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Using Analytics and
Customers’ Behavioral Data
in Digital Marketing
Presented by Tarun Babbar
Guest Lecture | MDI Gurgaon | 8th November, 2017
We will try to answer the following questions today...
• Digital performance marketing: Why is it so analytics driven?
• First goal: How do we maximize performance for every rupee
spent?
• Second goal: How do ensure everything is incremental?
• Difficulties: What challenges we need to address to remain on top
of the game?
Digital Performance Marketing runs on Analytcis
first mindset
BROAD CLASSIFICATION
• Brand Marketing
Engagement
Story telling
• Performance Marketing
Action oriented
Intent driven
PERFORMANCE GOALS
• Maximize return on every dollar
Optimize for various metrics at
different stages of a customer’s
journey in a multi screen format
• Ensure incrementality
Identify what is the real worth of a
specific marketing channel or tactic
MaximizingReturn
onAdSpendsis
complex
• Cost of a channel
• Customer profiles / LTV
• Category preferences
• Myriad metrics
• Marketing goals
• Attribution windows
It’s like selecting the Super Hero you believe will save the earth, every time!!!
There is only one problem - you don’t know yet!
1) While budgeting, look beyond averages
Spends Orders CPO (cost per order) Marginal Cost
Channel 1 3,00,000 13,000 23 50
Channel 2 2,00,000 8,000 25
5,00,000 21,000 24
Spends Orders CPO (cost per order) Marginal Cost
Channel 1 2,50,000 12,000 21
Channel 2 2,50,000 9,500 26 33
5,00,000 21,500 23
Spends Orders CPO (cost per order)
Channel 1 2,00,000 10,000 20
Channel 2 2,00,000 8,000 25
4,00,000 18,000 22
Spends Orders CPO (cost per order) Marginal Cost
Channel 1 2,50,000 12,000 21 25
Channel 2 2,00,000 8,000 25
4,50,000 20,000 23
1. Identify opportunities in
interim metrics but
optimize for final cost of
achieving your goal
2. Optimize for marginal
cost and average cost
across portfolio
3. Diminishing returns
usually apply in Digital
Marketing
Segmentation in digital marketing is all about
connecting myriad dots
User Identification
Users Tracking (Cookies,
Pixels, Tags)
Analytical Layer
Delivery Layer (Ad Tech, in
house)
Segments overlap!
2) Segmentationshouldbe all about puttingthe
customerback to the buyingjourney
• Minimize path to purchase (e.g. triggers for abandoned cart)
Analyze around engagement metrics (time, # of steps, value)
• Capture repeat behavior (e.g. replenishment)
Average frequency analysis
• Present more choices (e.g. fashion categories)
Number of items browsed before buying (# of views, types, category switching)
3) Customersbehavedifferently in different stages
Upper Funnel
Middle
Funnel
Lower
Funnel
1. Prospecting: Where do I go
traveling?
• Exploratory content
• Beach vs. mountains
• Engagement
2. Consideration: Things to do
in Goa?
• Specific, relatable
stories
3. Action: Best offers for Goa?
• Lead capture forms
• Best price guarantee
• Traffic and
keywords analysis
• Time required to
convert
• Bounce rate
analysis
• Type and # of
pages reviewed
4) Funnel analysis is also useful to identifybrokenlinks
and opportunities – specially for end conversion
Advertisement
Landing Page
Site / App / App Install Prompt
Registration / Login
Homepage landing
Product Browsing / search
Add to cart rate
Cart to conversion rate
Shipped order %
Cancellation
/Returns
5) Understandthat different channels may suggest
different customerbehaviours
• Google vs. Facebook (e.g. category, AOV,
stage of buying)
• World of affiliates (e.g. stage of buying
funnel, coupons)
• Some channels drive specific objectives
(e.g. App install vs. transactions)
Typical Analysis
1. Time to convert
2. AOV
3. Category specific conversion
4. Coupons vs. no coupons
5. Price point for first time
customers
6. Customer Lifetime Value (CLTV)
6) Use customerincentivesonly when it helps in
increasingCLTV
• Incentives target customers
• Amount of incentives
• Redemption % with spill over effect
• Delayed buying behavior
Typical Analysis
1. Controlled experiments driven
by hypothesis
2. Margin/Cost analysis
3. Overall lift analysis
4. Time series analysis
7) If youwant to prevent fraud, start with identifying
variations
• E.g. Low click to order time vs. Large click to order time (click injection)
Howdo you know if it is a real deal?
Source: http://www.nytimes.com/1999/04/25/weekinreview/ideas-trends-sham-surgery-returns-as-a-research-tool.html
Birth of a
genius!
Circa 1939, long before high-tech
drugs came along to treat the
chest pain known as angina, an
Italian surgeon named Fieschi
devised a simple technique.
Reasoning that increased blood
flow to the heart would ease his
patients' pain, he made tiny
incisions in their chests and tied
knots in two arteries. The results
were spectacular. Three
quarters of all patients
improved.'' One third were
cured.
Dr. Leonard A. Cobb
Two decades later, the National Institutes of
Health paid a young cardiologist in Seattle, Dr.
Leonard A. Cobb, to conduct a novel test of the
Fieschi technique. Dr. Cobb operated on 17
patients. Eight had their arteries tied; the other
nine got incisions, nothing more. In 1959, the
New England Journal of Medicine published his
findings: the phony operations worked just
as well as the real thing.
Source: http://www.nytimes.com/1999/04/25/weekinreview/ideas-trends-sham-surgery-returns-as-a-research-tool.html
This is how Sham Surgeries were born!
Controlled studies remain gold standard
• Test vs. Control (gold standard)
• Version A vs. Version B
• Existing Baseline vs. New Approach (also called Pre vs. Post)
• Geo Experiments
• Long term control groups
It’s getting more complicated…
• Storing, organizing, analysing big data accurately
• Tracking multi screen behaviour
• Blurring of lines between customer behavior (online/offline, segment types)
• Dealing with walled gardens like Facebook
• Uncertainty while dealing with auction markets
• Sophisticated frauds in online marketing
• Data exchange with partners
• Privacy issues
Thank you for coming.
You can find me at LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/tbabbar/

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Using Analytics and Customers’ Behavioral Data in Digital Marketing

  • 1. Using Analytics and Customers’ Behavioral Data in Digital Marketing Presented by Tarun Babbar Guest Lecture | MDI Gurgaon | 8th November, 2017
  • 2. We will try to answer the following questions today... • Digital performance marketing: Why is it so analytics driven? • First goal: How do we maximize performance for every rupee spent? • Second goal: How do ensure everything is incremental? • Difficulties: What challenges we need to address to remain on top of the game?
  • 3. Digital Performance Marketing runs on Analytcis first mindset BROAD CLASSIFICATION • Brand Marketing Engagement Story telling • Performance Marketing Action oriented Intent driven PERFORMANCE GOALS • Maximize return on every dollar Optimize for various metrics at different stages of a customer’s journey in a multi screen format • Ensure incrementality Identify what is the real worth of a specific marketing channel or tactic
  • 4. MaximizingReturn onAdSpendsis complex • Cost of a channel • Customer profiles / LTV • Category preferences • Myriad metrics • Marketing goals • Attribution windows
  • 5. It’s like selecting the Super Hero you believe will save the earth, every time!!! There is only one problem - you don’t know yet!
  • 6. 1) While budgeting, look beyond averages Spends Orders CPO (cost per order) Marginal Cost Channel 1 3,00,000 13,000 23 50 Channel 2 2,00,000 8,000 25 5,00,000 21,000 24 Spends Orders CPO (cost per order) Marginal Cost Channel 1 2,50,000 12,000 21 Channel 2 2,50,000 9,500 26 33 5,00,000 21,500 23 Spends Orders CPO (cost per order) Channel 1 2,00,000 10,000 20 Channel 2 2,00,000 8,000 25 4,00,000 18,000 22 Spends Orders CPO (cost per order) Marginal Cost Channel 1 2,50,000 12,000 21 25 Channel 2 2,00,000 8,000 25 4,50,000 20,000 23 1. Identify opportunities in interim metrics but optimize for final cost of achieving your goal 2. Optimize for marginal cost and average cost across portfolio 3. Diminishing returns usually apply in Digital Marketing
  • 7. Segmentation in digital marketing is all about connecting myriad dots User Identification Users Tracking (Cookies, Pixels, Tags) Analytical Layer Delivery Layer (Ad Tech, in house)
  • 9. 2) Segmentationshouldbe all about puttingthe customerback to the buyingjourney • Minimize path to purchase (e.g. triggers for abandoned cart) Analyze around engagement metrics (time, # of steps, value) • Capture repeat behavior (e.g. replenishment) Average frequency analysis • Present more choices (e.g. fashion categories) Number of items browsed before buying (# of views, types, category switching)
  • 10. 3) Customersbehavedifferently in different stages Upper Funnel Middle Funnel Lower Funnel 1. Prospecting: Where do I go traveling? • Exploratory content • Beach vs. mountains • Engagement 2. Consideration: Things to do in Goa? • Specific, relatable stories 3. Action: Best offers for Goa? • Lead capture forms • Best price guarantee • Traffic and keywords analysis • Time required to convert • Bounce rate analysis • Type and # of pages reviewed
  • 11. 4) Funnel analysis is also useful to identifybrokenlinks and opportunities – specially for end conversion Advertisement Landing Page Site / App / App Install Prompt Registration / Login Homepage landing Product Browsing / search Add to cart rate Cart to conversion rate Shipped order % Cancellation /Returns
  • 12. 5) Understandthat different channels may suggest different customerbehaviours • Google vs. Facebook (e.g. category, AOV, stage of buying) • World of affiliates (e.g. stage of buying funnel, coupons) • Some channels drive specific objectives (e.g. App install vs. transactions) Typical Analysis 1. Time to convert 2. AOV 3. Category specific conversion 4. Coupons vs. no coupons 5. Price point for first time customers 6. Customer Lifetime Value (CLTV)
  • 13. 6) Use customerincentivesonly when it helps in increasingCLTV • Incentives target customers • Amount of incentives • Redemption % with spill over effect • Delayed buying behavior Typical Analysis 1. Controlled experiments driven by hypothesis 2. Margin/Cost analysis 3. Overall lift analysis 4. Time series analysis
  • 14. 7) If youwant to prevent fraud, start with identifying variations • E.g. Low click to order time vs. Large click to order time (click injection)
  • 15. Howdo you know if it is a real deal?
  • 16. Source: http://www.nytimes.com/1999/04/25/weekinreview/ideas-trends-sham-surgery-returns-as-a-research-tool.html Birth of a genius! Circa 1939, long before high-tech drugs came along to treat the chest pain known as angina, an Italian surgeon named Fieschi devised a simple technique. Reasoning that increased blood flow to the heart would ease his patients' pain, he made tiny incisions in their chests and tied knots in two arteries. The results were spectacular. Three quarters of all patients improved.'' One third were cured.
  • 17. Dr. Leonard A. Cobb Two decades later, the National Institutes of Health paid a young cardiologist in Seattle, Dr. Leonard A. Cobb, to conduct a novel test of the Fieschi technique. Dr. Cobb operated on 17 patients. Eight had their arteries tied; the other nine got incisions, nothing more. In 1959, the New England Journal of Medicine published his findings: the phony operations worked just as well as the real thing. Source: http://www.nytimes.com/1999/04/25/weekinreview/ideas-trends-sham-surgery-returns-as-a-research-tool.html This is how Sham Surgeries were born!
  • 18. Controlled studies remain gold standard • Test vs. Control (gold standard) • Version A vs. Version B • Existing Baseline vs. New Approach (also called Pre vs. Post) • Geo Experiments • Long term control groups
  • 19.
  • 20. It’s getting more complicated… • Storing, organizing, analysing big data accurately • Tracking multi screen behaviour • Blurring of lines between customer behavior (online/offline, segment types) • Dealing with walled gardens like Facebook • Uncertainty while dealing with auction markets • Sophisticated frauds in online marketing • Data exchange with partners • Privacy issues
  • 21. Thank you for coming. You can find me at LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/tbabbar/

Editor's Notes

  1. There are various ways to prioritize. Run experiments and focus on intent + recency.