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Marine impacts and
 risk assessment
   Dr Steve Widdicombe
Impact of CO2 on seawater chemistry




   CO2, H+ and bicarbonate levels ↑
   Carbonate levels ↓
CO2 as a key component in physiological complexity

                                          Low ocean pH                             and high CO2
                                       and reduced HCO3-
                Calcification site                            ion equilibria   -           Na+/H+-exchange etc.
                                                                                           Epithelia (gill, gut, kidney)
    calcification                -    H+ Ω
                                                                                                          Brain




                                                                                                                                            (from Pörtner 2008 and Pörtner et al. 2005)
protein synthesis rate




                                                                                                                     ventilation rate
metabolic equilibria




                                              CO2                            H2O               Chemosensory
                             HCO3-            H2 O                                             Neurons pHi ↓
                                H+i                               2 K+
                         -                         ATP-
                                                    ase                             H+e
                                        3 Na+                                                    Adenosine
                                                                                                 accumulation
                                                                  Na+                                                     +
                                                                     -                           and release




                                                                                                                   (some groups)Operculum
                                             H+
                                                                                              Heart      Muscle
                                                                  HCO3-
                                             Cl-
                                                                         -             -         functional
                                             H+
                                                                                    blood         capacity
                                                                                                              -
                                                   membrane




                                                                  Na+              pigment
            gene
          expression ( + or - )

                         intracellular space                         extracellular space           Tissues
Rapidly growing evidence of biological effects




Individuals response;
calcification, acid-base balance, growth, photosynthesis,
respiration, reproduction, immune function,……..

              Early life stages
Calcification continues even under extreme CO2 conditions
Physiological plasticity




                                                    umol oxygen/day/g animal
                                                                                              140
                                                                                              120
                                                                                              100




                                                           ± 95% CI
                                                                                               80
                                                                                               60
                                                                                               40
                                                                                               20
                                                                                                0
                                                                                                                      8             7.7               7.3         6.8
                                                                                                                                               pH




                                                             length mm ± 95% CI
                                                                                                   30
                                                                                                   25
                                                                                                   20
                                                                                                   15
                                                                                                   10
                                                                                                    5
                                                                                                    0
                                                                                                                      8             7.7               7.3          6.8
                                                                                                                                     pH treatment
  Lowered pH causes significant increase in
                                                                                                                      established
respiratory rate                                                                                                 40




                                                                                  % calcium/ g of arm ± 95% CI
                                                                                                                      regrowth
                                                                                                                 35
                                                                                                                 30
  Regrowth significantly longer at lowered pH                                                                    25
                                                                                                                 20

  pH significantly affects calcium content in arm                                                                15
                                                                                                                 10

regrowth                                                                                                         5
                                                                                                                 0
                                                                                                                      8        7.7              7.3         6.8
  Arm regrowth has significantly higher calcium                                                                                           pH

content than established arms
The unseen cost


                                                                      control                                  7.7




                                                                        7.3                                     6.8




         Reproductive                                           Digestive                             Respiratory
pH 8.0                      pH 7.6


                                                 intestinal brush
          Developing eggs
                                                 border                       goblet cells




pH 7.2                      pH 6.8
         Mature eggs




                                                 membrane                            basal membrane
                                                             coelomic fluid
                            Degenerating eggs
Animal behaviour
Impacts on the whole organism

                                   GROWTH
FEEDING




                                  REPRODUCTION
            MAINTENANCE



                      Important to consider how changes in
 Whole                one physiological process can affect
                      other, interdependent process.
Organism
                             Physiological Trade-Offs
Approach
Interaction with other Environmental Stressors

                                                 Thermal windows for animals
                                          (may include shifts through acclimatization)
                                                                                                                 Individual
                                                                                                                performance
                                                                    loss of performance, abundance
                                                      Topt
                                                             Tpej
 Scope for aerobic performance




                                                                                 onset of anaerobiosis
                                                                                                                 Population
                                         Tpej                                                                    distribution
                                                       CO2                                                     (Biogeography)
                                                                                       onset of denaturation
                                                     hypoxia
                                 Tcrit                                   Tcrit
                                                                                    Tden

                                                                                                  T (°C)        Biodiversity
                                         passive - active - passive range
                                         short - long - short term tolerance


H.O. Pörtner and A.P. Farrell (2008) Science 322, 690-692
Impact of habitat type
                                                  Sand                                                                           Mud
                                2 weeks                                    20 weeks                                              20 weeks


                         √S = 1.245 + 0.537pH                 √S = -53.49 + 15.74pH – 1.68pH²                              √S = -46.71 + 13.8pH – 0.906pH²
                                                                                                                      7
             6.0                                         5
                                                                                                                      6
             5.5                                         4
                                                                                                                      5
                                                         3
   √S




                                                                                                          √S
             5.0                                                                                                      4
                                                         2                                                            3
             4.5
                                                         1                                                            2
             4.0
                                                         0                                                            1
                                                                                                                          5.5    6.0    6.5   7.0   7.5   8.0
                   5.5   6.0   6.5   7.0   7.5   8.0      5.5       6.0   6.5   7.0   7.5   8.0

                                                                                                                     log10NI = -5.476 + 2.102pH – 0.14pH²
               log10NI = -2.708 + 1.303pH – 0.086pH²      log10NI = -19.28 + 5.668pH – 0.379pH²
             2.4                                                                                                     2.5




                                                                                                          Log10NI
                                                        2.0
             2.3
                                                                                                                    2.25
   log10NI




             2.2                                        1.5
                                                                                                                     2.0
             2.1                                        1.0
             2.0                                                                                                    1.75
                                                        0.5
             1.9                                                                                                     1.5
             1.8                                         0                                                                 5.5   6.0    6.5   7.0   7.5   8.0
                   5.5   6.0   6.5   7.0   7.5   8.0          5.5   6.0   6.5   7.0   7.5   8.0

                                             Seawater pH                                                              0.9
                                                                                                                                  J = 0.2326 + 0.070pH


    Communities made up of both tolerant and intolerant species                                                       0.8




                                                                                                           J
                                                                                                                      0.7
    Polychaetes – Crustaceans – Molluscs – Echinoderms
                                                                                                                      0.6
    Differences within as well as between taxonomic groups                                                            0.5

    Community and species response was affected by sediment type                                                           5.5    6.0   6.5   7.0   7.5   8.0


   Acidification will result in communities that are taxonomically and                                                           Seawater pH
 functionally different.

S. Widdicombe, et al (2009) Effects of CO2 induced seawater acidification on infaunal diversity and sediment nutrient fluxes. Mar Ecol Prog Ser 379: 59-75.
Microbes




Thick pink Cyanobacteria (Oscillatoria sp.) mat at pH 7.5 and 7
Surviving in a stressful environment

  Marine organisms are extremely sensitive to changes in seawater
carbon chemistry
   Many organisms possess physiological or behavioural mechanisms
for dealing with short term exposure to environmental stress
  However, most “coping” mechanisms incur a biological or ecological
cost that will reduce an organism’s “performance” in the long-term
  Impact of leaks will be dependant on both the severity, the longevity
and the nature of the perturbation.
  Differences between species, life stages, habitats etc will dictate the
impact of leaks on biodiversity and community structure
  Impacts will depend on “when” and “where” leaks occur
  Consequences go beyond biological consideration – socio-economics
  Data needed from experiments that include ecological interactions
Organism health




                    32 day study on Mytilus
                    edulis looking at several
                      immune parameters




                       OA suppressed
                  phagocytosis in mussels
                   after 32 days, reducing
                  normal immune capacity
Organisms can make different “decisions” under different conditions

                     The mussel, Mytilus edulis, maintained under one of five pH
                     treatments (8.05, 7.8, 7.6, 7.35 or 6.5) and one of two
                     temperatures (12ºC or 16ºC) for a total of 90 days
                     Immune response measured in surviving mussels after 83
                     days of exposure to low pH and increased temperature, (T0)
                     Remaining mussels in each aquaria inoculated with pathogenic
                     bacteria, Vibrio tubiashii

                     Immune response measured again 24 hours (T1) and 7 days
                     (T7) after bacterial challenge
                                               Antibacterial activity of mussel haemolymph
                    1.2

                                          T0                                                                       Post
                    1.0
                                                             *
                                                                                                  0.4


                                                                                                                inoculation           *      At low pH mussels have
                                                                                                  0.3
                                                                                                                                             reduced ability to fight
                                                                    Change in Growth Inhibition




                    0.8
Growth Inhibition




                    0.6
                                                                                                  0.2
                                                                                                                                             bacterial. Infection. Yet
                                                                                                                                             on exposure to bacteria
                    0.4                                                                           0.1
                                                                                                                                             mussels at low pH are
                    0.2                                                                           0.0                                        able to increase
                                                                                                                                             antibacterial activity
                    0.0                                                                           -0.1
                            8.00   7.80        7.60   7.35   6.50                                        8.00    7.80   7.60   7.35   6.50

                                               pH                                                                       pH



                          Ellis et al (in review), "Balancing the cost of climate change: mussels trade-off their
                          immune system to manage stress.", Nature Climate Change.
Assessing Risk

  Predicting the impact of leakage
on marine ecosystems and their
function is key to appreciating the
potential risks
  In doing so we need to
remember that the ecosystem is a
complex web of interactions
between organisms (from micro to
mega) and processes (chemical,
physical and biological)
  Consequences depend on the
sensitivity and importance of the
marine systems at risk
High CO2 exposure systems

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Widdicombe nott

  • 1. Marine impacts and risk assessment Dr Steve Widdicombe
  • 2. Impact of CO2 on seawater chemistry CO2, H+ and bicarbonate levels ↑ Carbonate levels ↓
  • 3. CO2 as a key component in physiological complexity Low ocean pH and high CO2 and reduced HCO3- Calcification site ion equilibria - Na+/H+-exchange etc. Epithelia (gill, gut, kidney) calcification - H+ Ω Brain (from Pörtner 2008 and Pörtner et al. 2005) protein synthesis rate ventilation rate metabolic equilibria CO2 H2O Chemosensory HCO3- H2 O Neurons pHi ↓ H+i 2 K+ - ATP- ase H+e 3 Na+ Adenosine accumulation Na+ + - and release (some groups)Operculum H+ Heart Muscle HCO3- Cl- - - functional H+ blood capacity - membrane Na+ pigment gene expression ( + or - ) intracellular space extracellular space Tissues
  • 4. Rapidly growing evidence of biological effects Individuals response; calcification, acid-base balance, growth, photosynthesis, respiration, reproduction, immune function,…….. Early life stages
  • 5. Calcification continues even under extreme CO2 conditions
  • 6. Physiological plasticity umol oxygen/day/g animal 140 120 100 ± 95% CI 80 60 40 20 0 8 7.7 7.3 6.8 pH length mm ± 95% CI 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 8 7.7 7.3 6.8 pH treatment Lowered pH causes significant increase in established respiratory rate 40 % calcium/ g of arm ± 95% CI regrowth 35 30 Regrowth significantly longer at lowered pH 25 20 pH significantly affects calcium content in arm 15 10 regrowth 5 0 8 7.7 7.3 6.8 Arm regrowth has significantly higher calcium pH content than established arms
  • 7. The unseen cost control 7.7 7.3 6.8 Reproductive Digestive Respiratory pH 8.0 pH 7.6 intestinal brush Developing eggs border goblet cells pH 7.2 pH 6.8 Mature eggs membrane basal membrane coelomic fluid Degenerating eggs
  • 9. Impacts on the whole organism GROWTH FEEDING REPRODUCTION MAINTENANCE Important to consider how changes in Whole one physiological process can affect other, interdependent process. Organism Physiological Trade-Offs Approach
  • 10. Interaction with other Environmental Stressors Thermal windows for animals (may include shifts through acclimatization) Individual performance loss of performance, abundance Topt Tpej Scope for aerobic performance onset of anaerobiosis Population Tpej distribution CO2 (Biogeography) onset of denaturation hypoxia Tcrit Tcrit Tden T (°C) Biodiversity passive - active - passive range short - long - short term tolerance H.O. Pörtner and A.P. Farrell (2008) Science 322, 690-692
  • 11. Impact of habitat type Sand Mud 2 weeks 20 weeks 20 weeks √S = 1.245 + 0.537pH √S = -53.49 + 15.74pH – 1.68pH² √S = -46.71 + 13.8pH – 0.906pH² 7 6.0 5 6 5.5 4 5 3 √S √S 5.0 4 2 3 4.5 1 2 4.0 0 1 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 log10NI = -5.476 + 2.102pH – 0.14pH² log10NI = -2.708 + 1.303pH – 0.086pH² log10NI = -19.28 + 5.668pH – 0.379pH² 2.4 2.5 Log10NI 2.0 2.3 2.25 log10NI 2.2 1.5 2.0 2.1 1.0 2.0 1.75 0.5 1.9 1.5 1.8 0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 Seawater pH 0.9 J = 0.2326 + 0.070pH Communities made up of both tolerant and intolerant species 0.8 J 0.7 Polychaetes – Crustaceans – Molluscs – Echinoderms 0.6 Differences within as well as between taxonomic groups 0.5 Community and species response was affected by sediment type 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 Acidification will result in communities that are taxonomically and Seawater pH functionally different. S. Widdicombe, et al (2009) Effects of CO2 induced seawater acidification on infaunal diversity and sediment nutrient fluxes. Mar Ecol Prog Ser 379: 59-75.
  • 12. Microbes Thick pink Cyanobacteria (Oscillatoria sp.) mat at pH 7.5 and 7
  • 13. Surviving in a stressful environment Marine organisms are extremely sensitive to changes in seawater carbon chemistry Many organisms possess physiological or behavioural mechanisms for dealing with short term exposure to environmental stress However, most “coping” mechanisms incur a biological or ecological cost that will reduce an organism’s “performance” in the long-term Impact of leaks will be dependant on both the severity, the longevity and the nature of the perturbation. Differences between species, life stages, habitats etc will dictate the impact of leaks on biodiversity and community structure Impacts will depend on “when” and “where” leaks occur Consequences go beyond biological consideration – socio-economics Data needed from experiments that include ecological interactions
  • 14. Organism health 32 day study on Mytilus edulis looking at several immune parameters OA suppressed phagocytosis in mussels after 32 days, reducing normal immune capacity
  • 15. Organisms can make different “decisions” under different conditions The mussel, Mytilus edulis, maintained under one of five pH treatments (8.05, 7.8, 7.6, 7.35 or 6.5) and one of two temperatures (12ºC or 16ºC) for a total of 90 days Immune response measured in surviving mussels after 83 days of exposure to low pH and increased temperature, (T0) Remaining mussels in each aquaria inoculated with pathogenic bacteria, Vibrio tubiashii Immune response measured again 24 hours (T1) and 7 days (T7) after bacterial challenge Antibacterial activity of mussel haemolymph 1.2 T0 Post 1.0 * 0.4 inoculation * At low pH mussels have 0.3 reduced ability to fight Change in Growth Inhibition 0.8 Growth Inhibition 0.6 0.2 bacterial. Infection. Yet on exposure to bacteria 0.4 0.1 mussels at low pH are 0.2 0.0 able to increase antibacterial activity 0.0 -0.1 8.00 7.80 7.60 7.35 6.50 8.00 7.80 7.60 7.35 6.50 pH pH Ellis et al (in review), "Balancing the cost of climate change: mussels trade-off their immune system to manage stress.", Nature Climate Change.
  • 16. Assessing Risk Predicting the impact of leakage on marine ecosystems and their function is key to appreciating the potential risks In doing so we need to remember that the ecosystem is a complex web of interactions between organisms (from micro to mega) and processes (chemical, physical and biological) Consequences depend on the sensitivity and importance of the marine systems at risk
  • 17. High CO2 exposure systems