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1 CH2M_20151 CH2M_2015
Government & Enterprise Asset Management Congress
Dubai, October 2016
Strategic Capital Planning in
an Era of Fiscal Constraints
2 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Strategic Capital Planning in an Era of Fiscal Constraints
Steve Scott
Director of Project Development
MENAI Region
25+
years
International
Experience Strategy and
Planning
Project
Development
3 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Here’s the challenge
4 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
The changed economic landscape
5 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
A significant impact on
capital investment…
6 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
NEED
Region is committed to
economic diversification; this
requires continued
investment
CONSTRAINT
Reduced fiscal balances are
constraining the ability to
invest
RESPONSE
Short-term re-alignment of
budgets
HOW?
The investment dilemma…
7 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
THE GOOD…
Greater prudence
Justification
Value for money
THE BAD…
Cost cutting
Pro-rata reductions
Limited rationale
THE UGLY…
Short-termism
Reduced economic
development
Long-term impacts
8 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
The Key Question
Our VisionOur VisionOur VisionOur Vision
The prioritisation of capital investment towards high impactThe prioritisation of capital investment towards high impactThe prioritisation of capital investment towards high impactThe prioritisation of capital investment towards high impact
projects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals andprojects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals andprojects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals andprojects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals and
objectives.objectives.objectives.objectives.
9 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Making the right
investment decisions
10 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Asset Lifecycle
Where…
11 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
The need for strategic capital planning
Without a strategic approach, capital
investment planning / decisions:
Result in inflated budgets and poor
value
Lack realistic financial planning, ‘wish-
list’ planning
Are not transparent
Fail to align budget and spend
Reduce delivery confidence
12 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Strategy
CAPITAL
PLANNIN
G
Projects
• What must be achieved when
• Long term approach
• What is worth doing
• When & what cost
• Medium term approach
• Service delivery
• Project delivery
• Immediate term actions
Tactical Capital Planning…
13 SMART SALES SOLUTIONS | Internal | March 2016
Four principles
of good capital planning
Challenge
and review
Clearly
defined
responsibilities
Flexibility
Establishing
priorities
Tactical Capital Planning…
14 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
The role of effectiveThe role of effectiveThe role of effectiveThe role of effective prioritisationprioritisationprioritisationprioritisation within the overall capitalwithin the overall capitalwithin the overall capitalwithin the overall capital
planning process is critical. It is here that projects are aligned toplanning process is critical. It is here that projects are aligned toplanning process is critical. It is here that projects are aligned toplanning process is critical. It is here that projects are aligned to
best achieve the strategic and local level objectives driving thebest achieve the strategic and local level objectives driving thebest achieve the strategic and local level objectives driving thebest achieve the strategic and local level objectives driving the
leadership vision.leadership vision.leadership vision.leadership vision.
15 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Fundamentally this means moving the process from a purely budgetary decision
to one based on value for money – namely examination of the wider benefits
sought from investment
Moving from cost to ‘value for money’ basis
Cost-basis
planning
Value for
money
16 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Prioritising projects
Why is it needed?
Consistent way
to sort diverse
projects
Establishes
what is important
to focus, and
which, if any,
could be put on
hold.
Value for money
outcomes by
aligning strategy,
budget and
spend.
Challenge and
scrutiny to the
capital planning
process.
17 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Supports structured decision-making
Reduces planning subjectivity.
Quantifies projects with numeric rankings.
Facilitates agreement and decision-making.
But, it is a TOOL and NOT
the decision-maker!
Prioritising projects
Benefits of a prioritised approach
18 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Guiding
Principles
Easy to use – to maximise use
Make the capital planning process easier
Robust and consistent outputs – a common approach
Graphic and easy to digest analysis
Remember – it is one tool in the process
As with any planning tool, its success lies in its adoption and use. If it is cumbersome, complicated and
hard to use it won’t be used!
Developing a prioritisation tool
19 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Project name
Project Characteristics are
required to identify and track
projects, but also provide the basis
for matrix analysis to develop the
capital plan portfolio
Unique ID
Municipality
Project Owner / Entity
Municipal Sector
Asset Class
New Capital / Maintenance Project
Project TAGS provide the ability
for decision-makers to promote
projects independent of the
priority score
TAG 1:
Projects promoted
by leadership
TAG 2:
On-going, approved,
not-approved, etc.
TAG 3: Project
Identifier(s)
Tags to be used and
agreed by user level
to reflect key
agendas
Components of a prioritisation framework
20 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Multi-Criteria Prioritisation Framework
Priority Driver 1 Priority Driver 2 Priority Driver 3 etc…
Key drivers that
drive priority
Driver Scoring Criteria
A set of 3-4 criteria
related to the driver to
assess and score
projects against
Driver Scoring Criteria
A set of 3-4 criteria
related to the driver to
assess and score
projects against
Driver Scoring Criteria
A set of 3-4 criteria
related to the driver to
assess and score
projects against
etc…
Criteria under each
driver that are
scored 1 – 5 based
on normalizing
statements
35% etc…15% 20%
Weighting the
priority between
drivers
Weighted priority scores for each project to inform decision making
Final Scores
(Index out of 100)
Components of a prioritisation framework
21 SMART SALES SOLUTIONS | Internal | March 2016
Key drivers of prioritisation
The objectives sought by could
(should) include:
The need to achieve spend
The need to provide value for
money
Balancing a portfolio within an
overall programme
Improving deliverability of planned
project
Transparency in decision making
‘Internal’ organisation drivers
But in certain circumstance,
particularly government sector, they
could (should) also include drivers
like:
Supporting economic growth
Improving sustainability
Meeting political imperatives
External ‘strategic’ drivers
22 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Vision &
Strategy
Broad
Economic
Sustainability Deliverability
Risk and
Criticality
Importance to
OPEX
Decreasing importance to CAPEX
Increasing importance to OPEX
Five-driver model
23 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Vision &
Strategy
Broad
Economic
Sustainability Deliverability
Risk and
Criticality
Rationale
Alignment to strategic objectives (internal and external) should be a key part of any prioritisation approach. Developing
criteria that challenge projects on their contribution to strategy and goals will help prioritise those projects that provide
greatest contribution to strategy.
Criteria VS1: Does the project contribute to Emirate vision and agendas?
Criteria VS2: Is it aligned to achieving Organisation level objectives?
Criteria VS3: Does the project maximise outcomes?
Vision and strategy driver
24 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Vision &
Strategy
Broad
Economic
Sustainability Deliverability
Risk and
Criticality
Rationale
All projects are governed by economic/financial objectives, i.e. spend, value for money, or investment returns. This driver
captures these metrics but also provides scope to capture wider socio-economic criteria that are more important to public
sector projects.
Criteria EC1: Does the project have identified need and demand?
Criteria ES2: Will the project contribute to economic impacts?
Criteria ES3: Is it good value for money?
Broad economic
25 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Vision &
Strategy
Broad
Economic
Sustainability Deliverability
Risk and
Criticality
Rationale
Sustainability drives both public policy and corporate social responsibility. Projects should be assessed against the positive
impact they may have on health, safety and environment; in terms of the direct impacts they may have on environmental
assets/eco-systems; and if a physical project the credentials of the construction and operation of assets.
Criteria SS1: What impact is made on the environment?
Criteria SS2: Does the design meet sustainability criteria?
Criteria SS3: Is it financially sustainable?
Sustainability
26 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Vision &
Strategy
Broad
Economic
Sustainability Deliverability
Risk and
Criticality
Rationale
A key objective is to prioritise those projects able to be delivered. The prioritisation process needs to look at the complexity of
the project, whether there are factors (such as stakeholder agreements, approvals, etc.) which are necessary for progress,
or indeed whether the project can realistically be delivered to time and budget (in order to provide budget certainty).
Criteria SS1: Is the project design-ready?
Criteria SS2: Are stakeholders aligned?
Criteria SS3: Is delivery dependent on external factors outside of control?
Deliverability
27 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Incorporating risk
28 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Risk & criticality
Risk and criticality is important in priortising investment / expenditure for a number reasons
Financial impacts
Delays to time or programme
Reduced performance
Critical failure
Customer impacts
Vision &
Strategy
Broad
Economic
Sustainability Deliverability
Risk and
Criticality
29 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
Risk & criticality
Risk = (consequence x likelihood)
How severe are the consequences of
asset failure?
How likely is it for the asset to
fail?
Health & safety implications
Financial impact
Regulatory compliance
Public confidence/ image
Service delivery
Levels of
service
Condition of asset
Performance of asset
Effectiveness of O&M protocols
Maintenance history
Condition
and criticality
30 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
In conclusion …
31 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016
The Key Question
Our VisionOur VisionOur VisionOur Vision
The prioritisation of capital investment towards high impactThe prioritisation of capital investment towards high impactThe prioritisation of capital investment towards high impactThe prioritisation of capital investment towards high impact
projects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals andprojects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals andprojects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals andprojects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals and
objectives.objectives.objectives.objectives.

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2016 10 23_Asset Management Conference_FINAL

  • 1. 1 CH2M_20151 CH2M_2015 Government & Enterprise Asset Management Congress Dubai, October 2016 Strategic Capital Planning in an Era of Fiscal Constraints
  • 2. 2 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Strategic Capital Planning in an Era of Fiscal Constraints Steve Scott Director of Project Development MENAI Region 25+ years International Experience Strategy and Planning Project Development
  • 3. 3 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Here’s the challenge
  • 4. 4 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 The changed economic landscape
  • 5. 5 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 A significant impact on capital investment…
  • 6. 6 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 NEED Region is committed to economic diversification; this requires continued investment CONSTRAINT Reduced fiscal balances are constraining the ability to invest RESPONSE Short-term re-alignment of budgets HOW? The investment dilemma…
  • 7. 7 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 THE GOOD… Greater prudence Justification Value for money THE BAD… Cost cutting Pro-rata reductions Limited rationale THE UGLY… Short-termism Reduced economic development Long-term impacts
  • 8. 8 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 The Key Question Our VisionOur VisionOur VisionOur Vision The prioritisation of capital investment towards high impactThe prioritisation of capital investment towards high impactThe prioritisation of capital investment towards high impactThe prioritisation of capital investment towards high impact projects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals andprojects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals andprojects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals andprojects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals and objectives.objectives.objectives.objectives.
  • 9. 9 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Making the right investment decisions
  • 10. 10 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Asset Lifecycle Where…
  • 11. 11 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 The need for strategic capital planning Without a strategic approach, capital investment planning / decisions: Result in inflated budgets and poor value Lack realistic financial planning, ‘wish- list’ planning Are not transparent Fail to align budget and spend Reduce delivery confidence
  • 12. 12 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Strategy CAPITAL PLANNIN G Projects • What must be achieved when • Long term approach • What is worth doing • When & what cost • Medium term approach • Service delivery • Project delivery • Immediate term actions Tactical Capital Planning…
  • 13. 13 SMART SALES SOLUTIONS | Internal | March 2016 Four principles of good capital planning Challenge and review Clearly defined responsibilities Flexibility Establishing priorities Tactical Capital Planning…
  • 14. 14 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 The role of effectiveThe role of effectiveThe role of effectiveThe role of effective prioritisationprioritisationprioritisationprioritisation within the overall capitalwithin the overall capitalwithin the overall capitalwithin the overall capital planning process is critical. It is here that projects are aligned toplanning process is critical. It is here that projects are aligned toplanning process is critical. It is here that projects are aligned toplanning process is critical. It is here that projects are aligned to best achieve the strategic and local level objectives driving thebest achieve the strategic and local level objectives driving thebest achieve the strategic and local level objectives driving thebest achieve the strategic and local level objectives driving the leadership vision.leadership vision.leadership vision.leadership vision.
  • 15. 15 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Fundamentally this means moving the process from a purely budgetary decision to one based on value for money – namely examination of the wider benefits sought from investment Moving from cost to ‘value for money’ basis Cost-basis planning Value for money
  • 16. 16 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Prioritising projects Why is it needed? Consistent way to sort diverse projects Establishes what is important to focus, and which, if any, could be put on hold. Value for money outcomes by aligning strategy, budget and spend. Challenge and scrutiny to the capital planning process.
  • 17. 17 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Supports structured decision-making Reduces planning subjectivity. Quantifies projects with numeric rankings. Facilitates agreement and decision-making. But, it is a TOOL and NOT the decision-maker! Prioritising projects Benefits of a prioritised approach
  • 18. 18 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Guiding Principles Easy to use – to maximise use Make the capital planning process easier Robust and consistent outputs – a common approach Graphic and easy to digest analysis Remember – it is one tool in the process As with any planning tool, its success lies in its adoption and use. If it is cumbersome, complicated and hard to use it won’t be used! Developing a prioritisation tool
  • 19. 19 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Project name Project Characteristics are required to identify and track projects, but also provide the basis for matrix analysis to develop the capital plan portfolio Unique ID Municipality Project Owner / Entity Municipal Sector Asset Class New Capital / Maintenance Project Project TAGS provide the ability for decision-makers to promote projects independent of the priority score TAG 1: Projects promoted by leadership TAG 2: On-going, approved, not-approved, etc. TAG 3: Project Identifier(s) Tags to be used and agreed by user level to reflect key agendas Components of a prioritisation framework
  • 20. 20 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Multi-Criteria Prioritisation Framework Priority Driver 1 Priority Driver 2 Priority Driver 3 etc… Key drivers that drive priority Driver Scoring Criteria A set of 3-4 criteria related to the driver to assess and score projects against Driver Scoring Criteria A set of 3-4 criteria related to the driver to assess and score projects against Driver Scoring Criteria A set of 3-4 criteria related to the driver to assess and score projects against etc… Criteria under each driver that are scored 1 – 5 based on normalizing statements 35% etc…15% 20% Weighting the priority between drivers Weighted priority scores for each project to inform decision making Final Scores (Index out of 100) Components of a prioritisation framework
  • 21. 21 SMART SALES SOLUTIONS | Internal | March 2016 Key drivers of prioritisation The objectives sought by could (should) include: The need to achieve spend The need to provide value for money Balancing a portfolio within an overall programme Improving deliverability of planned project Transparency in decision making ‘Internal’ organisation drivers But in certain circumstance, particularly government sector, they could (should) also include drivers like: Supporting economic growth Improving sustainability Meeting political imperatives External ‘strategic’ drivers
  • 22. 22 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Vision & Strategy Broad Economic Sustainability Deliverability Risk and Criticality Importance to OPEX Decreasing importance to CAPEX Increasing importance to OPEX Five-driver model
  • 23. 23 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Vision & Strategy Broad Economic Sustainability Deliverability Risk and Criticality Rationale Alignment to strategic objectives (internal and external) should be a key part of any prioritisation approach. Developing criteria that challenge projects on their contribution to strategy and goals will help prioritise those projects that provide greatest contribution to strategy. Criteria VS1: Does the project contribute to Emirate vision and agendas? Criteria VS2: Is it aligned to achieving Organisation level objectives? Criteria VS3: Does the project maximise outcomes? Vision and strategy driver
  • 24. 24 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Vision & Strategy Broad Economic Sustainability Deliverability Risk and Criticality Rationale All projects are governed by economic/financial objectives, i.e. spend, value for money, or investment returns. This driver captures these metrics but also provides scope to capture wider socio-economic criteria that are more important to public sector projects. Criteria EC1: Does the project have identified need and demand? Criteria ES2: Will the project contribute to economic impacts? Criteria ES3: Is it good value for money? Broad economic
  • 25. 25 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Vision & Strategy Broad Economic Sustainability Deliverability Risk and Criticality Rationale Sustainability drives both public policy and corporate social responsibility. Projects should be assessed against the positive impact they may have on health, safety and environment; in terms of the direct impacts they may have on environmental assets/eco-systems; and if a physical project the credentials of the construction and operation of assets. Criteria SS1: What impact is made on the environment? Criteria SS2: Does the design meet sustainability criteria? Criteria SS3: Is it financially sustainable? Sustainability
  • 26. 26 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Vision & Strategy Broad Economic Sustainability Deliverability Risk and Criticality Rationale A key objective is to prioritise those projects able to be delivered. The prioritisation process needs to look at the complexity of the project, whether there are factors (such as stakeholder agreements, approvals, etc.) which are necessary for progress, or indeed whether the project can realistically be delivered to time and budget (in order to provide budget certainty). Criteria SS1: Is the project design-ready? Criteria SS2: Are stakeholders aligned? Criteria SS3: Is delivery dependent on external factors outside of control? Deliverability
  • 27. 27 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Incorporating risk
  • 28. 28 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Risk & criticality Risk and criticality is important in priortising investment / expenditure for a number reasons Financial impacts Delays to time or programme Reduced performance Critical failure Customer impacts Vision & Strategy Broad Economic Sustainability Deliverability Risk and Criticality
  • 29. 29 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 Risk & criticality Risk = (consequence x likelihood) How severe are the consequences of asset failure? How likely is it for the asset to fail? Health & safety implications Financial impact Regulatory compliance Public confidence/ image Service delivery Levels of service Condition of asset Performance of asset Effectiveness of O&M protocols Maintenance history Condition and criticality
  • 30. 30 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 In conclusion …
  • 31. 31 GEAM | Dubai | October 2016 The Key Question Our VisionOur VisionOur VisionOur Vision The prioritisation of capital investment towards high impactThe prioritisation of capital investment towards high impactThe prioritisation of capital investment towards high impactThe prioritisation of capital investment towards high impact projects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals andprojects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals andprojects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals andprojects, defined as those which best help achieve its goals and objectives.objectives.objectives.objectives.