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Choice: how real is it and
how is it exercised?
Tom Kiedrowski
Managing Director, Cedar Tree Advisory Service
12 March 2018
1
Introduction
• We have now had more than 30 years of competition to promote the
interests of the consumer in the UK (piecemeal)
• So how has it worked in different sectors?
• I’m going to take you a whistle stop tour of some of them, focusing
on:
• Water
• Energy
• Communications
• Financial Services
• Finally I will provide a brief assessment of the extent to which
competition and consumer choice has delivered and its limitations
2
Water (I)
• We have had retail non-household
competition in Scotland since April
2008 and since April 2017 in England
• Good for non-household customers in
number of ways:
Source: MOSL
Water (II)
• What about households?
• As part of Autumn Statement
Government asked Ofwat in November
2015 to assess costs and benefits
• Ofwat published its emerging findings
in July 2016 and considered it to be a
good thing
• It’s all gone very quite though and the
margins would be even tighter in the
household than non-household market Source: WICS
Energy (I)
• It’s been a long and arduous journey with lessons how do promote
competition and consumers and how not to!
• State of play currently:
5Source: Ofgem
Energy (II)
• What has it meant for consumer?
• A lot of confusion and aggravation, but also savings for those who
switch and innovation
• But not without a lot of regulatory intervention both in terms of
market design and in demand-side switching
6Source: Ofgem
Communications (I)
• The sector with the longest record of liberalisation and which has
been the subject to the greatest change due to global technological
innovation and market developments
• This has led to a very different landscape compared to 1984 when BT
was privatised and changing consumer demand and expectations
7
Retail Fixed Broadband
Market Share % 2016
Communications (II)
• Communications are (almost ubiquitous) and their quality and
availability a hot political issues across the UK
• Again, like energy, not without a lot of regulatory intervention in
relation to increasing competition and encouraging switching
8
Incidence of switching
mobile provider 2015-16,
Source: Ofcom
Take-up of communications
services in the UK, Source: Ofcom
Financial Services
• Financial Services while essential has
followed a different regulatory path
from the other sectors and the current
financial regulator, the FCA only reverts
to price controls in exceptional
circumstances
• More recently, there has been a
emphasis on competition by both the
CMA and FCA after much talk about
among policy makers how to address
the UK banking oligopoly: again with an
emphasis on encouraging switching
9
Summary Assessment
• Competition was originally seen as the final destination for regulators to
head for following the initial privatisation of state-owned utilities
• In financial services, competition is also seen as way of bring about
improved quality and innovation
• Evidence points to the benefits competition has brought about in all the
sectors, but only after extensive regulatory intervention
• Evidence also points to the fact that competition between and consumer
choice has not and cannot address all the issues that exist, not least for
vulnerable consumers
• Long-term investors, while appreciating the desire for better deals for
consumers, are looking for greater certainty for their cash and their
appetite for regulatory intervention to achieve keener prices and increased
choice for consumers at the expense of their returns is finite.
10

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How Real is Consumer Choice and How is it Exercised

  • 1. Choice: how real is it and how is it exercised? Tom Kiedrowski Managing Director, Cedar Tree Advisory Service 12 March 2018 1
  • 2. Introduction • We have now had more than 30 years of competition to promote the interests of the consumer in the UK (piecemeal) • So how has it worked in different sectors? • I’m going to take you a whistle stop tour of some of them, focusing on: • Water • Energy • Communications • Financial Services • Finally I will provide a brief assessment of the extent to which competition and consumer choice has delivered and its limitations 2
  • 3. Water (I) • We have had retail non-household competition in Scotland since April 2008 and since April 2017 in England • Good for non-household customers in number of ways: Source: MOSL
  • 4. Water (II) • What about households? • As part of Autumn Statement Government asked Ofwat in November 2015 to assess costs and benefits • Ofwat published its emerging findings in July 2016 and considered it to be a good thing • It’s all gone very quite though and the margins would be even tighter in the household than non-household market Source: WICS
  • 5. Energy (I) • It’s been a long and arduous journey with lessons how do promote competition and consumers and how not to! • State of play currently: 5Source: Ofgem
  • 6. Energy (II) • What has it meant for consumer? • A lot of confusion and aggravation, but also savings for those who switch and innovation • But not without a lot of regulatory intervention both in terms of market design and in demand-side switching 6Source: Ofgem
  • 7. Communications (I) • The sector with the longest record of liberalisation and which has been the subject to the greatest change due to global technological innovation and market developments • This has led to a very different landscape compared to 1984 when BT was privatised and changing consumer demand and expectations 7 Retail Fixed Broadband Market Share % 2016
  • 8. Communications (II) • Communications are (almost ubiquitous) and their quality and availability a hot political issues across the UK • Again, like energy, not without a lot of regulatory intervention in relation to increasing competition and encouraging switching 8 Incidence of switching mobile provider 2015-16, Source: Ofcom Take-up of communications services in the UK, Source: Ofcom
  • 9. Financial Services • Financial Services while essential has followed a different regulatory path from the other sectors and the current financial regulator, the FCA only reverts to price controls in exceptional circumstances • More recently, there has been a emphasis on competition by both the CMA and FCA after much talk about among policy makers how to address the UK banking oligopoly: again with an emphasis on encouraging switching 9
  • 10. Summary Assessment • Competition was originally seen as the final destination for regulators to head for following the initial privatisation of state-owned utilities • In financial services, competition is also seen as way of bring about improved quality and innovation • Evidence points to the benefits competition has brought about in all the sectors, but only after extensive regulatory intervention • Evidence also points to the fact that competition between and consumer choice has not and cannot address all the issues that exist, not least for vulnerable consumers • Long-term investors, while appreciating the desire for better deals for consumers, are looking for greater certainty for their cash and their appetite for regulatory intervention to achieve keener prices and increased choice for consumers at the expense of their returns is finite. 10