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#Econfpsu16 - CPL is Dead! Why End-to-End Tracking Matters
1. CPL is Dead!
Why End-to-End Tracking Matters
Sydney Sheedy - Account Manager | 360Partners
sydney.sheedy@360partners.com | 512-583-0078
2. 2
What to Expect to Learn Today
• The essential role tracking plays in meeting your business goals
– What we learned following implementation of end-to-end tracking
– What you should do if you don’t have this level of tracking
– How to use the data when you do
7. 7
Teams with the Most Money Could “Buy” the
Best Talent
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
$-
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
New York Yankees Boston Red Sox St. Louis Cardinals Baltimore Orioles Oakland A's Minnesota Twins
Payroll & World Series Wins
Payroll World Series Wins
8. 8
How Could the “Have Not” Teams Compete?
New York Yankees
$125,000,000
Oakland Athletics
$39,000,000
10. 10
Brought Statistical Analysis into the Game
• A player’s overall statistics centered on the player’s batting
percentage (the ability to get on base)
• Beane shared learnings about each players’ analysis to help them
improve their chances
• For example, he told some:
– No bunting
– Don’t steal bases
– Don’t swing at the first pitch
11. 11
Under Billy Beane, the Oakland A’s Showed
Amazing Success
Today, all teams use elements of Statistical Analysis
12. 12
Finding Baseball Talent is a Lot Like Finding
Students for Your Programs
Website
Information
Request
Application Enrollment
High School
College
International
AAA AA Major LeagueA
14. 14
360Partners Worked with a Not-for-Profit
University RN to BSN Degree
• Strong brand name
– National powerhouse
– Top nursing degree program
– Well-known and respected
• Compelling value propositions
– Competitive price
– Multiple start dates
– Short time to completion
Marketing had grown stale
15. 15
We Were on a Digital Marketing Roller Coaster
Does this sound familiar?
16. 16
Team Used a Four Step Process for
Implementing End-to-End Tracking
Step 1: Implement
Tracking
Step 2: Analyze
Results
Step 3: Make
Changes
Step 4: Repeat
17. 17
Step 1: Implement End-to-End Tracking
Website
Information
Request
Application Enrollment
Channel
Data
CRM Data
Excel
18. 18
Step 2: Analyze Data for Insights
Website
Information
Request
Application Enrollment
Website
Information
Request
Application Enrollment
Before:
After:
19. 19
End-to-End Tracking Revealed that All Leads
are Not Equal
• Lead quality varied drastically by channel
– Facebook leads enroll at about 1/5 the rate of Google Search
• Even within a channel, lead-to-application and lead-to-enrollment
varied by keyword
– This led to the creation of not only channel-specific CPL goals as an
initial indicator of performance, but also targeting specific CPLs for
keyword segments
• Geography is important – even for an online program
– The vast majority of enrollments still come from within 100 miles of the
physical location
– Other hot-spots for students exist, but it’s not always where you would
expect
20. 20
Step 3: Take Action on Insights
• Change allocation of spend between channels
– Increased spend on Google Search
– Decreased spend on Facebook
• Set different CPL goals based on the channel, geography, and
keyword type
• Rebuilt some campaigns to align with the updated strategy
21. 21
Results – Was it Successful?
11,892
12,309
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Number of Leads
Year-Over-Year, leads increased by 4%...
$99.43
$111.00
$-
$20.00
$40.00
$60.00
$80.00
$100.00
$120.00
Cost Per Lead
…while CPL increased by 13%
By “historical metrics” efforts were not successful
22. 22
However, Based on Results that Matter, Efforts
Were Wildly Successful
1,197
1,578
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
Number of New Enrollments
New enrollments increased by 32%....
$988
$866
$-
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
Cost Per Enrollment
Cost-per-enrollment decreased by 12%
23. 23
Step 4: Repeat. We Continue to Optimize Over
Time
• This is not a set-it-and-forget-it method
• Both back-end (lead-to-app and lead-to-enroll) and front-end metrics
fluctuate over time
• In order to continually grow the account and ultimately the number of
enrollments, we:
– refine CPL targets on an ongoing basis
– shift budgets to ensure we are maximizing the best performing
segments
– expand profitable segments (do more of what works)
24. 24
Today We Measure Success Using Several
Metrics
• We still use CPL to measure success, but…
• It’s not the sole focus of our optimizations
• We also look at CPA (application) as an initial indicator
• And ultimately tie performance back to CPE (enrollment)
26. 26
If You Still Use CPL as the Sole Metric for
Success…
• Determine if you have full funnel data available
– If so, use it!
– If not, start that conversation
• Implementing an end-to-end tracking solution can be difficult, but it’s
not impossible
• Once tracking is in place, begin collecting data
• Use the data to adjust CPL goals based on varying performance
• Wash, rinse, repeat
27. 27
If You Have End-to-End Tracking…
• Use it to your advantage!
• Create reports to tie channel data (cost) to applications and
enrollments
• Analyze the data on an ongoing basis
• Use back-end data to create front-end goals
• Measure initial performance against these, while continuously
revisiting the back-end data
28. 28
If I Were to Do This Again
• I’d implement end-to-end tracking sooner
• And use it better
• No, really:
– End-to-end tracking would be the initial focus, ensuring we can
accurately measure results
– This would solve the majority of our early problems
• Spend roller coaster
• Making decisions based on the wrong metrics
Hoping that you can take some element from this presentation and apply it to what you’re doing
Cute kid, right?
Gets his good looks from me.
Seven year old son and baseball is his current obsession.
as I was working on this presentation, I was trying to think of a good story
That was relatable to both what we do, but also to real life and baseball seemed like a good fit.
Not here to talk about how cute my kid is, though I could go on about that all day
Gonna talk about baseball instead
When recruiting talent for baseball teams, scouts have historically been used.
You’ve probably seen them from time to time and you always picture them as
The guy sitting behind home plate with a speedometer telling how fast the pitcher can throw
They looked at baseball players from a number of angles
Could they hit
Could they field the ball
How fast could they throw
How fast could they run
How much could they lift
Did they fit into the baseball player model
A lot of this method was built on intuition and gut instinct – these scouts hav been in the game of baseball forever
First – I’ll pause and say “you’re welcome”
Seriously though – scouts were looking for baseball players who fit into the stereotypical model
They wanted players who could play, but also looked the part
Could they draw fans to the stadium
Could they sell the brand
What happened in this model is that teams with higher salary budgets could buy the best talent
Think about it…if there is a team who can pay you 10 million dollars and a team who can pay 3 million dollars – or less, which would the player go with
Most would choose the higher salary
There is a correlation between the payroll of major league teams and world series wins…now, it’s not a 1-1 correlation, but there is a pattern here
It was difficult for teams who couldn’t afford those higher salaries to compete in the game.
NY Yankees have a salary budget of around 125 mil
The Oakland A’s have a budget of about 40 mil
As you can imagine, it’s hard for the Oakland A’s to recruit – and even more-so to KEEP the talent
Has anyone read the book MoneyBall or maybe seen the movie with Brad Pitt and Jonah Hill?
It’s a story about Billy Beane – who was the General Manager of the Oakland As
It was his job to recruit talent for the team and he was failing
He only had so much budget to offer the talent and all the talent that he wanted to keep was going elsewhere
In this environment, he knew that he couldn’t win…something had to change
This is where statistical analysis comes into play
Essentially he looked at players across a wide variety of metrics and rated them
The overall rating revolved around a players batting percentage or their ability to get on a base
He said…if you can get hits, you can get runs, and if you can get runs, you can win games…and ultimately, if you can win games, you can win the world series
And that’s always the ultimate goal, right?
Shared learnings with the players
Helped them to improve their results…
For example:
With this new system, the Oakland A’s had great results
They did not win the world series, but they went on to a 20 game winning stream
Which was completely unheard of
Not only that, but they changed the recruiting process for baseball
Now, all teams use elements of statistical analysis to in their scouting process
So what does baseball have to do with higher education?
Well, finding baseball players for the major league teams is a lot like finding students for your programs
It’s basically a funnel and a farm system
Want to tell you a story about a program that we were marketing
So I didn’t tell you the whole story earlier
Billy beane was the high school phenom
He was the “ideal player” that scouts were looking to recruit
He was so good that he was offered a 200 thousand dollar signing bonus –which was unheard of
But he flamed out…he made it to the major leagues, but he never lived up to his potential
Using statistical analysis – the new method that he was proposing – he would never have been recruited
If he can realize that change is necessary – even if the earlier method rewarded him, so can we