI Index was designed to provide significant exposure to near term movements in gold prices by
including companies that do not hedge their gold production beyond 1.5 years.
The NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index is a modified market capitalization weighted index comprised of publicly traded companies
involved primarily in the mining for gold and silver. The index benchmark value was 500.0 at the close of trading on December 20,
2002.
The S&P 500 Stock Index is a widely recognized capitalization-weighted index of 500 common stock prices in U.S. companies.
Standard deviation is a measure of the dispersion of a set of data from its mean. The more spread apart the data, the higher the
deviation. Standard deviation is also known as historical volatility.
The U.S. Trade Weighted Dollar Index provides a general indication of the international value of the U.S. dollar.
usfunds.com
usfunds.com
November 2016 | 16-423
Disclosures
86
Fund portfolios are actively managed, and holdings may change daily. Holdings are reported as of the most recent quarter-end.
Companies not held in a U.S. Global Investors fund at quarter end may have previously been held in a fund and may be held in a
fund in the future.
Holdings in the World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX) as a percentage of net assets as of 09/30/2016: Anglo American Platinum
0.00%, Aquarius Platinum 0.00%, Evolution Mining 0.00%, Facebook 0.00%, Franco Nevada 0.00%, Harmony Gold Mining 0.00%,
Impala Platinum Holdings 0.00%, Newcrest Mining 0.00%, Newmont 0.00%, Northern Star Resources 0.33%, Pan African
Resources 0.00%, Pan American Silver 0.00%, Ramelius Resources 0.00%, Regis Resources 0.00%, Resolute Mining 0.00%,
Royal Gold Inc. 0.00%, Saracen Minerals 0.00%, Sibanye Gold 0.00%, Silver Wheaton 0.00%, St. Barbara 1.67%

More Related Content

Similar to What's Driving Gold? Invasion of the Quants

Optimization advice-for-watertownbuysellgold-com
Optimization advice-for-watertownbuysellgold-comOptimization advice-for-watertownbuysellgold-com
Optimization advice-for-watertownbuysellgold-com
Brian Bateman
 
WHITNEY WESTBROOK_ASSIGNMENT 3 P3B pdf
WHITNEY WESTBROOK_ASSIGNMENT 3 P3B pdfWHITNEY WESTBROOK_ASSIGNMENT 3 P3B pdf
WHITNEY WESTBROOK_ASSIGNMENT 3 P3B pdf
Whitney Westbrook
 

Similar to What's Driving Gold? Invasion of the Quants (9)

Optimization advice-for-watertownbuysellgold-com
Optimization advice-for-watertownbuysellgold-comOptimization advice-for-watertownbuysellgold-com
Optimization advice-for-watertownbuysellgold-com
 
Pradeep rajan platts shipping
Pradeep rajan platts shippingPradeep rajan platts shipping
Pradeep rajan platts shipping
 
Will Point-To-Point Distribution Drive Sand Industry Consolidation?
Will Point-To-Point Distribution Drive Sand Industry Consolidation?Will Point-To-Point Distribution Drive Sand Industry Consolidation?
Will Point-To-Point Distribution Drive Sand Industry Consolidation?
 
Benchmark World Tour 2016 in pictures
Benchmark World Tour 2016 in picturesBenchmark World Tour 2016 in pictures
Benchmark World Tour 2016 in pictures
 
Middle East Luxury Watches Market Size, Share, Demand & Growth Opportunity, T...
Middle East Luxury Watches Market Size, Share, Demand & Growth Opportunity, T...Middle East Luxury Watches Market Size, Share, Demand & Growth Opportunity, T...
Middle East Luxury Watches Market Size, Share, Demand & Growth Opportunity, T...
 
Go Global: Canada
Go Global: CanadaGo Global: Canada
Go Global: Canada
 
WHITNEY WESTBROOK_ASSIGNMENT 3 P3B pdf
WHITNEY WESTBROOK_ASSIGNMENT 3 P3B pdfWHITNEY WESTBROOK_ASSIGNMENT 3 P3B pdf
WHITNEY WESTBROOK_ASSIGNMENT 3 P3B pdf
 
Pitch2
Pitch2Pitch2
Pitch2
 
Essential Charts on the Global Diamond Industry 2014
Essential Charts on the Global Diamond Industry 2014Essential Charts on the Global Diamond Industry 2014
Essential Charts on the Global Diamond Industry 2014
 

Recently uploaded

Sensual Moments: +91 9999965857 Independent Call Girls Noida Delhi {{ Monika}...
Sensual Moments: +91 9999965857 Independent Call Girls Noida Delhi {{ Monika}...Sensual Moments: +91 9999965857 Independent Call Girls Noida Delhi {{ Monika}...
Sensual Moments: +91 9999965857 Independent Call Girls Noida Delhi {{ Monika}...
Call Girls In Delhi Whatsup 9873940964 Enjoy Unlimited Pleasure
 
Call Girls in Panjabi Bagh, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort Service
Call Girls in Panjabi Bagh, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort ServiceCall Girls in Panjabi Bagh, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort Service
Call Girls in Panjabi Bagh, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort Service
9953056974 Low Rate Call Girls In Saket, Delhi NCR
 
Call Girls In Amritsar 💯Call Us 🔝 76967 34778🔝 💃 Independent Escort In Amritsar
Call Girls In Amritsar 💯Call Us 🔝 76967 34778🔝 💃 Independent Escort In AmritsarCall Girls In Amritsar 💯Call Us 🔝 76967 34778🔝 💃 Independent Escort In Amritsar
Call Girls In Amritsar 💯Call Us 🔝 76967 34778🔝 💃 Independent Escort In Amritsar
only4webmaster01
 
Top Rated Call Girls In Podanur 📱 {7001035870} VIP Escorts Podanur
Top Rated Call Girls In Podanur 📱 {7001035870} VIP Escorts PodanurTop Rated Call Girls In Podanur 📱 {7001035870} VIP Escorts Podanur
Top Rated Call Girls In Podanur 📱 {7001035870} VIP Escorts Podanur
dharasingh5698
 
VIP Call Girl Amritsar 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
VIP Call Girl Amritsar 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our EscortsVIP Call Girl Amritsar 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
VIP Call Girl Amritsar 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
sonatiwari757
 
Corporate Presentation Probe May 2024.pdf
Corporate Presentation Probe May 2024.pdfCorporate Presentation Probe May 2024.pdf
Corporate Presentation Probe May 2024.pdf
Probe Gold
 
VIP Amritsar Call Girl 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
VIP Amritsar Call Girl 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our EscortsVIP Amritsar Call Girl 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
VIP Amritsar Call Girl 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
sonatiwari757
 
Call Girls Chandigarh Just Call 8868886958 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Chandigarh Just Call 8868886958 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Chandigarh Just Call 8868886958 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Chandigarh Just Call 8868886958 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Sheetaleventcompany
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Indapur - Virgin Call Girls Pune | Whatsapp No 8005736733 VIP Escorts Service...
Indapur - Virgin Call Girls Pune | Whatsapp No 8005736733 VIP Escorts Service...Indapur - Virgin Call Girls Pune | Whatsapp No 8005736733 VIP Escorts Service...
Indapur - Virgin Call Girls Pune | Whatsapp No 8005736733 VIP Escorts Service...
 
Sensual Moments: +91 9999965857 Independent Call Girls Noida Delhi {{ Monika}...
Sensual Moments: +91 9999965857 Independent Call Girls Noida Delhi {{ Monika}...Sensual Moments: +91 9999965857 Independent Call Girls Noida Delhi {{ Monika}...
Sensual Moments: +91 9999965857 Independent Call Girls Noida Delhi {{ Monika}...
 
(👉゚9999965857 ゚)👉 VIP Call Girls Friends Colony 👉 Delhi 👈 : 9999 Cash Payment...
(👉゚9999965857 ゚)👉 VIP Call Girls Friends Colony 👉 Delhi 👈 : 9999 Cash Payment...(👉゚9999965857 ゚)👉 VIP Call Girls Friends Colony 👉 Delhi 👈 : 9999 Cash Payment...
(👉゚9999965857 ゚)👉 VIP Call Girls Friends Colony 👉 Delhi 👈 : 9999 Cash Payment...
 
Call Girls in Panjabi Bagh, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort Service
Call Girls in Panjabi Bagh, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort ServiceCall Girls in Panjabi Bagh, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort Service
Call Girls in Panjabi Bagh, Delhi 💯 Call Us 🔝9953056974 🔝 Escort Service
 
Call Girls In Amritsar 💯Call Us 🔝 76967 34778🔝 💃 Independent Escort In Amritsar
Call Girls In Amritsar 💯Call Us 🔝 76967 34778🔝 💃 Independent Escort In AmritsarCall Girls In Amritsar 💯Call Us 🔝 76967 34778🔝 💃 Independent Escort In Amritsar
Call Girls In Amritsar 💯Call Us 🔝 76967 34778🔝 💃 Independent Escort In Amritsar
 
Collective Mining | Corporate Presentation - May 2024
Collective Mining | Corporate Presentation - May 2024Collective Mining | Corporate Presentation - May 2024
Collective Mining | Corporate Presentation - May 2024
 
SME IPO and sme ipo listing consultants .pptx
SME IPO and sme ipo listing consultants .pptxSME IPO and sme ipo listing consultants .pptx
SME IPO and sme ipo listing consultants .pptx
 
Dattawadi ( Call Girls ) Pune 6297143586 Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready Fo...
Dattawadi ( Call Girls ) Pune  6297143586  Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready Fo...Dattawadi ( Call Girls ) Pune  6297143586  Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready Fo...
Dattawadi ( Call Girls ) Pune 6297143586 Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready Fo...
 
Vip Call Girls South Ex ➡️ Delhi ➡️ 9999965857 No Advance 24HRS Live
Vip Call Girls South Ex ➡️ Delhi ➡️ 9999965857 No Advance 24HRS LiveVip Call Girls South Ex ➡️ Delhi ➡️ 9999965857 No Advance 24HRS Live
Vip Call Girls South Ex ➡️ Delhi ➡️ 9999965857 No Advance 24HRS Live
 
Top Rated Call Girls In Podanur 📱 {7001035870} VIP Escorts Podanur
Top Rated Call Girls In Podanur 📱 {7001035870} VIP Escorts PodanurTop Rated Call Girls In Podanur 📱 {7001035870} VIP Escorts Podanur
Top Rated Call Girls In Podanur 📱 {7001035870} VIP Escorts Podanur
 
VIP Call Girl Amritsar 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
VIP Call Girl Amritsar 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our EscortsVIP Call Girl Amritsar 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
VIP Call Girl Amritsar 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
 
Teck Investor Presentation, April 24, 2024
Teck Investor Presentation, April 24, 2024Teck Investor Presentation, April 24, 2024
Teck Investor Presentation, April 24, 2024
 
Q3 FY24 Earnings Conference Call Presentation
Q3 FY24 Earnings Conference Call PresentationQ3 FY24 Earnings Conference Call Presentation
Q3 FY24 Earnings Conference Call Presentation
 
Corporate Presentation Probe May 2024.pdf
Corporate Presentation Probe May 2024.pdfCorporate Presentation Probe May 2024.pdf
Corporate Presentation Probe May 2024.pdf
 
VIP Amritsar Call Girl 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
VIP Amritsar Call Girl 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our EscortsVIP Amritsar Call Girl 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
VIP Amritsar Call Girl 7001035870 Enjoy Call Girls With Our Escorts
 
(‿ˠ‿) Independent Call Girls Laxmi Nagar 👉 9999965857 👈 Delhi : 9999 Cash Pa...
(‿ˠ‿) Independent Call Girls Laxmi Nagar 👉 9999965857 👈 Delhi  : 9999 Cash Pa...(‿ˠ‿) Independent Call Girls Laxmi Nagar 👉 9999965857 👈 Delhi  : 9999 Cash Pa...
(‿ˠ‿) Independent Call Girls Laxmi Nagar 👉 9999965857 👈 Delhi : 9999 Cash Pa...
 
Balaji Nagar ( Call Girls ) Pune 6297143586 Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready...
Balaji Nagar ( Call Girls ) Pune  6297143586  Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready...Balaji Nagar ( Call Girls ) Pune  6297143586  Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready...
Balaji Nagar ( Call Girls ) Pune 6297143586 Hot Model With Sexy Bhabi Ready...
 
Call Girls Chandigarh Just Call 8868886958 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Chandigarh Just Call 8868886958 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Chandigarh Just Call 8868886958 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Chandigarh Just Call 8868886958 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
Pakistani Call girls in Ajman +971563133746 Ajman Call girls
Pakistani Call girls in Ajman +971563133746 Ajman Call girlsPakistani Call girls in Ajman +971563133746 Ajman Call girls
Pakistani Call girls in Ajman +971563133746 Ajman Call girls
 
Nicola Mining Inc. Corporate Presentation May 2024
Nicola Mining Inc. Corporate Presentation May 2024Nicola Mining Inc. Corporate Presentation May 2024
Nicola Mining Inc. Corporate Presentation May 2024
 

What's Driving Gold? Invasion of the Quants

  • 1.
  • 2. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Be Sure to Participate in Our Polls You Could Be a Winner! 24 Carat Gold Plated Horseshoe 2 Three opportunities to win: We’ll select one person at random from each poll question.
  • 3. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Poll Question #1 How is gold included in your portfolio? 3
  • 4. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Facebook Use Around the World 1.7 Billion People Connected Without Passports!
  • 5. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Australian Dollar Tracks Iron Ore 5
  • 6. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Brazilian Real Tracks Iron Ore 6
  • 7. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 The Peruvian Sol Tracks Copper Prices 7
  • 8. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Canadian Dollar and Russian Ruble Track Oil Prices 8
  • 9. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Colombian Peso Tracks Oil Prices 9
  • 10. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Global PMI — Upturn May Be Good for Commodity Demand 10
  • 11. 11
  • 12. The Periodic Table of Commodity ReturnsThe Periodic Table of Commodity Returns 12
  • 13. The Periodic Table of Commodity ReturnsThe Periodic Table of Commodity Returns 13
  • 14. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Each Asset Class Has Its Own DNA of Volatility Daily Rolling 1 Year Gold Bullion ±1% ±19% NYSE Arca Exchange Gold BUGS Index ±3% ±39% WTI Crude Oil ±3% ±38% S&P 500 Index (SPX) ±1% ±18% Euro ±1% ±10% Canadian Dollar ±1% ±10% U.S. Dollar Index ±1% ±9% Source: Bloomberg, U.S. Global Investors Standard deviation based on 10-year daily data as of 9/30/2016 14 Standard deviation is a measure of the dispersion of a set of data from its mean. The more spread apart the data, the higher the deviation. Standard deviation is also known as historical volatility. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
  • 15. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Sharing Gold Insights with CNBC and Bloomberg Television 15
  • 16. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Gold’s Heartbeat: Historically Gold Reverts to the Mean 16
  • 17. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Gold’s Heartbeat: Historically Gold Reverts to the Mean 17
  • 18. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Driver: The Fear Trade President Barack Obama Janet Yellen, Chairman of the Federal Reserve 18
  • 19. Nominal Interest Rates 19 Real Interest Rates Investors Focus on Tip of Interest Rates INVESTORS NEED TO FOCUS ON REAL INTEREST RATES (Nominal Rates – CPI = Real Rates) Historically, when CPI inflation has been greater than nominal rates, real interest rates became negative, and gold rose in value.
  • 20. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Historically Gold Corrects on Rise of 10-Year Treasury Yield 20
  • 21. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Fear Trade: The Inverse Relation Between Real Interest Rates and the Price of Gold 21 Aug 2015 vs Aug 2016 Compare
  • 22. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Fear Trade: The Inverse Relation Between Real Interest Rates and the Price of Gold 22 Nov 2015 vs Nov 2016 Compare
  • 23. 23
  • 24. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 “Chindia” Accounts for More Than Half of Total Global Gold Jewelry Demand in 2015 24
  • 25. usfunds.com usfunds.com June 2016 | 16-196 Understanding Various Market Cycles Managing Expectations — Cycles DAY MONTH ANNUAL SEASONAL PRESIDENTIAL 4-YEAR LIFE CYCLE OF MINE 8-YEAR 25
  • 26. 26 The seasonal pattern shows historical tendency of when the highest and lowest prices occurred, based on analysis of daily prices collected over the last 5, 15 and 30 years by Moore Research Center, Inc.
  • 27. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Gold’s Love Trade: Cultural Celebrations Prompting the Purchase of Gold 27
  • 28. 28
  • 29. 29
  • 30. 30
  • 31. 31 Indian Households Own More Gold Than Top Six Central Banks In Tonnes
  • 32. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Gold Is Among Indian Households’ Regular Expenditures 32
  • 33. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Indians Use Gold Jewelry to Help Protect Their Wealth Against Currency Devaluation 33
  • 34. 34
  • 35. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 India’s Spot Gold Premium/Discount Through U.S. Election Day 35 This index calculates the Premium/Discount of the Gold Spot price in India to Gold Spot in the U.S. dollar (USD/troy oz). The index uses a 10% import duty which came into effect in 2013.
  • 36. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 India’s Spot Gold Premium/Discount After U.S. Election Day 36 This index calculates the Premium/Discount of the Gold Spot price in India to Gold Spot in the U.S. dollar (USD/troy oz). The index uses a 10% import duty which came into effect in 2013.
  • 37. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Who’s Best For Markets: Trump or Clinton? Frank Holmes Speaks with Kitco News 37
  • 38. 38
  • 39. 39
  • 40. 40 Even Gold-Colored Phones Have Become Popular Purchases
  • 41. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 The Great Tectonic Shift of Physical Gold From West to East 41 February 8, 2016 In December 2015, China imported 180 tonnes of gold from Switzerland alone.
  • 42. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 China Surpasses U.S. on Purchasing Power Parity Valuation of GDP 42
  • 43. 43
  • 44. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Poll Question #2 What do you think the price of gold will be by year end? 44
  • 45. 45
  • 46. 46 *Three Hedge Fund Managers’ Thoughts on Gold *
  • 47. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Gold-Coin Sales In U.S. Climb to Highest Since January 47
  • 48. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Near-Record Gold ETF Inflows in First Quarter The price of gold is subject to substantial price fluctuations over short periods of time and may be affected by unpredicted international monetary and political policies. 48 Visit usfunds.com to watch a replay of our webcast, All Eyes on Gold: What’s Attracting Investors to the Yellow Metal
  • 49. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Gold Cycle 2001 to 2007: Gold Stocks Outperformed Bullion 49 Past performance does not guarantee future results.
  • 50. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Gold Cycle 2009 to 2016: Bullion Outperformed Gold Stocks 50 Past performance does not guarantee future results.
  • 51. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Gold Cycle Year-to-Date: Bullion Outperformed Gold Stocks 51 Past performance does not guarantee future results.
  • 52. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Gold’s Performance in Various World Currencies Since 2011 Peak 52 +80% +20% +18% -20%
  • 53. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Gold’s Performance in Various World Currencies Past 12 Months 53 +30% +22% +21% +20%
  • 54. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Global Gross Debt at an All-Time High – $152 Trillion 54 $152 Trillion
  • 55. 55 As of October 2016 Source: IMF, World Gold Council, U.S. Global Investors
  • 56. 56
  • 57. 57
  • 58. 58 The Portfolio Manager’s Cube: A Look at the Value Drivers Behind Superior Resource Stock Performance
  • 59. 59
  • 60. 60
  • 61. 61
  • 62. 62
  • 63. 63
  • 64. 64
  • 65. 65
  • 66. 66
  • 67. 67
  • 68. 68
  • 69. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Top 10 Gold Names Based on SG&A-to-Revenue 69 88% Combined Return
  • 70. 70 *Hypothetical portfolio of 10 gold-stocks selected based on OCF/EV As of 11/2/2016 GDM = NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index *
  • 71. 71 *Hypothetical portfolio of 10 gold-stocks selected based on REV/SGA As of 11/2/2016 GDM = NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index *
  • 72. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Top Performing Australian Gold Producers Based on Relative Valuations 72
  • 73. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Royalty Companies Have Had a Greater Revenue Per Employee Model than Producers Royalty companies serve as specialized financiers that help fund miners’ exploration and production projects. In return, they receive either royalties on whatever the mine produces or a “stream,” which is a commitment to an agreed-upon number of ounces of gold or other precious metal per year. 73 As of 11/4/2016
  • 74. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX) Beat Benchmark Over 1 Year 74
  • 75. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX) Beat Benchmark Over 3 Years 75
  • 76. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 World Quarterly Mine Production Is Trending Down 76
  • 77. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Where Have All the Gold Discoveries Gone? 77
  • 78. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Long-Term Diversification Has Benefitted from Resource Stocks 78
  • 79. 79 Are you tuning in? Don’t miss Frank Holmes’ weekly gold commentary on Kitco News with Daniela Cambone! Kitco.com on July 14, 2016
  • 80. 80
  • 81. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Recognition As an Industry Leader in Investor Education — 80 Awards 81 80 Mutual Fund Education Alliance STAR Awards 2007 - 2016 MFEA The Mutual Fund Education Alliance (MFEA) is a national industry association committed to investor education, and its STAR Awards program recognizes marketing communications efforts in the mutual fund industry. The awards competition is judged by industry professionals, and based on criteria including educational value, content, design and functionality.
  • 82. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Poll Question #3 Do you plan on adding to your gold allocation in the next 12 months? 82
  • 83. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Total Annualized Returns as of 9/30/2016 83 Expense ratios as stated in the most recent prospectus. The expense cap is a voluntary limit on total fund operating expenses (exclusive of any acquired fund fees and expenses, performance fees, extraordinary expenses, taxes, brokerage commissions and interest) that U.S. Global Investors, Inc. can modify or terminate at any time, which may lower a fund’s yield or return. Performance data quoted above is historical. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Results reflect the reinvestment of dividends and other earnings. For a portion of periods, the fund had expense limitations, without which returns would have been lower. Current performance may be higher or lower than the performance data quoted. The principal value and investment return of an investment will fluctuate so that your shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Performance does not include the effect of any direct fees described in the fund’s prospectus (e.g., short-term trading fees of 0.05%) which, if applicable, would lower your total returns. Performance quoted for periods of one year or less is cumulative and not annualized. Obtain performance data current to the most recent month-end at www.usfunds.com or 1-800-US-FUNDS. High double-digit returns are attributable, in part, to unusually favorable market conditions and may not be repeated or consistently achieved in the future. One-Year Five-Year Ten-Year Gross Expense Ratio Expense Cap World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX) 151.98% -6.49% -0.75% 2.01% 1.90% NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index 95.49% -12.44% -1.75% N/A N/A
  • 84. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Disclosures 84 Please consider carefully a fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. For this and other important information, obtain a fund prospectus by visiting www.usfunds.com or by calling 1-800-US-FUNDS (1-800-873-8637). Read it carefully before investing. Foreside Fund Services, LLC, Distributor. U.S. Global Investors is the investment adviser. Gold, precious metals, and precious minerals funds may be susceptible to adverse economic, political or regulatory developments due to concentrating in a single theme. The prices of gold, precious metals, and precious minerals are subject to substantial price fluctuations over short periods of time and may be affected by unpredicted international monetary and political policies. We suggest investing no more than 5% to 10% of your portfolio in these sectors. All opinions expressed and data provided are subject to change without notice. Some of these opinions may not be appropriate to every investor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI is a composite indicator designed to provide an overall view of activity in the manufacturing sector and acts as a leading indicator for the whole economy.
  • 85. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Disclosures 85 The J.P. Morgan Global Purchasing Manager’s Index is an indicator of the economic health of the global manufacturing sector. The PMI index is based on five major indicators: new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries and the employment environment. The NYSE Arca Gold BUGS (Basket of Unhedged Gold Stocks) Index (HUI) is a modified equal dollar weighted index of companies involved in gold mining. The HUI Index was designed to provide significant exposure to near term movements in gold prices by including companies that do not hedge their gold production beyond 1.5 years. The NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index is a modified market capitalization weighted index comprised of publicly traded companies involved primarily in the mining for gold and silver. The index benchmark value was 500.0 at the close of trading on December 20, 2002. The S&P 500 Stock Index is a widely recognized capitalization-weighted index of 500 common stock prices in U.S. companies. Standard deviation is a measure of the dispersion of a set of data from its mean. The more spread apart the data, the higher the deviation. Standard deviation is also known as historical volatility. The U.S. Trade Weighted Dollar Index provides a general indication of the international value of the U.S. dollar.
  • 86. usfunds.com usfunds.com November 2016 | 16-423 Disclosures 86 Fund portfolios are actively managed, and holdings may change daily. Holdings are reported as of the most recent quarter-end. Companies not held in a U.S. Global Investors fund at quarter end may have previously been held in a fund and may be held in a fund in the future. Holdings in the World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX) as a percentage of net assets as of 09/30/2016: Anglo American Platinum 0.00%, Aquarius Platinum 0.00%, Evolution Mining 0.00%, Facebook 0.00%, Franco Nevada 0.00%, Harmony Gold Mining 0.00%, Impala Platinum Holdings 0.00%, Newcrest Mining 0.00%, Newmont 0.00%, Northern Star Resources 0.33%, Pan African Resources 0.00%, Pan American Silver 0.00%, Ramelius Resources 0.00%, Regis Resources 0.00%, Resolute Mining 0.00%, Royal Gold Inc. 0.00%, Saracen Minerals 0.00%, Sibanye Gold 0.00%, Silver Wheaton 0.00%, St. Barbara 1.67%