The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT JULY 01 2022
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01 July 2022
Daily Analysis Report
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Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar strengthens sharply against major peers during early Asian hours, most Asian stock markets in red, gold hovers around $1,800 mark
Key Headlines:
• Canadian banks will be closed in observance of Canada Day.
• Australia AIG Manufacturing Index, previous 54.0, expected 52.4.
• New Zealand Building Consents stand at -0.5 pct vs -8.6 pct previous release.
• Japan Tokyo Core CPI stands at 2.1 pct vs 1.9 pct previous release.
• Japan Unemployment rate stands at 2.6 pct vs 2.5 pct previous release.
• Japan Tankan Manufacturing Index stands at 9 vs 14 previous release.
• Japan Tankan Non – Manufacturing Index stands at 13 vs 9 previous release.
• Japan Final Manufacturing PMI remains unchanged at 52.7 pct.
• China Caixin Manufacturing PMI stands at 51.7 vs 48.1 previous release.
• Goldman Sachs Group Inc said on Thursday it is launching a partnership with capital markets technology firm Deriva ve Path that opens the door to thousands of U.S. regional banks
and credit unions becoming clients of its foreign exchange services – Reuters.
• U.S. and European government bond markets are set for their worst year in decades in another sign the long bond bull-run may be over – Reuters.
• Oil prices are expected to stay above $100 a barrel this year as Europe and other regions struggle to wean themselves off Russian supply, a Reuters poll showed on Thursday, though
economic risks could slow the climb – Reuters.
• U.S. stock index futures slid on Thursday on the last day of a dismal first-half of the year on worries that central banks determined to tame infla on will hamper global economic
growth – Reuters.
• Basel revises bank crypto capital plan to include blockchain – Reuters.
• The U.S. Food and Drug Administra on on Thursday recommended COVID-19 vaccine manufacturers change the design of their booster shots beginning this fall to include
components tailored to combat the currently dominant Omicron BA.4 and BA.5 subvariants of the coronavirus – Reuters.
• Pfizer Inc said on Thursday it is seeking full U.S. approval for its oral COVID-19 an viral treatment Paxlovid, which is currently available under an emergency use authoriza on (EUA).
– Reuters.
• Ketanji Brown Jackson was sworn in as a U.S. Supreme Court jus ce, making history as the first Black woman on the na on's top judicial body while joining it at a me when its
conserva ve majority has been flexing its muscles in major rulings – Reuters.
• There is no reason to change Hong Kong's "one country, two systems" formula of governance, Chinese President Xi Jinping said on a rare visit to the global financial hub a er
swearing in the city's new leader, John Lee, on Friday – Reuters.
Key Economic Indicators Ahead
• (0630 GMT/1200 IST) Australia Commodity Prices, previous 30.4 pct.
• (0645 GMT/1215 IST) France Budget Balance, previous -67.3B.
• (0715 GMT/1245 IST) Spain Manufacturing PMI, previous 53.8, expected 52.3.
• (0730 GMT/1300 IST) Swiss Manufacturing PMI, previous 60.0, expected 57.9.
• (0745 GMT/1315 IST) Italy Manufacturing PMI, previous 51.9, expected 50.6.
• (0750 GMT/1320 IST) France Manufacturing PMI, previous 51.0, expected 51.0.
• (0755 GMT/1325 IST) German Manufacturing PMI, previous 52.0, expected 52.0.
• (0800 GMT/1330 IST) Euro Manufacturing PMI, previous 52.0, expected 52.0.
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) U.K. Final Manufacturing PMI, previous 53.4, expected 53.4.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro CPI Flash Es mates, previous 8.1, expected 8.5.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Core CPI Flash Es mates, previous 3.8, expected 3.9.
• (1345 GMT/1915 IST) U.S. Final manufacturing PMI, previous 52.4, expected 52.4.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI, previous 56.1, expected 54.6.
Economic Events Ahead:
• No key events scheduled for the day.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.13% to 104.82 points.
3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.6876
R2 S2
0.6915
R3 S3
0.6941
R4
Commentary
S4
0.6974
Buy Above 0.6876
0.6911
0.6840
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.6809
0.6778
0.6840
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie falls drastically in early Asia as robust DXY index and rising U.S. Treasury
Yields. The pair hits lowest level since June 2020. Today pair made intraday high at $0.6903 and low
at $0.6824 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggest bearish trend for the time being. A
sustained close above $0.6876 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent
close below $0.6809 will check further supports.
0.6809
0.6782
0.6750
0.6721
JULY,
2022
4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.0472
R2 S2
1.0499
R3 S3
1.0522
R4
Commentary
S4
1.0550
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The euro remained highly volatile in previous session and currently hovers around
$1.0450 mark ahead of Euro Zone’s Flash CPI, Core CPI estimate data. Today the pair made intraday
high at $1.0485 and low at $1.0450 mark. Today triple EMA on a day chart and H1 chart suggest
bearish trend for the time being.Aconsistent close above $1.0472 on H1 chart requires for the upside
rally.Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.0430 on H1 chart will check further supports.
EUR / USD
1.0430
1.0400
1.0378
1.0350
Buy Above 1.0472
1.0499
1.0440
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.0430
1.0402
1.0462
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
JULY,
2022
5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2150
R2 S2
1.2176
R3 S3
1.2194
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2215
Buy Above 1.2156
1.2190
1.2111
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2091
1.2057
1.2126
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling starts a new day on a lower note ahead of U.K.’s Final Manufacturing PMI
data and currently trading around $1.2110 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.2178 and low at
$1.2110 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggest down trend for the time being. A
sustained close above $1.2150 on H1 chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent
close below $1.2102 will check further supports.
USD
1.2102
1.2082
1.2050
1.2021
GBP/
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
JULY,
2022
6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26 Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2930
R2 S2
1.2955
R3 S3
1.2970
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3001
Buy Above 1.2930
1.2962
1.2905
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2891
1.2865
1.2915
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD falls on Friday on the robust DXY index. In addition, Canadian banks will be
closed in observance of Canada Day. Today the pair made intraday high at 1.2923 and low at 1.2866
mark. Today a day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggest bullish trend for the time being. A
sustained close above 1.2930 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent
close below 1.2899 on H1 chart will check key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2899
1.2870
1.2855
1.2830
JULY,
2022
7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
136.05
R2 S2
136.36
R3 S3
136.72
R4
Commentary
S4
137.01
Buy Above 136.05
136.56
135.68
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 134.81
134.50
135.30
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen recovers extremely from previous losses and touches 135.08 mark in
Asian hours. The pair made intraday high at 135.98 and low at 135.08 mark. The triple EMA on a day
chart is up and H1 chart suggests bearish trend for the time being.Asustained close above 136.05 on
H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 134.90 on H1 chart will
check further key supports.
USD /JPY
134.90
134.65
134.30
134.12
JULY,
2022
8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1808
R2 S2
1814
R3 S3
1818
R4
Commentary
S4
1824
Buy Above 1808
1815
1802
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1799
1794
1806
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold trades noticeably lower on Friday ahead of U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI
data and touches $1,800 mark. Today the pair made intraday high at $1,807 and low at $1,800 mark.A
day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggest bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close
above $1,808 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,799
on H1 chart will test further supports. Later today U.S.ISM Manufacturing PMI data will provide further
directions to the parity.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1799
1792
1786
1781
JULY,
2022
9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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