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Safaricom PLC
HY20 Results Presentation
1st November 2019
-0.1%
DISCLAIMER
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentations may lawfully be
communicated (“relevant persons”). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation
or its contents.
This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person
to underwrite or subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in the Company. The presentation also contains certain non-GAAP
financial information.
The Group’s management believes these measures provide valuable additional information in understanding the performance
of the Company’s businesses because they provide measures used by the company to assess performance. Although these
measures are important in the management of the business, they should not be viewed as replacements for, but rather as
complementary to, the comparable GAAP measures.
Safaricom, M-PESA and Safaricom/M-PESA logos are trade marks of Safaricom PLC. Other products and company names
mentioned herein may be the trademarks of their respective owners.
Following the adoption of IFRS 16 - Leases on 1 April 2019, the Group’s results for the six months ended 30 September 2019 are on
an IFRS 16 basis, whereas the results for the period to 30 September 2018 are (as previously reported) on an IFRS 15/IAS 17 basis.
To ensure appropriate disclosure during the period of transition onto IFRS 16, numbers for the six months ended 30 September
2019 have been disclosed on both an IFRS 16 and IAS17 basis and our commentary describing our operating performance has
been provided solely on an IFRS 15/IAS17 basis.
03
CONTINUED MACROECONOMIC STABILITY,
BUT TOUGH OPERATING ENVIRONMENT
Tail winds:
• 2019 GDP forecast 5.6% and World Bank
GDP forecast of 6.1% in 2020
• Stable currency, inflation and political
environment
• Improved business sentiment
Headwinds:
• Regulatory risk
• Shrinking consumer wallet
• Changing competitive landscape
OPERATIONAL REVIEW
04
• Chat Bot
• Voice Biometrics
• 732 additional 4G sites
rolled out, covering 63%
of the population
• Increased market share
• One month active
customers growth at 8.9%
• Improved trust and
brand consideration
Achievements
Investment in
Our Network:
Self Service:
INVESTING IN OUR COMMUNITY
6.3%
contribution
to GDP
Employment:
• Employer of the Year Award
• 2.3% differently-abled employees
• 30% staff upskilled digital skills
The Foundations:
• Maternal health:
53k mothers benefited
• Education:
40k+ students benefited
• Economic empowerment:
Phase III launched targeting
20k beneficiaries
05
GROWTH DRIVERS
06
Up by
12.4%from HY19
Up by
11.4%from HY19
23.6m
Customers*
4.5Bn
Volume
M-PESA
Up by
14.8%from HY19
Up by
43.6%from HY19
919Mbs
Usage per
customer
20.2m
Customers*
Data
*One Month Active
OUR DIGITAL STRATEGY - BEYOND A TELCO
07
Brand of Choice
• Personalised and
simplified products
• Product affordability
• Enhanced self service platforms
• Best 4G network coverage
Financial Partner
of Choice
• Wealth management
• Driving a savings culture
• Payment lifestyle platform
• Security enhancements
for financial products
Business Partner
of Choice
• Creating value through
Cloud, IoT, WiFi analytics,
managed security
• E-commerce and
Agriculture platforms
• Expansion/ Mergers
and Acquisition
ENABLING DIGITAL LIFESTYLES
Credit to households growth rate %
Freedom to purchase
at any amount
NO EXPIRY
Serve Customers
in under 5 minutes
Provide personalised
experience
50% extra talk time
DELIVERING OUR PROMISE
Simple • Transparent • Honest
FOR YOU
08
09
GUIDANCE MAINTAINED ON EBIT AND CAPEX
Our financial outlook for 2020 reflects the adoption of the IFRS 15 and IFRS 16 accounting standards.
FY20 GUIDANCE
EBIT
FY20 Guidance
Kshs 93-97Bn
Capex
FY20 Guidance
Kshs 36-39Bn
The
Numbers
10
Following the adoption of IFRS 16 - Leases on 1 April 2019, the Group’s results for the six months ended 30 September 2019
are on an IFRS 16 basis, whereas the results for the period to 30 September 2018 are (as previously reported) on an IFRS
15/IAS 17 basis. To ensure appropriate disclosure during the period of transition onto IFRS 16, numbers for the six months
ended 30 September 2019 have been disclosed on both an IFRS 16 and IAS17 basis. Numbers in slides 11-20 have been
provided solely on an IFRS 15/IAS17 basis.
11
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
STRONG CUSTOMER GROWTH WITH CONTINUED DOUBLE DIGIT GROWTH ON
BOTTOM LINE
Net Income
+14.4% YoY
KShs 35.7Bn HY20
KShs 31.2Bn HY19
Service Revenue
+5.3% YoY
KShs 124.3Bn HY20
KShs 118.1Bn HY19
EBIT
+12.7% YoY
KShs 49.8Bn HY20
KShs 44.2Bn HY19
One Month Active
Customers
+8.9%YoY
27.5Mn HY20
25.2Mn HY19
12
CUSTOMER FOCUS STRONG MOMENTUM IN GROWTH SUPPORTS REVENUE
Rate* per Min
7.0%
Rate* per SMS
18.9%
Rate* per MB
36.9%
HY18
123
HY19
319
HY20
725
Customer Net Adds (k)**
*Average effective rate
**One Month Active
13
HY20 SERVICE REVENUE DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO COMPARED TO TRADITIONAL TELCO
Contribution to Service Revenue Growth (KShs Bn)
**Other; Voice outgoing -1.1% YoY, Voice incoming -3.9% YoY, SMS -5.2% YoY and Other SR +2.5% YoY
*Premium Rate Service
118.1
HY19
6.5
M-PESA
+18.2%
YoY
0.8
Mobile
Data
+4.0%
YoY
0.7
Fixed
Data
+18.4%
YoY
(0.9)
Others**
-1.6%
YoY
(0.7)
PRS*
-22.5%
YoY
124.3
HY20
+5.3%
YoY
Evolution of Revenue Profile
HY17 HY20Voice
Outgoing
43.2%
Voice
Outgoing
34.7%
Messaging
8.8%
Messaging
6.9%
M-PESA
26.4%
Mobile Data
13.7%
Mobile Data
15.9%
Fixed Data
2.4%
Fixed Data
3.7%Others
5.5%
Others
5.1%
M-PESA
33.8%
M-PESA REVENUE NEW BUSINESS CONTINUES TO DRIVE GROWTH
Contribution to M-PESA Growth
• Value of M-PESA Transactions +23.9% YoY
• Volume of M-PESA Transactions +11.4% YoY
• LNM 30 Day Active Tills +15.5% YoY
• M-PESA Agents +8.2%
Call Outs
+18.2%
YoY
New Business
8.7ppts
+32.1% YoY
Transfers
5.9ppts
+17.3% YoY
Withdrawals
3.6ppts
+9.2% YoY
Contribution to New Business Growth
Payments +11.0% YoY
C2B +30.6% YoY
B2C +4.9% YoY
LNM +21.3% YoY
B2B +3.2% YoY
Gaming -15.5% YoY
IMT +44.6% YoY
International Money Transfer,
PayPal, AliPay
2.6ppts
5.7ppts
0.4ppts
8.7pptsSavings and
Lending >100% YoY
M-Shwari, Fuliza,
KCB M-PESA
Evolution of Revenue Profile
Withdrawals Transfers New Business
44.1%
31.5%
24.3%
HY1FY17
35.9%
33.7%
30.4%
HY1FY20
Withdrawals Transfers New Business
14
15
M-PESA UNDERLYING BUSINESS GROWTH ACCELERATING
Increased penetration, usage and revenue growth despite slow-down in gaming
M-PESA ex-gaming +20.9%
+18.2%
-15.5%
Total M-PESA
Gaming
HY20
M-PESA ex-gaming +19.1%
+7.6%
+18.2%Total M-PESA
Gaming
HY19
One Month Active
M-PESA customers(Mn)
21.0
23.6
HY19 HY20
Chargeable Transactions
13.0
12.1
+7.8%YoY
HY19 HY20
Chargeable Transactions
Excluding Gaming
Per customer per month
10.9
9.3
+17.5%YoY
+12.4%
YoY
HY19 HY20
16
MOBILE DATA REVENUE SEQUENTIAL HALF YEAR GROWTH OF 14.6%
Mobile Data Revenue (KShs.Bn)
Revenue YoY% growth
Unlocking the latent potential is key for growth
HY 20FY 19HY 19
26.7
27.5
25.2
One Month Active Overall
Customers (Mn)
+8.9%
YoY
18.8
17.6
20.2
One Month Active Mobile
Data Ctustomers (Mn)
+14.8%
YoY
6.0
7.97.4
Data Customers
using >100MBs (Mn)
+33.3%
YoY
2.7
4.5
3.2
Active 4G
Devices (Mn)
+70.8%
YoY
19.0
+10.8%
+2.3% +4.0%
17.3
19.8
HY1 FY19 HY2 FY19 HY1 FY20
HY1 20
on HY2 19
Growth
+14.6%
Data Customers
using >100MBs
39.3%
Average MBs per user
919
640
728
HY 20FY 19HY 19
+43.6%
YoY
17
FIXED SERVICE REVENUE CONTINUED DOUBLE DIGIT GROWTH
FTTH
HY 19 HY 20
Homes Connected
79.4k
114.7k
+44.5%
YoY
Homes Passed
212.8k
302.9k+42.3
YoY
HY 19 HY 20
FTTB
+25.6%
YoY
2.1k
2.6k
Ready Buildings
+15.9%
YoY
18.6k
21.6k
Fixed Data links
Contribution to Fixed
Revenue Growth
Fibre to
the Home
FTTH
Fibre to
the Business
FTTB Other
11.1ppts
5.6ppts
1.7ppts
+18.4%
YoY
18
EBIT +2.4PPTS DRIVEN BY REVENUE GROWTH AND OPERATING EFFICIENCIES
• Opex Intensity improves 1.3ppt YoY
HY20 EBIT (KShs Bn)
HY19
44.2
Contribution
Margin
4.5
Opex
0.2
Depreciation
0.9
HY20
49.8
EBIT MarginRevenues EBIT
Service Revenue & EBIT (KShs Bn)
HY19
118.1
44.2
36.1%
HY20
49.8
124.3
38.5%
19
CAPEX CONTINUOUS INVESTMENT AND 4G ACCELERATION
Capex Intensity
FY17
16.4%
15.6%
14.9%
14.0%
FY18 FY19 HY20
Capex (KShs Bn)
35.3
36.3
37.3
17.0
36-39*
18.118.9
17.4
FY16/17 FY17/18 FY18/19 FY19/20
FY CapexHY Capex
*Range based on FY20 CAPEX guidance
Capex Split
Other
Capex
2.8%
Core
Network
3.2%
Radio Access
39.9%
IT Capex
16.6%
Transm
ission
15.9%
Operations
12.5%
Fixed
Network
9.1%
20
FREE CASHFLOW
KShs Bn
EBITDA
Net Working Capital Movements
Other Movements
Operating cash flow
Capital Additions
Operating free cash flow
Net Interest received
Taxation paid
Free cash flow
30 Sep 2019 30 Sep 2018 YoY Variance
66.49
2.94
(0.01)
69.42
(18.11)
51.31
1.80
(15.77)
37.33
61.79
5.99
(0.08)
67.70
(16.85)
50.85
1.28
(13.71)
38.42
4.71
(3.06)
0.07
1.72
(1.26)
0.46
0.52
(2.06)
(1.09)
% Change
7.6%
(51.0%)
(86.5%)
2.5%
7.5%
0.9%
40.3%
15.0%
(2.8%)
IMPACT FROM ACCELERATED 4G ROLLOUT EXPECTED TO UNWIND IN H2
21
Q&A
22
Appendices
23
*Margins are calculated on total revenue (excluding construction revenue, gain on lease termination and gain on disposal of fixed assets)
KShs Bn
HY20
IFRS15/16 IFRS 15/IAS17
Voice revenue (Outgoing & Incoming)
Messaging revenue
Mobile data revenue
Fixed service revenue
M-PESA revenue
Other service revenue
Service Revenue
Total Revenue
Contribution margin
Contribution margin %*
EBITDA
EBITDA margin %*
EBIT
EBIT Margin %*
Net Income
Net Income %*
Earnings per share
46.87
8.60
19.78
4.55
41.97
2.55
124.32
129.93
92.10
71.1%
68.37
52.8%
50.25
38.8%
35.20
27.2%
0.88
46.87
8.60
19.78
4.55
41.97
2.55
124.32
129.90
92.07
71.1%
66.49
51.3%
49.82
38.5%
35.65
27.5%
0.89
47.53
9.67
19.01
3.84
35.52
2.49
118.05
122.83
87.57
71.5%
61.79
50.4%
44.22
36.1%
31.17
25.4%
0.78
(1.4%)
(11.0%)
4.0%
18.4%
18.2%
2.4%
5.3%
5.8%
5.1%
(0.4ppt)
7.6%
0.9ppt
12.7%
2.4ppt
14.4%
2.1ppt
14.4%
HY20HY20
IFRS15/IAS17 IFRS15/IAS17
% Change
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.03
0.03
0.0ppt
1.87
1.5ppt
0.43
0.3ppt
(0.45)
(0.3ppt)
(0.01)
Statement of Income I Key Highlights
Impact
IFRS 16
24
Statement of Income I Key Highlights
KShs Bn
HY20
IFRS15/16
Service Revenue
Handset and other revenue
Construction revenue
Other Income
Total Revenue
Direct costs
Construction costs
Contribution margin
Direct costs
M-PESA Commissions
Airtime Commissions
Licence Fees
Interconnect & Roaming
Handset costs
Customer Acquisition and Retention
Value Added Services costs (Voice & SMS)
Bad debts
Other
Total
124.32
5.16
0.35
0.10
129.93
(37.48)
(0.35)
92.10
(11.78)
(5.45)
(5.25)
(3.77)
(3.78)
(4.07)
(2.69)
(0.37)
(0.32)
(37.48)
124.32
5.16
0.35
0.07
129.90
(37.48)
(0.35)
92.07
(11.78)
(5.45)
(5.25)
(3.77)
(3.78)
(4.07)
(2.69)
(0.37)
(0.32)
(37.48)
118.05
4.31
0.30
0.17
122.83
(34.96)
(0.30)
87.57
(10.59)
(5.50)
(5.19)
(3.61)
(2.75)
(3.61)
(3.10)
(0.10)
(0.50)
(34.96)
5.3%
19.7%
15.2%
(58.8%)
5.8%
7.2%
15.2%
5.1%
11.2%
(1.1%)
1.0%
4.5%
37.6%
12.8%
(13.0%)
>100.0%
(36.0%)
7.2%
HY19HY20
IFRS 15/IAS17 IFRS 15/IAS17 IFRS 15/IAS17
% Change
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.03
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
IFRS 16
Impact
25
Statement of Income I Contribution Margin to Net Income
KShs. Bn
HY20
IFRS15/16 IFRS 15/IAS17
Contribution margin
Operating costs
Forex Loss on trading activities
EBITDA
Depreciation, impairment & amortisation
EBIT
Net Financing, Forex and Fair Value Losses
Share of associate profit/(loss)
Taxation
Net Income
Operating costs
Repairs and maintenance
Operating lease rentals
Warehousing costs
Employee benefits expense
Auditor’s remuneration
Sales and advertising
Consultancy
Site/facilities costs
Travel and accommodation
Computer maintenance
Office upkeep
Other operating expenses
Total
92.10
(23.75)
0.02
68.37
(18.12)
50.25
1.03
0.05
(16.13)
35.20
(0.18)
(0.19)
(0.16)
(8.51)
(0.03)
(3.44)
(0.39)
(6.82)
(0.41)
(1.12)
(0.54)
(1.95)
(23.75)
92.07
(25.59)
0.02
66.49
(16.67)
49.82
1.85
0.05
(16.07)
35.65
(0.18)
(2.02)
(0.16)
(8.53)
(0.03)
(3.44)
(0.39)
(6.82)
(0.41)
(1.12)
(0.54)
(1.95)
(25.59)
87.57
(25.82)
0.03
61.79
(17.56)
44.22
1.41
(0.01)
(14.46)
31.17
(0.15)
(1.90)
(0.16)
(8.22)
(0.03)
(3.87)
0.38
(7.15)
(0.46)
(1.12)
(0.74)
(2.39)
(25.82)
5.1%
(0.9%)
(51.0%)
7.6%
(5.1%)
12.7%
31.2%
<100.0%
11.1%
14.4%
20.7%
6.0%
4.0%
3.8%
(4.5%)
(11.3%)
(<100.0%)
(4.6%)
(11.3%)
0.2%
(27.1%)
(18.5%)
(0.9%)
HY19HY20
IFRS 15/IAS17 IFRS 15/IAS17
% Change
0.03
1.85
0.00
1.87
(1.45)
0.43
(0.81)
0.00
(0.06)
(0.45)
0.00
1.82
0.00
0.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.85
16 Impact
IFRS
Free Cashflow I Key Movements
KShs Bn
EBITDA
Net Working Capital Changes
Movement in:
ROU assets and lease liabilities
Gain on lease terminations
Gain on PPE disposal
Operating cash flow
Capital Additions
Operating free cash flow
Net Interest received
Taxation paid
Free cash flow
30 Sep 2019
IFRS 15/16
68.37
3.70
(2.61)
(0.03)
(0.01)
69.42
(18.11)
51.31
1.80
(15.77)
37.33
30 Sep 2019
IFRS 15/IAS17
30 Sep 2018
IFRS 15/IAS17 IFRS15/IAS17
% Change
Impact
IFRS 16
66.49
2.94
0.00
(0.00)
(0.01)
69.42
(18.11)
51.31
1.80
(15.77)
37.33
61.79
5.99
0.00
0.00
(0.08)
67.70
(16.85)
50.85
1.28
(13.71)
38.42
7.6%
(51.0%)
0.0%
0.0%
(86.5%)
2.5%
7.5%
0.9%
40.3%
15.0%
(2.8%)
1.87
0.77
(2.61)
(0.03)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
26
27
FY19
20.0
(4.2)
Debt
Payment
(18.8)
Normal
Dividends
(18.1)
Capex
(15.8)
Tax Paid
(11.2)
Short term
Investments
2.6
Working
Capital
2.1
Net Interest
23.3
HY20
66.5
EBITDA
MOVEMENT IN CASH (KShs Bn)

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Hy1 fy20 results_presentation

  • 1. Safaricom PLC HY20 Results Presentation 1st November 2019
  • 2. -0.1% DISCLAIMER The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentations may lawfully be communicated (“relevant persons”). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or its contents. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite or subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in the Company. The presentation also contains certain non-GAAP financial information. The Group’s management believes these measures provide valuable additional information in understanding the performance of the Company’s businesses because they provide measures used by the company to assess performance. Although these measures are important in the management of the business, they should not be viewed as replacements for, but rather as complementary to, the comparable GAAP measures. Safaricom, M-PESA and Safaricom/M-PESA logos are trade marks of Safaricom PLC. Other products and company names mentioned herein may be the trademarks of their respective owners. Following the adoption of IFRS 16 - Leases on 1 April 2019, the Group’s results for the six months ended 30 September 2019 are on an IFRS 16 basis, whereas the results for the period to 30 September 2018 are (as previously reported) on an IFRS 15/IAS 17 basis. To ensure appropriate disclosure during the period of transition onto IFRS 16, numbers for the six months ended 30 September 2019 have been disclosed on both an IFRS 16 and IAS17 basis and our commentary describing our operating performance has been provided solely on an IFRS 15/IAS17 basis.
  • 3. 03 CONTINUED MACROECONOMIC STABILITY, BUT TOUGH OPERATING ENVIRONMENT Tail winds: • 2019 GDP forecast 5.6% and World Bank GDP forecast of 6.1% in 2020 • Stable currency, inflation and political environment • Improved business sentiment Headwinds: • Regulatory risk • Shrinking consumer wallet • Changing competitive landscape
  • 4. OPERATIONAL REVIEW 04 • Chat Bot • Voice Biometrics • 732 additional 4G sites rolled out, covering 63% of the population • Increased market share • One month active customers growth at 8.9% • Improved trust and brand consideration Achievements Investment in Our Network: Self Service:
  • 5. INVESTING IN OUR COMMUNITY 6.3% contribution to GDP Employment: • Employer of the Year Award • 2.3% differently-abled employees • 30% staff upskilled digital skills The Foundations: • Maternal health: 53k mothers benefited • Education: 40k+ students benefited • Economic empowerment: Phase III launched targeting 20k beneficiaries 05
  • 6. GROWTH DRIVERS 06 Up by 12.4%from HY19 Up by 11.4%from HY19 23.6m Customers* 4.5Bn Volume M-PESA Up by 14.8%from HY19 Up by 43.6%from HY19 919Mbs Usage per customer 20.2m Customers* Data *One Month Active
  • 7. OUR DIGITAL STRATEGY - BEYOND A TELCO 07 Brand of Choice • Personalised and simplified products • Product affordability • Enhanced self service platforms • Best 4G network coverage Financial Partner of Choice • Wealth management • Driving a savings culture • Payment lifestyle platform • Security enhancements for financial products Business Partner of Choice • Creating value through Cloud, IoT, WiFi analytics, managed security • E-commerce and Agriculture platforms • Expansion/ Mergers and Acquisition ENABLING DIGITAL LIFESTYLES
  • 8. Credit to households growth rate % Freedom to purchase at any amount NO EXPIRY Serve Customers in under 5 minutes Provide personalised experience 50% extra talk time DELIVERING OUR PROMISE Simple • Transparent • Honest FOR YOU 08
  • 9. 09 GUIDANCE MAINTAINED ON EBIT AND CAPEX Our financial outlook for 2020 reflects the adoption of the IFRS 15 and IFRS 16 accounting standards. FY20 GUIDANCE EBIT FY20 Guidance Kshs 93-97Bn Capex FY20 Guidance Kshs 36-39Bn
  • 10. The Numbers 10 Following the adoption of IFRS 16 - Leases on 1 April 2019, the Group’s results for the six months ended 30 September 2019 are on an IFRS 16 basis, whereas the results for the period to 30 September 2018 are (as previously reported) on an IFRS 15/IAS 17 basis. To ensure appropriate disclosure during the period of transition onto IFRS 16, numbers for the six months ended 30 September 2019 have been disclosed on both an IFRS 16 and IAS17 basis. Numbers in slides 11-20 have been provided solely on an IFRS 15/IAS17 basis.
  • 11. 11 KEY HIGHLIGHTS STRONG CUSTOMER GROWTH WITH CONTINUED DOUBLE DIGIT GROWTH ON BOTTOM LINE Net Income +14.4% YoY KShs 35.7Bn HY20 KShs 31.2Bn HY19 Service Revenue +5.3% YoY KShs 124.3Bn HY20 KShs 118.1Bn HY19 EBIT +12.7% YoY KShs 49.8Bn HY20 KShs 44.2Bn HY19 One Month Active Customers +8.9%YoY 27.5Mn HY20 25.2Mn HY19
  • 12. 12 CUSTOMER FOCUS STRONG MOMENTUM IN GROWTH SUPPORTS REVENUE Rate* per Min 7.0% Rate* per SMS 18.9% Rate* per MB 36.9% HY18 123 HY19 319 HY20 725 Customer Net Adds (k)** *Average effective rate **One Month Active
  • 13. 13 HY20 SERVICE REVENUE DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO COMPARED TO TRADITIONAL TELCO Contribution to Service Revenue Growth (KShs Bn) **Other; Voice outgoing -1.1% YoY, Voice incoming -3.9% YoY, SMS -5.2% YoY and Other SR +2.5% YoY *Premium Rate Service 118.1 HY19 6.5 M-PESA +18.2% YoY 0.8 Mobile Data +4.0% YoY 0.7 Fixed Data +18.4% YoY (0.9) Others** -1.6% YoY (0.7) PRS* -22.5% YoY 124.3 HY20 +5.3% YoY Evolution of Revenue Profile HY17 HY20Voice Outgoing 43.2% Voice Outgoing 34.7% Messaging 8.8% Messaging 6.9% M-PESA 26.4% Mobile Data 13.7% Mobile Data 15.9% Fixed Data 2.4% Fixed Data 3.7%Others 5.5% Others 5.1% M-PESA 33.8%
  • 14. M-PESA REVENUE NEW BUSINESS CONTINUES TO DRIVE GROWTH Contribution to M-PESA Growth • Value of M-PESA Transactions +23.9% YoY • Volume of M-PESA Transactions +11.4% YoY • LNM 30 Day Active Tills +15.5% YoY • M-PESA Agents +8.2% Call Outs +18.2% YoY New Business 8.7ppts +32.1% YoY Transfers 5.9ppts +17.3% YoY Withdrawals 3.6ppts +9.2% YoY Contribution to New Business Growth Payments +11.0% YoY C2B +30.6% YoY B2C +4.9% YoY LNM +21.3% YoY B2B +3.2% YoY Gaming -15.5% YoY IMT +44.6% YoY International Money Transfer, PayPal, AliPay 2.6ppts 5.7ppts 0.4ppts 8.7pptsSavings and Lending >100% YoY M-Shwari, Fuliza, KCB M-PESA Evolution of Revenue Profile Withdrawals Transfers New Business 44.1% 31.5% 24.3% HY1FY17 35.9% 33.7% 30.4% HY1FY20 Withdrawals Transfers New Business 14
  • 15. 15 M-PESA UNDERLYING BUSINESS GROWTH ACCELERATING Increased penetration, usage and revenue growth despite slow-down in gaming M-PESA ex-gaming +20.9% +18.2% -15.5% Total M-PESA Gaming HY20 M-PESA ex-gaming +19.1% +7.6% +18.2%Total M-PESA Gaming HY19 One Month Active M-PESA customers(Mn) 21.0 23.6 HY19 HY20 Chargeable Transactions 13.0 12.1 +7.8%YoY HY19 HY20 Chargeable Transactions Excluding Gaming Per customer per month 10.9 9.3 +17.5%YoY +12.4% YoY HY19 HY20
  • 16. 16 MOBILE DATA REVENUE SEQUENTIAL HALF YEAR GROWTH OF 14.6% Mobile Data Revenue (KShs.Bn) Revenue YoY% growth Unlocking the latent potential is key for growth HY 20FY 19HY 19 26.7 27.5 25.2 One Month Active Overall Customers (Mn) +8.9% YoY 18.8 17.6 20.2 One Month Active Mobile Data Ctustomers (Mn) +14.8% YoY 6.0 7.97.4 Data Customers using >100MBs (Mn) +33.3% YoY 2.7 4.5 3.2 Active 4G Devices (Mn) +70.8% YoY 19.0 +10.8% +2.3% +4.0% 17.3 19.8 HY1 FY19 HY2 FY19 HY1 FY20 HY1 20 on HY2 19 Growth +14.6% Data Customers using >100MBs 39.3% Average MBs per user 919 640 728 HY 20FY 19HY 19 +43.6% YoY
  • 17. 17 FIXED SERVICE REVENUE CONTINUED DOUBLE DIGIT GROWTH FTTH HY 19 HY 20 Homes Connected 79.4k 114.7k +44.5% YoY Homes Passed 212.8k 302.9k+42.3 YoY HY 19 HY 20 FTTB +25.6% YoY 2.1k 2.6k Ready Buildings +15.9% YoY 18.6k 21.6k Fixed Data links Contribution to Fixed Revenue Growth Fibre to the Home FTTH Fibre to the Business FTTB Other 11.1ppts 5.6ppts 1.7ppts +18.4% YoY
  • 18. 18 EBIT +2.4PPTS DRIVEN BY REVENUE GROWTH AND OPERATING EFFICIENCIES • Opex Intensity improves 1.3ppt YoY HY20 EBIT (KShs Bn) HY19 44.2 Contribution Margin 4.5 Opex 0.2 Depreciation 0.9 HY20 49.8 EBIT MarginRevenues EBIT Service Revenue & EBIT (KShs Bn) HY19 118.1 44.2 36.1% HY20 49.8 124.3 38.5%
  • 19. 19 CAPEX CONTINUOUS INVESTMENT AND 4G ACCELERATION Capex Intensity FY17 16.4% 15.6% 14.9% 14.0% FY18 FY19 HY20 Capex (KShs Bn) 35.3 36.3 37.3 17.0 36-39* 18.118.9 17.4 FY16/17 FY17/18 FY18/19 FY19/20 FY CapexHY Capex *Range based on FY20 CAPEX guidance Capex Split Other Capex 2.8% Core Network 3.2% Radio Access 39.9% IT Capex 16.6% Transm ission 15.9% Operations 12.5% Fixed Network 9.1%
  • 20. 20 FREE CASHFLOW KShs Bn EBITDA Net Working Capital Movements Other Movements Operating cash flow Capital Additions Operating free cash flow Net Interest received Taxation paid Free cash flow 30 Sep 2019 30 Sep 2018 YoY Variance 66.49 2.94 (0.01) 69.42 (18.11) 51.31 1.80 (15.77) 37.33 61.79 5.99 (0.08) 67.70 (16.85) 50.85 1.28 (13.71) 38.42 4.71 (3.06) 0.07 1.72 (1.26) 0.46 0.52 (2.06) (1.09) % Change 7.6% (51.0%) (86.5%) 2.5% 7.5% 0.9% 40.3% 15.0% (2.8%) IMPACT FROM ACCELERATED 4G ROLLOUT EXPECTED TO UNWIND IN H2
  • 23. 23 *Margins are calculated on total revenue (excluding construction revenue, gain on lease termination and gain on disposal of fixed assets) KShs Bn HY20 IFRS15/16 IFRS 15/IAS17 Voice revenue (Outgoing & Incoming) Messaging revenue Mobile data revenue Fixed service revenue M-PESA revenue Other service revenue Service Revenue Total Revenue Contribution margin Contribution margin %* EBITDA EBITDA margin %* EBIT EBIT Margin %* Net Income Net Income %* Earnings per share 46.87 8.60 19.78 4.55 41.97 2.55 124.32 129.93 92.10 71.1% 68.37 52.8% 50.25 38.8% 35.20 27.2% 0.88 46.87 8.60 19.78 4.55 41.97 2.55 124.32 129.90 92.07 71.1% 66.49 51.3% 49.82 38.5% 35.65 27.5% 0.89 47.53 9.67 19.01 3.84 35.52 2.49 118.05 122.83 87.57 71.5% 61.79 50.4% 44.22 36.1% 31.17 25.4% 0.78 (1.4%) (11.0%) 4.0% 18.4% 18.2% 2.4% 5.3% 5.8% 5.1% (0.4ppt) 7.6% 0.9ppt 12.7% 2.4ppt 14.4% 2.1ppt 14.4% HY20HY20 IFRS15/IAS17 IFRS15/IAS17 % Change 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.0ppt 1.87 1.5ppt 0.43 0.3ppt (0.45) (0.3ppt) (0.01) Statement of Income I Key Highlights Impact IFRS 16
  • 24. 24 Statement of Income I Key Highlights KShs Bn HY20 IFRS15/16 Service Revenue Handset and other revenue Construction revenue Other Income Total Revenue Direct costs Construction costs Contribution margin Direct costs M-PESA Commissions Airtime Commissions Licence Fees Interconnect & Roaming Handset costs Customer Acquisition and Retention Value Added Services costs (Voice & SMS) Bad debts Other Total 124.32 5.16 0.35 0.10 129.93 (37.48) (0.35) 92.10 (11.78) (5.45) (5.25) (3.77) (3.78) (4.07) (2.69) (0.37) (0.32) (37.48) 124.32 5.16 0.35 0.07 129.90 (37.48) (0.35) 92.07 (11.78) (5.45) (5.25) (3.77) (3.78) (4.07) (2.69) (0.37) (0.32) (37.48) 118.05 4.31 0.30 0.17 122.83 (34.96) (0.30) 87.57 (10.59) (5.50) (5.19) (3.61) (2.75) (3.61) (3.10) (0.10) (0.50) (34.96) 5.3% 19.7% 15.2% (58.8%) 5.8% 7.2% 15.2% 5.1% 11.2% (1.1%) 1.0% 4.5% 37.6% 12.8% (13.0%) >100.0% (36.0%) 7.2% HY19HY20 IFRS 15/IAS17 IFRS 15/IAS17 IFRS 15/IAS17 % Change 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 IFRS 16 Impact
  • 25. 25 Statement of Income I Contribution Margin to Net Income KShs. Bn HY20 IFRS15/16 IFRS 15/IAS17 Contribution margin Operating costs Forex Loss on trading activities EBITDA Depreciation, impairment & amortisation EBIT Net Financing, Forex and Fair Value Losses Share of associate profit/(loss) Taxation Net Income Operating costs Repairs and maintenance Operating lease rentals Warehousing costs Employee benefits expense Auditor’s remuneration Sales and advertising Consultancy Site/facilities costs Travel and accommodation Computer maintenance Office upkeep Other operating expenses Total 92.10 (23.75) 0.02 68.37 (18.12) 50.25 1.03 0.05 (16.13) 35.20 (0.18) (0.19) (0.16) (8.51) (0.03) (3.44) (0.39) (6.82) (0.41) (1.12) (0.54) (1.95) (23.75) 92.07 (25.59) 0.02 66.49 (16.67) 49.82 1.85 0.05 (16.07) 35.65 (0.18) (2.02) (0.16) (8.53) (0.03) (3.44) (0.39) (6.82) (0.41) (1.12) (0.54) (1.95) (25.59) 87.57 (25.82) 0.03 61.79 (17.56) 44.22 1.41 (0.01) (14.46) 31.17 (0.15) (1.90) (0.16) (8.22) (0.03) (3.87) 0.38 (7.15) (0.46) (1.12) (0.74) (2.39) (25.82) 5.1% (0.9%) (51.0%) 7.6% (5.1%) 12.7% 31.2% <100.0% 11.1% 14.4% 20.7% 6.0% 4.0% 3.8% (4.5%) (11.3%) (<100.0%) (4.6%) (11.3%) 0.2% (27.1%) (18.5%) (0.9%) HY19HY20 IFRS 15/IAS17 IFRS 15/IAS17 % Change 0.03 1.85 0.00 1.87 (1.45) 0.43 (0.81) 0.00 (0.06) (0.45) 0.00 1.82 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.85 16 Impact IFRS
  • 26. Free Cashflow I Key Movements KShs Bn EBITDA Net Working Capital Changes Movement in: ROU assets and lease liabilities Gain on lease terminations Gain on PPE disposal Operating cash flow Capital Additions Operating free cash flow Net Interest received Taxation paid Free cash flow 30 Sep 2019 IFRS 15/16 68.37 3.70 (2.61) (0.03) (0.01) 69.42 (18.11) 51.31 1.80 (15.77) 37.33 30 Sep 2019 IFRS 15/IAS17 30 Sep 2018 IFRS 15/IAS17 IFRS15/IAS17 % Change Impact IFRS 16 66.49 2.94 0.00 (0.00) (0.01) 69.42 (18.11) 51.31 1.80 (15.77) 37.33 61.79 5.99 0.00 0.00 (0.08) 67.70 (16.85) 50.85 1.28 (13.71) 38.42 7.6% (51.0%) 0.0% 0.0% (86.5%) 2.5% 7.5% 0.9% 40.3% 15.0% (2.8%) 1.87 0.77 (2.61) (0.03) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26