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Facts on the Ground
FTC Distributed Solar Generation Workshop
Tanuj Deora, Chief Strategy Officer
June 21, 2016
Solar Growth, Utility Response
Mainstream Utility
Solar Strategies:
• Large Scale
Solar PV in IRPs
• Exploring
Community
Solar
• Redesigning
Rate Structures
• Investing in Grid
Edge Visibility
Thinking Beyond the Meter
Responses to the new
solar DER Paradigm:
• Integrating Customer
Insight
• Enhanced Distribution
System Analysis &
Planning,
• Rewiring the Utility
Standard Operating
Practices
Fundamental Challenges
• Obligations under the regulatory compact
• Dynamic societal expectations
• Requirements to add generation
• Flat demand
• Pace of regulatory processes
• Concerns about portfolio diversity &
stranded assets
• Trade between equity and efficiency
• Uncertainties on definitions of fairness
• Inadequate valuation tools (incl markets)
• Rapid technological advances
• Limited consensus about the nature and
role of the regulated monopoly
• Lack of clarity on conflicting expectations
Grid Perspective:
System = Value
DGPV = Cost
Measured Expectation of
Change
Consumer Perspective:
System = Cost
DGPV = Value
Rapid Expectation for
Change
Starting with a Blank Slate
for the Future
Crowdsourced
visions for the
future, starting
from a blank slate
Crowdsourced
roadmaps that
articulate how we get
from “here” to “there”
CHOOSING THE
DESTINATION
Phase I
Hypothetical electricity
marketplace
THE DESIGNING
THE ROADMAPS
Phase II
Journey from current
state to future state
STARTING
THE JOURNEY
Phase III
Creation of customized
roadmaps & implementation
of “no-regrets moves”
Stakeholder-guided
development of
bespoke plans for
electric power sector
transformation
51st State Phase II:
Developing a Roadmap
Finding the Potential
“No Regrets” Moves
Distribution System
Investments
• Advanced metering
and communications
functionality
• System analysis tools
(ex: hosting capacity)
• Interconnection
protocols (both
information & energy)
Customer Insight &
Engagement
• Improving education
and communications
interfaces
• Advanced load profile
segmentation
• Increasing availability
of customer options
Evolving Rates &
Regulation
• Exploration of time
varying rate designs
• Evaluating
opportunities to cross-
leverage DER
incentive programs
• Implementing
decoupling and
performance trackers
Thank You
Tanuj Deora
Chief Strategy Officer
Smart Electric Power Alliance
tdeora@solarelectricpower.org
(202) 552-4411
www.sepa51.org
www.solarelectricpower.org
Back Up / Additional Reference Slides
• Utility DER Strategies
• 51st State Additional Details
Utility Approaches to Combined
DER Customer Offerings
Source: Accenture, Utility Dive
Customers Crave
More Options…
…And Utilities Want to
Provide Them.
Utility Approaches to Combined
DER Customer Offerings
What’s the Value of a Tesla Powerwall? $50
per Month, Bets Green Mountain Power
Greentech Media
National Grid demand response pilot nets
participants 20% energy savings
Utility dive
Minnesota co-op bundles community solar,
demand response programs
Utility dive
Thinking Beyond the Meter
Responses to the new solar
DER Paradigm:
• Integrating Customer Insight
on Load Profiles, Propensity
to Adopt, and Messages that
Resonate
• Enhanced Distribution
System Analysis, Planning,
and Operations, with DER as
“Non-Wires” Assets
• Rewiring the Utility Standard
Operating Practices
Moving Beyond Combined Programs into
a Truly Holistic DER Strategy
Integrator
Primary utility
investment is
technical; i.e.
planning and
operations
But...is this
sufficient for grid
effective
operations?
Educator
Utility establishes
itself as the
trusted energy
advisor
But…is there a
sustainable
revenue model
for this role?
Solution
Provider
Utilities provide
sales and/or
financing for
deployment
But...are utilities
equipped to
provide this
service?
VPP Owner /
Operator
Utilities reasserts
traditional holistic
role in provision
of electricity
But...are
regulators
comfortable with
this model?
The Rise of Distributed Resource
Planning
• Increasing regulator and customer
demand for DER choices
• Utility policies and procedures
designed to react to out-of-date
paradigms
• Improved economics of key
technologies:
– Sensors
– Data management
– Software
– Communications
– Power electronics
Source: Planning the Distributed Energy Future, SEPA and Black & Veatch
The Rise of Distributed Resource
Planning
Perceived Challenges to Integrating High Levels of DER
System stability or protection
Inability to model DER in planning load flows
Lack of control over DER
Lack of visibility (status & forecast)
Other
Don’t see a challenge
Don’t know
Source: Black & Veatch
What makes 51st State unique?
1. Phased approach
2. Collaborative process
3. Wide-spread engagement
4. Replicability
Visions
Theoretical
Roadmaps
Actual
Roadmaps
Utility of the Future
Sample Paradigms
LEVEL OF UTILITY CONTROL
HIGH LOW
Integrated Energy
Services Company
Distributed Resource
Enabler
Transactive
Distribution Grid
Utility-directed deployment of
behind-the-meter resources for
system benefit
Leverages existing models to
allow for increased access for
Distributed Energy Resources
Applies market rules from
wholesale restructuring to
distribution level
Utility
Revenue
Model
Paceof
Change
TRANSFORMATIONAL TRANSFORMATIONALINCREMENTAL
Performance-Based Rates
Cost of Service
supplemented by
Performance Bonuses
Wires: Cost of Service
Platform: Taxes or Fees
NRECA
APPA
WellhutonRabago
Natural
Capitalism
Sources: SEPA Analysis, 51st State Concept Papers
Ma
Bell Regan
Capstone Report Outline & Feedback (cont.)
Customer Journey Map Example
Initiative Timeline
Launch
Concept
Papers
Released
Summit
Education
&
Outreach
Launch
Roadmaps
Released
Summit
Education
&
Outreach
Launch
Phase I Phase II Phase III
Sept ‘14 Sept ‘15 Fall ‘16
Capstone
Report
Released

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20160621 T Deora Presentation for FTC

  • 1. Facts on the Ground FTC Distributed Solar Generation Workshop Tanuj Deora, Chief Strategy Officer June 21, 2016
  • 2. Solar Growth, Utility Response Mainstream Utility Solar Strategies: • Large Scale Solar PV in IRPs • Exploring Community Solar • Redesigning Rate Structures • Investing in Grid Edge Visibility
  • 3. Thinking Beyond the Meter Responses to the new solar DER Paradigm: • Integrating Customer Insight • Enhanced Distribution System Analysis & Planning, • Rewiring the Utility Standard Operating Practices
  • 4. Fundamental Challenges • Obligations under the regulatory compact • Dynamic societal expectations • Requirements to add generation • Flat demand • Pace of regulatory processes • Concerns about portfolio diversity & stranded assets • Trade between equity and efficiency • Uncertainties on definitions of fairness • Inadequate valuation tools (incl markets) • Rapid technological advances • Limited consensus about the nature and role of the regulated monopoly • Lack of clarity on conflicting expectations Grid Perspective: System = Value DGPV = Cost Measured Expectation of Change Consumer Perspective: System = Cost DGPV = Value Rapid Expectation for Change
  • 5. Starting with a Blank Slate for the Future Crowdsourced visions for the future, starting from a blank slate Crowdsourced roadmaps that articulate how we get from “here” to “there” CHOOSING THE DESTINATION Phase I Hypothetical electricity marketplace THE DESIGNING THE ROADMAPS Phase II Journey from current state to future state STARTING THE JOURNEY Phase III Creation of customized roadmaps & implementation of “no-regrets moves” Stakeholder-guided development of bespoke plans for electric power sector transformation
  • 6. 51st State Phase II: Developing a Roadmap
  • 7. Finding the Potential “No Regrets” Moves Distribution System Investments • Advanced metering and communications functionality • System analysis tools (ex: hosting capacity) • Interconnection protocols (both information & energy) Customer Insight & Engagement • Improving education and communications interfaces • Advanced load profile segmentation • Increasing availability of customer options Evolving Rates & Regulation • Exploration of time varying rate designs • Evaluating opportunities to cross- leverage DER incentive programs • Implementing decoupling and performance trackers
  • 8. Thank You Tanuj Deora Chief Strategy Officer Smart Electric Power Alliance tdeora@solarelectricpower.org (202) 552-4411 www.sepa51.org www.solarelectricpower.org
  • 9. Back Up / Additional Reference Slides • Utility DER Strategies • 51st State Additional Details
  • 10. Utility Approaches to Combined DER Customer Offerings Source: Accenture, Utility Dive Customers Crave More Options… …And Utilities Want to Provide Them.
  • 11. Utility Approaches to Combined DER Customer Offerings What’s the Value of a Tesla Powerwall? $50 per Month, Bets Green Mountain Power Greentech Media National Grid demand response pilot nets participants 20% energy savings Utility dive Minnesota co-op bundles community solar, demand response programs Utility dive
  • 12. Thinking Beyond the Meter Responses to the new solar DER Paradigm: • Integrating Customer Insight on Load Profiles, Propensity to Adopt, and Messages that Resonate • Enhanced Distribution System Analysis, Planning, and Operations, with DER as “Non-Wires” Assets • Rewiring the Utility Standard Operating Practices
  • 13. Moving Beyond Combined Programs into a Truly Holistic DER Strategy Integrator Primary utility investment is technical; i.e. planning and operations But...is this sufficient for grid effective operations? Educator Utility establishes itself as the trusted energy advisor But…is there a sustainable revenue model for this role? Solution Provider Utilities provide sales and/or financing for deployment But...are utilities equipped to provide this service? VPP Owner / Operator Utilities reasserts traditional holistic role in provision of electricity But...are regulators comfortable with this model?
  • 14. The Rise of Distributed Resource Planning • Increasing regulator and customer demand for DER choices • Utility policies and procedures designed to react to out-of-date paradigms • Improved economics of key technologies: – Sensors – Data management – Software – Communications – Power electronics Source: Planning the Distributed Energy Future, SEPA and Black & Veatch
  • 15. The Rise of Distributed Resource Planning Perceived Challenges to Integrating High Levels of DER System stability or protection Inability to model DER in planning load flows Lack of control over DER Lack of visibility (status & forecast) Other Don’t see a challenge Don’t know Source: Black & Veatch
  • 16. What makes 51st State unique? 1. Phased approach 2. Collaborative process 3. Wide-spread engagement 4. Replicability Visions Theoretical Roadmaps Actual Roadmaps
  • 17. Utility of the Future Sample Paradigms LEVEL OF UTILITY CONTROL HIGH LOW Integrated Energy Services Company Distributed Resource Enabler Transactive Distribution Grid Utility-directed deployment of behind-the-meter resources for system benefit Leverages existing models to allow for increased access for Distributed Energy Resources Applies market rules from wholesale restructuring to distribution level Utility Revenue Model Paceof Change TRANSFORMATIONAL TRANSFORMATIONALINCREMENTAL Performance-Based Rates Cost of Service supplemented by Performance Bonuses Wires: Cost of Service Platform: Taxes or Fees NRECA APPA WellhutonRabago Natural Capitalism Sources: SEPA Analysis, 51st State Concept Papers Ma Bell Regan
  • 18. Capstone Report Outline & Feedback (cont.) Customer Journey Map Example