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Rice Space Frontiers Talk-Rader-2.2.23.pdf

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Rice Space Frontiers Talk-Rader-2.2.23.pdf

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This talk will draw on NASA’s 10 years of experience with open innovation efforts across the US government and building access to almost 50 different crowdsourcing communities that represent over 200 million people worldwide. The session will explore how organizations can use both open innovation and open talent effectively for keeping up with the increasing pace of change in technologies, skills, and markets.

This talk will draw on NASA’s 10 years of experience with open innovation efforts across the US government and building access to almost 50 different crowdsourcing communities that represent over 200 million people worldwide. The session will explore how organizations can use both open innovation and open talent effectively for keeping up with the increasing pace of change in technologies, skills, and markets.

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Rice Space Frontiers Talk-Rader-2.2.23.pdf

  1. 1. Solving NASA’s Problems by Harnessing the Power of the Crowd NASA’s Center of Excellence for Collaborative Innovation NASA Tournament Lab Steve Rader steven.n.rader@nasa.gov 713.447.7867 Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
  2. 2. NASA’s Center of Excellence for Collaborative Innovation (CoECI) 2 CoECI works across NASA and other U.S. Federal Government Agencies to assist organizations in understanding and using open innovation tools.
  3. 3. Significant Technical Challenges to Space Exploration • Affordable Propulsion • Zero-boiloff Cryogenic Storage, In-space Refueling, Improved Solar, Safe/High Capacity/Light Energy Storage • Long Term Human Habitation with Limited Logistics • High Reliability, Closed Loop ECLS, Food Storage & Production • Communications • Bandwidth For Multi-spectral Imaging, Delay • Galactic Cosmic Radiation Protection 3
  4. 4. THE WORLD HAS CHANGED Much of what worked for us in the past will not work in the future! Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
  5. 5. 90% of All Scientists that Ever Lived are Alive Today As 2017: 3.12 million patents 7 The World has Changed Significantly over the Past 20 Years
  6. 6. Processors/GPUs CRISPR Additive Manufacturing Materials/Nano-Coatings Robotics Components Sensors Machine Learning Components Open Software Components Autonomous Vehicles Complex Manufacturing Cloud/Quantum Computing Blockchain Technology Building Blocks Accelerating the Rate of Change Photo Credit: Betatype The accelerating rate of change is driven by low cost access to powerful technology building blocks and tools. 8
  7. 7. Depth/Complexity Breadth of Domain Expertise and Technologies Domain-Discipline-Industry The Breadth and Depth of Skills, Expertise, and Technology Used by permission: Crowd Resources Consulting
  8. 8. Depth/Complexity Breadth of Domain Expertise and Technologies The Breadth and Depth of Skills, Expertise, and Technology Used by permission: Crowd Resources Consulting Domain-Discipline-Industry Machine Learning
  9. 9. Depth/Complexity Breadth of Domain Expertise and Technologies The Breadth and Depth of Skills, Expertise, and Technology Used by permission: Crowd Resources Consulting Domain-Discipline-Industry Machine Learning
  10. 10. PRO Amazing new technologies that could result in significant gains towards solving hard problems CON Finding these technologies & solutions across the growing number of possible sources is hard 12
  11. 11. Hard to Find Skills and Expertise The Rate of Change for Knowledge and Technology is Increasing High Risk to Remaining Competitive/Relevant Organizations MUST Innovate! Hard to Keep Up with Tech Advances
  12. 12. Source: CB Insights
  13. 13. Average Lifespan of S&P 500 Listed Companies in Years
  14. 14. Improving Pipeline Bundle Inspection Subsea7 was seeking to improve pipeline inspections. Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. 16 NineSigma Challenge Result: Found a technology a fraction of the size that performs inspections over 100x faster that will be much less expensive to operate. This new technology was poised to transform the industry.
  15. 15. Depth/Complexity Breadth of Domain Expertise and Technologies The Breadth and Depth of Skills, Expertise, and Technology Used by permission: Crowd Resources Consulting Domain-Discipline-Industry Traditional Organization Hiring of Skills and Expertise
  16. 16. Depth/Complexity Breadth of Domain Expertise and Technologies The Breadth and Depth of Skills, Expertise, and Technology Used by permission: Crowd Resources Consulting Domain-Discipline-Industry
  17. 17. Depth/Complexity Breadth of Domain Expertise and Technologies The Breadth and Depth of Skills, Expertise, and Technology Used by permission: Crowd Resources Consulting Domain-Discipline-Industry Individual
  18. 18. Depth/Complexity Breadth of Domain Expertise and Technologies The Breadth and Depth of Skills, Expertise, and Technology Used by permission: Crowd Resources Consulting Domain-Discipline-Industry Team
  19. 19. Depth/Complexity Breadth of Domain Expertise and Technologies The Breadth and Depth of Skills, Expertise, and Technology Used by permission: Crowd Resources Consulting Domain-Discipline-Industry The Crowd
  20. 20. Alf Bingham Based on excerpts from “Range’ by David Epstein PHOTOGRAPH BY BLOOMBERG VIA GETTY IMAGES
  21. 21. “Open Innovation” is an Effective Tool to Keep Pace with Accelerating Change Open Innovation or crowdsourcing platforms are bringing together and curating large numbers of people from all over the world with all types of backgrounds, skills, and expertise to provide valuable products and services.
  22. 22. Crowd Platforms are Providing Low Friction Matching at Scale Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
  23. 23. Curated Communities Freelancers Software Coders Film-Makers Problem Solvers Problem Solvers Engineers & Designers 200,000 5,000,000 63,000,000 1,600,000 100,000 11,000,000 25 Crowd Facing: Company draws in members from around the world around a passion and/or interest. Customer Facing: Company mobilizes the skills and expertise of their curated community members to provide value to customers. Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
  24. 24. 26 Texas A&M “Kyle Field” Stadium Capacity: 102,733 Understanding Crowd Community Size Visualizing 100,000 People
  25. 25. Visualizing NASA’s Workforce of 60,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000
  26. 26. Visualizing NASA’s Workforce of 60,000 NASA Civil Servants 17,328 1093 Scientists 7% 3000 Scientists 7% NASA Contractors Est. 42,700 34,000 Total Engineers (includes 3,200 Total SW Engineers) 4,000 Total Scientists 24,300 Engineers 57% (2,100 SW Engineers 5%) 6,278 Admin/ Technicians 36% 9,725 Engineers 57% (811 Computer/SW 5%) 15,400 Admin/ Technicians 36% 28
  27. 27. InnoCentive 400,000 Technical Problem Solvers Community is 7X larger than NASA’s Entire Workforce 4 Stadiums 29
  28. 28. 31 Software & Algorithm Developers 15 Stadiums 500,000 Focused on Data Science/Algorithms Community is 500X larger than NASA’s SW Eng. Workforce Community is 25X larger than NASA’s Entire Workforce Topcoder 1.5M
  29. 29. 550 Stadiums 0.005%=2750 Freelancer 55M Multi-Discipline Freelancer Workers Community is 900X larger than NASA’s Entire Workforce Equivalent to 33% of US workforce
  30. 30. “Most of the bright people don’t work for you – no matter who you are.” - Bill Joy, Co-Founder of Sun Microsystems People Level of Expertise/Skills General Population Our Organization Actual Relative Size High Value Expertise/Skills Crowds Provide Access to High Value Expertise/Skills 33 Curated Community
  31. 31. Broad participation can bring a valuable idea, missed by the experts Credit: Rinat Sergeev of Laboratory for Innovation Sciences at Harvard (LISH)
  32. 32. Depth/Complexity Breadth of Domain Expertise and Technologies The Breadth and Depth of Skills, Expertise, and Technology Domain-Discipline-Industry • *Jeppesen, Lars Bo and Karim R. Lakhani. Forthcoming. Marginality and problem solving effectiveness in broadcast search. Organization Science 20. Published Version http://orgsci.journal.informs. Study data of successful Innocentive challenge solutions showed… 70% of successful challenge solutions are solved by individuals outside of the challenge’s specific technical domain. “75% of successful solvers already knew the solution to the problem.” Dr. Karim Lakhani *
  33. 33. 36 Diversity is Key to Innovation
  34. 34. Depth/Complexity Breadth of Domain Expertise and Technologies Using Crowds to Solve Problems Used by permission: Crowd Resources Consulting Domain-Discipline-Industry But HOW Can You Find the “Right” Expert or the Existing Solution from Some Other Domain Using the Crowd?
  35. 35. 38 Accessing Crowd VALUE Using Challenges Formulate the Problem Statement Design the Challenge Execute the Challenge Pick the Winner(s) Evaluating Get Your Solution IP licensing and/or transfer Solution Filtering (optional) Well designed challenges posed to a curated community have proven very effective for discovering new and existing (but unknown) solutions and technologies. A well formulated problem statement (with good success criteria) Solution filtering mechanisms are A well designed challenge (including setting the right prize amount) offered by some platforms
  36. 36. Remove grease from potato chips 39 The Problem
  37. 37. Existing Solution Mechanically vibrate the chips to shake off the cooking oil. Existing Solution Mechanically vibrate the chips to shake off the cooking oil.
  38. 38. Remove a viscous fluid from a delicate wafer Remove grease from potato chips 41 The Problem - Generalized For a Broader Crowd
  39. 39. Winning Solution: Acoustically vibrate the air around the chip at resonant frequencies that cause the cooking oil to separate from the chip. Winning Solution: Acoustically vibrate the air around the chip at resonant frequencies that cause the cooking oil to separate from the chip.
  40. 40. Unexpected Solution Source: A Violinist (Adjacent Domain Expert)
  41. 41. An Case for Augmenting the Traditional R&D Approach 15 years of proprietary research replicated in a single 60-day public challenge Case Study: Julian Birkinshaw, MLabnotes, University of London Business School Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. 44 Results: Existing technology found to solve the problem LovePik.com
  42. 42. Case Study CODERS SUBMITTED SOLUTIONS DIFFERENT APPROACHES TO SOLVE PROBLEM IDENTIFIED WINNING COUNTRIES RUSSIA, FRANCE, EGYPT, BELGIUM & US 122 654 89 5 Coders Submitted Solutions Different Approaches Identified Winning Countries US, Russia, France, Egypt, Belgium Improve on NIH MegaBlast algorithm for nucleotide sequence alignment Winning solution performs 120x faster ANTIBODY SEQUENCE ANNOTATION The Challenge Improve on NIH MegaBlast algorithm for nucleotide sequence alignment Source: 45 47 min. $120K 1 year Development 4.3 hours $2M+ Multi-year Development 16 sec. $6K Prize 14 Day Challenge Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
  43. 43. NASA’s Center of Excellence for Collaborative Innovation HQ ARC GRC GSFC KSC LaRC MSFC JPL JSC SSC AFRC Across NASA Centers & Programs Public Facing - Worldwide Across US Federal Agencies Supports NASA’s Space Technology Mission Directorate (STMD) Prizes and Challenges Program Provides services across NASA & other Federal Agencies Virtual Office hosted within Johnson Space Center Director’s Business Development and Technical Integration Office Provides Access to Open Innovation (OI) Platforms Worldwide Contracts/Mechanisms Processes/Support Education/Outreach Research 27 Organizations across 15 Agencies To Date 46
  44. 44. CoECI has both learned from and contributed to over 80 organization innovation programs across the globe and is widely recognized as a leader in Open Innovation. CoECI Collaboration Center of Excellence for Collaborative Innovation Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. 47
  45. 45. NASA Open Innovation Portfolio Center of Excellence for Collaborative Innovation Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. NOIS2 is our $175,000,000 Multi- Vendor Contract with 32 Crowds Access to 50+ Open Innovation Firms & Communities Representing over 200 Million People Worldwide
  46. 46. NASA’s Internal Crowd 49
  47. 47. Determining Urine Volume in Microgravity 51 Results: Found a working prototype at NASA saving $1.3M & 3-5 years of development. NASA needed improved solutions for measuring urine volume in microgravity.
  48. 48. Innovation & Problem Solving Challenges Using Challenges with Diverse Communities to develop unique and innovative approaches to unsolved problems Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
  49. 49. 53 Mars Balance Mass Challenge Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Results: A design that changed the ballast material to barium such that when ejected during entry, they could be used as tracers for atmospheric analysis by Mars orbiters. NASA sought a scientific use for the “dead weight” ballast that Mars spacecraft carried for attitude adjustments during entry.
  50. 50. Results - Space Poop Challenge Results HeroX Challenge Results: Discovered an approach that used laparoscopic surgical mechanisms for manipulation and passing material across a pressure differential. Also discovered zero-power approach to air circulation based on medical self-inflating ventilator technology. 5000 Submissions Total Cost: $58,000 54 Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Winning Solutions NASA needed to find new and innovative concepts to address a significant Orion contingency problem with LEA suits.
  51. 51. Searching for Technologies 55 Using Crowd-based Networks to Find Technologies Invisible to Most Internet Searches Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
  52. 52. Lunar Surface Innovation Initiative Technology Searches: • Lunar Dust Mitigation • 12 promising technologies found of 82 identified • Lunar Surface Manufacturing • 6 promising technologies found of 69 identified • Acceptable Materials for the Lunar Environment • 8 promising materials found of 72 identified • Lunar Dust Filters • 1 promising technology found of 53 identified “The technology search was rapid and comprehensive. It was also global, which increased the odds of finding the right type of technology we were looking for. It is very possible their findings will meet requirements for a lunar surface experiment! I’m so happy this tech search capability exists.” -- MSFCJennifer Edmundson Cost Per Search: $30,000
  53. 53. Data Science/Algorithm Challenges Using Challenges with Expert Communities to Develop/Improve Algorithms. Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
  54. 54. Data Driven Forecasting of Solar Flares 58 Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Results: 8-hour prediction algorithm that borrowed techniques from RF signal processing to extract signal from noise. Solver was a semi-retired RF engineer (with an unused undergraduate degree in heliophysics). NASA needed to increase solar flare prediction from 2 hours to 4 hours.
  55. 55. Asteroid Data Hunter 59 Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Results: Downloadable app and algorithm that provides a 15% Improvement in asteroid detection over current method. NASA needed to improve asteroid detection.
  56. 56. 60 Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Software Challenges Using Challenges with Expert Communities to Develop Software Solutions.
  57. 57. Using Competitions for Software Development Conceptualization Specification Wireframes Storyboards Architecture Assembly Component Dev Bug Hunt Bug Race Idea Generation Image Credit: Wikipedia, Systems development life-cycle, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Systems_development_life-cycle (as of Mar. 27, 2013, 05:48 GMT). Source: Each contest taps into the best of the portion of the community that has expertise for that phase. Concepts Specs UX/UI ConOps Arch. Coding Find/Fix Bugs Creative Ideas Projects are broken into contests for each phase. Software Development
  58. 58. ISS Astronaut Food Intake Tracker (FIT) iPad App *Total Dev Cost w/ Add’l flight rqmts: $225,000 Results: iPad App currently in use by ISS crew with significant improvement in the capture of crew nutrition data. Total Cost*: $99,000 Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. JSC’s Nutritional Biochemistry Lab needed a better way to collect crew nutrition data on ISS. They used a NASA@WORK challenge followed by a Topcoder challenge to find a solution.
  59. 59. 64 Creative Design Challenges or Freelance Projects for Graphics, Video, Animation, Writing, Digital Design/CAD
  60. 60. 8 NASA projects now identify their project using Freelancer contest produced graphics Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. NASA Project Graphic Contests SEE-THROUGH VERSION COLOR VERSION GREYSCALE VERSION WHITE VERSION LOGISTICS REDUCTION LOGISTICS REDUCTION
  61. 61. NASA Regolith Advanced Surface Systems Operations Robot (RASSOR) Bucket Drum Design Challenge Common Restraint and Mobility Aid System for Multiple Gravity Environments Challenge Advanced Lightweight Lunar Gantry for Operations (ALLGO) Challenge Astrobee Robotic Arm Architecture Challenge Series
  62. 62. Astronaut Smartwatch App Results: A well designed, fully operational working prototype smartwatch app with a data emulator. Total Cost: $4,600 Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Brian Schwing in JSC’s Avionics Division & Elena Naids in Mission Ops wanted to explore a smartwatch app to help the ISS crew more easily access data during their workday. They used a Freelancer.com to run a User Interface design challenge and then a software development task all using a P- Card.
  63. 63. RFID-Enabled Autonomous Logistics Management (REALM) Video Contests $1500 storyboard challenge followed by a $3000 video production challenge developed a 3 minute fully CGI explanation of REALM. Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. https://youtu.be/0bcWA-HnSSY
  64. 64. Ideas Conceptual Designs System Designs Demos/ Prototypes Engineering Models Software Algorithms/ Data Science Graphics Video Crowd Prog Engagement Technology Search Technology Catalyst 103 120 17 20 30 64 54 54 25 59 108 16 NASA COECI’s Open Innovation (OI) Products and Services Products and Services Provided by: Crowd-Based Prize Competitions/Challenges | Freelance Experts/Workers | Micro-Tasking | OI Program Support 69 Technical Solutions Multimedia 700+ Projects 94% Were Successful 77% Have Cost Savings 48% Average Cost Savings $79M+ Estimated Cost Savings
  65. 65. “The Future of Work” We are in the midst of a significant shift in how work is performed and how organizations will get work done. Source The Human Cloud, the Gig Economy, & the Transformation of Work Report by Staffing Industry Analysts (www.staffingindustry.com) 2017
  66. 66. Crowd Platforms are Providing Low Friction Matching at Scale Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
  67. 67. Source: Freelancing in America 2017 Edelman Intelligence – commissioned by Upwork and Freelancers Union Growth in Freelancer Workforce is 3X the Overall Workforce "41.5% of the average organization’s total workforce is comprised of non-employee labor, a figure that is nearly double what it was roughly seven years ago" - Christopher Dwyer, VP of Research at Ardent Partners, 2019
  68. 68. Source: Freelancing in America 2017 Edelman Intelligence – commissioned by Upwork and Freelancers Union If Trends Continue, Freelancers will Become the U.S. Workforce Majority in Less than a Decade The COVID-19 Pandemic has accelerated this trend.
  69. 69. 2/3/23 1/2 Say They Would Not Take a Traditional Job No Matter How Much They Were Offered
  70. 70. Lifelong Learning is Now Mandatory to Keep Up
  71. 71. Freelance/Gig/Crowd workers model for lifelong learning far surpasses training offered in large organizations
  72. 72. COVID-19 is Pushing Companies
  73. 73. Time Needed to Start Building New Skills Online in Jobs of Tomorrow
  74. 74. The Emerging Open Workforce On-Demand and Persistent Available both Globally and Locally Grunt Workers and Experienced Experts Lifelong Learners Up to Speed on the Latest Tech Workforce Platforms Providing Low Friction Access Source: Public NASA presentation
  75. 75. Trade names, trademarks, and logos are used in this report for identification only. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. 84 Access to Freelance Freelance Experts
  76. 76. Adapting to the Future of Work Open platforms are bypassing the gatekeepers Everyone has an opportunity to participate Organizations need flexible workforces that can adapt to changing needs and skills Workers will increasingly have the flexibility and agency to find work/life balance and pursue their passions through lifelong learning Image by Karolina Grabowska from Pixabay
  77. 77. 86 Diversity is Key to Innovation
  78. 78. Image by G Poulsen from Pixabay Perspectives on Change
  79. 79. Crowds, gig-workers, freelancers are a rapidly growing resource with increasing capabilities Curated communities are attracting passion and building expertise and skills Open methods are extremely effective for accessing valuable innovations Those that fail to innovate will be left behind “OPEN” is the Future and “INNOVATION” is No Longer Optional
  80. 80. Significant Technical Challenges to NASA’s Mission 89 If we are serious about leading in Space Exploration, we must use new tools if we hope to access the necessary technologies, ideas, and innovations we require.
  81. 81. Discussion & Collaboration http://nasa.gov/solve steven.n.rader@nasa.gov 90
  82. 82. @SteveRader @NASASolve
  83. 83. Background Reading
  84. 84. The challenge owner was the CIA who needed to find a way of tracking Russian actors in Crimea but needed to keep the actual problem secret. Methods for Protecting Sensitive Challenges: Contextual Obscuration A challenge was posted to find a way to track a specific bison in Yellowstone National Park using only images posted on social media. An innovative solution was found and deployed without detection.
  85. 85. The challenge owner was the Navy who wanted to find a way to capture the energy from the powerful electrical arc created when it fired its rail gun. Methods for Protecting Sensitive Challenges: Technical Obscuration Challenge: If you are in an enclosed metal space surrounded by water and there are lighting strikes, is there any way to capture and use the power?

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