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Crime & Economic Conditions
 Are in sharp contrast to the theories that use
the person’s biological or psychological
makeup to explain crime.
 This theory is the oldest of a non-individual
nature.
 And they have
generated a lot of
inquiry into the
relationship
between poverty
and crime
Is crime caused by poverty?
Is there a relationship
between crime rates and
unemployment rates?
Does crime go up when we
are in a depression?
 Is crime related to economic inequality?
 Poverty existing next to wealth
 Is it stressful?
 What will we find when we examine wealthy
areas and poor areas?
 When we find poor people, will we find crime?
?????????????
Contradictions & Disagreements
 Remember Guerry & Quetelet?
 In the early 1800s in France, they tried to
show a relationship between crime and
poverty.
 They compared the wealthy areas to poor
areas.
Mentioned together because there was
only but 2 years separating their
contributions.
 French lawyer
 French crime
statistics first
published in 1827
 Published an
analysis of them
 Appointed director
of criminal statistics
for the French
Ministry of Justice
 He showed crime rates in relation to
social factors of an area
 Before Guerry, the belief was that:
 Crime associated with poverty
 Crime associated with lack of education
 Instead, he found that the wealthiest
areas of France had the highest property
crimes
 Said poverty did
not cause crime
 Opportunity did
 There was more
to steal in the
wealthier areas
 Areas with the highest education had the
highest rates of violent crime
 Education Violent crime
 The lowest rates of violent crime were found
in areas with the lowest education levels
 Education Violent Crime
 His 1827 work on French crime statistics
allow others to call his work:
 1st work of scientific criminology
 Therefore, he lays the foundation for the
scientific study of crime
 Belgian
mathematician and
astronomer who
turned his attention
to French crime
statistics in 1828.
 Opportunities
related to the
commission of crime
 Inequalities
between wealth and
poverty in the same
place an issue
 “The great
inequality between
wealth and poverty
in the same place
excites passions and
provokes
temptations of all
kinds.” (p. 24)
 Wealthy areas had more property crime
 But less violent crime
 What can you conclude from this?
 Where there was more property crime, there
was more opportunity
 Associate opportunity with Guerry
 There was more stuff to steal
 A bigger selection
 Inequality causes resentment by the poor
 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLSHJI6dxJo
&feature=related
 “The crimes which are annually committed
seem to be a necessary result of our social
organization…
 Society prepares the crime, and the guilty
are only the instruments by which it is
executed.”
 When everyone is poor, everyone is more or
less equal.
 There is less inequity.
 Where are some wealthy areas and poor
areas? (nationally)
 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4DHpsxC
pDs
 Logically, during an economic downturn,
crime should increase.
 Many studies find this is not the case
 And crime even decreases. Why?
 During an upswing…less crime
 In the 1960s and 1970s, US had great economic expansion.
 But crime still rose.
 Peaked in the early 1980s.
 But in the 1990s, again during economic expansion, crime
begins to decline
 In economic upswings, there are still poor
people
 Are there more poor in these times?
 Is there more inequality?
 Cho, 1974
 Jacobs, 1981
 Ehrlich, 1974
 Loftin & Hill, 1974
 Lee, 2000
 Used 1970 statistics
 Looked at people below the poverty line in
the 49 largest U.S. cities
 No correlation between:
 The 7 FBI Index crimes
 He looked at crime rates of burglary, robbery
and grand larceny
 Again looked at the poverty line
 And again, found no correlation
 Looked at state property crime rates for:
 1940, 1950, 1960
 Percentage of households getting less < half
of the median income
 Found a positive relationship
 Looked at:
 Infant mortality
 Low education
 Income
 1-parent families
 And murder rates
 Found strong
correlations
 This was an “Index
of Structural
Poverty”
 Both borrowed the Index of Structural
Poverty
 Murders between family & friends
 There was a strong correlation here
 Again, with the earlier measures
 But no correlation with stranger homicides
 They differ according to the different
geographical regions
 Used 1990 data with
121 cities
 Looked at where
poor people live
 Concentrated poverty
vs
 Dispersed among the
middle-class
 Found concentrated
poverty more
important in
explaining homicide
 Good for blacks &
whites
 Used similar data
 Again looked at dispersed & concentrated
poverty for blacks and whites
 Their findings:
 Both dispersed and concentrated poverty
affected murder rates for whites only
 If blacks generally live together, it did not affect
murder rates
 Found that concentrated poverty did not by
itself have a significant effect on violent
crime in cities, but that the interaction of
concentrated poverty and overall poverty did
make a difference for robberies and
homocides.
 “For cities with higher poverty levels, the
more concentrated the poverty, the greater
rate of robberies and homicides.” (text, page
98)
A Detailed Look at Research
 Unemployment causes crime
 Crime increase ~ unemployment high
 Crime decreases ~ unemployment low
 Based on these assumptions:
 Unemployment causes poverty
 Poverty causes crime
 There must be a direct relationship between:
 Crime & unemployment
Glaser & Rice, 1968 Danser & Laub, 1973
Ehrlich, 1973 Berk, 1980
Chiricos, 1987 Land et al, 1990
White, 1999 Weatherburn and Lind,
2001
 Delinquency inversely related to adult
unemployment
 Delinquency is high when adult unemployment is
low
 When employed, parents not available
 Kids less likely to become delinquent when
parents are not employed
 Delinquency is high when adult
unemployment is high
 Suggested that parents who are
unemployed are stressed and may use
erratic harsh punishments with their
children
 Remember: The relationship between
harsh erratic punishments and
delinquency
 Erratic punishment delinquency
 1. Among high-risk high school males:
 Employment while in school increases
delinquency
 [Does school become less important?]
 2. Delinquency high when juveniles
unemployed
 With juvenile delinquency & juvenile
unemployment…
 Found no relationships between the 2
 Even when they broke it out into
 Age
 Sex
 Race
 Unemployment had no effect on the
criminality of urban males…
 Age 14 - 24
 “For ex-offenders at least, unemployment
and poverty do cause crime.” (text, page
100)
 For ex-inmates, there is a relationship
between unemployment & crime
 If unemployed, they will go back to what
they know:
 Crime
 No original research
 But secondary
research
 Found that the
relationship
between
unemployment &
crime:
 Is positive
 Frequently significant
 Especially for property
crime after 1970
 Also argued that the positive relationship
between unemployment and crime is more
likely to be found when smaller units
(neighborhoods) are examined rather than
larger units (nations) because these smaller
units “are more likely to be homogeneous.”
(text, page 100)
 Find weak negative relationships between
crime & unemployment
 Negative for homicide
 Negative for robbery
 Positive but nonsignificant for
 Rape
 Assault
 At least from 1960 – 1980
 Weak negative relationship exists between
crime & unemployment
 Crime goes DOWN when unemployment goes UP
 But not by very much
 Looked at specific types of unemployment
 Like in manufacturing jobs
 Manufacturing job losses did lead to:
 Poverty and then crime, especially in:
 Robberies, burglaries, and drug-related crimes
 Effect on violent crimes like
 Murder and aggravated assault
 Were people marginal?
 Data from 1970 – 1990
 Central cities only
 Found that declines in availability in low-skill
jobs results in:
 Increased poverty
 Increased violence among African Americans and
European Americans
There are 6 major problems with
interpreting this kind of research.
 Poverty is always in part a subjective
condition.
 What one person considers poverty is acceptable,
while another may not
 There is no clear definition of poverty
 Unemployment also an unclear term
 There are 2 contradictory theoretical
assumptions about the relationship between
economic conditions and crime. The 1st
assumption:
 When economy good, crime is low
 When economy bad, crime high
 The 2nd
assumption:
 Crime an extension
of economic activity
 Crime high when
economy good
 Crime low when
economy poor
 When economic conditions get better, there
are also new pressures and demands
 In other words…
 When there are more legitimate opportunities,
there will be more crime.
 Specifying the amount of time before
economic changes are said to have an effect
on criminality.
 There should be a lag period
 People only experience the full effects of
unemployment after some period of time
 After losing their job, they probably:
 Still have some money
 Still are OK psychology
 So people still have some time to “get it
together”
 Determining the size of the unit that
economic factors affect.
 The smaller the unit the bigger the impact.
 If Ward Manufacturing closes in Blossburg, it will
cause a major impact here, but not nationally.
 In the inner cities, legitimate opportunities
have declined while illegal opportunities
have increased.
 Illegal work is more financially rewarding and
more appealing than legal work– pimping &
drugs
 Legal work is defined poorly and carries a
negative social stigma
 Working at McDonalds
 But which factors actually cause crime to
increase?
 Poverty
 Unemployment
 Single parents
 Divorce
 Poor schools
 Low education
 This problem is referred to as
 “multicollinearity” or
 …a number of possible causal factors which are
all highly intercorrelated with each other
 Distinguishing Between Concepts of:
 Poverty
 Economic Inequality.
 These concepts are wholly separate &
distinct
 A lack of some fixed level of material goods
necessary for survival and minimum well-
being.
 Examples: Food, Water, Heat
 A comparison between the material level of
those who have the least in a society and the
material level of other groups.
 The “haves versus the have-nots.”
 Some countries have very little poverty, but
the economic inequality is immense.
 Likewise, in countries where everyone is
poor, there may be little or no economic
inequality.
 Found between:
 Economic inequality
 Homicide
 Around 1990, 50
countries found
firearm violence
was strongly
correlated with
economic
inequality
 154 cities
 A racial inequality study
 Found that increased levels of inequality
between whites & blacks were associated
with higher…
 Black
 White and
 Total homicide rates
 Racial inequality affects the social order that
increases criminogenic pressure.
 Found that at the
neighborhood level
of analysis, income
inequality within
racial groups, not
across racial
groups, was
associated with
higher rates of
violent crime.
 “ that individuals may compare themselves
to other similar individuals (e.g., of the same
race) when feeling inequalities in income.”
(text, page 106)
 There appears to be a strong case which
suggests that the economic inequality in a
society-the gap between the richest and the
poorest- has a causal impact on the level of
violence in that society.
 Poor people (underclass) tend to commit
more violent crime when there are many
wealthy people around them. (text, page
106)
 It appears that unemployment, but not
poverty, has a direct causal impact on crime
and delinquency
 “Almost without exception, studies of
violence find a positive and usually large
correlation between some measure of area
poverty and violence-especially homicide.” (
text, page 106)
 In the end,
poverty itself does
not directly cause
crime because
crime rates do not
consistently
increase and
decrease as the
number of poor
people increases
and decreases.
 Both poverty and inequality are associated
with crime, especially violent crime.
 Inequality breeds
 Frustration
 Frustration breeds behavioral problems
 But it is another question as to whether or
not they are the actual CAUSES of crime
 Not just ASSOCIATED WITH
 So what is more significant in this search for
crime?
 Poverty or
 Inequality
 A stronger case can be made for disparity
 If you accept this,
than you are
consistent with
the notion that
crime increases
with the number
of wealthy growing
in number.
 The case for linking:
 crime to poverty is WEAK
 The case for linking:
 Crime to inequality is STRONGER
 If that is the case,
than more
attention should
be paid to the
rising number of
 Wealthy, and not
the
 Poor
 There has been a concentration of extreme
poverty in the inner-city areas.
 These are the “have-nots”
 And studies, at the local level, seem to
suggest that violence is correlated with
poverty
 But still, some contend that poverty DOES
NOT CAUSE crime
 How do they know this?
 As the number of poor people increase, the
crime rate does not change with it.
vedder.crim.ch5.donotALTER

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vedder.crim.ch5.donotALTER

  • 1. Crime & Economic Conditions
  • 2.  Are in sharp contrast to the theories that use the person’s biological or psychological makeup to explain crime.  This theory is the oldest of a non-individual nature.
  • 3.  And they have generated a lot of inquiry into the relationship between poverty and crime
  • 4. Is crime caused by poverty? Is there a relationship between crime rates and unemployment rates? Does crime go up when we are in a depression?
  • 5.  Is crime related to economic inequality?  Poverty existing next to wealth  Is it stressful?
  • 6.  What will we find when we examine wealthy areas and poor areas?  When we find poor people, will we find crime?
  • 9.  Remember Guerry & Quetelet?  In the early 1800s in France, they tried to show a relationship between crime and poverty.  They compared the wealthy areas to poor areas.
  • 10. Mentioned together because there was only but 2 years separating their contributions.
  • 11.  French lawyer  French crime statistics first published in 1827  Published an analysis of them  Appointed director of criminal statistics for the French Ministry of Justice
  • 12.  He showed crime rates in relation to social factors of an area  Before Guerry, the belief was that:  Crime associated with poverty  Crime associated with lack of education  Instead, he found that the wealthiest areas of France had the highest property crimes
  • 13.  Said poverty did not cause crime  Opportunity did  There was more to steal in the wealthier areas
  • 14.  Areas with the highest education had the highest rates of violent crime  Education Violent crime  The lowest rates of violent crime were found in areas with the lowest education levels  Education Violent Crime
  • 15.
  • 16.  His 1827 work on French crime statistics allow others to call his work:  1st work of scientific criminology  Therefore, he lays the foundation for the scientific study of crime
  • 17.  Belgian mathematician and astronomer who turned his attention to French crime statistics in 1828.  Opportunities related to the commission of crime
  • 18.  Inequalities between wealth and poverty in the same place an issue  “The great inequality between wealth and poverty in the same place excites passions and provokes temptations of all kinds.” (p. 24)
  • 19.  Wealthy areas had more property crime  But less violent crime  What can you conclude from this?
  • 20.  Where there was more property crime, there was more opportunity  Associate opportunity with Guerry  There was more stuff to steal  A bigger selection  Inequality causes resentment by the poor  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLSHJI6dxJo &feature=related
  • 21.  “The crimes which are annually committed seem to be a necessary result of our social organization…  Society prepares the crime, and the guilty are only the instruments by which it is executed.”
  • 22.  When everyone is poor, everyone is more or less equal.  There is less inequity.  Where are some wealthy areas and poor areas? (nationally)  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4DHpsxC pDs
  • 23.  Logically, during an economic downturn, crime should increase.  Many studies find this is not the case  And crime even decreases. Why?  During an upswing…less crime
  • 24.  In the 1960s and 1970s, US had great economic expansion.  But crime still rose.  Peaked in the early 1980s.  But in the 1990s, again during economic expansion, crime begins to decline
  • 25.  In economic upswings, there are still poor people  Are there more poor in these times?  Is there more inequality?
  • 26.  Cho, 1974  Jacobs, 1981  Ehrlich, 1974  Loftin & Hill, 1974  Lee, 2000
  • 27.  Used 1970 statistics  Looked at people below the poverty line in the 49 largest U.S. cities  No correlation between:  The 7 FBI Index crimes
  • 28.
  • 29.  He looked at crime rates of burglary, robbery and grand larceny  Again looked at the poverty line  And again, found no correlation
  • 30.  Looked at state property crime rates for:  1940, 1950, 1960  Percentage of households getting less < half of the median income  Found a positive relationship
  • 31.  Looked at:  Infant mortality  Low education  Income  1-parent families  And murder rates  Found strong correlations  This was an “Index of Structural Poverty”
  • 32.  Both borrowed the Index of Structural Poverty  Murders between family & friends  There was a strong correlation here  Again, with the earlier measures  But no correlation with stranger homicides
  • 33.  They differ according to the different geographical regions
  • 34.  Used 1990 data with 121 cities  Looked at where poor people live  Concentrated poverty vs  Dispersed among the middle-class  Found concentrated poverty more important in explaining homicide  Good for blacks & whites
  • 35.  Used similar data  Again looked at dispersed & concentrated poverty for blacks and whites
  • 36.  Their findings:  Both dispersed and concentrated poverty affected murder rates for whites only  If blacks generally live together, it did not affect murder rates
  • 37.  Found that concentrated poverty did not by itself have a significant effect on violent crime in cities, but that the interaction of concentrated poverty and overall poverty did make a difference for robberies and homocides.
  • 38.  “For cities with higher poverty levels, the more concentrated the poverty, the greater rate of robberies and homicides.” (text, page 98)
  • 39. A Detailed Look at Research
  • 40.  Unemployment causes crime  Crime increase ~ unemployment high  Crime decreases ~ unemployment low  Based on these assumptions:  Unemployment causes poverty  Poverty causes crime
  • 41.  There must be a direct relationship between:  Crime & unemployment
  • 42. Glaser & Rice, 1968 Danser & Laub, 1973 Ehrlich, 1973 Berk, 1980 Chiricos, 1987 Land et al, 1990 White, 1999 Weatherburn and Lind, 2001
  • 43.  Delinquency inversely related to adult unemployment  Delinquency is high when adult unemployment is low  When employed, parents not available  Kids less likely to become delinquent when parents are not employed
  • 44.  Delinquency is high when adult unemployment is high  Suggested that parents who are unemployed are stressed and may use erratic harsh punishments with their children  Remember: The relationship between harsh erratic punishments and delinquency  Erratic punishment delinquency
  • 45.  1. Among high-risk high school males:  Employment while in school increases delinquency  [Does school become less important?]  2. Delinquency high when juveniles unemployed
  • 46.  With juvenile delinquency & juvenile unemployment…  Found no relationships between the 2  Even when they broke it out into  Age  Sex  Race
  • 47.  Unemployment had no effect on the criminality of urban males…  Age 14 - 24
  • 48.  “For ex-offenders at least, unemployment and poverty do cause crime.” (text, page 100)  For ex-inmates, there is a relationship between unemployment & crime  If unemployed, they will go back to what they know:  Crime
  • 49.  No original research  But secondary research  Found that the relationship between unemployment & crime:  Is positive  Frequently significant  Especially for property crime after 1970
  • 50.  Also argued that the positive relationship between unemployment and crime is more likely to be found when smaller units (neighborhoods) are examined rather than larger units (nations) because these smaller units “are more likely to be homogeneous.” (text, page 100)
  • 51.  Find weak negative relationships between crime & unemployment  Negative for homicide  Negative for robbery  Positive but nonsignificant for  Rape  Assault
  • 52.  At least from 1960 – 1980  Weak negative relationship exists between crime & unemployment  Crime goes DOWN when unemployment goes UP  But not by very much
  • 53.  Looked at specific types of unemployment  Like in manufacturing jobs  Manufacturing job losses did lead to:  Poverty and then crime, especially in:  Robberies, burglaries, and drug-related crimes
  • 54.  Effect on violent crimes like  Murder and aggravated assault  Were people marginal?
  • 55.  Data from 1970 – 1990  Central cities only  Found that declines in availability in low-skill jobs results in:  Increased poverty  Increased violence among African Americans and European Americans
  • 56. There are 6 major problems with interpreting this kind of research.
  • 57.  Poverty is always in part a subjective condition.  What one person considers poverty is acceptable, while another may not  There is no clear definition of poverty  Unemployment also an unclear term
  • 58.  There are 2 contradictory theoretical assumptions about the relationship between economic conditions and crime. The 1st assumption:  When economy good, crime is low  When economy bad, crime high
  • 59.  The 2nd assumption:  Crime an extension of economic activity  Crime high when economy good  Crime low when economy poor
  • 60.  When economic conditions get better, there are also new pressures and demands  In other words…  When there are more legitimate opportunities, there will be more crime.
  • 61.  Specifying the amount of time before economic changes are said to have an effect on criminality.  There should be a lag period  People only experience the full effects of unemployment after some period of time
  • 62.  After losing their job, they probably:  Still have some money  Still are OK psychology  So people still have some time to “get it together”
  • 63.  Determining the size of the unit that economic factors affect.  The smaller the unit the bigger the impact.  If Ward Manufacturing closes in Blossburg, it will cause a major impact here, but not nationally.
  • 64.  In the inner cities, legitimate opportunities have declined while illegal opportunities have increased.  Illegal work is more financially rewarding and more appealing than legal work– pimping & drugs
  • 65.  Legal work is defined poorly and carries a negative social stigma  Working at McDonalds
  • 66.  But which factors actually cause crime to increase?  Poverty  Unemployment  Single parents  Divorce  Poor schools  Low education
  • 67.  This problem is referred to as  “multicollinearity” or  …a number of possible causal factors which are all highly intercorrelated with each other
  • 68.  Distinguishing Between Concepts of:  Poverty  Economic Inequality.  These concepts are wholly separate & distinct
  • 69.  A lack of some fixed level of material goods necessary for survival and minimum well- being.  Examples: Food, Water, Heat
  • 70.  A comparison between the material level of those who have the least in a society and the material level of other groups.  The “haves versus the have-nots.”
  • 71.  Some countries have very little poverty, but the economic inequality is immense.  Likewise, in countries where everyone is poor, there may be little or no economic inequality.
  • 72.  Found between:  Economic inequality  Homicide  Around 1990, 50 countries found firearm violence was strongly correlated with economic inequality
  • 73.  154 cities  A racial inequality study  Found that increased levels of inequality between whites & blacks were associated with higher…  Black  White and  Total homicide rates
  • 74.  Racial inequality affects the social order that increases criminogenic pressure.
  • 75.  Found that at the neighborhood level of analysis, income inequality within racial groups, not across racial groups, was associated with higher rates of violent crime.
  • 76.  “ that individuals may compare themselves to other similar individuals (e.g., of the same race) when feeling inequalities in income.” (text, page 106)
  • 77.  There appears to be a strong case which suggests that the economic inequality in a society-the gap between the richest and the poorest- has a causal impact on the level of violence in that society.
  • 78.  Poor people (underclass) tend to commit more violent crime when there are many wealthy people around them. (text, page 106)
  • 79.  It appears that unemployment, but not poverty, has a direct causal impact on crime and delinquency
  • 80.  “Almost without exception, studies of violence find a positive and usually large correlation between some measure of area poverty and violence-especially homicide.” ( text, page 106)
  • 81.  In the end, poverty itself does not directly cause crime because crime rates do not consistently increase and decrease as the number of poor people increases and decreases.
  • 82.  Both poverty and inequality are associated with crime, especially violent crime.  Inequality breeds  Frustration  Frustration breeds behavioral problems
  • 83.  But it is another question as to whether or not they are the actual CAUSES of crime  Not just ASSOCIATED WITH
  • 84.  So what is more significant in this search for crime?  Poverty or  Inequality  A stronger case can be made for disparity
  • 85.  If you accept this, than you are consistent with the notion that crime increases with the number of wealthy growing in number.
  • 86.  The case for linking:  crime to poverty is WEAK  The case for linking:  Crime to inequality is STRONGER
  • 87.  If that is the case, than more attention should be paid to the rising number of  Wealthy, and not the  Poor
  • 88.  There has been a concentration of extreme poverty in the inner-city areas.  These are the “have-nots”  And studies, at the local level, seem to suggest that violence is correlated with poverty
  • 89.  But still, some contend that poverty DOES NOT CAUSE crime  How do they know this?  As the number of poor people increase, the crime rate does not change with it.