The document is a daily analysis report from TP Global FX that provides: - Summaries of key comments from the RBA monetary policy meeting minutes regarding interest rates, employment, wages, and inflation expectations. - Overviews of stock market performance in Asia and comments on the Australian dollar, euro, British pound, US dollar, Canadian dollar, Japanese yen, and gold prices. - Technical analysis charts and trade recommendations for several currency pairs based on Fibonacci levels, moving averages, and RSI indicators on 1-hour charts. - A list of upcoming key economic indicators from countries like Switzerland, the UK, eurozone, and US.

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19 July 2022
Daily Analysis Report

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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: Aussie appreciates in early Asian hours a er RBA’s Monetary Policy Mee ng Minutes, Asian stock markets back in red, gold stabilizes below $1,710 mark
Key Headlines:
• RBA - Central banks would need to raise interest rates substan ally over the second half of 2022 to bring infla on back to target was clouding the outlook and had prompted
analysts to lower their growth forecasts substan ally.
• RBA - Job vacancy rates remained very high across most industries, poin ng to con nued strong employment growth, at least in the near term.
• RBA - The Fair Work Commission had announced a 5.2 per cent increase to the na onal minimum wage. An increase in modern award wages of between 4.6 per cent and 5.2 per
cent had also been announced, with lower-paid workers set to receive increases at the upper end of this range.
• RBA - Adverse weather condi ons had affected the prices of some fresh produce.
• RBA - Infla on was expected to increase in year-ended terms through the remainder of 2022.
• RBA - In making their policy decision, members considered the possibility of raising interest rates by 25 basis points or 50 basis points. Members agreed that arguments for raising
interest rates by 50 basis points were stronger.
• Goldman Sachs Group Inc on Monday reported a drop in second-quarter profit as deal making slumped, weakening the Wall Street giant's investment banking business - Reuters.
• The United States wants to end its "undue dependence" on rare earths, solar panels and other key goods from China to prevent Beijing from cu ng off supplies as it has done to
other countries, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said – Reuters.
• Mexico’s tech startups may be enjoying a boom, but its top stars are unlikely to list on the country’s own stock market, the na onal exchange’s chief execu ve told Reuters in an
interview last week – Reuters.
• The euro firmed to a one-week high on Monday, benefi ng from the dollar's retreat a er several Federal Reserve officials signaled they did not favour stepping up the rate hiking
pace – Reuters.
• The Dutch central bank (DNB) on Monday said it had fined Binance, one of the biggest cryptocurrency exchanges, 3.3 million euros ($3.35 million) for offering services in the
Netherlands without being registered in the country – Reuters.
• India's Yes Bank is seeking to raise about $1 billion this financial year, its chief execu ve officer said on Monday, as the private lender exits a reconstruc on scheme a er two years –
Reuters.
• The Russian central bank said on Monday it had provided banks with 1 billion roubles ($17.64 million) at a one-year repo auc on, as it seeks to help lending ins tu ons manage their
liquidity – Reuters.
• The Philippine central bank is ready to use available tools to bring infla on back within the official 2%-4% target range, its governor said on Monday, a er last week's surprise 75
basis points hike in key interest rates – Reuters.
• Several large Chinese ci es including Shanghai are rolling out new mass tes ng or extending lockdowns on millions of residents to counter new clusters of COVID-19 infec ons, with
some measures being cri cised on the internet – Reuters.
• Dr. Anthony Fauci, the chief medical adviser to the White House, confirmed he will re re by the end of President Joe Biden's first term, but it could come much earlier than that, the
infec ous disease expert told Reuters in an interview on Monday – Reuters.
• A new wave of COVID-19 cases and rising hospitaliza ons ahead of an October elec on are crea ng fresh headaches for Quebec's government, which says it has no plans to
reintroduce mask mandates in the Canadian province despite calls by some doctors to do so – Reuters.
• The European Medicines Agency on Monday started reviewing a low-dose version of BioNTech and Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccine for use in children between the age of six months and
four years – Reuters.
• Europe is sweltering under a record-breaking heatwave, with a number of governments issuing health emergency alerts – Reuters.
• The European Commission said on Monday it has secured about 54,000 addi onal doses of the monkeypox vaccine developed by biotech firm Bavarian Nordic as concern mounts
over the disease amid a spike in cases – Reuters.
Key Economic Indicators Ahead
• (0600 GMT/1130 IST) Swiss Trade balance, previous 3.12B, expected 3.05B.
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) U.K. Claimant Count Change, previous -19.7K, expected -41.2K.
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) U.K. Unemployment Rate, previous 3.8, expected 3.8.
• (0900GMT/1430 IST) Euro Final CPI, previous 8.6, expected 8.6.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Final Core CPI, previous 3.7, expected 3.7.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Building Permits, previous 1.70M, expected 1.64M.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Housing Starts, previous 1.55M, expected 1.57M.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (1500 GMT/2030 IST) U.K. BoE Gov Bailey Speaks.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.20 pct to 107.58 points.

3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.6840
R2 S2
0.6868
R3 S3
0.6899
R4
Commentary
S4
0.6920
Buy Above 0.6840
0.6868
0.6810
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.6800
0.6770
0.6824
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie strengthens on Tuesday after RBA’s Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes and
stabilizes above $0.6800 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $0.6830 and low at $0.6802 mark.A
day chart is down and H1 chart with triple EMAsuggests up trend for the time being.Asustained close
above $0.6840 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below
$0.6802 will check further supports.
0.6800
0.6776
0.6750
0.6721
JULY,
2022

4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.0155
R2 S2
1.0172
R3 S3
1.0190
R4
Commentary
S4
1.0222
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The euro recovered sharply in previous session and touched $1.0201 mark. Today the
pair made intraday high at $1.0148 and low at $1.0119 mark. Today triple EMAon a day chart is down
and H1 chart suggests up trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.0155 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.0108 on H1 chart will check
further supports. Euro Zone’s CPI data will remain in focus.
EUR / USD
1.0108
1.0072
1.0050
1.0022
Buy Above 1.0155
1.0190
1.0121
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.0108
1.0071
1.0138
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
JULY,
2022

5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1962
R2 S2
1.1990
R3 S3
1.2022
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2058
Buy Above 1.1962
1.1996
1.1930
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1915
1.1876
1.1948
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling remains slightly volatile on Tuesday ahead of U.K.’s Claimant Count Change
Data and hovers around $1.1950 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.1950 and low at $1.1925
mark. A day chart is down and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A
sustained close above $1.1962 on H1 chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent
close below $1.1920 will check further supports.
USD
1.1920
1.1900
1.1878
1.1850
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
JULY,
2022

6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26 Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2990
R2 S2
1.3022
R3 S3
1.3050
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3072
Buy Above 1.2990
1.3022
1.2965
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2955
1.2930
1.2981
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD trades marginally higher on Tuesday and stabilizes around 1.2970 mark. Today
the pair made intraday high at 1.2988 and low at 1.2970 mark. Today a day chart is up and H1 chart
with triple EMAsuggests bearish trend for the time being.Asustained close above 1.2990 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2950 on H1 chart will check key
supports too. Canada’s economic calendar will remain empty for the day.
USD /CAD
1.2950
1.2922
1.2900
1.2881
JULY,
2022

7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
138.44
R2 S2
138.62
R3 S3
138.90
R4
Commentary
S4
139.22
Buy Above 138.46
138.80
138.12
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 137.90
137.60
138.22
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen trades almost flat on Tuesday and remains well supported above
138.00 mark. The pair made intraday high at 138.39 and low at 138.02 mark. The triple EMAon a day
chart is up and H1 chart suggests down trend for the time being. A sustained close above 138.44 on
H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 138.02 on H1 chart will
check further key supports.
USD /JPY
138.00
137.76
137.48
137.15
JULY,
2022

8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1712
R2 S2
1718
R3 S3
1722
R4
Commentary
S4
1728
Buy Above 1712
1720
1706
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1700
1692
1708
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
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Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold rejected key resistance at $1,722 mark and fell back below $1,710 mark.
Today the pair made intraday high at $1,708 and low at $1,705 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggest bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,712 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,702 on H1 chart will test further
supports. Later today U.S. Building Permits and Housing Start data will remain in focus.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1702
1696
1691
1684
JULY,
2022

9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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